Japanese general election, 2017

Last updated
Japanese general election, 2017
Flag of Japan.svg
  2014 22 October 2017 Next  

All 465 seats to the House of Representatives of Japan
233 seats needed for a majority
Turnout 53.68% (Increase2.svg1.02%)

 First partySecond partyThird party
  Shinzo Abe at Hudson Institute (cropped).jpg Yukio Edano 201210.jpg Yuriko Koike cropped.jpg
Leader Shinzō Abe Yukio Edano Yuriko Koike
Party Liberal Democratic Constitutional Democratic Kibō no Tō
Leader since26 September 20122 October 201725 September 2017
Leader's seat Yamaguchi-4th Saitama-5th Not contesting
(Governor of Tokyo)
Last election291 seats, 33.11%New partyNew party
Seats won2845550
Seat changeDecrease2.svg7Increase2.svg40Decrease2.svg7
Popular vote18,555,71711,084,8909,677,524
Percentage33.28%19.88%17.36%
SwingIncrease2.svg0.17%N/AN/A

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  Natsuo Yamaguchi.jpg Kazuo Shii in SL Square in 2017.jpg Ichiro Matsui Ishin IMG 5775 20130713 cropped.jpg
Leader Natsuo Yamaguchi Kazuo Shii Ichirō Matsui
Party Komeito Communist Nippon Ishin no Kai
Leader since8 September 200924 November 20002 November 2015
Leader's seatNot contesting
(Councillor)
Minami-Kantō PR Not contesting
(Governor of Osaka)
Last election35 seats, 13.71%21 seats, 11.37%New party
Seats won291211
Seat changeDecrease2.svg5Decrease2.svg9Decrease2.svg3
Popular vote6,977,7124,404,0813,387,097
Percentage12.51%7.90%6.07%
SwingDecrease2.svg1.20%Decrease2.svg3.47%N/A

 Seventh partyEighth party
  Tadatomo Yoshida in SL Square in 2017.jpg Masashi Nakano.jpg
Leader Tadatomo Yoshida Masashi Nakano
Party Social Democratic Japanese Kokoro
Leader since14 October 201330 September 2017
Leader's seatNot contestingNot contesting
(Councillor)
Last election2 seats, 2.46%2 seats, 2.65%
Seats won20
Seat changeSteady2.svg0Steady2.svg0
Popular vote941,32485,552
Percentage1.69%0.15%
SwingDecrease2.svg0.77%Decrease2.svg2.50%

JapanGE2017 (en).png

Prime Minister before election

Shinzō Abe
Liberal Democratic

Elected Prime Minister

Shinzō Abe
Liberal Democratic

The 48th general election of members of the House of Representatives(Japanese:第48回衆議院議員総選挙, Hepburn:dai-yonjūhachikai Shūgiin giin sōsenkyo) took place on 22 October 2017. Voting took place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan – 289 single-member districts and eleven proportional blocks – in order to appoint all 465 members (down from 475) of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the then 707-member bicameral National Diet of Japan. Incumbent Prime Minister Shinzō Abe's governing coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito retained their seats in light of what was perceived as weak opposition, winning his fourth term in office and holding on to the two-thirds supermajority in order to revise the war-renouncing Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution. [1]

Japanese is an East Asian language spoken by about 128 million people, primarily in Japan, where it is the national language. It is a member of the Japonic language family, and its relation to other languages, such as Korean, is debated. Japanese has been grouped with language families such as Ainu, Austroasiatic, and the now-discredited Altaic, but none of these proposals has gained widespread acceptance.

Hepburn romanization is a system for the romanization of Japanese that uses the Latin alphabet to write the Japanese language. It is used by most foreigners learning to spell Japanese in the Latin alphabet and by the Japanese for romanizing personal names, geographical locations, and other information such as train tables, road signs, and official communications with foreign countries. Largely based on English writing conventions, consonants closely correspond to the English pronunciation and vowels approximate the Italian pronunciation.

A lower house is one of two chambers of a bicameral legislature, the other chamber being the upper house.

