Opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

In the run up to the 2011 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 9th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 9 March 2008, to the day the next election was held, on 20 November 2011.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 9 March 2008 to 20 November 2011, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					PNV			BNG			Lead
2011 general election	20 Nov 2011	—	68.9	28.8 110	44.6 186	6.9 11	4.2 16	1.3 5	4.7 5	1.1 3	0.8 2	0.6 2	1.4 7	15.8
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA [1] [2]	20 Nov 2011	190,000	?	30.0 115/119	43.5 181/185	6.7 9/11	3.4 13/15	1.2 4/5	4.3 3/4	1.1 3	0.8 2	0.6 2/3	1.4 6/7	13.5
NC Report/La Razón [3] [4]	20 Nov 2011	771	71.1	31.7 112/116	45.5 186/192	7.9 11	3.3 13	1.2 4/5	2.4 2	0.7 2	1.0 2	0.8 2/3	? 4/5	13.8
PP [5]	19 Nov 2011	?	?	? 117	? 191	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	?
Sigma Dos/The Times [6] [7]	16 Nov 2011	?	?	28.0 107	48.0 200	6.7 11	3.1 12	? 6	3.8 4	? 2	? 2	? 2	? 4	20.0
Infortécnica [8]	13 Nov 2011	?	?	? 115/125	? 190/200	–	–	–	–	–	? 2	–	–	?
GESOP/El Periódico [9]	7–12 Nov 2011	2,070	?	30.2 115/118	46.2 188/192	6.0 8/10	3.2 13/14	1.1 4/5	4.4 4	1.1 2/3	–	–	1.1 4/5	16.0
Tábula V/La Gaceta [10]	7–11 Nov 2011	1,400	79	31.3 121/123	45.2 184/187	8.9 9/10	3.2 11/13	1.4 4/6	3.2 2/3	1.3 2/3	0.8 1/2	0.6 1/2	1.6 4/6	13.9
NC Report/La Razón [11] [12]	27 Oct–11 Nov 2011	5,750	?	31.0 115	45.9 188	7.2 11	3.3 13	1.3 5	2.8 2	0.9 2	1.0 2	0.8 3	? 5	14.9
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [13] [14]	9–10 Nov 2011	1,000	?	32.0	45.0	6.0	3.5	1.5	3.0	1.0	–	–	1.0	13.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia [15]	7–10 Nov 2011	1,275	>70	30.1 116/120	44.7 184/189	7.8 8/10	3.3 12/14	1.0 4/5	4.6 3/4	0.7 2	–	–	0.6 3/4	14.6
Simple Lógica [16]	2–10 Nov 2011	1,009	73.7	31.2	46.1	5.5	3.5	0.6	3.7	–	–	–	–	14.9
GAD3/COPE [17] [18]	2–10 Nov 2011	1,395	?	31.8 115/118	45.4 188/192	5.6 8	3.3 13	1.3 5/6	3.4 3	0.8 1	0.8 2	0.9 3	1.4 4/5	13.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [19] [20]	28 Oct–10 Nov 2011	3,000	?	29.8 112	47.6 198	5.7 7	3.8 14	1.3 5	3.0 3	0.9 2	? 2	? 2	? 3	17.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia [21]	28 Oct–9 Nov 2011	?	?	31.6	47.1	5.3	3.6	0.7	2.3	0.8	0.7	0.2	–	15.5
Celeste-Tel [22]	2–8 Nov 2011	1,100	?	31.5 118/120	44.7 186/188	7.0 9/10	3.3 12/13	1.3 5	2.6 2	0.9 2	1.2 2	0.9 3	? 4/5	13.2
Metroscopia/El País [23] [24]	18 Oct–8 Nov 2011	9,675	70	30.9 110/113	45.4 192/196	8.8 11	3.3 14	1.2 5	4.2 2	0.9 3	0.7 2	0.3 2	0.6 4/5	14.5
TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP [25] [26]	2–7 Nov 2011	1,505	74.3	28.7	47.7	7.6	3.4	1.1	4.2	1.2	–	–	–	19.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [19]	3–6 Nov 2011	?	?	30.1 114	48.2 198	5.4 6	3.6 13	1.3 5	3.0 3	0.9 2	? 2	? 2	? 3	18.1
Ipsos/La Nueva España [27] [28]	1–6 Nov 2011	3,935	?	31.8 123/128	44.5 184/190	6.1 ?	3.4 ?	1.0 ?	4.1 ?	1.0 ?	0.7 ?	0.4 ?	0.9 ?	12.7
InvyMark/laSexta [29]	31 Oct–4 Nov 2011	?	?	34.4	46.5	4.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	12.1
PP [30]	3 Nov 2011	?	?	? 116	? 189	–	–	? 4/5	? 3	–	–	–	–	?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [31] [32]	31 Oct–3 Nov 2011	3,000	?	30.6 117	47.6 194	5.3 6	3.5 13	1.3 5	3.0 3	0.9 2	? 2	? 3	? 3	17.0
DYM/ABC [33]	24 Oct–3 Nov 2011	7,612	?	34.2 123/126	45.5 187/188	5.4 6/7	3.6 12/14	1.2 4	2.8 2/3	1.3 2	0.6 1	0.7 2/3	1.3 5/6	11.3
NC Report/La Razón [34] [35]	24 Oct–3 Nov 2011	5,752	?	31.3 119	46.0 185	? 11	? 13	? 6	? 2	? 1	? 2	? 3	? 4	14.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [36] [37]	18–31 Oct 2011	3,000	?	30.7 117	47.4 193	5.4 6	3.5 13	1.2 5	3.1 3	0.9 2	? 2	? 3	? 4	16.7
GAD3/COPE [38] [39]	17–31 Oct 2011	1,200	71	32.7 120/127	45.2 182/189	5.1 4/7	3.3 11/14	1.2 4/6	3.4 2/3	0.8 1	0.8 2	0.9 3	1.4 3/5	12.5
NC Report/La Razón [40]	28 Oct 2011	1,000	69.1	31.4 118/120	45.9 184/187	7.4 10/11	2.9 12	1.1 5	2.8 2/3	0.8 1	1.3 3	0.9 3	? 5	14.5
Celeste-Tel [22]	24–28 Oct 2011	1,100	?	32.3 120/121	46.1 186/188	6.8 8/9	3.3 12/13	1.3 5	2.8 2	0.9 2	1.2 3	0.9 3	? 4/5	13.8
Metroscopia/El País [41]	24–27 Oct 2011	1,500	70	30.3	45.3	6.0	–	–	4.2	–	–	–	–	15.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [42] [43]	27 Sep–27 Oct 2011	7,400	?	31.0 119	47.4 191	5.3 6	3.5 13	1.1 5	3.1 3	0.9 2	? 2	? 3	? 4	16.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [44] [45]	11–24 Oct 2011	3,000	?	31.3 121	47.5 191	5.3 6	3.3 13	1.1 5	3.1 3	0.8 1	? 2	? 2	? 4	16.2
CIS [46] [47]	6–23 Oct 2011	17,236	?	29.9 116/121	46.6 190/195	6.2 8	3.3 13	1.2 3	2.9 3	1.2 3	0.8 2	0.6 2	1.1 3	16.7
NC Report/La Razón [48]	18–22 Oct 2011	1,000	68.6	31.2 116/118	46.2 186/189	7.2 10/11	3.1 13	1.0 4	2.8 2/3	0.7 1	1.2 3	0.9 3	? 5/6	15.0
InvyMark/laSexta [29]	18–21 Oct 2011	?	?	35.1	45.4	4.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	10.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [49]	17–20 Oct 2011	1,800	?	33.1	44.7	6.7	2.7	1.4	2.6	1.2	0.8	–	1.3	11.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [50] [51]	7–20 Oct 2011	3,000	73.3	30.7 119	47.8 194	5.4 6	3.4 13	1.1 6	3.2 3	0.9 2	? 2	? 2	? 2	17.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [52]	3–17 Oct 2011	3,300	?	30.7 118	47.9 195	5.4 6	3.4 13	1.2 6	2.9 3	1.0 2	? 2	? 2	? 3	17.2
Intercampo/GETS [53] [54]	15 Sep–17 Oct 2011	1,724	Medium	32.2	46.3	4.9	2.8	1.0	4.4	1.1	–	–	–	14.1
			High	31.0– 33.0	45.0– 47.0	4.5– 5.5	2.6– 3.1	0.9– 1.1	4.0– 5.0	0.8– 1.2	–	–	–	14.0
			Low	30.0– 32.0	47.0– 49.0	4.0– 5.0	2.7– 3.1	0.8– 1.2	4.0– 5.0	0.7– 1.0	–	–	–	17.0
NC Report/La Razón [55]	14 Oct 2011	?	68.3	30.9 115/117	46.4 187/190	7.0 10/11	3.3 13/14	1.2 4/5	2.9 2/3	0.7 1/2	1.2 2/3	0.9 3/4	? 4/5	15.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [56] [57]	11–13 Oct 2011	900	?	30.8 117	48.0 196	5.3 6	3.4 13	1.2 6	3.0 3	1.0 2	? 2	? 2	? 3	17.2
Metroscopia/El País [58] [59] [60]	11–13 Oct 2011	1,500	70	29.7 115/120	45.5 185/190	7.6 ?	–	–	4.5 ?	–	–	–	–	15.8
Simple Lógica [16]	3–10 Oct 2011	?	?	31.8	46.7	5.1	2.8	1.3	4.0	–	–	–	–	14.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [61] [62]	27 Sep–10 Oct 2011	3,600	?	31.4 121	47.6 193	5.2 6	3.3 13	1.3 6	3.0 3	1.0 2	? 2	? 2	? 2	16.2
Celeste-Tel/Terra [63] [64]	3–8 Oct 2011	1,357	69.1	32.7 120/122	45.5 185/187	6.8 9/10	3.3 12/13	1.4 5/6	3.0 2	0.8 1	1.3 3	0.9 3	1.3 4	12.8
InvyMark/laSexta [65]	3–7 Oct 2011	?	?	35.1	46.1	4.6	3.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	11.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [66] [67]	27 Sep–6 Oct 2011	3,000	?	31.6 122	47.8 193	5.2 6	3.2 12	1.2 5	2.9 3	1.0 2	? 2	? 2	? 3	16.2
NC Report/La Razón [68] [69] [70]	21 Sep–6 Oct 2011	6,100	?	30.6 113/115	45.9 183/185	7.2 11/12	3.6 14/15	1.1 4/5	2.9 2/3	0.8 1/2	1.1 2/3	0.9 3/4	? 5	15.3
Noxa/La Vanguardia [71]	28 Sep–4 Oct 2011	1,272	?	32.9 115/122	45.9 186/192	4.7 4	3.2 11/12	0.9 5/7	3.6 2/4	0.5 1/2	–	–	0.8 4	13.0
CEMOP [72] [73]	26 Sep–4 Oct 2011	800	76	32.4	46.8	6.3	3.6	1.4	3.1	1.3	–	–	–	14.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [74]	27–30 Sep 2011	2,000	?	31.8	47.4	5.0	3.2	1.2	3.1	0.9	–	–	–	15.6
Celeste-Tel [63]	26–30 Sep 2011	1,100	?	32.1 120	45.1 183	7.0 11	3.5 13	1.2 5	2.9 2	0.8 1	1.3 3	1.0 2	–	13.0
PP [75] [76]	29 Sep 2011	?	?	? 115	? 189	? 8	? 14	? 6	? 3	? 2	? 2	? 2	? 4	?
NC Report/La Razón [77]	21–28 Sep 2011	1,000	70.0	30.6 116/118	46.1 183/185	6.8 10/12	3.6 13/15	1.1 5/6	3.0 2/3	0.8 1/2	1.0 2/3	0.9 3/4	? 5/6	15.5
Celeste-Tel [63]	19–23 Sep 2011	1,100	?	31.3 121	44.0 179	7.4 11	3.6 14	1.1 4	2.9 3	0.8 1	1.4 3	1.0 2	–	12.7
InvyMark/laSexta [65]	19–23 Sep 2011	?	?	35.3	45.9	4.5	3.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	10.6
GESOP/El Periódico [78] [79] [80]	19–22 Sep 2011	1,000	?	31.4 121/125	46.1 185/189	4.7 4/6	3.7 14/15	1.0 4/5	5.0 4/6	1.0 1/2	–	–	–	14.7
Celeste-Tel [81]	12–16 Sep 2011	1,100	?	31.5 128	44.2 176	6.9 9	3.8 14	1.2 5	2.9 3	0.7 1	1.2 3	1.0 2	–	12.7
InvyMark/laSexta [82]	5–9 Sep 2011	?	?	35.5	45.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	10.3
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [83] [84]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,000	?	32.0	45.0	6.5	4.0	1.5	2.0	1.5	–	–	–	13.0
