Next South Korean presidential election

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Next South Korean presidential election
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Party Democratic People Power
Incumbent President

Han Duck-soo
Acting
Independent



The next South Korean presidential election was originally scheduled for 2027. However, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol on 14 December 2024, [1] an early election in 2025 is likely. According to the South Korean constitution, if President Yoon Suk Yeol resigns or is removed from office by the Constitutional Court, a snap presidential election must be held within 60 days. [2]

Contents

The next presidential election will be the ninth presidential elections since democratization and the establishment of the Sixth Republic. Under the South Korean constitution, the president is restricted to a single five-year term in office, making President Yoon ineligible for a second term. [3]

Impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol

Following the declaration of martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol on 3 December 2024, the opposition Democratic Party, which held a majority in the National Assembly, announced it would introduce an impeachment motion against President Yoon. [4] On 7 December, the vote on the first impeachment motion failed to achieve the necessary two-thirds majority to meet the quorum, with the ruling People Power Party boycotting the vote.

Following the vote, PPP Leader Han Dong-hoon said President Yoon had agreed to step aside and that Prime Minister Han Duck-soo would manage state affairs until Yoon's "orderly resignation". [5]

On 10 December, the PPP said that it was discussing Yoon's early resignation as early as February 2025 over the ongoing turmoil after his martial law declaration, followed by a snap election in April or May. [6]

On 14 December 2024, President Yoon was impeached by the National Assembly in a second impeachment motion. The National Assembly voted with 204 of 300 lawmakers supporting impeachment. [1]

Electoral system

The president of South Korea is elected via a single-round plurality voting system, for a term of five years. Incumbent and former presidents are ineligible to seek re-election. [7]

