In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Andalusia are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | IULV | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA [1] | 2–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 14 | ? 7 | ? 4 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 2 | ? |
Celeste-Tel [2] | 10 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 42.4 13 | 28.7 8 | 9.8 3 | 5.7 1 | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 1] | 6.8 2 | 13.7 |
CENTRA/CEA [3] | 12–17 Jan 2023 | 800 | ? | 48.5 14/15 | 27.9 8/9 | 7.7 2 | 3.0 0 | 6.9 1/2 | 3.3 0 | – | 20.6 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 54.9 | 43.5 13 | 30.1 9 | 7.8 2 | 7.7 2 | 5.3 1 | 4.2 0 | – | 13.4 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | IG | Mesa | IxA | IULV | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nexo/Azahara [4] [5] | 28 Mar–11 Apr 2023 | 300 | ? | 45.9 10/12 | 12.6 3 | 8.6 1/2 | 10.0 2 | 11.5 2/3 | 7.7 1 | – | 2.0 0 | 33.3 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 61.6 | 34.9 9 | 25.0 6 | 14.0 3 | 11.3 2 | 7.7 1 | 3.9 0 | 2.3 0 | – | 9.9 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | BxD | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Social Data/Grupo Viva [6] | 12 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 8/9 | ? 5/6 | ? 4 | ? 1 | ? 2 | ? 0/1 | ? |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 58.4 | 33.1 7 | 22.9 5 | 21.0 5 | 11.8 2 | 8.6 2 | – | 10.2 |
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | CSí | AC | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA [1] | 2–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | – | ? 11/12 | ? 6/7 | ? 0 | ? 2 | ? 1 | ? 6 | – | – | – | ? |
Dataestudios/ABC [7] | 3–9 May 2023 | 402 | ? | – | 38.8 12/13 | 16.7 5/6 | 2.1 0 | 5.2 0/1 | 1.1 0 | 25.1 8/9 | – | 4.9 0/1 | 2.9 0 | 13.7 |
CENTRA/CEA [3] | 8–10 Nov 2022 | 800 | ? | – | 43.1 13/14 | 17.6 5/6 | 4.5 0 | 2.2 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 26.7 8 | 3.0 0 | – | – | 16.4 |
Social Data/Grupo Viva [8] [9] | 20–31 Dec 2021 | 601 | ? | – | 28.3 8 | 20.1 6 | 2.4 0 | 7.0 2 | [lower-alpha 2] | 36.6 11 | – | – | – | 8.3 |
GAD3/La Voz de Cádiz [10] | 3–10 Dec 2021 | 602 | ? | – | 33.4 10 | 19.1 5/6 | 7.2 1/2 | 7.7 2 | [lower-alpha 1] | 27.2 8 | 2.8 0 | – | – | 6.2 |
Adelante Cádiz [11] | 20 Jun 2021 | 543 | ? | 38.8 12 | 27.6 9 | 14.5 4 | 5.6 1 | 5.8 1 | [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | – | – | 11.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [12] | 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 39.6 12 | 29.2 9 | 18.9 5 | 4.4 0 | 5.4 1 | [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | – | – | 10.4 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 62.6 | 43.6 13 | 22.0 6 | 17.2 5 | 11.0 3 | 3.8 0 | [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | – | – | 21.6 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | IULV | GCH | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3 [13] | 22 May 2022 | 545 | ? | 39.8 12 | 27.5 8 | ? 0/1 | ? 1 | ? 1 | ? 0 | ? 3 | 12.3 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 46.6 | 33.2 9 | 21.7 6 | 13.6 3 | 8.4 2 | 7.6 2 | 6.8 2 | 6.6 1 | 11.5 |
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | IULV | HCO | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA [1] | 2–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 14 | ? 7 | ? 0 | [lower-alpha 4] | ? 4 | [lower-alpha 4] | ? 4 | ? |
UCO [14] | 10–20 Apr 2023 | 402 | ? | 38.0 12/13 | 24.5 7/8 | 1.8 0 | [lower-alpha 4] | 8.7 2/3 | [lower-alpha 4] | 22.5 7 | 13.5 |
UCO [15] | 9–19 Jan 2023 | 402 | ? | 35.9 11 | 28.2 9 | 7.8 1/2 | [lower-alpha 4] | 10.3 3 | [lower-alpha 4] | 13.5 4/5 | 7.7 |
CENTRA/CEA [3] | 15–17 Nov 2022 | 1,000 | ? | 48.0 15/16 | 27.4 8/9 | 4.2 0 | 5.9 1/2 | 6.2 2 | 4.7 0/1 | – | 20.6 |
