Full-reserve banking

Last updated

Full-reserve banking (also known as 100% reserve banking, or sovereign money system) is a system of banking where banks do not lend demand deposits and instead only lend from time deposits. It differs from fractional-reserve banking, in which banks may lend funds on deposit, while fully reserved banks would be required to keep the full amount of each customer's demand deposits in cash, available for immediate withdrawal.

Contents

Monetary reforms that included full-reserve banking have been proposed in the past, notably in 1935 by a group of economists, including Irving Fisher, under the so-called "Chicago plan" as a response to the Great Depression. [1] [2]

Currently, no country in the world requires full-reserve banking across primary credit institutions, although Iceland's legislature considered it in 2015 after the 2008–2011 Icelandic financial crisis. [3] [4] [5] In a 2018 Swiss ballot initiative, 75% of voters voted against the Sovereign Money Initiative which had full reserve banking as a prominent component of its proposed reform of the Swiss monetary system. [6] [7] [8]

Concepts

Full-reserve banking requires banks to maintain 100% reserves against demand deposits. This is a significant change from fractional-reserve banking, [9] where only a small percentage of deposits must be on reserve. [10]

Basic Principles

Full-reserve banking effectively splits banks into two distinct functions, described by Benes and Kumhof (2012) as the "separation of the monetary and credit functions of the banking system." [11]

  1. Custody and Transaction Services: Banks hold deposited currency as 100%-reserve deposits, transferable to third parties. [12]
  2. Investment Intermediation: Banks would become true intermediaries, transferring from savers to borrowers. Jackson and Dyson (2012) argue this separates transaction accounts and investment accounts. [13]

History

In the early 20th century, classical economics was widely accepted. In the 1930s, Keynesianism gained prominence as policymakers sought solutions for the Great Depression. [14]

Economists proposed various strategies to address financial stability, including the Chicago Plan's full-reserve banking. [15] Irving Fisher's "The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions" (1933) [16] analyzed how debt cycles contributed to economic instability. [17] Fisher proposed in his 1935 "100% Money" [18] disconnecting money and credit. [19]

Albert G. Hart detailed in 1935 [20] how to maintain economic stability during the transition to 100% reserves. [21] William R. Allen recounted in 1993 how Fisher's proposals influenced banking reform discussions. [22]

Full-reserve banking did not become law.

Views

In favor

Economist Milton Friedman at one time advocated a 100% reserve requirement for checking accounts, [23] and economist Laurence Kotlikoff has also called for an end to fractional-reserve banking. [24] Austrian School economist Murray Rothbard has written that reserves of less than 100% constitute fraud on the part of banks and should be illegal, and that full-reserve banking would eliminate the risk of bank runs. [25] [26] Jesús Huerta de Soto, another economist of the Austrian school, has also strongly argued in favor of full-reserve banking and the outlawing of fractional reserve banking. [27]

The financial crisis of 2007–2008 led to renewed interest in full reserve banking and sovereign money issued by a central bank. Monetary reformers point out that fractional reserve banking leads to unpayable debt, growing economic inequality, inevitable bankruptcy, and an imperative for perpetual and unsustainable economic growth. [28] Martin Wolf, chief economist at the Financial Times , endorsed full reserve banking, saying "it would bring huge advantages". [29]

Martin Wolf, Chief Economics Commentator at the Financial Times , argues that many people have a fundamentally flawed and oversimplified conception of what it is that banks do. Laurence Kotlikoff and Edward Leamer agree, in a paper entitled "A Banking System We Can Trust", arguing that the current financial system did not produce the benefits that have been attributed to it. [24] Rather than simply borrowing money from savers to make loans towards investment and production, and holding "money" as a stable liability, banks in reality create credit increasingly for the purpose of acquiring existing assets. [30] Rather than financing real productivity and investment, and generating fair asset prices, Wall Street has come to resemble a casino, in which trade volume of securities skyrockets without having positive impacts on the investment rate or economic growth. [24] The credits and debt banks create play a role in determining how delicate the economy is in the face of crisis. [30] For example, Wall Street caused the housing bubble by financing millions of mortgages that were outside budget constraints, which in turn decreased output by 10 percent. [24]

