In the run up to the 2015 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in autonomous communities in Spain during the term of the 10th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 November 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 20 December 2015.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font.
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | IULV | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 69.1 | 29.1 21 | 31.5 22 | 5.8 0 | 0.5 0 | 16.9 10 | 13.8 8 | 2.4 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [2] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.2 19/22 | 28.6 19/22 | 6.2 0/1 | 1.1 0 | 16.9 9/11 | 16.1 9/11 | 0.4 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 902 | ? | 24.4 15 | 28.3 20 | 5.2 0 | – | 22.3 15 | 16.6 11 | 3.9 |
Celeste-Tel [4] [5] | 1–12 Dec 2015 | 3,200 | ? | 29.5 22 | 33.6 26 | 5.3 0 | – | 11.8 4 | 17.6 9 | 4.1 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 19/20 | ? 21 | ? 1/3 | – | ? 6/7 | ? 12 | ? |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [7] [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.0 19/20 | 28.0 18/19 | 5.0 1/2 | – | 16.0 9 | 21.0 12/13 | Tie |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 26.2 19 | 29.6 20 | ? 0 | – | 18.6 12 | 17.2 10 | 3.4 |
NC Report/La Razón [13] [14] [15] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 2,300 | ? | 28.4 19 | 33.0 24 | 5.0 0 | 0.4 0 | 18.0 10 | 13.3 8 | 4.6 |
JM&A/Público [16] | 6 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.1 21 | 26.7 17 | ? 0 | – | ? 8 | ? 15 | 1.4 |
diarioelectoral.com [17] | 2–4 Dec 2015 | 1,800 | ? | 27.2 17 | 39.7 26 | 4.0 0 | – | 13.1 8 | 15.5 10 | 12.5 |
A+M/20minutos [18] [19] | 26 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | 950 | ? | ? 19/22 | ? 16/18 | ? 0 | – | ? 8 | ? 15/16 | ? |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 20/21 | ? 22 | ? 0/1 | – | ? 6 | ? 11/13 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.0 19 | 25.9 18 | ? 0 | – | 18.6 12 | 19.3 12 | 2.1 |
Commentia/Grupo Joly [24] | 20–30 Nov 2015 | 850 | ? | 28.2 22 | 27.3 21 | 4.8 1 | – | 13.0 5 | 20.7 12 | 0.9 |
Deimos Estadística [25] | 22 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 21.9 18 | 30.6 21 | 8.0 2 | – | 16.1 8 | 17.3 12 | 8.7 |
JM&A/Público [26] | 19 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 28.6 21 | 26.8 17 | ? 2 | – | 13.5 7 | 18.7 14 | 1.8 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 2,689 | ? | ? 19/21 | ? 21/25 | ? 1 | – | ? 5 | ? 11/14 | ? |
GAD3/ABC [28] | 19 Oct–12 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | ? 21 | ? 23 | ? 2 | – | ? 6 | ? 9 | ? |
JM&A/Público [29] | 22 Oct 2015 | ? | ? | 28.7 21 | 31.7 23 | ? 0 | – | 14.0 8 | ? 9 | 3.0 |
Celeste-Tel [30] [31] | 7–26 Sep 2015 | 1,200 | ? | 28.5 22 | 33.9 25 | 5.2 0 | – | 15.1 8 | 12.2 6 | 5.4 |
2015 regional election | 22 Mar 2015 | — | 62.3 | 26.7 20 | 35.4 27 | 6.9 1 | 1.9 0 | 14.9 9 | 9.3 3 | 8.7 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 41.9 | 25.9 21 | 35.1 29 | 11.6 5 | 7.1 2 | 7.1 3 | 1.7 0 | 9.2 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 24 | ? 26 | ? 9 | ? 1 | – | – | ? |
2012 regional election [34] | 25 Mar 2012 | — | 60.8 | 40.7 30 | 39.6 26 | 11.3 4 | 3.4 0 | – | – | 1.1 |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 550 | ? | ? 33 | ? 24 | ? 2 | ? 1 | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 68.9 | 45.6 33 | 36.6 25 | 8.3 2 | 4.8 0 | – | – | 9.0 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 72.6 | 31.3 6 | 23.0 4 | 6.2 0 | 0.8 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | 18.6 2 | 17.2 1 | 8.3 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [36] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.2 4/5 | 23.0 4 | 6.2 0 | 1.2 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | 20.6 3/4 | 18.3 1/2 | 5.2 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 316 | ? | 29.7 4 | 18.8 3 | 8.8 1 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | 22.1 4 | 16.8 1 | 7.6 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 4 | ? 4 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | ? 2 | ? 3 | Tie |
NC Report/La Razón [37] [38] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 800 | ? | 33.9 7 | 23.7 4 | 5.2 0 | 0.3 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | 17.2 1 | 17.8 1 | 10.2 |
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón [39] | 26 Nov–10 Dec 2015 | 1,600 | ? | 31.4 5 | 22.8 4 | 6.6 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | 15.2 1 | 20.8 3 | 8.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.0 4 | 19.0 3/4 | 7.0 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | 18.0 1/2 | 26.0 4 | 1.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.1 5 | 18.4 3 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | 15.6 1 | 18.4 4 | 9.7 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 4 | ? 4 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | ? 2 | ? 3 | Tie |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 29.1 4 | 22.6 4 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | 15.3 1 | 19.4 4 | 6.5 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 897 | ? | ? 6 | ? 4 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 2] | ? 1 | ? 2 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 66.3 | 27.5 4 | 21.4 4 | 4.2 0 | 0.9 0 | 6.9 0 | 4.6 0 | 20.6 4 | 9.4 1 | 6.1 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 45.7 | 27.9 6 | 24.3 4 | 9.4 1 | 8.5 1 | – | 4.5 0 | 9.5 1 | 2.9 0 | 3.6 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 6 | ? 6 | ? 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | Tie |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 250 | ? | ? 8 | ? 4 | ? 1 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 71.0 | 47.7 8 | 31.5 4 | 10.5 1 | 5.8 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | 16.2 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 63.8 | 30.1 3 | 23.3 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | 8.4 0 | 0.6 0 | 21.3 2 | 13.6 1 | 6.8 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [40] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 25.3 2/3 | 21.2 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | 9.1 0/1 | 0.7 0 | 25.4 2/3 | 15.0 1 | 0.1 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 201 | ? | 23.5 2 | 24.5 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | 7.8 0 | – | 21.8 2 | 18.1 2 | 1.0 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 | ? 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 0 | – | ? 2 | ? 1 | ? |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.0 4 | 18.0 1/2 | [lower-alpha 1] | 9.0 0/1 | – | 15.0 1 | 17.0 1 | 19.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 30.0 3 | 19.4 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 0 | – | 21.8 2 | 19.1 1 | 8.2 |
