2012 South Korean legislative election

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2012 South Korean legislative election
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←  2008 11 April 2012 2016  →
All 300 seats in the National Assembly
151 seats needed for a majority
Turnout54.24% (Increase2.svg8.16pp; Const. votes)
54.24% (Increase2.svg8.16pp; PR votes)
 Majority partyMinority party
  Park Geun-hye, 2009.jpg Prime Minister Han Myeong-sook taking a commemorative photo with the Speaker of the National Assembly.jpg
Leader Park Geun-hye Han Myeong-sook
Party Saenuri Democratic United
Last election167 seats [a] 81 seats [b]
Seats won152127
Seat changeDecrease2.svg15Increase2.svg46
Constituency vote9,324,9118,156,045
 % and swing43.28% (Decrease2.svg3.87pp)37.85% (Increase2.svg8.93pp)
Regional vote9,130,6517,777,123
 % and swing42.80% (Decrease2.svg7.86pp)36.46% (Increase2.svg 11.28pp)
 Third partyFourth party
  Lee junghee 20120915.jpg Lee Hoi-chang (2010).jpg
Leader Lee Jung-hee
Rhyu Si-min
Sim Sang-jung 		Lee Hoi-chang
Party Unified Progressive Liberty Forward
Last election5 seats [c] 18 seats
Seats won135
Seat changeIncrease2.svg8Decrease2.svg 13
Constituency vote1,291,306474,001
 % and swing5.99% (Increase2.svg2.60pp)2.20% (Decrease2.svg3.52pp)
Regional vote2,198,405690,754
 % and swing10.31% (Increase2.svg4.63pp)3.24% (Decrease2.svg3.61pp)
South Korean Legislative Election 2012 districts no llang.svg
Speaker before election

Chung Eui-hwa
Saenuri

Elected Speaker

Kang Chang-hee
Saenuri

Legislative elections were held in South Korea on 11 April 2012. The election was won by the ruling Saenuri or New Frontier Party, which renewed its majority in the National Assembly, [1] despite losing seats. The election was read as a bellwether for the presidential election to be held later in the year. [2] The result confounded exit polls and media analysis, which had predicted a closer outcome. [3]

Contents

Background

The South Korean National Assembly consists of 246 directly elected seats and 54 nationwide proportional representation seats chosen under an FPTP-PR parallel voting system. [4] Proportional seats were only available to parties which one three percent of the national valid vote among seat-allocated parties and/or won five or more constituency seats. In South Korea's presidential system, the head of state chooses the cabinet, but the loss of control in the parliament could have hampered President Lee's government substantially. [5]

Political parties

PartiesLeaderIdeologySeatsStatus
Last electionBefore election
Saenuri Party Park Geun-hye Conservatism
153 / 299
[d]
163 / 299
Government
14 / 299
[e]
Democratic United Party Han Myeong-sook Liberalism
81 / 299
[b]
79 / 299
Opposition
Liberty Forward Party Lee Hoi-chang Conservatism
18 / 299
13 / 299
Opposition
Unified Progressive Party Lee Jung-hee
Rhyu Si-min
Sim Sang-jung 		Progressivism
5 / 299
[c]
7 / 299
Opposition
Creative Korea Party Han Myeon-hee Centrist reformism
3 / 299
0 / 299
Opposition

Four parties won seats in the 2012 election:

Other parties that put forward candidates included the left-wing New Progressive Party and the centre-right Korea Vision Party.

The conservative parties were fragmented, particularly between Saenuri and the new KVP over the latter recruiting high-profile defected members of the incumbent party and those who were denied tickets in the election, which was also reflective of a division grew between Park's leadership and loyalists of Lee Myung-bak. [16] However, the DUP–UPP coalition also came under strain due to irregularities in the UPP's primaries that involved co-leader Lee Jung-hee. [17]

Campaign

Campaigning for the election officially began on 29 March, though party leaders toured the country beforehand to rally support for their bids. [18] The international media suggested that the main issues in the campaign were economic, including inflation, educational and housing costs, unemployment and underemployment, the income gap, and social welfare, while the North Korean issue did not play a role. [2] [7]