Money supply problems

In The Mystery of Banking , Murray Rothbard argues that legalized fractional-reserve banking gave banks "carte blanche" to create money out of thin air. [31] Economists that formulated the Chicago Plan following the Great Depression argue that allowing banks to have fractional reserves puts too much power in the hands of banks by allowing them to determine the amount of money in circulation by changing the amount of loans they give out. [32]

Fractional-reserve banking fraud issues

Deposit bankers become loan bankers when they issue fake warehouse receipts that are not backed by the assets actually held, thus constituting fraud. [31] [ page needed ] Rothbard likens this practice to counterfeiting, with the loan banker extracting resources from the public. [31] However, Bryan Caplan argues that fractional-reserve banking does not constitute fraud, as by Rothbard's own admission an advertised product must simply meet the "common definition" of that product believed by consumers. Caplan contends that it is part of the common definition of a modern bank to make loans against demand deposits, thus not constituting fraud. [33]

Balance sheet fundamentals

Furthermore, Rothbard argues that fractional reserve banking is fundamentally unsound because of the timescale of a bank's balance sheet. [34] While a typical firm should have its assets be due prior to the payment date of its liabilities, so that the liabilities can be paid, the fractional reserve deposit bank has its demand deposit liabilities due at any point the depositor chooses, and its assets, being the loans it has made with someone else's deposits, due at some later date. [34]

Against

New fees

Some economists have noted that under full-reserve banking, because banks would not earn revenue from lending against demand deposits, depositors would have to pay fees for the services associated with checking accounts. This, it is felt, would probably be rejected by the public. [35] [36] However, in economies where central banks enact zero and negative interest rate policies, some writers have noted depositors are already paying to put their savings in fractional reserve banks. [37]

Shadow banking and unregulated institutions

In their influential paper on financial crises, economists Douglas W. Diamond and Philip H. Dybvig warned that under full-reserve banking, since banks would not be permitted to lend out funds deposited in demand accounts, this function would be taken over by unregulated institutions. Unregulated institutions (such as high-yield debt issuers) would take over the economically necessary role of financial intermediation and maturity transformation, therefore destabilizing the financial system and leading to more frequent financial crises. [38] [39]

Writing in response to various writers' support for full reserve banking, Paul Krugman stated that the idea was "certainly worth talking about", but worries that it would drive financial activity outside the banking system, into the less regulated shadow banking system. [40]

Misses the problem

Krugman argues that the 2008 financial crisis was not largely a result of depositors attempting to withdraw deposits from commercial banks, but a large-scale run on shadow banking. [41] As financial markets seemed to have recovered more quickly than the 'real economy', Krugman sees the recession more as a result of excess leverage and household balance-sheet issues. [41] Neither of these issues would be addressed by a full-reserve regulation on commercial banks, he claims. [41]

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Monetary policy of the United States</span> Political Policy

The monetary policy of the United States is the set of policies which the Federal Reserve follows to achieve its twin objectives of high employment and stable inflation.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Monetary reform</span> Movements to amend the financial system

Monetary reform is any movement or theory that proposes a system of supplying money and financing the economy that is different from the current system.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Fractional-reserve banking</span> System of banking

Fractional-reserve banking is the system of banking in all countries worldwide, under which banks that take deposits from the public keep only part of their deposit liabilities in liquid assets as a reserve, typically lending the remainder to borrowers. Bank reserves are held as cash in the bank or as balances in the bank's account at the central bank. Fractional-reserve banking differs from the hypothetical alternative model, full-reserve banking, in which banks would keep all depositor funds on hand as reserves.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Causes of the Great Depression</span> Overview of the causes of the Great Depression

The causes of the Great Depression in the early 20th century in the United States have been extensively discussed by economists and remain a matter of active debate. They are part of the larger debate about economic crises and recessions. The specific economic events that took place during the Great Depression are well established.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Monetary base</span> Measure of money supply

In economics, the monetary base in a country is the total amount of money created by the central bank. This includes:

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Bank run</span> Mass withdrawal of money from banks

A bank run or run on the bank occurs when many clients withdraw their money from a bank, because they believe the bank may fail in the near future. In other words, it is when, in a fractional-reserve banking system, numerous customers withdraw cash from deposit accounts with a financial institution at the same time because they believe that the financial institution is, or might become, insolvent. When they transfer funds to another institution, it may be characterized as a capital flight. As a bank run progresses, it may become a self-fulfilling prophecy: as more people withdraw cash, the likelihood of default increases, triggering further withdrawals. This can destabilize the bank to the point where it runs out of cash and thus faces sudden bankruptcy. To combat a bank run, a bank may acquire more cash from other banks or from the central bank, or limit the amount of cash customers may withdraw, either by imposing a hard limit or by scheduling quick deliveries of cash, encouraging high-return term deposits to reduce on-demand withdrawals or suspending withdrawals altogether.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Money creation</span> Process by which the money supply of an economic region is increased

