Opinion polling for the 2026 Swedish general election

Last updated

Opinion polling for the next Swedish general election
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  2022 On or before 13 September 2026

In the run-up to the next Swedish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Sweden. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2022 Swedish general election, held on 11 September, to the present day. The next election is scheduled for 13 September 2026, but a snap election may be held earlier.

Contents

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

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2024

Polling executionPartiesBlocs
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeOppositionGovernment + SupportOth.LeadPercentageLeadSeatsLead
V S MP C L M KD SD Red-GreenTidö PartiesRed-GreenTidö Parties
Verian 22 Apr–5 May3,1867.834.35.14.33.618.93.520.22.314.151.546.25.319815147
Indikator 28 Mar–22 Apr2,5848.733.65.14.42.720.12.920.91.812.751.846.65.219415539
Novus 25 Mar–21 Apr2,5847.734.64.95.03.720.53.319.60.714.152.247.15.119815147
Demoskop for Aftonbladet 24 Mar–8 Apr2,4337.835.24.44.02.720.23.220.81.714.451.446.94.519415541
Verian 25 Mar–7 Apr3,1727.734.74.54.23.420.53.719.51.714.251.147.14.019515441
Novus 19 Feb–17 Mar2,2307.836.24.64.63.119.53.819.11.316.753.245.57.720214755
Verian 19 Feb–3 Mar3,0008.433.84.54.62.919.63.620.72.013.151.246.84.419515441
Novus 22 Jan–18 Feb2,3248.935.43.84.83.318.73.220.51.414.952.945.77.219415539
Demoskop for Aftonbladet 27 Jan–11 Feb2,4736.636.64.24.02.818.63.321.12.515.551.445.86.519715247
Verian 22 Jan–4 Feb3,1617.835.74.54.33.417.53.621.41.814.352.345.96.420014951
Indikator 5–29 Jan2,4798.236.64.54.53.117.33.221.11.515.553.844.79.120414559
Ipsos 16–28 Jan1,646934453184212135147419115833
SKOP 21 Dec–22 Jan1,0147.233.44.24.45.018.63.023.30.910.149.249.90.71791709
Novus 22 Dec–21 Jan2,9997.835.44.45.13.118.53.621.11.014.352.746.36.419915049
Verian 25 Dec–7 Jan3,1797.035.94.74.03.317.23.822.51.614.051.646.84.819715245
Indikator 7 Dec–2 Jan2,4687.237.05.33.42.717.52.623.01.414.052.945.87.119015931
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.830.35.16.74.619.15.320.51.59.848.949.60.71731763

