In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and island cabildos in the Canary Islands are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | SL | LAVA | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 44.7 | 17.2 5 | 28.5 9 | 17.2 6 | 6.2 2 | 2.6 0 | 9.1 3 | 4.6 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 2.5 0 | 11.3 |
GfK/FORTA [1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 22.1 6/7 | 24.4 7/8 | 16.5 4/5 | 5.9 0/1 | – | 8.5 2/3 | 10.7 2/3 | [lower-alpha 1] | – | 2.3 |
TSA/Lanzarote Media [2] [3] | 5–17 Apr 2019 | 342 | 49.5 | 24.9 6/7 | 18.8 4/5 | 10.5 2/3 | ? 3/4 | 5.2 0/1 | ? 2/3 | 10.2 2/3 | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 0 | 6.1 |
Infortécnica/Lancelot Medios [4] [5] | 8 Apr 2019 | ? | ? | ? 5/6 | ? 5/6 | 26.9 6/7 | ? 1/2 | ? 1/2 | ? 1/2 | ? 1/2 | [lower-alpha 1] | – | ? |
2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 46.3 | 19.6 6 | 17.3 5 | 15.3 5 | 10.0 3 | 8.9* 2 | 8.9** 2 | 6.0 2 | 4.9 0 | – | 2.3 |
(*) Results for Lanzarote Independents Party. (**) Results for Let's Win Lanzarote. |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 50.7 | 22.2 7 | 31.7 11 | [lower-alpha 2] | 9.5 3 | 9.5 3 | [lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 2] | 8.4 2 | 3.2 0 | 10.4 3 | 1.3 0 | 9.5 |
GfK/FORTA [6] [7] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 18.2 5/6 | 32.6 10/12 | [lower-alpha 2] | 11.8 3/4 | 9.5 2/3 | [lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 2] | 7.2 2/3 | – | 10.6 3/4 | 3.3 0/1 | 14.4 |
TSA/Canarias7 [8] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | ? | 64 | 13.9 4/5 | 22.4 7/8 | [lower-alpha 2] | 13.6 4/5 | 13.6 3/4 | [lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 2] | 14.2 4/5 | 4.8 0 | 14.0 4/5 | – | 8.2 |
Infocom/CC [9] | 12–21 Jun 2018 | ? | ? | 17.9 6 | 29.4 9 | 12.3 4 | 16.9 5 | 7.6 3 | [lower-alpha 3] | – | 10.9 3 | – | – | – | 11.5 |
TSA/Canarias7 [10] [11] | 16 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | 19.2 6/7 | 23.4 8/9 | 15.2 5/6 | 12.3 4/5 | 12.8 4/5 | 5.1 1/2 | – | 4.6 0 | – | – | – | 4.2 |
2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 57.0 | 28.8 10 | 19.7 7 | 16.1* 6 | 7.7 2 | 7.5 2 | 5.6 2 | 3.5** 0 | 3.2 0 | 0.4 0 | – | – | 9.1 |
(*) Results for Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Can. (**) Results for Canaries Decides. |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | AMF | GF | AEPR | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 52.7 | 17.4 4 | 19.9 5 | 13.5 3 | 9.8 2 | [lower-alpha 4] | – | 5.0 1 | 7.6 2 | 7.9 2 | 3.7 0 | 7.9 2 | 2.5 |
GfK/FORTA [1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 16.8 4/5 | 23.3 6/7 | 13.9 3/4 | 6.6 1/2 | [lower-alpha 4] | – | 5.4 0/1 | 15.5 3/4 | 7.1 1/2 | 3.7 0/1 | – | 6.5 |
2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 56.6 | 27.8 7 | 19.0 4 | 15.4 4 | 8.8 2 | 8.4 2 | 6.1* 1 | 5.2** 1 | – | – | – | – | 8.8 |