Metroscopia/El País [85] [86]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,002	70	30.7	44.8	6.2	3.3	–	4.4	–	–	–	–	14.1
Simple Lógica [16]	1–8 Sep 2011	1,022	?	32.9	46.7	5.2	2.5	0.9	3.8	–	–	–	–	13.8
GAD3/COPE [87] [88]	5–6 Sep 2011	504	?	31.1 128	45.1 179	6.1 8	3.4 13	1.1 6	3.9 4	0.7 1	0.8 2	0.3 2	–	14.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [89]	29 Aug–1 Sep 2011	1,000	?	32.3	47.1	5.0	3.2	1.2	3.5	0.6	–	–	–	14.8
NC Report/La Razón [90]	28 Aug 2011	?	69.5	30.8 117/119	46.5 182/185	6.2 6/7	3.8 14/16	1.2 5/6	3.2 3/4	0.7 1/2	1.0 2/3	0.6 1/2	? 4	15.7
Simple Lógica [16]	2–10 Aug 2011	1,014	?	31.5	44.8	4.3	3.0	1.0	4.8	–	–	–	–	13.3
DYM/ABC [91]	2–3 Aug 2011	1,076	?	35.0	47.6	4.7	3.5	1.3	1.8	0.5	–	–	2.0	12.6
NC Report/La Razón [92]	29–30 Jul 2011	1,000	69.3	30.9 118/121	46.9 183/186	6.6 7/8	3.8 12/14	1.2 5/6	3.2 4	0.9 2	1.0 3	0.6 1	? 4	16.0
Metroscopia/El País [93] [94]	27–28 Jul 2011	1,203	70	30.8	44.8	6.6	–	–	3.8	–	–	–	–	14.0
Simple Lógica [16]	4–12 Jul 2011	?	?	30.8	46.3	5.1	2.3	0.8	4.3	–	–	–	–	15.5
CIS [95] [96]	4–11 Jul 2011	2,475	?	36.0	43.1	5.1	3.1	1.0	3.0	1.1	0.5	0.5	–	7.1
Ipsos [97]	27 Jun–8 Jul 2011	?	?	36.0	44.2	4.4	2.8	1.4	2.4	0.6	1.1	–	1.2	8.2
Celeste-Tel [98]	1–7 Jul 2011	1,100	?	34.3 139	44.2 170	5.9 6	3.9 14	1.2 5	3.2 3	0.6 1	1.1 3	1.0 2	–	9.9
GAD/COPE [99] [100]	1–5 Jul 2011	504	?	30.9 120	46.4 187	6.1 10	3.5 15	1.1 6	3.4 3	0.7 1	0.8 2	0.3 2	–	15.5
Metroscopia/El País [101] [102]	29–30 Jun 2011	1,001	70	30.4	44.7	6.4	–	–	3.2	–	–	–	–	14.3
NC Report/La Razón [103] [104]	26–30 Jun 2011	1,000	68.5	31.0 118/122	47.1 182/185	7.0 7/8	3.7 12/13	1.1 5	3.3 4/5	0.8 2	1.0 3	0.5 1	? 4	16.1
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [105]	20–21 Jun 2011	1,000	?	38.0	47.0	3.5	3.0	1.0	1.5	2.0	–	–	–	9.0
GAD/COPE [106] [107]	3–7 Jun 2011	501	?	30.7 119	46.6 189	6.2 10	3.6 16	1.3 7	3.2 3	0.7 1	0.8 2	0.3 2	–	15.9
Celeste-Tel [98]	1–7 Jun 2011	1,100	?	32.8 135	45.5 173	6.5 6	3.9 15	1.1 5	3.1 3	0.6 1	1.1 3	0.9 1	–	12.7
Simple Lógica [16]	1–6 Jun 2011	1,000	?	29.4	46.3	6.4	2.8	1.3	5.3	–	–	–	–	16.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [108] [109]	1–2 Jun 2011	1,000	?	32.1	45.9	5.8	3.5	1.0	3.6	1.1	–	–	–	13.8
Metroscopia/El País [110] [111]	1–2 Jun 2011	1,001	70	31.0	44.8	6.2	3.2	–	2.5	–	–	–	–	13.8
NC Report/La Razón [112]	29 May–2 Jun 2011	1,000	68.6	31.5 120/123	47.2 186/187	6.4 7/8	3.9 13/14	1.2 5/6	3.2 4/5	0.7 2	0.9 3	0.7 2	–	15.7
GESOP/El Periódico [113] [114] [115]	30 May–1 Jun 2011	1,000	?	35.3 133/137	44.0 176/180	5.8 7/9	3.0 12/13	1.2 5/6	4.1 4/5	0.7 1	–	–	–	8.7
2011 local elections	22 May 2011	—	66.2	27.8	37.5	7.4	3.5	1.4	2.1	1.2	1.2	0.9	1.4	9.7
Simple Lógica [16]	3–13 May 2011	1,016	?	30.6	47.0	6.4	3.3	1.1	3.9	–	–	–	–	16.4
Celeste-Tel [98]	2–6 May 2011	1,100	?	32.0 133	46.2 173	6.8 6	4.0 14	1.3 5	3.1 4	0.6 2	1.2 3	0.8 1	–	14.2
Metroscopia/El País [116] [117]	27–28 Apr 2011	1,200	70	31.7	44.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	12.6
Ikerfel/Vocento [118] [119]	4–22 Apr 2011	45,635	?	35.5	44.5	6.0	3.9	1.4	2.5	0.9	0.9	0.7	–	9.0
NC Report/La Razón [120]	18–20 Apr 2011	1,000	?	31.8 122/125	46.4 186/187	6.6 7/9	3.9 13/14	1.3 7	3.4 3/4	0.6 1/2	0.8 2	0.6 2	–	14.6
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [121]	11–19 Apr 2011	2,005	?	37.8	40.1	7.2	3.9	1.3	2.3	0.6	1.1	–	–	2.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [122] [123]	7–12 Apr 2011	3,000	72.0	30.5	45.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	15.0
InvyMark/laSexta [124]	4–8 Apr 2011	?	?	32.7	46.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	13.6
CIS [125] [126]	1–8 Apr 2011	2,463	?	33.4	43.8	5.2	3.5	1.3	3.5	1.3	0.9	0.5	–	10.4
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [127] [128]	6–7 Apr 2011	1,000	?	35.0	47.0	4.3	3.5	0.7	1.5	2.0	–	–	–	12.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [129]	5–7 Apr 2011	1,000	?	37.7	45.2	4.1	3.2	1.1	1.5	0.9	–	–	–	7.5
Celeste-Tel [98]	1–7 Apr 2011	1,100	?	32.3 136	46.1 172	6.6 7	4.1 14	1.2 6	3.0 4	0.6 2	1.0 3	0.8 1	–	13.8
GAD/COPE [130] [131]	1–5 Apr 2011	500	?	33.7 128	45.9 181	6.1 9	3.7 15	1.3 7	2.9 3	0.8 2	0.8 2	0.2 1	–	12.2
NC Report/La Razón [132]	2 Apr 2011	1,000	67.6	31.6 123/124	46.8 185/187	6.6 8/10	3.9 13/14	1.3 7	3.4 3/4	0.6 1	0.8 2	0.6 1	–	15.2
Metroscopia/El País [133] [134]	30–31 Mar 2011	1,004	70	28.3	44.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	15.8
InvyMark/laSexta [124]	21–25 Mar 2011	?	?	32.5	46.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	13.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [135]	21–24 Mar 2011	1,201	?	30.2	43.5	8.1	3.7	1.7	4.8	0.6	1.3	–	–	13.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [136] [137]	21–22 Mar 2011	1,000	71.3	29.6	46.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	16.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [138]	7–9 Mar 2011	1,000	?	31.4	47.9	6.2	3.2	1.0	2.4	1.0	–	–	–	16.5
GAD/COPE [139]	7–9 Mar 2011	502	?	31.1 121	46.1 185	6.5 11	3.9 16	1.3 7	3.8 4	0.8 2	0.8 2	0.2 1	–	15.0
Celeste-Tel [98]	1–7 Mar 2011	1,100	?	32.9 138	45.9 170	6.5 8	3.9 14	1.2 6	3.2 4	0.7 2	1.0 3	0.7 1	–	13.0
Metroscopia/El País [140] [141]	2–3 Mar 2011	1,004	70	28.1	44.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	15.9
JM&A [142]	25 Feb 2011	?	68.9	28.9	47.5	6.3	4.4	1.1	4.2	1.0	0.9	0.3	–	22.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [143]	21–25 Feb 2011	1,982	?	30.7	44.4	7.1	3.8	1.3	4.3	0.9	1.3	–	–	13.7
NC Report/La Razón [144]	17–23 Feb 2011	1,000	68.5	32.9 123/125	46.0 184/187	6.3 8/10	3.8 13/14	1.3 7	3.3 3/4	0.6 1	0.8 2	0.6 1	–	13.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [145] [146]	21–22 Feb 2011	?	68.5	31.1	45.8	7.1	3.4	1.1	3.5	0.9	0.8	–	–	14.7
InvyMark/laSexta [147]	7–11 Feb 2011	?	?	32.3	46.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	13.8
GAD/COPE [148] [149]	7–8 Feb 2011	501	?	32.1 125	46.2 185	6.3 9	3.9 16	1.3 7	2.7 2	0.8 2	? 2	? 1	–	14.1
Celeste-Tel [150]	1–7 Feb 2011	1,100	?	34.7 141	45.0 171	6.4 6	4.0 14	1.2 6	3.3 4	0.5 2	1.0 3	0.7 1	–	10.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [151]	2–3 Feb 2011	1,000	?	31.3	47.4	8.1	2.9	1.1	2.2	0.9	–	–	–	16.1
Metroscopia/El País [152] [153]	2–3 Feb 2011	1,005	70	28.4	43.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	14.9
Opina/Cadena SER [154]	1–2 Feb 2011	1,000	?	34.0	44.0	5.5	3.0	1.2	2.0	1.1	–	–	–	10.0
InvyMark/laSexta [147]	24–28 Jan 2011	?	?	32.4	46.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	13.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [155]	17–21 Jan 2011	2,082	?	30.9	44.0	7.5	4.8	1.5	2.9	0.5	0.8	–	–	13.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [156] [157]	17–18 Jan 2011	?	67.7	30.2	47.0	7.6	3.3	1.1	2.8	1.0	0.6	–	–	16.8
CIS [158] [159]	7–16 Jan 2011	2,478	?	34.0	44.1	5.7	3.9	1.2	2.9	0.8	0.9	0.5	–	10.1
Opina/Cadena SER [160] [161]	12–13 Jan 2011	1,000	?	34.0	45.0	6.0	3.5	1.0	3.4	1.0	–	–	–	11.0
GAD/COPE [162] [163]	10–11 Jan 2011	500	?	31.3 120	46.5 189	6.2 9	3.6 15	1.4 7	3.7 3	0.8 2	0.9 2	0.4 2	–	15.2
Celeste-Tel [150]	3–10 Jan 2011	1,100	?	34.4 139	45.2 172	6.6 7	4.0 14	1.3 6	3.5 4	0.6 2	1.0 3	0.7 1	–	10.8
Metroscopia/El País [164] [165]	3–4 Jan 2011	1,023	70	28.6	43.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	14.5
NC Report/La Razón [166]	28–30 Dec 2010	1,000	67.0	30.4 121/123	48.0 186/189	7.4 10/12	4.2 13/14	1.2 7	3.7 3/4	0.6 1	0.9 2	0.4 1	–	17.6
DYM/ABC [167] [168]	20–30 Dec 2010	1,058	?	30.8	49.3	7.5	4.1	1.3	1.8	1.1	–	–	–	18.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [169] [170]	23–28 Dec 2010	1,000	?	30.3	48.7	6.4	3.8	1.2	1.5	0.9	–	–	–	18.4
GESOP/El Periódico [171] [172]	15–17 Dec 2010	1,000	?	31.0 120/124	44.5 178/182	7.4 13/15	4.0 15/16	1.1 5/6	4.2 4/5	1.0 1/2	–	–	–	13.5
InvyMark/laSexta [173]	13–17 Dec 2010	?	?	33.4	45.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	12.1
JM&A [174]	16 Dec 2010	?	65.0	24.3	47.0	8.0	4.0	–	6.0	–	–	–	–	22.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [175]	13–16 Dec 2010	1,600	?	30.0	43.2	7.5	4.5	1.6	4.5	0.9	1.0	–	–	13.2