Potential candidates

Democratic Party

People Power Party

Rebuilding Korea Party

New Reform Party

New Future Party

Opinion polls

Polling before nominees finalized

LOESS curve for the 2027 South Korean presidential election with a 7-day average Polling for the 2027 Korean Presidential Election.svg
LOESS curve for the 2027 South Korean presidential election with a 7-day average
Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error		Polling firm DPK PPP RKP NRP NFP OthersUnd./
no ans.		Lead
Lee Jae-myung
9 Dec1,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 49.04.41.29.16.05.8——3.36.8——5.68.639.9
7-9 Dec2,002±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 47.34.1—12.95.34.6—3.52.66.93.3—2.17.334.4
8 Dec1,000±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 46.84.41.47.15.65.82.0—3.37.13.01.73.2 [a] 8.639.7
8 Dec1,007±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 52.43.93.19.86.74.9———5.5——6.17.742.6
6-7 Dec1,014±3.1 Gallup Korea / Kukminilbo 412—923———62—8 [b] 2932
6-7 Dec1,004±3.1 Flower Research 42.52.1—9.96.26.1——1.25.00.8—2.324.032.6
3-5 Dec1,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 293—1133——141—7 [c] 3718
4 Dec1,047±3.0 Media Research / Newspim 47.5——13.34.75.6—2.7—6.0—3.46.310.334.2
29-30 Nov1,001±3.1 Flower Research 38.42.8—13.17.15.6——1.64.41.5—1.224.325.3
26-27 Nov1,001±3.1 KSOI / CBS 41.33.40.719.37.05.8———6.3——7.3 [d] 9.022.0
23-25 Nov2,001±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 43.84.8—17.25.25.3—4.21.25.83.6—2.07.026.6
18-19 Nov1,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 43.63.71.417.37.65.3——2.56.3——4.67.726.3
9-11 Nov2,000±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 46.94.1—17.04.24.7—4.01.85.73.8—2.25.529.9
8-9 Nov1,005±3.1 Flower Research 39.32.7—12.75.45.4——2.06.02.3—2.122.126.6
4-5 Nov1,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 41.04.21.216.78.56.3——2.26.6——6.07.124.3
1-2 Nov 20241,002±3.1 KSOI / Ohmynews 37.34.11.715.37.15.8———8.23.9—7.09.722.0
26-28 Oct 20242,000±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 45.03.2—18.65.24.3—3.52.15.64.8—1.56.226.4
22 Oct 20241,004±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.63.91.219.26.44.6——2.26.0——5.28.723.4
12-14 Oct 20242,002±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 43.34.1—19.74.94.6—3.62.16.54.0—2.74.323.6
7-8 Oct 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.52.92.021.46.34.1——1.27.5——5.98.119.1
4-5 Oct 20241,007±3.1 Flower Research 35.12.0—15.45.75.0——2.45.12.1—2.124.919.7
28-30 Sep 20242,001±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.83.1—20.75.04.7—3.71.56.04.4—2.45.322.1
28-29 Sep 20241,002±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 41.23.11.619.32.93.8—1.62.17.14.5—5.1 [e] 7.721.9
24-26 Sep 20241,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 252—1512—1—43—6 [f] 4010
23-24 Sep 20241,005±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.02.41.021.16.54.6——2.27.3——5.77.220.9
11-12 Sep 20241,002±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 2921185611353—4 [g] 2211
10-12 Sep 20242,004±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 44.52.9—22.04.73.2—3.61.36.34.4—2.05.022.5
10 Sep 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.42.81.320.77.15.0——2.36.6——4.47.521.7
3-5 Sep 20241,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 261—1421——153—5 [h] 4012
31 Aug-2 Sep 20242,003±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.13.1—20.93.73.3—4.11.56.25.9—2.27.021.2
26-27 Aug 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.72.50.924.27.33.9——1.66.0——5.37.816.5
20-21 Aug 20241,004±3.1 KOPRA / Kihoilbo 39.42.51.525.24.73.5—3.4—6.34.6—1.0 [i] 8.014.2
17-19 Aug 20242,006±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 43.23.0—25.63.63.5—3.21.64.74.7—2.34.717.6
12-13 Aug 20241,007±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 43.92.11.326.16.03.8———6.53.3—3.83.117.8
12-13 Aug 20241,006±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 28.54.95.419.87.46.2——3.38.7——8.77.18.7
9-10 Aug 20241,009±3.1 Flower Research 36.11.9—17.95.24.7——1.75.13.1—1.123.318.2
3-5 Aug 20242,002±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.03.1—27.83.44.1—3.92.15.45.5—1.14.611.2
29-30 Jul 20241,009±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 42.7——33.4—————7.54.4—8.13.99.3
29-30 Jul 20241,005±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.93.1—29.55.04.1——1.66.83.8—3.34.98.4
23-25 Jul 20241,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 22——1923—3153—4383
20-22 Jul 20244,029±1.5 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.52.9—26.95.03.2—5.81.46.15.1—1.33.811.6
7-8 Jul 20242,003±2.2 Embrain Public / YTN 271—17751—252122810
6-8 Jul 20242,008±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.23.5—24.63.63.9—6.91.86.84.7—1.54.713.6
5-6 Jul 20241,002±3.1 Flower Research 34.31.9—18.55.94.5——1.85.82.2—2.023.115.8
2-4 Jul 20241,002±3.1 Gallup Korea 23——1733—2152—5386
1-2 Jul 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.94.5—24.67.95.4——1.77.24.5—3.25.011.3
22-24 Jun 20242,006±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 40.13.0—21.64.23.9—6.41.37.75.3—1.84.518.5
17-18 Jun 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.83.9—24.75.93.7——2.37.94.8—3.45.513.1