(*) Results for Canaries Decides. (**) Results for Majorero Progressive Party. |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Avante | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.6 | 27.7 9 | 17.0 5 | 23.9 7 | 7.8 2 | 2.3 0 | 7.1 2 | 8.8 2 | 2.3 0 | 3.8 |
GfK/FORTA [12] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 23.9 7/8 | 20.2 5/6 | 20.7 6/7 | 11.4 3/4 | – | 7.3 1/2 | 7.2 1/2 | – | 3.2 |
TSA/Canarias7 [13] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | ? | ? | 20.2 6/7 | 16.8 5/6 | 23.0 6/7 | 8.1 2/3 | 5.0 0/1 | 7.1 2 | 9.3 3 | 2.3 0 | 2.8 |
SEC [14] [15] | 3 Jun 2018 | 1,000 | ? | 29.0– 30.0 8 | 14.0– 15.0 4 | 22.0– 23.0 6 | 11.0– 12.0 3 | 4.0– 5.0 1 | 17.0– 19.0 5 | – | – | 7.0 |
TSA/Canarias7 [16] [17] | 17 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | 21.6 6/7 | 17.1 5 | 22.0 6/7 | 11.0 3 | 7.9 2 | 15.2 4/5 | – | – | 0.4 |
2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 58.1 | 23.9 7 | 18.5 6 | 18.1 5 | 15.2 4 | 9.6 3 | 7.2 2 | – | – | 5.4 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 53.4 | 30.8 10 | 9.7 3 | 26.4 9 | 4.4 0 | 8.4 2 | [lower-alpha 2] | 3.1 0 | 10.6 3 | 1.7 0 | 4.4 |
GfK/FORTA [18] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 29.1 8/10 | 8.6 2/3 | 26.1 7/8 | 10.3 2/3 | 8.8 2/3 | [lower-alpha 2] | – | 8.2 2/3 | – | 3.0 |
TSA/Canarias7 [19] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | ? | ? | 23.9 7/9 | 9.8 3/4 | 22.5 7/9 | 7.6 2/3 | 9.1 3/4 | [lower-alpha 2] | 3.9 0 | 10.4 3/4 | 5.8 1/2 | 1.4 |
IADC [20] | 29 Apr–4 May 2019 | 700 | 53–56 | 28.0– 29.0 11/12 | 11.0– 12.0 3/4 | 16.0– 17.0 5/6 | 8.0– 9.0 2/3 | 11.0– 12.0 3/4 | [lower-alpha 2] | – | 5.0– 6.0 1/2 | – | 12.0 |
TSA/Canarias7 [21] [22] | 16 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | 25.8 7/8 | 12.1 3/4 | 18.7 5/6 | 15.2 4/5 | 12.5 3/4 | 5.3 1 | – | – | – | 7.1 |
2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 55.1 | 24.3 9 | 17.5 6 | 13.2 4 | 12.1 4 | 9.5 3 | 5.1* 1 | 0.5 0 | – | – | 6.8 |
(*) Results for Canaries Decides. |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | +xT | CCD | CIUCA | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 54.2 | 24.3 8 | 7.1 2 | [lower-alpha 3] | 20.2 6 | 7.2 2 | 12.2 4 | [lower-alpha 2] | [lower-alpha 3] | 4.1 0 | 10.4 3 | 6.8 2 | 2.0 0 | 4.1 |
GfK/FORTA [6] [12] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 26.3 8/9 | 7.2 1/2 | [lower-alpha 3] | 22.1 6/7 | 8.8 2/3 | 11.0 3/4 | [lower-alpha 2] | [lower-alpha 3] | 6.1 1/2 | – | 7.1 1/2 | – | 4.2 |
TSA/Canarias7 [23] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | ? | ? | 22.5 7/8 | 11.9 3/4 | [lower-alpha 3] | 16.8 5/6 | 8.4 2/3 | 12.2 4 | [lower-alpha 2] | [lower-alpha 3] | 5.6 1/2 | 8.6 2/3 | 7.2 2 | 3.1 0 | 5.7 |
