2025 Dutch general election

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2025 Dutch general election
Flag of the Netherlands.svg
  2023 29 October 2025

All 150 seats in the House of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
PVV Geert Wilders 37
GL/PvdA Frans Timmermans 25
VVD Dilan Yeşilgöz 24
NSC Eddy van Hijum 19
D66 Rob Jetten 9
BBB Caroline van der Plas 8
CDA Henri Bontenbal 5
SP Jimmy Dijk 5
Denk Stephan van Baarle 3
PvdD Esther Ouwehand 3
FvD Lidewij de Vos 3
SGP Chris Stoffer 3
CU Mirjam Bikker 3
Volt Laurens Dassen 2
JA21 Joost Eerdmans 1

Early general elections will be held in the Netherlands on 29 October 2025 [1] to elect members of the House of Representatives, after the Schoof cabinet collapsed due to the Party for Freedom (PVV) withdrawing from the coalition.

Contents

Background

The 2023 Dutch general election resulted in losses for all parties in the fourth Rutte cabinet. The Party for Freedom (PVV) became the largest party in the House of Representatives for the first time and then formed a coalition with the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), New Social Contract (NSC) and the Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB). The Schoof cabinet with the independent Dick Schoof as prime minister was sworn in on 2 July 2024. On 3 June 2025, PVV left the coalition due to disagreements over asylum policy, [2] leading to Schoof submitting the resignation of the cabinet. [3]

A snap election was called for 29 October 2025; [4] originally, the next general election was scheduled for 15 March 2028. [5] On 23 August 2025, NSC also left the coalition, citing disagreements over sanctions against Israel for the Gaza war. [6] On 12 June 2025, the Labour Party and GroenLinks agreed to participate with one shared candidate list again and to merge their parties in 2026. [7]

Compared to the 2023 election, three incumbent parliamentary parties have had a change in their lead candidate. Jimmy Dijk replaced Lilian Marijnissen as Socialist Party (SP) leader within a month after the election, [8] Thierry Baudet stepped down for Lidewij de Vos to be the lead candidate of Forum for Democracy (FvD), [9] and Eddy van Hijum was chosen as lead candidate of NSC after Pieter Omtzigt and Nicolien van Vroonhoven stepped down. [10]

Parties and lead candidates

PartyLead candidateIdeology
Party for Freedom PVV Geert Wilders Nationalism, right-wing populism
GroenLinks–PvdA GL/PvdA Frans Timmermans Social democracy, green politics
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy VVD Dilan Yeşilgöz Conservative liberalism
New Social Contract NSC Eddy van Hijum Christian democracy
Democrats 66 D66 Rob Jetten Social liberalism
Farmer–Citizen Movement BBB Caroline van der Plas Agrarianism, right-wing populism
Christian Democratic Appeal CDA Henri Bontenbal Christian democracy
Socialist Party SP Jimmy Dijk Democratic socialism, left-wing populism
Denk Denk Stephan van Baarle Minority interests
Party for the Animals PvdD Esther Ouwehand Animal rights, green politics
Forum for Democracy FVD Lidewij de Vos National conservatism, right-wing populism
Reformed Political Party SGP Chris Stoffer Christian right
Christian Union CU Mirjam Bikker Christian democracy
Volt Netherlands Volt Laurens Dassen Social liberalism
JA21 JA21 Joost Eerdmans Conservative liberalism, right-wing populism

Electoral system

Pursuant to articles C.1, C.2 and C.3 of the electoral law, elections for the House of Representatives take place every four years in March, unless a snap election is called. The 150 members of the House of Representatives are elected by semi-open list proportional representation. The number of seats per list is determined using the D'Hondt method. A list must receive a number of votes equal to or exceeding the Hare quota (1 full seat) in order to qualify for seat distribution, meaning there is an electoral threshold of 0.67%. [11] Voters have the option to cast a preferential vote. The seats won by a list are first allocated to the candidates who, in preferential votes, have received at least 25% of the Hare quota (effectively ¼ of a seat or 0.17% of the total votes), regardless of their placement on the electoral list. If multiple candidates from a list pass this threshold, their ordering is determined based on the number of votes received. Any remaining seats are allocated to candidates according to their position on the electoral list. [12] [13]

