Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections (Basque Country)

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In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and the three foral deputations (General Assemblies) in the Basque Country are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.

Contents

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities

Barakaldo

Basauri

Bilbao

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Donostia-San Sebastián

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Durango

Eibar

Getxo

Irun

Llodio

Salvatierra-Agurain

Tolosa

Vitoria-Gasteiz

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

General Assemblies

Álava

Biscay

Gipuzkoa

Notes

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "Preelectoral. Mayo 2023. Elecciones Forales y Municipales. CAV" (PDF). EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  2. ↑ "El PNV se consolidaría en Barakaldo y aumentaría su ventaja respecto al PSE-EE". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "Preelectoral. Marzo 2023. Elecciones municipales CAV" (PDF). Gizaker (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  4. ↑ "PNV y EH Bildu conseguirían un edil más en Barakaldo". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  5. ↑ "BARAKALDO. Encuesta Gizaker 05/01/2023: EH BILDU 12,6% (3), EAJ-PNV 39,0% (11/12), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS 13,1% (3/4), PSE-EE 26,2% (8), Cs 1,1%, PP 6,2% (1), VOX 0,9%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 5 January 2023.
  6. ↑ "El PNV podría lograr mayoría absoluta en Basauri". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  7. ↑ "Los jeltzales ganarían en Basauri, con 10 representantes". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  8. 1 2 3 "El PNV ganaría en Bilbao y San Sebastián, EH Bildu en Vitoria y empate técnico en Pamplona". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 May 2023.
  9. ↑ "Elecciones municipales: Sánchez ganaría Barcelona, pero perdería Sevilla". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
  10. ↑ "Aburto (PNV) rozaría la mayoría absoluta en Bilbao". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  11. ↑ "El PNV lograría un sólido triunfo en Bilbao". El Correo (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Elecciones a Juntas Generales y Elecciones Municipales en capitales: Previsión de voto (Mayo 2023)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 12 May 2023.
  13. ↑ "Preelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas 2023. Bilbao municipio (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
  14. ↑ "Estimación de voto. Municipios, grandes ciudades y Comunidades Autónomas (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
  15. ↑ "El PP se hace con Valencia y Sevilla y el PSOE gana en Barcelona". La Razón (in Spanish). 24 April 2023.
  16. ↑ "El PNV acaricia la mayoría absoluta en Bilbao y Bildu se consolida en la segunda plaza". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 18 April 2023.
  17. ↑ "Aburto volvería a rozar la mayoría absoluta en Bilbao". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  18. ↑ "El PNV blinda Bilbao y roza la mayoría absoluta". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 March 2023.
  19. ↑ "[MUN] BILBAO. Encuesta SigmaDos 13/03/2023: EH BILDU 15,5% (5), EAJ-PNV 41,6% (13/14), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU 9,7% (3), PSE-EE 16,9% (5), PP 9,2% (2/3)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 13 March 2023.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Elecciones a Juntas Generales y Elecciones Municipales en capitales: Previsión de voto (Febrero 2023)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 10 February 2023.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Elecciones a Juntas Generales y Elecciones Municipales en capitales: Previsión de voto (Octubre 2022)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 14 October 2022.
  22. ↑ "El PNV ganaría con claridad en Bilbao pero se aleja de la mayoría absoluta y pierde un concejal". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 27 September 2022.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Elecciones a Juntas Generales y Elecciones Municipales en capitales: Previsión de voto (Junio 2022)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 17 June 2022.
  24. ↑ "Bildu le arrebataría un concejal al PNV en el Ayuntamiento de Bilbao si hoy se celebrasen elecciones". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 30 May 2022.
  25. ↑ "El PNV conseguiría la mayoría absoluta en Bilbao". EiTB (in Spanish). 30 May 2022.
  26. ↑ "La ciudadanía de Bilbao valora de forma positiva la gestión del Ayuntamiento y sus proyectos y se muestra satisfecha de la villa como lugar para vivir". bilbao.eus (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.
