Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election

Last updated

The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.

Contents

Polling aggregations

Seat projections

Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe and Cassandra-odds.com, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.

Polling aggregatorDate updatedNumber of seats The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others
Europe Elects [1] 27 May 20247203913856861807568762
Politico Europe [2] 27 May 202472032145418016875675755
Cassandra-odds.com [3] 24 May 2024720491485692159887464
PolitPro [4] 24 May 202472038142438616770914633
Euronews [5] 23 May 2024720431355482181808362
election.de [6] 23 May 2024720431395687179838053
corneliushirsch.com [7] 9 May 2024720431374887183829446
EM Analytics [8] 30 April 2024720401395585176847962
Der Föderalist [9] Baseline [lower-alpha 1] 26 Apr 202472035132518617381833544
Dynamic [lower-alpha 2] 720391345389181869939
2019 election After Brexit1 Feb 2020705401486797187627628
Before Brexit26 May 20197514115474108182627357

Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.

Polling aggregatorDate updated The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others
Europe Elects [1] 27 May 20246.5%20.0%7.8%11.1%21.3%12.2%9.1%9.0%2.9%
PolitPro [10] 24 May 20245.3%19.7%6.0%11.9%23.2%9.7%12.6%6.4%5.2%
The Economist [11] 10 May 20246.0%17.0%6.0%10.0%23.0%10.0%10.0%4.0%13.0%
EM Analytics [8] 30 Apr 20247.3%18.9%7.5%10.0%21.7%10.9%12.0%6.8%5.0%
2019 election
Before Brexit26 May 20196.5%18.5%11.7%13.0%21.0%8.2%10.8%7.2%3.1%

Seats

361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.

OrganisationRelease
date
AreaNumber of seats The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI OthersLead
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [12] 27 May 2024EU27720391385686180826869242
23 May 2024The AfD is expelled from Identity and Democracy. [13]
election.de [14] 23 May 2024EU2772043139568717983805340
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [15] 16 May 2024EU27720431345485182838354248
election.de [16] 9 May 2024EU2772040140558917780845537
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [17] 28 Apr 2024EU27720441404886183868448143
EM Analytics [8] 30 April 2024EU2772040139558517684796237
Der Föderalist [18] 26 Apr 2024EU277203513251861738183354441
72039134538918186993947
EM Analytics [19] 22 Apr 2024EU2772039139518618186776142
election.de [20] 22 Apr 2024EU2772039138529017380876135
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [21] 16 Apr 2024EU27720401395284184828452345
election.de [22] 8 Apr 2024EU2772039138558617681856038
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [23] 28 Mar 2024EU27720471355287184818248449
election.de [24] 22 Mar 2024EU2772040139548917684835537
Ipsos for Euronews [25] 19 Mar 2024EU2772042136558517776816841
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [26] 18 Mar 2024EU27720461355086183848943448
Politico Europe [27] 9 Mar 2024EU2772033141489018087895239
election.de [28] 8 Mar 2024EU2772039142518617186865929
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [29] 1 Mar 2024EU27720451404982181839244441
Der Föderalist [30] 26 Feb 2024EU277203513548851767885364241
371374889183821014346
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [31] 19 Feb 2024EU27720441404885180839243640
election.de [32] 7 Feb 2024EU2772042138497817688945538
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [33] 1 Feb 2024EU27720421405182180809149540
ECFR [34] 23 Jan 2024EU2772044131618617385984242
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [35] 15 Jan 2024EU27720371435084178809349635
election.de [36] 9 Jan 2024EU2772041141458017986955338
Politico Europe [37] 9 Jan 2024EU2772033145438617889965033
Der Föderalist [38] 8 Jan 2024EU277203314145861697589433928
351434791177851083434
Europe Elects [39] 30 Dec 2023EU27720361424984179819350637
Politico Europe [40] 11 Dec 2023EU2772033145478717591915130
Europe Elects [41] 30 Nov 2023EU27720381415289175828752435
KAS [42] 29 Nov 2023EU277204214348871717879413035
Politico Europe [43] 9 Nov 2023EU2772038143499117990854536
Der Föderalist [44] 6 Nov 2023EU277204313743901707876374533
46138479617889923440
Europe Elects [45] 31 Oct 2023EU277204513951921738076531134
12 Oct 2023 PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party. [46]
Politico Europe [47] 9 Oct 2023EU2772040151498917293824421
Europe Elects [48] 30 Sep 2023EU277204314552901658674561021
22 Sep 2023The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats. [49]
Der Föderalist [50] 11 Sep 2023EU277204314746911627774364315
45147509617190893224
7054214446901577772354113
44144509516589873121
Politico Europe [51] 7 Sep 2023EU2770542146469116793764421
Europe Elects [52] 31 Aug 2023EU277203814953901648375581015
Politico Europe [53] 9 Aug 2023EU2770545145488916589774720
Europe Elects [54] 31 Jul 2023EU277054514349901578282551214
Der Föderalist [55] 17 Jul 2023EU277054113648941607970364124
43137529916789873130
Der Föderalist [56] 22 May 2023EU277054913750921627967333625
50137549917282832835
Europe Elects [57] 28 Apr 2023EU277055114149891638564511122
Der Föderalist [58] 27 Mar 2023EU277054413742941627868384225
461414610217081843529
Der Föderalist [59] 1 Feb 2023EU277055013542961687865373433
521384710317282803134
Der Föderalist [60] 6 Dec 2022EU277055113644931667964373530
531395010017083803031
Europe Elects [61] 7 Dec 2022EU277054914256100158846346716
Europe Elects [62] 1 Nov 2022EU277055513553106162816641627
Der Föderalist [63] 12 Oct 2022EU2770552127421001697963353842
541304810817484802744
Der Föderalist [64] 20 Aug 2022EU277055213447981707563273936
541375310717580762338
Der Föderalist [65] 22 Jun 2022EU2770554133441011657764313632
561365410616881792532
Der Föderalist [66] 25 Apr 2022EU277055913939971577864373518
601434910215984763216
Der Föderalist [67] 1 Mar 2022EU277055313936981587862453619
5514244105160109622818
Europe Elects [68] 8 Jan 2022EU27705491525599158786235176
Der Föderalist [69] 4 Jan 2022EU277055114239991657362344023
5314643105166102622820
Europe Elects [70] 7 Dec 2021EU27705501555510314681753649
Der Föderalist [71] 8 Nov 2021EU277055014442961557572363511
521484810715623120518
Europe Elects [72] 4 Nov 2021EU27705501555110215181753554
Europe Elects [73] 8 Oct 2021EU27705501544794156787536152
Der Föderalist [74] 13 Sep 2021EU277055414142981607075333219
5614548107160221165115
Der Föderalist [75] 21 Jul 2021EU277055213345971677174313534
5413849108168231174830
Europe Elects [76] 9 Jul 2021EU277055214455941567577341812
Europe Elects [77] 5 Jun 2021EU27705511465892155767435189
Der Föderalist [78] 24 May 2021EU277055012550951677473333842
521305410916787743237
Europe Elects [79] 2 May 2021EU277055214456931587574341914
Europe Elects [80] 2 Apr 2021EU27705511515293159747432198
Der Föderalist [81] 29 Mar 2021EU277055213646961647173343328
541414910916485733023
3 Mar 2021 Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group. [82]
Der Föderalist [83] 2 Feb 2021EU277055213545941847071213349
531414810718473712849
Europe Elects [84] 5 Jan 2021EU277055513847971907372221152
Der Föderalist [85] 9 Dec 2020EU277055213647931886773202952
531404010318873732548
Europe Elects [86] 2 Dec 2020EU277055513648951956873231259
Europe Elects [87] 31 Oct 2020EU27705541364893197707424961
Der Föderalist [88] 12 Oct 2020EU277055112749961936771213066
521365210219371712857
Europe Elects [89] 4 Oct 2020EU27705551364995195717723459
Europe Elects [90] 31 Aug 2020EU27705551344996196717524562
Europe Elects [91] 14 Aug 2020EU27705541344997198707523564
Europe Elects [92] 24 Jul 2020EU27705541334897198717724365
Europe Elects [93] 28 May 2020EU27705551354798197707723362
Europe Elects [94] 30 Apr 2020EU27705551404694193727823453
Europe Elects [95] 31 Mar 2020EU27705571355192188728321653
Europe Elects [96] 29 Feb 2020EU27705561335599184688521651
Europe Elects [97] 31 Jan 2020EU277055513053101182708523652
31 Jan 2020The United Kingdom leaves the European Union. [98]
Europe Elects [99] 31 Dec 2019EU277055413152102182708625351
Europe Elects [100] 31 Dec 2019EU2875153153521031771038225324
Europe Elects [101] 30 Nov 2019EU287514915761107176958025119
Europe Elects [101] 31 Aug 2019EU287514615162115175927830224
Europe Elects [101] 30 Sep 2019EU287514815163118170877932319
Europe Elects [101] 31 Aug 2019EU287514715464116166898032312
Europe Elects [101] 31 Jul 2019EU287514815365117168857933315
Europe Elects [101] 30 Jun 2019EU287514614574119167648054222
Redistribution of seats after Brexit1 Feb 2020 EU27 70540148689718762762739
2019 European Parliament election26 May 2019 EU28 751411547410818262735728

The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.

