2023 Russian Christmas truce proposal

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2023 Russian Christmas truce proposal
Part of the Russian invasion of Ukraine
Date5–7 January 2023
Location Europe
Participantsabout 90% of Russia's total forces in Ukraine at the time [1] [2]
OutcomePartially applied

On 5 January 2023, Patriarch Kirill of Moscow, head of the Russian Orthodox Church, called on both sides of the war in Ukraine for an Eastern Orthodox Christmas truce. [3] On the evening of the same day, Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to declare a 36-hour temporary ceasefire along the entire line of contact between Russian and Ukrainian troops from midday (12:00 Moscow Time; 09:00 UTC) on 6 January to midnight (24:00/00:00 Moscow Time; 21:00 UTC) on 7 to 8 January 2023. [4] [5] [6]

Contents

The truce proposal was rejected by the Ukrainian authorities, who called it a "cynical trap". [7] [8] [9] [10] Despite the ceasefire being declared, it had little effect as fighting persisted. [11]

The Wagner Group (about 10% of Russia's total forces in Ukraine at the time [2] ) did not commit to the ceasefire and was not ordered to observe it (it was not a part of the Russian Defense Ministry). [1]

Background

Russians and Ukrainians, who are mostly Eastern Orthodox Christians, celebrate Christmas on 6–7 January. [3] However, following the Russian invasion, an increasingly high number of Ukrainians have begun celebrating Christmas on 25 December instead. [12]

Patriarch Kirill of Moscow often talks about the war in his sermons, justifying the invasion, qualifying it as "infighting", and calling the Russian Orthodox believers towards "spiritual mobilization". These statements finally pushed the Ukrainian Orthodox Church (Moscow Patriarchate) to declare independence from the Moscow Patriarchy. [13] In June 2022, both the UK and Canada added Patriarch Kirill to their sanction lists. [7]

Russian unilateral ceasefire

Following the proposal of Patriarch Kirill, Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed the Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to declare a temporary ceasefire along the entire line of contact between Russian and Ukrainian troops in connection with Eastern Orthodox Christmas. According to the announcement, the ceasefire will be in effect from noon on January 6 until midnight on January 7. "Given that a large number of Orthodox citizens live in combat zones, we call on the Ukrainian side to declare a ceasefire and give them the chance to attend a service on Christmas Eve, as well as on Christmas", read Putin's statement. [4] The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation reported that it will fulfill Putin's order to introduce a ceasefire for Christmas. [14]

The Wagner Group, not being subject to the Russian Defense Ministry, didn’t have to observe and did not commit to the ceasefire. [1] At the time some 20,000 Wagner Group military personnel was believed to be fighting for Russia in Ukraine (about 10% of Russia's total forces in Ukraine at the time). [2]

Claims of violations

Pre-ceasefire or early-ceasefire claims

Reuters reported that 14 homes in a residential building in Kramatorsk were damaged by Russian shelling shortly before the ceasefire was set to commence. [15] The BBC implied the Kramatorsk attack occurred after the ceasefire was to begin. [6]

According to Governor of Kherson Oblast Yaroslav Yanushevych, Russian forces had fired at Kherson Oblast 39 times on Friday, during which one first-aid worker was killed and seven civilians were wounded. [16] Reuters stated: 'One rescue worker was killed and four others injured when Russian forces shelled a fire department in the southern Ukrainian city of Kherson before the deadline early on Friday, the regional governor said. Reuters could not immediately verify this.' [15] The BBC claimed the strike on the fire station in Kherson city happened after the unilateral ceasefire began. [6]

During the ceasefire

On 6 January, Ukrainian MP Inna Sovsun said “We are two and a half hours into this proclaimed ceasefire, and actually the whole territory of Ukraine is under air raid alert. So I think that speaks for itself, (…) Basically the ceasefire, the Russians are making it up." [6]

After three hours of the supposed ceasefire taking effect, Governor of Luhansk Oblast Serhiy Haidai claimed that Russian forces had shelled Ukrainian positions 14 times in Luhansk Oblast, and stormed one settlement three times. [15] Reuters witnessed Russian and Ukrainian heavy artillery exchanging fire near Kreminna in the afternoon of 6 January. [15] About Donetsk Oblast, Reuters added: 'One witness in the Russian-occupied regional capital Donetsk also described outgoing artillery fired from pro-Russian positions on the city's outskirts after the truce was meant to take effect.' [15]

By midday of 7 January 2023, Ukrainian authorities had reported that at least three people had been killed and fourteen had been injured during Russian attacks across at least seven oblasts in eastern and southern Ukraine in the course of the first 24 hours of the 36-hour unilaterally declared Russian ceasefire. [16] Governor of Donetsk Oblast Pavlo Kyrylenko stated that on Friday, two civilians (a 66-year-old man and a 61-year-old woman) were killed in Bakhmut and nearby Krasna Hora, and seven others were injured. [16] [17]

