2005 Thai general election

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2005 Thai general election
Flag of Thailand.svg
  2001 6 February 2005 2006  

All 500 seats in the House of Representatives
251 seats needed for a majority
Registered44,572,101
Turnout72.56% (Increase2.svg 3.13pp)
 First partySecond party
 
Thaksin DOD 20050915 (crop).jpg
Banyat Bantadtan 2010-04-01 (9to12).jpg
Leader Thaksin Shinawatra Banyat Bantadtan
Party Thai Rak Thai Democrat
Last election248 seats128 seats
Seats won37796
Seat changeIncrease2.svg129Decrease2.svg32
Constituency vote16,523,3447,401,631
% and swing54.35% (Increase2.svg18.67pp)24.35% (Decrease2.svg0.19pp)
Party-list vote18,993,0737,210,742
% and swing60.48% (Increase2.svg20.57pp)22.96% (Decrease2.svg2.90pp)

 Third partyFourth party
 
Banharn Silpa-archa (cropped).jpg
e`nk ehlaathrrmthasn (2).png
Leader Banharn Silpa-archa Anek Laothamatas
Party Chart Thai Mahachon
Last election41 seats2 seats
Seats won252
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 16Steady2.svg
Constituency vote3,119,4732,223,850
% and swing10.26% (Increase2.svg2.01pp)7.32% (Increase2.svg4.17pp)
Party-list vote2,061,5591,346,631
% and swing6.56% (Increase2.svg1.33pp)4.29% (Increase2.svg3.05pp)

2005 Thai General Election Map By Constituency.png
Parties that won a majority of the seats in each province
  •   Thai Rak Thai
  •   Democrat
  •   Chart Thai
  •   No majority

Prime Minister before election

Thaksin Shinawatra
Thai Rak Thai

Prime Minister-designate

Thaksin Shinawatra
Thai Rak Thai

General elections were held in Thailand on 6 February 2005. The result was a landslide victory for the Thai Rak Thai party of Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, which won 377 of the 500 seats in the House of Representatives, with its former coalition partner, the Chart Thai Party taking 25 seats. The opposition Democrat Party of Thailand won only 96 seats and the newly formed Mahachon Party took two seats.

Background

Following the 2001 general elections, the New Aspiration Party merged into Thai Rak Thai, although it was later re-established by Chingchai Mongkoltham. The National Development Party (Thailand) and Seritham Party also merged with Thai Rak Thai Party.

Electoral system

At the time of the elections the House of Representatives consisted of 400 members elected from single-member constituencies and 100 members elected from national party lists on a proportional basis.

Campaign

Democrat Party

Democrat Party poster highlighting the "201" campaign 201 votes.png
Democrat Party poster highlighting the "201" campaign

The Democrat Party led by Banyat Bantadtan did not seriously expect to defeat the coalition of the other two parties, but hoped to win 200 seats, which would have been a gain of 70 seats. However, intra-party conflicts between Banyat's southern faction and the Bangkok faction led by Abhisit Vejjajiva made this goal appear even less realistic. The Democrats also developed a populist agenda, promising more jobs, free education and health care, and combating crime and corruption. However, the party refused to give details of their policies. [1]

The TRT's landslide victory cast doubt over the future of both party leaders, and Banyat resigned as Democrat Party leader immediately after the election. Abhisit Vejjajiva, Banyat's successor, said: "It will take a long time to revive the party because we need to look four years ahead and consider how to stay in the hearts of the people."

Thai Rak Thai

The Thai Rak Thai party was seeking to win an absolute majority in its own right, something no political party had ever achieved in Thailand at a genuinely free election. A coalition of other parties and civil society groups was formed to prevent this, arguing that Thaksin already had too much power and that giving him an absolute parliamentary majority would encourage what they alleged were his authoritarian tendencies. Prominent academic Kasem Sirisamphan, for example, accused Thaksin of running a "parliamentary dictatorship" and said that "people do not want a billionaire prime minister to further dominate the country and its politics."

Thaksin's party replied that it had provided Thailand with a stable, competent and corruption-free government, although critics said that corruption has actually increased under Thaksin's watch. Party spokesperson Suranand Vejjajiva said that Thais Love Thais was "the first party which could translate its populist policies into action. Its achievements and Mr Thaksin's vision give the party a clear edge and it will win an absolute majority," he said.