PP [16] | 5–15 Sep 2022 | 405 | ? | 42.9 14 | 20.0 6 | 5.3 1 | [lower-alpha 1] | 12.2 3 | [lower-alpha 1] | 16.1 5 | 22.9 |
UCO [17] | 16–31 May 2022 | 400 | ? | 39.0 13 | 24.6 8 | 5.8 1 | 13.4 4 | 9.6 3 | 3.2 0 | – | 14.4 |
UCO [18] | 15 Oct–15 Nov 2020 | 400 | 58.0 | 33.1 10 | 25.8 8 | 12.4 3 | 10.4 3 | 9.6 3 | 6.3 2 | – | 7.3 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.4 | 29.8 9 | 26.9 8 | 15.2 5 | 10.7 3 | 8.0 2 | 6.1 2 | – | 2.9 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | IULV | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [19] | 13 May–22 Oct 2021 | 351 | ? | 39.1 11 | 30.1 8 | 20.7 6 | 3.9 0 | – | 2.2 0 | 9.0 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.7 | 32.6 9 | 24.8 7 | 18.9 5 | 13.9 4 | 4.6 0 | 1.9 0 | 7.8 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | UP | L | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Social Data/Grupo Viva [20] | 12–16 Dec 2022 | 800 | ? | 38.7 11/12 | 24.8 6/7 | 10.2 2/3 | 0.8 0 | 9.9 2/3 | 8.9 2 | – | – | 13.9 |
Social Data/Grupo Viva [21] | 4–11 Nov 2021 | 800 | ? | 40.8 12 | 17.6 5 | 9.8 2 | 5.0 1 | 13.4 3 | 8.3 2 | 1.3 0 | 1.2 0 | 23.2 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 53.6 | 29.4 9 | 27.1 8 | 11.1 3 | 9.4 2 | 7.5 2 | 6.0 1 | 4.8 0 | 3.8 0 | 2.3 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deimos Estadística [22] [23] | 15 May 2021 | 265 | ? | 50.5 6 | 25.3 3 | 18.0 2 | 6.0 0 | 25.2 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 79.3 | 51.8 6 | 38.9 4 | 8.4 1 | – | 12.9 |
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA [1] | 2–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 9 | ? 12/13 | ? 0 | – | ? 4 | ? 0/1 | ? |
GAD3/Vocento [24] | 8–10 May 2023 | ? | ? | 30.5 9/10 | 39.8 12/13 | – | – | 12.7 4 | 5.3 1 | 9.3 |
CENTRA/CEA [3] | 28–30 Nov 2022 | 1,000 | ? | 32.5 9/10 | 41.7 13/14 | 2.3 0 | – | 6.1 1/2 | 9.3 2/3 | 9.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [12] | 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 25.5 8 | 26.1 9 | 3.9 0 | 17.1 5 | 17.4 5 | – | 0.6 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 60.9 | 32.5 10 | 23.8 7 | 14.8 4 | 10.0 3 | 9.5 3 | – | 8.7 |
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA [1] | 2–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 11/12 | ? 12 | ? 0 | – | – | ? 2/3 | ? 1 | – | ? |
Dataestudios/ABC [25] | 8–12 May 2023 | 400 | ? | 28.2 8/9 | 42.9 13/14 | 3.5 0 | – | 5.1 0/1 | 6.4 2 | 6.5 2 | 2.6 0 | 14.7 |
GAD3/Azahara [26] | 21–24 Apr 2023 | 605 | ? | 36.1 11/12 | 39.6 13 | 1.9 0 | – | 3.3 0 | 7.5 2 | 5.0 0/1 | 3.8 0 | 3.5 |
CENTRA/CEA [3] | 12–16 Jan 2023 | 800 | ? | 31.5 10/11 | 42.5 13/14 | 3.5 0 | – | 4.1 0 | 7.1 2 | 4.7 0/1 | – | 11.0 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 51.2 | 45.2 14 | 16.1 4 | 9.7 3 | 9.4 2 | 7.8 2 | 6.8 2 | – | – | 29.1 |
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA [1] | 2–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 10/11 | ? 12 | ? 0 | – | ? 2 | – | – | ? 2/3 | ? |
CENTRA/CEA [3] | 12–14 Dec 2022 | 800 | ? | 38.3 12 | 39.6 13 | 3.7 0 | – | 7.8 2 | 2.9 0 | – | – | 1.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [27] | 13 May–18 Sep 2021 | 364 | ? | 38.0 12 | 36.6 12 | 3.8 0 | – | 9.4 3 | 4.0 0 | 3.2 0 | – | 1.4 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 59.9 | 37.0 11 | 27.0 8 | 15.4 4 | 6.3 2 | 6.3 2 | – | – | – | 10.0 |
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | GJ | IULV | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA [1] | 2–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 8/9 | ? 13/14 | ? 0 | – | [lower-alpha 5] | ? 2/3 | – | ? 0/1 | ? 2 | – | – | ? |
Social Data/CS [28] | 11 May 2023 | 500 | ? | 34.0 11/12 | 31.7 10/11 | 5.5 0/1 | – | [lower-alpha 5] | 6.9 1/2 | – | 2.7 0 | 8.5 2/3 | – | 5.8 0/1 | 2.3 |