Contents

The snap election was called in the midst of the North Korea missile threat and with the largest opposition party, the Democratic Party, in disarray. Just hours before Abe's announcement of the snap election on 25 September, Governor of Tokyo Yuriko Koike launched a new conservative reformist party Kibō no Tō, the Party of Hope, which was seen as a viable alternative to the ruling coalition. It soon led to the dissolution of the Democratic Party and its party members defecting to the Kibō no Tō. However, the liberal wing of the Democratic Party, whose members Koike refused to nominate, formed the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDP) led by Yukio Edano, splitting the opposition in half. [2] The election turned into a three-way contest as the CDP joined with the Japanese Communist Party and Social Democratic Party on a common platform opposing the constitutional revision. While Kibō no Tō fell short of expectation, the CDP surged in the polls in the last days before the election and beat Kibō no Tō to emerge as first among the opposition parties. [3]

The Democratic Party, abbreviated as DP, was a political party in Japan. It was the largest opposition political party in Japan from 2016 until its marginalization in the House of Representatives in 2017. The party was founded on 27 March 2016 from the merger of the Democratic Party of Japan and the Japan Innovation Party. The majority of the party split on 28 September 2017, before the 2017 general election, with many its members contesting the election as candidates for the Party of Hope, Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan or as party members without nomination. On 7 May 2018 the DP merged with the Party of Hope to form the Democratic Party for the People.

Yuriko Koike Japanese politician

Yuriko Koike is a Japanese politician who currently serves as the governor of Tokyo. She was a member of the House of Representatives of Japan from 1993 to 2016, and was previously the Minister of Defense in the cabinet of Prime Minister Shinzō Abe, but resigned in August 2007 after only 54 days in office. On 31 July 2016, Koike was elected Governor of Tokyo, the city's first female governor.

Kibō no Tō(希望の党, Party of Hope) is a conservative political party in Japan founded by Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike. Governor Koike formed the party just hours before Prime Minister Shinzō Abe declared an early 2017 general election. The party's ideology is mainly conservative.

Despite being disrupted by Typhoon Lan, the election saw a slight increase in turnout rate of 53.68 percent but still was the second lowest in postwar Japan. The lowest ever turnout was recorded in 2014. [4] It was also the first election after the voting age was lowered from 20 to 18. [5] Abe also became the first Prime Minister to win three consecutive general elections since 1953 and the first LDP leader to do that. He is also set to be the longest serving Prime Minister if he finishes his full term of four years. [6]

Typhoon Lan 2017 Typhoon

Typhoon Lan, known in the Philippines as Typhoon Paolo, was the third-most intense tropical cyclone worldwide in 2017. A very large storm, Lan was the twenty-first tropical storm and ninth typhoon of the annual typhoon season. It originated from a tropical disturbance that the United States Naval Research Laboratory had begun tracking near Chuuk on October 11. Slowly consolidating, it developed into a tropical storm on October 15, and intensified into a typhoon on October 17. It expanded in size and turned northward on October 18, although the typhoon struggled to intensify for two days. On October 20, Lan grew into a very large typhoon and rapidly intensified, due to favorable conditions, with a large well-defined eye, reaching peak intensity as a "super typhoon" with 1-minute sustained winds of 250 km/h (155 mph) – a high-end Category 4-equivalent storm – late on the same day. Afterwards, encroaching dry air and shear caused the cyclone to begin weakening and turn extratropical, before it struck Japan on October 23 as a weaker typhoon. Later that day, it became fully extratropical before it was absorbed by a larger storm shortly afterwards.

Background

The House of Representatives has a fixed term of four years. Under the postwar constitution drafted in 1947, the interpretation of Article 7 states that the cabinet may instruct the Emperor to dissolve the House of Representatives before the end of term at will. Elections must be held within 40 days after dissolution. [7] In June 2015, the Public Office Election Law was amended to lower the voting age from 20 to 18 years of age. [5]

Constitution of Japan Japans current constitution

The Constitution of Japan is the fundamental law of Japan. It was enacted on 3 May 1947, as a new constitution for a post-war Japan.

As of June 2015, the largest opposition party Democratic Party of Japan was reportedly preparing a roster of up to 250 candidates so as to be prepared in the event that the next general election was to be held alongside the House of Councillors election in the summer of 2016, before it merged with the Japan Innovation Party to form the Democratic Party in March 2016. [8] The Democratic Party suffered a considerable defeat at the hands of the ruling coalition in the election, in which the Abe government took almost two-thirds of the seats.