NC Report/La Razón [41] [42] | 13 Nov–9 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 27.8 3 | 25.1 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | 8.5 0 | 0.2 0 | 19.1 2 | 16.2 1 | 2.7 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 | ? 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 0 | – | ? 2 | ? 1 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 29.4 3 | 22.6 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 0 | – | 20.0 2 | 18.8 1 | 6.8 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 419 | ? | ? 3 | ? 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 1 | – | ? 1 | ? 1 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 55.8 | 21.6 2 | 26.5 3 | 8.2 0 | 11.9 1 | 0.8 0 | 19.1 1 | 7.1 0 | 4.9 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 39.0 | 24.2 3 | 26.1 3 | 4.2 0 | 12.9 1 | 6.0 0 | 13.6 1 | 2.5 0 | 1.9 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 4 | ? 3 | ? 0 | ? 1 | – | – | – | ? |
2012 regional election | 25 Mar 2012 | — | 51.1 | 21.5 2 | 32.1 3 | 24.8 2 | 13.8 1 | 3.7 0 | – | – | 7.3 |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 200 | ? | ? 3 | ? 3 | ? 1 | ? 1 | – | – | – | Tie |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 64.6 | 35.4 3 | 29.3 3 | 14.7 1 | 13.2 1 | 3.9 0 | – | – | 6.1 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | El Pi | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 63.3 | 29.1 3 | 18.3 2 | 7.0 0 | 2.4 0 | 0.5 0 | 2.7 0 | 23.1 2 | 14.8 1 | 6.0 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [43] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.4 2/3 | 18.5 2 | 7.6 0 | 2.3 0 | 0.8 0 | 2.6 0 | 24.8 2/3 | 14.0 1 | 2.6 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 147 | ? | 27.4 3 | 17.4 1 | 9.5 1 | 3.6 0 | – | ? 0 | 24.8 2 | 11.8 1 | 2.6 |
Gadeso [44] [45] | 13 Dec 2015 | 900 | ? | ? 2/3 | ? 2 | ? 0/1 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 2 | ? 1/2 | ? |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2/3 | ? 2 | – | – | – | – | ? 2 | ? 1/2 | ? |
IBES/Última Hora [46] [47] | 7–10 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 26.0– 27.0 2/3 | 19.0– 20.0 2 | 7.0– 8.0 0 | ? 0 | – | 4.0 0 | 18.0– 19.0 1/2 | 18.0– 20.0 2 | 7.0 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 32.0 23 | 13.0 1 | – | 3.0 0 | – | – | 26.0 2/3 | 16.0 1/2 | 6.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 33.5 3 | 21.8 1 | – | ? 0 | – | – | 17.7 1 | 19.7 2 | 11.7 |
NC Report/La Razón [48] [49] [50] | 13 Nov–5 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 28.2 3 | 24.5 2 | 6.5 0 | 1.1 0 | 0.4 0 | 4.3 0 | 11.4 1 | 19.4 2 | 3.7 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 | ? 1 | – | – | – | – | ? 2 | ? 2 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 34.4 3 | 21.9 1 | – | ? 0 | – | – | 13.1 1 | 20.3 2 | 12.5 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 354 | ? | ? 2/3 | ? 1/2 | – | – | – | – | ? 2 | ? 2 | ? |
IBES/Última Hora [51] [52] | 2–6 Nov 2015 | 1,500 | ? | 25.0 2/3 | 22.0 2 | 7.0 0/1 | 3.0 0 | – | 4.0 0 | 17.0 1/2 | 21.0 2 | 3.0 |
PSOE [53] | 11 Oct 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 | ? 2/3 | – | – | – | – | ? 1 | ? 1/2 | ? |
IBES/Última Hora [54] [55] [56] | 5–9 Oct 2015 | 1,040 | ? | 26.0 2/3 | 23.0 2/3 | [lower-alpha 4] | 3.0 0 | – | 5.0 0 | 21.0 1/2 | 19.0 1/2 | 3.0 |
? | 27.0 2/3 | 22.0 2/3 | 8.0 0 | 3.0 0 | – | 4.0 0 | 16.0 1/2 | 18.0 1/2 | 5.0 | |||
RegioPlus/Més [53] [57] | 1–11 Sep 2015 | 1,011 | ? | 25.0– 27.0 3 | 18.0– 21.0 2 | 11.5– 12.5 1 | 3.0– 4.0 0 | – | 2.0– 4.0 0 | 16.0– 18.0 1 | 10.5– 12.5 1 | 6.0– 7.0 |
IBES/Última Hora [58] [59] | 13–17 Jul 2015 | 600 | ? | 27.0 3 | 25.0 2/3 | 9.0 0/1 | 4.0 0 | – | 5.0 0 | 16.0 1/2 | 10.0 1 | 2.0 |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 57.1 | 28.5 3 | 19.4 2 | 15.3 1 | 2.0 0 | 0.9 0 | 7.9 1 | 14.7 1 | 6.4 0 | 9.1 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 35.6 | 27.5 3 | 22.0 3 | – | 8.9 1 | 6.7 0 | – | 10.3 1 | 2.3 0 | 5.5 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 4 | ? 4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | Tie |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 150 | ? | ? 5 | ? 3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 61.0 | 49.6 5 | 28.9 3 | 7.2 0 | 4.9 0 | 4.2 0 | – | – | – | 20.7 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV | | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 69.0 | 24.7 6 | 15.1 2 | 13.2 3 | 11.6 2 | 2.9 0 | 0.3 0 | 26.0 5 | 4.1 0 | 1.3 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [60] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 22.9 4/5 | 18.2 3/4 | 11.5 1/2 | 8.9 1/2 | 3.4 0 | 0.7 0 | 26.0 5/6 | 5.9 0 | 3.1 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 249 | ? | 24.4 5 | 20.2 4 | 16.1 4 | 10.0 2 | 3.7 0 | – | 16.1 3 | 6.9 0 | 4.2 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 6 | ? 4 | ? 2 | ? 2 | – | – | ? 4 | ? 0 | ? |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [61] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 23.0 5 | 18.0 3 | 14.0 3 | 12.0 2 | – | – | 22.0 5 | ? 0 | 1.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 26.6 6 | 19.1 4 | 12.1 3 | 10.5 2 | – | – | 12.0 2 | 8.0 1 | 7.5 |
NC Report/La Razón [62] [63] [64] | 13 Nov–5 Dec 2015 | 825 | ? | 25.6 6 | 21.3 5 | 15.0 2/3 | 12.6 2 | 1.7 0 | 0.9 0 | 17.4 2/3 | 2.9 0 | 4.3 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 5 | ? 4 | ? 3 | ? 2 | – | – | ? 4 | ? 0 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 25.0 6 | 18.3 4 | 14.6 3 | 11.3 2 | – | – | 11.5 2 | 8.3 1 | 6.7 |