14-15 Jun 20241,001±3.1 Gallup Korea / News1 28——171311173—33511
11-13 Jun 20241,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 221—1523—1153—5427
9-10 Jun 20242,005±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 40.72.3—23.34.33.7—4.51.86.85.3—1.85.317.4
3-4 Jun 20241,004±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.62.8—25.96.54.1——2.06.55.5—3.97.29.7
1-3 Jun 20242,005±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 41.02.1—22.04.04.4—5.01.88.05.4—1.74.619.0
28-30 May 20241,000±3.1 Research View / PSPD 383224442—18324 [j] 514
25-27 May 20242,004±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.62.5—22.83.94.4—4.61.87.56.3—1.55.116.8
20-21 May 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 36.82.4—24.55.55.2——2.37.45.2—6.54.312.3
11-13 May 20242,002±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.62.6—25.13.94.2—4.61.67.74.1—1.46.113.5
7-9 May 20241,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 23——1723——273—6387
6-7 May 20241,003±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.33.5—26.05.34.7——2.17.74.2—3.15.911.3
27-29 Apr 20242,006±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.33.7—21.94.54.7—5.01.68.15.7—1.84.217.4
16-18 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 24——1513—2173—5399
13-15 Apr 20242,013±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 37.8——23.9————4.410.15.7—11.1 [k] 7.113.9
2-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 271—23342525221 [l] 244
28-29 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo 31.54.3—21.85.96.7—4.11.56.2—3.92.711.39.7
28-29 Mar 20241,011±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 27——2012—1—4123387
26-27 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 322—24342225131 [m] 198
5–7 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 231—2422—1—3225 [n] 351
20 Feb 20241,012±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 35.83.6—35.34.24.1————3.44.13.85.60.5
13–14 Feb 20241,004±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 375—3434—32—44133
6–7 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 264—2355332—331 [o] 213
30 Jan–1 Feb 20241,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 261—2322————444353
9–11 Jan 20241,002±3.1 Gallup Korea 231—2213——1—335381
1–2 Jan 20241,002±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 394—3543—21——44 [p] 54
29–30 Dec 20231,005±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 273—2247233—351 [q] 215
28–29 Dec 20231,017±3.1 Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo 221—2412111—325 [r] 362
26–27 Dec 20231,000±3.1 Hankook Research / HankookIlbo 233—21563322243 [s] 262
25–26 Dec 20231,015±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.64.7—27.26.3——5.92.3——4.81.4 [t] 11.88.4
23–24 Dec 20231,024±3.1 Rnsearch / Asia Today 36.92.5—35.82.83.3—1.4——4.24.31.86.91.1
5–7 Dec 20231,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 192—162412——235433
7–9 Nov 20231,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 212—1344—12—324448
10–12 Oct 20231,002±3.1 Gallup Korea 221—1443—12—116 [u] 468
5–7 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 192—1223122—135 [v] 487
30 May–1 Jun 20231,002±3.1 Gallup Korea 221—11451—2—125 [w] 4611
11–13 Mar 20231,020±3.1 Kookmin Research Group, Ace Research / Newsis 37.3——16.47.17.23.55.64.2——4.15.7 [x] 9.020.9
29 Feb–2 Mar 20231,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 20——1135124—235449
26–27 Jan 20231,006±3.1 Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo 24.6——11.12.74.93.8—6.9—1.42.14.837.713.5
1–2 Jan 20231,020±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 33.71.5—18.19.08.35.4—3.8——6.42.611.215.6
26–27 Dec 20221,015±3.1 Global Research / The Hankyoreh 24.42.40.69.98.211.94.5—5.6—2.14.13.9 [y] 22.512.5
16–17 Dec 20221,016±3.1 Flower Research 31.42.4—10.29.1——3.54.5——5.16.1 [z] 27.921.2
4–6 Dec 20221,030±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 37.3——18.67.97.48.03.34.1——5.21.07.318.7
4–5 Dec 20221,024±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 37.82.3—18.97.19.34.4—3.1——5.81.69.718.9
3-5 Dec 20221,002±3.1 Jowon C&I / Straight News 37.03.3—19.19.88.2——3.9——6.95.5 [aa] 6.117.9
29 Nov–1 Dec 20221,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 23——10242—3—2364413
5–7 Nov 20221,023±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 38.32.4—18.010.88.64.1—3.6——5.01.6 [ab] 7.620.3
8–10 Oct 20221,021±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 41.13.2—17.110.87.3——4.1——6.03.37.024.0
10–12 Sep 20221,014±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 40.12.9—18.511.78.0——4.3——4.53.07.121.6
30 Aug–1 Sep 20221,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 27——9442—4—3244118
6–8 Aug 20221,025±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 39.63.4—12.813.38.3——3.8——8.23.07.626.3
9–12 Jul 20221,045±3.0 Rnsearch / Mewspim 38.54.7—12.415.16.3——5.6——5.53.08.823.4
11–13 Jun 20221,025±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 29.35.6—9.423.9——3.56.9——5.04.46.25.4
7–9 Jun 20221,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 154—4105——6—134465
29–31 Mar 20221,000±3.1 ResearchView 282——13741010—577 [ac] 515
9 Mar 2022 2022 election 47.8———————————3.6 [ad] 0.90.7