OrganisationRelease
date
Area The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI OthersLead
23 May 2024The AfD is expelled from Identity and Democracy. [13]
EM Analytics [8] 30 Apr 2024EU277.3%18.9%7.5%10.0%21.7%10.9%12.0%6.8%5.0%2.8%
Europe Elects for Euractiv [102] 28 Apr 2024EU276.3%18.3%7.7%9.9%22.9%11.8%11.2%6.6%5.2%4.6%
EM Analytics [103] 22 Apr 2024EU277.0%18.5%7.9%10.3%22.0%11.1%12.1%6.7%4.6%3.5%
Europe Elects for Euractiv [104] 16 Apr 2024EU275.9%18.0%7.6%10.4%24.3%11.0%10.9%6.5%5.4%6.3%
Europe Elects for Euractiv [105] 28 Mar 2024EU277.7%18.4%8.1%10.6%23.0%11.2%11.2%6.0%3.8%4.6%
Europe Elects for Euractiv [106] 18 Mar 2024EU274.8%18.5%8.1%10.4%22.2%11.1%11.6%7.3%6.1%3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv [107] 1 Mar 2024EU275.5%18.9%7.3%9.5%22.6%11.6%11.7%7.4%5.2%3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv [108] 19 Feb 2024EU276.7%18.5%7.3%9.7%22.9%11.3%11.4%7.1%5.0%4.4%
Europe Elects for Euractiv [109] 1 Feb 2024EU276.8%18.4%6.9%9.5%22.6%11.3%12.3%5.9%6.2%4.2%
Europe Elects for Euractiv [110] 15 Jan 2024EU275.9%18.3%6.8%10.3%23.5%10.9%12.5%6.1%5.5%5.2%
Europe Elects [111] 30 Dec 2023EU275.5%17.9%7.0%10.4%22.8%11.1%12.1%6.2%6.9%4.9%
Europe Elects [112] 30 Nov 2023EU275.7%18.4%7.2%10.7%22.4%11.0%11.7%6.1%6.7%4.0%
Europe Elects [113] 31 Oct 2023EU275.9%18.5%7.5%10.5%22.4%11.3%11.3%6.1%6.5%3.9%
Europe Elects [114] 30 Sep 2023EU276.9%19.1%7.0%9.9%21.3%11.8%10.8%6.0%7.0%2.2%
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2023EU276.1%19.5%7.1%10.2%21.6%11.8%10.5%6.0%7.0%2.1%
Europe Elects [115] 31 Jul 2023EU277.2%19.5%6.9%10.5%20.6%11.5%10.6%6.4%6.7%1.1%
Europe Elects [116] 28 Jun 2023EU276.9%18.7%7.0%10.4%21.4%11.7%10.5%6.3%7.1%2.7%
Europe Elects [117] 31 May 2023EU277.5%18.8%6.9%10.8%20.7%11.7%9.6%6.1%7.6%1.9%
Europe Elects [118] 30 Apr 2023EU277.8%18.2%7.0%10.4%21.4%11.6%9.6%6.0%7.8%3.2%
Europe Elects [119] 31 Mar 2023EU277.3%19.0%7.3%11.1%21.6%11.4%9.0%6.0%7.1%2.6%
Europe Elects [120] 28 Feb 2023EU277.1%18.7%7.3%11.1%21.7%11.5%9.2%6.0%7.2%3.0%
Europe Elects [121] 31 Jan 2023EU277.4%18.5%7.4%11.3%21.5%11.5%9.0%6.1%6.8%3.0%
Europe Elects [122] 31 Dec 2022EU277.1%18.7%7.6%11.5%21.1%11.6%8.9%5.4%7.9%2.4%
Europe Elects [61] 7 Dec 2022EU277.2%18.8%8.1%11.7%21.2%11.2%8.9%5.5%7.2%2.4%
Europe Elects [62] 1 Nov 2022EU278.0%18.3%8.1%12.0%21.6%11.3%8.7%5.7%6.1%3.3%
Europe Elects [68] 8 Jan 2022EU276.7%20.6%7.2%11.9%20.7%10.3%8.8%5.0%8.8%0.1%
Europe Elects [70] 7 Dec 2021EU277.0%20.4%7.4%13.6%17.9%10.3%10.4%4.8%6.9%1.2%
Europe Elects [72] 4 Nov 2021EU276.9%20.7%7.2%13.0%19.5%10.7%10.2%5.3%6.5%1.2%
Europe Elects [73] 8 Oct 2021EU277.3%20.3%7.2%12.0%20.3%10.5%10.3%5.3%6.8%Tie
Europe Elects [76] 9 Jul 2021EU277.2%17.9%8.0%11.8%21.2%10.3%10.6%5.0%8.0%3.3%
Europe Elects [77] 5 Jun 2021EU277.8%18.0%9.1%11.4%20.6%10.5%10.4%5.0%7.1%2.6%
Europe Elects [94] 2 May 2021EU277.9%18.3%8.5%11.3%20.3%10.5%10.6%5.1%7.4%2.0%
Europe Elects [95] 2 Apr 2021EU278.0%18.7%8.2%11.2%21.6%10.2%10.8%4.9%6.3%2.9%
3 Mar 2021 Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group. [82]
Europe Elects [84] 2 Mar 2021EU277.9%18.9%7.5%11.1%23.1%10.3%10.8%3.8%6.6%4.2%
Europe Elects [84] 2 Feb 2021EU278.2%18.6%7.5%10.9%24.4%10.1%10.5%3.8%6.0%5.8%
Europe Elects [84] 31 Dec 2020EU278.4%18.9%7.5%10.9%24.1%10.2%10.5%3.6%5.9%5.2%
Europe Elects [86] 2 Dec 2020EU278.2%18.5%7.7%10.9%24.8%9.5%10.5%3.8%6.0%6.3%
Europe Elects [87] 31 Oct 2020EU277.6%18.4%7.7%10.8%25.0%9.9%10.6%4.0%6.1%6.6%
Europe Elects [89] 4 Oct 2020EU277.9%17.9%7.8%11.4%24.4%9.7%11.0%4.1%5.7%6.5%
Europe Elects [90] 31 Aug 2020EU278.1%18.3%7.4%11.5%25.0%9.6%10.9%4.1%5.2%6.7%
Europe Elects [91] 14 Aug 2020EU278.0%18.0%7.2%11.5%25.3%9.4%10.8%3.8%6.0%7.3%
Europe Elects [92] 24 Jul 2020EU278.3%17.9%7.4%11.6%25.7%9.5%10.9%4.1%4.6%7.8%
Europe Elects [93] 28 May 2020EU278.2%18.0%7.2%11.3%25.2%9.6%11.1%4.0%5.4%7.2%
Europe Elects [94] 30 Apr 2020EU278.2%18.5%7.2%10.9%25.3%9.8%11.4%3.9%4.7%6.8%
Europe Elects [95] 31 Mar 2020EU278.5%18.2%8.0%10.7%24.1%10.0%11.8%3.8%4.9%5.9%
Europe Elects [96] 29 Feb 2020EU279.1%18.0%8.4%10.9%22.7%9.7%12.5%3.8%4.9%4.7%
Europe Elects [97] 31 Jan 2020EU278.0%18.6%8.4%12.4%20.5%12.1%12.1%4.0%3.9%1.9%
31 Jan 2020The United Kingdom leaves the European Union. [98]
Europe Elects [101] 31 Dec 2019EU288.1%18.8%8.2%11.8%20.9%12.4%11.9%4.2%3.7%2.1%
Europe Elects [101] 30 Nov 2019EU288.0%18.4%8.4%12.3%20.3%12.0%12.0%4.0%3.8%1.9%
Europe Elects [101] 31 Oct 2019EU286.5%17.8%8.3%13.1%20.3%10.0%11.3%4.8%7.9%2.5%
Europe Elects [101] 30 Sep 2019EU286.6%19.5%8.3%12.3%19.6%9.7%11.3%4.8%7.9%0.1%
Europe Elects [101] 31 Aug 2019EU286.9%19.0%8.7%12.9%20.0%9.6%11.4%5.6%5.9%1.0%
Europe Elects [101] 31 Jul 2019EU286.6%19.0%9.4%12.8%19.3%9.3%11.5%5.3%6.7%0.3%
Europe Elects [101] 30 Jun 2019EU286.9%18.9%10.3%13.3%19.1%9.8%11.4%5.1%5.2%0.2%
2019 European Parliament election [123] 26 May 2019 EU27 7.0%18.9%11.2%12.3%22.6%8.1%11.5%4.3%4.1%3.7%
2019 European Parliament election [101] EU28 6.5%18.5%11.7%13.0%21.0%8.2%10.8%4.8%5.5%2.5%

National opinion polling

Austria

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample size ÖVP
EPP
SPÖ
S&D
FPÖ
ID
Grüne
G/EFA
NEOS
Renew
KPÖ
Left
DNA
NI
OthersLead
IFDD 22–24 May20241,08022
5
23
5
28
6
10
2
12
2
3
0
2
0
5
Lazarsfeld Society 17–21 May20241,00022
4
24
5
27
6
9
2
15
3
2
0
1
0
3
Spectra 13–20 May20241,00022
5
23
5
26
5
11
2
13
3
3
0
2
0
3
IFDD 15–17 May20241,00023
5
22
5
27
6
11
2
12
2
4
0
1
0
4
Peter Hajek 13–17 May20241,20023
5
23
5
30
6
10
2
10
2
3
0
1
0
7
OGM 7–8 May20241,00722
5
22
5
26
5
13
2
14
3
2
0
1
0
4
Lazarsfeld Society 6–8 May20242,00021
4
21
4
26
6
14
3
15
3
2
0
1
0
5
Triple-M 3–7 May202480019
4
23
5
27
6
14
3
11
2
4
0
2
0
4
Market 22–25 Apr202484220
4
24
5
27
6
12
2
13
3
3
0
1
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 22–24 Apr20242,00021
4
23
5
27
6
12
2
13
3
3
0
1
0
4
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar20241,00021.0
4
22.0
5
28.2
6
13.0
3
11.8
2
2.1
0
1.9
0
6.2
Lazarsfeld Society 26–28 Feb20241,00020
4
22
5
26
5
14
3
16
3
2
0
4
Market 5–7 Feb202480024
5
23
5
27
6
11
2
12
2
2
0
1
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 29–31 Jan20241,00024
5
20
4
27
6
13
2
14
3
2
0
3
OGM 22–31 Jan20242,07622
5
21
4
26
6
14
3
12
2
2
0
3
0
4
IFDD 25–28 Jan20241,00021
4
24
5
27
6
14
3
9
2
3
0
2
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 11–13 Dec20231,00022
5
22
5
30
6
13
2
9
2
2
0
2
0
8
Peter Hajek 22–29 Nov20231,60023
5
24
5
30
7
12
2
7
1
3
0
1
0
6
IFDD 1–4 Oct202383725
5/6
25
5/6
25
5/6
14
3
8
1
3
0
Tie
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 201937.5
8
21.2
5
16.2
3
13.9
3
8.1
1
0.7
0
2.5
0
16.3
2019 European election 26 May 201934.6
7
23.9
5
17.2
3
14.1
3
8.4
1
0.8
0
1.0
0
9.7

Projected turnout:

According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.

Belgium

Dutch-speaking

Date(s) conductedPolling firmPublisherSample size NVA
ECR
VB
ID
Open Vld
Renew
cd&v
EPP
Groen
G/EFA
Vooruit
S&D
PVDA
Left
OthersLead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos Euronews [124] 1,50018.7%
3
23.5%
3
12.7%
2
11.5%
1
9.7%
1
13.8%
2
9.3%
1
0.8%
0
4.8%
26 May 2019 European election 22.4%
3
19.1%
3
15.9%
2
14.5%
2
12.4%
1
10.2%
1
4.9%
0
0.5%
0
3.3%

French-speaking

Date(s) conductedPolling firmPublisherSample size PS
S&D
Ecolo
G/EFA
MR
Renew
PTB
Left
LE
EPP
DéFI
NI
OthersLead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos Euronews [124] 1,50026.7%
2
12.8%
1
22.8%
2
19.2%
2
11.0%
1
2.8%
0
4.7%
0
3.9%
26 May 2019 European election 26.7%
2
19.9%
2
19.3%
2
14.6%
1
8.9%
1
5.9%
0
4.7%
0
6.8%

Bulgaria

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample GERB—SDS
EPP
BSPzB
S&D
DPS
Renew
VMRO
ECR
PP–DB
Renew-EPP [lower-alpha 3]
Revival
NI
ITN
ECR [lower-alpha 4]
Blue Bulgaria
ECR
Others NOTA Lead
TREND 11–18 May 2024100325.9
5
8.1
2
14.6
3
1.2
0
16.1
4
15.1
3
5.5
0
1.8
0
12.4 [lower-alpha 5] 5.39.8
Sova Harris 8–13 May 2024100028.3
6
10.3
2
13.3
3
15.8
3
15
3
5.2
0
11.512.5
MarketLinks 29 April–9 May 202429.4
6
9.3
2
13.1
3
20.6
4
12.3
2
2.7
0
1.7
0
6.4 [lower-alpha 6] 4.28.8
Alpha Research 28 April–5 May 2024100025.1
5
8.0
2
14.4
3
18.5
4
14.8
3
4.8
0
2.4
0
12.0 [lower-alpha 7] 6.6
Gallup 22 April–2 May 202480826.4
5
8.2
2
14.9
3
1.3
0
17.5
4
14.7
3
4.5
0
1.4
0
11.1 [lower-alpha 8] 8.9
TREND 12–19 April 2024100227.2
5
9.4
2
15.4
3
17.2
4
15.3
3
5.1
0
10.1 [lower-alpha 9] 10.1
Gallup 28 March-5 April 202480528.7
5
10.1
2
15.3
3
18.2
4
15.1
3
5.5
0
9.86.2
IPSOS N/AN/A27.1
5
8.8
2
13.0
2
20.9
4
15.1
3
6.1
1
8.9 [lower-alpha 10] 6.2
Alpha Research 1-7 March 2024100027.0
5
10.6
2
10.0
2
23.8
5
15.8
3
5.9
0
6.93.2
Market Links 24 February-3 March 2024105826.4
5
9.7
2
14.0
3
22.7
4
13.5
3
3.8
0
6.13.93.7
2019 election 26 May 201930.4
6
23.5
5
16.1
3
7.1
2
5.9 [lower-alpha 11]
1
1.0
0
2.64.16.9

Croatia

Publication
date
Polling firmSample
size
HDZ
EPP
SDP
S&D
Most
ECR
PiP
NI
IDS
RE
DP
ID
M!
G/EFA
OthersUndecidedLead
25 May 2024 Ipsos 99028.5
5
17.8
3
5.4
1
1.8
0
3.8
0
7.4
1
9.9
2
12.2 [lower-alpha 12]
0
14.96.4
04 May 2024 Promocija plus 100030.6
5
24.2
4
5.4
1
2.5
0
2.3
0
6.7
1
7.5
1
--6.4
17 Apr 2024 2024 parliamentary election 34.425.48.0 [lower-alpha 13] 2.39.69.111.2-9.0
26 May 2019 2019 European election 27.122.117.613.611.91.85.8-5.0

Cyprus

DatePolling firm DISY
EPP
AKEL
Left
ELAM
ECR
DIKO
S&D
EDEK
S&D
DIPA
Renew
KOSP
G/EFA
APC
Left
EP
NI
VOLT
G/EFA
Fidias
NI
OthersLead
20-25 May 2024 RAI Consultants 27.325.212.59.34.42.72.10.92.14.58.70.32.1
20-24 May 2024 Symmetron 28.627.113.411.44.14.82.9--3.32.81.61.5
16-22 May 2024 Pulse Market Research 25.823.513.612.14.53.03.0--5.36.13.02.3
9-14 May 2024 Analytica Market Research 24.324.914.511.96.03.53.7-3.33.9-4.00.6
10-22 Apr 2024 CMRC 29.027.515.212.33.61.43.62.9-3.6-0.71.5
08-19 Apr 2024 CYMAR Market Research Ltd 28.125.015.612.56.31.61.6--3.1-6.33.1
14–23 Mar 2024 SIGMA 28.128.115.113.74.12.72.7--2.7-2.70
20–26 Feb 2024 Pulse Market Research 31.325.814.712.95.50.53.7----5.55.5
12–16 Feb 2024 SIGMA 29.027.514.511.64.34.32.91.4-1.4-2.91.5
11 Feb 2024 Symmetron 30.72913.710.93.83.83.4--3-1.61.7
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 Interview 31.731.8159.02.42.26.8----1.10.1
22–26 Jan 2024 L.S.Prime 26.426.413.811.14.24.22.8----11.10
03–11 Jan 2024 IMR 25.727.817.49.73.23.34.9--1.8-3.52.1
30 May Election 2021 27.8%22.3%6.8%11.3%6.7%6.1%4.4%1.0%3.3%-10.3%5.5
26 May Election 2019 29.0%27.5%8.2%13.8%10.6%3.8%-0.8%--3.0%1.5

