Opinion polling for the 2024 Indian general election

Last updated

In the run-up to the 2024 Indian general election, various media houses and polling agencies, are carrying out opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Contents

Seats by constituency. As this is a FPTP election, seat totals are not determined proportional to each party's total vote share, but instead by the plurality in each constituency Wahlkreise in Indien.svg
Seats by constituency. As this is a FPTP election, seat totals are not determined proportional to each party's total vote share, but instead by the plurality in each constituency

Seats and vote share projections

Vote share projections Opinion polling for the 2024 Indian general election.svg
Vote share projections
Vote share projections
Polling agencyDate publishedSample sizeMargin of errorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [1] 57,566±3–5%46.639.813.66.8
News 18 March 2024 [2] 118,616±4%48322016
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [3] 41,762 [4] ±5%4639157
Times Now-ETGMarch 2024 [5] 323,357 [6] ±3%5242610
Zee News-MatrizeFebruary 2024 [7] 167,843±2%43.627.724.915.9
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [8] 149,092 [9] ±3–5%4538178
Times Now-ETGFebruary 2024 [10] 156,843 [11] ±2%41.828.629.613.2
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [12] 200,000±3–5%4238204
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [13] [14] 147,231 [15] ±3%4439175
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [16] [17] 54,250±3%43.439.117.54.3
Times Now-ETG October 2023 [18] 135,100 [19] ±3%42.640.217.22.4
August 2023 [20] [21] 110,662 [22] ±3%42.640.217.22.4
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [23] 160,438±3–5%4341162
Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc
India Today-CVoter January 2023 [24] 140,917±3–5%43302713
2019 election results45.3%27.5%27.2%NDA
Seat projections
Polling agencyDate publishedSample sizeMargin of errorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [1] 57,566±3–5%37315515NDA
Times Now-ETGApril 2024 [25] 271,292 [26] ±3%38411841NDA
News18 March 2024 [27] 118,616 [28] ±4%41110527NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [29] 41,762±5%36615621NDA
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [30] 162,900 [31] ±3%3789867NDA
Times Now-ETGMarch 2024 [32] 323,357±3%358–398110–13040–50NDA
Zee News-MatrizeFebruary 2024 [7] 167,843±2%3779373NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [33] 149,092 [34] ±3–5%33516642NDA
Times Now-ETGFebruary 2024 [35] 156,843±2%36610473NDA
ABP-CVoter December 2023 [12] 200,000±3–5%295–335165–20535–65NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [13] [14] 147,231±3%319–339148–16852–61NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [16] [17] 54,250±3%31517256NDA
Times Now-ETG October 2023 [18] 135,100±3%297–317165–18557–65NDA
August 2023 [36] [21] 110,662±3%296–326160–19056–64NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [23] 160,438±3–5%30619354NDA
Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc
India Today-CVoter January 2023 [37] 140,917±3–5%29815392NDA
2019 election results3539199NDA

Data of states and union territories

Andaman and Nicobar Islands (1)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
India TV-CNXApril 2024 [38] ±3%100NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [39] ±5%100NDA

Andhra Pradesh (25)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
YSRCP NDA INDIA Others
TDP+ BJP
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [40] ±5%52000NDA
News 18 March 2024 [41] ±3%71800NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [42] ±5%52000NDA
TDP+ joins NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [43] ±3–5%817000TDP
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [44] ±3%24–250–1000YSRCP
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [45] ±3%1510000YSRCP
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [46] ±3%24–250–1000YSRCP
August 2023 [47] ±3%24–250–1000YSRCP
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
YSRCP NDA INDIA Others
TDP+ BJP
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [40] ±5%39.9%46.7%13.4%6.8
News 18 March 2024 [41] ±3%41%50%6%3%9
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [42] ±5%42%45%3%10%3
TDP+ joins NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [43] ±3–5%41%45%2%3%9%4
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [44] ±3%50%47%1%1%1%3
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [45] ±3–5%46%42%2%2%8%4
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [46] ±3%51.1%36.4%1.3%1.1%10.1%14.7

Arunachal Pradesh (2)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [48] ±5%200NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [49] ±5%200NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023[ citation needed ]±3%200NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023[ citation needed ]±3%200NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023[ citation needed ]±3%200NDA
August 2023[ citation needed ]±3%200NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [50] ±5%63%32%5%31
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [51] ±5%61%32%7%29