Campaign

The housing market, immigration and healthcare have been polled to be the main topics in the months prior to the election. [14] [15] [16] GroenLinks–PvdA (GL/PvdA), Democrats 66 (D66), the Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA), the Socialist Party (SP), the Christian Union (CU) and Volt have all included the reduction of the mortgage interest deduction in their party manifestos. That has been opposed by the Party for Freedom (PVV), the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), New Social Contract (NSC), the Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB) and Forum for Democracy (FvD). [17]

Wilders attending a protest against an asylum seeker center in Helmond in July 2025 Geert Wilders (2025) (2).jpg
Wilders attending a protest against an asylum seeker center in Helmond in July 2025

PVV leader Geert Wilders has attended local protests against asylum seeker centers in Helmond and Zwolle, urging municipalities to defy the Dispersal Act, and making these protests a central part of his election campaign. [18] This approach has drawn criticism from local politicians and the Association of Netherlands Municipalities, who accuse Wilders of improper interference in local politics and of inciting unnecessary fear and division. [19] In August 2025, a discrimination hotline and Muslim organisations filed complaints against Wilders over a tweet comparing a young, blonde woman with PVV and an older woman wearing a headscarf with the Labour Party (PvdA). The tweet drew a record amount of complaints to the hotline and was compared to Nazi propaganda. [20]

Multiple parties, including GL/PvdA, VVD and CDA, have stated they would not want to form a government with PVV. However, Wilders stated he wanted to govern, possibly in a minority government. [21] GL/PvdA and VVD both stated they would rather not govern with each other, but have not ruled out working together in a government. [22]

Debates

Dutch general election debates, 2025
DateOrganisersChannelVenue I  Invited   NI  Not invitedRef.
Van Baarle
10 October NOS NPO Radio 1 Unknown [23]
12 October RTL Nieuws RTL 4 Beurs van Berlage, Amsterdam 4 participants based on polling average by 2 October [24]
19 October6 participants based on polling average by 9 October
21 October Nederlands Dagblad De Basiliek, Veenendaal NIIINININININININIININININI [25]
23 October Talpa TV SBS6 Unknown [26]
28 October NOS NPO 1 Unknown

Opinion polls

After rising in the polls in the first months after the 2023 Dutch general election, the Party for Freedom (PVV) has declined from March 2024 onwards, but has continued to lead. GroenLinks–PvdA (GL/PvdA) has consistently polled in second place, between 25 and 30 seats. The Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) has consistently risen in the polls, at first at the expense of New Social Contract (NSC) and later of the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD). [27] [28]