Promotion for Thaksin Shinawatra and his party on a Bangkok tuk-tuk (taxi) Thaksintuktuk.JPG
Promotion for Thaksin Shinawatra and his party on a Bangkok tuk-tuk (taxi)

Thai politics tend to be regionally based. Thai Rak Thai is strongest in the north-east region (Isan), the poorest and most populated part of the country, where Thaksin's populist policies are most popular. TRT is also dominant in the north, since Thaksin was born in Chiang Mai and has directed much government spending to his home region. Thai Rak Thai is strong in the Chao Phraya valley as well, although the region has historically been a stronghold of Chart Thai, which still dominates in some of the central provinces. Voters in Bangkok, the wealthiest part of the country, are less predictable, but steady economic growth, goal-oriented campaign agendas like "Healthy Bangkok" and "10 new MRT lines across the capital", and the publicity Thaksin received after the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake was enough to swing the allegiance of the capital's middle-class to TRT. The Democrats are strongest in the south, but are popular among liberal-minded voters in Bangkok.

During 2004 most observers suggested that Thaksin's popularity had declined since its peak in 2003, and that he was unlikely to achieve an absolute majority for his own party. The deaths of Muslim protesters in southern Thailand and the bird flu outbreak were seen as issues which the Thaksin government had handled poorly.

Tsunami effects

These calculations were upset by the disaster of the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake, which devastated six southern coastal provinces. The tsunami and its aftermath drove the election campaign to a large extent out of the media, and also produced a strong sense of national solidarity, from both of which an incumbent government could be expected to benefit. Most commentators praised the Thaksin government's response to the disaster. Political commentator Veera Prateepchaikul, who identified himself as an opponent of Thaksin, wrote in the Bangkok Post on 10 January: "Mr Thaksin deserves credit for his quick response to the disaster, his decisive leadership and his skills in crisis management."

Veera also pointed out that the provinces directly affected by the tsunami were part of the Democrat Party's southern stronghold, and that Thaksin's high profile, particularly on state television, in delivering aid to the area might improve his party's chances of winning more seats in the south. "The Democrats might cry foul that Mr Thaksin is using the state media for campaign purposes," Veera wrote, "but the people may think otherwise." Only a miracle, he wrote, could turn the "tsunami tide which is now clearly in favour of Mr Thaksin." In the event the Democrats retained their dominance in southern Thailand, winning 50 of the 52 southern seats for which figures are available.

Pre-election predictions

Given such increased expectations, a failure by Thai Rak Thai to win 250 seats would have been seen as a considerable setback for Thaksin. The Bangkok newspaper The Nation published predictions by its reporters on 8 January, predicting that of the 400 constituency seats, Thai Rak Thai would win 233, the Democrats 94, Chart Thai 47 and Great People 26. If the parties achieved similar results in the 100 proportionate seats, this would have given Thais Love Thais about 290 seats overall and the Democrats about 120 seats. This proved to be a considerable underestimate of the scale of Thaksin's victory.

Results

Thaksin's party dominated most of Thailand's regions. In Bangkok it won 32 seats to the Democrats' four and Chart Thai's one. In the Central region it won 79 seats to 10 for Chart Thai and eight for the Democrats. In the North, it won 71 seats to the Democrats' five. In the North-East (Isan) region, it won a massive 126 seats, to the Chart Thai's six, with two each going to the Democrats' and the Mahachon Party. Only in the South was the landslide resisted. Democrats won 52 seats in their traditional stronghold, while Chart Thai and Thai Rak Thai won only one seat each. Of the 100 seats elected by proportional representation, Thais Love Thais won 67, to the Democrats' 26 and Chart Thai's seven.

Thaksin said he would now form a one-party administration, ending his uneasy coalition with Chart Thai. The Bangkok newspaper The Nation said that Thaksin "has apparently won the strongest popular re-endorsement in Thai political history and is set to be the most powerful prime minister ever elected to lead the Kingdom." Thaksin is the first democratically elected Prime Minister of Thailand to complete a full four-year term in office and the first to win an absolute majority in the House in a relatively free election.

The day after the election, Thaksin said he would "work harder and faster to implement policies and resolve the country's problems." He said the government would "quickly boost Thailand's competitiveness in the international market, and would also look into improving religious affairs issues." This was taken as a reference to the situation in the south of the country, which has a large Muslim population, where there has been a history of unrest and disturbances, and where Thaksin's party won only one seat. The Nation newspaper reported: "Many voters [in the south] said they had lost faith in Thaksin, who has refused to apologise for incidents such as the deaths of 78 Muslims in October who were held in military custody after being arrested for protesting in the village of Tak Bai."