Assam (14)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [52] ±5%1220NDA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [53] ±5%1220NDA
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [54] ±3%1211NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [55] ±3-5%1220NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [56] ±3%9-112-40-1NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [57] ±3%1211NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [58] ±3%7-94-60-1NDA
August 2023±3%9-113-40-1NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [59] ±3-5%1211NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [60] ±5%51.8%35.5%16.3%12.7
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [61] ±5%45%38%13%7
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [62] ±3-5%46%31%23%15
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [63] ±3-5%48%36%16%12

Bihar (40)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [64] ±3-5%3370NDA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [65] ±5%3280NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [66] ±3-5%3280NDA
JD(U) leaves INDIA and joins NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [67] ±3-5%16-1821-230-2INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [68] ±3%22-2415-170NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [69] ±3%24160NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [70] ±3%18-2020-220INDIA
August 2023 [71] ±3%22-2416-180NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [72] ±3-5%14260INDIA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [73] ±3-5%50.8%39.9%9.3%10.9
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [65] ±5%50%35%15%15
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [66] ±3-5%52%38%10%14
JD(U) leaves INDIA and joins NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [74] ±3-5%43%47%10%4

Chandigarh (1)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [75] ±5%100NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [76] ±5%100NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%100NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%100NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%100NDA
August 2023±3%100NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [77] ±5%51%44%5%6

Chhattisgarh (11)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [78] ±3-5%1100NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [79] ±5%1100NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [80] ±3-5%1010NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [81] ±3-5%9-110-20NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [82] ±3%10-110-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [83] ±3%740NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [84] ±3%7-92-40NDA
August 2023 [85] ±3%6-83-50NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [86] ±3-5%1010NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [78] ±3-5%54.8%40.8%4.4%14
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [79] ±5%55%41%4%14
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [87] ±3-5%54%38%8%16
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [88] ±3-5%51%41%8%10

Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu (2)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [89] ±5%200NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%200NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%200NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%1-20-10NDA
August 2023±3%1-20-10NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [90] ±5%52%19%29%23

Delhi (7)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [91] ±5%700NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [92] ±3-5%700NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [93] ±3%6-70-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [94] ±3%700NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [95] ±3%5-61-20NDA
August 2023 [96] ±3%5-61-20NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [97] ±3-5%700NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [91] ±5%57%36%7%21
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [98] ±3-5%57%40%3%17
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [99] ±3-5%54%42%4%12

Goa (2)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [100] ±5%110Tie
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [101] ±5%110Tie
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [102] ±3%200NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [103] ±3-5%110Tie
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [104] ±3%1-20-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [105] ±3%200NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [106] ±3%1-20-10NDA
August 2023±3%1-20-10NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [100] ±5%46%44.9%9.1%1.1
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [101] ±5%45.6%48.3%6.1%2.7
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [107] ±3-5%37%55%8%18

Gujarat (26)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [108] ±3-5%2600NDA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [109] ±3-5%2600NDA
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [110] ±3%2600NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [111] ±3-5%2600NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023±3-5%2600NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [112] ±3%2600NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [113] ±3%2600NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [114] ±3%2600NDA
August 2023 [115] ±3%2600NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [108] ±3-5%63%33.7%3.3%29.3
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [109] ±3-5%64%35%1%29
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [116] ±3-5%62%26%12%36

Haryana (10)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [117] ±5%910NDA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [118] ±5%820NDA
JJP leaves the NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [119] ±3-5%820NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [120] ±3%8-100-20NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [121] ±3%820NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [122] ±3%7-91-30NDA
August 2023 [122] ±3%6-82-40NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [117] ±5%53%38%9%15
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [123] ±5%52%38%10%14
JJP leaves NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [124] ±3-5%50%38%12%12

Himachal Pradesh (4)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [125] ±5%400NDA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [126] ±5%400NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [127] ±3-5%400NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [128] ±3%3-40-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [129] ±3%310NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [130] ±3%3-40-10NDA
August 2023 [131] ±3%3-40-10NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [125] ±5%63%33.2%3.8%29.8
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [126] ±5%65%32%3%33
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [132] ±3-5%60%29%11%31

Jammu and Kashmir (5)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [133] ±3-5%320INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%2-31-30-1INDIA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [134] ±5%320INDIA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [135] ±3-5%320INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%2-31-30-1INDIA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%221Tie between INDIA and NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%3-41-20-1INDIA
August 2023±3%2-31-30-1INDIA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [136] ±3-5%47%44.9%8.1%3.1
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [134] ±5%41.4%51.5%7.1%10.1
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [137] ±3-5%49%36%15%13

