Bolton North East (UK Parliament constituency)

Last updated

Bolton North East
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
North West England - Bolton North East constituency.svg
Boundary of Bolton North East in North West England
County Greater Manchester
Population95,288 (2011 census) [1]
Electorate 77,020 (2023) [2]
Major settlements Bromley Cross
Current constituency
Created 1983
Member of Parliament Kirith Entwistle (Labour)
SeatsOne
Created from Bolton West
Bolton East
Darwen [3]

Bolton North East is a constituency [n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2024 by Kirith Entwistle, a Labour Party MP. [n 2]

Contents

Constituency profile

The seat covers parts of Bolton town centre and extends into the West Pennine Moors. The districts in close proximity to the town centre (Breightmet, Crompton, Halliwell, Tonge with the Haulgh) are Labour-voting areas, whereas the outer suburbs (Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Bromley Cross) are much more Conservative inclined. Altogether, the national statistics collected reflect a socially diverse seat in terms of income; this has been a highly marginal seat when national polls are close, with lower than average social housing, and less deprivation than the average for the metropolitan county. [4]

History

Bolton North East has more often than not to date been a marginal seat [n 3] between Labour and Conservative candidates. In 1992, Labour's David Crausby came tantalisingly close to gaining the seat, but did not, as his party were expecting to. It would not be until 1997 that Labour gained the seat, with a huge 12,000 majority, holding it for the next 22 years. Labour comfortably held the seat in 2010, with very little swing from the previous election. Mark Logan finally recaptured the seat for the Conservatives in 2019 with a majority of just 0.9%, making it their fourth most marginal seat over Labour.

Logan opted not to contest the 2024 election and, after the Dissolution of Parliament, he endorsed the Labour Party. [5] Labour's candidate, Kirith Entwistle subsequently won the seat with a majority of over 15%, with the Conservatives coming second just ahead of Reform UK.

Boundaries

Bolton North East (UK Parliament constituency)
Map of boundaries from 2024

Historic

Bolton North East was created for the 1983 general election from parts of the constituencies of Bolton West and the former Bolton East.

1983–1997: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, and Tonge.

1997–2010: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, Halliwell, and Tonge.

2010–2024: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Crompton, Halliwell, and Tonge with the Haulgh.

Current

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency was expanded to bring the electorate within the permitted range by transferring from Bolton South East the ward of Little Lever & Darcy Lever (as it existed on 1 December 2020). [6]

Following a local government boundary review which came into effect in May 2023 [7] [8] , the constituency now comprises the following wards of the Metropolitan Borough of Bolton from the 2024 general election:

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember [10] Party
1983 Peter Thurnham Conservative
Feb 1996 Independent
Oct 1996 Liberal Democrats
1997 Sir David Crausby Labour
2019 Mark Logan Conservative
2024 Kirith Entwistle Labour

Elections

Bolton North East election results Bolton North East Constituency Election Results, Party Vote Share 1983 - 2024.png
Bolton North East election results
Bolton North East election turnout Bolton North East Constituency Turnout 1983 - 2024.png
Bolton North East election turnout

Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: Bolton North East [11] [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Kirith Entwistle [13] 16,166 37.3 −5.1
Conservative Adele Warren9,51321.9−23.1
Reform UK Trevor Jones [14] 9,42821.7+15.2
Green Hanif Alli [15] 4,68310.8+9.2
Liberal Democrats Rebecca Forrest [16] 1,5073.5−0.9
Workers Party Syeda Kazmi1,4633.4N/A
Independent Kevin Allsop3450.8N/A
Independent John Partington2540.6N/A
Majority6,65315.3+14.5
Turnout 43,55254.4−9.2
Registered electors 80,011
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +8.1

Elections in the 2010s

2019 notional result [17]
PartyVote %
Conservative 22,43645.0
Labour 21,15842.4
Brexit Party 3,2596.5
Liberal Democrats 2,1884.4
Green 8031.6
Turnout49,84464.7
Electorate77,020
General election 2019: Bolton North East [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Mark Logan 19,759 45.4 +3.2
Labour David Crausby 19,38144.5−6.1
Brexit Party Trevor Jones1,8804.3N/A
Liberal Democrats Warren Fox1,8474.2+1.3
Green Liz Spencer6891.6+0.8
Majority3780.9N/A
Turnout 43,55664.5−2.7
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +4.7
General election 2017: Bolton North East [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 22,870 50.6 +7.6
Conservative James Daly 19,07342.2+9.4
UKIP Harry Lamb1,5673.5−15.3
Liberal Democrats Warren Fox1,3162.90.0
Green Liz Spencer3570.8−1.8
Majority3,7978.4−1.8
Turnout 45,18367.2+3.6
Labour hold Swing −0.8
General election 2015: Bolton North East [20] [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 18,541 43.0 −3.1
Conservative James Daly 14,16432.8−3.7
UKIP Harry Lamb8,11718.8+14.6
Liberal Democrats Stephen Rock1,2362.9−10.1
Green Laura Diggle1,1032.6N/A
Majority4,37710.2+0.8
Turnout 43,16163.6−0.7
Labour hold Swing
General election 2010: Bolton North East [22] [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 19,870 45.9 −0.4
Conservative Deborah Dunleavy15,78636.5+2.2
Liberal Democrats Paul Ankers5,62413.0−3.1
UKIP Neil Johnson1,8154.2+2.4
You PartyNorma Armston1820.4N/A
Majority4,0849.4−2.5
Turnout 43,27764.3+9.8
Labour hold Swing −1.3