  27. ↑ "BILBAO. Encuesta Gizaker 10/06/2021: EH BILDU 17,1% (5), EAJ-PNV 43,0% (14), PODEMOS-IU 8,8% (2), PSE-EE 15,7% (5), PP 9,5% (3), VOX 2,7%". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.
  28. ↑ "Goia (PNV) ganaría con claridad en Donostia, pero Izagirre (EH Bildu) recortaría la distancia a la mitad". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  29. ↑ "Eneko Goia vence en Donostia con Izagirre al alza y una elevada abstención". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
  30. ↑ "Goia sumaría un concejal más en Donostia-San Sebastián e Izagirre mejoraría los resultados de EH Bildu". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  31. ↑ "El PNV lograría ser la primera fuerza en San Sebastián, con un representante más que en 2019". EiTB (in Spanish). 30 May 2022.
  32. ↑ "Especial EP Municipal (15J'20): así ha cambiado el panorama en 14 ciudades españolas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 June 2020.
  33. ↑ "Opiniones de la ciudadanía de Durango en torno al Ayuntamiento y sus proyectos, 2023". Ayuntamiento de Durango (in Spanish). 8 March 2023.
  34. ↑ "El PSE-EE se mantendría en la Alcaldía de Eibar". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  35. ↑ "El PSE-EE mantedría la mayoría en Eibar, aunque con un edil menos que en 2019". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  36. ↑ "El PNV crecería en Getxo y EH Bildu adelantaría al PP como segunda fuerza". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  37. ↑ "El PNV ganaría en Getxo con 11 concejales, y EH Bildu entraría como segunda fuerza". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  38. ↑ "El PSE-EE conservaría su feudo histórico de Irun". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  39. ↑ "José Antonio Santano gana de nuevo en Irun pero pierde un concejal". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 23 May 2023.
  40. ↑ "El PSE-EE ganaría en Irun, aunque perdería votos y número de representantes, en favor de EH Bildu y PNV". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  41. ↑ "El PNV ganaría en Llodio, pero la suma de EH Bildu y Omnia podría propiciar un cambio de gobierno". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  42. ↑ "El PNV y EH Bildu se disputarían un concejal en Llodio". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  43. ↑ "EH Bildu se haría con la Alcaldía de Agurain". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  44. ↑ "EH Bildu conseguiría la alcaldía en Agurain, con 7 representantes". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  45. ↑ "EH Bildu lograría la Alcaldía de Tolosa". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  46. ↑ "EH Bildu sería la fuerza más votada en Tolosa, empatada con el PNV en número de ediles". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  47. ↑ "Apenas un punto separa a Beatriz Artolazabal (PNV) y Rocío Vitero (EH Bildu) en Vitoria". EiTB (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
  48. ↑ "Cuatro Vitorias en 3.000 votos". El Correo (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
  49. ↑ "Esta es la encuesta electoral del Ayuntamiento para el 28M". City Council of Vitoria (in Spanish). 5 May 2023.
  50. ↑ "Artozalabal superaría a Urtaran en Vitoria y EH Bildu adelantaría al PSE como segunda fuerza". EiTB (in Spanish). 28 March 2023.
  51. ↑ "Encuesta PP Vitoria: Dicen que ganan, Bildu 2º y PNV 3º". Norte Exprés (in Spanish). 14 March 2023.
  52. ↑ "El PP se sitúa al frente de las encuestas en Vitoria y se abre a los pactos para gobernar sin mayoría". El Mundo (in Spanish). 14 March 2023.
  53. ↑ "El PNV logra un concejal más, deshace el empate y ganaría las elecciones en Vitoria". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 13 Feb 2023.
  54. ↑ "La candidata de EAJ-PNV, Beatriz Artolazabal, ganaría las elecciones al Ayuntamiento de Vitoria". Noticias de Álava (in Spanish). 24 December 2022.
  55. ↑ "VITORIA-GASTEIZ. Encuesta Gizaker 24/12/2022: EH BILDU 22,5% (7), EAJ-PNV 26,6% (8), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU (2), PSE-EE 19,4% (5), PP (5)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 24 December 2022.
  56. ↑ "PNV, Bildu y PSE empatarían a concejales en Vitoria y la alcaldía dependería de los pactos". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 15 Dec 2022.
  57. ↑ "Bildu empataría con el PNV si hoy se celebrasen elecciones al Ayuntamiento de Vitoria". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 27 June 2022.
  58. ↑ "El PNV ganaría en Vitoria-Gasteiz, empatado con EH Bildu en concejales". EiTB (in Spanish). 30 May 2022.
  59. ↑ "EP Vitoria-Gasteiz (14O): triple empate técnico PNV, EH Bildu, PSE con ventaja para los jeltzales". Electomanía (in Spanish). 14 October 2021.
