Opinion polling for the 2007 Spanish local elections

In the run up to the 2007 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 25 May 2003, to the day the next elections were held, on 27 May 2007.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Nationwide polling

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					Lead
2007 local elections	27 May 2007	—	64.0	34.9	35.6	5.4	3.3	0.7
Metroscopia/ABC [1]	16–18 Apr 2007	1,002	65	38.3	36.2	5.7	–	2.1
2003 local elections	25 May 2003	—	64.0	34.8	34.3	6.1	3.4	0.5

Sub-national polling

Opinion poll results for municipalities in each of Spain's autonomous communities, as well as for the Canarian cabildos insulares and the Balearic island councils, may be found below:

Andalusia

Málaga

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			IULV	Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	50.2	51.0 17	36.3 12	7.2 2	14.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [2] [3]	2–9 May 2007	400	?	52.3 17/18	34.3 11/12	7.8 2	18.0
2003 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	56.3	49.1 17	34.2 12	8.3 2	14.9

Seville

Further information: 2007 Seville City Council election § Opinion polls

Aragon

Zaragoza

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout						Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	60.1	38.1 13	33.9 12	9.6 3	8.4 2	5.3 1	4.2
Opina/Cadena SER [4] [5]	15 May 2007	800	?	40.0 13/14	36.0 12	17.0 5/6	? 0/1	? 0	4.0
C&J/El Periódico [6]	7–12 May 2007	?	?	? 12	? 11	? 4	? 4	? 0	?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [2] [3]	2–9 May 2007	400	?	36.5 12/13	36.3 12/13	14.1 4/5	6.3 2	4.4 0	0.2
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón [7]	13 Oct 2005	?	?	35.1 12	35.7 12	16.2 5	? 2	? 0	0.6
2007 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	66.2	33.9 12	32.7 11	18.3 6	7.0 2	4.0 0	1.2

Basque Country

Bilbao

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	57.0	41.2 13	22.4 7	22.0 7	8.0 2	[a]	2.7 0	18.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [2] [3]	2–9 May 2007	400	?	40.1 12/13	25.2 8	20.8 6/7	8.9 2	[a]	–	14.9
2003 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	68.3	41.3 13	25.9 8	18.7 5	10.2 3	1.4 0	[b]	15.4

Donostia-San Sebastián

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	54.9	37.4 11	17.2 5	21.4 6	11.4 3	[a]	8.3 2	16.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [2] [3]	2–9 May 2007	400	?	36.3 10/11	24.6 7	23.5 7	9.9 2/3	[a]	3.6 0	11.7
2003 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	66.5	35.6 10	29.7 9	23.8 7	5.2 1	3.4 0	[b]	5.9

Vitoria-Gasteiz

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	62.3	29.7 9	21.9 6	31.4 9	7.5 2	[a]	5.6 1	1.7
Opina/Cadena SER [8]	15 May 2007	?	?	31.0 9	22.0 6	30.0 8/9	? 2	[a]	? 1/2	1.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [2] [3]	2–9 May 2007	400	?	29.5 9	24.3 7/8	28.8 8/9	9.1 2	[a]	4.3 0	0.7
CIS [9]	9–29 Apr 2007	800	?	31.5 9	26.4 8	25.2 7	11.0 3	[a]	3.7 0	5.1
2003 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	70.9	30.5 9	29.4 9	23.9 7	8.0 2	1.8 0	[b]	1.1

Castile and León

León

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			UPL	Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	63.1	37.6 11	44.2 13	10.8 3	6.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [2] [3]	2–9 May 2007	400	?	43.7 12/13	41.4 11/12	10.6 3	2.3
2003 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	65.3	38.5 12	34.2 10	19.2 5	4.3

Valladolid

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout				Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	69.1	47.8 15	39.0 13	5.9 1	8.8
Opina/Cadena SER [10] [11]	13 May 2007	800	?	48.7 15	44.0 13	5.6 1	4.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [2] [3]	27 Apr–2 May 2007	500	?	47.1 14/15	42.1 13/14	5.7 1	5.0
2003 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	70.7	44.6 15	39.8 13	5.3 1	4.8

Catalonia

Barcelona

Further information: 2007 Barcelona City Council election § Opinion polls

Galicia

A Coruña

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			BNG		Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	53.9	35.0 11	31.4 10	20.7 6	3.2 0	3.6
Opina/Cadena SER [12] [13]	15 May 2007	600	?	48.0 14/15	27.5 8	16.5 4	5.0 0/1	20.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [2] [3]	2–9 May 2007	400	?	47.8 14	23.7 6/7	23.2 6/7	–	24.1
2003 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	57.3	45.7 14	24.1 7	22.7 6	2.5 0	21.6

Santiago de Compostela

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			BNG		Lead
2007 municipal election	27 May 2007	—	56.5	38.2 10	39.0 11	16.5 4	2.3 0	0.7
CIS [14]	9–29 Apr 2007	800	?	47.1 12/13	33.1 9	13.8 3/4	1.8 0	14.0
2003 municipal election	25 May 2003	—	64.8	40.3 11	36.4 10	16.7 4	1.2 0	3.9

Community of Madrid

Madrid

Further information: 2007 Madrid City Council election § Opinion polls

Valencian Community

Valencia

Further information: 2007 Barcelona City Council election § Opinion polls

Notes

1. Within EB–B.
2. Within PNV.

References

1. "El PP mantiene el empate técnico con el PSOE a un mes de las elecciones locales". ABC (in Spanish). 22 April 2007.
2. "Sigma Dos: Los ayuntamientos de las grandes ciudades no cambiarían de manos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 14 May 2007.
3. "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
4. "El PSOE de Belloch mantendría su mayoría en Zaragoza". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 18 May 2007.
5. "Informe Zaragoza. Mayo 2007". Opina (in Spanish). 18 May 2007.
6. "Belloch podrá repetir y escoger socio de gobierno entre CHA o PAR". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 21 May 2007.
7. "El PP supera en intención de voto al PSOE en Zaragoza, según un sondeo". ABC (in Spanish). 13 October 2005.
8. "Máxima emoción en Vitoria: PP y PSE casi empatados en concejales". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 15 May 2007.
9. "Preelectoral elecciones municipales, 2007. Ciudad de Santiago de Compostela (Estudio nº 2684. Abril 2007)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
10. "El alcalde de Valladolid mantendría el cargo en una ajustada victoria, según el Pulsómetro". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 17 May 2007.
11. "Informe Valladolid. Mayo 2007". Opina (in Spanish). 17 May 2007.
12. "El PSOE revalidaría su mayoría en el Ayuntamiento de A Coruña en las primeras elecciones sin Paco Vázquez". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
13. "Pulsómetro 20/05/2007". Opina (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
14. "Preelectoral elecciones municipales, 2007. Ciudad de Santiago de Compostela (Estudio nº 2685. Abril 2007)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.