During the ceasefire the Russian Wagner Group claimed it made a major breakthrough in the Battle of Soledar. [1] Wagner's mercenaries, not being subject to the Russian Defense Ministry, didn’t have to observe and did not commit to the ceasefire. [1]

End

Just after the unilaterally declared ceasefire expired at midnight Moscow Time in the early minutes of Sunday 8 January (just after Saturday 23:00, 7 January Kyiv Time), residents of Kramatorsk heard missile strikes near two college dormitories. [18] Russian officials claimed that about 600 Ukrainian soldiers temporarily housed there were killed in retaliation for the Makiivka military quarters shelling on New Year's Eve, but Reuters journalists observed that the missiles barely did any damage to the buildings, there were no signs of casualties (with the mayor of Kramatorsk also saying there had been no casualties), let alone that Ukrainian soldiers were housed in the dormitories at the time. [18] A Ukrainian military spokesperson said the strike was an attempt by the Russian defence ministry to show it was capable of exacting heavy revenge for Makiivka. [18]

Reactions

Ukraine

The Ukrainian President's Office called Patriarch Kirill's earlier request for a ceasefire a "cynical trap and an element of propaganda". Ukrainian Presidential Advisor Mykhailo Podolyak said that the Russian Orthodox Church is not an authority for Eastern Orthodox believers worldwide and that he is "acting as a war propagandist", including by calling for "the genocide of Ukrainians". [4]

Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Oleksiy Danilov said that Ukraine would not negotiate with the Russian Federation on a Christmas truce. "Let's talk practical language. To whom are they offering this truce? To yourself?" Danilov said, offering the Russian troops a "simple solution" - to "pick up their suitcases" and go home. "No negotiations with them ... This priest came up with some kind of date. It has nothing to do with us. This is our land. We on our land will do what we consider necessary", he added. [14]

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy claimed that Russia would be using "the so-called truce" to stop the advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the east. [19] In an evening video message Zelenskyy claimed that "in order to end the war faster" instead of a temporary truce "something completely opposite is needed" and that being "Russian citizens to find the courage to free themselves from their shameful fear of one person in the Kremlin". [20]

Russia

Acting head of the Donetsk People's Republic, Denis Pushilin, said that it was only about a ceasefire. "The decision concerns a ceasefire or offensive action on our part. But this does not mean that we will not respond to the provocations of the enemy", he stressed. [14] [21]

Russian pro-war milbloggers such as Telegram channels criticized the ceasefire initiative. [14] [21] Igor Girkin ("Strelkov") called the ceasefire "a bold and decisive step towards defeat and surrender" for Russian forces, and alleged that Russian leadership had not learnt from the results of previous truces in the preceding 8 years. [21] The Rybar Telegram channel, which has over a million subscribers, wrote, "Maybe it’s enough to cast pearls in front of pigs? They still don't appreciate it." Yuri Kotenok and Roman Saponkov noted that the ceasefire regime is unilateral, will not be respected and looks like "defeatism". The Military Informant channel linked the ceasefire announcement to the conversation between Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: "Apparently, the proposal received today from Erdogan’s respected and purely neutral partner turned out to be too tempting not to make another goodwill gesture". [14]

On the other hand, many pro-Russian commentators claimed the ceasefire initiative confirmed Putin to be 'a protector of religious values and morals', with former prime minister Dmitry Medvedev saying Putin offered "the hand to Christian mercy" to Ukraine, but because Ukraine lacked faith, it had rejected Putin's offer. [21] A pro-Russian Chechen commander took the opportunity to praise Putin's Christmas ceasefire initiative as an action of a "true believing Christian", adding a statement about Jesus' prophethood in Islam, and accusing Ukraine of "Satanism" for rejecting the truce. [21] The Institute for the Study of War regarded this message as 'part of a specific and long-running Kremlin information operation that seeks to cater to various religious minority groups in the Russian Armed Forces by framing Ukraine as an immoral enemy whose lack of faith (...) offends Christians and Muslims alike.' [21]

Others

U.S. President Joe Biden stated that the truce proposal was merely a "breather" for Russian forces and a chance for them to reform. Asked by journalists to comment on Putin's initiative, he noted that Russia continued to bomb Ukrainian "hospitals, kindergartens and churches" on Christmas day 2022 ("on the 25th") and New Year. "I think he [Putin] is trying to take a breath of air", Biden added. [22]