Aztiker/Gara [65] [66] | 16–28 Nov 2015 | 1,650 | ? | 27.3 6 | 19.1 4 | 14.1 2 | 9.8 2 | 3.1 0 | 0.2 0 | 15.7 4 | 8.2 0 | 8.2 |
Gizaker/Grupo Noticias [67] [68] | 14–18 Nov 2015 | 1,800 | ? | 30.5 6 | 20.4 4 | 13.0 2 | 9.7 2 | – | – | 19.2 4 | 3.7 0 | 10.1 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,283 | ? | ? 5 | ? 5/6 | ? 1/2 | ? 2 | – | – | ? 4 | ? 0 | ? |
Ikertalde/GPS [69] [70] | 13–19 Oct 2015 | 2,520 | 68.5 | 27.4 6 | 19.9 4 | 14.6 2 | 11.4 2 | 2.2 0 | 0.3 0 | 17.7 4 | 4.4 0 | 7.5 |
2015 foral elections | 24 May 2015 | — | 63.8 | 33.3 7 | 22.4 5 | 13.6 2 | 9.3 1 | 2.7 0 | 0.5 0 | 13.7 3 | 2.1 0 | 10.9 |
2015 local elections | 24 May 2015 | — | 63.8 | 33.1 | 23.4 | 14.6 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 9.7 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 43.1 | 27.5 7 | 23.4 6 | 13.8 3 | 10.2 2 | 5.6 0 | 3.3 0 | 6.9 0 | 0.8 0 | 4.1 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 7 | ? 4 | ? 4 | ? 3 | – | – | – | – | ? |
2012 regional election | 21 Oct 2012 | — | 64.0 | 34.2 7 | 24.7 6 | 18.9 3 | 11.6 2 | 2.7 0 | 1.9 0 | – | – | 9.5 |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 300 | ? | ? 5 | ? 6 | ? 4 | ? 3 | – | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 67.3 | 27.4 5 | 24.1 6 | 21.6 4 | 17.8 3 | 3.7 0 | 1.8 0 | – | – | 3.3 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 60.3 | 28.5 5 | 22.0 4 | 8.2 1 | 3.1 0 | 0.5 0 | [lower-alpha 5] | 23.3 3 | 11.4 2 | 5.2 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [71] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.9 5/6 | 22.0 4 | 6.0 0/1 | 3.1 0 | 0.5 0 | [lower-alpha 5] | 24.0 3/4 | 12.4 2 | 3.9 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 185 | ? | 16.5 3 | 21.8 3 | 14.3 2 | 3.6 0 | – | [lower-alpha 5] | 26.0 5 | 13.0 2 | 4.2 |
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia [72] [73] | 5–12 Dec 2015 | 1,600 | ? | 24.5 3/5 | 24.4 4 | 6.9 0/1 | 2.3 0 | 0.6 0 | [lower-alpha 5] | 16.8 2/3 | 22.4 4 | 0.1 |
TSA/Canarias7 [74] [75] | 4–11 Dec 2015 | 1,802 | ? | 21.9 3/4 | 25.3 4/5 | 9.6 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 5] | 17.9 2/3 | 19.8 2/4 | 3.4 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 6 | ? 3 | ? 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 5] | ? 3 | ? 2 | ? |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 32.0 6 | 18.0 3 | 8.0 0/1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 5] | 16.0 2 | 21.0 3/4 | 11.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.2 5 | 24.5 5 | 11.5 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 5] | 14.5 2 | 16.6 2 | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [76] [77] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 600 | ? | 24.3 5 | 23.0 4 | 8.4 1 | 3.6 0 | 0.8 0 | [lower-alpha 5] | 17.0 2 | 20.9 3 | 1.3 |
TSA/Canarias7 [78] | 25 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | 1,800 | ? | 21.5 3/4 | 24.8 5 | 8.5 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 5] | 16.6 2 | 20.9 3/4 | 3.3 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 6 | ? 3 | ? 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 5] | ? 3 | ? 2 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.9 5 | 18.2 4 | 12.9 2 | – | – | [lower-alpha 5] | 11.2 2 | 16.1 2 | 9.7 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 731 | ? | ? 6 | ? 3/4 | ? 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 5] | ? 2/3 | ? 2 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 55.8 | 18.6 3 | 19.9 4 | 18.2 4 | 2.2 0 | 0.9 0 | 10.2 2 | 14.5 2 | 5.9 0 | 1.3 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 35.0 | 23.4 5 | 22.2 4 | 12.2 2 | 10.5 2 | 6.9 0 | – | 11.0 2 | 1.4 0 | 1.2 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 7 | ? 6 | ? 2 | – | – | [lower-alpha 6] | – | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 250 | ? | ? 9 | ? 3/4 | ? 2/3 | – | – | [lower-alpha 6] | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 59.6 | 48.0 9 | 24.9 4 | 15.5 2 | 4.3 0 | 2.6 0 | [lower-alpha 6] | – | – | 23.1 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PRC | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 71.0 | 36.9 2 | 22.4 1 | – | 0.8 0 | 4.4 0 | 17.9 1 | 15.2 1 | 14.5 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [79] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 33.8 2 | 22.2 1 | – | 1.5 0 | 5.5 0 | 18.0 1 | 16.1 1 | 11.6 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 94 | ? | 33.7 2 | 29.6 2 | – | – | 8.2 0 | 14.9 1 | 10.7 0 | 4.1 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2/3 | ? 1 | – | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1/2 | ? |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 33.0 2 | 20.0 1 | – | – | 4.0 0 | 19.0 1 | 23.0 1 | 10.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 38.1 2 | 17.9 1 | – | – | – | 14.2 1 | 21.5 1 | 16.6 |
NC Report/La Razón [80] [81] [82] | 13 Nov–5 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 35.3 2 | 25.7 1/2 | – | 2.0 0 | 3.2 0 | 13.0 0/1 | 18.8 1 | 9.6 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 | ? 1 | – | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.5 2 | 20.9 1 | – | – | – | 13.1 1 | 21.3 1 | 16.2 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 285 | ? | ? 3 | ? 1 | – | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 66.2 | 32.6 2 | 14.0 1 | 29.9 2 | 0.7 0 | 2.5 0 | 8.9 0 | 6.9 0 | 2.7 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 44.1 | 34.7 3 | 24.3 2 | – | 8.2 0 | 9.0 0 | 9.2 0 | 3.0 0 | 10.4 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 3 | ? 2 | – | – | – | – | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 150 | ? | ? 4 | ? 1 | – | – | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 71.6 | 52.2 4 | 25.2 1 | 12.5 0 | 3.6 0 | 3.6 0 | – | – | 27.0 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 71.2 | 39.1 17 | 22.5 9 | 0.9 0 | 4.6 0 | 15.1 3 | 15.4 3 | 16.6 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [83] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 35.6 15/17 | 20.6 8/9 | 1.1 0 | 4.9 0 | 17.9 4/5 | 16.4 4/5 | 15.0 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 389 | ? | 34.6 15 | 24.4 9 | – | 3.5 0 | 15.9 3 | 16.2 5 | 10.2 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 15 | ? 