Climate change in Cyprus

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Climate change is predicted to lead to rising temperatures (along with other negative effects of climate change) at a swifter rate in Cyprus than many other areas of the planet. [1] Cyprus is an island nation geographically situated in the Middle East, with low levels of rainfall.

Contents

Greenhouse gas emissions

The average carbon emission per person in Cyprus for energy production in 2018 was 6.8 tonnes of CO2. [2]

The country plans to expand the incentive scheme for electric cars since there is a lack of charging stations for electric cars. [3]

Impacts on the natural environment

Temperature and weather changes

Koppen-Geiger Map CYP present.svg
Köppen climate classification map for Cyprus for 1980–2016
Koppen-Geiger Map CYP future.svg
2071–2100 map under the most intense climate change scenario. Mid-range scenarios are currently considered more likely [4] [5] [6]

Due to location, Cyprus has always enjoyed an unusually high number of sunny days, with the sun shining for an annual average of 75% of daylight hours. [7]

The climate has changed significantly over the 20th century. Measurements taken in the capital city of Nicosia show an increase in average temperature from 18.9 °C at the beginning of the 20th century, to 19.7 °C at its end, an increase of 0.8 °C. According to the Meteorological Service, rainfall has also declined at a rate of 1 mm per year over the 20th century. [8] Deep water temperatures have also increased by 0.12 °C (0.22 °F) between 1959 and 1989. [9]

Projected increases in temperature range between a minimum increase of 3.6 °C and 5 °C by the end of the century. [10] The number of very hot days on the island is projected to increase by more than two additional weeks per year, with the likely effect of creating an additional 9 days without rainfall per year. [11]

Water resources

Cyprus is situated in the Eastern Mediterranean and is described as "amongst the geographic areas that are most vulnerable to climate change". [12] Because of the short residence time of waters, the Mediterranean Sea is considered a hot-spot for climate change effects. [13] According to climate projections, the Mediterranean Sea could become warmer. The decrease in precipitation over the region could lead to more evaporation ultimately increasing the Mediterranean Sea salinity. [13] [14] Because of the changes in temperature and salinity, the Mediterranean Sea may become more stratified by the end of the 21st century, with notable consequences on water circulation and biogeochemistry.

Impacts on human health

Changes in climate patterns have facilitated the spread of diseases like malaria, dengue, and West Nile virus. Cyprus now hosts Aedes and Anopheles mosquitoes, vectors for dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and malaria. Ecological and socioeconomic factors contribute to these conditions, making disease surveillance and public health measures crucial. Additionally, climate change has worsened air quality in Cyprus, leading to increased respiratory illnesses and premature deaths. [15]

Mitigation and adaptation

Policies and legislation

Paris agreement

The Paris agreement is a legally international agreement adopted at the COP 21, its main goal is to limit global warming to below 1.5 degrees Celsius, compared to pre-industrial levels. [16] The Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC's) are the plans to fight climate change adapted for each country. [17] Every party in the agreement has different goals based on its own historical climate records and country's circumstances. All the goals for each country are stated in their NDC. [18] In the case for member countries of the European Union the goals are very similar and the European Union work with a common strategy within the Paris agreement. [19]

