2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections

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2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections
Flag of India.svg
 201623 September 2019 (1 seat)
21 October 2019 (5 seats)
2023 

Manjeshwar, Ernakulam, Pala, Aroor, Konni and Vattiyoorkavu Niyamasabha constituencies
Turnout70.11%
 First partySecond party
 
Pinarayi Vijayan (cropped).jpg
CHENNITHALA 2012DSC 0062.JPG
Leader Pinarayi Vijayan Ramesh Chennithala
Party CPI(M) INC
Alliance   LDF    UDF
Leader's seat Dharmadom Haripad
Last election0105
Seats won0303
Seat changeIncrease2.svg02Decrease2.svg02
Popular vote302,717308,359
Percentage37.97%38.68%
SwingIncrease2.svg1.53%Decrease2.svg1.78%

Chief Minister before election

Pinarayi Vijayan
CPI(M)

Chief Minister

Pinarayi Vijayan
CPI(M)

Six assembly by-elections were held on 23 September and 21 October 2019, to the six vacant seats in the Kerala Niyamasabha which consists of 140 constituencies in total.

Contents

By-election took place in two phases. The first phase was conducted on 23 September for Pala Constituency. [1] The remaining 5 assembly constituencies (Manjeshwar, Ernakulam, Aroor, Konni and Vattiyoorkavu) voted to elect their representatives on 21 October. [2] The counting of votes was conducted on 27 September in Pala and on 24 October in the other five constituencies.

Schedule for the by-elections

Pala

The first phase by-election was held for the Pala Constituency in Kerala. [3]

By-Election EventDayDate
Election DeclarationSunday25/08/2019
Issue of Gazette NotificationWednesday28/08/2019
Last date of filing NominationWednesday04/09/2019
Scrutiny of NominationsThursday05/09/2019
Last date of withdrawal of candidaturesSaturday07/09/2019
PollingMonday23/09/2019
Counting of votesFriday27/09/2019

Manjeshwaram, Ernakulam, Aroor, Konni and Vattiyoorkavu

The second phase by-elections were held for the remaining 5 vacant assembly constituencies in Kerala. [4]

By-Election EventDayDate
Election DeclarationSaturday21/09/2019
Issue of Gazette NotificationMonday23/09/2019
Last date of filing NominationMonday30/09/2019
Scrutiny of NominationsTuesday01/10/2019
Last date of withdrawal of candidaturesThursday03/10/2019
PollingMonday21/10/2019
Counting of votesThursday24/10/2019

Electorates

There were 11,36,616 electorates from the 6 niyamasabha constituencies where the by-elections were held. Constituency wise details are given below:

NumberConstituencyElectorates
1 Manjeshwar 2,14,779
82 Ernakulam 1,55,306
93 Pala 1,79,107
102 Aroor 1,91,898
114 Konni 1,97,956
133 Vattiyoorkavu 1,97,570

Alliances and parties

There are two major political coalitions in Kerala. The United Democratic Front (UDF) is the coalition of centrist and center-left parties led by the Indian National Congress. The Left Democratic Front (LDF) is the coalition of left-wing and far-left parties, led by the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)).

   LDF

They are a coalition of left-wing political parties in Kerala. It is one of the two major political coalitions in the state, the other being the UDF, both of which has been in power alternatively for the last two decades. After winning a majority of the seats in the Niyamasabha elections, they are currently in power. The coalition consists of CPI(M), CPI and a variety of other smaller parties. LDF fields four CPI(M) candidates, an NCP candidate and an independent to fight in the by-poll.

No.PartyFlagSymbolPhotoLeaderSeats contestedMaleFemale
1. Communist Party of India (Marxist) CPI-M-flag.svg CPI(M) election symbol - Hammer Sickle and Star.svg
Kodiyeri Balakrishnan.JPG
Kodiyeri Balakrishnan Manjeshwaram Aroor, Konni, Vattiyoorkavu 40
2. Nationalist Congress Party NCP-flag.svg Pala 10
3. LDF Independent Left Democratic Front (Kerala) Logo.svg Auto Rickshaw Election Symbol.svg
A.vijayaraghavan4.jpg
A. Vijayaraghavan Ernakulam 10

   UDF

It is an alliance of central-wing political parties in the state, created by the prominent INC party leader K. Karunakaran in the 1970s. UDF fielded four INC candidates, an IUML candidate and an independent for the vacant constituencies.