Money creation, or money issuance, is the process by which the money supply of a country, or an economic or monetary region, is increased. In most modern economies, money is created by both central banks and commercial banks. Money issued by central banks is a liability, typically called reserve deposits, and is only available for use by central bank account holders, which are generally large commercial banks and foreign central banks.

The Austrian business cycle theory (ABCT) is an economic theory developed by the Austrian School of economics seeking to explain how business cycles occur. The theory views business cycles as the consequence of excessive growth in bank credit due to artificially low interest rates set by a central bank or fractional reserve banks. The Austrian business cycle theory originated in the work of Austrian School economists Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek. Hayek won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1974 in part for his work on this theory.

Narrow banking is a proposed type of bank called a narrow bank also called a safe bank. Narrow banking would restrict banks to holding liquid and safe government bonds as opposed to other equities against depositor's money as opposed to other assets. Making private loans or holding other depositors would be made by the other financial intermediaries along with only holding depositor money is what separates such banks from full-reserve banks. In other words, the function and operation of such banks is very narrow. That is, the deposit taking and payment activities would be separated from financial intermediation activities.

Modern monetary theory or modern money theory (MMT) is a heterodox macroeconomic theory that describes currency as a public monopoly and unemployment as evidence that a currency monopolist is overly restricting the supply of the financial assets needed to pay taxes and satisfy savings desires. According to MMT, governments do not need to worry about accumulating debt since they can pay interest by printing money. MMT argues that the primary risk once the economy reaches full employment is inflation, which acts as the only constraint on spending. MMT also argues that inflation can be controlled by increasing taxes on everyone, to reduce the spending capacity of the private sector.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Henry Calvert Simons</span> American economist

Henry Calvert Simons was an American economist at the University of Chicago. A protégé of Frank Knight, his antitrust and monetarist models influenced the Chicago school of economics. He was a founding author of the Chicago plan for monetary reform that found broad support in the years following the 1930s Depression, which would have abolished the fractional-reserve banking system, which Simons viewed to be inherently unstable. This would have prevented unsecured bank credit from circulating as a "money substitute" in the financial system, and it would be replaced with money created by the government or central bank that would not be subject to bank runs.

<i>A Monetary History of the United States</i> 1963 book by Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz

A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960 is a book written in 1963 by future Nobel Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz. It uses historical time series and economic analysis to argue the then-novel proposition that changes in the money supply profoundly influenced the United States economy, especially the behavior of economic fluctuations. The implication they draw is that changes in the money supply had unintended adverse effects, and that sound monetary policy is necessary for economic stability. Orthodox economic historians see it as one of the most influential economics books of the century. The chapter dealing with the causes of the Great Depression was published as a standalone book titled The Great Contraction, 1929–1933.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Credit theory of money</span> Economic theory

Credit theories of money, also called debt theories of money, are monetary economic theories concerning the relationship between credit and money. Proponents of these theories, such as Alfred Mitchell-Innes, sometimes emphasize that money and credit/debt are the same thing, seen from different points of view. Proponents assert that the essential nature of money is credit (debt), at least in eras where money is not backed by a commodity such as gold. Two common strands of thought within these theories are the idea that money originated as a unit of account for debt, and the position that money creation involves the simultaneous creation of debt. Some proponents of credit theories of money argue that money is best understood as debt even in systems often understood as using commodity money. Others hold that money equates to credit only in a system based on fiat money, where they argue that all forms of money including cash can be considered as forms of credit money.

Stephen A. Zarlenga was a researcher and author in the field of monetary theory, trader in stock and financial markets, and advocate of monetary reform.