7 | – | – | ? 1 | ? 9 | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [84] [85] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 2,350 | ? | 38.1 17 | 22.8 9 | 0.3 0 | 3.2 0 | 15.2 2 | 18.3 4 | 15.3 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.0 16 | 18.0 6/7 | – | 4.0 0 | 15.0 1/2 | 23.0 8 | 14.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 38.0 16 | 18.8 5 | – | – | 15.4 2 | 22.8 9 | 15.2 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 15/16 | ? 7 | – | – | ? 1 | ? 8/9 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.4 14 | 21.4 7 | – | – | 14.3 2 | 22.5 9 | 14.9 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 2,245 | ? | ? 17/18 | ? 7/8 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 7 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 64.9 | 37.7 18 | 25.9 11 | 1.4 0 | 4.1 0 | 12.1 3 | 10.3 0 | 11.8 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 45.9 | 37.5 21 | 23.4 11 | 8.3 0 | 8.3 0 | 8.1 0 | 2.7 0 | 14.1 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 18 | ? 13 | ? 1 | – | – | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 350 | ? | ? 21 | ? 11 | ? 0 | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 71.3 | 55.4 21 | 29.2 11 | 6.1 0 | 5.6 0 | – | – | 26.2 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 75.3 | 38.1 10 | 28.4 7 | 3.6 0 | 0.5 0 | 13.7 1 | 13.8 3 | 9.7 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [86] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 35.0 9/10 | 26.6 6/7 | 4.3 0 | 0.9 0 | 15.3 2/3 | 15.4 2/3 | 8.4 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 548 | ? | 33.7 9 | 31.1 7 | 3.7 0 | – | 12.3 1 | 16.1 4 | 2.6 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 | ? 5 | – | – | ? 1 | ? 4 | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [87] [88] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 925 | ? | 38.1 11 | 25.8 5 | 3.3 0 | 0.6 0 | 14.7 2 | 15.4 3 | 12.3 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.0 10 | 21.0 5 | 4.0 0 | – | 13.0 1 | 23.0 5 | 14.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.3 10 | 19.8 4 | – | – | 15.3 2 | 22.2 5 | 15.1 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 10 | ? 7 | – | – | ? 1 | ? 3 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 36.5 9 | 22.6 5 | – | – | 14.0 2 | 21.8 5 | 13.9 |
JM&A/Periódico CLM [89] | 21 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 36.1 10 | 24.5 7 | 4.2 0 | – | 10.7 0 | 19.4 4 | 11.6 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,229 | ? | ? 10/11 | ? 5/6 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 5 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 71.5 | 37.5 11 | 36.1 10 | 3.1 0 | 1.0 0 | 9.7 0 | 8.6 0 | 1.4 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 46.4 | 37.7 13 | 28.8 8 | 8.7 0 | 7.2 0 | 6.4 0 | 2.2 0 | 8.9 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 10 | ? 11 | – | – | – | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 300 | ? | ? 14 | ? 7 | – | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 75.8 | 55.8 14 | 30.3 7 | 5.8 0 | 5.0 0 | – | – | 25.5 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | Lead | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 68.6 | – | 15.7 8 | 11.1 5 | [lower-alpha 7] | 16.0 9 | 0.2 0 | 13.0 5 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 15.1 8 | 1.7 0 | 24.7 12 | – | 8.7 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [90] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 15.4 7/8 | 11.6 5/6 | [lower-alpha 7] | 16.4 9/11 | 1.0 0 | 15.5 7/8 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 11.1 6/7 | 2.0 0 | 24.9 12/13 | – | 8.5 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 738 | ? | – | 12.7 4 | 8.6 4 | [lower-alpha 7] | 21.3 12 | – | 18.3 10 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 18.1 10 | – | 15.8 7 | – | 3.0 |
JM&A/Público [91] | 13 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 15.2 8 | 11.0 4 | [lower-alpha 7] | 14.6 8 | – | 20.0 9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 15.9 9 | – | 19.0 9 | – | 1.0 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | ? 8/9 | ? 4/6 | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 8 | – | ? 7/8 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 9 | – | ? 9 | – | Tie |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [92] [93] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 16.0 7/8 | 11.0 4 | [lower-alpha 7] | 16.0 9 | – | 18.0 7/8 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 16.0 9 | – | 20.0 10 | – | 2.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 18.8 9 | 13.0 5 | [lower-alpha 7] | 14.0 8 | – | 19.6 10 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 13.2 7 | – | 18.1 8 | – | 0.8 |
NC Report/La Razón [94] [95] [96] | 13 Nov–9 Dec 2015 | 1,225 | ? | – | 16.6 8 | 9.9 5 | [lower-alpha 7] | 15.2 8 | 0.2 0 | 19.2 9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 14.8 7 | 2.8 0 | 19.1 9 | – | 0.1 |
JM&A/Público [16] | 6 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 15.3 8 | ? 4 | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 8 | – | 20.6 9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 10 | – | 17.6 8 | – | ? |
A+M/20minutos [18] [97] | 26 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | 800 | ? | – | ? 8/9 | ? 5 | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 8/9 | – | ? 9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 7/8 | – | ? 8/9 | – | ? |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | ? 8 | ? 4/5 | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 8 | – | ? 7/8 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 9 | – | ? 10 | – | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 19.4 10 | 11.0 5 | 4.5 1 | 14.7 8 | – | 19.0 9 | – | 15.0 7 | 13.9 7 | – | – | – | 0.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico [98] | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 800 | ? | – | 17.4 8/9 | 8.8 3/4 | [lower-alpha 7] | 18.1 9/11 | – | 18.4 8/10 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 14.1 7/8 | – | 19.4 9/10 | – | 1.0 |