TSA/Canarias7 [24] [25] | 17 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | 23.4 7/8 | 11.1 3 | 11.7 3/4 | 14.7 4/5 | 10.7 3 | 5.6 1 | 7.5 2 | 3.9 0 | 6.2 2 | [lower-alpha 5] | – | – | 8.7 |
2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 61.9 | 20.7 7 | 13.5 4 | 12.6 4 | 11.5 4 | 8.7 3 | 8.2 2 | 7.3* 2 | 5.3 1 | 3.6 0 | [lower-alpha 5] | – | – | 7.2 |
(*) Results for We Can Win Telde. |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | AEPEH | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 75.3 | 20.9 3 | 26.9 4 | 10.2 1 | 7.5 1 | 2.8 0 | 24.0 4 | 2.9 |
GfK/FORTA [26] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 20.9 3/4 | 28.3 4/5 | 19.2 2/3 | – | 5.0 0/1 | 15.0 2/3 | 7.4 |
2015 Island Cabildo election | 24 May 2015 | — | 74.8 | 45.1 6 | 24.9 3 | 13.6 2 | 6.7 1 | 6.6 1 | – | 20.2 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.7 | 25.4 7 | 23.1 7 | 14.2 4 | 7.0 2 | 4.7 0 | 10.8 3 | 4.8 0 | 2.3 |
GfK/FORTA [27] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 25.5 7/8 | 25.5 6/7 | 11.2 2/3 | 14.0 3/4 | – | 6.3 1/2 | 5.5 1/2 | Tie |
TSA/Canarias7 [28] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | ? | ? | 22.7 6/7 | 22.2 5/6 | 9.0 2 | 12.9 3/4 | 5.3 1 | 11.5 3 | 9.5 2 | 0.5 |
2015 Island Cabildo election | 24 May 2015 | — | 59.4 | 30.6 9 | 17.6 5 | 11.9 3 | 10.6 3 | 8.3* 2 | 5.8 1 | 2.9 0 | 13.0 |
(*) Results for Majorero Progressive Party. |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.2 | 25.7 8 | 17.8 6 | 24.5 8 | 7.2 2 | [lower-alpha 3] | 10.7 3 | 6.9 2 | 0.6 0 | 2.5 0 | 1.2 |
GfK/FORTA [6] [29] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 20.0 6/7 | 16.6 5/6 | 27.8 8/10 | 10.5 3/4 | [lower-alpha 3] | 9.1 2/3 | 8.2 2/3 | – | – | 7.8 |
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia [30] | 5–17 May 2019 | ? | ? | 25.1 7/8 | 14.2 4 | 23.7 7 | 12.4 3/4 | [lower-alpha 3] | 15.1 4/5 | 7.1 2 | – | 1.3 0 | 1.4 |
TSA/Canarias7 [31] [32] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | ? | ? | 26.5 8/9 | 11.9 3/4 | 17.5 5/6 | 12.3 3/4 | [lower-alpha 3] | 12.0 3/4 | 9.1 2/3 | – | 4.6 0 | 9.0 |
Infocom/CC [33] [34] | 12–21 Jun 2018 | 1,201 | ? | 27.5 9 | 12.5 4 | 17.4 5/6 | 10.7 3 | [lower-alpha 3] | 14.7 4/5 | 10.8 3 | – | – | 10.1 |
TSA/Canarias7 [35] [36] | 19 Feb–31 Mar 2018 | 796 | ? | 28.9 10 | 12.3 4 | 17.8 6 | 10.9 3/4 | 7.8 2 | 5.1 0/1 | 11.2 3/4 | – | – | 11.1 |
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia [37] [38] | 10–25 Aug 2017 | ? | ? | 26.2 8/9 | 20.9 6/7 | 17.7 5/6 | 12.1 3/4 | 8.5 2/3 | 6.6 1/2 | 5.4 1 | 1.5 0 | – | 5.3 |
2015 Island Cabildo election | 24 May 2015 | — | 61.6 | 26.5 9 | 17.5 6 | 14.5 5 | 13.4 4 | 11.3 4 | 5.6 1 | 4.3 0 | 1.5* 0 | 0.3 0 | 9.1 |
(*) Results for Canaries Decides. |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 76.1 | 57.5 11 | 14.8 3 | 4.5 0 | 12.8 2 | 4.2 0 | 5.6 1 | 42.7 |