Japan Innovation Party

The Japan Innovation Party was a political party in Japan. It was launched on 22 September 2014, following the merger of the Japan Restoration Party headed by Tōru Hashimoto, and the Unity Party, led by Kenji Eda. On 27 March 2016 the party merged with the Democratic Party of Japan and Vision of Reform to form the Democratic Party (Minshintō).

In January 2017, Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike established a new local party, Tomin First, to challenge the establishment Liberal Democratic Party in the Tokyo metropolitan election to be held in July. Tomin First won a resounding victory in the election, which came in the wake of the Moritomo Gakuen and Kake Gakuen scandals calling into question the propriety of the Abe government's decision making. [9] [10] After the election, Defense Minister Tomomi Inada resigned in connection with another scandal involving the Japan Self-Defense Forces concealing evidence of a battle in South Sudan. [10] Meanwhile, the main national opposition Democratic Party was severely hurt by the resignation of its leader Renho in July, as well as several high-profile defections. [11]

Tomin First no Kai is a regional political party in Tokyo Metropolis, Japan.

Moritomo Gakuen

Moritomo Gakuen is a Japanese private school operator, most known for its involvement in a 2017 political scandal implicating Prime Minister Shinzō Abe and his wife, Akie Abe.

The government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe began publicly discussing the possibility of an election in mid-September 2017, as the North Korea crisis was ongoing. Continuing the momentum of her Tokyo election victory, Koike announced the formation of a new national political party, Kibō no Tō (Party of Hope), on 25 September. Abe called the general election just hours later on the same day. [11] Soon after the Party of Hope was established, Democratic Party leader Seiji Maehara sought to merge with Kibō no Tō. Maehara's decision was strongly criticised by the liberal wing of the party, whose candidacies were rejected by Koike. The liberal wing surrounding the deputy president Yukio Edano announced the formation of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan on 2 October 2017. [12] Opposition politicians claim Abe called the election partly to evade further questioning in parliament over his alleged misuse of power in securing approval for a veterinary college campus in Imabari. [13]

One wedge issue between the two major coalitions is the scheduled consumption tax hike in October 2019. The LDP coalition advocates keeping the tax hike and using the funds for child care and education, while the Kibo coalition advocates freezing the tax hike. [14] Nonetheless, Koike stated on 8 October that she was open to the option of a grand coalition with the LDP. [15]

The LDP fielded 332 candidates, while Komeito fielded 53, Kibō no Tō fielded 235, and Nippon Ishin fielded 52. The Constitutional Democratic Party, Japanese Communist Party and Social Democratic Party joined forces to support a total number of 342 candidates on the common platform of opposing the revision the pacifist Article 9 of the Constitution of Japan and the new national security legislation. [16] [17]

Several U.S.-Japan policy experts, including James Zumwalt and Michael Green, opined in October that the election was unlikely to have a major impact on policy as the LDP was expected to retain control; however, there was anxiety about the prospect of a leadership vacuum if Abe was eventually forced to resign as head of the LDP. [18]

Contesting parties and candidates

Numbers of candidates by party [16]
PartyBefore electionConst.PRTotal
LDP 290277313332
Kibo 57198234235
Komei 3494453
JCP 2120665243
CDP 15637778
Ishin 14475252
SDP 2192121
Kokoro 0022
Others0444791
Ind.397373
Total4729368551,180

Ruling coalition

Koike's coalition

Pacifist coalition

Other parties

Gender representation

Fewer than 20% of the 1,180 candidates that ran in the election were women. 9% of current elected figures are women, Japan ranks 165th out of 193 countries on this aspect. [25]

Opinion polling

Voting intention (PR blocks)

Voting intention (districts)

Party approval

Preferred prime minister

Preferred outcome

Cabinet approval / disapproval ratings

Approval (blue) and Disapproval (red) Ratings for Second and Third Abe Cabinet 2nd and 3rd Abe Cabinet Approval Disapproval Ratings.png
Approval (blue) and Disapproval (red) Ratings for Second and Third Abe Cabinet