2023

Polling executionPartiesBlocs
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeOppositionGovernment + SupportOth.LeadPercentageLeadSeatsLead
V S MP C L M KD SD Red-GreenTidö PartiesRed-GreenTidö Parties
Ipsos 5–17 Dec1,70593545315324211.053.045.08.020114853
Verian 27 Nov–10 Dec~3,0007.835.74.44.32.717.03.622.52.013.252.245.86.419915049
Sentio 30 Nov–4 Dec7.234.95.14.23.216.03.124.22.110.751.446.54.919515441
Indikator 3–27 Nov6,9227.338.34.33.83.216.22.722.61.615.753.744.79.019615343
Ipsos 13–26 Nov83654316421315.053.044.09.019815147
Novus 16 Oct–12 Nov2,7557.737.84.24.22.717.42.822.11.115.753.945.08.920114853
Sentio 3–7 Nov8.936.03.93.42.517.24.322.31.513.752.246.35.91771725
Verian 16–29 Oct3,0737.337.64.73.73.017.43.521.21.716.453.645.18.519615343
Indikator 3–25 Oct8.137.94.84.12.316.12.922.01.815.954.943.311.620614363
SKOP 9–22 Oct~1,0007.035.24.45.03.719.73.220.61.414.651.647.24.419615343
Novus 18 Sep–15 Oct7.437.84.44.82.718.22.620.71.417.154.444.212.220414559
Sentio 3–10 Oct7.633.14.54.64.918.02.922.32.110.849.848.11.71791709
Kantar 18 Sep–1 Oct3,0748.137.44.64.03.017.53.620.21.617.254.144.39.820414559
Novus 21 Aug–17 Sep7.837.05.73.93.019.13.718.21.617.954.444.010.420114853
Sentio 7–12 Sep8.637.24.23.82.817.34.120.81.216.453.845.08.818916029
Kantar 21 Aug–3 Sep~3,0007.637.64.33.93.019.03.119.71.814.953.444.88.619615343
Novus 7–20 Aug3,3917.838.44.84.63.319.03.617.31.219.455.643.212.421113873
Sentio 10–15 Aug9.937.85.14.42.017.73.418.11.616.057.241.216.021313677
Kantar 17–30 Jul3,0777.638.04.84.33.219.23.218.11.618.854.743.711.020714265
Novus 26 Jun–16 Jul4,6887.237.04.34.52.820.03.318.92.017.053.045.08.020114853
Sentio 3–7 Jul8.435.73.94.33.018.53.321.02.014.752.345.86.519215735
Demoskop 13–25 Jun2,4088.734.12.84.73.021.54.119.12.112.650.347.72.6180[ citation needed ][ under discussion ]16911
Novus 29 May–21 Jun3,1407.836.64.74.73.620.43.317.61.316.253.844.98.920414559
Sentio 15–19 Jun8.236.62.95.03.417.73.621.01.515.652.745.77.019615343
Ipsos 5–18 Jun1,6078.037.44.04.54.119.23.517.12.118.254.044.010.020014951
Demoskop 25 May–7 Jun2,3958.134.53.34.93.221.24.018.91.913.350.847.33.5181[ citation needed ][ under discussion ]16813
Sifo 22 May–4 Jun3,0787.836.14.14.43.520.23.619.21.115.952.446.55.919915049
SCB 27 Apr–24 May9,2617.338.64.14.23.419.13.718.01.719.554.244.210.020714265
Ipsos 9–21 May1,6768.936.84.04.73.417.53.618.62.018.254.443.110.320914069
Sifo 1–11 May5,3858.236.34.34.32.820.04.018.31.816.353.145.18.019415539
Sentio 4–10 May7.938.34.53.33.516.23.321.62.016.754.044.010.020014951
Novus 3–30 Apr3,2437.538.44.74.43.220.23.716.41.518.255.043.511.521013971
Demoskop 14–24 Apr2,2028.035.33.14.93.320.64.018.92.014.751.346.84.518416519
Ipsos 11–23 Apr1,5889.235.54.44.93.619.13.317.82.216.454.043.810.220714265
Sifo 3–13 Apr3,6717.136.94.54.33.319.63.818.81.717.352.845.59.720114853
Sentio 6–12 Apr6.337.74.53.43.319.43.519.82.217.951.946.09.719315667
Demoskop 24 Mar–3 Apr2,0267.935.32.94.73.521.83.918.61.413.550.847.83.018916029
Novus 27 Feb–2 Apr3,5147.737.64.34.63.619.93.517.51.317.754.244.59.720814167
Ipsos 14–26 Mar1,7198.136.94.54.73.118.94.117.62.118.054.243.710.520014951
Sifo 6–16 Mar5,2227.837.03.93.83.519.44.318.61.717.652.545.87.11791709
Sentio 9–15 Mar7.935.75.04.03.718.85.018.81.016.952.646.36.319315636
Demoskop 24 Feb–6 Mar2,1358.234.32.84.43.521.74.419.01.712.649.748.61.11781718
Ipsos 14–26 Feb1,6927.336.13.75.33.219.73.918.92.016.452.445.76.719715235
Novus 30 Jan–26 Feb3,3706.738.24.44.93.520.23.617.31.218.054.244.69.620614363
Sifo 6–16 Feb6,3637.536.54.34.33.519.34.318.41.717.252.645.57.119415539
Sentio 9–15 Feb8.434.15.83.73.617.94.920.41.213.752.046.85.218416519
Demoskop 27 Jan–6 Feb2,1037.934.03.25.53.121.14.018.62.512.950.646.83.818216715
Novus 2–29 Jan3,5397.437.15.05.03.019.74.316.91.616.454.543.910.619915049
Ipsos 17–29 Jan1,6597.537.34.05.13.918.04.118.12.019.253.944.19.820014951
Sifo 9–19 Jan3,9417.836.14.45.23.318.44.119.01.717.153.544.88.719615343
Demoskop 31 Dec 2022–9 Jan2,1818.832.72.46.03.420.84.219.81.911.949.948.21.71791709
Novus 28 Nov 2022–1 Jan2,9237.934.74.35.43.819.64.318.41.615.152.346.16.219315637
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.830.35.16.74.619.15.320.51.59.848.949.60.71731763