No.PartyFlagSymbolPhotoLeaderSeats contestedMaleFemale
1. Indian National Congress
Shri Mullappally Ramachandran taking over the charge of the Minister of State for Home Affairs, in New Delhi on May 30, 2009.jpg
Mullappally Ramachandran Ernakulam, Aroor, Konni Vattiyoorkavu 31
2. Indian Union Muslim League Flag of the Indian Union Muslim League.svg Indian Election Symbol Lader.svg
Sayed Hyderali Shihab Thangal BNC.jpg
Sayed Hyderali Shihab Thangal Manjeshwar 10
3. UDF Independent
Benny Behanan BNC.jpg
Benny Behanan Pala 10

   NDA

It is a coalition of right-leaning political parties in India. NDA gave all the six seats for the BJP to contest.

No.PartyFlagSymbolPhotoLeaderSeats contestedMaleFemale
1. Bharatiya Janata Party BJP election symbol.png
PS Sreedharan Pillai.jpg
P. S Sreedharan Pillai Manjeshwar, Ernakulam, Pala, Aroor, Konni Vattiyoorkavu 60

Constituency-wise Candidates

The LDF fielded four CPI(M) candidates, an NCP candidate and an independent to win the seats. UDF fielded four INC candidates, an IUML candidate and an independent. NDA fielded six BJP candidates.

No.ConstituencyCandidates
LDF

   CPI(M) (4)   NCP (1)

   Independent (1)

UDF

   INC (4)   IUML (1)

   Independent (1)

NDA

   BJP (6)

1 Manjeshwar M. Shankara Rai   CPI(M) M. C. Kamaruddin    IUML Raveesh Thanthri Kuntar   BJP
2 Ernakulam Manu Roy   Independent T. J. Vinod    INC C. G. Rajagopal   BJP
3 Pala Mani C. Kappan    NCP Jose Tom Pulikunnel   Independent N. Hari   BJP
4 Aroor Manu C. Pulikkal   CPI(M) Shanimol Usman    INC K. P. Prakash Babu   BJP
5 Konni K. U. Jenish Kumar    CPI(M) P. Mohanraj   INC K. Surendran    BJP
6 Vattiyoorkavu V. K. Prasanth    CPI(M) K. Mohankumar   INC S. Suresh   BJP

Exit Polls

The Manorama News and the Mathrubhumi News published their exit poll predictions in the constituencies where the election was held on 21 October 2019. Asianet News had published their exit poll predictions for Pala, where the election was held earlier.

Manorama - Karvy [5] Mathrubhumi- Geowide India [6] AZ Research - Asianet [7]
Constituencies
LDF UDF NDA LDF UDF NDA LDF UDF NDA
Manjeshwar 31%36%31%21%40%37%
Ernakulam 30%55%12%39%44%15%
Pala 32%48%19%
Aroor 44%43%11%44%43%11%
Konni 46%41%12%39%41%19%
Vattiyoorkavu 36%37%26%41%37%20%

Polling day

Polling took place on 23 September 2019 in Pala and on 21 October 2019 in the remaining five Niyamasabha constituencies.

NumberConstituencyPolling%
1 Manjeshwar 75.78
82 Ernakulam 57.90
93 Pala 70.97
102 Aroor 80.47
114 Konni 70.07
133 Vattiyoorkavu 62.66

Results in a glance

The results at a glance are given below:

By alliance

Both the LDF and the UDF won three seats each. The NDA could not win any seats.

AllianceSeats ContestedSeats WonSeat ChangeVote %Swing

%

  UDF 0603Decrease2.svg0238.68Decrease2.svg1.78
  LDF 0603Increase2.svg0237.97Increase2.svg1.53
  NDA 06000021.63Decrease2.svg0.09
Total06

Party-wise

Each of the CPI(M) and the INC won in two seats. The remaining two seats were bagged by the NCP and the IUML respectively.