Czech Republic

Polling firmFieldwork
date
Sample
size
SPOLU
ECREPP
ANO
Renew
Piráti
G/EFA
STAN
EPP
SPD
Trikolóra
ID
Stačilo!
Left
SOCDEM
S&D
Svobodní
NI
PaM
NI
Zelení
EGP
PRO
NI
OthersLead
Phoenix Research 1–13 May 20241,01817.5
5
27.4
7
9.9
2
11.5
3
6.2
1
7.0
2
5.0
1
1.3
0
2.2
0
4.2
0
7.8
1
9.9
SANEP 2–7 May 20241,80019.8
5
26.7
7
10.6
3
9.9
2
10.1
3
5.9
1
3.7
0
2.9
0
4.8
0
0.5
0
3.2
0
1.9
0
6.9
STEM/Mark 28 Mar–8 April 20241,00920.0
5
27.5
7
10.1
2
10.4
3
10.4
2
6.7
1
3.4
0
2.5
0
6.0
1
0.9
0
1.9
0
7.5
Data Collect 25 Mar 202420.927.310.89.310.97.12.91.52.52.51.92.46.4
IPSOS 23 Feb–5 Mar 20241,51721.626.311.313.47.96.12.72.84.94.7
IPSOS Dec 2023TBA25.226.310.012.07.76.012.81.1
STEM/MARK 23–28 Nov 20231,01015.033.811.47.314.75.43.62.96.018.8
2021 parliamentary election 8–9 Oct 202127.827.115.69.63.64.72.8 [lower-alpha 14] 4.71.00.90.7
2019 European election 24–25 May 201921.8 [lower-alpha 15] 21.214.011.7 [lower-alpha 16] 9.16.94.00.710.60.6

Denmark

Polling executionPartiesAlliances
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

V
Renew
A
S&D
F
G/EFA
O
ID
B
Renew
C
EPP
Ø
Left
Å
G/EFA
I
EPP
M
Renew
Æ
ECR
OthersAFÅBMVCI
Megafon 21–24 May 2024?23301110211643
Megafon 13–17 May 20241,02023301110211643
Epinion 8–14 May 20242,02512.5
2
21.4
4
13.1
2
7.4
1
5.4
1
7.1
1
6.8
1
1.7
0
9.9
2
4.0
0
10.4
1
36.2
6
21.9
3
17.0
3
Verian 8–14 May 20241,56513.6
2
18.6
3
14.0
3
9.6
1
4.7
1
6.8
1
6.2
1
1.2
0
12.2
2
3.9
0
9.1
1
33.8
6
22.2
3
19.0
3
Epinion 23–29 Apr 20241,93811.2
2
20.1
4
14.6
2
6.5
1
7.0
1
6.8
1
6.9
1
2.3
0
12.0
2
4.5
0
8.1
1
37.0
6
22.7
3
18.8
3
Epinion 6–13 Mar 20241,07412
2
24
4
14
2
7
1
5
1
5
1
7
1
3
0
9
1
7
1
7
1
41
6
24
4
14
2
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 20241,00010.5
2
21.0
4
12.0
2
5.0
0
6.0
1
6.0
1
8.0
1
2.0
0
13.0
2
7.0
1
8.5
1
35.0
6
23.5
4
19.0
3
Epinion 24–31 Jan 20241,05111
2
22
4
12
2
7
1
6
1
6
1
7
1
1
0
10
1
7
1
9
1
35
6
24
4
16
2
2022 general election 13.3
(3)
27.5
(6)
8.3
(1)
2.6
(0)
3.8
(0)
5.5
(1)
5.1
(0)
3.3
(0)
7.9
(1)
9.3
(2)
8.1
(1)
5.2
(0)
39.1
(7)
26.4
(4)
13.4
(2)
2021 municipal elections 21.2
(4)
28.4
(5)
7.6
(1)
4.1
(0)
5.6
(1)
15.2
(3)
7.3
(1)
0.7
(0)
1.4
(0)
8.5
(0)
36.7
(6)
26.8
(5)
16.6
(3)
2019 general election 23.4
(5)
25.9
(6)
7.7
(1)
8.7
(1)
8.6
(0)
6.6
(1)
6.9
(1)
3.0
(0)
2.3
(0)
6.9
(0)
36.6
(7)
32.0
(5)
9.0
(1)
2019 EP election 23.5
(4)
21.5
3
13.2
2
10.8
1
10.1
2
6.2
1
5.5
1
3.4
0
2.2
0
3.7
0

Estonia

Polling executionPartiesLead
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Flag of the Estonian Reform Party.svg Reform Renew Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond Logo 2017.svg
SDE

S&D

Eesti Keskerakond Teillogo.svg
Centre

Renew

EKRE logo.png
EKRE ID
Isamaa logo.svg
Isamaa EPP
Eesti 200 Logo.svg

E200

EER G/EFA Parempoolsed logo (cropped).png

Parem

Koos

OthersPartyEP group
Norstat 8–20 May 20241,47119.1
1
19.3
2
11.5
1
14.2
1
21.3
2
3.8
0
0.9
0
4.3
0
2.9
0
2.7
0
2.04.6
Kantar Emor 6–15 May 20241,47117.2
2
23.6
2
11.0
1
13.6
1
14.0
1
4.1
0
0.9
0
7.2
0
3.1
0
5.4
0
6.49.3
Norstat 29 Apr–6 May 20241,48419.3
2
21.4
2
9.4
1
17.9
1
17.1
1
3.9
0
0.9
0
4.5
0
3.0
0
2.7
0
2.17.3
Kantar Emor 8-17 Apr 20241,48418.8
2
20
2
13.8
1
13.8
1
16.8
1
4.7
0
1.5
0
6
0
4.5
0
1.212.6
Norstat 11-15 Apr 20243,50020.1
2
22.0
2
11.0
1
17.2
1
17.6
1
5.0
0
1.2
0
4.7
0
1.2
0
1.99.1
Kantar Emor 14-20 Mar 20241,13518.9
2
21.4
2
13.9
1
15.4
1
16.7
1
5.6
0
[lower-alpha 17] 5.9
0
2.1
0
2.511.4
2023 parliamentary election 31.2
3
9.3
1
15.3
1
16.1
1
8.2
0
13.3
1
1.0
0
2.3
0
3.3
0
15.130.4
2019 EP election 26.2
2
23.3
2
14.4
1
12.7
1
10.3
1
3.2
0
1.8
0
8.0
0
2.917.3

Finland

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
KOK
EPP
VIHR
G/EFA
SDP
S&D
PS
ECR
KESK
Renew
VAS
Left
SFP
Renew
KD
EPP
LIIK
NI
OthersLead
Taloustutkimus [128] 23–29 Apr 20242,11821.7
4
10.5
2
19.7
3
14.1
2
13.6
2
10.5
2
4.0
0
2.9
0
1.0
0
2.1
0
2.0
Verian [129] 18–25 Mar 20241,37222
4
11
2
17
3
14
2
12
2
9
1
5
0
6
1
4
0
5
Ipsos [130] 23 Feb–5 Mar 20241,00022.5
4
9.0
1
20.0
4
19.0
3
10.5
2
8.5
1
3.5
0
3.5
0
3.5
0
2.5
2023 parliamentary election 20.87.019.920.111.37.14.34.22.42.90.7
2019 EP election 20.8
3
16.0
3
14.6
2
13.8
2
13.5
2
6.9
1
6.3
1
4.9
0
3.1
0
4.8