Jharkhand (14)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [138] ±5%1220NDA
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [139] ±3%1310NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [140] ±3-5%1220NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [141] ±3%11-131-30NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [142] ±3%1310NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [143] ±3%9-113-50NDA
August 2023 [144] ±3%10-122-40NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [138] ±5%52%35%13%17
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [140] ±3-5%56%30%14%26

Karnataka (28)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [145] ±3-5%2350NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [146] ±5%2350NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [147] ±3-5%2440NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [148] ±3-5%22-244-60NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [149] ±3%20-226-80-1NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [150] ±3%18100NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [151] ±3%18-217-90NDA
August 2023 [152] ±3%18-208-100-1NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [153] ±3-5%2350NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 [145] ±3-5%52%42%6%10
EedinaMarch 2024 [154] ±2%42.4%43.8%13.8%1.4
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [146] ±5%53%42%5%11
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [147] ±3-5%53%42%5%11
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [155] ±3-5%44%34%22%10

Kerala (20)

Polling agencyDate published [lower-alpha 1] Margin of ErrorLead
INDIA NDA Others
UDF LDF
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [156] ±3-5%20000INDIA
Mathrubhumi News-P-MARQMarch 2024 [157] ±3%17300INDIA
News 18 March 2024 [158] ±3%17210INDIA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [159] ±5%19100INDIA
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [160] ±3%16310INDIA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [161] ±3-5%2000INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [162] ±3%15-173-50-10INDIA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [163] ±3%18200INDIA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [164] ±3%18-200-20INDIA
August 2023 [165] ±3%18-200-20INDIA
Polling agencyDate published [lower-alpha 2] Margin of ErrorLead
INDIA NDA Others
UDF LDF
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [166] ±3-5%43%31%21%5%12
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [159] ±5%44.5%31.4%19.8%4.3%13.1
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [167] ±3-5%78%17%5%61
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [168] ±3-5%81%14%5%67

Ladakh (1)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [169] ±5%100NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [169] ±5%44%41%15%3

Lakshadweep (1)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [170] ±5%010INDIA
India Today-CVoterDecember 2023±3-5%010INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%010INDIA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%010INDIA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%010INDIA
August 2023±3%010INDIA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [171] ±5%4%95%1%91

Madhya Pradesh (29)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [172] ±3-5%2810NDA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [173] ±5%2810NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [174] ±3-5%2720NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [175] ±3-5%27-290-20NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [176] ±3%27-290-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [177] ±3%2540NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [178] ±3%25-272-40NDA
August 2023 [179] ±3%24-263-50NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [180] ±3-5%53%43.3%3.7%9.7
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [173] ±5%57.9%40.8%1.3%17.1
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [181] ±3-5%58%38%4%20
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [182] ±3-5%48%41%11%7

Maharashtra (48)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [183] ±3-5%18300NDA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [184] ±5%20280NDA
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [185] ±3%13350NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [186] ±3-5%26220INDIA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [187] ±3-5%26-2819-210-2INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [188] ±3%16-2027-311-2NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [189] ±3%20280NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [190] ±3%16-2026-301-2NDA
August 2023 [191] ±3%15-1928-321-2NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [192] ±3-5%28200INDIA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [193] ±3-5%30180NDA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [184] ±5%42.1%42.7%15.2%0.6
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [194] ±3-5%45%40%15%5
India Today-CVoterAugust 2023 [192] ±3-5%45%40%15%5

Manipur (2)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [195] ±5%200NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%1-20-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%110Tie
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%1-20-10NDA
August 2023±3%1-20-10NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [196] ±5%50%34%16%16

Meghalaya (2)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024±3-5%110Tie
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%1-20-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%200NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%1-20-10NDA
August 2023±3%1-20-10NDA

Mizoram (1)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
ZPM NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [197] ±5%1000ZPM
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024±3-5%1000ZPM
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%0100NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%0100NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%0100NDA
August 2023±3%0100NDA

Nagaland (1)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [198] ±5%100NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%100NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%100NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%100NDA
August 2023±3%100NDA

Odisha (21)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
BJD NDA INDIA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [199] ±5%11100BJD
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [200] ±3%11100BJD
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [201] ±3-5%11100BJD
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [202] ±3%13-155-70-1BJD
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [203] ±3%1380BJD
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [204] ±3%13-155-70-1BJD
August 2023±3%12-146-80-1BJD
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
BJD NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [199] ±5%40.9%40.2%13.8%5.1%0.7
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [201] ±3-5%41%40%12%7%1

Puducherry (1)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [205] ±5%010INDIA