LDFSEATSUDFSEATSNDASEATS
CPI(M) 02 INC 02 BJP 00
NCP 01 IUML 01
LDF
Independent
00 UDF
Independent
00
Total03Total03Total00
ChangeIncrease2.svg02ChangeDecrease2.svg02Change00

By district

DistrictNo. of constituenciesWinning partyAlliance
Kasaragod

01

IUMLUDF
Ernakulam

01

INCUDF
Kottayam

01

NCPLDF
Alappuzha

01

INCUDF
Pathanamthitta

01

CPI(M)LDF
Thiruvananthapuram 01CPI(M)LDF
Total 06

By constituency

No.ConstituencyLDF candidatePartyVotesUDF candidatePartyVotesNDA candidatePartyVotesWinnerMarginAlliance
1 Manjeshwar M. Shankara Rai   CPI(M) 38,23323.49% M. C. Kamaruddin    IUML 65,40740.19%Raveesh Thanthri Kuntar   BJP 57,48435.32% M. C. Kamaruddin 7,9234.87%UDF
82 Ernakulam Manu Roy   LDF 34,14137.96% T. J. Vinod    INC 37,89142.13%C. G. Rajagopal   BJP 13,35114.85% T. J. Vinod 3,7504.17%UDF
93 Pala Mani C. Kappan    NCP 54,13742.55%Jose Tom Pulikunnel   UDF 51,19440.24%N. Hari   BJP 18,04414.18% Mani C. Kappan 2,9432.31%LDF
102 Aroor Manu C. Pulikkal   CPI(M) 67,27743.54% Shanimol Usman    INC 69,35644.88%K. P. Prakash Babu   BJP 16,28910.54% Shanimol Usman 2,0791.34%UDF
114 Konni K. U. Jenish Kumar    CPI(M) 54,09938.96%P. Mohanraj   INC 44,14031.79%K. Surendran   BJP 39,78628.65% K. U. Jenish Kumar 9,9537.17%LDF
133 Vattiyoorkavu V. K. Prasanth    CPI(M) 54,83044.25%K. Mohan Kumar   INC 40,36532.58%S. Suresh   BJP 27,45322.16% V. K. Prasanth 14,46511.67%LDF

Detailed results

1. Manjeshwar

2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Manjeshwar
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
IUML M. C. Kamaruddin 65,40740.19%Increase2.svg4.40
BJP Raveesh Thanthri Kuntar57,48435.32%Decrease2.svg0.42
CPI(M) M. Shankara Rai38,23323.49%Decrease2.svg3.30
NOTA None of the Above 5740.35%Decrease2.svg0.06
Independent Govindan B. Alinthazhe3370.21%N/A
Independent John D. Souza2770.17%Increase2.svg0.04
Independent Rajesh B.2320.14%N/A
Independent Kamarudheen M. C.2110.13%N/A
Margin of victory7,9234.87%Increase2.svg4.82
Turnout 162,75575.78%Decrease2.svg0.55
IUML hold Swing Increase2.svg4.40

[8]

82. Ernakulam

2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Ernakulam
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
INC T. J. Vinod 37,89142.13%Decrease2.svg10.19
LDF Manu Roy34,14137.96%Increase2.svg5.50
BJP C. G. Rajagopal13,35114.85%Increase2.svg1.39
Independent Manu K. M.2,5722.86%N/A
NOTA None of the Above 1,3091.46%Increase2.svg0.61
Independent Vinod A. P.2060.23%N/A
SFB Abdul Khader1750.19%N/A
Independent Jaisen Thomas1160.13%N/A
Independent Bosco Louis930.10%N/A
Independent Ashokan780.09%N/A
Margin of victory3,7504.17%Decrease2.svg15.69
Turnout 89,93257.91%Decrease2.svg13.81
INC hold Swing Decrease2.svg10.19

[9]

93. Pala

2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Pala
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
NCP Mani C. Kappan 54,13742.55%
UDF Jose Tom Pulikkunnel51,19440.24%
BJP N. Hari18,04414.18%
Independent C. J. Philip1,0850.85%
Independent Maju Puthenkandam1,0120.80%
NOTA None of the Above 7420.58%
Independent George Pooveli5650.44%
Independent Tom Thomas3030.24%
Independent Ignatious Illimoottil2330.18%
Independent Joseph Jacob1780.14%
Independent Babu Joseph1300.10%
Independent Joemon Joseph Srampickal1300.10%
Independent Joby Thomas1120.09%
Independent Sunilkumar970.08%
Margin of victory2,9432.31%
Turnout 127,22070.97%
NCP gain from KC(M) Swing

[10]

