Leadership opinion polling for the 2000 Spanish general election

Last updated September 06, 2024

In the run up to the 2000 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 3 March 1996, to the day the next election was held, on 12 March 2000.

Preferred prime minister

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become prime minister.

Aznar vs. Almunia

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Aznar PP	Almunia PSOE
Vox Pública/El Periódico^[1]	28 Feb–1 Mar 2000	2,300	47.3	34.0	6.3	12.4	13.3
Opina/La Vanguardia^[2]	24–28 Feb 2000	3,000	40.5	35.4	4.6	19.5	5.1
CIS^[3]	11–28 Feb 2000	24,040	43.7	30.5	18.3	7.5	13.2
Vox Pública/El Periódico^[4]	5–8 Feb 2000	2,300	50.7	30.0	7.9	11.3	20.7
Opina/La Vanguardia^[5]	22–25 Jan 2000	3,000	37.3	32.3	7.6	22.8	5.0
Vox Pública/El Periódico^[6]	11–18 Jan 2000	2,300	53.6	29.9	10.1	6.3	23.7
Opina/La Vanguardia^[7]	19–22 Nov 1999	3,000	37.0	31.2	9.0	22.8	5.8
Opina/La Vanguardia^[8]	23–24 Jan 1998	1,000	35.4	30.1	10.4	24.1	5.3
Opina/La Vanguardia^[9]	4–5 Dec 1997	1,000	33.4	32.0	7.4	27.2	1.4
Opina/La Vanguardia^[10]	19–21 Sep 1997	1,000	30.0	31.0	11.4	27.6	1.0

Aznar vs. Borrell

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Aznar PP	Borrell PSOE
Opina/La Vanguardia^[11]	21–23 Jan 1999	1,000	32.0	33.2	9.9	24.9	1.2
Opina/La Vanguardia^[12]	13–14 Nov 1998	1,000	30.8	33.1	9.7	26.4	2.3
Opina/La Vanguardia^[13]	13 May 1998	1,000	30.7	38.2	9.1	22.0	7.5
Demoscopia/El País^[14]	25 Apr 1998	1,200	30.0	40.0	30.0		10.0

Aznar vs. González

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Aznar PP	González PSOE
Opina/La Vanguardia^[8]	23–24 Jan 1998	1,000	35.2	33.5	10.3	21.0	1.7
Opina/La Vanguardia^[9]	4–5 Dec 1997	1,000	34.2	34.8	7.5	23.5	0.6
Opina/La Vanguardia^[10]	19–21 Sep 1997	1,000	30.9	35.3	11.0	22.8	4.4
Opina/La Vanguardia^[15]	14–16 Jun 1997	1,000	30.0	31.0	13.2	25.7	1.0
Opina/La Vanguardia^[16]	19–20 May 1997	1,000	29.9	28.3	15.0	26.8	1.6
Opina/La Vanguardia^[17]	19–20 Apr 1997	1,000	31.1	31.4	13.3	24.2	0.3
Opina/La Vanguardia^[18]	7–8 Mar 1997	1,000	32.2	32.8	13.4	23.6	0.6
Opina/La Vanguardia^[19]	3–4 Feb 1997	1,000	29.5	32.0	13.6	24.9	2.5
Opina/La Vanguardia^[20]	30 Sep–2 Oct 1996	1,066	26.9	34.3	11.7	27.1	7.4

Predicted prime minister

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become prime minister.

Aznar vs. Almunia

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Aznar PP	Almunia PSOE
Opina/La Vanguardia^[2]	24–28 Feb 2000	3,000	60.0	16.7	0.3	23.0	43.3
Opina/La Vanguardia^[5]	22–25 Jan 2000	3,000	64.3	12.1	1.2	22.4	52.2
Opina/La Vanguardia^[7]	19–22 Nov 1999	3,000	64.1	11.8	0.7	23.4	52.3
Opina/La Vanguardia^[8]	23–24 Jan 1998	1,000	61.5	12.9	2.4	23.2	48.6
Opina/La Vanguardia^[9]	4–5 Dec 1997	1,000	56.8	13.9	2.0	27.3	42.9
Opina/La Vanguardia^[10]	19–21 Sep 1997	1,000	46.6	19.4	4.3	29.7	27.2

Aznar vs. Borrell

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Aznar PP	Borrell PSOE
Opina/La Vanguardia^[11]	21–23 Jan 1999	1,000	62.8	12.2	2.1	22.9	50.6
Opina/La Vanguardia^[12]	13–14 Nov 1998	1,000	55.9	14.6	2.3	27.2	41.3
Opina/La Vanguardia^[13]	13 May 1998	1,000	47.5	25.7	2.7	24.1	21.8

