Opinion polling for the 2024 Romanian presidential election

Last updated

In preparation for the next presidential elections in Romania, which will take place at the end of 2024 at the latest, various polling companies and organizations in Romania have already conducted a series of opinion polls to measure and track voting intention among the electorate in assembly. The results of all these opinion polls are shown in the annual tables below in this Wikipedia article.

Contents

First round graphic representation

First round

2024 Opinion polls

PollDateSample Geoană
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
Simion
AUR
Ciucă
PNL
Șoșoacă
S.O.S.
Drulă
USR
Kelemen
UDMR
Cioloș
REPER
Kövesi
Ind.
Others









AtlasIntel 5-9 April 20241,76433.611.810.710.91.46.9-
279.612.6510.611.30.76.1-
27.39.212.49.813.63.06.4-
INSCOP 14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00026.024.013.012.08.03.09.0-
INSCOP Research 16-24 jan 20241,10026.518.913.311.414.05.93.65.1-1.3
Snap Market Research 3–8 Jan 2024998122913814 [lower-alpha 1] 510 [lower-alpha 2] 9 [lower-alpha 3]

Opinion polls with Geoană (independent) (2023)

PollDateSample Geoană
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
Simion
AUR
Ciucă
PNL
Șoșoacă
S.O.S.
Drulă
USR
Lasconi
USR
Orban
FD
Kelemen
UDMR
Cioloș
REPER
Kövesi
Ind.
Hellvig
Ind.
Others
INSCOP 20–27 Nov 20231,10026.220.814.012.114.44.22.43.91.9
INSCOP 23 Oct–2 Nov 20231,10027.721.8 [lower-alpha 4] 18.910.512.13.14.3
AtlasIntel 20–29 Oct 20232,00020.410.37.70.713.36.92.33.43.02.410.96.413.4
INSCOP 15–22 Sep 20231,55025.319.518.711.210.15.62.74.13.4
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jan 20232,00022.610.64.96.18.03.84.42.016.40.420.9 [lower-alpha 5]
14.66.29.74.65.54.55.12.95.116.90.524.2 [lower-alpha 6]
ElectionNov 201922.2637.8215.023.87

Opinion polls without Geoană (2023)

PollDateSample Ciucă
PNL
Ciolacu
PSD
Drulă
USR
Kelemen
UDMR
Kövesi
Ind.
Simion
AUR
Șoșoacă
S.O.S.
Cioloș
REPER
Orban
FD
Hellvig
Ind.
Others
INSCOP 20–27 Nov 20231,10014.127.47.12.718.019.16.74.9
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jan 20232,0008.013.37.42.115.710.45.95.35.02.924.1 [lower-alpha 7]
ElectionNov 201937.8222.2615.023.87

Opinion polls with potential candidates (before 2023)

PollDateSample Cîțu

PNL

Orban

PNL

Ciolacu

PSD

Barna

USR PLUS

Cioloș

USR PLUS

Drulă

USR PLUS

Diaconescu

PMP

Kelemen

UDMR

Simion

AUR

Șoșoacă

NR/S.O.S.

Geoană

Ind.

Dragnea

PAINE/ApP

Others
Gazeta Civică [1] 15–31 Jul 20211,11211.04.022.05.033.06.0
INSOMAR [2] 1–8 May 20211,03012.0316.122.0013.48.314.24.06.63.37
INSOMAR [3] 8–11 Feb 20211,0303.011.423.021.0412.63.017.00.08.96
ElectionNov 201937.8222.2615.025.723.870.3414.97

Second round

Geoană vs Ciolacu

PollDateSample Geoană
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
INSCOP 14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00061.039.0
AtlasIntel 20–29 Oct 20232,00064.935.1

Geoană vs Simion

PollDateSample Geoană
Ind.
Simion
AUR
INSCOP 14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00075.025.0
AtlasIntel 20–29 Oct 20232,00071.828.2
INSCOP 15–22 Sep 20231,55063.536.5
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jan 20232,00069.530.5

Geoană vs Ciucă

PollDateSample Geoană
Ind.
Ciucă
PNL
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jan 20232,00076.223.8

Geoană vs Kövesi

PollDateSample Geoană
Ind.
Kövesi
Ind.
INSCOP 14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00066.034.0
AtlasIntel 20–29 Oct 20232,00061.238.8
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jan 20232,00053.146.9

Ciolacu vs Simion

PollDateSample Ciolacu
PSD
Simion
AUR
AtlasIntel 20–29 Oct 20232,00069.530.5
INSCOP 15–22 Sep 20231,55058.841.2
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jan 20232,00054.145.9

Ciolacu vs Drulă

PollDateSample Ciolacu
PSD
Drulă
USR
AtlasIntel 20–29 Oct 20232,00050.449.6

Ciolacu vs Ciucă

PollDateSample Ciolacu
PSD
Ciucă
PNL
INSCOP 14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00063.037.0
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jan 20232,00051.748.3

Ciolacu vs Kövesi

PollDateSample Kövesi
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
AtlasIntel 20–29 Oct 20232,00058.641.4
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jan 20232,00057.842.2

The first round among Romanian citizens from the Republic of Moldova

PollDateSample Geoană
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
Simion
AUR
Ciucă
PNL
Șoșoacă
S.O.S.
Drulă
USR
Kelemen
UDMR
Cioloș
REPER
Piedone
PUSL
Others/

n/a










iDATA 22 – 26 Apr1,00615.03.12.43.44.80.71.05.56.158.0 [4]
34.67.15.57.811.11.6 [5] 2.312.714.1
CBS-Research 6 – 13 Apr1,00814.14.71.02.44.10.972.8 [6]
51.917.33.715.014.03.3

Notes

  1. In this scenario, USR, PMP, FD and REPER are supporting Kövesi as an independent candidate
  2. In this scenario, USR, PMP, FD and REPER are supporting Kövesi as an independent candidate
  3. Dan Chitic (BSR): 7%
  4. With PNL endorsement
  5. Don't know 11.1, invalid/blank vote 9.8
  6. Don't know 13.1, invalid/blank vote 11.1
  7. Don't know 13.0, invalid/blank vote 11.1

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    References

    1. "Vă prezentăm cifrele ultimului sondaj pentru Palatul Cotroceni" (in Romanian). Gazeta Civică | Cotidian Național de opinie și atitudine civică!. Archived from the original on 2021-08-04. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
    2. "Opțiuni politice de mai | INSOMAR.ORG". insomar.org (in Romanian). Retrieved 2021-05-14.
    3. "SONDAJ INSOMAR. Răsturnare de situație – pe cine vor românii la Cotroceni. Calculele care dau fiori clasei politice". Realitatea de Tulcea. 2021-02-12.[ permanent dead link ]
    4. Niciunul dintre cei menționați – 15% Nu știu/Nu răspund – 41,6% Dan Barna – 1,4%
    5. Dan Barna 3.2%
    6. 44% dintre respondenți au arătat că nu au decis încă pentru cine ar vota la viitoarele alegeri prezidențiale din România, în timp ce 24,8% nu ar participa la vot. 4.0% NR