Punjab (13)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
INDIA NDA SAD Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [206] ±5%11110INDIA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [207] ±3-5%10210INDIA
ABP-CVoter December 2023 [208] ±3-5%9-110-20-20INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [209] ±3%6-103-51-20-1INDIA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [210] ±3%11110INDIA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [211] ±3%8-111-31-20INDIA
August 2023 [212] ±3%8-121-21-20-1INDIA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
INDIA NDA SAD Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [206] ±5%57%16%17%10%40
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [207] ±3-5%65%17%18%47

Rajasthan (25)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [213] ±5%2500NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [214] ±3-5%2500NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [215] ±3-5%23-250-20NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [216] ±3%24-250-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [217] ±3%2320NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [218] ±3%21-241-20-1NDA
August 2023 [219] ±3%19-222-40-1NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [213] ±5%60%39%1%21
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [214] ±3-5%59%35%6%24

Sikkim (1)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
SDF NDA INDIA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [220] ±5%010NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%010NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%010NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%010NDA
August 2023±3%010NDA

Tamil Nadu (39)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
INDIA AIADMK NDA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [221] ±3-5%39000INDIA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [222] ±3-5%39000INDIA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [223] ±3-5%39000INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [224] ±3%30-363-60-10-2INDIA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [225] ±3%32511INDIA
AIADMK leaves NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [226] ±3%30-343-70-10-1INDIA
August 2023 [227] ±3%30-343-70-10-1INDIA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [228] ±3-5%39000INDIA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
INDIA NDA AIADMK Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [222] ±3-5%54.7%10.9%27.9%6.8%26.9
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [229] ±3-5%47%15%38%9
AIADMK leaves NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [230] ±3-5%53%33%14%20

Telangana (17)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
BRS INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [231] ±5%11051INDIA
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [232] ±5%31041INDIA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [233] ±3-5%31031INDIA
ABP-CVoter December 2023 [234] ±3-5%3-59-111-31-2INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [235] ±3%3-58-103-50-1INDIA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [236] ±3%8261BRS
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [237] ±3%9-113-42-30-1BRS
August 2023 [238] ±3%9-113-42-30-1BRS
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [239] ±3-5%6740INDIA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
BRS INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoterApril 2024 [231] ±5%27%42%26%5%15
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [232] ±5%28%43%25%4%15
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [233] ±3-5%29%41%21%9%12
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [240] ±3-5%37%38%23%2%1

Tripura (2)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [241] ±5%200NDA
TMP joins NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023±3%200NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023±3%200NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023±3%200NDA
August 2023±3%1-20-10NDA

Uttar Pradesh (80)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA BSP Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [242] ±5%74600NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [243] ±3-5%72800NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [244] ±3-5%73-754-60-20NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [245] ±3%70-744-80-11-3NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [246] ±3%73700NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [247] ±3%70-744-81-30-1NDA
August 2023 [248] ±3%69-735-90-11-3NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 [249] ±3-5%72800NDA
ABP News-MatrizeMarch 2023 [250] ±3%67-731-20-43-6NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA BSP Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [251] ±5%51%35%8%6%16
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [243] ±3-5%52%36%12%16
India Today-CVoterAugust 2023 [252] ±3-5%49%38%13%11

Uttarakhand (5)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [253] ±5%500NDA
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [254] ±3-5%500NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [255] ±3%4-50-10NDA
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [256] ±3%500NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 [257] ±3%4-50-10NDA
August 2023±3%4-50-10NDA
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoterMarch 2024 [253] ±5%63%35%2%28
India Today-CVoterFebruary 2024 [258] ±3-5%59%32%9%27

West Bengal (42)

Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
AITC NDA SDA Others
News18March 2024 [259] ±4%172500NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [260] ±5%231900AITC
India TV-CNXMarch 2024 [261] ±3%212010AITC
Zee News-MatrizeFebruary 2024 [262] ±2%241710AITC
India Today-CVoter February 2024 [263] ±3-5%221910AITC
Times Now-ETGFebruary 2024 [264] ±2%261510AITC
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 [265] ±3-5%23-2516-180-20AITC
Times Now-ETG December 2023 [266] ±3%20-2418-202-40AITC
India TV-CNXOctober 2023 [267] ±3%301020AITC
Times Now-ETG August 2023 [268] ±3%22-2416-180-30AITC
Polling agencyDate publishedMargin of ErrorLead
AITC NDA SDA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 [269] ±5%42.5%40.9%17.6%1.6