France

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
LO
NI
NPA
Left
PCF
Left
LFI
Left
ND
S&D
PSPP
S&D
EELV
G/EFA
GE
NI
PRG
G/EFA [lower-alpha 18]
PS
diss.
UDMF
NI
EAC
G/EFA
ÉPT
Renew
PP
G/EFA
PA
Left
Ens.
Renew
AR NE
EPP
LR
EPP
DLF
ECR
UPR
NI
LPVIA
ECR
RN
ID
REC
ECR
OthersLead
FNC  [ fr ]
NI
R!
NI
Harris Interactive 27–29 May20242,0160.50.5380.5145.50.5<0.50.50.5<0.5114.5171132.554 [lower-alpha 19] 17.5
Ifop 25–29 May20241,8090.5<0.537<0.5146.50.50.50.5<0.5116171133.56.51.518.5
Harris Interactive 27–28 May20242,0160.50.538.50.51450.5<0.50.50.5<0.511517.5113254 [lower-alpha 20] 17.5
Ifop 24–28 May20241,8090.5<0.52.57.5<0.51460.50.50.5<0.5115.517113461.518.5
Harris Interactive 24–27 May20242,0160.50.538.50.51450.5<0.50.50.5<0.5114.517113254 [lower-alpha 21] 17.5
Ifop 23–27 May20241,3620.50.527.5<0.514.55.50.50.50.50.511617.50.5133.56117.5
Elabe 24–25 May20241,6881<0.528<0.5136<0.5<0.510.50.5215.51.5710.5335.52 [lower-alpha 22] 17.5
Odoxa 23–24 May2024991212.57<0.513.560.50.51.515170.51.53440.516.5
Ifop 21–24 May20241,3620.50.527.5<0.514.55<0.5<0.50.50.51.51617.50.51.5336.51.517
OpinionWay 21–24 May20242,0242227<1135<1<1<1<1<1115<18<113275 [lower-alpha 23] 17
Ifop 20–23 May20241,35610.527<0.5155<0.5<0.50.50.521617.50.513361.517
Cluster17 21–22 May20241,04310.5280.514510.50.52161.56.51.51.5296313
OpinionWay 21–22 May20241,06712271351161811327316
Ifop 20–22 May20241,34410.527.50.5155.5<0.5<0.50.50.51.51617.51132.560.516.5
Vivavoice 20–21 May20241,0590.50.516.5<0.5147<0.50.511.5171.56.511326215
Ifop 19–21 May20241,3441<0.527.50.5155.50.5<0.50.50.51.516.517.5113260.515.5
Elabe 15–17 May20241,39810.51.57.5<0.5137.50.51115.517.511325.5316.5
Ifop 15–17 May20241,3340.50.52.57114.55.50.50.510.51.516.518<0.5<0.5326115.5
Harris Interactive 15–17 May20242,0140.50.52.580.514.550.50.50.511517.51131.55.53.516.5
BVA 15–16 May20241,5001.512.58<0.5136.5<0.512171<0.5 [lower-alpha 24] 61 [lower-alpha 25] 1<0.5316114
OpinionWay 14–16 May20242,0251<127<1146<111162711318215
Ifop 13–16 May20241,3380.50.52.57114.55.5<0.50.51216.51.580.50.5325.50.515.5
OpinionWay 14–15 May20241,0061<128<1146<1<111627<11318315
Cluster17 13–15 May20241,2850.50.52.581145.50.510.51.515.51.561.51.529.562.514
Ifop 11–15 May20241,3480.50.52.57.50.5145.50.50.5216.51.580.5132.55.50.516
YouGov 6–15 May20241,0281<1261135<1 [lower-alpha 26] 21172<1 [lower-alpha 24] 622326215
Ipsos 13–14 May20241,5300.50.528<0.514.56.50.51.51161.57113161.515
Ifop 10–14 May20241,3480.5<0.52.57.5<0.5146<0.50.51.5171.581132.560.515.5
Harris Interactive 10–13 May20242,2940.50.5380.5145.50.510.5115271131.552.516.5
Ifop 9–13 May20241,3480.50.52.58<0.5146<0.50.511717.51132.56115.5
Ifop 6–10 May20241,3250.50.52.58.50.513.56.50.511171.57.511326.50.515
Cluster17 6–9 May20241,2080.50.528.50.51360.510.5215.51.56.51.51.529.56314
Ifop 5–9 May20241,3250.50.52.58.50.5136.50.511171.57.51131.56.50.514.5
OpinionWay 6–7 May20241,0291<136<1146<111172611308313
Ifop 3–7 May20241,3250.50.52.58.50.5136.50.51116.51.581131.560.515
OpinionWay 5–6 May20241,0261<137<1147<11<1161711317315
Ifop 2–6 May20241,3250.50.5380.5136.50.511.516180.513260.516
Elabe 30 Apr3 May20241,37510.528.50.5128<0.51.5116.51<0.56.50.513252.515.5
Harris Interactive 30 Apr3 May20242,0430.50.52.58.50.5145.50.510.51152<0.5711315.52.516
Ifop 30 Apr3 May20241,3450.50.537.50.513.56.5<0.51216.51<0.57.50.5131.56.50.515
OpinionWay 29–30 Apr20241,075<126<1147<111172<1712317314
Ifop 29 Apr2 May20241,375<0.50.537.50.513.57<0.511.516.51.5<0.57.511316.50.514.5
Cluster17 29 Apr1 May20241,33710.52.580.51360.50.50.5215.51.50.561229.55.5214
OpinionWay 29–30 Apr20241,009147<11470.510.51710.5711298112
Ifop 26–30 Apr20241,360<0.50.5370.51470.511161.50.57.50.5131.56.50.515.5
Harris Interactive 24–26 Apr20242,3190.50.529<0.51360.50.50.51162<0.5711316215
Ifop 25–29 Apr20241,345<0.50.52.57<0.514.57.50.511.5161.50.580.50.531.560.515.5
Odoxa 25–26 Apr20241,0051.512.57<0.51270.51.51.515.51.5<0.5811.5325.50.516.5
BVA 25–26 Apr20241,434111.56.5138<0.51.53171<0.561 [lower-alpha 25] 11315.5114
Ifop 23–26 Apr20241,3450.50.527.5<0.51480.511.516.510.580.50.531.55.50.515
OpinionWay 24–25 Apr20241,011136<1146<111181<1712298311
Cluster17 23–25 Apr20241,1640.50.538112.56.510.5121620.5611.529.56213.5
Ifop 22–25 Apr20241,3500.50.52.57.50.5138<0.51.5117.510.580.5<0.5315.5113.5
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr20241,007138<1137<112182<1611306112
Ifop 20–24 Apr20241,3350.50.52.570.512.57.5<0.51.51.517.51.50.58.5<0.50.5315.5113.5
Ipsos 19–24 Apr202410,6510.512.570.5146.50.511171<0.56.511325.51.515
Ifop 19–23 Apr20241,3350.50.52.570.5127.50.521.51710.580.50.531.55.5114.5
Harris Interactive 19–22 Apr20242,3190.50.538<0.51360.50.50.511620.57113161.515
Ifop 18–22 Apr20241,3390.50.5270.5127.50.52217118<0.5131.55.50.514.5
Ifop 16–19 Apr20241,3710.50.5280.511.57.50.51.5217.510.58<0.5131.55.50.514
OpinionWay 17–18 Apr20241,021<137<1137<121191<1711297210
Ifop 15–18 Apr20241,37610.52.58<0.511.57.50.51.51.517.50.50.58<0.51325.50.514.5
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr20241,002148<1126<111192<1711296210
Ifop 13–17 Apr20241,3640.50.52.57.50.511.57.5<0.521.517.50.50.58<0.5132.55.50.515
Ifop 12–16 Apr20241,3490.5<0.537<0.5127.5<0.51.51.51810.58<0.50.532.560.514.5
Harris Interactive 12–15 Apr20242,0050.50.538<0.51460.50.50.511620.570.513062.514
Ifop 11–15 Apr20241,3260.5<0.537.5<0.5127<0.511.51810.58<0.5132.560.514.5
Ifop 9–12 Apr20241,3470.50.538<0.512.56.50.511181<0.58.50.50.531.560.513.5
Ipsos 10–11 Apr20241,50010.5370.51370.511.5160.50.26.511326.51.516
Cluster17 9–11 Apr20241,1640.50.52.58.5112610.511.51710.561.51.5296212
Ifop 8–11 Apr20241,3550.50.5380.512.560.511.5180.5<0.58.50.50.5316.50.513
Ifop 6–10 Apr20241,3430.50.52.580.5125.50.51.5118.51<0.58.50.50.531.56.50.513
Ifop 5–9 Apr20241,33510.537.5<0.5125.50.51.5118.50.5<0.580.51326.50.513.5
YouGov 3–9 Apr20241,0282251261 [lower-alpha 26] 1119<172 [lower-alpha 25] 299210
Harris Interactive 5–8 Apr20242,0181391260.51111710.570.50.53063.513
Ifop 4–8 Apr20241,34310.537.50.5116.5<0.51219<0.5<0.57.50.51326113
OpinionWay 3–5 Apr20241,509127127<1 [lower-alpha 26] 12192<181297210
Elabe 2–4 Apr20241,5041.52.57.5128.50.52116.51<0.570.50.5305.53.513.5
Harris Interactive 28–29 Mar20242,2201381360.50.50.511710.570.513162.514
BVA 27–28 Mar20241,51810.52.57116<0.50.5<0.51201<0.583 [lower-alpha 25] 11305.5110
Harris Interactive 22–25 Mar20242,0271371270.50.50.511810.5720.50.5306212
Ifop 19–20 Mar20241,1120.5361170.51.51.52110.5720.50.53060.59
Harris Interactive 15–18 Mar20242,1241281370.50.510.511810.5720.50.5306112
OpinionWay 13–14 Mar20241,0081261181 [lower-alpha 26] 11201<183127637
Cluster17 8–9 Mar20241,0160.5381080.51.511720.5731296212
Elabe 5–7 Mar20241,504237.58.59.5<0.51.51.5171730.529.54.5312.5
YouGov 26 Feb7 Mar20241,008126107<1 [lower-alpha 26] 1220163335313
Ipsos 1–6 Mar202411,70013.5711.58.50.51.5180.572.50.50.53151.513
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar20242,0003.0712.28.118.17.62.530.75.55.412.6
Ifop 29 Feb1 Mar20241,34813.58981 [lower-alpha 26] 1219<0.51.5<0.581.50.5<0.5296110
BVA 27–28 Feb20241,344237117<0.51.5<0.51.518 [lower-alpha 27] 0.50.5<0.5820.50.5306112
Odoxa 21–22 Feb20241,0051.51.56118.5<0.519 [lower-alpha 28] 18.54307211
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb20247440.53.19.99.95.62.8 [lower-alpha 26] 2.61.414.5 [lower-alpha 29] 1.34.73.131.56.53.216.0
OpinionWay 14–15 Feb20241,009<1371082 [lower-alpha 26] 1<1191<182127838
Elabe 7–9 Feb20241,4261.52.5999.5<0.52216.51830.527.55311
Ifop 7–8 Feb20241,3561.53.579.581.5 [lower-alpha 26] 1.51.519 [lower-alpha 28] 0.50.5<0.5710.50.5296.51.510
137.510.58.51 [lower-alpha 26] 1119 [lower-alpha 29] 11<0.57.51.51<0.528.561.59.5
13.5810.581.5 [lower-alpha 26] 1.51.518 [lower-alpha 27] 0.50.5<0.57.51.50.50.52861.510
YouGov 29 Jan7 Feb20241,001128881 [lower-alpha 26] 1119 [lower-alpha 30] 162328313
Portland 24–31 Jan202446923699114183336519
OpinionWay 17–18 Jan20241,0191481062 [lower-alpha 26] 1120<1<18227737
Ifop 16–17 Jan20241,3480.547.59.571.5 [lower-alpha 26] 1.5119 [lower-alpha 30] <0.50.5<0.56.52<0.50.5317112
Harris Interactive 12–15 Jan20241,21713711812119 [lower-alpha 30] 182.52861.59
Ifop 12–15 Jan2024875146.599120 [lower-alpha 30] 17.53306210
YouGov 8–15 Jan20241,00422278920 [lower-alpha 31] 64307310
Cluster17 13–14 Jan20241,209137.51180.51.5118 [lower-alpha 30] 17328.57210.5
Elabe 10–12 Jan20241,4001.537.59.58.50.51.5118 [lower-alpha 31] 18.52.50.528.55310.5
Ifop 3–5 Jan20241,0900.5361093 [lower-alpha 26] 2.51.517 [lower-alpha 31] 0.50.50.5820.50.5286.50.511
Odoxa 13–14 Dec20231,0042.536.5960.521 [lower-alpha 31] 0.592316310
OpinionWay 13–14 Dec20231361082 [lower-alpha 26] <1119<1<19327838
Ipsos 29 Nov12 Dec202311,6911.537.510.59.50.520 [lower-alpha 31] 0.582.5286.528
Ifop 8–11 Dec20231,0621.54.571081.518 [lower-alpha 31] 17.52.5307.5112
OpinionWay 15–16 Nov2023237983 [lower-alpha 26] <1119<18228739
Ipsos 9–10 Nov20231,412228.5101022 [lower-alpha 32] 622962.57
228.510.510.520 [lower-alpha 31] 6.5229639
Ifop 12–13 Oct20231,51515998220 [lower-alpha 31] 8228628
159991.520 [lower-alpha 33] 8.52.528518
Ifop 30–31 Aug20231,126151098221 [lower-alpha 31] 83256.51.54
2612 [lower-alpha 34] 10223 [lower-alpha 31] 9325722
159 [lower-alpha 35] 1081.521 [lower-alpha 31] 93256.514
Cluster17 16–19 Aug20231,7131.5322.52.552.520.5 [lower-alpha 31] 732372.50.5
1.520.57.52.532.520 [lower-alpha 31] 7323.5723
1.525 [lower-alpha 36] 2.542.520 [lower-alpha 31] 7.5424721
125 [lower-alpha 37] 34320 [lower-alpha 31] 7.53.52471.51
223 [lower-alpha 38] 34.5321 [lower-alpha 31] 7.5324721
225 [lower-alpha 39] 2.54.52.520 [lower-alpha 31] 742471.51
Ifop 4–5 Jul20231,0081489920 [lower-alpha 31] 11426716
Ipsos 16–26 Jun202310,6311.548.5101021 [lower-alpha 31] 92.5246.533
22424 [lower-alpha 31] 10325751
1.559.51523 [lower-alpha 31] 92.5256.532
Elabe 19–21 Jun20231,3971.528.59.51122.58.52.5265.52.53.5
1.524.52692.5275.541
Cluster17 17–19 May20231,760241191119.5 [lower-alpha 31] 7.53246.53.54.5
22723 [lower-alpha 31] 8.5425.5731.5
Ifop 10–11 May20231,3101510101019 [lower-alpha 31] 8325636
226 [lower-alpha 40] 22 [lower-alpha 31] 1132664Tie
Harris Interactive 5–9 May20231,262223 [lower-alpha 41] 32613221553
119 [lower-alpha 41] 5632412220534
139101112312220533
2019 European election 26 May20190.8 [lower-alpha 42] 2.56.36.213.51.8 [lower-alpha 43] [lower-alpha 44] 0.1 [lower-alpha 45] 0.12.224.9 [lower-alpha 46] 8.53.51.20.623.37.00.9

Germany

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Union
EPP
Grüne
G/EFA
SPD
S&D
AfD
NI
Linke
Left
FDP
Renew
PARTEI
NI
FW
Renew
Tiersch.
Left
ÖDP
G/EFA
FAM
EPP
Volt
G/EFA
PIRAT
G/EFA
BSW
NILeft
OthersLead
INSA 23–24 May 20241,002301314173437913
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 May 20241,247311514153451316
INSA 10–13 May 20242,100291315.517443275.512
YouGov 3–8 May 21941,2472915162044669
Infratest dimap 29–30 Apr 20241,32330151415471515
INSA 25–26 Apr 20241,202291316174437712
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Apr 20241,228301715153341313
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 20241,254301516163351214
INSA 5–8 Apr 20242,10028.511.516.5194532649.5
Ipsos 23 Feb–02 Mar 20242,61329161716447412
Forsa 12–13 Mar 20241,008341416152334918
INSA 8–11 Mar 20242,10028.51116204.5612.520.50.50.55.51.58.5
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 20242,6132916171644374 [lower-alpha 47] 12
Wahlkreisprognose 24–29 Feb 20241,90031.5161216231.53.52.57.54.515.5
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb 202498025.59.816.515.12.76.03.24.13.11.31.29.33.49.0
INSA 8–12 Feb 20242,1012710.516224.5313.531115.51.55
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024555291316173513300116212
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 Jan 20241,440281392334.51.551.574.55
Wahlkreisprognose 1–7 Dec 20231,44031121025331.52.52736
INSA 31 Jul 20231,001261519235763
Wahlkreisprognose 7–14 Jul 20231,0402313.515222.53.5231.58.55.51
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Dec 20221,10022212118.53.53.523.52.52.51
Wahlkreisprognose 24–26 Feb 20221,7222219.522.512.537.52.5325.50.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 202124.114.725.710.44.911.41.02.41.50.20.40.42.91.6
2019 European election 26 May 201928.920.515.811.05.55.42.42.21.41.00.70.70.73.88.4