Results

Summary of the 22 October 2017 House of Representatives election results
House of Representatives Japan 2017.svg
PartiesConstituencyPR BlockTotal seats
Votes%±pp SeatsVotes%±pp SeatsSeats±%±pp
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)26,719,03248.21Increase2.svg0.1121818,555,71733.28Increase2.svg0.1766284Decrease2.svg661.08Increase2.svg0.02
Komeitō (NKP)832,4531.50Increase2.svg0.0586,977,71212.51Decrease2.svg1.202129Decrease2.svg56.24Decrease2.svg0.92
Governing coalition27,551,48549.71Increase2.svg0.1722625,533,42945.79Decrease2.svg1.0387313Decrease2.svg1167.31Decrease2.svg0.90
Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDP)4,852,0978.75New1811,084,89019.88New3755Increase2.svg4011.83Increase2.svg6.66
Japanese Communist Party (JCP)4,998,9329.02Decrease2.svg4.2814,404,0817.90Decrease2.svg3.471112Decrease2.svg92.58Decrease2.svg1.84
Social Democratic Party (SDP)634,7191.15Increase2.svg0.361941,3241.69Decrease2.svg0.7712Steady2.svg00.43Increase2.svg0.01
Pacifist coalition10,485,74818.922016,430,29529.474969Increase2.svg3114.84Increase2.svg6.84
Kibō no Tō (Party of Hope)11,437,60120.64New189,677,52417.36New3250Decrease2.svg710.75Decrease2.svg1.25
Nippon Ishin no Kai (JIP)1,765,0533.18Decrease2.svg4.9833,387,0976.07Decrease2.svg9.65811Decrease2.svg32.37Decrease2.svg0.58
Koike coalition13,202,65423.822113,064,62123.434061Decrease2.svg1013.12Decrease2.svg1.83
Happiness Realization Party (HRP)159,1710.290292,0840.52Increase2.svg0.0300Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00
New Party Daichi 226,5520.4100Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00
No Party to Support 125,0190.22Increase2.svg0.0200Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00
Party for Japanese Kokoro (PJK)85,5520.15Decrease2.svg2.5000Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00
Others52,0800.0300Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00
Independents 3,970,9467.16Increase2.svg4.312222Decrease2.svg174.73Decrease2.svg3.48
Total55,422,087100.0028955,757,552100.00176465Decrease2.svg 10100.00

Seats, of total, by party

   Liberal Democratic (61.08%)
   CDP (11.83%)
   Kibō no Tō (10.75%)
   Komeito (6.24%)
   Communist (2.58%)
   Nippon Ishin no Kai (2.37%)
   Social Democratic (0.43%)
   Independent (4.73%)
Total 465 lower house seats
Liberal Democratic
61.08%
Constitutional Democratic
11.83%
Kibō no Tō
10.75%
Komeito
6.24%
Independent
4.73%
Communist
2.58%
Nippon Ishin no Kai
2.37%
Social Democratic
0.43%
FPTP vote in 289 single-member constituencies
LDP (contesting 277)
48.21%
Kibo (contesting 198)
20.64%
JCP (contesting 206)
9.02%
CDP (contesting 63)
8.75%
Ind. (contesting 73)
7.16%
Ishin (contesting 47)
3.18%
Komei (contesting 9)
1.50%
SDP (contesting 19)
1.15%
Proportional vote in 11 multi-member blocks
LDP (contesting 11)
33.28%
CDP (contesting 11)
19.88%
Kibo (contesting 11)
17.36%
Komei (contesting 11)
12.51%
JCP (contesting 11)
7.90%
Ishin (contesting 11)
6.07%
SDP (contesting 11)
1.69%
HRP (contesting 11)
0.52%
NPD (contesting 1)
0.41%
NPS (contesting 1)
0.22%
PJK (contesting 2)
0.15%