The opposition DUP tried to harness discontent with the incumbent Lee's administration, and called on the electorate to adjudge the election as a referendum on Lee's presidency. [19] The opposition coalition endeavored to depict the ruling party as unsocial and favoring the rich, while promising to create jobs. [20] The incumbent government emphasised the threat of North Korea and made the case for continuing their hard line towards the northern neighbour and maintaining a close alliance with the United States. They accused the opposition of jeopardising the free trade agreement with the U.S. The DUP had demanded renegotiation of the treaty and threatened to cancel it in case of the United States' refusal to negotiate. [19]

The international media highlighted the candidacy of Cho Myung-chul, a professor who defected from North Korea in 1994. [21] [22] In its newspaper Rodong Sinmun , the North Korean Workers' Party called on the electorate to vote out the incumbent government: "Young voters, students and people must deliver a crushing defeat to the traitors." [1]

Scandals

After accusations of unauthorized government surveillance surfaced, legislators called for an investigation, while the ruling party accused the previous government of doing the same. [2] The presidential office published an analysis stating that 84% of the recorded incidents had taken place under the previous administration of Roh Moo-hyun. [23] A post-election analysis by polling institute Realmeter showed that the ruling party's handling of scandal was effective, and that the surveillance scandal didn't affect voters' decision much. [24] A DUP candidate, Kim Yong-min, was also accused of having made numerous offensive comments on the podcast-talk-show Naneun Ggomsuda, [25] for which he apologized but refused to rescind his candidacy, despite the DUP leadership advising him to do so. [26] [27] Kim subsequently failed to win his seat in the election. [28]

Opinion polling

Polls were barred in the final week of the election, just before indications suggested the two largest parties would get somewhere between 130–135 seats each. A high turnout, particularly with the youth, was seen as beneficial to the opposition. [2]

InstituteDate Saenuri
(SP) 		Democratic United
(DUP) 		Unified Progressive
(UPP) 		Liberty Forward
(LFP) 		Korea Vision
(KVP) 		New Progressive
(NPP)
Realmeter [29] 23 December 201131.2%30.9%6.1%2.2%–1.3%
Realmeter [30] 13 January 201229.5%34.7%3.2%2.4%–1.8%
Realmeter [31] Jan.25–27, 201230.3%37.1%4.0%2.0%–1.0%
Realmeter [31] Jan.30–Feb.2, 201232.9%36.9%3.9%1.5%–0.9%
Realmeter [31] Feb.6–10, 201233.9%35.8%4.2%2.4%–0.8%
Hankyoreh / KSOI [32] Feb.24–25, 201238.2%32.9%3.1%1.7%1.5%1.1%
Realmeter [31] Feb.27–Mar.2, 201236.3%36.3%6.1%1.7%0.4%–
Realmeter [31] 5–9 March 201240.3%32.7%4.8%2.3%––
KBS [33] [nb 2] 10–11 March 201234.1%35.4%3.6%1.7%––
Realmeter [31] 12–16 March 201239.4%33.7%5.7%2.3%––
Realmeter [31] 19–23 March 201237.4%33.3%7.5%2.1%––
Realmeter [34] 26–30 March 201239.8%30.5%8.1%2.3%––
Realmeter [35] [nb 3] 28 March 201237.8%30.5%12.1%2.3%1.9%1.6%
Hankyoreh / KSOI [36] 31 March 201238.3%33.5%7.2%2.4%0.3%1.0%
Research View [37] 1 April 201242.3%29.5%9.7%3.9%1.1%2.1%

Results

The voting centres were open from 6:00−18:00. Voting occurred via electronic ballot counting and scanning that gave an instantaneous result. [6] Cho Myung-chul's successful candidature was the first time that one of the 23 thousand North Korean refugees living in the South was elected to the National Assembly. [21]