Greece

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample size ND
EPP
SYRIZA
Left
PASOK
S&D
KKE
NI
XA [lower-alpha 48]
NI
EL
ECR
MeRA25
Left
PE
NI
R
NI
Antarsya
NI
SP
NI
NIKI
NI
FL
NI
NA
Left
DIMO
Renew
COS
G/EFA
PAT
NI
OtherLead
Alco/Alpha [131] 13–15 May 20241,00032.516.013.09.010.02.23.33.52.42.92.53.016.5
Pulse RC/Skai [132] 13–15 May 20241,10433.016.012.58.09.03.03.53.52.43.02.11.22.817.0
MARC/ANT1 [133] 10–15 May 20241,20933.815.212.28.08.33.04.53.22.83.02.53.318.6
MRB/Open [134] 10–14 May 20241,10032.316.014.08.09.92.23.42.92.83.82.42.216.3
Interview/Politic [135] 8–13 May 20242,40533.317.212.26.77.82.73.45.011.816.1
Good Affairs/To Vima [136] 31.816.111.88.310.32.33.14.22.12.82.61.115.7
Marc/Proto Thema [137] 18–25 Apr 20241,04933.414.711.48.59.82.45.42.43.42.22.51.72.218.7
GPO/Parapolitika [138] 17–22 Apr 20241,40033.616.313.58.89.12.13.12.43.42.72.22.817.3
Metron Analysis/Mega [139] 10–16 Apr 20241,30432.315.412.09.88.31.64.22.53.61.43.12.01.02.816.9
Prorata/Attica [140] 5–10 Apr 20241,00029.515.012.79.29.82.34.61.73.51.74.01.71.23.014.5
Opinion Poll/Action 24 [141] 8–10 Apr 20241,00632.115.012.48.510.71.33.72.63.71.43.23.02.317.1
Interview/Politic [142] [143] 4–8 Apr 20242,35527.716.112.76.911.82.42.81.71.24.32.34.72.23.211.6
Alco/Alpha [144] 2–5 Apr 20241,00029.914.313.39.49.62.34.12.74.21.43.02.23.515.6
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos [145] 1–4 Apr 20241,00831.814.113.09.410.34.23.33.54.06.617.7
GPO/Parapolitika [146] 1–3 Apr 20241,00033.415.914.29.09.51.83.02.23.32.22.23.317.5
MRB/Open [147] 1–3 Apr 20241,00031.515.913.48.19.91.94.32.13.61.83.81.62.315.6
Pulse RC/Skai [148] 1–3 Apr 20241,10533.015.012.58.59.02.53.53.03.51.83.01.82.918.0
Opinion Poll/Action24 [149] 15–20 Mar 20241,01034.413.412.59.410.11.92.92.54.32.92.82.821.0
Metron Analysis/Mega [150] 12–19 Mar 20241,31731.415.113.010.19.71.94.30.62.03.22.43.01.00.61.716.3
Good Affairs/To Vima [151] 12–14 Mar 20243,22930.813.112.98.29.82.22.12.23.62.52.91.517.7
Marc/Proto Thema [152] 11–14 Mar 20241,08636.213.412.69.49.22.43.12.62.82.62.13.722.8
GPO/Star [153] 11–13 Mar 20241,20034.814.313.99.58.02.32.91.83.43.02.63.520.5
Interview/Politic [154] 7–11 Mar 20242,25029.114.412.47.112.02.51.84.64.911.314.7
Alco/Alpha [155] 1–6 Mar 20241,00032.812.714.110.87.92.83.62.94.53.44.018.7
Ipsos/Euronews [156] 23 Feb–5 Mar 20241,00035.013.613.49.08.7<3.03.22.94.03.33.921.4
Pulse RC/Skai [157] 27 Feb–1 Mar 20241,10635.514.014.09.08.52.53.03.04.03.03.521.5
GPO/Parapolitika [158] 26–29 Feb 20241,00036.413.514.410.78.22.42.72.23.42.93.222.0
Opinion Poll/Action24 [159] 21–27 Feb 20241,50433.911.913.910.110.22.63.52.74.23.33.720.0
Opinion Poll/Action24 [160] 13–16 Feb 20241,00434.312.514.69.49.52.43.72.73.83.33.819.7
Interview/Politic [161] 6–12 Feb 20242,15533.314.212.88.39.12.62.15.15.19.719.1
Alco/Alpha [162] 1–7 Feb 20241,20134.512.615.011.27.52.23.12.83.92.64.319.5
GPO/Star [163] 20–25 Jan 20241,10038.814.014.29.67.22.72.62.23.33.02.424.6
MRB/Open [164] 22–24 Jan 20241,00036.112.112.19.39.52.84.02.83.72.74.824.0
Marc/Ant1 [165] 17–23 Jan 20241,09237.112.616.89.47.02.93.03.13.12.42.620.3
Interview/Politic [166] 10–15 Jan 20242,38831.514.114.210.88.02.32.65.24.17.217.3
Prorata/Attica [167] 5–9 Jan 20241,00036.612.815.911.06.11.83.03.73.73.71.820.7
Alco/Alpha [168] 2–5 Jan 20241,00235.313.814.311.36.92.43.33.23.32.73.621.0
Interview/Politic [169] 4–8 Dec 20232,35634.016.114.47.97.63.02.33.82.97.917.9
GPO/Parapolitika [170] 5–7 Dec 20231,00041.712.113.510.36.61.92.13.42.43.72.328.3
2019 election 26 May 201933.123.87.75.44.94.23.0 [lower-alpha 49] 1.60.70.41.5 [lower-alpha 50] 13.79.3

Hungary

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample size Fidesz-KDNP
NIEPP
Momentum
Renew
DK
S&D
MSZP
S&D
P
G/EFA
LMP
G/EFA
Jobbik
NI
MMN
EPP
Our Homeland
ID
MKKP
G/EFA
MEMO
EPP
NP
NI
2RK
NI
TISZA
EPP
OtherLead
Závecz Research 2–10 May 20241,0003941711263126013
IDEA 25 Apr–4 May 20241,50040417011452321219
Nézőpont 29 Apr – 2 May 20241,0004811211157032127
Publicus 26–30 Apr 20241,0004232411422318
Medián 26–29 Apr 20241,000454911246122520
Iránytű 17–19 Apr 20241,07350310134226124
9–12 Apr 20245339264120233
Závecz Research 4–11 Apr 20241,0003372631851437
Nézőpont 2–4 Apr 20241,000474131116112213234
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 20241,02547.6
13
7.2
1
16.5
4
2.6
0
2.8
0
3.0
0
9.6
2
4.2
0
2.0
0
4.731.1
Nézőpont 26–28 Feb 20241,00047
13
7
1
14
3
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
4
0
8
2
8
2
1
0
4
0
33
21 Kutatóközpont 22–26 Feb 20241,2004491821233781226 [lower-alpha 51]
4491711325563327 [lower-alpha 52]
Republikon Jun 2023467194669427
Nézőpont 15–17 May 20231,00051916213563435
Závecz Research 28 Apr–5 May 20231,0004681962467327
Nézőpont 2–4 Jan 20231,00056614213264642
2022 parliamentary election 3 Apr 202254.134.45.93.31.01.319.7
2019 election 26 May 201952.69.916.16.62.26.33.32.60.436.5

Italy

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size Lega
ID
PD
S&D
M5S
NI
FI
EPP
NM
EPP
FdI
ECR
AVS
LeftG/EFA
PTD [lower-alpha 53]
Left
SUE A
Renew
DSP
NI
Italexit
NI
Libertà
NI
OthersLead
+E
Renew
IV
Renew
20–24 May2024 SWG 2,0008.622.014.78.627.34.62.54.24.02.05.3
25–25 May2024 Noto 1,0009.020.515.09.028.04.02.24.04.03.07.5
22–23 May2024 Demopolis 2,0008.822.014.58.727.04.32.24.23.72.85.0
21–22 May2024 Eumetra 8008.721.116.28.927.14.22.24.53.82.06.0
22–23 May2024 Termometro 3,9009.019.615.78.526.84.02.54.53.91.81.07.2
19–23 May2024 Quorum 1,6049.020.315.98.527.24.91.94.13.90.90.56.9
19–23 May2024 EMG 2,0009.320.915.77.926.94.24.53.76.0
20–21 May2024 Ipsos 1,0008.622.515.49.226.54.61.94.13.62.00.74.0
19–21 May2024 Cluster 17 1,0518.720.815.58.226.94.32.24.63.71.02.21.97.1
20–21 May2024 Bidimedia 1,1909.121.215.28.327.14.42.04.64.02.51.66.0
17–22 Apr2024 SWG 1,2008.520.015.98.426.84.32.14.74.11.42.21.66.8
17–19 Apr2024 Quorum 8017.220.516.57.627.84.41.95.03.31.64.27.3
17–18 Apr2024 Demos 1,0058.520.216.48.028.04.24.14.06.67.8
16–18 Apr2024 Termometro Politico 4,1008.519.716.18.327.53.22.55.23.81.91.61.77.8
16–17 Apr2024 Eumetra 8.519.716.48.327.43.81.95.13.81.31.92.07.7
10–15 Apr2024 SWG 1,2008.619.416.08.427.24.11.85.24.21.41.91.87.8
13 Apr2024 Tecnè 7.919.816.210.127.33.71.65.53.62.02.37.5
8–12 Apr2024 Ixè 1,0008.019.916.48.426.64.21.14.03.71.36.46.7
9–11 Apr2024 Termometro Politico 3,7008.819.515.68.027.83.32.45.13.91.81.82.48.3
8–9 Apr2024 Demopolis 2,0008.020.015.88.727.03.82.24.63.52.12.07.0
3–8 Apr2024 SWG 1,2008.819.815.67.826.93.91.65.34.01.41.53.47.1
8 Apr2024 Euromedia 8008.719.717.68.526.93.71.84.43.83.71.27.2
5 Apr2024 EMG 7.820.216.79.01.027.23.31.26.23.24.27.0
4–5 Apr2024 Quorum 8017.519.816.07.827.73.92.24.63.11.64.77.9
2–4 Apr2024 EMG 1,0007.820.216.79.027.23.31.26.23.25.27.0
28–30 Mar2024 BiDiMedia 2,0008.320.216.67.127.14.41.55.14.41.31.12.76.9
27 Mar2024 Euromedia 8008.819.317.58.00.727.53.52.04.74.01.72.38.2 [lower-alpha 54]
8.719.517.58.30.627.93.02.04.84.11.71.98.5 [lower-alpha 55]
19–25 Mar2024 Ipsos 1,0008.020.516.18.70.727.53.31.52.83.32.51.21.52.47.0
20 Mar2024 Ipsos 8.219.017.48.227.04.12.63.43.07.18.0
19 Mar2024 Noto 8.019.017.08.02.028.03.52.53.03.55.59.0 [lower-alpha 54]
7.020.016.08.02.030.03.02.53.03.55.010.0 [lower-alpha 55]
11 Mar2024 Euromedia 8008.719.717.27.70.728.03.92.73.54.04.08.3 [lower-alpha 54]
8.620.216.98.20.428.73.41.53.84.03.38.5 [lower-alpha 55]
7 Mar2024 Noto 8.019.516.57.52.027.04.03.53.03.55.57.5 [lower-alpha 54]
7.520.516.58.01.529.03.53.53.03.04.08.5 [lower-alpha 55]
23 Feb5 Mar2024 Ipsos 1,5038.219.017.48.227.04.12.63.43.07.18.0
28 Feb1 Mar2024 Quorum 8038.119.915.96.60.727.14.63.43.53.71.64.97.2
28 Feb2024 Euromedia 8008.619.617.07.91.427.64.02.63.14.33.98.0 [lower-alpha 54]
8.720.017.28.51.228.13.92.53.54.02.48.1 [lower-alpha 55]
26–28 Feb2024 Bidimedia 1,0008.520.015.57.50.828.13.91.52.43.04.31.21.32.08.1
25–28 Feb2024 Cluster17 1,0229.119.716.07.60.427.34.60.72.13.04.01.61.92.17.6
20–22 Feb2024 Ipsos 1,0008.318.317.07.91.128.23.51.82.23.63.31.02.01.89.9
17–22 Feb2024 Stack Data Strategy 9448.719.915.56.60.927.13.71.44.24.93.31.72.17.3
21 Feb2024 Noto 8.019.518.07.02.027.53.53.53.03.54.58.0
30 Jan1 Feb2024 Termometro Politico 3,8009.419.616.26.829.13.01.52.42.63.81.71.42.59.5
30–31 Jan2024 Demopolis 9.020.015.87.228.03.62.02.73.88.18.0
24–31 Jan2024 Portland 5027.021.016.010.028.03.02.03.05.02.01.02.0 [lower-alpha 56] 7.0
24–27 Jan2024 BiDiMedia 1,0009.019.316.16.61.028.63.81.32.53.14.21.31.22.09.3
25–26 Jan2024 Quorum 8039.319.213.66.51.628.44.32.62.93.71.56.49.2
22–24 Jan2024 Winpoll 1,0009.121.514.67.827.83.01.52.42.53.21.35.3 [lower-alpha 57] 6.3
12–22 Jan2024 Euromedia 8008.419.517.87.50.328.53.42.52.84.31.43.69.0 [lower-alpha 54]
8.219.018.17.20.329.33.32.43.34.61.42.99.3 [lower-alpha 55]
16 Jan2024 Noto 8.019.517.07.02.028.03.52.03.03.07.08.5 [lower-alpha 58]
6.520.017.06.51.532.04.02.03.03.04.512.0 [lower-alpha 55]
15–16 Jan2024 Tecnè 8008.419.815.69.229.02.93.911.29.2 [lower-alpha 54]
8.319.515.69.329.32.93.911.09.8 [lower-alpha 55]
4 Jan2024 IZI 1,0689.319.517.07.427.14.23.03.03.56.07.6
30 Dec4 Jan2024 Lab2101 1,00010.219.816.25.80.729.44.02.32.83.92.32.69.6
26 May2019 2019 European election 34.322.717.18.86.44.1 [lower-alpha 59] 3.10.94.57.6

Ireland

National polls

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / CommissionerSample
size
SF
Left
FF
Renew
FG
EPP
GP
G/EFA
Lab
S&D
SD PBP–S Aon II O/I [lower-alpha 60]
22 May 2024 Red C/Business Post [171] 1,02121142053543 [lower-alpha 61] 25 [lower-alpha 62]
15 May 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times [172] 1,50016221946332421
7 May 2024 Ireland Thinks/The Journal [173] 1,63322161963524 [lower-alpha 61] 24
7 April 2024Ireland Thinks/The Journal [174] 1,33423172063635 [lower-alpha 61] 17
7 February 2024Ireland Thinks/The Journal [175] 1,2552619196443 [lower-alpha 61] [lower-alpha 61] 19
8 February 2020 2020 general election 24.522.220.97.14.42.92.61.9 [lower-alpha 63] 13.5
24 May 2019 2019 EP election 11.716.629.611.43.11.22.3 [lower-alpha 63] [lower-alpha 63] 24.1