Aznar vs. González

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Aznar PP	González PSOE
Opina/La Vanguardia^[8]	23–24 Jan 1998	1,000	59.2	19.0	2.4	19.4	40.2
Opina/La Vanguardia^[9]	4–5 Dec 1997	1,000	53.6	21.2	2.1	23.1	32.4
Opina/La Vanguardia^[10]	19–21 Sep 1997	1,000	45.7	27.9	5.1	21.3	17.8
Opina/La Vanguardia^[15]	14–16 Jun 1997	1,000	41.0	25.0	5.6	28.3	16.0
Opina/La Vanguardia^[16]	19–20 May 1997	1,000	39.6	27.1	5.4	27.9	12.5
Opina/La Vanguardia^[17]	19–20 Apr 1997	1,000	40.5	28.0	4.9	26.7	12.5
Opina/La Vanguardia^[18]	7–8 Mar 1997	1,000	38.4	31.8	5.8	24.0	6.6
Opina/La Vanguardia^[19]	3–4 Feb 1997	1,000	34.0	33.9	5.7	26.4	0.1
Opina/La Vanguardia^[20]	30 Sep–2 Oct 1996	1,066	37.7	27.4	5.1	27.1	10.3

Leader ratings

The table below lists opinion polling on leader ratings, on a 0–10 scale: 0 would stand for a "terrible" rating, whereas 10 would stand for "excellent".

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size

			Aznar PP	González PSOE	Almunia PSOE	Borrell PSOE	Anguita IU	Frutos IU	Pujol CiU	Arzalluz PNV
Opina/La Vanguardia^[21]	24–28 Feb 2000	3,000	5.4	–	5.1	–	–	4.7	–	–
CIS^[3]	11–28 Feb 2000	24,040	5.29	–	4.82	–	–	4.11	3.54	1.99
Opina/La Vanguardia^[5]	22–25 Jan 2000	3,000	5.5	5.2	5.0	–	–	4.4	4.4	2.4
Opina/La Vanguardia^[7]	19–22 Nov 1999	3,000	5.2	4.9	4.7	–	3.8	4.0	4.4	2.7
Opina/La Vanguardia^[11]	21–23 Jan 1999	1,000	5.3	5.3	–	4.9	4.6	4.2	4.1	2.5
Opina/La Vanguardia^[12]	13–14 Nov 1998	1,000	5.5	5.1	–	5.1	4.3	–	4.2	2.9
Opina/La Vanguardia^[13]	13 May 1998	1,000	5.1	5.2	–	5.3	4.4	–	4.4	3.1
Opina/La Vanguardia^[22]	23–24 Jan 1998	1,000	5.4	5.2	5.2	–	4.0	–	4.3	3.5
Opina/La Vanguardia^[23]	4–5 Dec 1997	1,000	5.3	5.1	5.3	–	3.9	–	4.2	3.1
Opina/La Vanguardia^[24]	19–21 Sep 1997	1,000	5.1	5.4	5.3	–	3.6	–	4.0	3.4
Opina/La Vanguardia^[15]	14–16 Jun 1997	1,000	5.2	5.1	–	–	4.2	–	4.2	3.5
Opina/La Vanguardia^[25]	19–20 May 1997	1,000	5.2	5.0	–	–	4.1	–	4.0	3.2
Opina/La Vanguardia^[17]	19–20 Apr 1997	1,000	5.2	5.2	–	–	4.3	–	4.1	3.2
Opina/La Vanguardia^[18]	7–8 Mar 1997	1,000	5.4	5.6	–	–	4.7	–	4.5	3.5
Opina/La Vanguardia^[19]	3–4 Feb 1997	1,000	4.9	5.0	–	–	4.2	–	4.3	3.3
Opina/La Vanguardia^[20]	30 Sep–2 Oct 1996	1,066	5.1	5.5	–	–	4.0	–	4.1	3.6

Approval ratings

The tables below list the public approval ratings of the leaders and leading candidates of the main political parties in Spain.

José María Aznar

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	José María Aznar (PP)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Gallup^[26]	2–27 Sep 1999	2,029	35.0	41.0	24.0	−6.0

Joaquín Almunia

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Joaquín Almunia (PSOE)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Gallup^[26]	2–27 Sep 1999	2,029	27.0	36.0	37.0	−9.0

Felipe González

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Felipe González (PSOE)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Gallup^[26]	2–27 Sep 1999	2,029	39.0	33.0	28.0	+6.0

Julio Anguita

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Julio Anguita (IU)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Gallup^[26]	2–27 Sep 1999	2,029	19.0	51.0	30.0	−32.0

