Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

Last updated

Contents

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Forecasts

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters ( The Cook Political Report , Sabato's Crystal Ball , and Inside Elections ) are omitted for brevity.

StateEVs PVI [1] 2020
result		2020
margin [2] 		IE
April 26,
2023 [3] 		Sabato
June 29,
2023 [4] 		CNalysis
November 15,
2023 [5] 		Cook
December 19,
2023 [6] 		CNN
January 18,
2024 [7]
Alaska 3R+852.8% R10.06% Solid R Likely R Very Likely R Solid R Solid R
Arizona 11R+249.4% D0.31% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Florida 30R+351.2% R3.36% Lean R Likely R Very Likely R Likely R Lean R
Georgia 16R+349.5% D0.24% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Iowa 6R+653.1% R8.20% Likely R Likely R Solid R Solid R Solid R
Maine [lower-alpha 1] 2D+253.1% D9.07% Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Solid D
ME–02 [lower-alpha 1] 1R+652.3% R7.44% Lean R Lean R Very Likely R Likely R Lean R
Michigan 15R+150.6% D2.78% Tilt D Lean D Tilt D Tossup Lean R (flip)
Minnesota 10D+152.4% D7.11% Lean D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D
NE–02 [lower-alpha 1] 1EVEN52.0% D6.50% Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tossup
Nevada 6R+150.1% D2.39% Tilt D Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
New Hampshire 4D+152.7% D7.35% Lean D Lean D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D
New Mexico 5D+354.3% D10.79% Solid D Likely D Solid D Solid D Lean D
North Carolina 16R+349.9% R1.35% Tilt R Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R
Ohio 17R+653.3% R8.03% Likely R Likely R Very Likely R Solid R Solid R
Pennsylvania 19R+250.0% D1.16% Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup
Texas 40R+552.1% R5.58% Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Solid R
Virginia 13D+354.1% D10.11% Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Solid D Lean D
Wisconsin 10R+249.5% D0.63% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Overall D - 247
R - 235
56 tossups 		D - 260
R - 235
43 tossups 		D - 241
R - 219
78 tossups 		D - 226
R - 235
77 tossups 		D - 225
R - 272
41 tossups

Polling

Alabama

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
WPA Intelligence August 23–24 & 26, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%57%32%12%

Alaska

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Data for Progress (D) February 23 – March 2, 20241,120 (LV)± 3.0%53%41%6%
Alaska Survey Research October 13–18, 20231,375 (LV)–45%37%19%
Alaska Survey Research July 18–21, 20231,336 (LV)–43%36%21%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research October 13–18, 20231,375 (LV)–37%29%17%17%

Arizona

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%52%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024801 (RV)± 3.0%42%49%9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 7–11, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%44%48%8%
The Bullfinch Group [upper-alpha 2] March 29 – April 3, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%38%44%18% [lower-alpha 3]
RABA Research March 28–31, 2024503 (RV)± 4.4%36%39%25% [lower-alpha 4]
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%42%47%11%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 3] March 12–19, 2024401 (LV)± 5.7%45%51%4%
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 4] March 14–17, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%42%46%12%
Emerson College March 12–15, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%52%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–14, 2024796 (RV)± 3.0%43%48%9%
Fox News March 7–11, 20241,121 (RV)± 3.0%45%49%6%
Rasmussen Reports (R) February 21–26, 20241,001 (RV)± 3.0%40%47%13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024798 (RV)± 3.0%43%49%8%
Emerson College February 16–19, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%46%11%
J.L. Partners January 29 – February 1, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%41%45%14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024800 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
The Bullfinch Group December 14–18, 2023600 (RV)± 4.0%40%50%10%
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 5] December 1–8, 2023694 (RV)–41%46%13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023796 (RV)± 3.0%42%46%12%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.4%43%48%9%
Tulchin Research (D) November 13–20, 2023800 (LV)± 3.4%42%42%16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023800 (RV)± 3.0%42%46%12%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%43%16%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.4%44%49%7%
Noble Predictive Insights October 25–31, 20231,010 (RV)± 3.1%38%46%16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023804 (RV)± 3.0%43%47%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023627 (RV)–39%44%16%
Emerson College August 2–4, 20231,337 (RV)± 2.6%43%45%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) July 22–24, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%45%44%8%
Prime Group [upper-alpha 6] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–48%52%–
500 (RV)–31%41%28% [lower-alpha 5]
Public Opinion Strategies (R) June 17–19, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%44%41%11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%46%44%10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 11–13, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%45%44%11%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 7] March 13–14, 20231,001 (LV)± 3.0%39%50%11%
OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%39%37%24%
Blueprint Polling (D) January 5–8, 2023618 (V)± 3.9%35%38%27%
Rasmussen Reports (R) November 8–9, 2022874 (LV)± 3.0%47%45%8%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022560 (LV)± 4.1%45%53%2%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%42%46%12%
Emerson College September 6–7, 2022627 (LV)± 3.9%41%44%15%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022773 (LV)± 4.5%43%47%10%
Blueprint Polling (D) May 12–16, 2022608 (LV)± 4.0%41%41%18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%43%51%6%
Bendixen/Amandi International June 17–23, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%51%44%5%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%44%9%1%1%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024801 (RV)± 3.0%40%46%7%2%0%5%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 7–11, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%37%42%10%–2%9%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%34%39%13%2%1%11% [lower-alpha 6]
Emerson College March 12–15, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%38%46%7%1%2%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–14, 2024796 (RV)± 3.0%37%43%12%2%1%5%
Fox News March 7–11, 20241,121 (RV)± 3.0%39%43%10%1%2%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024798 (RV)± 3.0%36%45%9%1%1%8%
Emerson College February 16–19, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%43%8%1%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024800 (RV)± 3.0%35%43%10%1%1%10%
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 8] December 1–8, 2023694 (RV)–32%40%9%3%2%14% [lower-alpha 7]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023796 (RV)± 3.0%37%40%10%1%1%11%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%39%44%5%1%0%12% [lower-alpha 8]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 9] March 14–17, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%33%37%18%2%10%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.4%34%39%4%1%22%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023800 (RV)± 3.0%36%40%11%1%12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Data Orbital April 27–29, 2024550 (LV)± 4.26%38.8%38.1%13.5%9.6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024516 (LV)–41%44%7%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023808 (LV)–35%41%10%14%
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 10] December 1–8, 2023694 (RV)–35%40%16%9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 20231,103 (LV)–33%40%10%17%
New York Times/Siena College October 22– November 3, 2023603 (LV)±4.433%33%26%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023627 (LV)–37%42%8%12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College August 2–4, 20231,337 (RV)± 2.6%41%42%4%13%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 20231,103 (LV)–33%25%19%6%17%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 11] December 1–8, 2023694 (RV)–30%37%33%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.4%37%46%17%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 20231,103 (LV)–34%27%17%6%16%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.4%42%46%12%
Noble Predictive Insights October 25 – 31, 20231,010 (RV)± 3.1%37%40%23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) July 22–24, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%39%46%12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) June 17–19, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%40%46%12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%43%47%10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 11–13, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%42%48%10%
OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%35%36%29%
Blueprint Polling (D) January 5–8, 2023618 (V)± 3.9%37%43%20%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022773 (LV)± 4.5%43%43%14%
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Mike
Pence
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%45%43%12%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.4%44%47%9%

Arkansas

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023435 (RV)± 4.7%57%24%19%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022600 (LV)± 7.7%58%33%9%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022600 (LV)± 7.7%49%31%20%

California

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Institute of California March 19–25, 20241,089 (LV)± 3.9%54%31%14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] February 24–27, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%57%35%8%
UC Berkeley IGS February 22–26, 20246,536 (LV)± 1.5%52%34%14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] February 16–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%55%33%12%
Public Policy Institute of California February 6–14, 20241,075 (LV)± 3.9%55%32%13%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] January 11–14, 20241,087 (RV)± 2.9%54%34%12%
UC Berkeley IGS January 1–4, 20244,471 (LV)± 2.0%56%37%19%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] November 11–14, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%37%13%
Public Policy Institute of California November 9–16, 20231,113 (LV)± 3.2%54%30%16%
UC Berkeley IGS October 24–30, 20234,506 (LV)± 2.5%46%31%23%
Public Policy Institute of California October 3–19, 20231,377 (LV)± 4.0%60%29%12%
Data Viewpoint October 1, 2023533 (RV)± 4.3%67%33%–
Public Policy Institute of California August 25 – September 5, 20231,146 (LV)± 3.7%57%26%17%
UC Berkeley IGS August 24–29, 20236,030 (RV)± 2.0%51%31%18%
Public Policy Institute of California June 7–29, 20231,089 (LV)± 3.8%57%31%12%
Public Policy Institute of California May 17–24, 20231,062 (LV)± 3.9%58%25%17%
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times February 14–20, 20235,149 (LV)± 2.0%59%29%12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] February 24–27, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%32%6%2%1%8%
UC Berkeley IGS February 22–26, 20246,536 (LV)± 1.5%40%28%11%3%2%16%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] February 16–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%31%8%1%1%10%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] January 11–14, 20241,087 (RV)± 2.9%47%32%6%1%1%13%
UC Berkeley IGS January 1–4, 20244,471 (LV)± 2.0%47%31%7%2%2%11%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] November 11–14, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%31%8%1%2%15%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
UC Berkeley IGS October 24–30, 20234,506 (LV)± 2.5%43%29%9%4%15%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Data Viewpoint October 1, 2023533 (RV)± 4.3%58%42%–
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times February 14–20, 20235,149 (LV)± 2.0%56%34%10%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] November 11–14, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%38%15%
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 12] November 11–14, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%53%35%13%
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Probolsky Research August 4–9, 2022900 (LV)± 3.3%55%38%7%