13
127
5
152
3
PartyProportionalConstituencyTotal
seats		+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Saenuri Party 9,130,65142.80259,324,91143.28127152–15
Democratic United Party 7,777,12336.46218,156,04537.85106127+46
Unified Progressive Party 2,198,40510.3161,291,3065.99713+8
Liberty Forward Party 690,7543.242474,0012.2035–13
Christian Liberal Democratic Party  [ ko ]257,1901.2102,2410.01000
New Progressive Party 243,0651.140101,6140.47000
Hannara Party 181,8220.8504540.0000New
Korea Vision Party 156,2410.73044,3790.2100New
Pro-Park United  [ ko ]134,8980.63025,3020.1200New
Green Party Korea 103,8420.4904,8430.0200New
Creative Korea Party 91,9350.4303,6240.0200–3
Party for Youth  [ ko ]73,1940.3405,5690.0300New
Go! Party for the Grand People  [ ko ]60,4280.2800New
Korean Christian Party54,3320.2500New
Authentic Democratic Party 48,6480.23071,8670.3300New
United Buddhist Party36,2620.170680.0000New
People's Happiness Party  [ ko ]35,8460.17018,0280.0800New
Party for Culture and Art23,3300.11000
Future Union  [ ko ]19,9620.0905,4030.0300New
Grand Korea Party  [ ko ]14,1330.0708870.0000New
Democratic Unification Party5240.0000New
People's Power1530.0000New
Independents2,014,7779.3533–22
Total21,332,061100.005421,545,996100.00246300+1
Valid votes21,332,06197.8221,545,99698.87
Invalid/blank votes474,7372.18246,8551.13
Total votes21,806,798100.0021,792,851100.00
Registered voters/turnout40,205,05554.2440,181,62354.24
Source: NEC, CLEA, IPU

By region

Graph of constituencies won LESK 2012 RESULT EN.png
Graph of constituencies won

The result showed considerable regional variations. The DUP and its coalition partner the UPP made significant gains in the north-west of the country, winning a combined total of 26 new seats in Seoul, four in Incheon and 14 in suburban Gyeonggi-do. Altogether the DUP-UPP coalition won 70 of 112 seats in this region, a gain of 44. They also maintained their dominant position in Jeolla and Jeju, winning 31 of 33 seats, a gain of three. Had the liberal parties made comparable gains in the eastern half of the country, they would have won the election.[ vague ] They won only 13 seats of 100 in these provinces, a net gain of one. In Chungcheong, Gangwon and Gyeongsang, the Saenuri Party made gains from the DUP and the Liberty Forward Party. The liberal parties failed to make significant gains in the southeast, a traditionally conservative region. [38] The Saenuri Party also took seats from independent members across the country. [39]

Region Saenuri +/-  DUP  +/-  UPP  +/-  LFP  +/-  CKP  +/-Indep.+/-Total+/-
Seoul 16- 2430+ 212+ 20-0- 10-48-
Busan 16+ 42+ 10-0-0-0- 518-
Incheon 6- 36+ 40-0-0-0- 112-
Daegu 12+ 10-0-0-0-0- 112-
Gwangju 0-6- 11+ 10-0-1-8-
Daejeon 3+ 33+ 20-0- 50-0-6-
Ulsan 6+ 10-0-0-0-0- 16-
Gangwon 9+ 60- 20-0-0-0- 39+ 1
Gyeonggi 21- 1229+ 122+ 20-0-0- 152+ 1
South Gyeongsang 14+ 11-0- 20-0-1-16- 1
North Gyeongsang 15+ 50-0-0-0-0- 515-
South Jeolla 0-10+ 11+ 10-0-0- 311- 1
North Jeolla 0-9-1+ 10-0-1- 111-
South Chungcheong 4+ 43+ 20-3- 50-0- 110-
North Chungcheong 5+ 43- 30-0- 10-0-8-
Jeju 0-3-0-0-0-0-3-
Sejong 0-1+ 10-0-0-0-1+ 1
Proportional representation25- 521+ 66+ 32- 20- 20-54-
Total152- 15127+ 4613+ 85- 130- 33- 22300+ 1

Reactions and aftermath

President Lee said that the "people made wise choices. The government will do its best to manage state affairs in a stable manner and take care of the people's livelihood". The DUP's secretary-general Park Sun-sook conceded the election and added: "The DUP failed to turn public calls for punishing the ... ruling party into reality. We apologise for disappointing supporters. We will sincerely think over what today's election means and try ceaselessly to be reborn as a party the people can lean and rely on." [1] Sim Dae-pyung, leader of the Liberty Forward Party, announced his resignation after the party's poor performance. [40]

On 13 April, the DUP leader Han Myeong-sook announced her resignation on account of her party's defeat. [41]

See also

Notes

1. ^ Comparison includes the Pro-Park Coalition, which split from and subsequently reintegrated with the Grand National Party.
2. ^ This survey asked separate questions on party support and voting intention. The latter result is reported here.
3. ^ This survey dealt specifically with seats allocated by proportional representation.