2022

Polling executionPartiesBlocs
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeOppositionGovernment + SupportOth.LeadPercentageLeadSeatsLead
V S MP C L M KD SD Red-GreenTidö PartiesRed-GreenTidö Parties
Ipsos 6–18 Dec1,6017.334.54.55.83.218.34.919.42.115.152.145.86.319215735
Sifo 5–15 Dec7.336.14.45.93.518.24.318.81.517.353.744.88.919815147
Sentio 1–7 Dec6.833.65.24.25.017.74.921.60.812.050.049.20.81761733
Demoskop 28 Nov–6 Dec2,1768.933.33.56.14.220.54.817.61.212.851.847.14.71771725
Ipsos 15–28 Nov1,6317.534.24.56.43.419.23.619.02.215.052.645.27.420214755
Novus 31 Oct–27 Nov3,6827.534.24.06.13.619.74.518.91.514.551.846.75.119115833
SCB 27 Oct–24 Nov9,1777.634.64.45.44.118.94.918.21.914.752.046.15.918516421
Sifo 7–17 Nov4,8388.233.45.05.53.620.14.817.71.713.352.146.25.919215735
Sentio 3–7 Nov7.830.24.24.64.120.34.822.61.47.646.851.85.016618317
Demoskop 23 Oct–1 Nov2,2718.831.43.26.04.021.34.619.61.310.149.249.50.316818113
Novus 3–30 Oct3,5147.632.24.55.94.020.24.719.41.512.050.248.31.91781717
Ipsos 11–23 Oct1,5947.431.13.96.53.720.54.720.71.410.448.949.60.71731763
Sifo 3–13 Oct6,0547.431.84.55.84.519.65.019.81.612.049.548.90.61761733
Sentio 6–8 Oct6.632.34.24.13.521.14.723.00.59.347.252.35.11711787
Demoskop 26 Sep–4 Oct2,1908.131.63.85.84.720.84.719.31.210.849.349.50.216718215
Novus 12 Sep–2 Oct6,0237.231.15.05.74.119.64.920.81.610.349.049.40.41741751
Ipsos 13–25 Sep6.831.74.66.64.618.94.820.21.711.549.748.61.11771725
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.830.35.16.74.619.15.320.51.59.848.949.60.71731763

Regional polling

Opinion polls for the general election in Sweden's regions and municipalities.

Stockholm municipality

Vote share in general election

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [1] May 20239.844.06.84.03.816.72.011.81.127.3
SCB [2] Nov 202212.133.88.27.27.016.42.710.62.017.2
2022 election 11 Sep 202211.728.110.08.56.919.13.210.71.97.0

Stockholm County

Excludes the Municipality of Stockholm.

Vote share in general election

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [1] May 20236.634.53.04.15.227.33.114.71.57.2
SCB [2] Nov 20225.434.84.05.15.325.14.114.61.69.7
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.327.15.17.46.024.04.917.61.83.1

Western Sweden

Includes the counties of Västra Götaland and Halland

Vote share in general election

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [1] May 20237.235.55.14.23.720.13.718.02.614.4
SCB [2] Nov 20229.032.04.13.73.718.85.820.32.711.7
2022 election 11 Sep 20227.029.15.06.44.719.55.920.91.58.2

Southern Sweden

Includes the counties of Skåne and Blekinge

Vote share in general election

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [1] May 20239.038.63.63.03.618.02.720.117.5
SCB [2] Nov 20226.436.43.04.64.321.73.818.314.7
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.127.24.75.54.719.84.825.51.71.7

Southeastern Sweden

Includes the counties of Kalmar, Kronoberg, Jönköping and the island of Gotland

Vote share in general election

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [2] Nov 20224.931.33.96.84.319.48.119.41.811.9
2022 election 11 Sep 20224.630.73.67.23.418.57.723.11.87.6

Eastern Central Sweden

Includes the counties of Södermanland, Uppsala, Västmanland, Örebro and Östergötland

Vote share in general election

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [2] Nov 20229.433.84.66.73.117.74.518.21.811.9
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.331.34.76.44.418.75.521.41.39.9

Northern Central Sweden

Includes the counties of Dalarna, Gävleborg and Värmland

Vote share in general election

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [2] Nov 20225.939.44.34.42.715.45.021.617.8
2022 election 11 Sep 20225.433.63.66.43.316.65.624.21.39.4

