Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency)

Last updated

Cardiff North
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency)
Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency)
Interactive map of boundaries from 2024
CardiffNorth2024Constituency.svg
Location of the constituency within Wales
Preserved county South Glamorgan
Population88,114 (2011 census) [1]
Electorate 71,143 (March 2020) [2]
Current constituency
Created 1950
Member of Parliament Anna McMorrin (Labour)
SeatsOne
Created from Cardiff Central
Overlaps
Senedd Cardiff North, South Wales Central

Cardiff North (Welsh : Gogledd Caerdydd) is a constituency [n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2017 by Anna McMorrin of the Labour Party. [n 2]

Contents

The constituency retained its name and gained one ward, as part of the 2023 review of Westminster constituencies and under the June 2023 final recommendations of the Boundary Commission for Wales for the 2024 United Kingdom general election. [3]

Boundaries

1950–1974: The County Borough of Cardiff wards of Cathays, Central, Gabalfa, Penylan and Plasnewydd.

1974–1983: The County Borough of Cardiff wards of Cathays, Central, Penylan, and Plasnewydd.

1983–2010: The City of Cardiff wards of Gabalfa, Heath, Lisvane and St Mellons, Llandaff North, Llanishen, Rhiwbina, and Whitchurch and Tongwynlais.

2010–2024: The Cardiff electoral divisions of Gabalfa, Heath, Lisvane1, Llandaff North, Llanishen, Pontprennau and Old St Mellons, Rhiwbina, and Whitchurch and Tongwynlais.

2024–present: As above with the addition of the Rhondda Cynon Taf ward of Taff's Well, transferred from Pontypridd. [4]

1 renamed Lisvane and Thornhill with effect from May 2022. [5]

Cardiff City Centre was in this constituency from its creation in 1950 until 1983.

History

This seat is the residential quarter of Wales's capital, over half of northern Cardiff consists of owner-occupied housing, with a higher number of a middle class population than other sections. Historically it mainly elected Conservative MPs.

In recent years Labour has overturned the nominal majority more recently, turning the seat into a national target swing-constituency. The seat was relative to others a marginal seat from 2001 to 2017 as well as a swing seat as its winner's majority did not exceed 8% and it changed political allegiance twice during that period. By 2004, the Conservatives held a majority of councillors within the constituency (13, against 5 Liberal Democrats, 3 independents and 0 Labour), but in the following 2005 general election Welsh Labour's Julie Morgan retained the seat but with a reduced majority.

Morgan stood again for Labour in 2010, whilst the Conservatives chose Jonathan Evans MEP, who had previously been the MP for Brecon and Radnor. Evans won by 194 votes.

In 2015, Labour attempted to take the seat back but new candidate, Craig Williams, took it with a majority of 2,137.

Labour retook the seat in 2017 on a 6.1% swing, producing a majority of 4,174; this was the first time in the seat's history it had voted for a Labour candidate in an election they did not win and the first time it elected an MP who is not a member of the largest party in the House of Commons since October 1974. In 2019, the seat bucked the trend by swinging to Labour despite their heavy defeat nationally, and a further swing in 2024 after their victory in the General Election led to a majority of over 11,000, the largest any party has had in the constituency's history.

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember [6] [7] Party
1950 David Llewellyn Conservative
1959 Donald Box Conservative
1966 Ted Rowlands Labour
1970 Michael Roberts Conservative
Feb 1974 Ian Grist Conservative
1983 Gwilym Jones Conservative
1997 Julie Morgan Labour
2010 Jonathan Evans Conservative
2015 Craig Williams Conservative
2017 Anna McMorrin Labour

