2021 Nova Scotia general election

Last updated

2021 Nova Scotia general election
Flag of Nova Scotia.svg
  2017 August 17, 2021 Next  

55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout55.67% Increase2.svg 2.32 pp [1]
 Majority partyMinority partyThird party
  TimHouston.png Ian rankin leadership (cropped).jpg Gary burrill 2021 (cropped).png
Leader Tim Houston Iain Rankin Gary Burrill
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since October 27, 2018 February 6, 2021 February 27, 2016
Leader's seat Pictou East Timberlea-Prospect Halifax Chebucto
Last election17 seats, 35.73%27 seats, 39.47%7 seats, 21.51%
Seats before17245
Seats won31176
Seat changeIncrease2.svg14Decrease2.svg10Decrease2.svg1
Popular vote162,473155,02688,477
Percentage38.44%36.67%20.93%
SwingIncrease2.svg 2.71 pp Decrease2.svg 2.80 pp Decrease2.svg 0.58 pp

Nova Scotia General Election 2021 - Results by Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.

Premier before election

Iain Rankin
Liberal

Premier after election

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative

The 2021 Nova Scotia general election was held on August 17, 2021, to elect members to the 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia.

Contents

In April 2019, the Electoral Boundaries Commission released its final report entitled, Balancing Effective Representation with Voter Parity. The report recommended increasing the number of electoral districts from 51 to 55, including reinstating the four former districts of Argyle, Clare, Preston and Richmond. In the fourth quarter of 2019, the House of Assembly passed the recommended electoral changes into law and they were put into effect in this election. [2]

In a major upset, [3] Tim Houston led the Progressive Conservatives to power for the first time since 2006, and with a majority government for the first time since 1999. With a popular vote share of 38.44%, the PCs won the smallest winning vote share of any majority government in Nova Scotian electoral history.

Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin’s victory in Cumberland North marked the first occasion since 1988 that an independent candidate won election to the House of Assembly. [4] A record number of four Black Nova Scotians were elected MLAs; prior to this election, only five Black MLAs had ever been elected in Nova Scotia. [5]

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2017–2021)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Cumberland South January 24, 2018 [6] Jamie Baillie   PC Resignation [a 1] June 19, 2018 [12] Tory Rushton   PC
Sackville-Cobequid November 16, 2018 [13] Dave Wilson   New Democratic ResignationJune 18, 2019 [14] Steve Craig   PC
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River June 9, 2019 [15] Lenore Zann   New Democratic Resigned from caucus [a 2]   Independent
Cape Breton-Richmond June 24, 2019 [16] Alana Paon   PC Removed from caucus [a 3]   Independent
Argyle-Barrington July 31, 2019 [17] Chris d'Entremont   PC Resignation [a 4] September 3, 2019 [18] Colton LeBlanc   PC
Northside-Westmount July 31, 2019 [17] Eddie Orrell   PC Resignation [a 5] September 3, 2019 [18] Murray Ryan   PC
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg July 31, 2019 [17] Alfie MacLeod   PC Resignation [a 6] September 3, 2019 [18] Brian Comer   PC
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River September 12, 2019 Lenore Zann   Independent Resignation [a 7] March 10, 2020 Dave Ritcey   PC
Cape Breton Centre February 6, 2020 Tammy Martin   New Democratic Resignation [a 8] March 10, 2020 Kendra Coombes   New Democratic
Chester-St. Margaret's February 23, 2020 Hugh MacKay   Liberal Resigned from caucus [a 9]   Independent
Annapolis May 3, 2021 Stephen McNeil   Liberal Resignation [a 10]
Hants East June 1, 2021 Margaret Miller   Liberal Resignation [a 11]
Cumberland North June 24, 2021 Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin   PC Removed from caucus [a 12]   Independent
  1. amid an allegation of harassment
  2. in order to seek the federal Liberal nomination in Cumberland-Colchester
  3. amid a conflict over constituency office accessibility
  4. to run in the federal district of West Nova
  5. to run in the federal district of Sydney-Victoria
  6. to run in the federal district of Cape Breton-Canso
  7. to run in the federal district of Cumberland—Colchester
  8. due to ongoing health issues
  9. amid charges of impaired driving
  10. retired from political life
  11. retired from political life
  12. amid encouraging a protest that blocked the provincial border