Colorado

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies April 13-21, 2024529 (LV)–49%43%8%
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D) [upper-alpha 13] March 15–19, 2024632 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
Florida Atlantic University February 29 – March 3, 2024170 (LV)–48%44%8%
179 (RV)–48%43%9%
Emerson College January 23–28, 20241,856 (RV)± 2.2%41%35%24%
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 14] January 22–28, 2024801 (RV)± 4.2%49%41%10%
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder December 1–18, 2023800 (A)± 4.2%47%40%13%
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 15] November 26–27, 2023652 (LV)± 3.8%45%36%19%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023477 (LV)± 4.4%42%38%20%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023500 (LV)–49%39%12%
Emerson College October 26–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%39%14%
Emerson College September 18–19, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%46%36%18%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) July 24–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%50%43%6%
Blueprint Polling (D) April 6–8, 2022612 (V)± 4.0%43%43%14%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023500 (LV)–44%41%15%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D) April 6–8, 2022612 (V)± 4.0%43%42%16%

Connecticut

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 19–21, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Emerson College September 7–9, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%36%15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%39%9%
Emerson College May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%38%11%

Delaware

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)

administered

Sample

size [lower-alpha 2]

Margin

of error

Joe Biden
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Other /

Undecided

John Zogby Strategies Apr 14–21, 2024310 LV–50.5%39.6%9.9%

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)

administered

Sample

size [lower-alpha 2]

Margin

of error

Joe Biden
Democratic		Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /

Undecided

John Zogby Strategies Apr 14–21, 2024310 LV–46.0%42.3%11.7%

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)

administered

Sample

size [lower-alpha 2]

Margin

of error

Donald Trump
Republican		Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /

Undecided

John Zogby Strategies Apr 14–21, 2024310 LV–42.3%36.1%21.6%

Florida

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /

Undecided

Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University April 15–17, 2024865 (RV)± 3.3%50%42%8%
815 (LV)± 3.3%51%43%6%
Emerson College April 9–10, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%56%44%–
St. Pete Polls March 11–13, 20241,963 (LV)± 2.2%48%42%10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University October 27 – November 11, 2023946 (RV)± 3.2%49%39%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 20231,100 (RV)–44%39%17%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University June 27 – July 1, 2023933 (RV)± 3.2%49%39%2%
Metropolitan Research Services March 15–19, 20231,001 (RV)–47%43%10%
Emerson College March 13–15, 20231,153 (RV)± 2.8%44%44%12%
University of North Florida February 25 – March 7, 20231,452 (RV)± 2.6%50%43%7%
Victory Insights November 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%49%51%–
Rasmussen Reports (R) November 8–9, 20221,224 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Florida Atlantic University October 12–16, 2022719 (LV)± 3.7%45%41%14%
Suffolk University September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–47%44%9%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022815 (LV)± 4.3%49%41%10%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%47%44%9%
Victory Insights September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–
St. Pete Polls August 16–17, 20212,068 (RV)± 2.2%47%48%5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%42%50%8%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /

Undecided

Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University April 15–17, 2024865 (RV)± 3.3%48%38%7%7%
815 (LV)± 3.3%49%40%6%5%
USA Today/Ipsos April 5–7, 20241,014 (A)± 4.1%39%31%7%23%
Emerson College April 9–10, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%35%6%11% [lower-alpha 9]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024815 (LV)–46%39%7%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 20231,147 (LV)–45%34%9%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023897 (LV)–44%34%9%13%
Cygnal (R) November 13–15, 2023800 (LV)± 3.4%44%37%11%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 20231100 (LV)–44%37%8%11%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Undecided
Suffolk University September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–46%44%10%
Victory Insights September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–
Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Hillary
Clinton
Democratic		Undecided
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%49%42%9%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /

Undecided

Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023897 (LV)–27%32%16%24%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /

Undecided

Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023897 (LV)–38%34%12%16%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University October 27 – November 11, 2023946 (RV)± 3.2%47%39%15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University June 27 – July 1, 2023933 (RV)± 3.2%49%36%15%
Emerson College March 13–15, 20231,153 (RV)± 2.8%46%43%11%
University of North Florida February 25 – March 7, 20231,452 (RV)± 2.6%51%42%8%
Cherry Communications February 10–19, 2023608 (LV)± 4.0%49%38%13%
Victory Insights November 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%53%47%–
Suffolk University September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–52%44%4%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022815 (LV)± 4.3%51%42%7%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%44%4%
Victory Insights September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 11–12, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%45%55%–
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%47%49%4%
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Undecided
Suffolk University September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–52%40%8%
Victory Insights September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%51%49%–
Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Hillary
Clinton
Democratic		Undecided
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%53%40%7%

Georgia

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%51%–
Fox News April 11–16, 20241,128 (RV)± 3.0%45%51%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024802 (RV)± 3.0%43%49%8%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%43%44%13%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 16] March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.7%42%52%6%
Marist College March 11–14, 20241,177 (RV)± 3.7%47%51%2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024788 (RV)± 3.0%42%49%9%
CBS News/YouGov March 4–11, 20241,133 (RV)± 3.9%48%51%1%
Emerson College March 5–7, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%52%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024800 (RV)± 3.0%43%49%8%
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%48%10%
Fox News January 26–30, 20241,119 (RV)± 3.0%43%51%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024798 (RV)± 3.0%41%49%10%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution January 3–11, 20241,007 (RV)± 3.1%37%45%18%
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 20231,068 (RV)± 3.3%44%49%7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023801 (RV)± 3.0%43%49%8%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%44%46%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023803 (RV)± 3.0%41%48%11%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%47%14%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [upper-alpha 17] October 30 – November 3, 20231,002 (LV)± 3.1%44%45%11%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%43%49%8%
Zogby Analytics October 9–12, 2023628 (LV)± 3.9%49%51%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023801 (RV)± 3.0%43%48%9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023761 (LV)–40%43%17%
Rasmussen Reports (R) September 8–11, 20231,061 (LV)± 3.0%38%47%–
Prime Group [upper-alpha 18] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–48%52%–
500 (RV)–36%45%19% [lower-alpha 10]
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 19] June 5–7, 2023600 (LV)± 4%41%42%17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%44%43%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 25–27, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%44%43%13%
Emerson College November 28–30, 2022888 (LV)± 3.2%44%43%13%
University of Massachusetts Lowell November 18–28, 20221,300 (LV)± 3.2%47%43%7%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022579 (LV)± 4.0%43%52%5%
Emerson College October 28–31, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
Rasmussen Reports (R) October 23–24, 20221,053 (LV)± 3.0%39%47%14%
Emerson College October 6–7, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%43%45%12%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022751 (LV)± 4.4%47%45%8%
Emerson College August 28–29, 2022600 (LV)± 3.9%46%51%3%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 20] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%40%48%12%
East Carolina University June 6–9, 2022868 (RV)± 3.9%40%47%13%
Blueprint Polling (D) March 2–8, 2022662 (V)± 3.9%36%50%14%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%45%48%7%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%45%5%2%2%8%
Fox News April 11–16, 20241,128 (RV)± 3.0%39%46%7%1%2%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024802 (RV)± 3.0%40%45%7%1%1%6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%35%38%8%2%1%16%
Emerson College March 5–7, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%44%5%2%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024788 (RV)± 3.0%38%45%7%2%0%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024800 (RV)± 3.0%38%45%6%1%1%9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%36%45%6%1%1%11%
Fox News January 26–30, 20241,119 (RV)± 3.0%37%45%8%3%1%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024798 (RV)± 3.0%37%44%8%1%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023801 (RV)± 3.0%37%44%6%2%1%10%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%41%45%2%1%0%10% [lower-alpha 11]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024760 (LV)–41%44%6%9%
Marist College March 11–14, 20241,177 (RV)± 3.7%40%45%14%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023953 (LV)–34%42%8%16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023746 (LV)–35%45%7%14%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (LV)± 4.529%36%24%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023761 (LV)–38%41%8%13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 20231068 (RV)± 3.3%34%42%15%6%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023803 (RV)± 3.0%34%43%10%1%12%
Zogby Analytics October 9–12, 2023628 (LV)± 3.9%36%44%15%5%–
Hypothetical polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%51%8%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%44%45%11%
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%32%51%17%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 20231,068 (RV)± 3.3%43%49%8%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%40%45%15%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023746 (LV)–35%27%17%5%15%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%44%45%11%
Public Opinion Strategies May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%42%45%–
Public Opinion Strategies April 25–27, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%42%47%11%
Emerson College November 28–30, 2022888 (LV)± 3.2%43%47%10%
University of Massachusetts Lowell November 18–28, 20221,300 (LV)± 3.2%46%47%7%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022751 (LV)± 4.4%47%42%11%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023746 (LV)–36%34%14%4%12%
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Mike
Pence
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%44%43%–
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Generic
Republican		Undecided
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 19] June 5–7, 2023600 (LV)± 4%38%48%14%