Social Data/Grupo Viva [29] [30] | 10–11 Nov 2022 | 500 | ? | 38.7 13 | 35.5 11 | 1.3 0 | – | 3.1 0 | 7.4 2 | 2.6 0 | 3.8 0 | 5.4 1 | – | – | 3.2 |
PoliticAnd [31] | 15–31 Oct 2022 | 600 | 53.5 | 32.5 10/11 | 40.7 13 | 1.7 0 | – | 3.1 0 | 5.7 1 | – | 4.9 0/1 | 8.0 2 | – | – | 8.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [32] | 13 May–18 Sep 2021 | 352 | ? | 31.1 10 | 37.7 12 | 3.2 0 | – | 1.1 0 | 8.2 2 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.3 1 | 8.3 2 | 6.6 |
GAD3/PP [33] [34] | 17–23 Jun 2021 | 601 | ? | 26.8 9 | 41.3 13 | 4.2 0 | – | 5.1 1 | 9.0 3 | – | 5.5 1 | 3.3 0 | – | – | 14.5 |
PoliticAnd [35] [36] | 30 Nov–10 Dec 2020 | 500 | 53.4 | 38.1 11/12 | 27.9 8/9 | 8.3 2 | 10.6 3 | 3.4 0 | 7.6 2 | – | [lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | 10.2 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 52.2 | 32.1 10 | 28.3 9 | 13.7 4 | 11.2 3 | 5.3 1 | 4.8 0 | 0.8 0 | [lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | 3.8 |
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA [1] | 2–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 16 | ? 10 | – | ? 0 | ? 2 | ? 3 | – | ? |
NC Report/La Razón [37] | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 48.1 16 | 30.2 11 | – | – | 6.4 2 | 7.3 2 | – | 17.9 |
GAD3/Vocento [38] [39] | 26–27 Apr 2023 | 500 | ? | 49.5 16/17 | 29.1 9/10 | – | 1.2 0 | 6.1 2 | 8.8 3 | – | 20.4 |
NC Report/La Razón [40] | 24 Apr 2023 | ? | 54.8 | 46.4 16 | 30.5 11 | – | – | 6.2 2 | 6.8 2 | – | 15.9 |
OndatelPolls [41] [42] | 3–16 Apr 2023 | 1,300 | 50.6 | 41.9 14 | 36.8 13 | – | 2.4 0 | 4.4 0 | 12.4 4 | 0.7 0 | 5.1 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [43] | 10–15 Feb 2023 | 500 | ? | 46.8 16/17 | 28.8 10 | – | 2.0 0 | 6.6 2 | 8.4 2/3 | 2.5 0 | 18.0 |
CENTRA/CEA [3] | 21–26 Oct 2022 | 1,500 | ? | 47.4 16/17 | 31.7 11/12 | – | 1.9 0 | 5.1 0/1 | 8.5 2 | – | 15.7 |
Dialoga Consultores/El Español [44] | 26 Sep–13 Oct 2021 | 1,200 | ? | ? 14/15 | ? 9/10 | – | ? 0 | ? 3/4 | ? 2/3 | – | ? |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [45] | 11 Mar 2021 | 1,500 | ? | 34.1 12 | 35.0 12 | – | 4.7 0 | 14.9 5 | 5.6 2 | 3.9 0 | 0.9 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.5 | 39.7 14 | 32.5 12 | 10.6 3 | 7.8 2 | 4.4 0 | – | – | 7.2 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | IULV | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva [46] [47] | 28 Sep–7 Oct 2020 | 500 | ? | 47.2 10/11 | 23.8 5/6 | 13.1 3/4 | 6.5 1/2 | 5.4 0/1 | 3.2 0 | 23.4 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 59.2 | 44.1 10 | 22.2 5 | 20.7 5 | 8.0 1 | 2.7 0 | 1.3 0 | 21.9 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | SR100 | PIVG | IULV | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SW Demoscopia/PSOE [48] | 4–14 Jun 2021 | 701 | ? | 46.9 12 | 18.3 4 | 11.4 2 | – | 1.1 0 | 5.1 1 | 6.9 1 | 5.3 1 | 3.8 0 | 28.6 |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 57.7 | 44.8 11 | 20.7 5 | 8.4 2 | 7.2 1 | 7.2 1 | 6.4 1 | 4.3 0 | [lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 3] | 24.1 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | JxU | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dialoga Consultores [49] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 600 | ? | 46.0 13/14 | 20.1 5/6 | 3.0 0 | 14.8 3/4 | 7.7 1/2 | 4.9 0/1 | 25.9 | |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 58.1 | 44.9 14 | 32.7 10 | 6.1 1 | 4.2 0 | 3.4 0 | 3.1 0 | 12.2 | |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | GI PMTM | IULV | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Social Data/AxSí [50] | 27 Jan 2022 | ? | ? | ? 9 | ? 5 | ? 6 | ? 4 | – | – | – | ? 1 | ? |
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.5 | 28.9 9 | 20.5 7 | 20.3 7 | 6.6 2 | 4.8 0 | 4.0 0 | 3.9 0 | 3.7 0 | 8.4 |
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