Northern Sweden

Norrland - Northern Sweden, Includes the counties of Jämtland, Norrbotten, Västerbotten and Västernorrland

Vote share in general election

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [2] Nov 20226.038.44.66.22.813.36.021.31.517.1
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.940.04.37.22.814.05.118.61.121.4

Voting by groups

Vote share by gender

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
MWMWMWMWMWMWMWMWOth.
V S MP C L M KD SD
Sifo22 May–4 Jun 20233,0786.29.632.340.13.15.14.04.84.03.021.119.13.73.423.714.51.2
Novus [3] 3–30 Apr 20233,3235.69.530.946.13.06.43.94.73.92.521.918.43.93.624.67.91.5
Novus [4] 27 Feb–2 Apr 20233,5145.89.631.843.62.95.64.05.33.63.522.117.63.83.324.110.91.3
Novus [5] 30 Jan–26 Feb 20233,3704.78.732.344.33.65.24.35.63.73.322.018.33.93.323.710.81.2
Novus [6] 2–29 Jan 20233,5396.08.830.843.43.16.84.35.73.22.920.918.55.23.523.710.01.6
Novus [7] 28 Nov 2022–1 Jan 20232,9236.19.728.640.93.35.33.97.03.73.923.815.33.84.724.312.41.6
Novus [8] 31 Oct–27 Nov 20223,6825.110.028.939.52.55.55.26.94.42.821.517.84.24.926.411.31.5
SCB [2] 27 Oct–24 Nov 20229,1777.67.629.040.23.35.54.36.54.63.620.916.94.65.323.013.41.9
Novus [9] 3–30 Oct 20223,5146.48.828.036.43.45.54.96.93.94.222.118.44.45.025.113.61.5
Novus [9] 12 Sep–2 Oct 20226,0235.68.723.538.73.46.64.66.85.23.122.216.95.34.528.113.51.6
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.830.35.16.74.619.15.320.51.5

Vote share by gender and age

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Age groupsGender V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [2] 27 Oct–24 Nov 202227418–29Male7.919.53.92.76.032.25.017.85.012.7
249Female18.627.78.211.04.414.17.37.51.69.1
523Total12.923.35.96.65.323.76.113.03.30.4
63030–49Male12.423.65.74.04.623.34.518.93.10.3
593Female9.832.09.06.55.920.95.79.70.711.1
1,223Total11.127.87.35.25.322.15.114.31.95.7
58050–64Male4.629.32.23.85.019.44.429.51.80.2
504Female6.536.13.66.54.718.05.319.20.017.1
1,084Total5.532.52.95.14.918.74.924.61.07.9
62565+Male4.238.31.75.44.017.24.523.71.114.6
615Female4.949.12.64.64.312.54.316.71.132.4
1,240Total4.644.02.25.04.114.74.419.91.124.1
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.830.35.16.74.619.15.320.51.79.8

Vote share by income level

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Income Percentile V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [10] 27 Oct–24 Nov 20226170–20% (Lowest income)11.232.76.26.93.916.05.415.52.216.7
63420–40%8.340.02.73.63.913.95.621.10.918.9
74840–60%8.935.34.94.93.516.14.819.42.215.9
83760–80%7.132.44.44.53.619.65.721.41.311.0
1,10180–100% (Highest income)4.326.14.17.28.928.84.714.31.62.7
2018 election 9 Sep 20186.830.35.16.74.619.15.320.51.59.8

Vote share by living arrangement

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
House type V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [10] 27 Oct–24 Nov 20222,261Own house4.731.34.45.54.921.55.620.61.49.8
814Condominium8.233.85.25.26.921.94.513.21.111.9
908Rental apartment15.935.64.24.93.513.34.016.91.818.7
2018 election 9 Sep 20186.830.35.16.74.619.15.320.51.59.8

Vote share by ethnic background

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Ethnic backgroundGender V S MP C L M KD SD Oth.Lead
SCB [2] 27 Oct–24 Nov 20221,832SwedishMale6.426.53.04.45.122.94.624.42.62.1
1,688Female7.536.25.87.15.117.35.914.50.518.9
3,520Total6.931.34.45.75.120.25.219.61.611.7
277ForeignMale13.637.15.92.32.918.34.512.82.418.8
273Female15.142.95.04.64.313.53.39.70.028.6
550Total14.540.25.43.53.715.83.911.21.224.3
2022 election 11 Sep 20226.830.35.16.74.619.15.320.51.79.8