Illinois

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023468 (RV)± 4.5%43%34%23%
Cor Stratagies [8] August 24–27, 2023811 (RV)–55%35%10%
Emerson College October 20–24, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%37%14%
Public Policy Polling October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%51%42%7%
Emerson College September 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%38%11%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Cor Stratagies [8] August 24–27, 2023811 (RV)–53%35%12%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		J. B.
Pritzker
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%51%42%7%

Indiana

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 2–5, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%55%34%11%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023462 (RV)± 4.5%48%29%24%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 2–5, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44.5%28.7%26.8%

Iowa

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Selzer & Co. [upper-alpha 21] February 25–28, 2024640 (LV)± 3.9%48%33%19% [upper-alpha 22]
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 23] February 13–14, 2024600 (LV)± 3.9%49%40%11%
John Zogby Strategies January 2–4, 2024500 (LV)–51%39%10%
Emerson College December 15–17, 20231,094 (RV)± 2.9%48%40%12%
Emerson College May 19–22, 20231,064 (RV)± 2.9%49%38%13%
Emerson College October 2–4, 2022959 (LV)± 3.1%47%39%14%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 23] October 2–4, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%41%8%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 23] July 13–14, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%40%9%
Cygnal (R) [lower-alpha 12] [upper-alpha 23] February 20–22, 2022610 (LV)± 3.9%53%38%9%
Selzer & Co. November 7–10, 2021658 (LV)± 3.8%51%40%9%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 23] October 18–19, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%54%41%5%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College May 19–22, 20231,064 (RV)± 2.9%45%38%17%

Idaho

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023490 (RV)±4.4%55%26%21%

Kansas

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023487 (RV)± 4.4%47%31%22%
Emerson College October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%37%13%
Emerson College September 15–18, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%52%36%12%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022392 (LV)± 7.5%52%41%7%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022392 (LV)± 7.5%50%39%11%

Kentucky

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–3, 2023450 (RV)± 4.6%55%26%19%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 9–10, 2023737 (V)–55%34%11%
co/efficient (R) May 18–19, 2023987 (LV)± 3.1%57%33%10%

Louisiana

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022506 (LV)± 6.5%51%36%13%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022506 (LV)± 6.5%46%33%21%

Maine

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research February 6–14, 2024791 (LV)± 3.5%31%38%30% [lower-alpha 13]
Digital Research October 3 – November 2, 2023614 (RV)± 3.9%36%35%29% [lower-alpha 14]
Emerson College September 19–20, 20221,164 (LV)± 2.8%51%40%9%

Maine's 1st congressional district

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research February 6–14, 2024791 (LV)± 3.5%39%31%31% [lower-alpha 15]
Digital Research October 3 – November 2, 2023307 (RV)–43%27%30%

Maine's 2nd congressional district

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research February 6–14, 2024791 (LV)± 3.5%25%45%30% [lower-alpha 16]
Digital Research October 3 – November 2, 2023307 (RV)–28%42%30%

Maryland

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		OtherUndecided
Emerson College February 12–13, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%55%32%–13%
Gonzales Research January 23–February 2, 2024815 (RV)± 3.5%53%32%–15%
Gonzales Research September 18–28, 2023818 (LV)± 3.5%56%30%–13%
Gonzales Research May 30–June 6, 2023841 (RV)± 3.5%52%35%–13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		OtherUndecided
Gonzales Research January 23–February 2, 2024815 (RV)± 3.5%45%28%18%–9%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		OtherUndecided
Emerson College February 12−13, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%32%6%1%1%–13%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		OtherUndecided
Gonzales Research January 23–February 2, 2024815 (RV)± 3.5%50%36%–14%
Gonzales Research September 18–28, 2023818 (LV)± 3.5%53%36%–11%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		OtherUndecided
Gonzales Research September 18–28, 2023818 (LV)± 3.5%56%35%–9%
Gonzales Research May 30–June 6, 2023841 (RV)± 3.5%51%37%–12%
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican		OtherUndecided
Gonzales Research September 18–28, 2023818 (LV)± 3.5%56%29%–15%

Massachusetts

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University [upper-alpha 24] April 16–20, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%52%22%8%18%
Suffolk University February 2–5, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.1%45%26%9%21%
YouGov [upper-alpha 25] October 13–20, 2023700 (V)± 5.1%43%21%17%19%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
University of Massachusetts Lowell October 18–25, 20221,000 (LV)± 4.1%58%32%10%
Emerson College September 7–8, 2022708 (LV)± 3.6%54%34%12%
University of Massachusetts Lowell June 7–15, 20221,000 (LV)± 4.0%60%31%9%