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [176]	13–14 Dec 2010	?	70.3	30.5	46.1	7.4	3.6	1.0	3.3	0.9	0.7	–	–	15.6
GAD/COPE [177]	13–14 Dec 2010	500	?	31.7 123	46.2 189	5.9 8	3.6 15	1.4 7	3.1 2	0.7 1	0.9 2	0.4 2	–	14.5
Celeste-Tel [150]	1–9 Dec 2010	1,100	?	34.7 138	44.8 173	6.7 7	4.1 14	1.3 6	3.5 4	0.6 2	1.1 3	0.7 1	–	10.1
NC Report/La Razón [178]	6–7 Dec 2010	1,000	67.6	30.6 124/125	47.6 186/188	7.6 10/14	4.3 14/15	1.2 7	3.7 3/4	0.9 1	0.9 2	0.4 1	–	17.0
InvyMark/laSexta [173]	29 Nov–3 Dec 2010	?	?	33.3	45.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	12.3
Metroscopia/El País [179] [180]	1–2 Dec 2010	1,000	75.3	24.3	43.1	7.6	–	–	4.3	–	–	–	–	18.8
NC Report/La Razón [181]	15–17 Nov 2010	1,000	69.0	32.8 128/130	46.3 179/182	7.2 10/11	4.2 14/15	1.2 7	3.4 3/4	0.9 1/2	0.9 2	0.4 1	–	13.5
JM&A [174]	16 Nov 2010	?	69.8	32.6	41.3	6.6	3.7	–	5.7	–	–	–	–	8.7
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [182] [183]	15–16 Nov 2010	?	66.5	32.1	45.1	7.1	3.5	0.9	3.2	1.0	0.8	–	–	13.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [184]	2–11 Nov 2010	2,402	?	33.2	41.2	6.5	4.0	1.0	4.5	0.8	1.3	–	–	8.0
GAD/COPE [185] [186]	8–10 Nov 2010	503	?	35.1 135	44.7 180	5.2 6	3.4 13	1.3 7	2.9 2	0.9 2	0.9 2	0.5 2	–	9.6
Celeste-Tel [150]	2–8 Nov 2010	1,100	?	34.8 138	44.4 172	6.9 8	4.0 14	1.2 6	3.6 4	0.6 2	1.0 3	0.6 1	–	9.6
Metroscopia/El País [187] [188]	2–4 Nov 2010	1,000	75.3	33.8	42.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	9.1
Opina/Cadena SER [189] [190]	28–29 Oct 2010	1,000	?	37.5	45.0	5.5	3.5	1.0	3.4	1.0	–	–	–	7.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia [191]	25–28 Oct 2010	1,000	?	33.0 133	42.8 175	6.6 7	4.2 15	1.9 9	5.1 5	0.6 2	–	–	–	9.8
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [192] [193]	21 Oct 2010	?	70.0	34.2	44.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	10.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [194] [195]	20–21 Oct 2010	1,000	?	33.8	46.4	6.1	3.3	1.3	1.9	1.0	–	–	–	12.6
Intercampo/GETS [196] [197]	15 Sep–17 Oct 2010	1,734	High	32.4	47.6	6.8	4.4	1.3	2.7	0.5	–	–	–	15.2
			Low	33.7	46.9	7.1	4.1	1.2	2.9	0.5	–	–	–	13.2
CIS [198] [199]	4–14 Oct 2010	2,475	?	34.3	42.2	6.2	3.5	1.2	4.1	0.8	0.8	0.7	–	7.9
JM&A [174]	13 Oct 2010	?	68.2	29.2	45.9	6.8	3.0	–	5.4	–	–	–	–	16.7
GAD/COPE [200] [201]	8–13 Oct 2010	501	?	33.9 130	43.6 178	6.3 10	3.5 14	1.3 7	3.6 3	1.1 3	0.9 2	0.5 2	–	9.7
Opina/Cadena SER [202]	7–8 Oct 2010	1,000	?	34.0	46.5	6.0	4.0	2.0	3.0	0.6	–	–	–	12.5
NC Report/La Razón [203]	4–7 Oct 2010	1,000	69.3	32.5 131/134	46.3 175/178	7.7 12/15	4.1 14/15	1.2 6	3.6 3/4	0.9 1/2	0.9 2	0.4 1	–	13.8
Celeste-Tel [204]	1–7 Oct 2010	1,100	?	35.0 140	44.0 169	6.7 9	3.8 14	1.2 6	3.5 4	0.7 2	1.0 3	0.7 1	–	9.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [205] [206]	20 Sep–7 Oct 2010	2,329	65	29.4	42.8	6.9	4.8	0.9	5.4	1.1	1.4	–	–	13.4
Metroscopia/El País [207] [208]	30 Sep 2010	500	75.3	28.5	43.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	14.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [209] [210]	20–21 Sep 2010	?	68.0	31.1	44.6	7.8	3.6	1.0	3.9	1.0	–	–	–	13.5
GAD/COPE [200] [211] [212]	13–15 Sep 2010	500	?	34.9 137	43.1 174	6.1 9	3.4 13	1.3 7	3.3 2	1.2 3	0.9 2	0.5 2	–	8.2
NC Report/La Razón [213]	6–10 Sep 2010	1,000	69.6	35.4 136/138	45.4 173/175	6.2 8/9	4.1 13/14	1.2 6	3.6 3/4	0.9 2	0.9 2	0.5 1	–	10.0
Celeste-Tel [204]	1–7 Sep 2010	1,100	?	35.2 147	43.8 165	6.4 8	3.7 13	1.2 6	3.3 3	0.7 2	1.0 3	0.7 1	–	8.6
Metroscopia/El País [214] [215]	1–2 Sep 2010	500	75.3	32.9	41.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	8.9
Opina/Cadena SER [216] [217]	30–31 Aug 2010	1,000	?	36.5	44.5	6.0	3.5	1.5	2.5	0.6	–	–	–	8.0
JM&A [174]	6 Aug 2010	?	68.2	31.6	42.9	5.6	4.0	–	4.7	–	–	–	–	11.3
Celeste-Tel [204]	26–30 Jul 2010	1,100	?	35.8 147	43.9 166	6.3 7	3.6 13	1.2 6	3.2 3	0.7 2	1.0 3	0.8 1	–	8.1
Metroscopia/El País [218] [219]	28–29 Jul 2010	500	75.3	33.6	41.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	7.7
CIS [220] [221]	15–22 Jul 2010	2,472	?	34.9	41.2	5.4	4.1	1.3	3.8	1.4	1.1	0.4	–	6.3
Metroscopia/El País [222]	15 Jul 2010	500	75.3	34.5	43.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	8.8
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [223]	12–13 Jul 2010	?	64.3	32.4	43.6	6.2	3.6	1.2	4.1	1.2	–	–	–	11.2
NC Report/La Razón [224]	5–9 Jul 2010	1,000	69.8	35.8 137/139	45.2 173/175	6.3 8/9	3.7 13/14	1.2 6	3.6 3/4	0.9 2/3	0.9 2	0.6 1/2	–	9.4
GAD/COPE [200] [225] [226]	5–7 Jul 2010	500	?	34.6 136	43.3 176	5.7 8	3.4 13	1.3 7	3.1 2	1.3 3	0.8 2	0.6 2	–	8.7
Celeste-Tel [204]	1–7 Jul 2010	1,100	?	36.1 147	43.8 165	5.9 7	3.6 13	1.2 6	3.1 3	0.7 2	1.0 3	0.8 1	–	7.7
Ipsos [227] [228]	30 Jun–2 Jul 2010	1,000	?	33.3	42.9	5.9	3.7	1.6	3.9	1.3	–	–	–	9.6
InvyMark/laSexta [229]	28 Jun–2 Jul 2010	?	?	37.4	44.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	7.4
Metroscopia/El País [230] [231]	1 Jul 2010	501	75.3	32.3	43.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	10.8
InvyMark/laSexta [232]	14–18 Jun 2010	?	?	37.4	45.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	7.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [233] [234]	14–15 Jun 2010	?	67.8	31.6	44.5	7.7	–	–	4.3	–	–	–	–	12.9
DYM/ABC [235]	3–10 Jun 2010	1,008	?	33.5	45.3	6.4	4.2	0.8	2.9	0.9	–	–	–	11.8
GAD/COPE [236] [237]	7–9 Jun 2010	502	?	34.7 137	43.6 178	4.9 5	3.4 13	1.2 6	3.7 3	1.2 3	? 2	? 2	–	8.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [238]	17 May–9 Jun 2010	?	?	33.1	41.7	7.5	3.5	1.2	5.5	1.0	1.3	–	–	8.6
Celeste-Tel [204]	1–7 Jun 2010	1,100	?	36.8 149	43.5 163	5.9 7	3.6 13	1.2 6	3.1 3	0.7 2	1.0 3	0.8 1	–	6.7
InvyMark/laSexta [232]	31 May–4 Jun 2010	?	?	37.2	46.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	8.9
Metroscopia/El País [239] [240]	2 Jun 2010	506	75.3	32.5	43.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	10.5
NC Report/La Razón [241] [242]	25–28 May 2010	1,000	69.9	36.0 137/139	45.0 172/174	6.0 8/9	3.5 12/13	1.2 6	3.7 3/4	1.0 2/3	0.9 2/3	0.7 2	–	9.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [243] [244]	25–27 May 2010	800	?	35.1	45.6	5.1	3.3	1.2	3.0	0.8	–	–	–	10.5
GESOP/El Periódico [245] [246] [247]	17–21 May 2010	1,500	?	34.0 131/134	42.0 173/176	6.4 10/11	3.6 14/15	1.0 5/6	5.0 4/5	1.0 1/3	–	–	–	8.0
InvyMark/laSexta [248] [249]	17–21 May 2010	?	?	39.7	45.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	5.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [250]	20 Apr–19 May 2010	4,002	?	34.1	40.4	6.5	3.2	1.1	6.4	1.2	1.2	–	–	6.3
Metroscopia/El País [251]	13 May 2010	510	75.3	33.7	42.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	9.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [252]	13 May 2010	1,000	67.5	32.1	44.3	7.0	3.5	1.1	4.2	0.9	0.6	–	–	12.2
GAD/COPE [200] [253] [254]	10–12 May 2010	500	?	35.9 140	42.4 173	5.2 6	3.5 13	1.1 6	3.9 4	1.1 3	0.7 2	0.7 2	–	6.5
Simple Lógica [16]	5–11 May 2010	508	?	34.4	43.2	4.8	2.8	1.3	4.1	–	–	–	–	8.8
Celeste-Tel [204]	3–7 May 2010	1,100	?	38.2 153	42.9 161	5.5 5	3.5 13	1.1 6	3.1 3	0.7 2	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	4.7
InvyMark/laSexta [248]	3–7 May 2010	?	?	40.3	45.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.7
NC Report/La Razón [255]	26–30 Apr 2010	1,000	70.6	37.4 147/149	43.8 168/170	5.8 7/8	3.4 11/12	1.1 5/6	3.7 2/3	1.0 2	? 2	? 2	–	6.4
Metroscopia/El País [256] [257]	29 Apr 2010	512	75.3	37.5	41.7	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.2
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [258] [259]	26–27 Apr 2010	1,000	62.0	36.1	41.5	5.4	3.1	1.1	3.0	0.9	0.6	–	–	5.4
CIS [260] [261]	6–14 Apr 2010	2,479	?	38.0	39.5	5.8	3.6	1.3	3.3	1.0	0.7	0.6	–	1.5
InvyMark/laSexta [262] [263]	5–9 Apr 2010	?	?	40.6	44.7	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.1
Metroscopia/El País [264] [265]	8 Apr 2010	515	75.3	37.8	41.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.0
Celeste-Tel [204]	1–8 Apr 2010	1,100	?	38.3 152	42.8 162	5.5 5	3.5 13	1.2 6	3.0 3	0.7 2	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	4.5
NC Report/La Razón [266]	31 Mar 2010	1,000	70.7	37.6 147/149	43.6 167/169	5.7 7/8	3.4 11/12	1.2 6	3.7 2/3	1.0 2	? 2	? 2	–	6.0