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "Climate Change and Impact". The Cyprus Institute . Archived from the original on 2012-06-26. Retrieved 2021-01-30.
  2. ↑ Ritchie, Hannah; Roser, Max (11 May 2020). "Cyprus: CO2 Country Profile". Our World in Data. Retrieved 7 Jan 2021.
  3. ↑ "Cyprus expands incentive scheme for electric cars, vehicle replacement". Balkan Green Energy News. 2020-02-10. Retrieved 2021-02-11.
  4. ↑ Hausfather, Zeke; Peters, Glen (29 January 2020). "Emissions – the 'business as usual' story is misleading". Nature. 577 (7792): 618–20. Bibcode:2020Natur.577..618H. doi: 10.1038/d41586-020-00177-3 . PMID   31996825.
  5. ↑ Schuur, Edward A.G.; Abbott, Benjamin W.; Commane, Roisin; Ernakovich, Jessica; Euskirchen, Eugenie; Hugelius, Gustaf; Grosse, Guido; Jones, Miriam; Koven, Charlie; Leshyk, Victor; Lawrence, David; Loranty, Michael M.; Mauritz, Marguerite; Olefeldt, David; Natali, Susan; Rodenhizer, Heidi; Salmon, Verity; Schädel, Christina; Strauss, Jens; Treat, Claire; Turetsky, Merritt (2022). "Permafrost and Climate Change: Carbon Cycle Feedbacks From the Warming Arctic". Annual Review of Environment and Resources. 47: 343–371. doi: 10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-011847 . Medium-range estimates of Arctic carbon emissions could result from moderate climate emission mitigation policies that keep global warming below 3°C (e.g., RCP4.5). This global warming level most closely matches country emissions reduction pledges made for the Paris Climate Agreement...
  6. ↑ Phiddian, Ellen (5 April 2022). "Explainer: IPCC Scenarios". Cosmos . Archived from the original on 20 September 2023. Retrieved 30 September 2023. "The IPCC doesn't make projections about which of these scenarios is more likely, but other researchers and modellers can. The Australian Academy of Science, for instance, released a report last year stating that our current emissions trajectory had us headed for a 3°C warmer world, roughly in line with the middle scenario. Climate Action Tracker predicts 2.5 to 2.9°C of warming based on current policies and action, with pledges and government agreements taking this to 2.1°C.
  7. ↑ "The Climate of Cyprus". Republic of Cyprus, Ministry of Agriculture, Rural Development and Environment, Department of Meteorology. Archived from the original on 2019-07-14. Retrieved 2021-01-30.
  8. ↑ "Department of Meteorology - Climate of Cyprus". www.moa.gov.cy. Archived from the original on 2019-07-14. Retrieved 2021-01-05.
  9. ↑ Béthoux, J. P., Gentili, B., Raunet, J., and Tailliez, D. (1990). Warming trend in the western Mediterranean deep water. Nature, 347(6294) : 660–662.
  10. ↑ Zacharides, Theodoros (2012). "Climate Change in Cyprus: Impacts and Adaptation Policies" (PDF). Cyprus Economic Policy Review. 6 (1): 35. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2021-01-08. Retrieved 2021-01-05.
  11. ↑ Hadjinicolaou, Panos; Giannakopoulos, Christos; Zerefos, Christos; Lange, Manfred A.; Pashiardis, Stelios; Lelieveld, Jos (2011). "Mid-21st century climate and weather extremes in Cyprus as projected by six regional climate models". Regional Environmental Change. 11 (3): 441–457. Bibcode:2011REnvC..11..441H. doi:10.1007/s10113-010-0153-1. S2CID   153905787.
  12. ↑ Zachariadis, Theodoros (2012). "Climate Change in Cyprus: Impacts and Adaptation Policies" (PDF). Cyprus Economic Policy Review. 6 (1): 21–37. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2021-01-08. Retrieved 2021-01-05.
  13. 1 2 Giorgi, F. (2006). Climate change hot-spots. Geophysical Research Letters, 33(8) :L08707. 15
  14. ↑ Adloff, F., Somot, S., Sevault, F., Jordà, G., Aznar, R., Déqué, M., Herrmann, M., Marcos, M., Dubois, C., Padorno, E., Alvarez-Fanjul, E., and Gomis, D. (2015). Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an ensemble of twenty first century scenarios. Climate Dynamics, 45(9–10) : 2775–2802
  15. ↑ World Health Organization. (2024, May 10). Climate change in Cyprus: A health perspective. WHO. Retrieved October 17, 2024, from https://www.who.int/europe/news/item/10-05-2024-climate-change-in-cyprus--a-health-perspective
  16. ↑ United Nations, United Nations Climate Change. "The Paris Agreement". unfccc.int. Archived from the original on 2018-04-18. Retrieved 2021-05-10.
  17. ↑ "NDC spotlight". UNFCCC. Retrieved 12 May 2021.
  18. ↑ "Nationally Determined Contributions". unfccc. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  19. ↑ https://www4.unfccc.int/sites/ndcstaging/PublishedDocuments/Netherlands%20First/EU_NDC_Submission_December%202020.pdf UNFCCC. 2020-12-17. Retrieved 12 May 2021.
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