Michigan

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%52%–
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 20241,262 (LV)± 3.1%51%49%–
Fox News April 11–16, 20241,126 (RV)± 3.0%46%49%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024708 (RV)± 4.0%47%45%8%
Marketing Resource Group April 8–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%36%42%22% [lower-alpha 17]
The Bullfinch Group March 29 – April 3, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%42%39%19%
Spry Strategies March 25–28, 2024709 (LV)± 3.7%44%48%8%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%45%48%7%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 26] March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.3%45%51%4%
Emerson College March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%50%–
CNN/SSRS March 13–18, 20241,097 (RV)± 3.6%42%50%8%
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 27] March 15–16, 2024627 (LV)± 3.9%44%47%9%
Quinnipiac University March 8–12, 20241,487 (RV)± 2.5%45%48%7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024698 (RV)± 4.0%45%45%10%
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 28] February 22–25, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%43%13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%44%46%10%
Emerson College February 20–24, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%46%10%
EPIC-MRA February 13–18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%41%45%14%
Fox News February 8–12, 20241,106 (RV)± 3.0%45%47%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%42%47%7%
Target Insyght January 4–10, 2024800 (RV)–45%41%14%
Glengariff Group [upper-alpha 29] January 2–6, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%39%47%14%
John Zogby Strategies January 2–4, 2024602 (LV)–44%47%9%
CNN/SSRS November 29 – December 6, 20231,197 (RV)± 3.4%40%50%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023703 (RV)± 4.0%42%46%12%
EPIC-MRA November 10–16, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%41%46%13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023700 (RV)± 4.0%43%43%14%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%41%16%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (RV)± 4.4%43%48%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023706 (RV)± 4.0%44%44%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023820 (LV)–41%41%17%
Marketing Resource Group October 2–8, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%35%42%22%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023468 (RV)± 4.5%44%43%8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 30] September 26–27, 2023679 (RV)± 3.8%48%44%8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research September 7–12, 2023700 (RV)± 3.7%46%43%11%
EPIC-MRA August 6–11, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
Emerson College August 1–2, 20231,121 (LV)± 2.9%44%44%13%
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 27] July 11–13, 2023639 (LV)± 4.0%45%43%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 31] Jul 8–10, 2023500 (RV)± 4.38%45%44%9%
Prime Group [upper-alpha 32] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–50%50%–
500 (RV)–40%43%17% [lower-alpha 18]
EPIC-MRA June 8–14, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%44%44%12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 31] April 17–19, 2023500 (V)± 3.6%45%42%12%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 33] December 6–7, 2022763 (V)± 3.6%50%43%7%
EPIC-MRA November 30 – December 6, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%43%10%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2022900 (LV)± 3.2%44%47%9%
Emerson College October 12–14, 2022580 (LV)± 4.0%44%44%12%
EPIC-MRA September 15–19, 2022600 (LV)–48%44%8%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 15–16, 2022611 (LV)± 4.0%41%41%19%
Blueprint Polling (D) February 1–4, 2022632 (LV)± 3.9%38%40%22%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%41%53%6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%43%5%1%1%8%
Fox News April 11–16, 20241,126 (RV)± 3.0%40%42%9%2%2%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024708 (RV)± 4.0%43%40%7%1%1%8%
Marketing Resource Group April 8–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%34%37%13%2%1%13%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%37%39%12%2%2%8%
Emerson College March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%43%5%1%1%10%
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 27] March 15–16, 2024627 (LV)± 3.9%42%44%6%1%1%6%
Quinnipiac University March 8–12, 20241,487 (RV)± 2.5%36%41%10%3%4%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024698 (RV)± 4.0%40%40%9%3%2%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%40%41%9%1%1%8%
Emerson College February 20–24, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%39%42%6%1%1%11%
Fox News February 8–12, 20241,106 (RV)± 3.0%37%42%11%2%3%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%37%43%8%1%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023703 (RV)± 4.0%35%39%10%2%1%13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategies March 25–28, 2024709 (LV)± 3.7%40%43%9%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024616 (LV)–39%41%6%14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023832 (LV)–37%39%9%15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023874 (LV)–38%39%9%13%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (LV)± 4.4%31%34%26%9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023820 (LV)–38%40%7%15%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 20241,262 (LV)± 3.1%45%43%9%3%0%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS March 13–18, 20241,097 (RV)± 3.6%34%40%18%4%4%
CNN/SSRS November 29 – December 6, 20231,197 (RV)± 3.4%31%39%20%6%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023700 (RV)± 4.0%38%37%10%2%13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College August 1–2, 20231,121 (LV)± 2.9%41%43%4%11%
Hypothetical polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (RV)± 4.4%45%47%8%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/The Hill Mar 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%45%6%
Marketing Resource Group October 2–8, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%47%40%13%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fox News February 8–12, 20241,106 (RV)± 3.0%42%43%15%
Glengariff Group [upper-alpha 34] January 2–6, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%34%44%22%
CNN/SSRS November 29 – December 6, 20231,197 (RV)± 3.4%38%50%12%
EPIC-MRA November 10–16, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%36%47%17%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (RV)± 4.4%36%46%18%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Fox News February 8–12, 20241,106 (RV)± 3.0%35%26%23%3%3%33%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023874 (LV)–37%25%18%20%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 29 – December 6, 20231,197 (RV)± 3.4%42%49%9%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (RV)± 4.4%44%43%13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research September 7–12, 2023700 (RV)± 3.7%48%42%10%
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 27] July 11–13, 2023639 (LV)± 4.0%44%31%25%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 31] July 8–10, 2023500 (RV)± 4.38%44%46%7%
EPIC-MRA June 8–14, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%44%45%11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 31] April 17–19, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%43%45%12%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023874 (LV)–39%30%13%2%15%

Minnesota

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 29 – May 1, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%49%5%
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 35] April 3–7, 2024608 (LV)± 4.9%44%42%14% [lower-alpha 19]
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 35] February 23–28, 20241,603 (LV)± 2.8%42%38%20%
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 35] January 24–29, 20241,594 (LV)± 2.8%42%39%19%
Embold Research/MinnPost November 14–17, 20231,519 (LV)± 2.6%45%42%13%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023477 (LV)± 4.4%40%38%22%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 6–8, 2023500 (LV)–48%40%12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 29 – May 1, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%40%40%9%1%1%9%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 6–8, 2023500 (LV)–45%43%12%

Mississippi

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022409 (LV)± 7.8%54%36%10%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022409 (LV)± 7.8%49%37%14%

Missouri

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /

Undecided

Emerson College January 23–28, 20241,830 (RV)± 2.2%49%32%19%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 10–11, 2023806 (RV)± 3.6%52%39%9%
SurveyUSA October 27 – November 1, 2022991 (RV)± 3.7%52%34%14%
Emerson College October 26–28, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%53%37%9%
Emerson College September 23–27, 20221,160 (LV)± 2.8%51%37%12%
SurveyUSA September 14–18, 2022830 (RV)± 3.9%52%35%13%
SurveyUSA July 24–27, 20221,981 (RV)± 2.7%51%35%14%
SurveyUSA May 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%50%35%15%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 18–20, 20211,014 (LV)± 2.9%55%36%9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 21–22, 2021933 (LV)± 3.0%53%38%9%

Montana

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [upper-alpha 36] February 26 – March 2, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%56%35%9%
SurveyUSA [lower-alpha 20] February 12–15, 2024549 (LV)± 4.5%51%29%20%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023447 (RV)± 4.6%49%28%23%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,451 (RV)–54%37%9%
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023741 (LV)–51%39%10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022320 (LV)± 6.6%49%36%15%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [upper-alpha 37] February 26 – March 2, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%28%8%1%1%13%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,451 (RV)–51%30%7%12%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Joe
Manchin
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,451 (RV)–49%28%6%4%13%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023741 (LV)–50%36%14%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022320 (LV)± 6.6%42%35%23%

Nebraska

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) April 24–25, 2024737 (V)± 3.6%57%34%9%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 38] November 13–16, 20231,048 (LV)–53%35%12%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023423 (RV)± 4.7%47%31%23%

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) April 24–25, 2024––46%43%11%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) April 24–25, 2024––37%34%9%4%4%12%

Nevada

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%51%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024450 (RV)± 5.0%43%51%6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%44%48%8%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 39] March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.8%44%51%5%
Emerson College March 12–15, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%51%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–15, 2024447 (RV)± 5.0%44%46%10%
Noble Predictive Insights February 27 – March 5, 2024829 (RV)± 3.4%40%45%15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024445 (RV)± 5.0%42%48%10%
Emerson College February 16–19, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%46%14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024457 (RV)± 5.0%40%48%12%
Emerson College January 5–8, 20241,294 (RV)± 2.6%45%47%8%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) December 3–7, 2023(RVs)–40%44%14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023451 (RV)± 5.0%44%47%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023437 (RV)± 5.0%43%46%11%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%46%14%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023611 (RV)± 4.4%41%52%7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023503 (RV)± 4.0%46%43%11%
CNN September 29 – October 3, 20231,251 (RV)± 4.6%46%45%9%
Vote TXT May 15–19, 2023412 (RV)–41%48%11%
Prime Group [upper-alpha 40] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–51%49%–
500 (RV)–39%39%22% [lower-alpha 21]
Noble Predictive Insights April 18–26, 2023613 (RV)± 4.0%48%40%12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–20, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%46%45%9%
OH Predictive Insights January 30 – February 6, 2023800 (RV)± 3.5%40%42%18%
Rasmussen Reports (R) November 8–9, 2022679 (LV)± 4.0%41%45%14%
Susquehanna Polling & Research October 24–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%47%48%5%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 41] October 13–17, 2022707 (LV)± 4.0%37%49%14%
Emerson College September 8–10, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%40%43%17%
Emerson College July 7–10, 20222,000 (RV)± 2.1%40%43%17%
Blueprint Polling (D) March 21–24, 2022671 (LV)± 3.8%34%44%22%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%42%8%2%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024450 (RV)± 5.0%34%48%7%2%3%6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%33%37%15%2%2%11% [lower-alpha 22]
Emerson College March 12–15, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%36%41%9%1%2%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–15, 2024447 (RV)± 5.0%36%42%11%1%1%11%
Noble Predictive Insights February 27 – March 5, 2024829 (RV)± 3.4%33%40%11%4%2%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024445 (RV)± 5.0%37%44%9%1%0%9%
Emerson College February 16–19, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%34%44%6%1%1%14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024457 (RV)± 5.0%31%43%12%1%2%11%
Emerson College January 5–8, 20241,294 (RV)± 2.6%39%42%5%1%1%12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023451 (RV)± 5.0%37%42%11%2%1%7%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023611 (LV)±4.431%38%23%8%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023437 (RV)± 5.0%35%39%11%1%14%
Hypothetical polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 16–19, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%48%13%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023611 (LV)± 4.4%42%48%10%
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 16–19, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%32%49%19%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023611 (LV)± 4.4%42%48%10%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023611 (RV)± 4.4%37%46%17%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023611 (RV)± 4.4%41%45%14%
Vote TXT May 15–19, 2023412 (RV)–36%46%17%
Noble Predictive Insights April 18–26, 2023613 (RV)± 4.0%43%42%15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–20, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%41%44%10%
OH Predictive Insights January 30 – February 6, 2023800 (RV)± 3.5%36%42%22%
Emerson College July 7–10, 20222,000 (RV)± 2.1%38%43%19%
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research October 24–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%42%46%12%