Dublin

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / CommissionerSample
size
Andrews (FF) L. Boylan (SF) Doherty (FG) Ó Riordáin (Lab) Cuffe (GP) Smith (S–PBP) Daly (I4C)Gibney (SD) N. Boylan (II) Doolan (SF)Considine (Aon)Others
15 May 2024 [172] Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times 50018151210866553214
7 May 2024 [176] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 457 [177] 1716147865473211

Midlands–North-West

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / CommissionerSample
size
Flanagan (Ind) Walsh (FG) Cowen (FF) Chambers (FF) Carberry (FG) Gildernew (SF)Mullooly (II) MacManus (SF) Blaney (FF) Casey (Ind) Tóibín (Aon)Others
15 May 2024 [172] Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times 5001110109987644417
7 May 2024 [176] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 631 [177] 109106988724621

South

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / CommissionerSample
size
Kelly (FG) Kelleher (FF) Funchion (SF) Ní Mhurchú (FF) Gavan (SF)Hourigan (Lab) McNamara (Ind)Mullins (FG) Blighe (IF) O'Sullivan (GP) Wallace (I4C)Doyle (SD)Others
15 May 2024 [172] Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times 50023181176544433210
7 May 2024 [176] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 643 [177] 14161345386455512

Latvia

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
JV
EPP
S
S&D
NA
ECR
LA
Renew
Par!
Renew
ZZS AS JKP PRO
G/EFA
TZV CP TVS S! LPV SV AJ Lead
SKDS/LTV [178] March 20241.50516.6 (1)10.1 (1)17.1 (2)8.9 (1)1.53.46.1 (1)3.59.6 (1)0.22.10.66.4 (1)8.2 (1)3.81.90.5
SKDS/LTV [179] 10-14 February 20241,50517.9 (2)9.1 (1)16.5 (1)9.2 (1)0.64.07.4 (1)3.58.9 (1)0.82.10.57.5 (1)6.6 (1)3.22.31.4
2019 election 25 May 201926.4 (2)17.6 (2)16.5 (2)12.5 (1)5.6 (0)5.04.42.90.96.8 (1) [lower-alpha 64] 0.28.7

Lithuania

PollsterFieldwork datesSample size TS–LKD
EPP
LVŽS
G/EFA
DP
NI
LSDP
S&D
LP
Renew
LRLS
Renew
LRP PLT DSVL
G/EFA
Others [lower-alpha 65] DK/WV [lower-alpha 66] Lead
Baltijos tyrimai 10-21 April 20241,0208.4
2
6.8
1
5.2
1
15.9
3
2.4
0
3.9
1
3.0
1
1.6
0
7.8
2
3.7 [lower-alpha 67]
0
41.37.5
2019 election 1,259,95419.74
3
12.56
2
8.99
1
15.88
2
6.59
1
2.36
0
1.92
0
31.96
2
3.86

Luxembourg

No opinion polls are expected to be done for the European Parliament election in Luxembourg. The results of recent elections are shown in the absence of that.

Polling executionParties
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

DP
Renew
CSV
EPP
Greens
G/EFA
LSAP
S&D
ADR
ECR
Pirate
G/EFA
Lénk
Left
Volt
G/EFA
KPL DK Fokus
Others
2023 general election [180] 19.1
(2)
29.3
(3)
8.3
(0)
18.2
(1)
9.6
(0)
6.7
(0)
3.6
(0)
0.2
(0)
0.5
(0)
1.4
(0)
2.6
(0)
2023 municipal elections [181] 19.8
(1)
26.5
(2)
11.6
(1)
21.9
(2)
20.3
(0)
2019 EP election [182] 21.4
(2)
21.1
(2)
18.9
(1)
12.2
(1)
10.0
(0)
7.7
(0)
4.8
(0)
2.1
(0)
1.1
(0)
0.5
(0)

Malta

It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together or excluded in polls by Maltese media houses.

Polling firmSample
size
PL
S&D
Logo of the Nationalist Party (Malta).svg
EPP
Insigne imperii Europaeae.svg AD+PD logo.svg ABBA Volt Malta logo.svg IND/
Others
LeadNot
voting [lower-alpha 68]
Don't
know/
Invalid [lower-alpha 68]
3–10 May 2024 MaltaToday 65749.441.78.97.730.6
6–10 May 2024 It-Torċa [lower-alpha 69] 1,00051.540.35.14.111.231
15–24 April 2024 MaltaToday 65650.744.25.16.529
1–13 April 2024 Esprimi 60045.438.03.213.47.441.0
7 March - 21 March 2024 MaltaToday 65752.842.64.610.223.4
27 Feb –12 Mar 2024 Esprimi/Times of Malta 60052.439.38.313.133
26 Jan –05 Feb 2024 MaltaToday 64747.941.011.16.937.5
26 Mar 2022 2022 Maltese general election 55.141.7n/a1.60.50.10.413.424.42.9
25 May 2019 2019 European Parliament election in Malta 54.337.93.172.7 [lower-alpha 70] 0.5 [lower-alpha 71] n/a1.216.427.32.6

Netherlands

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Total GL–PvdA VVD
Renew
CDA
EPP
FvD
NI
D66
Renew
SGP
ECR
CU
EPP
PvdD
Left
50PLUS
Renew
PVV
ID
SP
Left
Volt
G/EFA
BBB
EPP
NSC
EPP
OthersLeadRef
PvdA
S&D
GL
G/EFA
Ipsos24–27 May20242,048318520200009121101 [183]
I&O Research17–21 May20242,141317420210109121102 [184]
Peil.nl17–18 May202431852120010811110Tie [185]
I&O Research10–14 May20242,10231842121100812010Tie [184]
Peil.nl3–4 May202431852120010811110Tie [186]
I&O Research12–15 Apr20242,182317520310108111101 [187]
I&O Research22–25 Mar20241,5863175202101010021003 [184]
Ipsos23 Feb5 Mar20241,890316520200109121203 [188]
2019 election 23 May 20192663443221100002
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
GL–PvdA VVD
Renew
CDA
EPP
FvD
NI
D66
Renew
SGP
ECR
CU
EPP
PvdD
Left
50PLUS
Renew
PVV
ID
SP
Left
Volt
G/EFA
JA21
ECR
BBB
EPP
NSC
EPP
OthersLeadRef
PvdA
S&D
GL
G/EFA
I&O Research17–21 May20242,14119.3%10.9%5.7%2.9%7.1%3.8%3.0%4.5%23.0%3.3%5.9%1.4%4.4%3.5%1.4%3.7% [184]
I&O Research10–14 May20242,10221.3%11.8%5.8%3.6%6.8%3.8%3.3%3.2%22.5%3.4%5.4%0.8%3.2%3.5%1.8%1.2% [184]
I&O Research12–15 Apr20242,18218.7%12.6%5.4%3.1%7.8%3.3%3.0%4.6%22.0%3.6%4.7%1.1%4.3%4.2%1.6%3.3% [187]
I&O Research22–25 Mar20241,58618.6%14.1%5.5%3.0%7.0%3.8%3.1%4.0%25.1%2.9%5.2%1.0%3.9%3.1%6.5% [189]
Ipsos23 Feb5 Mar20241,89016.0%12.7%5.6%2.3%6.0%2.6%2.4%3.7%22.4%3.2%4.9%4.5%4.7%8.8%6.4% [188]
Portland24–31 Jan202453517%12%5%2%5%3%1%3%1%25%3%3%2%4%12%2%8% [190]
2023 parliamentary election 22 Nov 202315.8%15.2%3.3%2.2%6.3%2.1%2.0%2.3%0.5%23.5%3.1%1.7%0.7%4.6%12.9%3.8%7.7%
2023 provincial elections 15 Mar 20238.4% [lower-alpha 72] 9.0%11.2%6.6%3.1%6.3%2.5%3.9% [lower-alpha 73] 4.8%2.3%5.8%4.2%3.0%4.4%19.2%5.3%8.0%
2021 parliamentary election 15–17 Mar 20215.7%5.2%21.9%9.5%5.0%15.0%2.1%3.4%3.8%1.0%10.8%6.0%2.4%2.4%1.0%4.8%6.9%
2019 election 23 May 201919.0%10.9%14.6%12.2%11.0%7.1%6.8%4.0%3.9%3.5%3.4%1.9%1.6%4.4%

Poland

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
United Right
ECR
Third Way
EPPRen.
Civic Coalition
EPPG/EFARen.
The Left
S&D
Confederation There is One Poland Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy OthersDon't knowLead
Law and Justice Kukiz'15 New Left Left Together
SLD Spring
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 May 20241,00030.810.832.47.811.70.30.3 [lower-alpha 74] 5.91.6
IPSOS / TVP 22–25 May 20241,0003092981311 [lower-alpha 75] 91
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 20 May 2024 [lower-alpha 76] 1,00030.010.130.88.18.82.10.0 [lower-alpha 77] 10.10.8
Opinia24 13–14 May 20241,000298316102132
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 10–12 May 20241,00032.7
19
12.6
7
30.3
17
9.6
5
8.6
5
0.90.2 [lower-alpha 78]
0
5.12.4
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 26 Apr–9 May 20241,0962792881021121
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–8 May 20241,00029.312.128.39.79.91.59.21.0
Opinia24 / TOK FM 6–8 May 20241,00130.67.730.89.08.32.710.90.2
29 Apr 2024 Confederation announces There is One Poland candidates on their lists. [192]
OGB 22–25 Apr 202480432.66
18
13.81
7
33.21
18
5.57
3
12.30
7
2.45
0
0.55
Ipsos / Euronews 23 Feb–5 Mar 20241,00029.216.531.38.413.92.1
Opinia24 / TOK FM 26–28 Feb 20241,00222113111103 [lower-alpha 79] 119
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska 2–13 Feb 20242,02729.014.033.58.57.51.36.24.5
Portland Communications 24–31 Jan 20246322916359836
Parliamentary election 15 Oct 202321,596,674 [lower-alpha 80] 35.3814.4030.708.617.161.631.860.284.68
Parliamentary election 13 Oct 201918,678,457 [lower-alpha 81] 43.598.5527.4012.566.810.780.3116.19
European election 26 May 201913,647,311 [lower-alpha 82] 45.38
27
3.69
0
38.47
22
6.06
3
1.24
0
4.55
0
0.606.91

Portugal

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Letras PS (Portugal).png
Alianca Democratica 2024 (Portugal) logo.png
Logo Chega!.png LeftBloc.svg Logo of the Unitary Democratic Coalition.svg Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png OLead
PSD Logo Simples.png Cds simbolo 2.png Simbolo do PPM.png
S&D EPP EPP NI ID Left Left G/EFA G/EFA Renew
Intercampus [lower-alpha 83] 12–20 May 2024609 ?23.1
5
22.0
5
18.1
4
9.2
2
3.7
0
4.0
1
6.9
1
12.0
3
1.0
0
1.1
CESOP–UCP 13–18 May 2024965 ?30
6/8
31
6/8
15
3/4
5
1
5
1
1
0
5
1
6
1/2
2
0
1
Duplimétrica 6–13 May 2024800 ?34
9
32
8
10
2
3
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
9
2
5
0
2
ICS/ISCTE 27 Apr–8 May 20241,001 ?32
8
26
6
18
4
5
1
4
1
2
0
2
0
4
1
7
0
6
Intercampus [lower-alpha 84] 18–23 Apr 2024605 ?33.4
8
28.2
7
13.0
3
7.4
1
3.3
0
1.3
0
5.8
1
4.4
1
3.3
0
5.2
Aximage 12–16 Apr 202480558.031.3
7/8
24.8
6
18.4
4
5.9
1
4.1
1
1.8
0
3.6
0/1
5.8
1
4.3
0
6.5
2024 legislative elections 10 Mar 202459.828.0
(7)
28.8
(7)
18.1
(5)
4.4
(1)
3.2
(0)
1.9
(0)
3.2
(0)
4.9
(1)
7.5
(0)
0.8
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 20242,000?29.6
8
31.0
8
3.4
0
14.2
3
4.4
1
2.3
0
2.1
0
3.6
0
4.5
1
4.9
0
1.4
2022 legislative elections 30 Jan 202251.541.4
(10)
29.1
(7)
1.6
(0)
0.0
(0)
7.2
(1)
4.4
(1)
4.3
(1)
1.6
(0)
1.3
(0)
4.9
(1)
4.7
(0)
12.3
2019 legislative elections 6 Oct 201948.636.3
(10)
27.8
(7)
4.2
(1)
0.2
(0)
1.3
(0)
9.5
(2)
6.3
(1)
3.3
(0)
1.1
(0)
1.3
(0)
8.8
(0)
8.5
2019 EP election 26 May 201930.733.4
9
21.9
6
6.2
1
1.5
0
9.8
2
6.9
2
5.1
1
1.8
0
0.9
0
12.5
0
11.5