22nd Thailand House of Representatives composition (2005).svg
PartyParty-listConstituencyTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Thai Rak Thai Party 18,993,07360.486716,523,34454.35310377+129
Democrat Party 7,210,74222.96267,401,63124.357096–32
Thai Nation Party 2,061,5596.5673,119,47310.261825–16
Mahachon Party 1,346,6314.2902,223,8507.32220
Farmer Power Party298,5170.9506180.00000
Debt Relief Party 293,4870.930166,6510.5500New
Labour Party 162,2250.5201,2450.00000
National Democratic Party  [ th ]100,2030.3209,9520.03000
New Aspiration Party 88,9510.280133,9350.4400–36
Phaendin Thai82,6080.2602,2470.0100New
National Development Party 72,6900.2301760.00000
Prachachon Thai61,5400.20029,0990.1000New
Social Action Party 58,7210.19022,1440.0700–1
Thai Help Thai50,1270.1606180.0000New
Thai Citizen Party 38,3240.1207,0230.02000
Thai Natural Party37,9160.1202,6940.0100New
People's Power Party 26,8550.09000
Rak Thin Thai26,5850.0802,9420.0100New
Thai Farmer Party24,2320.0801,2290.0000New
Third Choice Party13,2370.0409000.0000New
Kasikorn Thai Party  [ th ]6,7030.02000
Palang Dharma Party 5760.00000
Protect Thai Land Party3050.0000New
Thai Tribal Party2620.0000New
Krit Thai Kong Party990.0000New
Blank votes357,5151.14741,2762.44
Total31,405,738100.0010030,398,992100.004005000
Valid votes31,405,73897.1130,398,99294.01
Invalid votes935,5862.891,938,5905.99
Total votes32,341,324100.0032,337,582100.00
Registered voters/turnout44,572,10172.5644,572,10172.55
Source: Nelson, [2] ECT, CLEA

By province

ProvinceTotal
seats
Seats won
Thai Rak Thai Democrat Thai Nation Mahachon
Amnat Charoen 22
Ang Thong 211
Bangkok 373241
Buriram 1010
Chachoengsao 44
Chai Nat 22
Chaiyaphum 77
Chanthaburi 33
Chiang Mai 1010
Chiang Rai 88
Chonburi 77
Chumphon 33
Kalasin 66
Kamphaeng Phet 55
Kanchanaburi 55
Khon Kaen 1111
Krabi 22
Lampang 55
Lamphun 33
Loei 44
Lopburi 55
Mae Hong Son 22
Maha Sarakham 66
Mukdahan 211
Nakhon Nayok 22
Nakhon Pathom 541
Nakhon Phanom 55
Nakhon Ratchasima 16151
Nakhon Sawan 77
Nakhon Si Thammarat 1010
Nan 33
Narathiwat 431
Nong Bua Lamphu 33
Nong Khai 66
Nonthaburi 66
Pathum Thani 541
Pattani 44
Phang Nga 211
Phatthalung 33
Phayao 33
Phetchabun 77
Phetchaburi 312
Phichit 431
Phitsanulok 642
Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya 55
Phrae 33
Phuket 22
Prachinburi 33
Prachuap Khiri Khan 33
Ranong 11
Ratchaburi 55
Rayong 44
Roi Et 862
Sa Kaeo 33
Sakon Nakhon 77
Samut Prakan 77
Samut Sakhon 33
Samut Songkhram 11
Saraburi 44
Satun 22
Sing Buri 11
Sisaket 981
Songkhla 88
Sukhothai 44
Suphan Buri 66
Surat Thani 66
Surin 981
Tak 312
Trang 44
Trat 11
Ubon Ratchathani 117211
Udon Thani 1010
Uthai Thani 211
Uttaradit 33
Yala 33
Yasothon 44
Partylist10067267
Total50037796252

References

  1. Aurel Croissant and Daniel J. Pojar, Jr., Quo Vadis Thailand? Thai Politics after the 2005 Parliamentary Election Archived 2009-04-19 at the Wayback Machine , Strategic Insights, Volume IV, Issue 6 (June 2005)
  2. Michael H. Nelson (2008), Thaksin’s 2005 Electoral Triumph:Looking Back From the Election in 2007

Literature