New Hampshire

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other/
Undecided
Marist College January 15–17, 20241,157 (RV)± 3.8%52%45%3%
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%47%42%11%
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 20232,108 (LV)± 2.2%52%40%8%
Emerson College August 9–11, 2023837 (RV)± 3.4%48%41%11%
Saint Anselm College June 21–23, 20231,065 (RV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Emerson College March 3–5, 20231,025 (RV)± 3.0%42%38%20%
co/efficient January 25–26, 20231,179 (LV)± 3.15%40%39%21%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 2022850 (LV)± 3.3%45%41%14%
University of Massachusetts Lowell October 14–25, 2022600 (LV)± 5.1%49%43%8%
Emerson College October 18–19, 2022727 (LV)± 3.6%44%43%13%
Emerson College September 14–15, 2022800 (LV)± 3.4%46%43%11%
University of New Hampshire June 16–20, 2022845 (LV)± 3.2%50%43%8%
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 10–12, 20211,041 (LV)± 3.0%46%48%–
Saint Anselm College [upper-alpha 20] May 7–10, 20211,267 (RV)± 2.8%50%43%–
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%40%37%8%1%14%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Marist College January 15–17, 20241,157 (RV)± 3.8%44%41%12%3%
Saint Anselm College December 18–19, 20231,711 (LV)± 3.9%49%39%8%4%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Green		Other /

Undecided

Emerson College August 9–11, 2023837 (RV)± 3.4%44%39%5%13%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /

Undecided

Marist College January 15–17, 20241,157 (RV)± 3.8%44%47%9%
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%39%45%16%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		OtherUndecided
Marist College January 15–17, 20241,157 (RV)± 3.8%51%42%–7%
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%46%38%–16%
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 20232,108 (LV)± 2.2%50%33%15% [lower-alpha 23] 5%
Saint Anselm College June 21–23, 20231,065 (RV)± 3.0%49%40%102%
Emerson College March 3–5, 20231,025 (RV)± 3.0%42%37%14%7%
University of New Hampshire June 16–20, 2022845 (LV)± 3.2%46%47%7%
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 20232,018 (LV)± 2.2%49%20%15% [lower-alpha 24] 5%
Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Tim
Scott
Republican		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 20232,018 (LV)± 2.2%47%34%14% [lower-alpha 25] 5%
Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Chris
Christie
Republican		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 20232,018 (LV)± 2.2%44%20%27% [lower-alpha 26] 10%
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Mike
Pence
Republican		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 20232,018 (LV)± 2.2%49%20%25% [lower-alpha 27] 5%
Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Chris
Sununu
Republican		OtherUndecided
Emerson College March 3–5, 20231,025 (RV)± 3.0%36%44%14%6%
co/efficient January 25–26, 20231,179 (LV)± 3.15%36%48%–16%
Praecones Analytica April 14–16, 2022503 (RV)± 4.6%36%53%–12%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 10–12, 20211,041 (LV)± 3.0%46%48%6%
Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Bernie
Sanders
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Undecided
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%47.6%42.5%9.8%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Undecided
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%45%43%12%

New Jersey

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 26–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%39%15%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 26–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%36%8%1%1%13%

New Mexico

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 23–24, 2023767 (LV)± 3.5%49%41%10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 6–8, 2023500 (LV)–49%38%13%
Emerson College October 25–28, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%38%14%
Emerson College September 8–11, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%41%12%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 23–24, 2023767 (LV)± 3.5%48%43%9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 6–8, 2023500 (LV)–45%43%12%

New York

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Siena College February 12–14, 2024806 (RV)± 4.2%42%32%13%6%7%
Siena College January 14–17, 2024807 (RV)± 4.5%41%32%13%3%11%
Siena College November 12–15, 2023803 (RV)± 4.6%37%28%18%5%11%
Siena College October 15–19, 20231,225 (RV)± 3.4%38%31%13%5%12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Siena College April 15–17, 2024806 (RV)± 4.1%47%37%16%
Siena College February 12–14, 2024806 (RV)± 4.2%48%36%16%
Siena College January 14–17, 2024807 (RV)± 4.5%46%37%17%
Siena College November 12–15, 2023803 (RV)± 4.6%46%36%18%
Siena College October 15–19, 20231,225 (RV)± 3.4%46%37%17%
Siena College August 13–16, 2023803 (RV)± 4.4%47%34%19%
Siena College June 20–25, 2023817 (RV)± 3.9%50%28%21%
SurveyUSA November 3–6, 2022918 (RV)± 4.1%46%34%20%
Emerson College October 20–24, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%40%13%
SurveyUSA October 14–18, 20221,018 (RV)± 4.4%42%37%21%
Emerson College September 4–6, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%53%37%10%
SurveyUSA August 17–21, 2022715 (LV)± 4.6%49%29%22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%40%8%

North Carolina

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%52%48%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%51%41%8%
Mason-Dixon April 9–13, 2024635 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
Quinnipiac University April 4–8, 20241,401 (RV)± 2.6%48%46%6%
High Point University March 22–30, 2024829(RV)± 3.4%45%42%14%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
Marist College March 11–14, 20241,197 (RV)± 3.6%51%48%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024699 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 42] March 3–9, 2024598 (LV)± 4.9%50%45%5%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 43] March 6–7, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%40%15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024704 (RV)± 5.0%50%41%9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%44%9%
Fox News February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%50%45%5%
Meredith College January 26–31, 2024760 (RV)± 3.5%44%39%17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023704 (RV)± 4.0%49%40%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023702 (RV)± 4.0%48%39%13%
Meredith College November 1–5, 2023755 (RV)± 3.5%39%40%22% [lower-alpha 28]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023702 (RV)± 4.0%47%43%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023736 (LV)–43%38%20%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 44] September 1–5, 2023914 (LV)± 3.6%46%42%12%
Prime Group [upper-alpha 45] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–54%46%–
500 (RV)–45%37%18% [lower-alpha 29]
Opinion Diagnostics June 5–7, 2023902 (LV)± 3.3%43%40%18%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 43] March 26–27, 2023605 (LV)± 4.0%43%45%12%
Differentiators (R) [upper-alpha 46] January 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.5%45%48%7%
Emerson College October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%40%9%
Public Policy Polling (D) October 7–8, 2022606 (RV)–44%44%12%
SurveyUSA September 28 – October 2, 2022918 (RV)± 3.9%43%45%12%
Emerson College September 15–16, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%42%11%
East Carolina University September 7–10, 20221,020 (LV)± 3.6%46%45%9%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 4–6, 2022656 (LV)± 3.8%45%39%17%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 20] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%48%41%11%
East Carolina University May 19–20, 2022635 (RV)± 4.5%46%37%16%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%6%1%1%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%48%38%5%1%0%8%
Quinnipiac University April 4–8, 20241,401 (RV)± 2.6%41%38%12%3%3%3%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%42%34%10%2%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024699 (RV)± 4.0%45%39%7%1%0%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024704 (RV)± 5.0%45%35%9%1%1%9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%5%1%1%10%
Fox News February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%8%1%2%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%45%32%9%1%1%12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023704 (RV)± 4.0%45%34%8%1%1%11%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Meredith College April 11–17, 2024711 (LV)± 3.5%41%39%9%11%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 43] April 7–8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%39%7%11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024642 (LV)–43%39%8%10%
Marist College March 11–14, 20241,197 (RV)± 3.6%46%43%11%–
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 47] January 30 – February 4, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%39%32%16%13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 20231,220 (LV)–37%33%11%19%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023620 (LV)–44%35%8%13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023736 (LV)–41%38%9%14%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023702 (RV)± 4.0%42%33%9%2%14%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%41%9%
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%34%17%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Fox News February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%46%41%13%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Fox News February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%31%33%19%2%2%13%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023620 (LV)–36%33%12%18%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics June 5–7, 2023902 (LV)± 3.3%46%40%13%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 43] March 26–27, 2023605 (LV)± 4.0%44%41%15%
Differentiators (R) [upper-alpha 46] January 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.5%49%44%7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023620 (LV)–38%34%12%4%12%
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Pence
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 43] March 26–27, 2023605 (LV)± 4.0%39%41%20%