InvyMark/laSexta [262] [267]	22–26 Mar 2010	?	?	40.4	44.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.4
InvyMark/laSexta [268]	8–12 Mar 2010	?	?	40.6	44.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.0
GAD/COPE [200] [269] [270]	8–11 Mar 2010	500	?	36.6 143	42.5 170	4.9 5	3.5 13	1.1 6	4.1 5	1.1 3	0.8 2	0.7 2	–	5.9
Celeste-Tel [204]	1–5 Mar 2010	1,100	?	38.5 153	42.6 162	5.4 5	3.4 12	1.2 6	3.1 3	0.8 2	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	4.1
Celeste-Tel/Terra [271]	1–5 Mar 2010	1,357	71.1	38.1 150/155	43.0 165/170	5.8 4/6	3.3 11/12	1.1 5/6	3.3 2/3	1.1 2/3	0.9 2	0.8 2	–	4.9
Metroscopia/El País [272] [273]	3–4 Mar 2010	500	75.3	37.3	43.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	6.1
NC Report/La Razón [274]	24–26 Feb 2010	1,000	70.7	37.6 148/150	43.6 167/169	5.6 6/7	3.4 11/12	1.2 6	3.7 2/3	1.1 2	0.8 2	0.7 2	–	6.0
InvyMark/laSexta [268]	22–26 Feb 2010	?	?	40.5	44.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [275] [276]	22–23 Feb 2010	1,008	?	34.5	41.4	6.0	3.0	1.0	4.1	0.9	0.6	–	–	6.9
Simple Lógica [277] [278]	1–11 Feb 2010	1,007	68.9	35.7	46.3	5.3	2.8	0.9	3.9	–	–	–	–	10.6
GAD/COPE [279] [280]	3–10 Feb 2010	671	?	36.3 141	42.9 172	5.0 6	3.2 12	1.1 6	3.9 4	1.1 3	0.8 2	0.7 2	–	6.6
NC Report/La Razón [281]	25 Jan–6 Feb 2010	1,000	70.7	37.9 149/150	43.4 167/169	5.4 5/6	3.4 11/12	1.2 6	3.8 2/3	1.1 2	? 2	? 2	–	5.5
InvyMark/laSexta [268]	1–5 Feb 2010	?	?	41.0	44.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.5
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–5 Feb 2010	1,100	?	38.1 150	42.7 162	5.8 7	3.5 12	1.1 6	3.6 3	0.9 3	1.1 3	1.0 3	–	4.6
Metroscopia/El País [283] [284]	3–4 Feb 2010	500	75.3	37.5	43.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	5.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [285] [286] [287]	2–4 Feb 2010	700	?	37.7	43.5	4.5	3.1	1.2	2.0	1.2	–	–	–	5.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [288]	11–27 Jan 2010	3,206	?	37.8	40.4	5.2	2.8	1.2	5.1	1.1	1.2	–	–	2.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [252] [289]	25–26 Jan 2010	?	?	35.0	41.2	5.4	2.9	1.1	3.6	0.9	0.7	–	–	6.2
CIS [290] [291]	9–21 Jan 2010	2,477	?	36.2	40.0	6.1	3.7	1.0	4.4	1.3	0.8	0.9	–	3.8
GAD/COPE [292] [293]	15 Jan 2010	?	?	38.8 150	42.6 169	4.1 3	3.4 12	? 6	3.1 2	? 2	? 2	? 2	–	3.8
InvyMark/laSexta [268]	11–15 Jan 2010	?	?	41.2	44.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.1
Celeste-Tel [282]	4–11 Jan 2010	1,100	?	38.5 151	42.6 163	5.5 5	3.4 12	1.1 6	3.4 3	0.9 3	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	4.1
NC Report/La Razón [294]	8 Jan 2010	?	71.0	38.2 150/152	43.3 166/168	5.1 4/5	3.4 11/12	1.2 6	3.6 2/3	1.1 2	? 2	? 2	–	5.1
Metroscopia/El País [295] [296]	7 Jan 2010	504	75.3	38.2	41.7	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia [297]	28–29 Dec 2009	807	?	39.4 156	41.3 164	4.7 4	3.1 10	1.1 6	4.3 4	0.6 2	–	–	–	1.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [298] [299] [300]	23–29 Dec 2009	1,000	?	38.5	43.6	4.7	2.7	1.4	2.4	1.4	–	–	–	5.1
InvyMark/laSexta [301]	21–25 Dec 2009	?	?	41.2	44.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2.9
DYM/ABC [302]	11–18 Dec 2009	1,038	?	38.1	43.3	4.7	3.2	1.2	2.6	1.0	–	–	–	5.2
GESOP/El Periódico [303] [304] [305]	14–17 Dec 2009	1,500	?	36.5 145/150	42.0 165/170	4.8 5/6	3.3 11/12	1.0 6/7	4.8 3/5	1.0 1/3	–	–	–	5.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [252] [306]	14–15 Dec 2009	?	?	35.9	41.1	5.2	2.8	1.2	3.4	1.0	0.8	–	–	5.2
GAD/COPE [307]	11 Dec 2009	?	?	37.9 143	42.4 169	? 6	? 12	? 4	? 6	? 3	? 2	? 3	–	4.5
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Dec 2009	1,100	?	38.6 152	42.4 162	5.3 5	3.4 12	1.1 6	3.2 3	0.9 3	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	3.8
Metroscopia/El País [308] [309]	2–3 Dec 2009	732	75.3	38.1	41.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [310]	9 Nov–2 Dec 2009	3,201	?	38.0	39.6	5.0	3.0	1.1	5.7	1.3	1.0	–	–	1.6
Consultores CSA/La Verdad [311]	29 Nov 2009	?	?	37.7	41.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.3
NC Report/La Razón [312]	23–26 Nov 2009	1,000	71.1	38.3 151/153	43.0 165/167	5.2 4/5	3.4 11/12	1.2 6	3.6 2/3	1.1 2	–	–	–	4.7
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [252] [313]	16–17 Nov 2009	?	?	36.0	42.2	5.3	2.8	0.9	3.3	0.8	0.6	–	–	6.2
GAD/COPE [314] [315]	6–11 Nov 2009	650	?	38.1 142	42.2 167	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.1
Celeste-Tel [282]	2–6 Nov 2009	1,100	?	38.8 152	42.4 162	5.3 5	3.4 12	1.1 6	3.4 3	0.9 3	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	3.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [316] [317] [318]	4–5 Nov 2009	1,000	?	39.4	42.6	4.9	3.0	1.1	2.9	1.0	–	–	–	3.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [319]	13 Oct–4 Nov 2009	3,204	?	36.9	40.5	4.7	3.2	1.4	5.3	1.1	1.4	–	–	3.6
NC Report/La Razón [320]	28–30 Oct 2009	1,000	71.6	39.7 155/156	41.9 163/164	5.1 4/5	3.4 11/12	1.2 6	3.4 2/3	1.0 2	–	–	–	2.2
Metroscopia/El País [321] [322]	28–29 Oct 2009	501	75.3	39.9	40.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.4
Ipsos/Expansión [323]	23–25 Oct 2009	1,000	66	40.0	42.0	–	–	–	1.4	–	–	–	–	2.0
Simple Lógica [324]	15–21 Oct 2009	1,025	66.5	37.4	41.8	3.6	3.3	1.0	3.5	–	–	–	–	4.4
Intercampo/GETS [325] [326]	15 Sep–17 Oct 2009	1,739	High	39.5	44.7	4.1	3.2	1.1	2.7	1.1	–	–	–	5.2
			Low	38.7	45.2	4.3	3.3	0.9	2.8	1.1	–	–	–	6.5
Metroscopia/El País [327]	15 Oct 2009	500	75.3	39.0	41.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2.3
CIS [328] [329]	7–14 Oct 2009	2,478	?	37.7	41.0	4.7	3.7	1.3	3.7	1.5	0.8	0.5	–	3.3
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Oct 2009	1,100	?	39.6 153	42.0 161	5.2 5	3.4 12	1.1 6	3.2 3	0.9 3	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	2.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [330]	16 Sep–7 Oct 2009	3,202	?	38.0	43.0	4.4	2.2	0.8	5.2	0.8	1.0	–	–	5.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [331] [332]	5–6 Oct 2009	1,003	?	36.8	41.4	5.3	3.0	1.1	3.2	1.0	0.6	–	–	4.6
NC Report/La Razón [333]	28 Sep–2 Oct 2009	1,000	71.6	39.8 154/155	42.1 164/165	5.0 4/5	3.4 11/12	1.2 6	3.2 2/3	1.0 2	? 2	? 2	–	2.3
Metroscopia/El País [334] [335]	30 Sep–1 Oct 2009	501	75.3	38.0	41.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.6
Noxa/La Vanguardia [336]	28 Sep–1 Oct 2009	1,000	?	38.0 151	42.4 169	5.5 4	2.5 9	0.9 5	4.4 4	1.4 3	–	–	–	4.4
InvyMark/laSexta [337]	21–25 Sep 2009	?	?	41.0	43.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2.8
InvyMark/laSexta [338]	7–11 Sep 2009	?	?	41.1	43.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2.5
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Sep 2009	1,100	?	39.9 154	41.8 160	5.1 5	3.3 12	1.1 6	3.1 3	0.9 3	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	1.9
NC Report/La Razón [339]	1–3 Sep 2009	1,000	71.7	39.9 155/156	42.0 164/165	4.9 3/4	3.3 11	1.2 6	3.2 2/3	1.1 2	? 2	? 2	–	2.1
CIS [340] [341] [342]	7–13 Jul 2009	2,482	?	39.0 154/158	40.2 158/161	4.6 4/5	3.4 11	1.2 6	3.2 3	1.6 6	0.8 2	0.5 2	–	1.2
InvyMark/laSexta [343]	6–10 Jul 2009	?	?	41.7	42.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.1
Metroscopia/El País [344] [345]	8–9 Jul 2009	500	75.3	38.7	41.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.1
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Jul 2009	1,100	?	40.1 155	41.7 159	5.1 5	3.2 12	1.2 6	3.1 3	1.0 3	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	1.6
NC Report/La Razón [346]	1–3 Jul 2009	1,000	71.7	40.3 156/157	42.1 162/163	4.6 3/4	3.3 11/12	1.3 6	3.1 2/3	1.0 2	0.8 2	0.7 2	–	1.8
InvyMark/laSexta [347] [348]	22–26 Jun 2009	?	?	41.8	42.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [252] [349]	22–23 Jun 2009	?	?	39.2	41.7	4.4	3.1	1.1	4.0	1.1	0.6	–	–	2.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [350]	25 May–17 Jun 2009	3,200	?	40.3	41.8	3.9	2.8	0.8	3.7	0.9	0.9	–	–	1.5
InvyMark/laSexta [351]	8–12 Jun 2009	?	?	41.5	42.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.4
Metroscopia/El País [352] [353]	8–9 Jun 2009	500	75.3	38.9	40.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2.0