The Chicago Plan was a comprehensive plan to reform the monetary and banking systems in the United States introduced by University of Chicago economists in 1933. The Great Depression had been caused in part by excessive private bank lending, so the plan proposed to eliminate private bank money creation through fractional reserve lending. Centralized money creation would prevent booms and busts in the money supply. Multiple bills in Congress related to the Chicago Plan. Following the Great Recession, the plan was updated in a 2012 International Monetary Fund working paper.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Benjamin Strong Jr.</span> American banker (1872–1928)

Benjamin Strong Jr. was an American banker. He served as Governor of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for 14 years until his death. He exerted great influence over the policy and actions of the entire Federal Reserve System and indeed over the financial policies of all of the United States and Europe.

Financial fragility is the vulnerability of a financial system to a financial crisis. Franklin Allen and Douglas Gale define financial fragility as the degree to which "...small shocks have disproportionately large effects." Roger Lagunoff and Stacey Schreft write, "In macroeconomics, the term "financial fragility" is used...to refer to a financial system's susceptibility to large-scale financial crises caused by small, routine economic shocks."

The National Emergency Employment Defense Act, aka the NEED Act, was a monetary reform bill sponsored by Congressman Dennis Kucinich in 2011 in the United States House of Representatives.

The Swiss sovereign money initiative of June 2018, also known as Vollgeld, was a citizens' (popular) initiative in Switzerland intended to give the Swiss National Bank the sole authority to create money.

