Constituency opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish general election

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In the run up to the 2015 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in constituencies in Spain during the term of the 10th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 November 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 20 December 2015.

Contents

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font.

Constituencies

A Coruña

Álava

Albacete

Alicante

Almería

Asturias

Ávila

Badajoz

Balearic Islands

Barcelona

Biscay

Burgos

Cáceres

Cádiz

Cantabria

Castellón

Ceuta

Color key:

  Exit poll

Ciudad Real

Gipuzkoa

Girona

Granada

Guadalajara

La Rioja

Las Palmas

Lugo

Madrid

Málaga

Melilla

Color key:

  Exit poll

Murcia

Ourense

Pontevedra

Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Seville

Teruel

Valencia

Zaragoza

See also

Notes

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "Elecciones Generales de 2016. Resultados" (PDF). GIPEyOP (in Spanish). 14 December 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 22 January 2016.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "SPAIN, December 2015. GAD3 poll (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "Encuesta de Sondaxe: Medio millón de gallegos aún están indecisos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  4. ↑ "PP y PSOE ceden sendos puestos a los emergentes". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 "Madrid y Valencia desploman el voto al PP y propulsan a Ciudadanos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 "Los feudos del PP y del PSOE". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "Una encuesta sitúa al PP con 120 diputados y ampliando a 40 escaños su ventaja sobre PSOE". Europa Press (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Resultados de la encuesta de Redondo & Asociados para elecciones generales 2015 por comunidades". Europa Press (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "SPAIN, December 2015. Redondo & Asociados poll (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "Una encuesta sitúa al PP como ganador con 114 escaños, 30 por encima del PSOE". Europa Press (in Spanish). 2 December 2015.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "SPAIN, December 2015. Redondo & Asociados poll". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 December 2015.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "Preelectoral elecciones generales 2015 (Estudio nº 3117. Octubre-Noviembre 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 3 December 2015.
  13. 1 2 3 "Podemos, en los talones del PNV". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  14. 1 2 3 "Proyección 2015" (PDF). Naiz (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.
  15. 1 2 3 "PAÍS VASCO Y NAVARRA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo Aztiker". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.
  16. 1 2 3 "El 20-D devuelve la hegemonía al PNV". Deia (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.[ permanent dead link ]
  17. 1 2 3 "PAÍS VASCO (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo Gizaker". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.
  18. 1 2 3 "Elecciones Generales del 20 de diciembre de 2015: Previsión de voto" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 28 October 2015.
  19. 1 2 3 "PAÍS VASCO (E. Generales), Octubre 2015. Sondeo GPS Gobierno Vasco". Electograph (in Spanish). 28 October 2015.
  20. 1 2 3 4 "Las cinco provincias más pobladas". El País (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.
  21. 1 2 3 4 "Estimación de escaños en las cinco circunscripciones más pobladas". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 6 December 2015. Archived from the original on 11 November 2018. Retrieved 22 January 2019.
  22. 1 2 3 "COMUNIDAD VALENCIANA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo ODEC". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 December 2015.
  23. 1 2 3 "Elecciones Generales 2015: (incluye Madrid y Comunidad Valenciana)". GAD3 (in Spanish). 2 November 2015.
  24. 1 2 3 "Ciudadanos arrebata la supremacía al PP en la Comunidad Valenciana". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2015.
  25. 1 2 3 "Encuesta en la Comunidad Valenciana". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2015.
  26. 1 2 3 "Ciudadanos empataría con el PSPV en unas generales". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  27. ↑ "PP, C's y PSOE, en manos de los indecisos a una semana del 20D". La Voz de Almería (in Spanish). 12 December 2015.
  28. ↑ "Segunda Oleada para la circunscripción en "La Voz de Almería"". Deimos Estadística (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  29. ↑ "PROV. DE ALMERÍA (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo Deimos (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  30. ↑ "El PP puede caer 20 puntos y C's adelantar a los socialistas". La Voz de Almería (in Spanish). 5 December 2015.