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References

↑ "Duelo Aznar-Almunia". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 6 March 2000.
1 2 "El PSOE mejora sus expectativas aunque el PP sigue como favorito". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 March 2000.
1 2 "Preelectoral elecciones generales y autonómicas de Andalucía, 2000 (Estudio nº 2382. Febrero 2000)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 3 March 2000.
↑ "Aznar sigue siendo el preferido como presidente". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 12 February 2000.
1 2 3 "El 64% de los españoles da por hecho que Aznar volverá a ganar". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 30 January 2000.
↑ "Cara a cara". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 23 January 2000.
1 2 3 "El electorado prefiere ahora un triunfo del PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 November 1999.
1 2 3 4 "Las expectativas de una victoria del PSOE se hunden". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 February 1998.
1 2 3 4 "Aznar vuelve a colocarse como el líder más valorado". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 December 1997.
1 2 3 4 "Almunia irrumpe como una seria amenaza a Aznar". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 September 1997.
1 2 3 "Las expectativas de Borrell caen y Aznar resiste". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 31 January 1999.
1 2 3 "La confianza en Aznar bate a un Borrell preferido". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 November 1998.
1 2 3 "IU aún pierde un tercio de votos y NI se hunde". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 17 May 1998.
↑ "Borrell aventajaría a Aznar por 10 puntos". El País (in Spanish). 26 April 2000.
1 2 3 "El PP consolida su ligera ventaja". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 June 1997.
1 2 "El PP recupera la posición del 3-M". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 25 May 1997.
1 2 3 "El PSOE acentúa su precaria ventaja". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 27 April 1997.
1 2 3 "El PSOE vuelve a ponerse por delante". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 16 March 1997.
1 2 3 "El PP recupera el voto del 3 de marzo". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 February 1997.
1 2 3 "Ligera ventaja del PSOE sobre el PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 October 1996.
↑ "Aznar acaricia la "mayoría suficiente"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 March 2000.
↑ "El PP amplía su ventaja sobre el PSOE". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 February 1998.
↑ "El PSOE retrocede e IU se desploma". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 December 1997.
↑ "El PSOE recorta distancias con el PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 September 1997.
↑ "Aznar obtiene por primera vez mejor nota que González". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 25 May 1997.
1 2 3 4 "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes. Septiembre 1999". Gallup España (in Spanish). 27 September 1999. Archived from the original on 1999-11-04.

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[1] "Duelo Aznar-Almunia". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 6 March 2000.

[OpinaFeb00-2] 1 2 "El PSOE mejora sus expectativas aunque el PP sigue como favorito". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 March 2000.

[CISFeb00-3] 1 2 "Preelectoral elecciones generales y autonómicas de Andalucía, 2000 (Estudio nº 2382. Febrero 2000)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 3 March 2000.

[4] "Aznar sigue siendo el preferido como presidente". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 12 February 2000.

[OpinaJan00-5] 1 2 3 "El 64% de los españoles da por hecho que Aznar volverá a ganar". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 30 January 2000.

[6] "Cara a cara". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 23 January 2000.

[OpinaNov99-7] 1 2 3 "El electorado prefiere ahora un triunfo del PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 November 1999.

[OpinaJan98-8] 1 2 3 4 "Las expectativas de una victoria del PSOE se hunden". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 February 1998.

[OpinaDec97-9] 1 2 3 4 "Aznar vuelve a colocarse como el líder más valorado". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 December 1997.

[OpinaSep97-10] 1 2 3 4 "Almunia irrumpe como una seria amenaza a Aznar". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 September 1997.

[OpinaJan99-11] 1 2 3 "Las expectativas de Borrell caen y Aznar resiste". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 31 January 1999.

[OpinaNov98-12] 1 2 3 "La confianza en Aznar bate a un Borrell preferido". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 November 1998.

[OpinaMay98-13] 1 2 3 "IU aún pierde un tercio de votos y NI se hunde". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 17 May 1998.

[14] "Borrell aventajaría a Aznar por 10 puntos". El País (in Spanish). 26 April 2000.

[OpinaJun97-15] 1 2 3 "El PP consolida su ligera ventaja". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 June 1997.

[OpinaMay97-16] 1 2 "El PP recupera la posición del 3-M". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 25 May 1997.

[OpinaApr97-17] 1 2 3 "El PSOE acentúa su precaria ventaja". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 27 April 1997.

[OpinaMar97-18] 1 2 3 "El PSOE vuelve a ponerse por delante". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 16 March 1997.

[OpinaFeb97-19] 1 2 3 "El PP recupera el voto del 3 de marzo". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 February 1997.

[OpinaOct96-20] 1 2 3 "Ligera ventaja del PSOE sobre el PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 October 1996.

[21] "Aznar acaricia la "mayoría suficiente"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 March 2000.

[22] "El PP amplía su ventaja sobre el PSOE". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 February 1998.

[23] "El PSOE retrocede e IU se desploma". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 December 1997.

[24] "El PSOE recorta distancias con el PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 September 1997.

[25] "Aznar obtiene por primera vez mejor nota que González". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 25 May 1997.

[GallupSep99-26] 1 2 3 4 "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes. Septiembre 1999". Gallup España (in Spanish). 27 September 1999. Archived from the original on 1999-11-04.

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Leadership opinion polling for the 2000 Spanish general election

Contents

Preferred prime minister

Aznar vs. Almunia

Aznar vs. Borrell

Aznar vs. González

Predicted prime minister

Aznar vs. Almunia

Aznar vs. Borrell

Aznar vs. González

Leader ratings

Approval ratings

José María Aznar

Joaquín Almunia

Felipe González

Julio Anguita

Related Research Articles

References