North Dakota

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023419 (RV)± 4.8%54%17%28%

Ohio

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University March 13–15, 2024818 (RV)± 3.4%51%40%9%
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 20241,241 (LV)± 3.3%50%38%12%
Emerson College [upper-alpha 48] March 7–10, 20241,300 (RV)± 2.6%55%45%–
Emerson College [upper-alpha 48] January 23–25, 20241,844 (RV)± 2.3%47%36%17%
Emerson College/WJW-TV November 10–13, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%38%12%
Data for Progress (D) October 31 – November 2, 2023597 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%6%
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023668 (RV)± 3.8%45%40%15% [lower-alpha 30]
Emerson College October 2–4, 2023438 (RV)± 4.5%45%33%23%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,559 (RV)–48%43%9%
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%49%39%12%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022505 (LV)± 4.3%57%40%3%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%38%12%
Ohio Northern University/Lucid October 11–15, 2022668 (LV)–55%35%10%
Emerson College October 6–7, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%40%12%
Emerson College September 12–13, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%40%10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022831 (LV)± 4.3%49%41%10%
Emerson College August 15–16, 2022925 (LV)± 3.2%53%39%8%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 20] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%42%44%14%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
East Carolina University March 8–11, 20241,298 (LV)± 3.2%48%38%5%1%1%7%
Emerson College [upper-alpha 48] March 7–10, 20241,300 (RV)± 2.6%47%38%6%1%1%7%
Emerson College/WJW-TV November 10–13, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%31%8%1%2%13%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. vs. Robert F Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 20241,241 (LV)± 3.3%44%32%13%11%
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023668 (RV)± 3.8%42%35%11%12% [lower-alpha 31]
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Cornel
West
Green		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,559 (RV)–45%36%9%10%
Suffolk University July 9–12, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%44%38%2%16%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Joe
Manchin
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,559 (RV)–42%34%6%6%12%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 20241,241 (LV)± 3.3%51%38%11%
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 20241,241 (LV)± 3.3%51%33%16%
Donald Trump vs. Gretchen Whitmer
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 20241,241 (LV)± 3.3%51%34%15%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023668 (RV)± 3.8%34%36%30% [lower-alpha 32]
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%38%38%24%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023668 (RV)± 3.8%38%41%21% [lower-alpha 33]
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%41%39%20%
Emerson College October 6–7, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%38%13%
Emerson College September 12–13, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%38%14%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022831 (LV)± 4.3%46%40%14%
Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
Desantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Cornel
West
Green		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University July 9–12, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%39%37%2%22%
Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%33%39%28%
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Pence
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023668 (RV)± 3.8%38%38%24% [lower-alpha 34]
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%37%38%25%
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Tim
Scott
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%38%39%23%
Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Causeway Solutions May 19–27, 20231,639 (RV)± 2.5%45%33%22%

Oklahoma

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) April 11–12, 2024615 (LV)± 3.83%61%30%9%
Emerson College October 1–3, 2023447 (RV)± 4.6%55%27%18%
Emerson College October 25–28, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%59%30%11%
SoonerPoll October 4–6, 2022301 (LV)± 5.7%53%41%6%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022522 (LV)± 6.3%63%30%7%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) April 11–12, 2024615 (LV)± 3.83%56%24%7%2%1%10%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022522 (LV)± 6.3%53%28%19%

Oregon

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 31 – November 1, 2022975 (LV)± 3.1%51%35%14%
Emerson College September 30 – October 1, 2022796 (LV)± 3.4%50%41%9%

Pennsylvania

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 49] April 24–30, 20241,398 (LV)± 3.0%45%49%6%
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%51%–
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 20241,288 (LV)± 3.1%49%50%1%
Muhlenberg College April 15–25, 2024417 (RV)± 6.0%41%44%15%
Fox News April 11–16, 20241,141 (RV)± 3.0%48%48%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024803 (RV)± 3.0%46%47%7%
The Bullfinch Group [upper-alpha 50] March 29 – April 3, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%38%44%18% [lower-alpha 35]
Franklin & Marshall College March 20–31, 2024870 (RV)± 4.0%48%38%14%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%44%47%9%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 51] March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.5%45%49%6%
CNN/SSRS March 13–18, 20241,132 (RV)± 3.8%46%46%8%
Emerson College March 10–13, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%52%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024807 (RV)± 3.0%45%45%10%
Fox News March 7–11, 20241,149 (RV)± 3.0%47%49%4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research February 27 – March 7, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%50%45%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024803 (RV)± 3.0%43%49%8%
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%45%12%
Chism Strategies February 6–8, 2024500 (RV)± 5.0%32%40%28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) January 22–25, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%42%48%10%
Franklin & Marshall College January 17–28, 2024507 (RV)± 5.0%43%42%15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024795 (RV)± 3.0%45%48%7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research January 15–21, 2024745 (RV)± 3.7%47%39%14%
Quinnipiac University January 4–8, 20241,680 (RV)± 2.4%49%46%5% [lower-alpha 36]
The Bullfinch Group December 14–18, 2023600 (RV)± 4.0%45%45%10%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) December 3–7, 2023(RVs)–40%46%14%
Muhlenberg College November 20 – December 13, 2023421 (RV)± 6.0%42%41%17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023799 (RV)± 3.0%44%46%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023805 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%46%11%
816 (LV)–45%49%6%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023600 (RV)± 4.6%44%48%8%
Franklin & Marshall College October 11–22, 2023873 (RV)± 4.1%44%42%14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023807 (RV)± 3.0%45%46%9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023900 (LV)–43%42%15%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023430 (RV)± 4.7%36%45%19%
Quinnipiac University September 28 – October 2, 20231,725 (RV)± 2.4%45%47%8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 52] September 25–26, 2023673 (RV)± 3.8%48%45%7%
Prime Group [upper-alpha 53] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–50%50%–
500 (RV)–38%43%19% [lower-alpha 37]
Quinnipiac University June 22–26, 20231,584 (RV)± 2.5%46%47%7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 11–13, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%46%42%12%
Franklin & Marshall College March 27 – April 7, 2023643 (RV)± 4.9%36%35%29%
Susquehanna Polling & Research February 19–26, 2023800 (RV)± 3.2%48%41%11%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022631 (LV)± 3.8%46%52%2%
Emerson College October 28–31, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%44%12%
Emerson College September 23–26, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%45%46%9%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022828 (LV)± 3.5%48%43%9%
Emerson College August 22–23, 20221,034 (LV)± 3.0%42%47%11%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 20] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%42%44%14%
Blueprint Polling (D) July 19–21, 2022712 (LV)± 3.7%42%41%17%
Blueprint Polling (D) February 15–16, 2022635 (LV)± 3.9%45%40%15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%45%51%4%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%45%6%1%1%7%
Fox News April 11–16, 20241,141 (RV)± 3.0%42%44%8%1%2%3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024803 (RV)± 3.0%42%43%8%0%1%6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%38%41%7%3%1%10%
Emerson College March 10–13, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%44%5%1%1%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024807 (RV)± 3.0%38%44%7%0%1%10%
Fox News March 7–11, 20241,149 (RV)± 3.0%42%42%9%2%2%3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024803 (RV)± 3.0%36%45%8%1%1%9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%42%8%2%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024795 (RV)± 3.0%40%43%7%1%1%8%
Quinnipiac University January 4–8, 20231,680 (RV)± 2.4%41%39%11%2%4%3% [lower-alpha 38]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023799 (RV)± 3.0%38%39%9%1%1%12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Franklin & Marshall College March 20–31, 2024870 (RV)± 4.0%42%40%9%3%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024775 (LV)–41%44%7%1%7%
Franklin & Marshall College January 17–28, 2024494 (RV)± 5.0%42%37%8%2%11%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Muhlenberg College April 15–25, 2024417 (RV)± 6.0%35%35%18%12%
The Bullfinch Group [upper-alpha 54] March 22–26, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%44%41%7%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 20231,069 (LV)–39%40%9%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023887 (LV)–37%44%7%10%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023600 (LV)± 4.635%35%23%7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023900 (LV)–39%39%9%13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS March 13–18, 20241,132 (RV)± 3.8%38%40%16%4%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023805 (RV)± 3.0%38%41%8%1%12%
Hypothetical polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%49%11%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023600 (RV)± 4.6%44%47%9%
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%33%48%19%
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Josh
Shapiro
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Muhlenberg College November 20 – December 13, 2023421 (RV)± 6.0%48%37%15%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Muhlenberg College November 20 – December 13, 2023421 (RV)± 6.0%33%38%29%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023600 (RV)± 4.6%39%49%12%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023887 (LV)–36%26%18%7%13%


Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Muhlenberg College November 20 – December 13, 2023421 (RV)± 6.0%41%39%20%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023600 (RV)± 4.6%43%47%10%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) May 2–8, 2023700 (LV)± 3.7%48%39%12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 11–13, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%42%45%13%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022828 (LV)± 3.5%46%42%12%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023887 (LV)–37%34%13%3%12%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) May 2–8, 2023700 (LV)± 3.7%42%38%20%

Rhode Island

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fleming & Associates September 29 – October 2, 2022402 (LV)± 4.9%49%32%19%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022373 (LV)± 6.1%51%37%12%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022373 (LV)± 6.1%47%36%17%