Leadership polling

Approval ratings

Graphical summary

Confidence

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample size Nooshi Dadgostar (V) Magdalena Andersson (S) Per Bolund (MP) Märta Stenevi (MP) Muharrem Demirok (C) Annie Lööf (C) Johan Pehrson (L) Ulf Kristersson (M) Ebba Busch (KD) Jimmie Åkesson (SD)
Novus [11] 15–20 Jun 20231,08922501110413332126
Demoskop [12] 13–19 Jun 20231,023295515171019372736
Sifo [13] 16–18 Jun 20231,10224521312414302125
Demoskop [12] 275415151116362734
Demoskop [14] 27 Mar–4 Apr 20231,02426561416419362636
Ipsos [15] 14–26 Mar 20231,71920531010312311926
Demoskop [16] 28 Feb–7 Mar 20231,39422561417420402936
Novus [17] 9–15 Feb 20231,02121531011311322226
Demoskop [18] 1–7 Feb 20231,48426571316419383134
Ipsos [19] Feb 2023185511103013322128
Novus [20] 5–10 Jan 20231,08917541092612292027
Demoskop [21] 27 Dec 2022–4 Jan 20231,666225815143619383337
2023
Demoskop [22] 29 Nov–5 Dec 20221,530285517163418403437
Demoskop [23] 25 Oct–1 Nov 20221,471255716183323434141
Sifo [24] 28–31 Oct 2022225711122919383030
Novus [25] 20–26 Oct 20222,048235412122914373032
Sifo [26] 30 Sep–3 Oct 20221,009226111123119382931

Preferred prime minister

Andersson vs. Kristersson

Polling firmDate Magdalena Andersson (S) Ulf Kristersson (M)

Performance in debate

Considered contribution in party leader debate from 1 (very bad) to 5 (very good)

SVT Agenda Debate - December 2022

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample size Nooshi Dadgostar (V) Magdalena Andersson (S) Per Bolund (MP) Märta Stenevi (MP) Annie Lööf (C) Johan Pehrson (L) Ulf Kristersson (M) Ebba Busch (KD) Jimmie Åkesson (SD)
Demoskop [27] 11 Dec 20222.63.22.33.22.63.02.93.1

Government approval rating

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeApproveDisapproveDon't knowLead
IpsosMar 202317552838
Sifo [28] Feb 20231,0443656820
Ipsos [29] Jan 20234514447
Demoskop [30] 25–26 Jan 20231,29031531622
Sifo [31] 13–16 Jan 20231,0173259927
2023
Demoskop [32] 12–19 Dec 20221,80836621024
Ipsos [33] Dec 20226494543
Sifo [34] 2–4 Dec 20221,21433571024
Demoskop [32] Nov 2022424216Tie
Ipsos [33] Nov 202210434833
Novus [35] Oct 20223442248
SOM-Institute [36] Autumn 202234

Other polling

NATO-membership

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeForAgainstDon't knowLead
SCB [37] 27 Apr–25 May 20239,26167.821.211.046.6
Sifo [38] May 202364191745
Demoskop [30] 25–26 Jan 20231,29070171453
Novus [39] 19–24 Jan 20231,04363221541
Ipsos [40] Dec 202260192141
SCB [41] 27 Oct–24 Nov 20229,17768221046
SOM-Institute [36] Autumn 202226,25064142250

EU-membership

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeForAgainstDon't knowLead
SCB [41] 27 Oct–24 Nov 20229,17760142646
SOM-Institute [36] Autumn 202226,25068112157

Membership of the Eurozone

Regarding implementation of the euro as Sweden's official currency

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeForAgainstDon't knowLead
SCB [41] 27 Oct–24 Nov 20229,17723591836

Nuclear Energy

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeForAgainstDon't knowLead
Build additional power plants [lower-alpha 1] Replace existing power plants [lower-alpha 2] Shut down existing power plants when their lifespan endsShut down existing power plants immediately [lower-alpha 3]
Novus [42] 27 Oct–2 Nov 20221,01059-268725
SOM-Institute [43] Autumn 202226,25032242841224

See also

Notes

  1. Continue to use nuclear power and, if necessary, build new power plants.
  2. Continue to use the nuclear power plants that exist today, but build no new ones.
  3. Phase out nuclear power through political decisions.

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