  60. ↑ "El sociómetro de Vitoria-Gasteiz 2021 refleja el alto nivel de satisfacción de la ciudadanía con el municipio y apunta a la recuperación del optimismo tras la pandemia de la COVID19". City Council of Vitoria (in Spanish). 30 July 2021.
  61. 1 2 3 "Preelectoral. Mayo 2023. Elecciones Forales y Municipales. CAV" (PDF). EiTB (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
  62. ↑ "El PNV se consolidaría como primera fuerza en Álava y Ramiro González afrontaría su tercer mandato". EiTB (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
  63. ↑ "Ramiro González afianzaría su poder en Álava". El Correo (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
  64. 1 2 3 "EH Bildu recorta la distancia con el PNV a medio punto en Gipuzkoa". Gara (in Spanish). 10 May 2023.
  65. 1 2 3 "Preelectoral. Marzo 2023. Elecciones Forales CAV" (PDF). Gizaker (in Spanish). 27 March 2023.
  66. ↑ "Álava: El PNV siguiría creciendo y Ramiro González se acercaría a su tercer mandato". EiTB (in Spanish). 27 March 2023.
  67. ↑ "Estudio de Percepción Social del Territorio Histórico de Álava". Ikerfel (in Spanish). 5 April 2023.
  68. 1 2 3 "Gipuzkoa: EH Bildu le pisa los talones al PNV en Gipuzkoa: se sitúa a solo 1,3 puntos". Gara (in Spanish). 20 March 2023.
  69. ↑ "Estudio de Percepción Social del Territorio Histórico de Álava. Noviembre 2022". Ikerfel (in Spanish). 19 November 2022.
  70. ↑ "ARABA/ÁLAVA (Juntas Generales). Encuesta Ikerfel 18/11/2022: EH BILDU 23,1% (12/13), EAJ-PNV 31,5% (18), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU 7,8% (3), PSE-EE 18,0% (8/10), PP 15,1% (7/8), VOX 2,4% (0/1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 19 November 2022.
  71. ↑ "El PNV obtendría una holgada victoria en Álava, con el 32 % de los votos" (PDF). EiTB (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
  72. ↑ "El PNV, al borde de la mayoría absoluta en Bizkaia". EiTB (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
  73. ↑ "Etxanobe acariciaría la mayoría absoluta". El Correo (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
  74. ↑ "Estudio de opinión pública de Bizkaia. Abril 2023" (PDF). Gizaker (in Spanish). 10 May 2023.
  75. ↑ "Bizkaia: El PNV obtendría mayoría absoluta por primera vez". EiTB (in Spanish). 27 March 2023.
  76. ↑ "Estudio de opinión pública de Bizkaia. Julio 2022" (PDF). Gizaker (in Spanish). 19 July 2022.
  77. ↑ "El PNV rozaría la mayoría absoluta en Bizkaia, con el 45,7 % de los votos". EiTB (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
  78. ↑ "Estudio de opinión pública de Bizkaia. Enero 2022" (PDF). Ikerfel (in Spanish). 4 February 2022.
  79. ↑ "BIZKAIA (JJ. GG.). Encuesta Ikerfel 04/02/2022: EH BILDU 21,9% (12/13), EAJ-PNV 44,6% (25/26), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU 8,3% (4), PSE-EE 14,8% (8), Cs 0,8%, PP 6,6% (1), VOX 1,9%". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 February 2022.
  80. ↑ "Estudio de opinión pública de Bizkaia. Julio 2021" (PDF). Gizaker (in Spanish). 2 August 2021.
  81. ↑ "El PNV crecería en Gipuzkoa pero EH Bildu se acercaría a tan solo punto y medio". EiTB (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
  82. ↑ "El PNV gana en Gipuzkoa pero Bildu recorta su distancia a solo 1,7 puntos". El Correo (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
  83. ↑ "Sociómetro Gipuzkoa Abril 2023" (PDF). Gipuzkoa Deputation (in Spanish). 14 April 2023.
  84. ↑ "Gipuzkoa: El PNV mantendría su distancia ante una EH Bildu que también crecería". EiTB (in Spanish). 27 March 2023.
  85. ↑ "Sociómetro Gipuzkoa Diciembre 2022" (PDF). Gipuzkoa Deputation (in Spanish). 27 December 2022.
  86. ↑ "La ciudadanía de Gipuzkoa da por superada la pandemia y su estado anímico evoluciona a mejor". Gipuzkoa Deputation (in Spanish). 2 June 2022.
  87. ↑ "Sociómetro Gipuzkoa Mayo 2022" (PDF). Gipuzkoa Deputation (in Spanish). 2 June 2022.
  88. ↑ "Posible pugna en Gipuzkoa entre el PNV y EH Bildu, con un margen del 2,5 % de los votos". EiTB (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
  89. ↑ "La portavoz Mendoza destaca que "Gipuzkoa cuenta con un sistema de cuidados del que sentir orgullo, y la ciudadanía es consciente de ello"". Gipuzkoa Deputation (in Spanish). 9 December 2021.
  90. ↑ "Sociómetro Gipuzkoa Abril 2021". Gipuzkoa Foral Deputation (in Spanish).
  91. ↑ "Sociómetro político Gipuzkoa - diciembre 2020". Diputación de Gipuzkoa (in Spanish). 22 Dec 2020. Retrieved 18 May 2021.
  92. ↑ "El PNV mantiene la hegemonía en Gipuzkoa, pero se estrecha su ventaja con EH Bildu". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 22 Dec 2020.
  93. ↑ "Análisis de la Percepción Ciudadana durante el Inicio de la Desescalada del Confinamiento" (PDF). Diputación de Gipuzkoa (in Spanish). 27 May 2020. Retrieved 18 May 2021.
  94. ↑ "El PNV gana en Gipuzkoa con casi tres puntos de ventaja sobre EH Bildu". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 27 May 2020.
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