South Carolina

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 20241,197 (RV)± 3.0%51%37%12%
The Citadel February 5–11, 20241,000 (RV)± 4.1%54%35%11%
Winthrop University February 2–10, 20241,717 (RV)± 2.4%50%35%15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University February 1–8, 2024679 (RV)± 3.8%52%34%14%
643 (LV)± 3.8%54%36%10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022600 (LV)± 5.1%51%39%10%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 24–25, 2022721 (LV)± 3.7%46%34%20%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Joe
Manchin
Independent		Other /
Undecided
The Citadel February 5–11, 20241,000 (RV)± 4.1%49%32%9%3%4%3%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
The Citadel February 5–11, 20241,000 (RV)± 4.1%50%28%22%
Winthrop University February 2–10, 20241,717 (RV)± 2.4%47%29%24%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Joe
Manchin
Independent		Other /
Undecided
The Citadel February 5–11, 20241,000 (RV)± 4.1%41%25%20%3%4%7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022600 (LV)± 5.1%42%42%16%

South Dakota

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /

Undecided

Emerson College January 23–28, 20241,777 (RV)± 2.2%55%26%18%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023432 (RV)± 4.7%50%28%22%
Emerson College October 19–21, 20221,500 (LV)± 2.4%53%33%14%

Tennessee

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] March 15 – April 2, 2024974 (LV)± 2.8%55%31%14%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] December 14–28, 2023929 (LV)± 2.7%63%31%5%
Siena College [lower-alpha 39] November 5–10, 2023805 (A)–49%20%31%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] October 5–16, 2023872 (LV)± 2.8%61%30%9%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023410 (RV)± 4.8%55%22%23%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] June 14–22, 20231,046 (V)± 2.9%54%34%11%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University April 19–23, 2023502 (RV)–42%26%31%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] March 15 – April 2, 2024974 (LV)± 2.7%47%28%15%10%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] December 14–28, 2023933 (LV)± 2.7%51%25%16%8%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University November 14 – December 2, 20231,005 (RV)± 3.4%45%26%12%17%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] October 5–16, 2023872 (LV)± 2.8%48%23%19%10%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Joe
Manchin
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] October 5–16, 2023844 (LV)± 2.8%53%23%6%18%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 55] June 14–22, 2023977 (V)± 2.9%52%36%11%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University April 19–23, 2023502 (RV)–33%24%40%

Texas

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] April 12–22, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.3%48%40%12% [lower-alpha 40]
Cygnal (R) April 4–6, 20241,000 (RV)± 2.9%51%42%7%
Marist College March 18–21, 20241,117 (RV)± 3.8%55%44%1%
UT Tyler February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%46%42%12%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.4%48%41%11% [lower-alpha 41]
University of Houston January 11–24, 20241,145 (LV)± 2.5%49%40%11%
Emerson College [upper-alpha 57] January 13–15, 20241,315 (RV)± 2.6%49%41%10%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%45%39%16%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%45%37%18%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%44%42%14% [lower-alpha 42]
CWS Research (R) April 17–21, 2023677 (LV)± 3.8%45%42%13%
Emerson College October 17–19, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%40%13%
Emerson College September 20–22, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022813 (LV)± 4.4%48%43%9%
Blueprint Polling (D) June 8–10, 2022603 (LV)± 4.0%44%38%17%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] April 12–22, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.3%45%36%8%2%2%7%
Cygnal (R) April 4–6, 20241,000 (RV)± 2.9%46%37%8%1%2%6%
UT Tyler February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%41%37%13%6%3%–
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.4%45%36%6%3%2%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies February 1–3, 2024605 (LV)± 4.0%44%35%6%1%1%13%
Emerson College [upper-alpha 57] January 13–15, 20241,315 (RV)± 2.6%46%36%5%1%1%11%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%42%34%8%3%2%12%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation April 5–10, 20241,600 (LV)± 2.45%46%34%9%11% [lower-alpha 43]
Marist College March 18–21, 20241,117 (RV)± 3.8%48%36%15%1%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation April 5–10, 20241,600 (LV)± 2.45%48%36%3%13% [lower-alpha 44]
YouGov [upper-alpha 58] January 11–24, 20241,500 (RV)± 2.5%49%40%3%8% [lower-alpha 45]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Joe
Manchin
No Labels		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
National Public Affairs February 6–8, 2024807 (LV)± 3.5%42%35%6%4%3%9%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 58] January 11–24, 20241,500 (RV)± 2.5%52%39%9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%46%39%15% [lower-alpha 46]
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
UT Tyler February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%42%36%22%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.4%31%40%29% [lower-alpha 47]
YouGov [upper-alpha 58] January 11–24, 20241,500 (RV)± 2.5%43%39%18%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%33%36%31%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%32%34%34%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
UT Tyler February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%33%36%20%7%3%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies February 1–3, 2024605 (LV)± 4.0%30%32%14%0%0%24%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%39%37%24%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%39%38%24%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%44%42%14% [lower-alpha 48]
CWS Research (R) April 17–21, 2023677 (LV)± 3.8%44%40%16%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022813 (LV)± 4.4%44%41%15%
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%45%40%15% [lower-alpha 49]
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%34%37%30%
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%33%36%32%
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Pence
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%29%36%36%
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Tim
Scott
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
YouGov [upper-alpha 56] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%33%34%33%

Utah

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights April 8–16, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%54%26%20%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics January 16–21, 2024801 (RV)± 3.0%43%33%24%
Emerson College October 25–28, 2022825 (LV)± 3.0%47%34%19%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights April 8–16, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%47%23%13%1%1%15%

Virginia

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 29 – May 1, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%48%44%8%
Virginia Commonwealth University December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024812 (A)± 5.4%43%40%17%
Mason-Dixon December 15–19, 2023625 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
Roanoke College November 12–20, 2023686 (A)± 4.3%48%44%8%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,437 (RV)–47%42%11%
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 59] September 5–11, 20231,000 (A)± 3.0%37%37%26%
Roanoke College August 6–15, 2023702 (A)± 4.2%51%42%17%
Virginia Commonwealth University July 14–25, 2023804 (A)± 5.4%43%40%17%
Roanoke College May 14–23, 2023678 (A)± 4.4%54%38%8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023500 (LV)–48%41%11%
Roanoke College February 12–21, 2023590 (RV)± 4.2%47%46%6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 29 – May 1, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%40%37%8%1%2%12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Mason-Dixon December 15–19, 2023625 (RV)± 4.0%42%36%14%8%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,437 (RV)–40%39%7%14%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Manchin
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 20231,437 (RV)–37%37%7%5%14%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024812 (A)± 5.4%38%43%19%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024812 (A)± 5.4%42%39%19%
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 60] September 5–11, 20231,000 (A)± 3.0%39%30%31%
Virginia Commonwealth University July 14–25, 2023804 (A)± 5.46%41%41%18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023500 (LV)–44%44%12%
Roanoke College February 12–21, 2023590 (RV)± 4.2%43%48%8%
Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Glenn
Youngkin
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 61] September 5–11, 20231,000 (A)± 3.0%37%34%29%
Virginia Commonwealth University July 14–25, 2023804 (A)± 5.46%37%44%19%
Roanoke College February 12–21, 2023590 (RV)± 4.2%39%55%6%

Vermont

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)

administered

Sample

size [lower-alpha 2]

Margin

of error

Joe

Biden Democratic

Donald

Trump Republican

Other /

Undecided

Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research February 29 - March 3, 2024117 (RV)± 4.6%58%28%14%
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research February 29 - March 3, 2024111 (LV)± 4.5%59%28%13%

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)

administered

Sample

size [lower-alpha 2]

Margin

of error

Joe

Biden
Democratic

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Independent

Other /

Undecided

John Zogby Strategies April 13 - 21, 2024272 (LV)± 4.6%47%42%-

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)

administered

Sample

size [lower-alpha 2]

Margin

of error

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Independent

Donald

Trump
Republican

Other /

Undecided

John Zogby Strategies April 13 - 21, 2024272 (LV)± 4.3%52%29%-

Washington

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
The Independent Center April 16–23, 2024250 (RV)± 6.2%45%46%9%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 62] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%48%37%15%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 63] February 13–14, 2024797 (LV)± 3.5%54%38%8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 63] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.7%52%38%10%
Crosscut/Elway October 30 – November 3, 2023403 (RV)± 5.0%39%29%31% [lower-alpha 50]
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 63] June 7–8, 2023773 (LV)± 3.5%53%36%11%
Emerson College September 30 – October 1, 2022782 (LV)± 3.4%49%39%12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 15–17, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%54%41%6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
The Independent Center April 16–23, 2024250 (RV)± 6.2%35%40%13%1%4% [lower-alpha 51]
Crosscut/Elway October 30 – November 3, 2023403 (RV)± 5.0%37%25%9%3%26% [lower-alpha 52]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 63] June 7–8, 2023773 (LV)± 3.5%51%39%10%