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: Bolton North East [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 16,874 45.7 −8.6
Conservative Paul Brierley12,77134.6+1.9
Liberal Democrats Adam Killeya6,04416.4+6.1
UKIP Kevin Epsom6401.7N/A
Veritas Alan Ainscow3751.0N/A
Socialist Labour Lynne Lowe2070.6−0.4
Majority4,10311.1−10.5
Turnout 36,91154.8−1.2
Labour hold Swing −5.2
General election 2001: Bolton North East [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 21,166 54.3 −1.8
Conservative Michael Winstanley12,74432.7+2.3
Liberal Democrats Tim Perkins4,00410.3+0.4
Green Kenneth McIvor6291.6N/A
Socialist Labour Lynne Lowe4071.0−0.4
Majority8,42221.6−4.1
Turnout 38,95056.0−16.4
Labour hold Swing

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: Bolton North East [26] [27] [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 27,62156.1
Conservative Rob Wilson 14,95230.4
Liberal Democrats Edmund Critchley4,8629.9
Referendum David Staniforth1,0962.2N/A
Socialist Labour William Kelly6761.4N/A
Majority12,66925.7N/A
Turnout 49,20772.4
Labour hold Swing 10.2 [29]

For the 1997 general election the boundaries of the seat were significantly redrawn. The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1997 estimated that had the new boundaries been used for the previous general election rather than being narrowly held by the Conservatives, the seat would have been won by the Labour candidate with a majority of 3,017 over the Conservatives. Thus technically the seat was notionally a Labour hold at this election rather than a gain for the party. The swing above is based on this notional result. [29]

General election 1992: Bolton North East [30] [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 21,644 44.9 +0.5
Labour David Crausby 21,45944.5+1.8
Liberal Democrats Brian Dunning4,97110.3−2.7
Natural Law Peter Tong1810.4N/A
Majority1850.4−1.3
Turnout 48,25582.3+3.6
Conservative hold Swing −0.7

Elections in the 1980s

General election 1987: Bolton North East [32] [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 20,742 44.4 +1.2
Labour Frank White [34] 19,92942.7+4.9
SDP John Alcock6,06013.0−5.3
Majority8131.7−3.7
Turnout 46,73178.7+1.6
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1983: Bolton North East [35] [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 19,632 43.2
Labour Ann Taylor 17,18937.8
SDP John Alcock8,31118.3
BNP David P. Ball1860.4
Independent Thomas Keen1040.2
Majority2,4435.4
Turnout 45,31877.1
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

Notes

  1. A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
  3. As it has more often than not given marginal majorities of less than 10%

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References

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  2. "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – North West". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 4 July 2024.
  3. "'Bolton North East', June 1983 up to May 1997". ElectionWeb Project. Cognitive Computing Limited. Archived from the original on 11 March 2016. Retrieved 10 March 2016.
  4. "Local statistics - Office for National Statistics". neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 11 February 2003. Retrieved 24 December 2012.
  5. "Mark Logan: Former Tory MP backs Labour at general election". BBC News. 30 May 2024. Retrieved 30 May 2024.
  6. "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 5 North West region.
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  11. Bolton North East constituency
  12. "General election results 2024". Bolton Council . Retrieved 6 July 2024.
  13. "Three more Labour parliamentary candidates selected over the weekend". LabourList. 20 February 2023. Retrieved 27 January 2024.
  14. "Bolton North East Constituency". Reform UK . Retrieved 27 January 2024.
  15. "Our candidates". Green Party of England and Wales. Retrieved 27 May 2024.
  16. "Liberal Democrat Prospective Parliamentary Candidates". Mark Pack . Retrieved 27 January 2024.
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53°35′13″N2°24′36″W / 53.587°N 2.410°W / 53.587; -2.410