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "After Soledar With the capture of a Ukrainian mining town, Evgeny Prigozhin's Wagner Group has a fine prize for Putin. But what's next?". Meduza . 14 January 2023. Retrieved 16 January 2023.
  2. 1 2 3 "What is Russia's Wagner Group of mercenaries in Ukraine?". BBC News . 14 January 2023. Retrieved 16 January 2023.
  3. 1 2 "Russian patriarch calls for Orthodox Christmas truce in Ukraine". Reuters. 5 January 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  4. 1 2 3 "Putin instructs Russian Defense Minister to declare ceasefire for Orthodox Christmas". Meduza. Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  5. ↑ "Putin Orders a Surprise 36-Hour Cease-Fire for Orthodox Christmas". Bloomberg.com. 5 January 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  6. 1 2 3 4 Alexandra Fouché (7 January 2023). "Ukraine war: Russians accused of opening fire despite Putin's unilateral truce". BBC News. Retrieved 8 January 2023. We are two and a half hours into this proclaimed ceasefire, and actually the whole territory of Ukraine is under air raid alert. So I think that speaks for itself," Ukrainian MP Inna Sovsun told the BBC. "Basically the ceasefire, the Russians are making it up.
  7. 1 2 "Zelensky's office criticizes Orthodox Patriarch Kirill's Christmas truce proposal". Meduza. Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  8. ↑ "Putin has ordered a "Christmas truce" which may be a "cynical trap," Ukrainian officials warned (updated)". Euromaidan Press. 5 January 2023.
  9. ↑ "Ukraine rejects Vladimir Putin's call for Orthodox Christmas truce". ABC News. 5 January 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  10. ↑ "Russia's war on Ukraine latest: Ukraine spurns Putin's Christmas truce". Reuters. 5 January 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  11. ↑ "Little Let-up in Fighting as Ukraine, Russia Mark Orthodox Christmas". The Moscow Times . 7 January 2023.
  12. ↑ "Christmas comes early: Ukrainian church allows December 25 celebrations for first time". Politico. 25 December 2022. Retrieved 27 May 2022.
  13. ↑ "Resolution of the Council of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of May 27, 2022". Ukrainian Orthodox Church (Moscow Patrirachate) (in Ukrainian). 27 May 2022. Retrieved 27 May 2022.
    "Ukraine's Moscow-backed Orthodox church says cuts ties with Russia". Alarabiya News. 27 May 2022. Retrieved 27 May 2022.
    "Война в Украине и религия" [War in Ukraine and Religion] (in Russian). Voice of America. 5 October 2022. Retrieved 5 October 2022.
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 "Путин поручил российской армии прекратить огонь в Украине на Рождество — якобы чтобы верующие сходили в церковь В офисе Зеленского отреагировали словами "Лицемерие оставьте себе"". Meduza (in Russian). Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 Herbert Villarraga (6 January 2023). "Shells fly at Ukraine front despite Putin's truce". Reuters. Retrieved 8 January 2023.
  16. 1 2 3 "'Minstens drie doden in Oekraïne tijdens staakt-het-vuren'" ['At least three killed in Ukraine during ceasefire']. NOS.nl (in Dutch). Retrieved 8 January 2023. Ondanks het veronderstelde staakt-het-vuren van het Kremlin tijdens de orthodoxe Kerst zijn in Oekraïne ten minste drie mensen omgekomen en veertien gewond geraakt. Dat melden Oekraïense autoriteiten. In ten minste zeven regio's in het oosten en zuiden van Oekraïne zijn de afgelopen 24 uur aanvallen gemeld.
  17. ↑ Emma Graham-Harrison (7 January 2023). "Russia launches strikes in Ukraine in violation of self-declared ceasefire". the Guardian. Retrieved 8 January 2023. Russia has launched attacks across Ukraine, killing at least two civilians, in violation of a unilateral, self-declared ceasefire for the Orthodox celebration of Christmas on Saturday.
  18. 1 2 3 Vladyslav Smilianets (8 January 2023). "No sign of casualties after Russia claims revenge attack on Ukrainian soldiers". Reuters. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  19. ↑ Tetiana Lozovenko (5 January 2023). "Putin wants to use Christmas as a cover to stop the Ukrainian Armed Forces – Zelenskyy". Ukrainska Pravda . Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  20. ↑ Tetiana Lozovenko (5 January 2023). "Zelenskyy to Russians: Free yourself from fear of one person at least for Christmas". Ukrainska Pravda . Retrieved 5 January 2023.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Karolina Hird, Riley Bailey, Layne Philipson, George Barros, and Frederick W. Kagan (6 January 2023). "Institute for the Study of War" . Retrieved 8 January 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  22. ↑ "Biden says Putin trying to find 'oxygen' with truce proposal". Reuters. 5 January 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2023.
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