Opinion polls NL 2023-2025.svg

See also

References

  1. "Verkiezingen definitief op 29 oktober, kosten 105 miljoen euro". Algemeen Dagblad. 6 June 2025.
  2. Ionta, Nicoletta (3 June 2025). "Dutch government coalition collapses over migration clash". Euractiv . Archived from the original on 3 June 2025. Retrieved 3 June 2025.
  3. "Kabinet gevallen, alle PVV-bewindslieden stappen op" [Cabinet collapsed, all PVV ministers resign]. NOS (in Dutch). 3 June 2025.
  4. "The Netherlands to hold election on October 29 after government collapse". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 8 June 2025.
  5. Hermenet, Coen (4 June 2025). "Hoe verder na val kabinet-Schoof?" [How to continue after the collapse of the Schoof cabinet?]. Reformatorisch Dagblad (in Dutch). Retrieved 6 June 2025.
  6. Skopeliti, Clea (23 August 2025). "Dutch foreign minister quits over failure to secure sanctions against Israel". The Guardian . Retrieved 7 September 2025.
  7. Corder, Mike (12 June 2025). "Dutch center-left parties unite to challenge the right in a historic merger". AP News . Retrieved 12 June 2025.
  8. "Jimmy Dijk volgt Lilian Marijnissen op als SP-leider" [Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader]. NU.nl (in Dutch). 13 December 2023. Retrieved 7 September 2025.
  9. "De 'likeable' Lidewij de Vos moet Forum voor Democratie aan 'twaalf zetels' helpen" [The "likeable" Lidewij de Vos must help Forum for Democracy gain "twelve seats"]. NRC (in Dutch). 31 August 2025. Retrieved 7 September 2025.
  10. "Definitieve kandidatenlijst NSC: Eddy van Hijum definitief lijsttrekker, Nicolien van Vroonhoven niet meer verkiesbaar" [Final NSC candidate list: Eddy van Hijum definitively leading the list, Nicolien van Vroonhoven no longer eligible]. New Social Contract (in Dutch). 1 September 2025. Retrieved 7 September 2025.
  11. "Zetelverdeling over partijen". Kiesraad (in Dutch). 22 April 2016. Archived from the original on 9 July 2023. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
  12. Nederland, Parlementsverkiezingen, 15 maart 2017: Eindrapport (Report). OSCE/ODIHR. 7 June 2017. Archived from the original on 24 October 2020. Retrieved 28 October 2017.
  13. "Zetelverdeling over kandidaten". Kiesraad (in Dutch). 22 April 2016. Archived from the original on 9 July 2023. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
  14. Fastenau, Jelle (7 July 2025). "Dit zijn volgens kiezers de belangrijkste verkiezingsthema's en de partijen waar ze dan aan denken" [These are the most important election themes according to voters and the parties they think of]. EenVandaag (in Dutch). Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  15. Nieuwkerk, Sander (19 July 2025). "Verkiezingen op komst: kiezer vindt wooncrisis belangrijkste thema" [Elections coming up: voters consider housing crisis the most important issue]. RTL (in Dutch). Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  16. Kanne, Peter; Koppel, Maartje van de; Schelde, Asher van der (3 September 2025). "Politieke peiling Ipsos I&O 3 september 2025" [Political polling Ipsos I&O 3 September 2025](PDF). Ipsos I&O (in Dutch). Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  17. "Voors en tegens in campagne over afschaffen hypotheekrenteaftrek" [Pros and cons of the campaign to abolish mortgage interest deduction]. NOS (in Dutch). 9 September 2025. Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  18. "Zwolse gemeenteraad stemt ondanks bezoek Wilders voor komst azc" [Zwolle city council votes in favor of asylum seekers' center despite Wilders' visit]. NOS.nl (in Dutch). 7 July 2025. Archived from the original on 20 July 2025. Retrieved 18 July 2025.
  19. Klaassen, Niels (10 July 2025). "Wilders roept op om in verzet te komen tegen komst azc's: is dat strafbaar?" [Wilders calls for resistance to the arrival of asylum centers: is that punishable?] (in Dutch). Archived from the original on 11 July 2025. Retrieved 18 July 2025.
  20. "Discriminatie.nl en moslimorganisaties doen aangifte tegen Wilders om tweet" [Discrimination.nl and Muslim organizations file a complaint against Wilders for tweet]. NOS (in Dutch). 11 August 2025. Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  21. "PVV-leider Wilders denkt aan minderheidskabinet, 'we willen regeren'" [PVV leader Wilders is considering a minority cabinet, 'we want to govern']. NOS (in Dutch). 5 September 2025. Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  22. "Jesse Klaver (GL-PvdA): 'Sta niet te springen om kabinet met VVD, Wilders niet de nieuwe premier'" [Jesse Klaver (GL-PvdA): 'Don't be eager to form a cabinet with the VVD; Wilders should not be the new prime minister']. NPO Radio 1 (in Dutch). 8 September 2025. Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  23. "NOS Nederland Kiest: Radiodebat" [NOS Netherlands Chooses: Radio Debate]. NPO Radio 1 (in Dutch). Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  24. "Eerste grote verkiezingsdebat met vier hoofdrolspelers bij RTL op zondagavond 12 oktober" [First major election debate with four key players on RTL on Sunday evening, October 12]. RTL (in Dutch). 5 September 2025. Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  25. "ND Verkiezingsdebat 2025" [ND Election Debate 2025]. Nederlands Dagblad (in Dutch). Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  26. "SBS6 organiseert voor de tweede keer een verkiezingsdebat" [SBS6 is organizing an election debate for the second time]. RTL (in Dutch). 21 August 2025. Retrieved 10 September 2025.
  27. Lubbe, Rozemarijn (31 December 2024). "NSC op 2 zetels, concurrent CDA stijgt naar 16 in laatste zetelpeiling van 2024" [NSC on 2 seats, rival CDA rises to 16 in the last seat poll of 2024]. EenVandaag (in Dutch). Retrieved 7 September 2025.
  28. Hond, Maurice de (9 August 2025). "CDA nadert de top, VVD valt verder terug" [CDA nears the top, VVD falls further back]. maurice.nl (in Dutch). Retrieved 7 September 2025.