Preferred candidate for prime minister

Polling AgencyDate published
Narendra Modi Rahul Gandhi Others/None/

Can't say

ABP News-CVoter [270] April 202458%16%26%
The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti [271] April 202448%27%25%
Times Now-ETG [272] April 202464%17%19%
News18 [273] March 202469%31%0%
ABP News-CVoter [274] March 202462.7%27.5%9.8%
Times Now-ETG [275] February 202464%17%19%
India Today-CVoter [276] February 202454.9%13.8%31.3%
ABP News-CVoter [277] December 202358.6%32%9.4%
India Today-CVoter [278] August 202352%16%32%
Times Now-ETG [279] July 202364%13%23%
CSDS-Lokniti [280] May 202343.4%26.8%29.8%
TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat [281] March 202358%19.9%22.1%
India Today-CVoter [282] January 202353%14%33%
India Today-CVoter [283] August 202253%9%38%
India TV-Matrize [284] July 202248%11%41%
India Today-CVoter [285] January 202252.5%6.8%40.7%
India Today-Karvy [286] August 202124%10%66%
India Today-Karvy [287] January 202138%7%55%
India Today-Karvy [288] August 202066%8%26%
ABP News-CVoter [289] January 202070%25.4%4.6%
India Today-Karvy [290] January 202053%13%34%

Approval ratings

Union government

Polling firmDate publishedApproveDisapproveDK/NAStrongly

approve

ApproveDisapproveStrongly

disapprove

DK/NANetMargin of errorSample

size

The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti [291] April 202459%39%2%23%34%19%20%2% +20%-10,019
ABP News-CVoter [274] March 202470.67%26.67%2.66%40.8%29.87%26.67%2.66%+44%±5%41,762
CSDS-Lokniti [292] May 202354.7%40.2%5.1%17.0%37.7%19.4%20.8%5.1%+14.5%-7,202

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's performance

Polling firmDate publishedApproveDisapproveDK/NAStrongly

approve

ApproveDisapproveStrongly

disapprove

DK/NANetMargin of errorSample

size

ABP News-CVoter [274] March 202477.11%21.47%1.42%51.41%25.7%21.47%1.42%+56%±5%41,762

Exit polls

The Election Commission of India banned the publication of all exit polls starting 48 hours before Phase 1 of the election until the end of Phase 7. This was intended to prevent exit polls from earlier phases affecting voter decisions in later phases. The ban ended after the close of Phase 7 voting at 18:30 IST on 1 June 2024. [293]

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others
2019 election results3539199NDA
ABP News-CVoter [294] 368±15167±158±496
Agni News Services[ citation needed ]24226437HUNG
Dainik Bhaskar [ citation needed ]316±34173±2841±844
DB Live [ citation needed ]221±15275±1538±103
India Today-Axis My India [295] 381±20148±1814±6109
India News-Dynamics[ citation needed ]3711254799
India TV-CNX [296] 386±15134±1533±596
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat [297] 377±15151±1015±5105
News18-CNBC [ citation needed ]362±8132±847±590
News 24-Today's Chanakya [ citation needed ]400±15107-1136±9128
News Nation [ citation needed ]360±18161±822±188
Republic TV-Matrize[ citation needed ]360±8126±83088
Republic TV-PMarq[ citation needed ]3591543087
Times Now-ETG [ citation needed ]3581523386
TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat [298] 3461623574
2024 election results293232TBDTBD

Exit polls by states and union territories

Andaman and Nicobar Islands

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Andhra Pradesh

Polling agencyLead
NDA YSRCP INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter [299] 21-250-400NDA
India Today-Axis My India 21-232-400NDA
India News-Dynamics18700NDA
India TV-CNX19-233-500NDA
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat10-148-1300NDA
CNN-CNBC-News 18 19-225-800NDA
News 24-Today's Chanakya 22300NDA
News Nation 19600NDA
Republic TV-Matrize19-223-600NDA
Republic TV-PMarq141100NDA
Times Now-ETG 111400YSRCP
TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat121300YSRCP
Times Now-NavBharat 101500YSRCP
DB Live 7-915-170-20YSRCP
Actual Results

Arunachal Pradesh

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others
India Today Axis My India200NDA
2019 Results200NDA
Actual results

Assam

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others

Bihar

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others
India Today Axis My India29-337-100NDA
DB Live14-1624-260INDIA
Jan Ki Baat33-373-70NDA
News1831-346-90NDA
ABP C-Voter35-383-50NDA
2019 Election Results3910NDA
Actual Results2910