Romania

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CNR PUSL
S&D
AUR ADU PRO
S&D
UDMR
EPP
AER AD
ECR
S.O.S.
ID
REPER
Renew
Others Lead
PNL
EPP
PSD
S&D
PNȚCD
ECR
AUR
ECR
FD
EPP
PMP
EPP
USR
Renew
PER
NI
PV
G/EFA
INSCOP 20 - 25 May 20241,10043.71.317.514.16.04.41.311.7 [193] 26.2
Sociopol 17–22 May 20241,002472211550244 [lower-alpha 85] 24
CSPS 7–15 May 20242,61327342573437
INSCOP 12–20 April 20241,10046.61.516.713.82.75.12.42.04.51.82.829.9
AtlasIntel 5-9 April 20241,76431.62.40.819.924.634.9283.31.57
CSPS 1-7 April 20244,08527.230.223.44.82.85.85.73
Sociopol 26 March-2 April 20241,002475231414230124
CURS 19-28 March 20241,067534141455539
CSPS 17-29 March 20242,08837272141110
Euractiv March 20244225142551617
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 202497042.43.020.714.25.13.45.95.221.7
INSCOP 22-29 Feb 20241,10043.720.613.73.73.93.46.40.93.723.1
Sociopol Feb 202442128152520311 [lower-alpha 86] 14
1731124132520311 [lower-alpha 87] 14
INSOMAR Feb 20241,03040.81.530.511.51.74.527.5 [lower-alpha 88] 10.3
Avangarde 19–20 Feb 202495020311815582111
CURS 3–14 Feb 20241,0672031220132444 [lower-alpha 89] 11
60m.ro 20 Jan 202492716283017542
INSCOP 16-24 Jan 20241,10018.829.518.412.93.04.83.56.50.5210.7
CURS 15–27 Jan 20241,0821930321145449
Avangarde 8-22 Jan 20241,15021311914581110
INSOMAR Jan 20241,050212522291339 [lower-alpha 90] 3
Sociopol Jan 202417291023132521311 [lower-alpha 91] 6
CIRA Jan 20241,0002030182214562110
CURS 26–30 Dec 20238521931419149245212
Mercury Research 30 Oct–6 Nov 20231,22716260192237154
1628119241537139
Avangarde 20–28 Sep 20239942131191313155110
LARICS 11–25 Sep 20231,00322.931.51.014.64.415.23.24.72.48.6
INSOMAR 28–31 Aug 20231,030152522733744102
2020 parliamentary election 6 Dec 20206.058.62525.228.91.09.14.915.44.15.71.30.40.04.13.7
2019 election 26 May 20199.069.82227.022.55.822.46.45.36.64.5

Slovenia

Fieldwork datePolling firmPublisher(s)Sample size SDS
EPP
SLS
(Gregorčič)
EPP
ZS
NI
SD
S&D
NSi
EPP
Levica
Left
DeSUS
EDP
DD
NI
GS
Renew
Resni.ca
NI
PPS
G/EFA
Vesna
(Prebilič)
G/EFA
NOT
NI
Logar
NI
Rupar
NI
OthersNoneUnd.Abst.LeadSource
21–24 May 2024Mediana POPTV 71317.9
4
3.0
0
2.6
0
9.1
1
6.0
1
4.1
0
1.4
0
12.8
2
5.5
0
8.1
1
0.9
0
0.1
0
4.014.76.25.1 [194]
13–16 May 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik 1,00027.4
3
4.4
0
3.6
0
11.5
1
7.9
1
5.7
0
2.8
0
17.6
2
3.2
0
14.0
1
1.7
0
9.8 [195]
23–25 Apr 2024Mediana POPTV 72321.73.35.77.13.02.615.53.12.87.10.90.24.314.74.26.2 [196]
5–7 Mar 2024Mediana Delo 72320.72.46.46.24.513.04.13.33.32.71.76.418.64.37.7 [197]
4–7 Dec 2023Ninamedia70014.63.711.46.34.011.68.312.40.919.77.12.2 [198]
24 April 2022 2022 parliamentary election 23.483.416.696.864.460.661.7040.23 [lower-alpha 92] 2.861.631.356.13(29.04)16.75
26 May 2019 2019 election 26.252.2218.6611.126.435.670.5319.46 [lower-alpha 93] 9.67(71.11)6.79

Slovakia

Polling firmDateSample
size
PS
Renew
Democrats
EPP
Smer
NI
ĽSNS
NI
Život
NI
SNS
ID
KDH
EPP
SASKA
ECR

ECR
OĽaNO
EPP

EPP
MA
EPP
SR
ID
Hlas
S&D
Republika
NI
OthersLead
Ipsos [199] 14–21 May 202441423.5
4
3.4
0
24.4
4
1.7
0
4.0
0
7.1
1
5.7
1
5.3
1
4.8
0
10.3
2
9.0
2
0.80.9
NMS [200] 9–13 May 20241,02023.4
5
3.5
0
17.3
4
0.9
0
3.0
0
4.8
0
7.4
1
1.6
0
4.8
0
3.1
0
11.2
2
12.6
3
6.3 [lower-alpha 94] 6.1
AKO [201] 7–14 May 20241,00025.6
4
3.4
0
17.6
3
1.0
0
5.2
1
7.0
1
6.7
1
0.6
0
2.7
0
3.7
0
14.4
3
8.5
2
3.68.0
NMS [202] 18–24 April 20241,01024.3
5
4.4
0
19.8
4
0.7
0
3.2
0
4.6
0
7.0
1
0.8
0
3.6
0
2.9
0
12.0
3
10.7
2
5.8 [lower-alpha 95] 4.5
AKO [203] 9–16 April 20241,00027.2
5
2.7
0
15.2
3
1.0
0
4.1
0
6.7
1
6.5
1
0.8
0
3.2
0
5.0
1
14.2
3
7.5
1
5.9 [lower-alpha 96] 12.0
Ipsos [204] 23 February – 5 March 20241,50224.6
5
2.3
0
26.7
5
2.1
0
4.8
0
8.2
2
4.6
0
4.9
0
2.4
0
11.8
2
6.4
1
1.22.1
2023 elections 30 Sep 20232,967,89617.962.21%22.950.845.636.826.328.904.392.9314.704.751.604.99
2020 elections 29 Feb 20202,881,5116.9718.297.973.164.656.2225.035.773.918.249.346.74
2019 elections 25 May 2019985,68020.11
4
15.72
3
12.07
2
2.07
0
4.09
0
9.70
2
9.62
2
3.85
0
5.26
1
4.96
0
3.23
0
9.324.29

Spain

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Logotipo del PSOE.svg Logo del PP (2022).svg Ciudadanos icono 2017.svg Isotipo de Unidas Podemos (2023).svg
Logo de Podemos (2022).svg
VOX logo.svg AR Junts per Catalunya.svg
Junts per Catalunya (2020).svg
Coalicion por una Europa Solidaria logo.svg Mas Pais.svg Logo PACMA (2022).svg Sumar icon.svg SALF Lead
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 1] 25–26 May 2024503?29.4
20
34.8
24
1.4
0
3.3
2
10.7
7
4.5
2
2.7
1
1.4
0
[lower-alpha 97] 6.3
4
2.0
1
5.4
KeyData/Público [p 2] 25 May 2024?54.028.7
19
35.8
24
1.0
0
3.1
2
10.6
7
4.6
3
2.3
1
1.5
0
[lower-alpha 97] 7.4
4
2.7
1
7.1
Data10/OKDiario [p 3] 22–24 May 20241,500?29.6
20
35.4
24
0.9
0
2.9
1
10.4
7
4.7
3
2.5
1
1.7
1
[lower-alpha 97] 6.4
4
5.8
GAD3/Mediaset [p 4] 21–24 May 20241,002?31.4
21
34.5
23
0.7
0
3.0
2
9.3
6
4.5
3
2.4
1
1.5
1
[lower-alpha 97] 5.7
3
2.7
1
3.1
NC Report/La Razón [p 5] 20–24 May 20241,00054.327.9
19
36.1
24/25
?
0
3.0
2
9.0
6
5.2
3
2.9
1/2
2.2
1
[lower-alpha 97] 6.8
4
1.2
0
8.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 6] 20–24 May 20242,137?30.2
19/20
35.1
24/25
0.8
0
3.6
2
9.7
6/7
3.6
2
2.4
1
1.3
0/1
[lower-alpha 97] 7.0
4/5
2.6
1/2
4.9
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 7] 18–24 May 20241,500?29.1
20
33.7
23
1.0
0
3.1
2
8.7
6
5.3
3
2.7
1
2.1
1
[lower-alpha 97] 1.3
0
5.8
4
1.8
1
4.6
Cluster17/Agenda Pública [p 8] 21–23 May 20241,640?28.7
19/20
34.1
23/24
?
0
3.4
2
9.6
6
4.5
3
2.6
1
1.9
1
[lower-alpha 97] 1.3
0/1
6.7
4
2.2
1
5.4
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 9] 17–19 May 2024519?28.8
19
36.9
25
0.9
0
3.2
2
10.4
7
5.1
3
2.4
1
1.3
0
[lower-alpha 97] 7.0
4
0.8
0
8.1
NC Report/La Razón [p 10] 13–17 May 20241,00058.927.2
18/19
36.3
24/25
?
0
2.8
1/2
9.4
6
4.9
3
2.7
1
2.1
1
[lower-alpha 97] 7.7
5
1.4
0/1
9.1
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 11] 12–17 May 20241,250?28.6
20
34.3
25
0.9
0
2.5
1
7.7
5
5.4
3
4.0
2
2.4
1
[lower-alpha 97] 1.3
0
5.9
4
1.1
0
5.7
CIS (Logoslab) [lower-alpha 98] [205] 8–17 May 20246,434?30.5
20/21
33.0
21/22
1.5
0/1
?
2/3
?
7
?
2/3
?
1
?
1
[lower-alpha 97] ?
3/4
?
2
2.5
CIS [p 12] [p 13] ?32.8–
35.2

21/24
27.9–
30.2
18/20
1.8–
2.6
1/2
4.4–
5.4
2/3
8.6–
10.1
5/6
3.9–
5.0
2/3
2.2–
3.0
1/2
1.1–
1.6
0/1
[lower-alpha 97] 5.9–
7.2
4
2.9–
3.8
1/2
4.9–
5.0
Cluster17/Agenda Pública [p 14] 14–16 May 20241,511?26.4
17/18
35.4
24
1.2
0/1
3.4
2
8.8
6
5.6
3
2.6
1
2.0
1
[lower-alpha 97] 1.4
0/1
6.6
4
3.8
2
9.0
40dB/Prisa [p 15] [206] 10–13 May 20242,000?30.1
20/21
33.5
22/23
1.1
0
4.0
2/3
12.6
8/9
4.6
3
2.2
1
1.9
1
[lower-alpha 97] 5.7
3/4
3.4
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es [207] [208] 1–9 May 20241,131?29.9
20
36.4
24
?
0
2.0
1
10.9
7
4.8
3
2.2
1
1.1
0
[lower-alpha 97] 8.0
5
6.5
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 16] 30 Apr–4 May 20241,279?26.7
18
39.2
26
1.2
0
3.0
2
10.3
7
5.4
3
2.3
1
1.4
1
[lower-alpha 97] 6.4
4
0.3
0
12.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 17] 24–30 Apr 20242,120?28.9
19
35.7
23
0.8
0
3.1
2
11.9
7
4.1
2
2.0
1
1.8
1
[lower-alpha 97] 9.5
6
6.8
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 18] 9–12 Apr 20242,550?26.3
17
38.1
25
1.7
1
2.4
1
10.9
7
6.1
4
2.6
1
1.8
1
[lower-alpha 97] 6.7
4
11.8
GAD3/Mediaset [p 19] 18–21 Mar 20241,017?26.5
18/19
37.8
25/26
0.3
0
3.5
2
9.2
6
4.4
3
2.7
1
2.4
1
[lower-alpha 97] 7.2
4
11.3
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 20] 5–9 Mar 20242,900?24.5
16
40.1
26
0.9
0
1.9
1
10.6
7
4.9
3
3.0
2
1.2
0
[lower-alpha 97] 9.3
6
15.6
Ipsos/Euronews [p 21] [p 22] 23 Feb–5 Mar 20242,000?28.6
19
37.7
25
?
0
2.4
1
10.4
6
3.8
2
2.5
1
2.0
1
[lower-alpha 97] 9.7
6
9.1
GAD3/ABC [p 23] 26–29 Feb 20241,005?27.1
18
38.4
26
?
0
3.0
2
8.6
6
4.3
2
2.7
1
2.4
1
[lower-alpha 97] 7.3
5
11.3
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 24] 5–9 Feb 20242,900?28.1
18
38.3
25
?
0
1.0
0
11.7
7
3.2
2
3.4
2
1.5
1
[lower-alpha 97] 10.2
6
10.2
NC Report/La Razón [p 25] 12–18 Jan 20241,00061.528.3
18
37.5
25
0.4
0
1.7
1
10.4
6
3.0
2
3.3
2
2.1
1
[lower-alpha 97] 9.1
6
9.2
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 26] 25–31 Dec 20232,309?28.5
19
37.1
24
1.1
0
3.3
2
11.0
7
3.2
2
4.4
2
1.3
0
[lower-alpha 97] 8.8
5
8.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 27] 15–26 Dec 20232,992?29.2
19
38.1
25
0.2
0
2.6
1
11.8
7
2.8
1
2.3
1
2.0
1
[lower-alpha 97] 10.1
6
8.9
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 28] 20–24 Nov 20232,109?29.2
19
36.8
25
1.1
0
2.0
1
10.2
6
4.2
2
5.1
3
1.3
0
[lower-alpha 97] 8.0
5
7.6
2023 general election 23 Jul 202366.631.7
(20)
33.1
(21)
[lower-alpha 97] 12.4
(7)
3.9
(2)
1.7
(1)
1.6
(1)
[lower-alpha 97] 0.7
(0)
12.3
(7)
1.4
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 201966.228.0
(18)
20.8
(13)
6.8
(4)
12.9
(8)
15.1
(10)
5.3
(3)
2.2
(1)
2.8
(1)
2.4
(1)
0.9
(0)
7.2
2019 EP election 26 May 201960.732.9
21
20.2
13
12.2
8
10.1
6
6.2
4
5.6
3
4.5
3
2.8
1
1.3
0
1.3
0
12.7