Leaders' debates

2021 Nova Scotia general election debates
DateOrganizersVenueModerator(s) P  Participant  A  Absent invitee  N  Non-inviteeSource
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
July 28, 2021 CBC Nova Scotia Neptune Theatre,
Halifax
Tom Murphy
Amy Smith
P
Rankin
P
Houston
P
Burrill
N
Alexander
N
Dean
[19]
August 5, 2021 CTV Atlantic CTV Studios,
Halifax
Steve Murphy P
Rankin
P
Houston
P
Burrill
N
Alexander
N
Dean
[20]

Results

Results by party

311761
Progressive ConservativeLiberalNew DemocraticInd
Official Results
2021 NS House of Assembly.svg
PartyVotes%+/–Seats
2017 Dissolution ElectedChange
Progressive Conservative 162,47338.59+2.71171731+14
Liberal 155,02636.82-2.80272417-10
New Democratic 88,47721.02-0.58756-1
Green 9,0422.15-0.63000±0
Independents 4,9601.18+1.06031+1
Atlantica 1,0230.24-0.17000±0
Vacant2
Total421,001100.00515155+4
Valid votes421,00199.60
Invalid/blank votes1,7110.40
Total votes422,712100.00
Registered voters/turnout759,34155.67
Popular vote
PC
38.44%
Liberal
36.67%
New Democratic
20.93%
Green
2.14%
Independent
1.17%
Atlantica
0.24%
Seats summary
PC
56.36%
Liberal
30.91%
New Democratic
10.91%
Independent
1.82%

Results by region

Party name HRM Cape Breton Annapolis Valley South Shore Fundy-NortheastCentral NovaTotal
Parties winning seats in the legislature
  Progressive Conservative Seats:65465531
 Popular vote:28.39%38.29%41.75%50.28%43.66%59.61%38.44%
  Liberal Seats:112310017
 Popular vote:38.96%39.93%41.33%33.97%29.84%27.56%36.67%
  New Democratic Party Seats:5100006
 Popular vote:29.78%20.83%12.99%12.94%15.02%11.19%20.93%
 IndependentsSeats:0000101
 Popular vote:0.09%0.83%9.06%0.17%1.17%
Parties not winning seats in the legislature
Green Popular vote:2.59%0.12%3.15%2.56%2.31%1.23%2.14%
Atlantica Popular vote:0.19%0.78%0.25%0.12%0.25%0.24%
Total seats:228776555

Synopsis of results

2021 Nova Scotia riding flips by party. 2021 Nova Scotia General Election Riding Flips.svg
2021 Nova Scotia riding flips by party.
Results by riding - 2021 Nova Scotia general election [a 1]
Riding Region2017 [a 2] Winning partyTurnout
[a 3]
Votes [a 4]
PartyVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
PC Lib NDP Grn Atl IndTotal
 