Wisconsin

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%52%–
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 20241,226 (LV)± 3.2%49%50%1%
Fox News April 11–16, 20241,198 (RV)± 3.0%48%48%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%44%48%8%
Marquette University Law School April 3–10, 2024814 (RV)± 4.8%49%51%–
736 (LV)± 5.0%49%51%–
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 64] April 6–9, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%45%10%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%46%46%8%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 65] March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.5%47%46%7%
Emerson College/The Hill March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%46%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–14, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%42%46%12%
Emerson College February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%45%13%
Kaplan Strategies February 23, 2024941 (RV)± 3.2%39%41%20%
Marquette University Law School January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%49%49%2%
808 (LV)± 4.2%49%50%1%
Fox News January 26–30, 20241,172 (RV)± 3.0%47%47%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%44%49%7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023681 (RV)± 4.0%41%45%14%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%45%41%14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023675 (RV)± 4.0%46%47%7%
Emerson College October 30 - November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%43%44%13%
819 (LV)± 3.1%45%45%10%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%47%45%8%
Marquette University Law School October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%50%48%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023700 (RV)± 4.0%44%46%10%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023532 (RV)± 4.2%40%42%19%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 66] September 25–26, 2023673 (RV)± 3.8%48%44%8%
Prime Group [upper-alpha 67] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–53%47%–
500 (RV)–37%40%23% [lower-alpha 53]
Marquette University Law School June 8–13, 2023913 (RV)± 4.3%52%43%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–20, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%43%9%
Emerson College October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%43%13%
Emerson College September 16–18, 2022860 (LV)± 3.3%45%44%11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%42%52%6%
Marquette University Law School October 26–31, 2021805 (RV)± 3.9%45%41%14%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%45%6%1%1%7%
Fox News April 11–16, 20241,198 (RV)± 3.0%43%41%9%2%2%3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%41%44%8%1%1%5%
Marquette University Law School April 3–10, 2024814 (RV)± 4.8%40%41%13%3%2%1%
736 (LV)± 5.0%41%42%12%3%1%1%
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 68] April 6–9, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%36%37%13%2%4%9%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%41%38%10%1%1%9%
Emerson College/The Hill March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%43%6%1%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–14, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%39%41%10%1%1%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%35%41%10%1%1%12%
Emerson College February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%41%7%1%1%13%
Marquette University Law School January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%37%40%16%2%4%1%
808 (LV)± 4.2%39%41%13%2%4%1%
Fox News January 26–30, 20241,172 (RV)± 3.0%39%42%7%1%2%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%35%43%10%0%2%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023681 (RV)± 4.0%34%40%10%1%3%13%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%42%37%7%1%1%12% [lower-alpha 54]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023675 (RV)± 4.0%36%38%13%2%11%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (LV)± 4.837%35%22%6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 20241,226 (LV)± 3.2%44%48%8%0%
Hypothetical polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%46%47%7%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Marquette University Law School January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%41%57%2%
808 (LV)± 4.2%42%57%1%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%39%53%8%
Marquette University Law School October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%44%53%3%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%44%48%8%
Marquette University Law School October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%48%50%1%
Marquette University Law School June 8–13, 2023913 (RV)± 4.3%49%47%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–20, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.0%45%45%10%

Wyoming

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023478 (RV)±4.5%68%15%18%

West Virginia

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023539 (RV)±4.2%59%23%18%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Independent/Third party candidate with 13%
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 15%
  5. ↑ No Labels candidate
  6. ↑ Lars Mapstead (L) with 3%
  7. ↑ Joe Manchin with 4%
  8. ↑ "Someone else" with 12%
  9. ↑ Cornel West & Jill Stein with 1%
  10. ↑ No Labels candidate
  11. ↑ "Someone else" with 10%
  12. ↑ Archived 2022-02-28 at the Wayback Machine
  13. ↑ Other candidate with 21%
  14. ↑ Other candidate with 10%
  15. ↑ Other candidate with 23%
  16. ↑ Other candidate with 19%
  17. ↑ "Someone else" with 14%
  18. ↑ No Labels candidate
  19. ↑ "Other" with 11%
  20. ↑ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
  21. ↑ No Labels candidate
  22. ↑ Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
  23. ↑ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  24. ↑ Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
  25. ↑ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  26. ↑ Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
  27. ↑ Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
  28. ↑ "Someone else" with 17%
  29. ↑ No Labels candidate
  30. ↑ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 10%
  31. ↑ Some Other Candidate at 2%; Undecided at 10%
  32. ↑ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 22%
  33. ↑ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 16%
  34. ↑ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 16%
  35. ↑ Independent/Third party candidate with 12%
  36. ↑ "Undecided" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  37. ↑ No Labels candidate
  38. ↑ "Undecided" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  39. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Tennessean
  40. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%
  41. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%
  42. ↑ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  43. ↑ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  44. ↑ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  45. ↑ Libertarian candidate with 1%
  46. ↑ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  47. ↑ "Someone else" with 21%
  48. ↑ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  49. ↑ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  50. ↑ "Someone else" with 22%; "Undecided" with 8%; "I would not vote" with 1%
  51. ↑ Jill Stein with 4%
  52. ↑ "Undecided" with 14%; "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%
  53. ↑ No Labels candidate
  54. ↑ "Someone else" with 12%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by College Republicans United
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  10. ↑ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media
  13. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
  14. ↑ Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
  16. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  17. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  18. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  19. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  21. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
  22. ↑ "Someone else" with 15%
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  24. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
  25. ↑ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
  26. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  27. 1 2 3 4 Poll commissioned by MIRS
  28. ↑ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  29. ↑ Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
  30. ↑ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  31. 1 2 3 4 Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
  32. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  33. ↑ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
  34. ↑ Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
  35. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
  36. ↑ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  37. ↑ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  38. ↑ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
  39. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  40. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  41. ↑ Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute
  42. ↑ Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
  43. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
  44. ↑ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
  45. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  46. 1 2 Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
  47. ↑ Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers
  48. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  49. ↑ Poll commissioned by AARP
  50. ↑ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
  51. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  52. ↑ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  53. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  54. ↑ Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
  55. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
  56. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  57. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  58. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  59. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
  60. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
  61. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
  62. ↑ Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
  63. 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  64. ↑ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  65. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  66. ↑ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  67. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  68. ↑ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

Related Research Articles

This is a timeline of major events leading up to, during, and after the 2024 United States presidential election. This will be the first presidential election to be run with population data from the 2020 census. In addition to the dates mandated by the relevant federal laws such as those in the U.S. Constitution and the Electoral Count Act, several milestones have consistently been observed since the adoption of the conclusions of the 1971 McGovern–Fraser Commission.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Arizona</span> Election in Arizona

The 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Arizona voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Arizona is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in California</span> Election in California

The 2024 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Florida</span> Election in Florida

The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Georgia</span> Election in Georgia

The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat. Georgia is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Maryland</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Michigan</span> Election in Michigan

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Montana</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Montana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Montana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Montana has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. Though somewhat less conservative than its neighboring states, Montana hasn't been won by a Democratic presidential candidate since Bill Clinton did so in 1992 nor has it been competitive at this level since Democrat Barack Obama came up less than 3 points shy of carrying the state in 2008. Montana is favored to be carried by the Republican presidential candidate in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Nevada</span> Election in Nevada

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nevada voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Nevada is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024, although no Republican presidential nominee has won Nevada since George W. Bush's narrow victory twenty years earlier.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire</span> Election in New Hampshire

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Ohio voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Ohio has 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania</span> Election in Pennsylvania

The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee</span> 2024 U.S. state election

The 2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Tennessee voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Texas</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Virginia</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin</span> Election in Wisconsin

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wisconsin voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

References

  1. ↑ "2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List". Cook Political Report . December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 13, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 2023.
  3. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan L. (April 26, 2023). "Initial 2024 Presidential Battleground State Ratings". Inside Elections. Archived from the original on May 1, 2023. Retrieved June 30, 2023.
  4. ↑ Kondik, Kyle (June 29, 2023). "Electoral College Ratings: Expect Another Highly Competitive Election". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on June 29, 2023. Retrieved June 30, 2023.
  5. ↑ "2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast". CNalysis. November 15, 2023. Archived from the original on December 25, 2023. Retrieved December 24, 2023.
  6. ↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Archived from the original on December 20, 2023. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  7. ↑ "Road to 270". CNN. January 18, 2023. Archived from the original on January 18, 2024. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
  8. 1 2 Illinoisans Share Who They Support for President (Republican & Democrat Poll) , retrieved 2023-09-02
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