Feedback/La Vanguardia [99] | 20–27 Nov 2015 | 1,000 | ? | – | 16.5 9 | 11.8 5 | [lower-alpha 7] | 17.4 9 | – | 17.7 9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 16.0 9 | 2.3 0 | 15.0 6 | – | 0.3 |
GESOP/CEO [100] | 16–23 Nov 2015 | 1,050 | 75 | – | 16.2 8/9 | 12.8 5 | [lower-alpha 7] | 17.9 9/11 | – | 16.6 8/9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 17.5 9/10 | – | 14.0 5/6 | – | 0.4 |
JM&A/Público [26] | 19 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | – | 14.3 8 | 9.7 4 | [lower-alpha 7] | 18.9 11 | – | 19.5 9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 15.4 8 | – | 17.1 7 | – | 0.6 |
Metroscopia/El País [101] [102] [103] | 16–17 Nov 2015 | 800 | 73 | – | 18.4 9 | 9.1 3 | [lower-alpha 7] | 16.0 8 | – | 18.0 9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | 14.5 9 | – | 17.3 9 | – | 0.4 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,989 | ? | – | ? 7/8 | ? 4 | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 7 | – | ? 9 | – | [lower-alpha 7] | ? 9 | – | ? 10/11 | – | ? |
JM&A/Público [104] | 4 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | – | 13.0 7 | ? 4 | ? 1 | ? 8 | – | 20.1 10 | – | ? 4 | 20.4 13 | – | – | – | 0.3 |
GAD3/ABC [105] | 14 Oct–4 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | – | ? 7 | ? 5 | ? 1 | ? 10 | – | ? 10 | – | ? 4 | ? 9 | ? 1 | – | – | Tie |
2015 regional election | 27 Sep 2015 | — | 74.9 | – | 12.7 5 | 8.5 3 | [lower-alpha 8] | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 17.9 8 | 8.2 2 | [lower-alpha 8] | [lower-alpha 9] | 2.5 0 | 8.9 3 | 39.6 26 | 21.7 |
Metroscopia/El País [106] | 14–16 Sep 2015 | 2,000 | 74 | – | 17.7 8 | 9.7 4 | [lower-alpha 8] | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 12.7 5 | 4.0 1 | [lower-alpha 8] | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 21.5 10 | 31.8 19 | 10.3 |
74 | – | 17.8 8 | 9.7 4 | [lower-alpha 8] | 16.2 8 | – | 12.7 6 | 4.0 1 | [lower-alpha 8] | 15.8 8 | – | 21.5 12 | – | 3.7 | |||
Opinòmetre/CEO [107] | 9 Feb–2 Mar 2015 | 2,000 | 68 | 18.8 12 | 10.8 5/6 | 11.9 5/6 | 3.7 1 | 15.1 8/9 | – | 7.9 2/3 | 3.9 1 | 21.2 11/12 | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 2.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico [108] | 20–26 Feb 2015 | 800 | ? | 17.0 10 | 11.3 5/6 | 11.9 6 | 3.6 1 | 13.7 7/8 | – | 15.7 7 | 3.6 1 | 20.5 9 | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 3.5 |
DYM/CEO [109] | 9–13 Dec 2014 | 1,100 | 70 | 18.8 11/12 | 13.3 6/7 | 10.7 4/5 | 4.6 1/2 | 17.5 8/9 | – | 5.1 2 | 2.7 0 | 20.4 10/11 | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 1.6 |
GESOP/El Periódico [110] | 14–17 Nov 2014 | 800 | ? | 17.3 10 | 11.3 5/6 | 11.8 6/7 | 5.2 1/2 | 15.4 8/9 | – | 10.5 4 | 3.0 0/1 | 22.8 10/12 | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 5.5 |
Opinòmetre/CEO [111] | 29 Sep–23 Oct 2014 | 2,000 | ? | 18.0 10/12 | 15.0 8/9 | 11.1 5/6 | 5.1 2 | 21.0 12/13 | – | 2.5 0/1 | 3.8 1 | 14.0 7/8 | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 3.0 |
GESOP/El Periódico [112] [113] | 16–18 Jun 2014 | 800 | ? | 17.5 9/10 | 11.5 5/6 | 14.1 8 | 7.9 3 | 20.0 12/13 | – | 9.3 3 | – | 12.6 5/6 | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 2.5 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 46.2 | 21.8 14 | 14.3 6 | 9.8 4 | 10.3 4 | 23.7 15 | 1.3 0 | 6.3 2 | – | 4.7 2 | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 1.9 |
Feedback/La Vanguardia [114] | 30 Apr–8 May 2014 | 577 | ? | 25.1 13 | 19.5 11 | 16.3 9 | 11.3 5 | 15.5 7 | – | 6.5 2 | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 5.6 |
Opinòmetre/CEO [115] | 24 Mar–15 Apr 2014 | 2,000 | 65 | 22.7 14/15 | 16.2 8/9 | 12.5 5/6 | 10.3 4 | 19.1 11/12 | 1.2 0 | 6.6 2/3 | 5.4 1 | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 1.6 |
GESOP/El Periódico [116] [117] | 26–28 Feb 2014 | 800 | ? | 22.5 13 | 16.0 8 | 13.9 7/8 | 12.1 4/5 | 17.9 10/11 | 3.5 1 | 5.7 2 | 2.0 0 | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 4.6 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 11 | ? 12 | ? 10 | ? 6 | ? 8 | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | ? |
GESOP/CEO [118] | 4–14 Nov 2013 | 2,000 | 65 | 22.2 13/14 | 17.0 8/9 | 12.7 7/8 | 9.0 3 | 20.6 11/12 | – | 9.2 3/4 | 4.0 0/1 | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 1.6 |
Metroscopia/El País [119] [120] [121] | 28–30 Oct 2013 | 1,000 | 60 | 21.5 14 | 17.8 9 | 15.5 9 | 12.1 5 | 16.5 8 | – | 6.4 2 | 1.6 0 | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 3.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico [122] [123] | 16–18 Oct 2013 | 800 | ? | 22.0 13/14 | 17.0 8/9 | 12.7 6 | 11.1 4 | 19.6 11/13 | 3.0 0/1 | 6.5 2 | 1.8 0 | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 2.4 |
Feedback/La Vanguardia [124] [125] | 2–6 Sep 2013 | 300 | ? | 23.1 13 | 23.4 12 | 15.7 8 | 12.1 5 | 14.3 7 | 5.1 2 | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 0.3 |
GESOP/CEO [126] | 31 May–13 Jun 2013 | 2,000 | 65 | 23.5 13/14 | 17.4 9/10 | 12.5 6/7 | 10.5 4 | 18.8 10/11 | – | 6.3 2 | 4.1 1 | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 4.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico [127] | 28–31 May 2013 | 800 | ? | 24.6 14/15 | 18.7 10/11 | 13.3 6/7 | 12.7 5 | 14.1 8/9 | 2.9 0/1 | 4.0 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 5.9 |
GESOP/CEO [128] | 4–14 Feb 2013 | 2,000 | 65 | 27.3 14/16 | 19.9 10/12 | 13.2 7/8 | 10.0 4 | 14.9 8/9 | – | 4.0 1/2 | 3.7 1 | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 7.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico [129] | 14–16 Jan 2013 | 800 | ? | 23.8 14/15 | 21.0 10/11 | 18.1 10/11 | 9.1 3/4 | 13.7 7/8 | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 2.8 |
2012 regional election | 25 Nov 2012 | — | 67.8 | 30.7 20 | 14.4 7 | 13.0 5 | 9.9 4 | 13.7 7 | 0.4 0 | 7.6 3 | 3.5 1 | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 16.3 |
DYM/CEO [130] | 22–30 Oct 2012 | 2,500 | 68 | 32.9 20 | 19.5 11 | 17.6 10 | 8.8 3 | 7.5 3 | – | 2.5 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 13.4 |
Feedback/La Vanguardia [131] | 21–27 Sep 2012 | 1,200 | ? | 37.1 20 | 18.5 9 | 18.2 9 | 14.0 5 | 8.1 4 | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 18.6 |