Chandigarh

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Chhattisgarh

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Delhi

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others
India Today-Axis My India6-70-10NDA
Actual Results

Goa

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others
DB Live 1±11±10Tie
2019 election 110Tie
Actual Results

Gujarat

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Haryana

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Himachal Pradesh

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Jammu and Kashmir

Polling agencyLead
INDIA NDA Others

Jharkhand

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Karnataka

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News 23-253-50NDA
India News-Dynamics2350NDA
India TV-CNX20-244-80NDA
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat19-254-80NDA
CNN-CNBC-News 18 19-226-90NDA
News 24-Today's Chanakya 20-280-80NDA
News Nation 18100NDA
Republic TV-Matrize2170NDA
Republic Bharat-PMarq2260NDA
Times Now-ETG 2350NDA
DB Live 8-1018-200INDIA
Actual Results1990NDA

Kerala

Polling agencyLead
UDF LDF NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter [300] 17-1901-30UDF
India Today-Axis My India 17-180-11-30UDF
India News-Dynamics14-173-50-10UDF
India TV-CNX13-153-51-30UDF
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat14-173-50-10UDF
CNN-CNBC-News 18 15-181-300UDF
News 24-Today's Chanakya 15140UDF
News Nation 17-1901-30UDF
Republic TV-Matrize17300UDF
Republic TV-PMarq17300UDF
Times Now-ETG 14-15410UDF
Times Now-NavBharat 16-18410UDF
DB Live 17-192-30-10UDF
Actual Results1811

Ladakh

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Lakshadweep

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Madhya Pradesh

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Maharashtra

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Manipur

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Meghalaya

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Mizoram

Polling agencyLead
ZPM NDA INDIA Others

Nagaland

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Odisha

[301] [302] [303]

Polling agencyLead
NDA BJD INDIA Others
India Today-Axis My India 18-200-20-10NDA
Jan Ki Baat15-183-700NDA
ABP-CVoter 17-191-30-20NDA
India TV-CNX15-174-60-10NDA
News 24-Today's Chanakya 16410NDA
News Nation 14610NDA
Dainik Bhaskar 14-156-70-10NDA
DB Live 6-812-140-10BJD
News18 Mega Exit Polls13-156-800NDA
India News-Dynamics13800NDA
Times Now-ETG13800NDA
Republic-PMarq12810NDA
Republic Bharat-Matrize9-127-100-10NDA
2019 results 81210BJD
Actual results20010NDA

Puducherry

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Punjab

Polling agencyLead
INDIA NDA SAD Others
DB Live 13000INDIA
2019 election 9220INDIA
Actual Results10012INDIA

Rajasthan

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

Sikkim

Polling agencyLead
SDF NDA INDIA Others

Tamil Nadu

Polling agencyLead
INDIA AIADMK NDA Others

Telangana

Polling agencyLead
INDIA NDA BRS Others

Tripura

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others
DB Live 0-20-20Tie
India Today-Axis My India200NDA
2019 election 200NDA
Actual Results

Uttar Pradesh

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA BSP Others
Republic-PMarq691100NDA
DB Live 46-4832-3400NDA
IndiaNews Dynamics691100NDA
India TV-CNX62-6812-160-10NDA
India-Today Axis My India64-6713-160-10NDA
Jan Ki Baat68-746-1200NDA
News Nation 671300NDA
News24-Today's Chanakya681200NDA
2019 election 646100NDA
Actual Results

Uttarakhand

Polling agencyLead
NDA INDIA Others

West Bengal

Polling agencyLead
NDA AITC LF+INC Others
ABP News-CVoter 23-2713-171-30NDA
DB Live 11-1226-282-40AITC
India Today- Axis My India 26-3111-140-20NDA
India News-Dynamics211920NDA
India TV-CNX22-2614-181-20NDA
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat21-2618-160-30NDA
News 24-Today's Chanakya 241710NDA
News 18-CNBC 21-2418-2100NDA
News Nation 192210AITC
Republic TV-Matrize21-2516-2100NDA
Republic TV-PMarq222000NDA
Times Now-ETG212010NDA
TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat212010NDA
2019 election 182220AITC
Actual Results

See also

Related Research Articles

In the run up to the Indian general election, 2019, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the Jan 2018 to April 2019. Many organisations have gone on to conduct exit polls and post-poll surveys as well, which too are displayed.

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Notes

  1. Some polls did not differentiate between UDF and LDF, even though they are contesting separately.
  2. Some polls did not differentiate between UDF and LDF, even though they are contesting separately.