NC Report/La Razón [354]	8 Jun 2009	1,000	71.8	40.2 157/158	41.8 162/164	4.8 3/4	3.3 11/12	1.2 6	3.0 2/3	1.1 2	0.8 2	0.7 2	–	1.6
2009 EP election	7 Jun 2009	—	44.9	38.8 (149)	42.1 (169)	3.7 (3)	2.8 (13)	1.3 (6)	2.9 (2)	1.3 (4)	0.7 (0)	0.6 (2)	0.9 (2)	3.3
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–5 Jun 2009	1,100	?	39.7 155	42.0 159	5.3 5	3.3 12	1.2 6	3.3 3	1.0 3	0.9 3	0.9 2	–	2.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [355] [356] [357]	26–28 May 2009	1,000	?	40.6	42.8	3.4	–	–	2.6	–	–	–	–	2.2
DYM/ABC [358]	25–28 May 2009	1,040	?	38.7	40.9	3.3	–	–	2.2	–	–	–	–	2.2
Noxa/La Vanguardia [359]	25–28 May 2009	1,000	?	40.8 162/164	38.0 150/153	4.2 3	4.0 14/16	1.4 6/7	4.8 5	0.9 1	–	–	–	2.8
InvyMark/laSexta [351] [360]	18–22 May 2009	?	?	41.6	42.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [361]	27 Apr–20 May 2009	3,206	?	41.1	42.2	3.7	2.6	1.0	3.5	1.0	0.8	–	–	1.1
GESOP/El Periódico [362] [363] [364]	11–15 May 2009	1,500	?	38.7 155/157	42.3 167/169	3.9 2/3	3.0 10/11	0.8 3/4	3.3 2/3	0.8 1	–	–	–	3.6
Celeste-Tel [282]	4–8 May 2009	1,100	?	39.9 157	41.1 158	5.5 4	3.3 12	1.2 6	3.4 3	1.1 3	1.0 3	0.9 2	–	1.2
NC Report/La Razón [365]	27–30 Apr 2009	1,000	70.3	39.1 156/158	41.5 160/162	5.6 3/6	3.5 11/12	1.2 6	3.3 2/3	1.1 2/3	0.8 2	0.8 2	–	2.4
Metroscopia/El País [366] [367]	27–28 Apr 2009	505	75.3	39.6	40.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [368]	24 Mar–22 Apr 2009	3,204	?	40.0	42.3	3.8	2.8	1.1	3.5	1.0	0.6	–	–	2.3
CIS [369] [370] [342]	14–21 Apr 2009	2,481	?	40.8 161/165	40.0 154/156	4.5 4/5	3.4 11	1.0 5/6	2.9 3	1.5 5	0.6 0	–	–	0.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [371] [372]	3–8 Apr 2009	900	?	37.9	42.3	5.0	–	–	4.4	–	–	–	–	4.4
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Apr 2009	1,100	?	40.1 160	40.9 156	5.4 4	3.3 11	1.2 6	3.3 3	1.1 3	1.0 3	0.9 2	–	0.8
NC Report/La Razón [373]	28 Mar 2009	?	71.2	39.9 157/159	40.8 158/161	5.5 4/5	3.4 11/12	1.2 6	3.3 2/3	1.1 2/3	0.9 2	0.8 2/3	–	0.9
InvyMark/laSexta [374]	23–27 Mar 2009	?	?	41.9	41.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [252] [375]	23–24 Mar 2009	?	?	41.2	40.5	4.8	3.0	1.0	3.6	1.1	0.5	–	–	0.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [376]	25 Feb–18 Mar 2009	3,205	?	39.2	40.7	5.0	3.2	1.0	3.7	0.9	0.5	–	–	1.5
Celeste-Tel [282]	2–6 Mar 2009	1,100	?	40.4 161	40.7 154	5.3 4	3.1 11	1.3 6	3.2 3	1.2 4	1.1 3	0.9 2	–	0.3
NC Report/La Razón [377]	4 Mar 2009	?	?	40.4	40.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.2
Simple Lógica [378]	13–23 Feb 2009	1,012	68.5	43.2	37.6	3.7	2.8	1.1	3.2	–	–	–	–	5.6
GESOP/El Periódico [379] [380] [381]	12–13 Feb 2009	800	?	41.0 161/164	38.5 154/156	4.8 4/5	2.8 10/11	1.1 6	4.4 3/5	1.0 2	–	–	–	2.5
Celeste-Tel [282]	2–6 Feb 2009	1,100	?	40.6 162	40.3 152	5.2 4	3.2 12	1.4 6	3.3 3	1.2 4	1.1 3	0.9 2	–	0.3
InvyMark/laSexta [382]	26–30 Jan 2009	?	?	42.7	41.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.7
NC Report/La Razón [383]	26–30 Jan 2009	1,000	70.5	41.7 161/163	38.5 150/152	5.3 4/5	3.4 11/12	1.3 6/7	3.6 3/4	1.1 3	0.9 2/3	0.8 2/3	–	3.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [384]	10–20 Jan 2009	1,600	?	40.2	36.7	5.0	2.7	1.0	6.0	1.0	0.8	–	–	3.5
CIS [385] [386] [342]	9–19 Jan 2009	2,482	?	39.7 159/162	39.5 153/156	4.5 4/5	3.4 13/14	1.1 6	3.1 3	1.3 3	1.0 2	–	–	0.2
InvyMark/laSexta [382]	12–16 Jan 2009	?	?	42.2	41.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.0
Celeste-Tel [282]	2–9 Jan 2009	1,100	?	40.8 162	40.6 153	5.2 4	3.1 12	1.3 6	3.1 3	1.2 4	1.0 3	0.9 2	–	0.2
NC Report/La Razón [387]	29 Dec–2 Jan 2009	1,000	71.5	41.6 162/164	39.6 151/153	4.9 4/5	3.3 11/12	1.3 6	3.2 3/4	1.1 3	0.9 2	0.8 2	–	2.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [388] [389]	22–26 Dec 2008	1,000	?	42.6	39.7	3.4	3.2	1.4	3.1	1.0	–	–	–	2.9
Noxa/La Vanguardia [390]	15–19 Dec 2008	1,000	?	40.7 161/164	37.5 148/152	4.8 4/5	3.3 11/13	1.6 6/7	5.8 5/6	1.0 2/3	–	–	–	3.2
InvyMark/laSexta [391]	15–19 Dec 2008	?	?	41.8	41.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [392]	25 Nov–18 Dec 2008	3,198	?	41.3	38.9	4.5	2.6	1.2	3.5	1.2	1.1	–	–	2.4
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–5 Dec 2008	1,100	?	40.9 162	40.5 156	5.1 4	3.2 11	1.3 6	2.7 3	1.0 3	0.9 2	0.9 2	–	0.4
InvyMark/laSexta [391]	24–28 Nov 2008	?	?	42.3	40.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.5
NC Report/La Razón [393]	24–27 Nov 2008	1,000	71.2	39.8 155/157	41.5 161/163	4.9 4/5	3.3 10/11	1.3 6/7	2.8 2/3	1.0 2/3	0.9 2/3	0.8 2	–	1.7
DYM/ABC [394]	13–20 Nov 2008	1,012	?	41.9	42.2	3.7	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [395]	27 Oct–20 Nov 2008	3,203	?	41.3	39.2	4.0	3.2	1.2	4.0	1.2	1.0	–	–	2.1
Celeste-Tel [282]	3–7 Nov 2008	1,100	?	41.2 163	40.9 156	5.0 4	3.1 11	1.2 6	2.7 2	0.9 3	0.9 2	0.8 2	–	0.3
NC Report/La Razón [396] [397]	27–30 Oct 2008	1,000	71.7	41.0 159/162	41.1 158/159	4.8 4/5	3.2 10/11	1.3 6/7	2.7 2	1.0 2/3	–	–	–	0.1
GESOP/El Periódico [398] [399] [400]	20–24 Oct 2008	1,500	?	40.2 154/158	41.3 160/164	4.8 4/5	2.9 10/11	1.1 6	2.9 2/3	1.1 3	–	–	–	1.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [401]	29 Sep–23 Oct 2008	3,203	?	39.4	39.4	3.4	3.8	1.0	4.2	1.3	0.9	–	–	Tie
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [402] [403]	9–10 Oct 2008	?	?	40.7	42.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.7
CIS [404] [405]	1–9 Oct 2008	2,481	?	39.7	39.7	4.3	3.8	1.1	2.9	1.3	1.0	–	–	Tie
Intercampo/GETS [406] [407]	17 Sep–8 Oct 2008	1,729	High	40.4	41.2	4.0	2.7	1.6	3.7	1.2	–	–	–	0.8
			Low	40.5	41.3	4.1	2.7	1.7	3.1	1.1	–	–	–	0.8
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Oct 2008	1,100	?	41.4 163	40.6 155	5.0 4	3.0 12	1.2 6	2.8 2	1.0 3	0.9 2	0.7 2	–	0.8
Simple Lógica [408]	29 Sep–7 Oct 2008	1,006	72.5	39.7	39.4	4.6	2.8	1.6	2.8	–	–	–	–	0.3
InvyMark/laSexta [409]	29 Sep–3 Oct 2008	?	?	41.7	41.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.5
NC Report/La Razón [410] [411]	29 Sep–2 Oct 2008	1,000	71.5	41.2 160/162	41.0 156/157	4.6 4/5	3.2 10	1.3 6	2.7 2/3	0.9 3	–	–	–	0.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [412]	8–25 Sep 2008	3,171	?	38.6	39.4	4.5	3.2	1.3	2.8	1.0	1.2	–	–	0.8
Noxa/La Vanguardia [413]	15–18 Sep 2008	1,000	?	40.6 159/161	39.6 152/155	5.2 5/6	3.1 11/12	1.2 6	4.2 3/4	1.2 2/3	–	–	–	1.0
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–5 Sep 2008	1,100	?	41.4 161	40.5 154	5.2 5	3.3 11	1.3 6	2.8 3	1.2 4	1.1 3	0.9 2	–	0.9
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Aug 2008	1,100	?	41.8 162	40.2 154	5.1 5	3.3 11	1.3 6	2.7 3	1.3 4	1.1 2	0.9 2	–	1.6
CIS [414] [415]	7–13 Jul 2008	2,468	?	39.5	39.3	4.8	3.3	1.1	2.5	1.5	0.9	–	–	0.2
Metroscopia/El País [416] [417]	9–10 Jul 2008	703	?	41.2	41.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.2
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Jul 2008	1,100	?	42.4 164	40.3 153	4.4 3	3.3 11	1.2 6	2.7 3	1.3 4	1.1 3	0.8 2	–	2.1
InvyMark/laSexta [418]	23–27 Jun 2008	?	?	43.6	40.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.6
Opina/Cadena SER [419] [420]	26 Jun 2008	1,000	?	42.0	41.0	5.0	3.0	1.0	2.0	1.0	–	–	–	1.0
ASEP [a] [421]	9–15 Jun 2008	1,203	71.3	41.8	39.6	4.6	–	–	1.7	–	–	–	–	2.2
Opina/Cadena SER [422] [423]	12 Jun 2008	1,000	?	40.0	40.0	4.0	3.0	1.3	2.0	0.9	–	–	–	Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [424] [425] [426]	10–12 Jun 2008	1,000	?	41.3	40.2	4.8	3.2	1.2	2.7	0.9	–	–	–	1.1
Celeste-Tel [282]	2–6 Jun 2008	1,100	?	43.4 168	39.6 152	4.3 2	3.4 11	1.3 6	2.7 3	1.0 3	1.0 2	0.9 2	–	3.8
GESOP/El Periódico [427] [428]	26–30 May 2008	1,500	?	45.0 173/176	37.3 145/148	4.2 2/3	2.8 10	1.2 6	2.5 2	1.0 2/3	–	–	–	7.7
ASEP [a] [429]	12–18 May 2008	1,209	73.6	43.8	39.3	4.3	–	–	1.5	–	–	–	–	4.5
Celeste-Tel [282]	2–8 May 2008	1,100	?	44.5 169	39.4 152	4.2 2	3.3 11	1.2 6	2.6 2	0.9 3	0.9 2	0.8 2	–	5.1
CIS [430] [431]	24–30 Apr 2008	2,459	?	43.6	37.6	3.9	3.2	1.5	2.6	1.6	1.1	–	–	6.0
ASEP [a] [432]	14–20 Apr 2008	1,204	76.6	44.1	39.6	4.0	–	–	1.3	–	–	–	–	4.5
Celeste-Tel [282]	1–7 Apr 2008	1,100	?	44.9 171	39.5 151	3.9 2	3.0 10	1.2 6	2.4 2	1.0 3	0.9 2	0.7 2	–	5.4
2008 general election	9 Mar 2008	—	73.8	43.9 169	39.9 154	3.8 2	3.0 10	1.2 6	1.2 1	1.2 3	0.8 2	0.7 2	–	4.0