DYM/CEO [132] | 4–18 Jun 2012 | 2,500 | 70.6 | 31.0 18/19 | 24.3 13 | 16.4 8 | 10.0 4 | 8.5 3/4 | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 6.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico [133] [134] | 7–9 May 2012 | 800 | ? | 27.0 15/16 | 28.0 15/16 | 17.0 9/10 | 8.0 3 | 9.0 3/4 | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 1.0 |
DYM/CEO [135] | 6–21 Feb 2012 | 2,500 | ? | 30.2 17/18 | 25.9 12/13 | 19.8 10/11 | 8.8 3 | 7.3 3 | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 4.3 |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 350 | ? | ? 15/16 | ? 13 | ? 11/12 | ? 4 | ? 3 | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | ? |
GESOP/El Periódico [136] [137] | 16–19 Jan 2012 | 800 | ? | 24.7 15/16 | 26.5 14/15 | 22.4 11/12 | 8.1 3 | 7.4 2/3 | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 1.8 |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 65.2 | 29.3 16 | 26.7 14 | 20.7 11 | 8.1 3 | 7.1 3 | 1.1 0 | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | – | – | 2.6 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 72.2 | 34.8 4 | 36.0 5 | 3.0 0 | 0.4 0 | 12.7 1 | 11.4 0 | 1.2 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [138] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 32.8 4/5 | 35.2 4/5 | 4.7 0 | 0.5 0 | 13.1 0/1 | 10.9 0/1 | 2.4 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 119 | ? | 36.1 5 | 32.7 4 | 4.4 0 | – | 13.9 1 | 10.3 0 | 3.4 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 4 | ? 5 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1 | ? |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 38.0 5 | 29.0 4 | 5.0 0 | – | 11.0 0 | 16.0 1 | 9.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 30.1 4 | 31.5 4 | – | – | 16.9 1 | 17.5 1 | 1.4 |
NC Report/La Razón [139] [140] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 575 | ? | 31.9 4 | 32.2 4 | 4.2 0 | 0.4 0 | 11.6 0 | 17.5 2 | 0.3 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 4 | ? 5 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 32.4 4 | 26.4 3 | – | – | 17.0 1 | 20.3 2 | 6.0 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 510 | ? | ? 4 | ? 5 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 71.4 | 37.0 5 | 41.5 5 | 4.2 0 | 0.6 0 | 8.0 0 | 4.4 0 | 4.5 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 44.1 | 35.6 5 | 38.7 5 | 6.3 0 | 5.5 0 | 4.8 0 | 1.0 0 | 3.1 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 5 | ? 5 | – | – | – | – | Tie |
Celeste-Tel/El Periódico [141] | 3–7 Sep 2012 | 1,100 | ? | 40.0 5 | 42.3 5 | 8.3 0 | 6.7 0 | – | – | 2.3 |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 200 | ? | ? 6 | ? 4 | – | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 73.9 | 51.2 6 | 37.2 4 | 5.7 0 | 3.5 0 | – | – | 14.0 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Nós | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 61.5 | 37.1 10 | 21.3 6 | 4.3 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | 0.5 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | 9.1 1 | 25.0 6 | 12.1 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [142] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 34.5 9/10 | 19.3 4/5 | 5.3 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | 0.6 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | 10.7 1/2 | 27.0 7/8 | 7.5 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 34.5 11 | 12.9 2 | 7.8 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | 14.5 3 | 26.1 7 | 8.4 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11/12 | ? 5/6 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | ? 2 | ? 3/5 | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [143] [144] | 13 Nov–10 Dec 2015 | 1,000 | ? | 35.5 10/11 | 21.3 6 | 7.0 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | 11.4 2 | 18.3 4/5 | 14.2 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia [145] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | 1,700 | ? | 38.1 11 | 17.4 4 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | 16.4 2 | 20.6 6 | 17.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 36.0 9 | 21.0 6 | 3.0 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | 15.0 2 | 20.0 6 | 15.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 39.6 11 | 19.2 5 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | 18.8 5 | 16.0 2 | 20.4 |
Infortécnica [146] | 16 Nov–9 Dec 2015 | 2,114 | ? | ? 10/12 | ? 4/5 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | ? 2 | ? 4/6 | ? |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 | ? 6 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | ? 2 | ? 4 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 36.9 10 | 21.2 6 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | 19.6 5 | 12.1 2 | 15.7 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,296 | ? | ? 10 | ? 5/6 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | [lower-alpha 11] | [lower-alpha 11] | ? 2 | ? 5/6 | ? |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia [147] | 17–23 Oct 2014 | 500 | 56.0 | 43.0 | 23.0 | 5.7 | [lower-alpha 12] | – | 3.5 | 20.7 | – | – | 20.0 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 38.7 | 35.2 13 | 21.8 6 | 7.9 0 | [lower-alpha 12] | 3.3 0 | 10.5 2 | 8.4 2 | 1.6 0 | – | 13.4 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 11 | ? 11 | ? 1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | Tie |
2012 regional election | 21 Oct 2012 | — | 54.9 | 45.8 14 | 20.6 5 | 10.1 2 | [lower-alpha 12] | 1.5 0 | 13.9 2 | – | – | – | 25.2 |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 300 | ? | ? 15 | ? 6 | ? 2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 62.2 | 52.5 15 | 27.8 6 | 11.2 2 | 4.1 0 | 1.2 0 | – | – | – | – | 24.7 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 72.4 | 38.3 2 | 23.7 1 | 0.8 0 | 4.2 0 | 15.8 1 | 15.1 0 | 14.6 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [148] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 34.6 1/2 | 21.6 1 | 0.6 0 | 4.5 0 | 20.0 1 | 15.9 0/1 | 13.0 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 175 | ? | 30.3 2 | 24.2 1 | – | 3.4 0 | 13.5 0 | 22.3 1 | 6.1 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2 | ? 1 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1 | ? |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 39.0 2 | 21.0 1 | – | 4.0 0 | 11.0 0 | 22.0 1 | 17.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.9 2 | 19.4 1 | – | – | ? 0 | 22.9 1 | 15.0 |