References

  1. A banking revolution Jeremy Warner, UK Telegraph
  2. Weisenthal, Joe. "BAN ALL THE BANKS: Here's The Wild Idea That People Are Starting To Take Seriously". Business Insider. Retrieved 2020-11-30.
  3. Sigurjónsson, Frosti (2015-03-01). "Montary Reform - A Better Monetary System For Iceland" (PDF).
  4. "Iceland's daring raid on fractional reserve banks". Financial Times . 2015-04-09.
  5. "Iceland looks at ending boom and bust with radical money plan". The Daily Telegraph . 2015-03-31.
  6. Switzerland's 'Vollgeld' banking overhaul: how reform would work
  7. Atkins, Ralph (10 June 2018). "Swiss voters reject 'sovereign money' initiative" . Financial Times. Archived from the original on 2022-12-10. Retrieved 2020-11-30.
  8. swissinfo.ch/sb. "Vote survey shows no generation gap but misunderstandings". SWI swissinfo.ch. Retrieved 2020-11-30.
  9. Phillips, Ronnie J.; Minsky, Hyman P. (2016-09-16). The Chicago Plan and New Deal Banking Reform. Routledge. p. 46. ISBN   978-1-315-28663-1.
  10. Goodwin, Neva; Harris, Jonathan M.; Rajkarnikar, Pratistha Joshi; Roach, Brian; Thornton, Tim B. (2024-09-25). Essentials of Economics in Context. Taylor & Francis. ISBN   978-1-040-11400-1.
  11. Benes, Mr Jaromir; Kumhof, Mr Michael (2012-08-01). The Chicago Plan Revisited. International Monetary Fund. p. 4. ISBN   978-1-4755-0552-8.
  12. Tobin, James (1985). "Financial Innovation and Deregulation in Perspective" (PDF). Bank of Japan monetary and economic studies 3: 25.
  13. Jackson, A.; Dyson, B. (2012). "Modernising Money: Why Our Monetary System is Broken and How it Can be Fixed". Modernising Money. p. 265. Retrieved 2025-01-28.
  14. Wapshott, Nicholas (11 October 2011). Keynes Hayek: The Clash that Defined Modern Economics. W. W. Norton & Company. ISBN   978-0-393-08311-8.
  15. Phillips, Ronnie J. (1994-12-15). The Chicago Plan & New Deal Banking Reform. M.E. Sharpe. p. 3. ISBN   978-0-7656-3267-8.
  16. Fisher, Irving (1933). "The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions". Econometrica. 1 (4): 337–357. doi:10.2307/1907327. ISSN   0012-9682.
  17. Dimand, Robert W. (2019-03-29). Irving Fisher. Springer. p. 177. ISBN   978-3-030-05177-8.
  18. H., R. G. (1936). "Review of 100 Per Cent. Money". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. 99 (2): 388–390. doi:10.2307/2980591. ISSN   0952-8385.
  19. Lagoarde-Segot, Thomas (2023-04-13). Ecological Money and Finance: Exploring Sustainable Monetary and Financial Systems. Springer Nature. ISBN   978-3-031-14232-1.
  20. Hart, Albert G. (1935-02-01). "The "Chicago Plan" of Banking Reform: I A Proposal for Making Monetary Management Effective in the United States". The Review of Economic Studies. 2 (2): 104–116. doi:10.2307/2967557. ISSN   0034-6527.
  21. Phillips, Ronnie J. (1994-12-15). The Chicago Plan & New Deal Banking Reform. M.E. Sharpe. p. 147. ISBN   978-0-7656-3267-8.
  22. Allen, William R. (Oct 1993). "Irving Fisher and the 100 Percent Reserve Proposal". The Journal of Law and Economics. 36 (2): 703–717. doi:10.1086/467295. ISSN   0022-2186.
  23. Solow, Robert M. (March 28, 2002), "On the Lender of Last Resort", Financial crises, contagion, and the lender of last resort, Oxford University Press, p. 203, ISBN   978-0-19-924721-9
  24. 1 2 3 4 Kotlikoff, Laurence J.; Leamer, Edward (April 23, 2009). "A Banking System We Can Trust" (PDF). Forbes. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 4, 2011. Retrieved September 14, 2010 via Boston University.
  25. Rothbard, Murray N. (2008), The Mystery of Banking (PDF), Ludwig von Mises Institute, ISBN   978-1-933550-28-2 , retrieved September 14, 2010
  26. The Case for a 100% Gold Dollar, Murray Rothbard
  27. Jesús Huerta de Soto (2012). Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles (3rd ed.). Ludwig von Mises Institute. ISBN   978-1-61016-388-0 . Retrieved 4 August 2013.
  28. Jackson, Andrew; Dyson, Ben (2012). Modernizing Money. Why our Monetary System is Broken and how it can be Fixed. Positive Money. ISBN   978-0-9574448-0-5.
  29. Weisenthal, Joe. "BAN ALL THE BANKS: Here's The Wild Idea That People Are Starting To Take Seriously". Business Insider.
  30. 1 2 "Martin Wolf: Banking, credit and money". CORE. 2013-11-11. Retrieved 2020-03-11.
  31. 1 2 3 Rothbard, Murray N. (2008). The mystery of banking (2nd ed.). Auburn, Ala.: Ludwig von Mises Institute. ISBN   978-1-933550-28-2. OCLC   275097518.
  32. "100% Reserve Banking — The History". House of Debt. 2014-04-26. Retrieved 2020-03-17.
  33. Caplan, Bryan (2011-05-12). "The Morality of Fractional Reserve Banking". Econlib.{{cite web}}: Missing or empty |url= (help)[ unreliable source? ]
  34. 1 2 Rothbard, Murray N. (2008). The mystery of banking (2nd ed.). Auburn, Ala.: Ludwig von Mises Institute. ISBN   978-1-933550-28-2. OCLC   275097518.
  35. White, Lawrence H. (Winter 2003). "Accounting for Fractional-Reserve Banknotes and Deposits—or, What's Twenty Quid to the Bloody Midland Bank?" (PDF). The Independent Review. 7 (3): 423–41. ISSN   1086-1653. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015-04-29. Retrieved 2012-11-30.
  36. Allen, William (October 1993). "Irving Fisher and the 100 Percent Reserve Proposal". Journal of Law and Economics. 36 (2): 703–17. doi:10.1086/467295. JSTOR   725805. S2CID   153974326.
  37. Texan Gold Depository
  38. Diamond, Douglas W.; Philip H. Dybvig (Jan 1986), "Banking Theory, Deposit Insurance, and Bank Regulation", The Journal of Business, 59 (1): 55–68, doi:10.1086/296314, JSTOR   2352687, In conclusion, 100% reserve banking is a dangerous proposal that would do substantial damage to the economy by reducing the overall amount of liquidity. Furthermore, the proposal is likely to be ineffective in increasing stability since it will be impossible to control the institutions that will enter in the vacuum left when banks can no longer create liquidity. Fortunately, the political realities make it unlikely that this radical and imprudent proposal will be adopted.
  39. Diamond, Douglas; Philip Dybvig (Winter 2000). "Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity" (PDF). Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review. 24 (1): 14–23. Retrieved 29 August 2012.
  40. Krugman, Paul (April 26, 2014). "Is A Banking Ban The Answer?". New York Times . Retrieved September 18, 2015.
  41. 1 2 3 "Is A Banking Ban The Answer?". Paul Krugman Blog. 2014-04-26. Retrieved 2020-03-11.