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size					PNV			BNG			?	N	Lead
2011 general election	20 Nov 2011	—	20.3	31.6	4.9	3.0	0.9	3.3	0.7	0.5	0.4	1.0	—	28.3	11.3
GESOP/El Periódico [9]	7–12 Nov 2011	2,070	19.6	37.0	5.1	2.7	1.1	3.9	1.2	–	–	0.8	17.1	3.5	17.4
Simple Lógica [16]	2–10 Nov 2011	1,009	17.4	24.3	3.6	2.4	0.3	3.0	–	–	–	–	27.0	17.0	6.9
Metroscopia/El País [24]	18 Oct–8 Nov 2011	9,675	18.5	30.3	6.0	2.2	0.7	2.9	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	26.9	3.5	11.8
TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP [25]	2–7 Nov 2011	1,505	16.9	28.7	5.9	1.9	0.7	2.7	0.8	–	–	–	26.1	12.1	11.8
Ipsos/La Nueva España [27]	1–6 Nov 2011	3,935	25.5	36.2	6.0	3.1	0.9	4.4	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2	–	–	10.7
CIS [46]	6–23 Oct 2011	17,236	17.9	30.5	4.5	1.9	0.7	2.3	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.7	23.6	9.3	12.6
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [49]	17–20 Oct 2011	1,800	18.7	27.7	4.5	1.8	1.1	1.7	0.6	0.6	–	0.7	–	–	9.0
Metroscopia/El País [60]	11–13 Oct 2011	1,500	17.7	30.9	5.1	1.9	–	2.9	–	–	–	–	29.5	2.9	13.2
GESOP/El Periódico [78]	19–22 Sep 2011	1,000	22.3	38.3	3.0	3.1	0.8	4.2	0.8	–	–	–	15.3	4.6	16.0
Metroscopia/El País [86]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,002	21.9	28.4	5.0	2.0	–	3.4	–	–	–	–	13.5	14.1	6.5
DYM/ABC [433]	2–3 Aug 2011	1,076	13.8	20.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	6.6
Metroscopia/El País [94]	27–28 Jul 2011	1,203	23.0	31.0	6.0	–	–	4.0	–	–	–	–	12.0	12.0	8.0
CIS [95]	4–11 Jul 2011	2,475	25.9	29.3	3.7	1.9	1.1	2.5	0.7	0.2	0.2	–	16.7	10.6	3.4
ASEP [434]	1 Jun–1 Jul 2011	1,110	18.5	25.1	4.3	2.3	1.3	1.9	0.5	0.2	0.2	–	23.9	14.7	6.6
Metroscopia/El País [102]	29–30 Jun 2011	1,001	20.9	30.7	6.3	–	–	3.7	–	–	–	–	14.2	8.9	9.8
Metroscopia/El País [111]	1–2 Jun 2011	1,001	21.4	33.5	6.9	–	–	3.6	–	–	–	–	13.9	6.6	12.1
GESOP/El Periódico [115]	30 May–1 Jun 2011	1,000	24.7	32.6	5.7	2.6	0.9	4.1	0.5	–	–	–	12.4	6.2	7.9
ASEP [434]	1–31 May 2011	1,108	20.1	25.4	5.3	1.6	1.4	1.6	0.4	0.5	0.1	–	23.5	11.3	5.3
Metroscopia/El País [117]	27–28 Apr 2011	1,200	25.8	33.1	5.8	–	–	2.5	–	–	–	–	13.8	5.8	7.3
Ikerfel/Vocento [435]	4–22 Apr 2011	45,635	26.6	38.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	12.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [121]	11–19 Apr 2011	2,005	22.8	25.2	4.9	2.2	0.9	1.6	0.6	0.7	–	–	–	–	2.4
CIS [125]	1–8 Apr 2011	2,463	20.5	27.1	4.1	2.1	0.8	2.5	0.7	0.3	0.2	–	20.4	12.9	6.6
Metroscopia/El País [134]	30–31 Mar 2011	1,004	19.9	31.0	4.8	–	–	2.2	–	–	–	–	15.8	9.6	11.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [135]	21–24 Mar 2011	1,201	16.6	27.4	5.0	2.4	1.1	2.9	0.4	0.8	–	–	–	–	10.8
Metroscopia/El País [141]	2–3 Mar 2011	1,004	18.8	31.7	5.4	–	–	2.6	–	–	–	–	14.4	11.3	12.9
ASEP [434]	1 Feb–2 Mar 2011	1,189	17.2	25.6	4.6	1.7	1.3	1.2	1.0	0.2	0.2	–	23.3	17.5	8.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [143]	21–25 Feb 2011	1,982	16.2	26.8	4.2	2.1	0.8	3.5	0.7	0.7	–	–	–	–	10.6
Metroscopia/El País [153]	2–3 Feb 2011	1,005	20.2	30.3	6.1	–	–	2.3	–	–	–	–	15.2	10.9	10.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [155]	17–21 Jan 2011	2,082	16.6	27.9	3.9	2.6	0.8	2.3	0.3	0.4	–	–	–	–	11.3
CIS [158]	7–16 Jan 2011	2,478	21.5	28.3	4.4	3.3	0.6	2.6	0.5	0.6	0.1	–	17.7	12.7	6.8
Metroscopia/El País [165]	3–4 Jan 2011	1,023	20.9	26.9	6.8	–	–	1.9	–	–	–	–	17.2	11.7	6.0
DYM/ABC [433]	20–30 Dec 2010	1,058	14.7	28.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	14.1
GESOP/El Periódico [172]	15–17 Dec 2010	1,000	20.9	34.2	5.5	3.3	0.8	3.8	0.8	–	–	–	11.8	7.6	13.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [175]	13–16 Dec 2010	1,600	16.2	27.4	4.9	2.8	1.1	2.9	0.6	0.4	–	–	–	–	11.2
Metroscopia/El País [180]	1–2 Dec 2010	1,000	20.1	29.4	5.9	–	–	3.1	–	–	–	–	15.6	12.3	9.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [184]	2–11 Nov 2010	2,402	19.2	26.9	4.2	2.7	0.8	3.6	0.4	0.8	–	–	–	–	7.7
Metroscopia/El País [188]	2–4 Nov 2010	1,000	23.3	26.0	7.1	–	–	3.1	–	–	–	–	16.5	11.3	2.7
ASEP [434]	1–31 Oct 2010	1,096	21.7	26.6	4.1	1.6	0.7	1.9	0.6	0.1	0.3	–	19.3	15.3	4.9
Intercampo/GETS [196]	15 Sep–17 Oct 2010	1,734	21.4	19.3	5.6	2.5	1.4	2.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	2.1
CIS [198]	4–14 Oct 2010	2,475	18.7	24.8	3.8	1.7	1.1	3.2	0.4	0.3	0.3	–	21.1	16.3	6.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [205]	20 Sep–7 Oct 2010	2,329	16.3	27.3	4.7	2.8	0.6	3.2	0.7	0.9	–	–	–	–	11.0
Metroscopia/El País [208]	30 Sep 2010	500	19.0	29.0	4.4	–	–	2.2	–	–	–	–	17.8	12.8	10.0
Metroscopia/El País [215]	1–2 Sep 2010	500	25.0	27.5	4.8	–	–	5.0	–	–	–	–	7.2	13.0	2.5
Metroscopia/El País [219]	28–29 Jul 2010	500	23.8	28.2	6.8	–	–	3.8	–	–	–	–	11.4	13.4	4.4
CIS [220]	15–22 Jul 2010	2,472	20.8	24.8	4.0	2.6	0.8	3.0	1.1	0.4	0.1	–	19.2	14.9	4.0
Metroscopia/El País [219]	15 Jul 2010	500	27.4	34.5	3.4	–	–	3.0	–	–	–	–	9.5	12.2	7.1
Metroscopia/El País [231]	1 Jul 2010	501	20.0	30.9	5.8	–	–	2.8	–	–	–	–	14.0	12.4	10.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [238]	17 May–9 Jun 2010	?	18.9	25.4	3.8	2.2	0.8	4.8	0.5	0.6	–	–	–	–	6.5
Metroscopia/El País [240]	2 Jun 2010	506	17.0	27.7	5.3	–	–	4.9	–	–	–	–	13.1	17.8	10.7
GESOP/El Periódico [247]	17–21 May 2010	1,500	23.7	31.1	5.4	2.1	0.7	4.2	0.9	–	–	–	13.0	10.1	7.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [250]	20 Apr–19 May 2010	4,002	19.9	24.7	4.3	1.9	0.6	4.3	0.7	0.4	–	–	–	–	4.8
Metroscopia/El País [240]	13 May 2010	510	21.8	28.2	3.7	–	–	3.3	–	–	–	–	18.8	8.6	6.4
Metroscopia/El País [257]	29 Apr 2010	512	25.2	26.6	5.5	–	–	3.1	–	–	–	–	11.4	12.9	1.4
CIS [260]	6–14 Apr 2010	2,479	24.5	22.8	3.5	2.0	0.8	2.9	0.6	0.3	0.2	–	18.6	15.0	1.7
Metroscopia/El País [265]	8 Apr 2010	515	25.5	26.7	6.8	–	–	3.1	–	–	–	–	9.6	14.4	1.2
Metroscopia/El País [273]	3–4 Mar 2010	500	22.6	24.0	5.2	–	–	4.4	–	–	–	–	18.6	16.2	1.4
Simple Lógica [277]	1–11 Feb 2010	1,007	20.5	25.8	4.1	1.3	0.3	3.0	–	–	–	–	17.3	23.4	5.3
Metroscopia/El País [284]	3–4 Feb 2010	500	26.0	30.0	3.4	–	–	2.0	–	–	–	–	14.6	15.8	4.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [288]	11–27 Jan 2010	3,206	23.1	22.9	3.9	1.5	0.6	3.9	0.5	0.6	–	–	–	–	0.2
CIS [290]	9–21 Jan 2010	2,477	24.6	25.3	4.2	1.8	1.0	4.2	1.1	0.3	0.3	–	17.5	12.8	0.7
Metroscopia/El País [296]	7 Jan 2010	504	25.6	23.2	5.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	14.7	19.0	2.4
ASEP [434]	1–31 Dec 2009	1,118	31.5	22.4	4.1	1.2	1.0	1.2	0.9	1.2	0.3	–	17.3	14.1	9.1
DYM/ABC [433]	11–18 Dec 2009	1,038	20.4	21.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.4
GESOP/El Periódico [305]	14–17 Dec 2009	1,500	27.2	31.5	5.0	2.3	1.1	4.2	0.8	–	–	–	9.6	11.1	4.3
Metroscopia/El País [309]	2–3 Dec 2009	732	27.9	26.9	4.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	14.0	14.0	1.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [310]	9 Nov–2 Dec 2009	3,201	23.6	22.5	3.0	1.3	0.4	4.6	0.9	0.4	–	–	–	–	1.1
ASEP [434]	1–30 Nov 2009	1,215	30.0	21.8	3.6	0.8	0.8	1.6	0.7	0.5	–	–	17.3	15.3	8.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [319]	13 Oct–4 Nov 2009	3,204	21.5	23.1	3.7	1.8	0.9	4.2	0.8	0.6	–	–	–	–	1.6
ASEP [434]	1–31 Oct 2009	1,101	24.7	23.1	3.6	0.7	0.7	1.5	0.4	–	–	–	22.1	15.9	1.6
Metroscopia/El País [322]	28–29 Oct 2009	501	26.9	25.0	4.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	14.4	16.8	1.9
Simple Lógica [324]	15–21 Oct 2009	1,025	23.2	21.3	2.1	1.6	0.5	–	–	–	–	–	15.1	28.9	1.9
Intercampo/GETS [325]	15 Sep–17 Oct 2009	1,739	24.5	20.9	3.4	1.1	0.7	1.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.6
Metroscopia/El País [322]	15 Oct 2009	500	23.2	26.8	4.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	16.2	17.8	3.6
CIS [328]	7–14 Oct 2009	2,478	23.2	25.7	3.5	2.9	1.1	3.6	1.1	0.5	0.2	–	19.0	13.6	2.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [330]	16 Sep–7 Oct 2009	3,202	22.9	25.3	2.9	1.9	0.6	3.6	0.5	0.5	–	–	–	–	2.4
Metroscopia/El País [335]	30 Sep–1 Oct 2009	501	24.2	25.5	4.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	16.2	15.6	1.3
ASEP [434]	1–30 Sep 2009	1,100	28.9	21.0	4.6	1.3	1.1	1.8	0.2	0.6	0.3	–	19.8	15.0	7.9
ASEP [434]	1–31 Jul 2009	1,103	30.6	23.9	3.7	1.2	1.8	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.3	–	18.3	11.7	6.7
CIS [340]	7–13 Jul 2009	2,482	28.4	23.9	3.4	2.2	1.0	2.9	1.0	0.4	0.2	–	16.0	14.3	4.5
Metroscopia/El País [345]	8–9 Jul 2009	500	31.2	28.4	3.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	15.2	8.2	2.8
ASEP [434]	1–30 Jun 2009	1,100	29.7	24.2	3.7	1.9	1.4	2.4	0.4	0.6	0.3	–	15.9	13.7	5.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [350]	25 May–17 Jun 2009	3,200	27.3	23.9	3.5	2.1	0.3	2.7	0.4	0.6	–	–	–	–	3.4
Metroscopia/El País [353]	8–9 Jun 2009	500	31.6	27.6	2.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	14.6	9.2	4.0
2009 EP election	7 Jun 2009	—	17.8	19.2	1.7	1.3	0.6	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.3	0.4	—	54.0	1.4
ASEP [434]	1–30 May 2009	1,101	31.5	22.8	3.7	1.6	1.2	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.3	–	18.2	13.5	8.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [361]	27 Apr–20 May 2009	3,206	28.0	25.2	2.8	1.7	0.6	2.1	0.6	0.7	–	–	–	–	2.8
GESOP/El Periódico [364]	11–15 May 2009	1,500	34.4	31.4	3.8	2.7	0.8	3.4	0.8	–	–	–	11.3	5.1	3.0
ASEP [434]	1 Apr–1 May 2009	1,103	34.9	22.9	4.2	1.3	1.0	1.2	1.0	0.1	0.4	–	16.9	12.1	12.0
Metroscopia/El País [367]	27–28 Apr 2009	505	29.3	26.1	4.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	18.3	11.5	3.2
CIS [369]	14–21 Apr 2009	2,481	30.4	22.1	3.0	2.1	0.8	2.4	0.8	0.3	0.1	–	18.6	12.9	8.3
ASEP [434]	1–31 Mar 2009	1,103	33.0	21.2	3.7	1.2	1.8	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.3	–	18.4	11.7	11.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [376]	25 Feb–18 Mar 2009	3,205	27.2	24.1	3.9	1.9	0.6	2.7	0.6	0.3	–	–	–	–	3.1
ASEP [434]	23 Feb–1 Mar 2009	1,103	35.1	22.3	3.0	1.4	1.2	1.7	0.5	0.3	0.3	–	13.9	14.4	12.8
Simple Lógica [378]	13–23 Feb 2009	1,012	28.6	18.1	3.3	1.8	0.3	–	–	–	–	–	18.7	21.5	10.5
GESOP/El Periódico [381]	12–13 Feb 2009	800	36.6	25.1	4.5	1.9	0.9	3.9	1.3	–	–	–	11.5	7.0	11.5
Metroscopia/El País [436] [437]	22–27 Jan 2009	800	30.5	22.9	3.6	–	–	3.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	7.6
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [384]	10–20 Jan 2009	1,600	28.4	21.9	3.7	1.6	0.8	4.9	0.6	0.5	–	–	–	–	6.5
CIS [385]	9–19 Jan 2009	2,482	29.3	23.0	3.5	2.0	0.8	2.5	1.1	0.4	0.3	–	18.6	12.6	6.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [392]	25 Nov–18 Dec 2008	3,198	27.1	20.9	3.5	1.2	0.6	2.7	0.8	0.6	–	–	–	–	6.2
DYM/ABC [433]	13–20 Nov 2008	1,012	28.1	21.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	6.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [395]	27 Oct–20 Nov 2008	3,203	28.4	22.9	3.3	1.7	0.7	2.9	0.6	0.6	–	–	–	–	5.6
GESOP/El Periódico [400]	20–24 Oct 2008	1,500	34.1	28.7	3.9	1.8	1.3	2.9	0.6	–	–	–	12.4	7.6	5.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [392] [401]	29 Sep–23 Oct 2008	3,203	26.2	22.8	2.0	2.0	0.4	2.9	0.7	0.5	–	–	–	–	3.4
CIS [404]	1–9 Oct 2008	2,481	30.8	23.8	3.6	2.5	0.7	2.1	0.9	0.4	0.2	–	17.9	11.6	7.0
Intercampo/GETS [406]	17 Sep–8 Oct 2008	1,729	30.7	18.9	4.5	1.7	1.0	0.3	1.3	–	–	–	–	–	11.8
Simple Lógica [408]	29 Sep–7 Oct 2008	1,006	24.0	20.8	4.4	1.8	0.5	–	–	–	–	–	23.2	17.9	3.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [412]	8–25 Sep 2008	3,171	27.9	26.3	3.4	1.9	0.8	2.4	0.6	0.8	–	–	–	–	1.6
CIS [414]	7–13 Jul 2008	2,468	29.3	22.8	4.3	2.3	1.0	1.7	1.2	0.5	0.2	–	19.0	12.3	6.5
Metroscopia/El País [416]	9–10 Jul 2008	703	34.0	28.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	12.6	8.5	6.0
ASEP [434]	9–15 Jun 2008	1,206	34.8	22.1	3.8	1.7	1.5	1.0	0.6	1.1	0.2	–	17.5	10.5	12.7
GESOP/El Periódico [428]	26–30 May 2008	1,500	41.5	25.2	4.5	1.7	1.2	2.5	0.9	–	–	–	–	–	16.3
ASEP [434]	12–18 May 2008	1,210	39.6	22.4	4.2	1.1	1.6	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.2	–	13.0	10.7	17.2
CIS [430]	24–30 Apr 2008	2,459	36.9	20.9	3.7	2.0	0.9	2.0	1.0	0.6	0.2	–	16.8	10.0	16.0
ASEP [434]	14–20 Apr 2008	1,204	38.9	26.1	3.5	1.3	1.6	1.2	1.0	0.9	0.2	–	12.3	9.6	12.8
2008 general election	9 Mar 2008	—	32.7	30.0	2.8	2.3	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.5	–	—	24.7	2.7