Sweden

Polling executionParties
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample size V
Left
S
S&D
MP
G/EFA
C
Renew
L
Renew
M
EPP
KD
EPP
SD
ECR
Oth.Lead
Verian 22–28 May 20241,0009.5
2
25.1
6
10.6
2
4.9
1
4.7
1
17.2
4
5.4
1
19.6
4
3.1
0
5.5
Demoskop 11–20 May 20242,9948.7
2
27.5
7
9.8
2
4.6
1
2.8
0
18.5
4
3.9
0
19.9
5
4.3
0
7.6
Ipsos 7–19 May 20241,6467.6
2
29.6
7
10.8
3
3.6
0
4.7
1
19.1
4
3.9
0
17.8
4
2.9
0
10.5
Demoskop 24 Apr–7 May 20243,9708.7
2
28.5
6
9.2
2
4.6
1
3.2
0
17.3
4
4.4
1
19.9
5
4.2
0
8.6
Verian 25–30 Apr 20241,9008.8
2
29.7
7
9.5
2
4.5
1
3.7
0
18.3
4
4.2
1
17.2
4
4.2
0
11.4
Novus 1–28 Apr 20242,3118.5
2
31.1
8
10.3
2
3.6
0
3.8
0
17.7
4
3.5
0
18.8
5
2.6
0
12.3
Indikator Opinion 28 Mar – 22 Apr 20246,9438.1
2
32.3
8
9.7
2
4.6
1
3.3
0
19.0
4
2.3
0
18.6
4
2.1
0
12.9
Ipsos 23 Feb – 5 Mar 20241,0039.6
2
30.4
6
8.3
2
7.0
1
4.7
1
16.4
4
4.5
1
17.5
4
1.5
0
12.9
Novus 19 Feb – 3 Mar 20245047.3
2
32.4
7
8.0
2
4.6
1
3.3
0
18.1
4
4.2
1
20.5
4
1.7
0
11.9
2022 general election 11 Sep 20226.8
1
30.3
7
5.1
1
6.7
1
4.6
1
19.1
4
5.3
1
20.5
5
1.5
0
9.8
2019 EP election 26 May 20196.8
1
23.5
5
11.5
3
10.8
2
4.1
1
16.8
4
8.6
2
15.3
3
2.5
0
6.7

Notes

  1. Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into "others", unless it is a member of a political party at the European level.
  2. Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into a group or non-inscrits.
  3. PP-DB is an electoral alliance, including parties with different european affiliations. PP has expressed interest in joining Renew Europe, [125] while MEP Radan Kanev from DSB sits in the EPP Group and DaB! is considering applying for EPP membership. [126]
  4. ITN, despite not being an official member yet, has announced its intention to join the ECR Group. [127]
  5. Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.1%, Left at 1.2%, BV at 1.2%, all winning no seats
  6. Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.5% winning no seats
  7. Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.3%, Levitsata! at 1.9%, and Bulgarian Rise at 1.2%, all winning no seats
  8. Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.2%, winning no seats
  9. Includes BV and Levitsata!, both at 1.8% and winning no seats
  10. Includes BV at 2.9% and Levitsata! at 2.2%, both winning no seats
  11. Democratic Bulgaria only
  12. Including HSU at 1.9%, The Gen Z list at 1.9% and Republika at 1.1%
  13. with DP
  14. with Trikolora
  15. ODS 14.6%, KDU-ČSL 7.2%
  16. with TOP 09
  17. Included under Others.
  18. Alliance with R&PS and Volt France
  19. The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  20. The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  21. The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  22. Décidons nous-mêmes 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc 0.5%, PT 0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  23. , PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
  24. 1 2 Mentré retires as of May 2
  25. 1 2 3 4 Dupont-Aignan retires as of March 26
  26. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 PRG and Bernard Cazeneuve's The Convention
  27. 1 2 RE list led by Valérie Hayer, confirmed as candidate on February 29th
  28. 1 2 RE list led by Clément Beaune
  29. 1 2 RE list led by Julien Denormandie
  30. 1 2 3 4 5 RE list led by Olivier Véran
  31. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 RE list led by Stéphane Séjourné
  32. RE list led by Bruno Le Maire
  33. RE list led by Thierry Breton
  34. LFI–PS list led by Segolène Royal
  35. LFI list led by Segolène Royal
  36. NUPES list led by Marie Toussaint (EELV)
  37. NUPES list led by Manon Aubry (LFI)
  38. NUPES list led by Léon Deffontaines (PCF)
  39. NUPES list led by Olivier Faure (PS)
  40. NUPES list led by LFI and EELV
  41. 1 2 NUPES list led by EELV
  42. endorsed LO
  43. with MEI and MdP
  44. with PS
  45. with EELV
  46. incl. UDI with 2.50%
  47. Die Partei has 2 seats, Tierschutz has one seat.
  48. De facto banned, popular former XA member Ilias Kasidiaris supported Spartans for the 2023 Greek legislative election.
  49. 49 votes below the 3% threshold.
  50. Alongside Union of Centrists.
  51. without leaders
  52. with leaders
  53. Polls before 12 March 2024 refer to it as People's Union (UP).
  54. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Without leaders
  55. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 With leaders
  56. SVP 0.0%
  57. PSI 0.8%
  58. With party symbols
  59. Combined results for Green Europe (EV) and The Left (LS) lists at the election
  60. The figure for 'Others/Independents' (including Independents 4 Change candidates) is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  61. 1 2 3 4 5 Not specifically mentioned in the report.
  62. Includes 21% for 'Independent' and 4% for 'Other Party'.
  63. 1 2 3 Did not contest this election.
  64. Latvian Russian Union: 6.3% (1); Centre Party: 0.5%
  65. Parties which received less than 1% of the vote.
  66. Don't Know/Won't Vote
  67. Coalition of Peace 0.9%, Lithuanian Green Party 0.8%, National Alliance 0.8%, People and Justice Union 0.5%, Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania 0.4%, Christian Union 0.1%, Lithuanian People's Party 0.1%, Lithuanian List 0.1%
  68. 1 2 Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  69. Sister newspaper of 'L-Orizzont', a GWU-owned newspaper, closely aligned to the Labour Party.
  70. Combined result of Democratic Alternative and Democratic Party vote shares before party merger
  71. As Alliance for Change
  72. including GL–PvdA joint list in Zeeland
  73. including CU–SGP joint list in North Brabant
  74. PolEXIT – 0.2
  75. PolEXIT – 0
  76. Publication date
  77. PolEXIT – 0.0
  78. PolEXIT – 0.0 [191]
  79. KORWiN – 1
  80. Turnout: 74,38%
  81. Turnout: 61,74%
  82. Turnout: 45,69%
  83. Results presented here exclude undecideds (3.7%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 22.2%; AD: 21.2%; CHEGA: 17.4%; IL: 11.6%; BE: 8.9%; Livre: 6.6%; PAN: 3.9%; CDU: 3.6%; Others/Invalid: 0.9%.
  84. Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.5%; AD: 23.2%; CHEGA: 10.7%; BE: 6.1%; Livre: 4.8%; IL: 3.6%; CDU: 2.7%; PAN: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 2.7%.
  85. Independents 4%, Greater Romania Party 0%, Socialist Romania 0%, Patriotic Party 0%, United Diaspora Party 0%
  86. Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  87. Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  88. Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 4.2%
  89. Party of the Patriots: 2%
  90. Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 3%
  91. Independents 2%, ALDE 0%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  92. Compared with the 2022 results of GS + LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
  93. Compared with the 2019 results of LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
  94. Common Sense 2.2, MySlovensko 0.8, KSS 0.7, SOS 0.5, Slovak PATRIOT 0.4, SDKÚ-DS 0.4, Socialisti.sk 0.3, SOSK 0.3, Volt 0.3, SRDCE 0.2, Piráti 0.2, SĽS 0.0
  95. Common Sense 2.2, MySlovensko 0.6, Piráti 0.6, Slovak PATRIOT 0.6, SOS 0.5, SDKÚ-DS 0.4, Socialisti.sk 0.3, SOSK 0.2, SRDCE 0.2, Volt 0.1, KSS 0.1, SĽS 0.0%
  96. Common Sense 1.5, SRDCE 1.2, SOSK 0.7, KSS 0.7, SDKÚ-DS 0.5, Piráti 0.5, MySlovensko 0.5, SĽS 0.3, SOS 0.1, Volt 0.1, Slovak PATRIOT 0.0, Socialisti.sk 0.0
  97. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Within Sumar.
  98. Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.

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Other for Spain

  1. "El PP ganaría hoy las europeas por 5,4 puntos pero el PSOE recorta otros 3 esta semana". El Español (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
  2. "El PP arranca la campaña de las europeas con una ventaja de cinco eurodiputados sobre el PSOE, según las encuestas". Público (in Spanish). 25 May 2024.
  3. "El PP ganará las europeas con 4 diputados más que el PSOE, Vox sube e Irene Montero tendrá escaño". OKDiario (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
  4. "Barómetro Mediaset. Voto estimado al Parlamento Europeo". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2024.
  5. "Sánchez resiste a sus últimas crisis y Feijóo mantiene su victoria el 9J". La Razón (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
  6. "El PP triunfará en las elecciones europeas con dos millones de votos de PSOE y Ciudadanos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
  7. "Encuesta Elecciones europeas: El PP experimenta una caída frente a la subida del PSOE y las opciones de extrema derecha". El Plural (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
  8. "PSOE y Vox aprovechan los primeros días de campaña ante unas elecciones consideradas por los españoles más decisivas que las anteriores". Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
  9. "El PP ganaría por 8 puntos las europeas pero el PSOE le recorta más de 4 tras las catalanas". El Español (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
  10. "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con holgura y arrancaría casi 700.000 votos al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
  11. "Encuesta Elecciones europeas: Resultados muy ajustados entre bloques". El Plural (in Spanish). 19 May 2024.
  12. "Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024 (Estudio nº 3458. Mayo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 23 May 2024.
  13. "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3458. Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 23 May 2024.
  14. "El Partido Popular ganaría las elecciones europeas con una delegación española más derechizada". Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 17 May 2024.
  15. "El PP redobla su presencia en Europa, el PSOE aguanta y Vox se dispara". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
  16. "El PP aventaja al PSOE en 12,5 puntos en europeas y se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en unas generales". El Español (in Spanish). 6 May 2024.
  17. "Feijóo se despega ya siete puntos de Sánchez y el PP doblaría su representación en Europa". El Mundo (in Spanish). 4 May 2024.
  18. "El PP superaría al PSOE en 12 puntos en las europeas y en unas generales, con Sumar en acusada caída". El Español (in Spanish). 14 April 2024.
  19. "Barómetro Mediaset. Elecciones generales y europeas". GAD3 (in Spanish). 26 March 2024.
  20. "Koldo y amnistía hunden al PSOE: el PP ganaría hoy las europeas por 15 puntos y las generales por casi 12". El Español (in Spanish). 10 March 2024.
  21. "El PP duplicará diputados en la Eurocámara, el PSOE cae 4 puntos y pierden los independentistas". El Español (in Spanish). 19 March 2024.
  22. "Européennes: vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen?". Ipsos (in French). 19 March 2024.
  23. "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con una ventaja aún mayor sobre el PSOE que el 23J". ABC (in Spanish). 4 March 2024.
  24. "El PP incrementa hasta más de 10 puntos su ventaja sobre el PSOE ante las elecciones europeas". El Español (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
  25. "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con holgura y arrancaría casi 700.000 votos al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 27 January 2024.
  26. "El PP ganaría las europeas con casi 9 puntos sobre el PSOE y Podemos lograría dos escaños". El Español (in Spanish). 7 January 2024.
  27. "El PP ganaría por nueve puntos al PSOE, dobla su representación e Irene Montero conseguiría un escaño para Podemos en las europeas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2024.
  28. "El PP ganaría al PSOE por 7,6 puntos y cinco escaños si las elecciones europeas se celebrasen hoy". El Español (in Spanish). 27 November 2023.