Notable defeats

PartyNameConstituencyYear electedDefeated byPartyDetails
Liberal Democratic Yūji Yamamoto Kochi-2nd 1990 (in Kochi-3rd) Hajime Hirota Independent Agriculture Minister in the Third Abe Cabinet. He was returned to the Diet through the Shikoku PR block. [26]
Koya Nishikawa Tochigi-2nd (Kita-Kantō PR block) 1996 Akio Fukuda Independent Agriculture Minister in the Second Abe Cabinet who was defeated in the district in 2014 but managed to return through the PR block at that time. He didn't enter the block this time round and therefore was not returned to the Diet. [27]
Yūko Nakagawa Hokkaido-11th 2012 Kaori Ishikawa Constitutional Democratic MP since 2012 and widow of former Finance Minister, Shōichi Nakagawa. [28]
Miki Yamada Tokyo-1st 2012 Banri Kaieda Constitutional Democratic Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs in the Third Abe Cabinet. Yamada famously defeated former DPJ leader Kaieda in the 2014 election. [29] [30] Kaieda regained his seat in this election. Yamada was able to retain her Diet seat through the LDP list for the Tokyo PR block. [31]
Takao Ochi Tokyo-6th 2012 Takayuki Ochiai Constitutional Democratic Vice Minister of the Cabinet Office in the Second and Third Abe Cabinet. Ochi was able to hold on to his Diet seat through the LDP list for the Tokyo PR block. [32]
Masatada Tsuchiya Tokyo-18th 2012 Naoto Kan Constitutional Democratic Former mayor of Musashino. Tsuchiya defeated former PM Kan in the 2014 election. Kan was able to return to the parliament through the Tokyo PR block and was the very last (475th) MP elected that night. [29] [30] He regained his seat in the election. Conversely, Tsuchiya wasn't returned to the Diet as he was not in the LDP list for the Tokyo PR block. [33]
Komeito Isamu Ueda Kanagawa-6th 2000 (block)
2003 (district)
Yōichirō Aoyagi Constitutional Democratic Deputy Secretary General of the Komeito party and Vice Finance Minister in the Second and Third Koizumi Cabinet [34]
Kibō no Tō Masaru Wakasa Tokyo-10th 2014 (block)
2016 (district)
Hayato Suzuki Liberal Democratic A founding member of Kibō no Tō and one of the closest allies of Yuriko Koike. He was in the Kibō list for the Tokyo PR block, but was not able to hold on to his Diet seat due to receiving inadequate votes. [35] [36]
Sumio Mabuchi Nara-1st 2003 Shigeki Kobayashi Liberal Democratic Minister of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism in the Kan cabinet and a candidate for the 2012 DPJ leadership election. Mabuchi has the highest ratio of margin of defeat (97.27%) among all defeated candidates in the election. [37]
Independent (formerly LDP) Keiichirō Asao Kanagawa-4th 2009 Yuki Waseda Constitutional Democratic Former chairman of the defunct Your Party. He contested as an independent as he wasn't selected by the LDP in the snap election. [38]
Mayuko Toyota Saitama-4th 2012 Yasushi Hosaka Liberal Democratic Toyota resigned from the LDP due to a high-profile bullying scandal in June 2017. [39] At the time of the election, she was under investigation for assaulting her former aide. She contested as an independent as she wasn't selected by the LDP in the snap election. [40]

Post-election

Results of the Prime Minister election [41] [42]
PartyCandidateVotes
Rep Cou
LDPKōmei Shinzō Abe 312151
CDP Yukio Edano 609
Kibō Shū Watanabe 513
DP Kōhei Ōtsuka 1648
JCP Kazuo Shii 1214
Ishin Toranosuke Katayama 1111
Former DP Seiji Maehara 10
Independent Eiichirō Washio 10
Independent Kenzō Fujisue 02
Invalid/blank vote11
Did not vote03
Total465242

Reactions and analysis

The success of the CDP in surpassing the Kibō no Tō in the number of seats and becoming the official opposition party was surprising. It presents a potential challenge for the ruling coalition to pass the constitutional amendment of Article 9, which was one of the main issues of the 2017 general election that was supported by Koike but opposed by the pacifist coalition. [43] With the super-majority in both the upper and the lower house, the ruling coalition are expected to pass other legislation without much resistance. [44] In a post-election conference, Prime Minister Shinzō Abe was optimistic about moving forward, stating that the victory was the first time the LDP have "won three consecutive victories" under the same party leader. [45] The landslide victory achieved by the LDP campaign has been observed as not completely related to the popularity of Shinzo Abe, as the victory was also significantly influenced by the disconnect between the oppositions, notably the failure of Koike and the pacifist coalition to unite over many election issues. [45] [46]

Investiture vote

A special Diet session was convened on 1 November to elect the next prime minister. [47] Abe was re-elected with 312 and 151 votes in the House of Representatives and House of Councillors respectively. [41] [42] The new cabinet was formed later on the day.

See also

Notes

  1. This poll is not specific to the PR blocks, but is rather a general voting-intention poll. "At the next elections, what is the party that you would like to vote for, or to which your preferred candidate belongs?".
  2. This response was phrased as "The government loses its majority", which would include both those wishing for a change in government, as well as those wishing for the coalition to negotiate with other parties.

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