NC Report/La Razón [149] [150] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 37.1 2 | 25.1 1 | 0.3 0 | 3.2 0 | 12.8 0 | 18.3 1 | 12.0 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2 | ? 1 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1 | ? |
Metroscopia/El País [151] [152] | 30 Nov–2 Dec 2015 | 400 | 77 | 33.6 2 | 24.1 1 | – | 4.5 0 | 12.8 0 | 20.8 1 | 9.5 |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.1 2 | 22.5 1 | – | – | ? 0 | 22.5 1 | 14.6 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 252 | ? | ? 2 | ? 1 | – | – | ? 0 | ? 1 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 67.3 | 38.6 2 | 26.7 2 | 1.2 0 | 4.2 0 | 11.2 0 | 10.4 0 | 11.9 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 47.5 | 38.4 3 | 23.7 1 | 9.0 0 | 8.1 0 | 7.5 0 | 2.3 0 | 14.7 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 2 | ? 2 | – | – | – | – | Tie |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 150 | ? | ? 3 | ? 1 | – | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 72.8 | 54.7 3 | 31.1 1 | 6.0 0 | 4.6 0 | – | – | 23.6 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 74.1 | 33.4 13 | 17.8 6 | 1.2 0 | 5.3 2 | 20.9 8 | 18.8 7 | 0.6 0 | 12.5 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [153] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 30.4 11/13 | 16.1 6/7 | 2.1 0 | 6.3 2 | 23.5 9/10 | 18.7 6/7 | – | 6.9 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 1,593 | ? | 27.5 11 | 22.0 9 | – | 4.6 1 | 19.5 7 | 21.6 8 | – | 5.5 |
TNS Demoscopia/Europa Press [154] | 9–12 Dec 2015 | 700 | ? | 34.2 13 | 16.1 6 | 2.5 0/1 | 4.6 1 | 18.0 7 | 22.5 8/9 | – | 11.7 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 12/13 | ? 7 | – | ? 1 | ? 8 | ? 7/8 | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [155] [156] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 600 | ? | 33.4 13 | 20.1 7 | 0.3 0 | 4.4 1 | 20.4 8 | 18.9 7 | – | 13.0 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 29.0 11/12 | 18.0 7 | – | 5.0 1 | 22.0 8 | 23.0 8/9 | – | 6.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 34.1 13 | 17.3 7 | – | 4.7 1 | 16.7 6 | 23.8 9 | – | 10.3 |
JM&A/Público [16] | 6 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.0 11 | 16.5 6 | – | ? 1 | 19.0 7 | 28.1 11 | – | 1.1 |
A+M/20minutos [18] [157] | 4 Dec 2015 | 700 | ? | ? 10/11 | ? 6/7 | – | ? 2 | ? 8 | ? 9 | – | ? |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 13 | ? 6/7 | – | ? 1 | ? 7/8 | ? 8 | – | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 33.8 13 | 20.0 7 | – | 4.7 1 | 15.5 6 | 23.6 9 | – | 10.2 |
Metroscopia/El País [158] [159] | 25–26 Nov 2015 | 600 | 78 | 27.3 11 | 18.7 7 | – | 5.1 1/2 | 19.5 7 | 24.8 9/10 | – | 2.5 |
JM&A/Público [26] | 19 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 27.8 11 | ? 7 | – | ? 1 | ? 7 | 26.4 10 | – | 1.4 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 791 | ? | ? 13/14 | ? 5 | – | ? 1 | ? 6/7 | ? 10 | – | ? |
GAD3/ABC [160] | 14–29 Oct 2015 | ? | ? | ? 12 | ? 8/9 | – | ? 2 | ? 6 | ? 7/8 | – | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 65.7 | 33.1 13 | 25.4 10 | 2.0 0 | 4.2 1 | 18.6 7 | 12.2 5 | 1.2 0 | 7.7 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 46.5 | 30.0 13 | 19.0 8 | 10.6 4 | 10.6 4 | 11.4 4 | 4.8 2 | 3.7 1 | 11.0 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 14 | ? 10 | ? 7 | ? 5 | – | – | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 350 | ? | ? 19 | ? 9/10 | ? 4/5 | ? 3/4 | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 73.3 | 51.0 19 | 26.0 10 | 10.3 4 | 8.0 3 | – | – | – | 25.0 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 71.1 | 40.4 5 | 20.3 2 | 0.7 0 | 3.1 0 | 15.2 1 | 17.7 2 | 20.1 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [161] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 38.1 4/5 | 17.9 2 | 1.0 0 | 4.2 0 | 15.4 1/2 | 19.7 2 | 18.4 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 271 | ? | 38.6 5 | 18.1 2 | – | 4.9 0 | 20.7 2 | 14.6 1 | 18.1 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 5 | ? 2 | – | – | ? 1 | ? 2 | ? |
Celeste-Tel/PSOE [162] [163] | 2–9 Dec 2015 | 1,000 | 77.2 | 36.3 4 | 24.3 3 | 4.0 0 | 3.9 0 | 14.0 1 | 16.5 2 | 12.0 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 36.0 4 | 19.0 2 | – | 2.0 0 | 18.0 2 | 23.0 2 | 13.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 44.1 5 | 14.0 1 | – | – | 12.9 1 | 23.6 3 | 20.5 |
NC Report/La Razón [164] [165] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 40.6 5 | 18.6 2 | 0.2 0 | 4.0 0 | 13.4 1 | 19.9 2 | 20.7 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 5 | ? 2 | – | – | ? 1 | ? 2 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 43.5 5 | 16.4 2 | – | – | 12.0 1 | 23.3 2 | 20.2 |
Sigma Dos/La7 TV [166] [167] | 17–18 Nov 2015 | 700 | ? | 38.3 5 | 17.3 2 | – | 3.4 0 | 13.6 1 | 22.8 2 | 15.5 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 413 | ? | ? 5 | ? 2 | – | – | ? 1 | ? 2 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 63.6 | 37.4 5 | 23.9 3 | 1.6 0 | 4.8 0 | 13.2 1 | 12.6 1 | 13.5 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 42.5 | 37.5 5 | 20.7 2 | 9.5 1 | 9.8 1 | 7.6 1 | 3.6 0 | 16.8 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 6 | ? 4 | – | – | – | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 200 | ? | ? 8 | ? 2 | – | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 74.1 | 64.2 8 | 21.0 2 | 6.3 0 | 5.7 0 | – | – | 43.2 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 70.9 | 28.9 2 | 15.5 1 | 9.9 0 | 8.7 0 | 4.1 0 | 0.4 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 23.0 2 | 7.1 0 | 5.9 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [168] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 26.5 2 | 15.0 1 | 10.0 0/1 | 10.9 0/1 | 4.8 0 | 0.3 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 22.0 1/2 | 7.8 0 | 4.5 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 120 | ? | 30.8 2 | 14.6 1 | 18.1 1 | 15.0 1 | 3.4 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 10.6 0 | 6.9 0 | 12.7 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2 | ? 1 | ? 1 | ? 0 | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 1 | ? 0 | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [169] [170] | 13 Nov–10 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 28.4 2 | 16.2 1 | 12.7 1 | 11.9 0 | 3.5 0 | 0.2 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 17.1 1 | 7.8 0 | 11.3 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 24.4 2 | 14.7 1 | ? 0 | ? 0 | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 14.2 1 | 13.8 1 | 9.7 |