Elections

Elections in the 1950s

General election 1950: Cardiff North [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative David Llewellyn 23,988 46.9 N/A
Labour William Howlett21,08141.3N/A
Liberal Douglas Arthur Jones6,01711.8N/A
Majority 2,9075.6N/A
Turnout 51,08684.4N/A
Registered electors 60,543
Conservative win (new seat)
General election 1951: Cardiff North [9] [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative David Llewellyn 29,408 56.6 +9.7
Labour Co-op John Evans22,60043.4+2.1
Majority 6,80813.2+7.6
Turnout 52,00885.6+1.2
Registered electors 60,767
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1955: Cardiff North [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative David Llewellyn 29,409 59.3 +2.7
Labour Leo Abse 20,22440.7–2.7
Majority 9,18518.6+5.4
Turnout 49,63380.9–4.7
Registered electors 61,352
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1959: Cardiff North [10] [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Donald Box 28,737 57.8 –1.5
Labour George S. Viner18,05436.3–4.4
Plaid Cymru Emrys Roberts 2,5535.1N/A
Independent Stanley G. Worth4080.8N/A
Majority 10,68321.5+3.0
Turnout 49,75282.9+2.0
Registered electors 59,986
Conservative hold Swing

Elections in the 1960s

General election 1964: Cardiff North [11] [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Donald Box 21,837 44.6 –13.2
Labour John A. Reynolds18,21537.2+0.9
Liberal Denis G. Rees7,80616.0N/A
Plaid Cymru Emrys Roberts 1,0582.2–2.9
Majority 3,6227.4–14.1
Turnout 48,91680.7–2.2
Registered electors 60,632
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1966: Cardiff North [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Ted Rowlands 23,669 50.7 +13.5
Conservative Donald Box 22,99749.3+4.7
Majority 6721.4N/A
Turnout 46,66679.0–1.7
Registered electors 59,092
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Elections in the 1970s

General election 1970: Cardiff North [12] [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Michael Roberts 21,983 46.9 –2.4
Labour Ted Rowlands 20,20743.2–7.5
Liberal Howard M. O'Brien2,7015.8N/A
Plaid Cymru Brian Morgan Edwards 1,9274.1N/A
Majority 1,7763.7N/A
Turnout 46,81876.6–2.4
Registered electors 61,057
Conservative gain from Labour Swing
General election February 1974: Cardiff North [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Ian Grist 14,659 42.9 –4.0
Labour J. Collins10,80631.6–11.6
Liberal T A D Thomas7,13920.9+15.1
Plaid Cymru P Richards1,5864.6+0.5
Majority 3,85311.3+7.6
Turnout 34,19078.6+2.0
Registered electors 43,511
Conservative hold Swing
General election October 1974: Cardiff North [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Ian Grist 13,480 41.9 –1.0
Labour J Collins11,47935.7+4.1
Liberal Mike German 5,72817.8–3.1
Plaid Cymru P. Richards1,4644.6±0.0
Majority 2,0016.2–5.1
Turnout 32,15173.3–5.3
Registered electors 43,858
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1979: Cardiff North [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Ian Grist 17,181 47.3 +5.4
Labour M D Petrou13,13336.2+0.5
Liberal Mike German 4,92113.5–4.3
Plaid Cymru Owen John Thomas 1,0813.0–1.6
Majority 4,04811.1+4.9
Turnout 36,31675.7+2.4
Registered electors 47,973
Conservative hold Swing

Elections in the 1980s

General election 1983: Cardiff North [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Gwilym Jones 19,433 47.1 –0.2
SDP Anthony Jeremy12,58530.5+17.0
Labour Jane Hutt 8,25620.0–16.2
Plaid Cymru Dafydd J. L. Huws9742.4–0.6
Majority 6,84816.6+5.5
Turnout 41,24877.3+1.6
Registered electors 53,377
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1987: Cardiff North [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Gwilym Jones 20,061 45.3 –1.8
Labour Stephen Tarbet11,82726.7+6.7
SDP Anthony Jeremy11,72526.5–4.0
Plaid Cymru Eluned Bush6921.5–0.9
Majority 8,23418.6+2.0
Turnout 44,30581.0+3.7
Registered electors 54,704
Conservative hold Swing