Hypothetical polling

Lee Jae-myung vs. Han Dong-hoon

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error		Polling firm Lee Jae-myung Han Dong-hoon OthersUnd./
no ans.		Lead
23-24 Aug 20241,010±3.1 Flower Research 45.628.02.923.617.6
19-20 Aug 20241,008±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 54.636.08.60.718.6
17-19 Aug 20241,025±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 50.730.47.311.520.3

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 1.1, Others 2.1
  2. ↑ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 6
  3. ↑ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 5
  4. ↑ Rhee Chang-yong 0.6, Others 6.7
  5. ↑ Kim Moon-soo 4.3, Kim Boo-kyum 0.8
  6. ↑ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 4
  7. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
  8. ↑ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 3
  9. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 1.0
  10. ↑ Choo Mi-ae 2, Others 2
  11. ↑ Na Kyung-won 3.7, Others 7.4
  12. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  13. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  14. ↑ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  15. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  16. ↑ Park Yong-jin 1, Others 3
  17. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  18. ↑ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  19. ↑ Sim Sang-jung 2, Others 1
  20. ↑ Sim Sang-jung 1.4
  21. ↑ Lee Tahney 1, Others 5
  22. ↑ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  23. ↑ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  24. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 1.6, Others 4.1
  25. ↑ Sim Sang-jung 2.2, Im Jong-seok 0.5, Others 1.2
  26. ↑ Sim Sang-jung 2.0, Others 4.1
  27. ↑ Park Yong-jin 1.0, Others 4.5
  28. ↑ Park Yong-jin 0.3, Others 1.3
  29. ↑ Kim Boo-kyum 2, Song Young-gil 2, Park Yong-jin 1, Others 2
  30. ↑ Sim Sang-jung 2.4, Others 1.2

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References

  1. 1 2 Rashid, Raphael; McCurry, Justin (2024-12-14). "South Korean parliament votes to impeach president". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 2024-12-14.
  2. ↑ Rashid, Raphael (2024-12-06). "How South Korea's impeachment process works after Yoon Suk Yeol's martial law bid". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 2024-12-14.
  3. ↑ Republic of Korea: Election for President IFES
  4. ↑ Rashid, Raphael (2024-12-04). "South Korea's president, Yoon Suk Yeol, facing impeachment after martial law shock". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 2024-12-07.
  5. ↑ Min-hee, Jung (2024-12-08). "President Yoon to Resign in Predictable and Transparent Manner, Says PPP Leader". Businesskorea (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-07.
  6. ↑ "South Korea's ruling party discusses Yoon's resignation in Feb before snap election". Reuters. 2024-12-10. Retrieved 2024-12-10.
  7. ↑ "IFES Election Guide | Elections: South Korea President 2017". www.electionguide.org. 2017. Retrieved 2022-03-05.
  8. ↑ Kwon, Hye-jin (2024-04-11). ""경쟁자가 없다"…이재명, 총선 민의 힘입어 대권 가도 '탄력'". Kukinews (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  9. ↑ Choi, Dae-ho (2024-06-22). "김동연 여의도 스킨십에 친문까지 품어…대권행보 '주목'". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  10. ↑ Cho, Moon-hee (2024-12-04). "탄핵 열차 출발했다…野 '잠룡' 김경수는 '즉시 귀국'". Sisajournal (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-12.
  11. ↑ Nam, Seung-ryeol (2024-07-12). "한동훈 "3년 후 대선 이길 수 있는 후보가 저라면 나간다"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  12. ↑ Lee, Jun-hee (2024-05-14). "오세훈 국민의힘 지지층 외연 확장 나서, '대선 잠룡' 존재감 서서히 드러낸다". Business Post (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  13. ↑ Hong, Min-seong (2023-09-13). "홍준표 "내가 특이해 보이는 이유? 한국 정치판이 비정상이라"". hankyung.com (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  14. ↑ Han, Sang-hee (2024-05-07). "유승민 "남은 도전 27년 대선 딱 하나…당대표 출마 깊이 고민"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  15. ↑ Bae, Jae-sung (2024-04-29). "차기 대통령은 누구죠? 질문에…안철수 "접니다!" 손 번쩍". The JoongAng (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  16. ↑ Lee, Jae-ho (2024-03-31). "조국혁신당 총선 돌풍 대선까지? 조국, 차기 대통령 여론조사 3위". Pressian (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  17. ↑ Kim, Hyung-jun (2024-04-11). "동탄서 살아난 이준석, '분열의 아이콘' 극복하고 차기 대선주자 위상 찾나". Hankookilbo (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  18. ↑ Park, Soon-bong (2024-01-12). "총선 출마 선그은 이낙연, 대선엔 "지금은…" 여지". Kyunghyang Shinmun (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
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