102. Aroor

2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Aroor
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
INC Shanimol Usman 69,35644.88%Increase2.svg16.34
CPI(M) Manu C. Pulikkal67,27743.54%Decrease2.svg8.80
BJP K. P. Prakash Babu16,28910.54%N/A
NOTA None of the Above 8400.54%Increase2.svg0.09
Independent Geetha Asokan3520.23%N/A
Independent K. B. Sunil Kumar2780.18%N/A
Independent Alleppy Sugunan1420.09%N/A
Margin of victory2,0791.34%Decrease2.svg22.46
Turnout 154,53480.47%Decrease2.svg5.36
INC gain from CPI(M) Swing Increase2.svg16.34

[11]

114. Konni

2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Konni
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
CPI(M) K. U. Jenish Kumar 54,09938.96%Increase2.svg2.63
INC P. Mohanraj44,14631.79%Decrease2.svg19.02
BJP K. Surendran39,78628.65%Increase2.svg16.99
NOTA None of the Above 4690.34%Increase2.svg0.01
Independent Joemon Joseph Srampickal2350.17%N/A
Independent Sivanandan1240.09%N/A
Margin of victory9,9537.17%Decrease2.svg7.31
Turnout 138,85970.07%Decrease2.svg2.92
CPI(M) gain from INC Swing Increase2.svg2.63

[12]

133. Vattiyoorkavu

2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections: Vattiyoorkavu
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
CPI(M) V. K. Prasanth 54,83044.25%Increase2.svg14.46
INC K. Mohankumar40,36532.58%Decrease2.svg5.23
BJP S. Suresh27,45322.16%Decrease2.svg10.03
NOTA None of the Above 8200.66%Increase2.svg0.06
Independent A.Mohanakumar1350.11%N/A
Independent Nagaraj G.1000.08%N/A
Independent Suresh S. S.930.08%N/A
Independent Murukan A.760.06%N/A
Independent Mithran G.380.03%N/A
Majority 14,46511.67%Increase2.svg6.06
Turnout 123,91062.66%Decrease2.svg7.17
CPI(M) gain from INC Swing Increase2.svg14.46

[13]

List of the newly elected MLAs to the 14th Kerala Niyamasabha

As a result of the 2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections, six new members were elected to the Kerala Niyamasabha.

ConstituencyMemberPartyAlliance
Manjeshwar M. C. Kamaruddin    IUML    UDF
Ernakulam T. J. Vinod    INC    UDF
Pala Mani C. Kappan    NCP    LDF
Aroor Shanimol Usman    INC    UDF
Konni K. U. Jenish Kumar    CPI(M)    LDF
Vattiyoorkavu V. K. Prasanth    CPI(M)    LDF

Assembly seat share post by-elections

After the 2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections, the composition of 14th Kerala Legislative Assembly changed as per given below:

UDF LDF NDA
45932

The Kerala Niyamasabha is composed of 141 seats (140 elected and 1 nominated). After the by-elections, the Government of Kerala has the support of 93 members.

Total (141)

Government (93)

Opposition (47)

See also

References

  1. "Pala Bypoll on September 23, Times of India". timesofindia.indiatimes.com.
  2. "Bypolls to five Kerala seats on October 21, India Today". www.indiatoday.in.
  3. "Schedule for Kerala Assembly Byelections 2019 (Phase-1)". www.ceo.kerala.gov.in.
  4. "Schedule for Kerala Assembly Byelections 2019 (Phase-2)". www.ceo.kerala.gov.in.
  5. "Kerala by-election exit polls, Manorama News - Karvy Insights". english.manoramaonline.com.
  6. "Bypolls: UDF likely to win three seats, LDF to win two, predict Mathrubhumi News - Geowide Exit Polls". tv.mathrubhumi.com.
  7. "പാലായില്‍ യുഡിഎഫ് തന്നെയെന്ന് ഏഷ്യാനെറ്റ് ന്യൂസ് എക്സിറ്റ് പോള്‍ ഫലം, asianet news". www.asianetnews.com.
  8. "Manjeshwaram Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.
  9. "Ernakulam Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.
  10. "Pala Niyamasabha By-election Results 2019, Election commission of India". eci.gov.in.
  11. "Aroor Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.[ permanent dead link ]
  12. "Konni Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.
  13. "Vattiyoorkavu Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.