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1992: Cardiff North [18] [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Gwilym Jones 21,547 45.1 –0.2
Labour Julie Morgan 18,57838.9+12.2
Liberal Democrats Eve Warlow6,48713.6–12.9
Plaid Cymru Eluned Bush9161.9+0.4
BNP John Morse 1210.3N/A
Natural Law David Palmer860.2N/A
Majority 2,9696.2–12.4
Turnout 47,73584.1+3.1
Registered electors 56,721
Conservative hold Swing –6.2
General election 1997: Cardiff North [20] [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Julie Morgan 24,460 50.4 +11.5
Conservative Gwilym Jones 16,33433.7–11.4
Liberal Democrats Robyn Rowland5,29410.9–2.7
Plaid Cymru Colin Palfrey1,2012.5+0.6
Referendum Edward Litchfield1,1992.5N/A
Majority 8,12616.7N/A
Turnout 48,48880.2–3.9
Registered electors 60,468
Labour gain from Conservative Swing –11.5

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2001: Cardiff North [22] [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Julie Morgan 19,845 45.9 –4.5
Conservative Alastair Watson13,68031.6–2.1
Liberal Democrats John Dixon6,63115.3+4.4
Plaid Cymru Sion Jobbins2,4715.7+3.2
UKIP Don Hulston6131.4N/A
Majority 6,16514.3–2.4
Turnout 43,24069.0–11.2
Registered electors 62,634
Labour hold Swing
General election 2005: Cardiff North [24] [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Julie Morgan 17,707 39.0 –6.9
Conservative Jonathan Morgan 16,56136.5+4.9
Liberal Democrats John Dixon8,48318.7+3.4
Plaid Cymru John Rowlands1,9364.3–1.4
UKIP Don Hulston5341.2–0.2
Forward Wales Alison Hobbs1380.3N/A
Rainbow Dream Ticket Catherine Taylor-Dawson10.0N/A
Majority 1,1462.5–11.8
Turnout 45,36070.5+1.5
Registered electors 64,390
Labour hold Swing –5.9

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2010: Cardiff North [26] [27] [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Jonathan Evans 17,860 37.5 +1.0
Labour Julie Morgan 17,66637.1–1.9
Liberal Democrats John Dixon8,72418.3–0.4
Plaid Cymru Llywelyn Rhys1,5883.3–1.0
UKIP Lawrence Gwynn1,1302.4+1.2
Green Christopher von Ruhland3620.8N/A
Christian Derek Thomson3000.6N/A
Majority 1940.4N/A
Turnout 47,63072.7+2.2
Registered electors 65,553
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +1.5
General election 2015: Cardiff North [29] [30] [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Craig Williams 21,709 42.4 +4.9
Labour Mari Williams19,57238.3+1.2
UKIP Ethan Wilkinson3,9537.7+5.3
Plaid Cymru Elin Jones2,3014.5+1.2
Liberal Democrats Elizabeth Clark1,9533.8–14.5
Green Ruth Osner1,2542.5+1.7
Christian Jeff Green3310.6±0.0
Alter ChangeShaun Jenkins780.2N/A
Rejected ballots80
Majority 2,1374.1+3.7
Turnout 51,15176.1+3.4
Registered electors 67,196
Conservative hold Swing +1.8

Of the 80 rejected ballots:

General election 2017: Cardiff North [32] [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Anna McMorrin 26,081 50.1 +11.8
Conservative Craig Williams 21,90742.1–0.3
Plaid Cymru Steffan Webb1,7383.3–1.2
Liberal Democrats Matt Hemsley1,7143.3–0.5
UKIP Gary Oldfield5821.1–6.6
Rejected ballots98
Majority 4,1748.0N/A
Turnout 52,02277.4+1.3
Registered electors 67,220
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +6.1

Of the 98 rejected ballots:

General election 2019: Cardiff North [34] [35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Anna McMorrin 26,064 49.5 –0.6
Conservative Mo Ali19,08236.2–5.9
Liberal Democrats Rhys Taylor3,5806.8+3.5
Plaid Cymru Steffan Webb1,6063.0–0.3
Brexit Party Chris Butler 1,3112.5N/A
Green Michael Cope8201.6N/A
Independent Richard Jones2030.4N/A
Rejected ballots111
Majority 6,98213.3+5.3
Turnout 52,66676.9―0.5
Registered electors 68,438
Labour hold Swing +2.8

Of the 111 rejected ballots:

2019 notional result [n 3] [36]
PartyVote %
Labour 27,13049.6
Conservative 19,55135.7
Liberal Democrats 3,5826.5
Plaid Cymru 1,8883.5
Brexit Party 1,4502.7
Green Party 8201.5
Independent (2)2880.5
Majority7,57913.9
Turnout54,70976.9
Electorate71,143


Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: Cardiff North [37]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Anna McMorrin 20,849 43.9 –5.7
Conservative Joel Williams9,64220.3–15.4
Reform UK Lawrence Gwynn5,98512.6+9.9
Plaid Cymru Malcolm Phillips4,6699.8+6.3
Liberal Democrats Irfan Latif3,1686.7+0.2
Green Meg Shepherd-Foster3,1606.7+5.2
Majority 11,20723.6+10.3
Turnout 47,47366.5–10.4
Registered electors 71,335
Labour hold Swing +4.9

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ↑ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
  3. ↑ Estimate of the 2019 general election result as if the revised boundaries recommended under the 2023 boundary review were in place

References

  1. ↑ "Cardiff North: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Archived from the original on 21 February 2015. Retrieved 20 February 2015.
  2. ↑ Mrs Justice Jefford; Thomas, Huw Vaughan; Hartley, Sam A (June 2023). "Appendix 1: Recommended Constituencies" (PDF). The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies in Wales. Cardiff: Boundary Commission for Wales. p. 250. ISBN   978-1-5286-3901-9 . Retrieved 13 July 2024.
  3. ↑ 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies - The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies in Wales (PDF). Boundary Commission for Wales. 28 June 2023.
  4. ↑ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 4 (Wales).
  5. ↑ "The City and County of Cardiff (Electoral Arrangements) Order 2021".
  6. ↑ "Cardiff North 1950–". Parliamentary Debates (Hansard) . Retrieved 2 February 2015.
  7. ↑ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "C" (part 2)
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Craig, F. W. S. (1971). British parliamentary election results 1950-1970 (1 ed.). Chichester: Political Reference Publications. ISBN   9780900178023. Page 554
  9. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1951.
  10. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1959.
  11. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1964.
  12. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1970.
  13. ↑ "Politics Resources". Election February 1974. Politics Resources. 28 February 1974. Archived from the original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved 2 February 2021.
  14. ↑ "Politics Resources". Election October 1974. Politics Resources. 10 October 1974. Archived from the original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved 2 February 2021.
  15. ↑ "Politics Resources". Election 1979. Politics Resources. 3 May 1979. Archived from the original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved 2 February 2021.
  16. ↑ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  17. ↑ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  18. ↑ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  19. ↑ "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Archived from the original on 24 July 2011. Retrieved 6 December 2010.
  20. ↑ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  21. ↑ "BBC NEWS>VOTE 2001>Results and Constituencies>Cardiff North". Vote 2001. BBC News. 1 May 1997. Retrieved 12 January 2011.
  22. ↑ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  23. ↑ "BBC NEWS > Cardiff North". Vote 2001. BBC News. 7 June 2001. Retrieved 22 January 2011.
  24. ↑ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  25. ↑ "Cardiff North parliamentary constituency - Election 2005" – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  26. ↑ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  27. ↑ Cardiff North Archived 9 June 2011 at the Wayback Machine Cardiff County Council – candidates Cardiff North
  28. ↑ Cardiff North BBC Election – Cardiff North
  29. ↑ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  30. 1 2 3 4 "Cardiff North result". Election results for Cardiff North. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  31. ↑ "Cardiff North Parliamentary constituency". Election 2015. BBC News. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  32. ↑ "Cardiff North Parliamentary constituency". Election 2017 Results. BBC . Retrieved 8 June 2017.
  33. 1 2 3 "Results". Cardiff Council. 8 June 2017. Retrieved 12 January 2020.
  34. ↑ "Cardiff North Parliamentary constituency". BBC News . Retrieved 13 December 2019.
  35. 1 2 3 4 "Election results for Cardiff North". Cardiff Council. 12 December 2019. Retrieved 12 January 2020.
  36. ↑ "Cardiff North notional election - December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament . Retrieved 11 July 2024.
  37. ↑ "Cardiff North Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. Retrieved 5 July 2024.

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