  31. ↑ "El PP de Almería gana en su encuesta". Grupo Joly (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.
  32. 1 2 3 4 5 "SPAIN, November 2015. GAD3 poll (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 November 2015.
  33. 1 2 3 4 "Cinco provincias significativas en las que se disputan entre tres y siete escaños". El País (in Spanish). 5 December 2015.
  34. 1 2 3 4 "Reparto de escaños en cinco circunscripciones menos pobladas pero significativas". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 6 December 2015. Archived from the original on 11 November 2018. Retrieved 22 January 2019.
  35. 1 2 "Podemos supera en Cataluña a los independentistas de CDC y ERC". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  36. 1 2 "Las circunscripciones catalanas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  37. 1 2 "Los nacionalistas dejarán de ser decisivos en el Congreso pese a la falta de mayorías". ABC (in Spanish). 9 November 2015.
  38. 1 2 "Rajoy volvería a ganar pero muy lejos de la mayoría". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 11 May 2014.
  39. 1 2 "El PP mantiene la ventaja sobre el PSOE mientras suben IU y UPyD". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 September 2013.
  40. 1 2 "Convulsión en las generales: CiU lograría 20 escaños, y PSC y PP, 9". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 October 2012.
  41. 1 2 "Elecciones generales 2015 Resultados de las elecciones generales en directo". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.
  42. ↑ "Ceuta - Resultados estimados". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.
  43. 1 2 "Elecciones Generales 2015. 4 diciembre de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 4 December 2015.
  44. 1 2 "SPAIN, December 2015. GAD3 poll". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.
  45. 1 2 "Un Parlamento difícil de gobernar". El País (in Spanish). 30 November 2013.
  46. 1 2 "Barómetro electoral: el posible regreso a la política". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 2 December 2013. Archived from the original on 6 November 2018. Retrieved 22 January 2019.
  47. 1 2 "Rajoy-Arenas: 187 (45,60) Rubalcaba-Griñán: 104 (25,61)". La Razón (in Spanish). 21 February 2012. Archived from the original on 19 April 2012. Retrieved 22 January 2019.
  48. 1 2 "Podemos y Ciudadanos se llevan el 39 por ciento de los votos canarios". La Provincia (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
  49. 1 2 "CANARIAS (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo Hamalgama Métrica-Ágora Integral". Electograph (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
  50. 1 2 "Podemos mejora en campaña y el PP no remonta". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 12 December 2015.[ permanent dead link ]
  51. 1 2 "CANARIAS (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo TSA (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  52. 1 2 "El PP se hunde con Soria y Ciudadanos da la sorpresa". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.
  53. 1 2 "CANARIAS (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo TSA". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.
  54. ↑ "Cerrada disputa por un acta que se dejarían los de Rajoy". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  55. ↑ "El PSOE ganaría en Málaga pero empata a cuatro escaños con el PP". La Opinión de Málaga (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  56. ↑ "Melilla - Resultados estimados". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.
  57. ↑ "Uno de cada cuatro melillenses no sabe a quién votará en las Elecciones Generales" (PDF). La Luz de Melilla (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.[ permanent dead link ]
  58. ↑ "El Partido Popular pierde 17,7 puntos respecto a las elecciones Generales de 2011" (PDF). La Luz de Melilla (in Spanish). 11 November 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 December 2015. Retrieved 21 January 2019.
  59. ↑ "Semanario La Luz de Melilla número 115, del 7 de octubre de 2015". La Luz de Melilla (in Spanish). 7 October 2015. Archived from the original on 8 December 2015. Retrieved 21 January 2019.
  60. ↑ "Los populares pierden un escaño en el peor resultado del baltarismo". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  61. 1 2 "Las elecciones del 20-D revolucionan el mapa político de la provincia". Atlántico (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  62. ↑ "Los socialistas, de la cima de mayo al cuarto puesto". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  63. 1 2 "ARAGÓN (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo A+M". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
  64. ↑ "PP lograría 4-5 diputados en Valencia, Compromís-Podemos hasta 4, PSOE y C's se quedarían con 3 y EUPV, 1". Europa Press (in Spanish). 4 December 2015.
  65. ↑ "PROV. DE VALENCIA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 December 2015.
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