Victory preference

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size					PNV			Other/ None	?	Lead
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [14]	9–10 Nov 2011	1,000	30.5	42.3	–	–	–	–	–	17.5	9.7	11.8
Noxa/La Vanguardia [15]	7–10 Nov 2011	1,275	27.0	42.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	15.0
TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP [25]	2–7 Nov 2011	1,505	21.9	34.1	–	–	–	–	–	26.3	17.8	12.2
CIS [46]	6–23 Oct 2011	17,236	21.7	33.5	5.3	1.9	0.4	2.6	0.6	35.2	19.4	11.8
Intercampo/GETS [53]	15 Sep–17 Oct 2011	1,724	28.2	27.3	5.2	1.0	0.5	1.6	0.3	14.5	20.8	0.9
Metroscopia/El País [60]	11–13 Oct 2011	1,500	30.0	44.0	–	–	–	–	–	22.0	4.0	14.0
CEMOP [72]	26 Sep–4 Oct 2011	800	23.1	36.6	–	–	–	–	–	15.9	24.4	13.5
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [84]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,000	33.5	40.3	–	–	–	–	–	13.3	12.9	6.8
Metroscopia/El País [86]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,002	34.0	39.0	–	–	–	–	–	25.0	2.0	5.0
Metroscopia/El País [94]	27–28 Jul 2011	1,203	36.0	42.0	–	–	–	–	–	21.0	2.0	6.0
CIS [95]	4–11 Jul 2011	2,475	30.4	31.6	4.1	1.4	0.6	3.3	0.6	5.2	22.7	1.2
Metroscopia/El País [102]	29–30 Jun 2011	1,001	34.0	40.0	–	–	–	–	–	22.0	4.0	6.0
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [105]	20–21 Jun 2011	1,000	34.1	41.9	–	–	–	–	–	12.7	11.3	7.8
Metroscopia/El País [117]	27–28 Apr 2011	1,200	39.0	42.0	–	–	–	–	–	16.0	3.0	3.0
CIS [125]	1–8 Apr 2011	2,463	26.3	31.5	4.4	1.8	0.4	2.6	0.6	4.6	27.5	5.2
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [127]	6–7 Apr 2011	1,000	30.8	41.9	–	–	–	–	–	12.4	14.9	11.1
Metroscopia/El País [134]	30–31 Mar 2011	1,004	36.0	42.0	–	–	–	–	–	19.0	3.0	6.0
Metroscopia/El País [141]	2–3 Mar 2011	1,004	32.0	44.0	–	–	–	–	–	21.0	3.0	12.0
Metroscopia/El País [153]	2–3 Feb 2011	1,005	34.0	43.0	–	–	–	–	–	20.0	3.0	9.0
CIS [158]	7–16 Jan 2011	2,478	28.7	34.6	4.1	2.2	0.4	2.5	0.4	3.6	23.4	5.9
Metroscopia/El País [165]	3–4 Jan 2011	1,023	37.0	38.0	–	–	–	–	–	21.0	4.0	1.0
Metroscopia/El País [180]	1–2 Dec 2010	1,000	37.0	43.0	–	–	–	–	–	18.0	2.0	6.0
Metroscopia/El País [188]	2–4 Nov 2010	1,000	42.0	36.0	–	–	–	–	–	19.0	3.0	6.0
Opina/Cadena SER [190]	28–29 Oct 2010	1,000	41.0	40.9	–	–	–	–	–	8.6	9.5	0.1
Noxa/La Vanguardia [438]	25–28 Oct 2010	1,000	34.0	39.0	6.0	1.0	–	4.0	0.4	8.0	9.0	5.0
Opina/Cadena SER [202]	7–8 Oct 2010	1,000	34.4	41.7	–	–	–	–	–	12.8	11.1	7.3
Metroscopia/El País [208]	30 Sep 2010	500	31.0	42.0	–	–	–	–	–	22.0	5.0	11.0
Metroscopia/El País [215]	1–2 Sep 2010	500	41.0	39.0	–	–	–	–	–	18.0	2.0	3.0
Opina/Cadena SER [217]	30–31 Aug 2010	1,000	36.8	39.5	–	–	–	–	–	12.6	11.1	2.7
Metroscopia/El País [219]	28–29 Jul 2010	500	41.0	38.0	–	–	–	–	–	18.0	3.0	3.0
Metroscopia/El País [231]	1 Jul 2010	501	35.0	44.0	–	–	–	–	–	17.0	4.0	9.0
Metroscopia/El País [240]	2 Jun 2010	506	31.0	41.0	–	–	–	–	–	21.0	7.0	10.0
CIS [260]	6–14 Apr 2010	2,479	33.1	28.6	–	–	–	–	–	21.1	17.2	4.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia [413]	15–18 Sep 2008	1,000	40.0	35.0	5.0	1.0	1.0	4.0	1.0	7.0	6.0	5.0

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None	?	Lead
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [14]	9–10 Nov 2011	1,000	4.4	88.9	0.5	6.2	84.5
GAD3/COPE [18]	2–10 Nov 2011	1,395	1.0	85.0	–	–	84.0
TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP [25]	2–7 Nov 2011	1,505	3.9	88.8	0.5	6.8	84.9
GAD3/COPE [39]	17–31 Oct 2011	1,200	5.0	84.0	–	–	79.0
Metroscopia/El País [41]	24–27 Oct 2011	1,500	4.0	83.0	–	13.0	79.0
CIS [46]	6–23 Oct 2011	17,236	4.2	82.1	0.8	12.9	77.9
Intercampo/GETS [53]	15 Sep–17 Oct 2011	1,724	7.0	72.9	1.8	18.0	65.9
Metroscopia/El País [60]	11–13 Oct 2011	1,500	4.0	87.0	–	9.0	83.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia [439]	28 Sep–4 Oct 2011	1,272	7.0	87.0	–	6.0	80.0
CEMOP [72]	26 Sep–4 Oct 2011	800	3.6	82.0	0.1	14.3	78.4
NC Report/La Razón [77]	21–28 Sep 2011	1,000	22.4	55.5	9.8	12.3	33.1
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [84]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,000	8.2	81.8	0.5	9.5	73.6
Metroscopia/El País [86]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,002	7.0	85.0	–	8.0	78.0
GAD3/COPE [88]	5–6 Sep 2011	504	7.0	77.0	–	–	70.0
Metroscopia/El País [94]	27–28 Jul 2011	1,203	8.0	84.0	–	8.0	76.0
CIS [95]	4–11 Jul 2011	2,475	6.3	79.4	0.6	13.4	73.1
GAD/COPE [100]	1–5 Jul 2011	504	5.0	78.0	–	–	73.0
Metroscopia/El País [102]	29–30 Jun 2011	1,001	5.0	88.0	–	7.0	83.0
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [105]	20–21 Jun 2011	1,000	9.5	80.5	0.8	9.2	71.0
GAD/COPE [107]	3–7 Jun 2011	501	5.0	80.0	–	–	75.0
Metroscopia/El País [117]	27–28 Apr 2011	1,200	12.0	75.0	–	13.0	63.0
CIS [125]	1–8 Apr 2011	2,463	9.3	71.6	0.4	18.7	62.3
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER [127]	6–7 Apr 2011	1,000	10.4	72.4	0.1	17.1	62.0
GAD/COPE [131]	1–5 Apr 2011	500	9.0	72.0	–	–	63.0
Metroscopia/El País [134]	30–31 Mar 2011	1,004	11.0	78.0	–	11.0	67.0
GAD/COPE [139]	7–9 Mar 2011	502	8.0	74.0	–	–	66.0
Metroscopia/El País [141]	2–3 Mar 2011	1,004	9.0	81.0	–	10.0	72.0
GAD/COPE [139] [149]	7–8 Feb 2011	501	10.0	71.0	–	–	61.0
Metroscopia/El País [153]	2–3 Feb 2011	1,005	11.0	77.0	–	12.0	66.0
CIS [158]	7–16 Jan 2011	2,478	10.4	71.4	0.6	17.7	61.0
GAD/COPE [163]	10–11 Jan 2011	500	10.0	64.0	–	–	54.0
Metroscopia/El País [165]	3–4 Jan 2011	1,023	10.0	77.0	–	13.0	67.0
GAD/COPE [177]	13–14 Dec 2010	500	10.0	71.0	–	–	61.0
Metroscopia/El País [180]	1–2 Dec 2010	1,000	11.0	79.0	–	10.0	68.0
GAD/COPE [180] [185]	8–10 Nov 2010	503	12.0	66.0	–	–	54.0
Metroscopia/El País [188]	2–4 Nov 2010	1,000	19.0	67.0	–	14.0	48.0
Opina/Cadena SER [190]	28–29 Oct 2010	1,000	19.5	67.4	0.7	12.4	47.9
Noxa/La Vanguardia [438]	25–28 Oct 2010	1,000	22.0	65.0	2.0	2.0	43.0
GAD/COPE [180] [200]	8–13 Oct 2010	501	12.0	66.0	–	–	54.0
Opina/Cadena SER [202]	7–8 Oct 2010	1,000	15.1	70.5	1.7	12.7	55.4
Metroscopia/El País [208]	30 Sep 2010	500	15.0	72.0	–	13.0	57.0
GAD/COPE [180] [211]	13–15 Sep 2010	500	14.0	61.0	–	–	47.0
Metroscopia/El País [215]	1–2 Sep 2010	500	20.0	62.0	–	18.0	42.0
Opina/Cadena SER [217]	30–31 Aug 2010	1,000	20.0	63.7	0.9	15.4	43.7
Metroscopia/El País [219]	28–29 Jul 2010	500	21.0	60.0	–	19.0	39.0
GAD/COPE [177] [225]	5–7 Jul 2010	500	14.0	60.0	–	–	46.0
Metroscopia/El País [231]	1 Jul 2010	501	16.0	69.0	–	15.0	53.0
GAD/COPE [177]	7–9 Jun 2010	502	9.0	64.0	–	–	55.0
Metroscopia/El País [240]	2 Jun 2010	506	13.0	70.0	–	17.0	57.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [252]	13 May 2010	1,000	19.8	63.9	4.0	12.3	44.1
GAD/COPE [177] [253]	10–12 May 2010	500	18.0	55.0	–	–	37.0
Metroscopia/El País [257]	29 Apr 2010	512	21.0	62.0	–	17.0	41.0
GAD/COPE [177]	12–14 Apr 2010	?	13.0	56.0	–	–	43.0
CIS [260]	6–14 Apr 2010	2,479	23.7	49.3	1.9	25.1	25.6
Metroscopia/El País [265]	8 Apr 2010	515	28.0	56.0	–	16.0	28.0
GAD/COPE [177] [269]	8–11 Mar 2010	500	15.0	61.0	–	–	46.0
Metroscopia/El País [273]	3–4 Mar 2010	500	18.0	62.0	–	20.0	44.0
GAD/COPE [177] [279]	3–10 Feb 2010	671	13.0	62.0	–	–	49.0
Metroscopia/El País [284]	3–4 Feb 2010	500	23.0	62.0	–	16.0	39.0
GAD/COPE [177] [292]	15 Jan 2010	?	19.0	47.0	–	–	28.0
Metroscopia/El País [296]	7 Jan 2010	504	24.0	52.0	–	23.0	28.0
Metroscopia/El País [309]	2–3 Dec 2009	732	30.0	53.0	–	18.0	23.0
Metroscopia/El País [322]	28–29 Oct 2009	501	33.0	45.0	–	21.0	12.0
Metroscopia/El País [322]	15 Oct 2009	500	27.0	45.0	–	28.0	18.0
Metroscopia/El País [335]	30 Sep–1 Oct 2009	501	26.0	54.0	–	21.0	28.0
Metroscopia/El País [345]	8–9 Jul 2009	500	32.0	44.0	–	24.0	12.0
Metroscopia/El País [353]	8–9 Jun 2009	500	32.0	50.0	–	18.0	18.0