GfK/FORTA [26] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 54.4 10/12 | 15.5 2/3 | 3.7 0/1 | 9.2 1/2 | 5.7 0/1 | 8.6 1/2 | 38.9 |
2015 Island Cabildo election | 24 May 2015 | — | 77.0 | 50.2 10 | 15.3 3 | 9.3 1 | 9.2 1 | 9.0 1 | 6.3 1 | 34.9 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 68.1 | 29.2 7 | 29.9 8 | 25.5 6 | 3.6 0 | 3.5 0 | 0.7 |
GfK/FORTA [26] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 29.0 7/8 | 30.0 7/8 | 21.8 5/6 | 3.7 0/1 | 3.3 0/1 | 1.0 |
2015 Island Cabildo election | 24 May 2015 | — | 66.7 | 31.4 8 | 29.4 7 | 22.9 5 | 5.0 1 | 2.7 0 | 2.0 |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | SL | LAVA | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 51.9 | 27.7 8 | 28.3 9 | 7.6 2 | 13.8 4 | 4.7 0 | 4.6 0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 4.9 0 | 2.4 0 | 0.6 |
GfK/FORTA [27] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 28.3 7/8 | 29.8 8/9 | 7.5 1/2 | 12.8 3/4 | 3.5 0/1 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 7.4 1/2 | – | 1.5 |
TSA/Canarias7 [39] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.8 5/6 | 24.4 6/7 | 13.5 3/4 | 10.4 2/3 | 13.2 3/4 | 5.1 0/1 | [lower-alpha 1] | 9.8 2/3 | – | 4.6 |
Infortécnica/Lancelot Medios [4] [40] | 8 Apr 2019 | 400 | ? | 26.1 7 | 24.6 6 | ? 2 | ? 3/4 | ? 0/1 | ? 1 | [lower-alpha 1] | ? 1 | ? 0/1 | 1.5 |
2015 Island Cabildo election | 24 May 2015 | — | 52.5 | 24.2 7 | 19.1 5 | 12.5 3 | 12.0 3 | 6.9 2 | 6.7* 1 | 6.6 1 | 5.3 1 | – | 5.1 |
(*) Results for Lanzarote Independents Party. |
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ASTf | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 58.4 | 31.1 11 | 30.8 11 | 12.6 4 | 9.4 3 | 6.3 2 | 1.1 0 | 1.9 0 | 2.2 0 | 0.4 0 | 0.3 |
GfK/FORTA [41] [42] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 29.4 9/11 | 32.8 11/13 | 10.6 3/4 | 12.2 3/4 | 7.5 2/3 | – | – | – | – | 3.4 |
Hamalgama Métrica/El Día [43] | 5–17 May 2019 | ? | ? | 25.2 8/9 | 24.1 8/9 | 16.4 5 | 13.7 4 | 8.6 2/3 | – | 3.0 0 | – | 5.2 0/1 | 1.1 |
TSA/Canarias7 [44] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | ? | ? | 26.7 9/10 | 24.9 8/9 | 10.9 3/4 | 15.9 5/6 | 8.2 2/3 | – | 4.2 0 | 3.8 0 | – | 1.8 |
Perfiles/CC [45] [46] | 16–20 Apr 2018 | 710 | ? | 30.0– 31.0 10/11 | 22.0– 23.0 7/8 | 13.0– 14.0 4/5 | 11.0– 12.0 3/4 | 10.0– 11.0 3/4 | – | 3.0– 4.0 0 | – | – | 8.0 |
TSA/Canarias7 [47] [48] | 19 Feb–31 Mar 2018 | 792 | ? | 25.8 8/9 | 22.5 7/8 | 17.2 5/6 | 13.9 4/5 | 10.3 3 | – | 4.5 0 | – | – | 3.3 |
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia [37] [38] | 10–25 Aug 2017 | ? | ? | 24.3 8 | 23.3 7/8 | 24.0 7/8 | ? 4 | ? 2 | – | – | – | – | 0.3 |
2015 Island Cabildo election | 24 May 2015 | — | 60.5 | 28.6 10 | 20.6 7 | 19.4 6 | 13.9 5 | 5.5 1 | 2.7* 0 | 2.2 0 | – | – | 8.0 |
(*) Results for Canaries Decides. |
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