CIES/Diario de Navarra [171] [172] | 26 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | 800 | 76 | 25.2 1/2 | 13.5 1 | 12.6 1 | 12.3 0/1 | 6.8 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 15.3 1 | 11.7 0 | 9.9 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2 | ? 1 | ? 1 | ? 0 | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 1 | ? 0 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 22.8 2 | 14.0 1 | ? 0 | 12.6 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 0 | 13.9 1 | 8.8 |
Aztiker/Gara [65] [66] | 16–28 Nov 2015 | 600 | ? | 27.5 2 | 16.1 1 | 13.2 1 | 12.1 0 | 3.3 0 | 0.4 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 14.3 1 | 11.0 0 | 11.4 |
CIES/NaTV [173] | 27 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 28.6 2 | 14.8 1 | 12.9 0 | 15.7 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 14.3 1 | – | 12.9 |
Gizaker/Grupo Noticias [174] [175] | 26–27 Nov 2015 | 800 | 69.4 | 29.2 2 | 12.2 0/1 | 12.5 0/1 | 12.9 0/1 | 5.4 0 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 15.9 1 | 8.4 0 | 13.3 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 427 | ? | ? 2 | ? 1 | ? 1 | ? 0 | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 1 | ? 0 | ? |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 68.3 | 3.9 0 | 13.4 0 | 14.3 1 | 15.8 1 | 3.7 0 | 0.5 0 | 27.4 2 | 13.7 1 | 3.0 0 | 11.6 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 44.5 | 25.1 2 | 14.5 1 | 20.2 2 | 2.5 0 | 9.5 0 | 4.6 0 | – | 9.3 0 | 1.8 0 | 4.9 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 2 | ? 1 | ? 1 | ? 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | – | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 200 | ? | ? 2 | ? 1 | ? 1 | ? 1 | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 68.9 | 38.2 2 | 22.0 1 | 14.9 1 | 12.8 1 | 5.5 0 | 2.1 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | – | – | 16.2 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 74.8 | 31.3 11 | 19.8 7 | 4.2 0 | 0.6 0 | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 15.8 5 | 25.1 9 | 6.2 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [176] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 30.3 11/12 | 18.5 6/7 | 4.6 0/1 | 1.0 0 | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 17.0 5/6 | 25.5 9/10 | 4.8 |
GIPEyOP [3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 7,531 | ? | 25.4 9 | 20.0 7 | 5.2 1 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 17.9 7 | 26.2 8 | 0.8 |
GAD3/ABC [6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 | ? 7 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | ? 6 | ? 7 | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [177] [178] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 925 | ? | 32.9 13 | 21.0 7 | 4.1 0 | 0.4 0 | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 19.6 6 | 20.4 6 | 11.9 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [8] [9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.0 10/12 | 22.0 7 | 7.0 1 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 20.0 6/7 | 20.0 6/7 | 6.0 |
Redondo & Asociados [10] [11] [12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.5 11 | 20.5 7 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 25.1 8 | 18.0 6 | 3.4 |
GAD3/ABC [20] [21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 | ? 6/7 | ? 0/1 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | ? 7 | ? 7 | ? |
Redondo & Asociados [22] [23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.9 10 | 23.6 8 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 24.4 8 | 16.3 6 | 4.5 |
PP [179] | 29 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 26.7– 28.4 10/11 | 20.8– 22.5 7 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 22.8– 24.5 8/9 | 19.8– 21.5 6 | 3.9 |
ODEC/PSPV [180] [181] | 23 Nov 2015 | 2,950 | ? | 25.6 9 | 23.3 9 | 4.9 0/1 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | 20.9 7 | 19.7 6/7 | 2.3 |
CIS [27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,242 | ? | ? 10/12 | ? 6/7 | ? 0/1 | – | [lower-alpha 13] | [lower-alpha 13] | ? 7 | ? 7 | ? |
GAD3/ABC [160] | 14–29 Oct 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 | ? 9 | ? 0 | – | ? 2 | ? 3 | ? 7 | – | ? |
Metroscopia/El País [182] [183] [184] | 5–7 Oct 2015 | 1,273 | 80 | 21.6 8 | 23.3 8/9 | 5.6 1 | 0.1 0 | 7.3 1 | 15.6 5 | 25.4 9/10 | – | 2.1 |
Invest Group/Levante-EMV [185] [186] | 28 Sep–2 Oct 2015 | 1,100 | ? | 28.0 10/11 | 27.4 9/10 | 4.5 1 | – | 7.9 1/2 | 11.3 4 | 18.2 6/7 | – | 0.6 |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 69.6 | 26.6 11 | 20.6 8 | 4.3 0 | 1.2 0 | 18.4 7 | 11.4 3 | 12.5 4 | – | 6.0 |
JM&A/El Mundo [187] | 17 May 2015 | ? | ? | 27.2 11 | 20.3 7 | 3.3 0 | ? 0 | 6.1 1 | 18.5 6 | 20.2 7 | – | 6.9 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset [188] [189] | 9–12 Feb 2015 | ? | ? | 31.2 | 17.5 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 26.7 | 5.8 | – | 4.5 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 49.1 | 29.0 14 | 21.6 10 | 10.6 3 | 8.5 2 | 7.9 2 | 8.2 2 | 2.9 0 | – | 7.4 |
Metroscopia/El País [32] [33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 15 | ? 11 | ? 3 | ? 2 | ? 2 | – | – | – | ? |
ODEC/PSPV [190] | 17 Nov 2012 | 3,520 | ? | 40.8 | 27.5 | 10.8 | 6.7 | 6.9 | – | – | – | 13.3 |
NC Report/La Razón [35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 300 | ? | ? 20 | ? 8/9 | ? 1/2 | ? 1 | ? 1/2 | – | – | – | ? |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 74.2 | 53.3 20 | 26.8 10 | 6.5 1 | 5.6 1 | 4.8 1 | – | – | – | 26.5 |
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