Sub-national polling

Main article: Sub-national opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

Alternative scenarios

PSOE candidates

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								PNV			Lead
NC Report/La Razón [440]	18–20 Apr 2011	1,000	?	–	–	32.0	–	46.1	–	–	–	–	–	14.1
			?	–	33.6	–	–	45.2	–	–	–	–	–	11.6
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [441]	11–19 Apr 2011	2,005	?	–	–	40.6	–	39.7	–	–	–	–	–	0.9
			?	–	40.9	–	–	39.9	–	–	–	–	–	1.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [122]	7–12 Apr 2011	3,000	?	–	–	31.1	–	45.4	–	–	–	–	–	14.3
			?	–	34.2	–	–	44.3	–	–	–	–	–	10.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [129]	5–7 Apr 2011	1,000	?	–	–	–	37.4	45.3	4.4	3.3	1.1	1.5	0.9	7.9
			?	–	–	37.8	–	44.9	4.2	3.3	1.1	1.4	0.9	7.1
			?	–	37.7	–	–	45.2	4.1	3.2	1.1	1.5	0.9	7.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [151]	2–3 Feb 2011	1,000	?	–	33.7	–	–	45.9	8.2	2.9	1.1	1.8	0.8	12.2
			?	31.3	–	–	–	47.4	8.1	2.9	1.1	2.2	0.9	16.1
Metroscopia/El País [152] [153]	2–3 Feb 2011	1,005	?	–	40.5	–	–	44.1	–	–	–	–	–	3.6
			70	28.4	–	–	–	43.3	–	–	–	–	–	14.9

Leadership polling

Main article: Leadership opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

Notes

1. Undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.

References

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92. "Rajoy noquea a Rubalcaba". La Razón (in Spanish). 30 July 2011. Archived from the original on 4 November 2011.
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115. "Barómetro de mayo de 2011" (PDF). El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 3 June 2011.
116. "El "efecto Zapatero" no evita la victoria del PP en las municipales". El País (in Spanish). 1 May 2011.
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118. "El sondeo más completo de España reafirma la mayoría absoluta del PP". ABC (in Spanish). 1 May 2011.
119. "Rajoy ganaría por mayoría absoluta en 2012". El Correo (in Spanish). 1 May 2011.
120. "El adiós de Zapatero no revive al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 24 April 2011. Archived from the original on 27 May 2011.
121. "El PSOE reduce la ventaja del PP a 2,3 puntos". Público (in Spanish). 25 April 2011. Archived from the original on 27 April 2011.
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128. "El PP aventaja en 12 puntos al PSOE tras el anuncio de Zapatero". El País (in Spanish). 11 April 2011.
129. "El 'lastre' de Zapatero pesaba 9 puntos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 April 2011.
130. "El PSOE recorta más de dos puntos al PP tras el adiós de Zapatero". COPE (in Spanish). 8 April 2011. Archived from the original on 11 April 2011.
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143. "La ventaja del PP sigue por encima de los 13 puntos". Público (in Spanish). 28 February 2011. Archived from the original on 1 March 2011.
144. "Más de tres millones de votantes socialistas abandonan a Zapatero". La Razón (in Spanish). 28 February 2011. Archived from the original on 2 May 2011.
145. "El PP aventaja en 15 puntos al PSOE en intención de voto". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 24 February 2011. Archived from the original on 27 February 2011.
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148. "El PSOE perderá un millón de votos en las próximas municipales". COPE (in Spanish). 11 February 2011. Archived from the original on 13 February 2011.
149. "El PP sigue superando al PSOE en más de 10 puntos (COPE)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 11 February 2011. Archived from the original on 16 February 2011.
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159. "El PP consolida y amplía su ventaja sobre el PSOE". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 February 2011.
160. "El PP saca 11 puntos al PSOE". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 17 January 2011.
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167. "El líder popular, mejor valorado". ABC (in Spanish). 9 January 2011.
168. "El PP supera al PSOE de González de 1982". ABC (in Spanish). 9 January 2011.
169. "El PSOE se hunde en las encuestas y el PP obtiene 18,4 puntos de ventaja". La Voz de Barcelona (in Spanish). 2 January 2011.
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171. "El nuevo recorte hunde más al PSOE y sitúa al PP en la mayoría absoluta". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 24 December 2010. Archived from the original on 11 March 2016. Retrieved 24 October 2015.
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175. "El PP dispara de nuevo su ventaja sobre el PSOE". Público (in Spanish). 20 December 2010. Archived from the original on 22 December 2010.
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183. "La distancia entre PP y PSOE vuelve a niveles anteriores (Antena 3)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 18 November 2010. Archived from the original on 22 November 2010.
184. "El cambio en el Gobierno tira fuerte del PSOE". Público (in Spanish). 15 November 2010. Archived from the original on 18 November 2010.
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187. "Zapatero logra agitar al votante del PSOE". El País (in Spanish). 7 November 2010.
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189. "El cambio de Gobierno resucita al PSOE". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 2 November 2010.
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191. "El PP roza la mayoría absoluta tras los relevos en el Gobierno del PSOE". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 31 October 2010.
192. "El PP supera al PSOE por 10 puntos en intención de voto". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 23 October 2010. Archived from the original on 25 October 2010.
193. "Zapatero recupera 3 puntos tras el cambio de gobierno (Antena 3)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 23 October 2010. Archived from the original on 27 October 2010.
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196. "Tendencias electorales 2010. Importante desgaste del PSOE" (PDF). Fundación Sistema (in Spanish). 23 November 2010. Archived from the original on 22 February 2014.
197. "La revista de Alfonso Guerra sitúa al PP a 15 puntos por delante del PSOE". El Mundo (in Spanish). 23 November 2010.
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199. "El 29-S hundió más al PSOE frente al PP". ABC (in Spanish). 6 November 2010.
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202. "Pulsómetro 13/10/10". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 October 2010. Archived from the original on 16 October 2010.
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206. "El quinto escalón". Público (in Spanish). 11 October 2010. Archived from the original on 14 October 2010.
207. "El PSOE cae aún más tras la huelga". El País (in Spanish). 3 October 2010.
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209. "El Partido Popular ganaría las elecciones generales si se celebraran hoy". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 24 September 2010. Archived from the original on 26 September 2010.
210. "IU se beneficia del desplome del PSOE (Antena 3)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 24 September 2010. Archived from the original on 6 October 2010.
211. "Casi uno de cada 10 votantes de Zapatero votaría hoy al PP". COPE (in Spanish). 17 September 2010. Archived from the original on 20 September 2010.
212. "El PP atrae casi un millón de votantes socialistas (COPE)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 17 September 2010. Archived from the original on 15 October 2010.
213. "El PP roza la mayoría absoluta ante un PSOE en caída libre". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 September 2010. Archived from the original on 13 September 2010.
214. "Se desinfla el apoyo a la huelga general". El País (in Spanish). 5 September 2010.
215. "Clima Social de España (15ª oleada. Septiembre 2010)" (PDF). Metroscopia (in Spanish). 13 September 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 January 2018. Retrieved 3 January 2018.
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217. "Pulsómetro 01/09/10" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 1 September 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 September 2010.
218. "El PSOE recorta distancias con el PP". El País (in Spanish). 1 August 2010.
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221. "La crisis hunde a Zapatero y permite al PP ampliar a 6 puntos su ventaja". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 August 2010.
222. "Rajoy gana por la mínima". El País (in Spanish). 16 July 2010.
223. "El PP ganaría las elecciones con 11 puntos de ventaja". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 17 July 2010. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016.
224. "Rajoy llega al Debate de la Nación con un pie en la mayoría absoluta". La Razón (in Spanish). 12 July 2010. Archived from the original on 16 July 2010.
225. "El deseo de cambio de los españoles alcanza su punto más alto". COPE (in Spanish). 9 July 2010. Archived from the original on 12 July 2010.
226. "El PP lograría la mayoría absoluta con 176 escaños". Electómetro (in Spanish). 9 July 2010. Archived from the original on 15 July 2010.
227. "El PSOE cae en intención de voto y abre la brecha con el PP en 9,6 puntos". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 11 July 2010.
228. "Rajoy aventaja a Zapatero en 9,6 puntos (La Gaceta)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 12 July 2010. Archived from the original on 15 July 2010.
229. "Barómetro de laSexta". laSexta (in Spanish). 4 July 2010.
230. "Huelga minoritaria, pero justificada". El País (in Spanish). 4 July 2010.
231. "Clima Social de España (13ª oleada. Julio 2010)" (PDF). Metroscopia (in Spanish). 12 July 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 January 2018. Retrieved 3 January 2018.
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234. "El PSOE sigue con tendencia a la baja; IU duplica votos (Antena 3)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 20 June 2010. Archived from the original on 30 June 2010.
235. "El "tijeretazo" social hunde al PSOE y dispara la ventaja del PP a 11,8 puntos". ABC (in Spanish). 14 June 2010.
236. "El PP lograría la mayoría absoluta con 178 escaños". COPE (in Spanish). 11 June 2010. Archived from the original on 12 June 2010.
237. "Zapatero pierde más de dos millones de votantes (Barómetro COPE)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 11 June 2010. Archived from the original on 17 June 2010.
238. "El PP capitaliza el desgaste del tijeretazo". Público (in Spanish). 14 June 2010. Archived from the original on 19 November 2011.
239. "El 77% quiere nuevos candidatos". El País (in Spanish). 6 June 2010.
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243. "Rajoy ganaría hoy con una mayoría absoluta superior a la de Aznar". El Mundo (in Spanish). 30 May 2010.
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250. "El PSOE cae y queda a 6,3 puntos del PP". Público (in Spanish). 24 May 2010. Archived from the original on 26 December 2010.
251. "El recorte dispara la ventaja del PP". El País (in Spanish). 16 May 2010.
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253. "Zapatero, en caída libre". COPE (in Spanish). 14 May 2010. Archived from the original on 17 May 2010.
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255. "El PP llega a los 170 diputados". La Razón (in Spanish). 3 May 2010. Archived from the original on 4 November 2011.
256. "La desconfianza se apodera de España". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2010.
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264. "La corrupción pasa factura al PP". El País (in Spanish). 11 April 2010.
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