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References

  1. 1 2 3 "S. Korea's ruling party pulls off upset victory in crucial general elections". Yonhap News Agency . 11 April 2012. Retrieved 11 April 2012.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "South Korea votes in closely contested poll". Al Jazeera English. 11 April 2012. Retrieved 13 April 2012.
  3. ↑ Odds & Ends A Day After The Election. The Wall Street Journal , 12 April 2012. Retrieved 15 April 2012.
  4. ↑ Hong Yeong-rim(홍영림) (9 April 2012). "(총선 D-2) 비례대표 의석(총 54석) 전망도 새누리·민주 초박빙" [(Election D-2) Block seat (total 54 seats) prediction: NFP and DUP are neck in neck.]. The Chosun Ilbo (in Korean). Retrieved 13 April 2012.
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  8. ↑ Ruling party`s emergency committee. Donga Ilbo , 17 December 2011. Retrieved 12 April 2012.
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  10. ↑ South Korea's ruling party holds on to parliament. BBC News, 12 April 2012. Retrieved 12 April 2012.
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  14. ↑ Hur Woo(허우) (April 2012). 종북좌파세력 국회진출 저지 국민연대 [Conservatives should united against the pro-North faction]. All-in Korea (in Korean). Retrieved 12 April 2012.
  15. ↑ Lee Tae-hoon (12 April 2012). "Alliance benefits leftist party most". The Korea Herald . Retrieved 13 April 2012. The minor opposition United Progressive Party (UPP) won 13 seats ... elevating its status as the third largest parliamentary group.
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  17. ↑ Rift growing in opposition alliance, Korea Herald. Retrieved 23 March 2012.
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  19. 1 2 Choe, Sang-hun (11 April 2012), "South Koreans Vote in Parliamentary Elections", The New York Times
  20. ↑ "Polls open in S Korean election", Sky News, 11 April 2012
  21. 1 2 Hancocks, Paula (11 April 2012), "North Korean defector stands for South Korean election", CNN
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  23. ↑ Exploitation of illegal surveillance scandal. Donga Ilbo , 2 April 2012. Retrieved 24 April 2012.
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  31. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Realmeter.net. Realmeter.
  32. ↑ Andy Jackson (28 February 2012). "South Korean conservatives show renewed strength ahead of April elections". Asiancorrespondent.com. Archived from the original on 4 March 2012. Retrieved 6 March 2012. When asked which party they would vote for in the April 11 general election, 38.2% of respondents said the SP, and 32.9% that they would vote for the DUP. These were followed by the Unified Progressive Party with 3.1%, the Liberty Forward Party with 1.7%, K Party with 1.5% and the New Progressive Party with 1.1%.
  33. ↑ "KBS Survey: NFP, DUP in Close Contest in Approval Ratings". Korean Broadcasting System. 13 March 2012. Archived from the original on 9 July 2012. Retrieved 13 April 2012.
  34. ↑ 핵안보 정상회담으로 당청 지지율 반등 [Nuclear Security Summit boosted ruling party's approval rate] (in Korean). 2 April 2012. Retrieved 13 April 2012.
  35. ↑ "비례대표 정당지지, 새누리 38%, 민주 31%, 통진 12%" [Party poll: Saenuri 38%, DUP 31%, UPP 12%]. 29 March 2012. Retrieved 13 April 2012.
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  37. ↑ Kim Dang (2 April 2012). 투표의향, 새누리당 41.5%-야권단일 37.5%-기타 7.6%. 비례대표, 새누리 27 민주 18 통합진보 6 선진 2석 [Which party will you support in the election? NFP 41.5%, DUP-UPP coalition 37.5%, others 7.6%. Block seats: NFP 27, DUP 18, UPP 6, LFP 2]. OhmyNews (in Korean). Retrieved 13 April 2012.
  38. ↑ Armstrong, C. K. (2007) Korean Society: Civil Society, Democracy and the State. Taylor & Francis, p. 4.
  39. ↑ "See regional tables at Psephos: Adam Carr's election archive".
  40. ↑ "Ruling party leader pledges new beginning after election win". Yonhap News Agency . 12 April 2012. Retrieved 15 April 2012.
  41. ↑ "Opposition leader steps down over election defeat". The Korea Times . 13 April 2012. Retrieved 13 April 2012.
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