Annapolis Annapolis ValleyLibLib4,23149.62%1,47817.33%57.80%2,7534,2311,1273061098,526
Antigonish Central NovaLibPC4,70749.98%1,71018.16%64.78%4,7072,9971,552128349,418
Argyle [a 5] South ShorePCPC3,64982.35%3,01468.02%67.54%3,64963563844,431
Bedford Basin Suburban HalifaxLibLib3,70050.87%1,82625.11%55.61%1,8743,7001,5541467,274
Bedford South Suburban HalifaxLibLib3,58645.37%1,23015.64%56.03%2,3383,5681,763140557,864
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Cape BretonNDPNDP3,30942.15%1211.54%53.66%1,2813,1883,309727,850
Cape Breton East Cape BretonPCPC3,89746.27%8039.54%61.42%3,8973,0941,4328,423
Chester-St. Margaret's South ShoreLibPC3,78840.06%2322.45%62.48%3,7883,5561,626417689,455
Clare [a 5] Annapolis ValleyLibLib2,32249.89%3016.46%67.84%2,0212,3221531584,654
Clayton Park West Central HalifaxLibLib3,60347.60%1,72822.83%52.63%1,8753,6031,836210467,570
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Fundy-NortheastPCPC4,11755.13%2,20429.51%52.36%4,1171,9131,4387,468
Colchester North Fundy-NortheastLibPC4,47753.18%1,79621.34%56.67%4,4772,681955252548,419
Cole Harbour Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern ShoreLibLib2,11839.75%4147.77%53.30%1,7042,1181,431755,328
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern ShoreLibLib5,14452.24%2,21522.49%61.62%2,9295,1441,5582159,846
Cumberland North Fundy-NortheastPCInd4,23553.87%1,74722.22%58.59%5692,4885694,2357,861
Cumberland South Fundy-NortheastPCPC3,90068.47%2,80849.30%52.12%3,9001,0925241805,696
Dartmouth East Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern ShorePCPC3,26038.99%3604.31%57.44%3,2602,9001,974187418,362
Dartmouth North Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern ShoreNDPNDP3,73149.75%1,37018.27%46.02%1,2782,3613,7311297,499
Dartmouth South Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern ShoreNDPNDP4,20958.13%2,60635.99%52.96%1,2621,6034,2091677,241
Digby-Annapolis Annapolis ValleyLibPC2,63649.55%77114.49%52.98%2,6361,865626113805,320
Eastern Passage Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern ShorePCPC2,46944.82%1,02518.61%52.65%2,4691,4441,2223745,509
Eastern Shore Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern ShoreLibPC4,26445.82%1,09511.76%56.92%4,2643,1691,6182549,305
Fairview-Clayton Park Central HalifaxLibLib2,89238.51%1051.40%47.58%1,6782,8922,7871537,510
Glace Bay-Dominion Cape BretonLibPC2,75434.61%290.37%59.37%2,7542,4792,7257,958
Guysborough–Tracadie Central NovaLibPC3,28163.39%1,71033.04%66.81%3,2811,571247775,176
Halifax Armdale Central HalifaxLibLib3,07040.35%4776.27%54.02%1,6813,0702,593202637,609
Halifax Atlantic Suburban HalifaxLibLib4,21355.22%2,47332.41%47.27%1,4934,2131,7401837,629
Halifax Chebucto Central HalifaxNDPNDP4,00951.99%1,53119.85%62.01%9112,4784,0093137,711
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Central HalifaxLibNDP3,39742.31%4415.49%48.92%1,4252,9563,3972508,028
Halifax Needham Central HalifaxNDPNDP5,30858.96%2,69129.89%53.34%9042,6175,3081739,002
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Suburban HalifaxLibLib3,69746.06%83210.36%57.43%2,8653,6971,3331318,026
Hants East Fundy-NortheastLibPC3,32837.36%891.00%51.19%3,3283,2392,1421998,908
Hants West Annapolis ValleyLibPC3,96843.11%1411.53%55.98%3,9683,8271,0152731219,204
Inverness Cape BretonPCPC4,83355.85%1,72119.89%61.58%4,8333,1127088,653
Kings North Annapolis ValleyPCPC3,97144.70%1,36915.41%55.30%3,9712,6021,876391438,883
Kings South Annapolis ValleyLibLib4,04944.11%1,00310.93%55.70%3,0464,0491,8082769,179
Kings West Annapolis ValleyLibPC4,59249.45%7367.93%56.65%4,5923,856549216749,287
Lunenburg South ShoreLibPC3,54442.01%6297.46%58.14%3,5442,9151,750171578,437
Lunenburg West South ShoreLibPC4,06544.42%8689.48%55.65%4,0653,1971,7091809,151
Northside-Westmount Cape BretonPCLib4,03046.86%89010.35%53.34%3,1404,0301,4308,600
Pictou Centre Central NovaPCPC4,09255.77%1,82324.84%57.07%4,0922,2698621147,337
Pictou East Central NovaPCPC4,91869.68%3,33347.22%61.44%4,9181,585500557,058
Pictou West Central NovaPCPC4,48763.62%2,97742.21%62.1%4,4871,510872124607,053
Preston [a 6] Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern ShoreLibLib2,22643.38%75414.69%46.78%1,4722,2261,4335,131
Queens South ShorePCPC3,62770.37%2,57649.98%58.36%3,6271,0513231535,154
Richmond [a 5] Cape BretonLibPC2,77350.86%76414.01%71.61%2,7732,0092743965,452
Sackville-Cobequid Suburban HalifaxNDPPC3,42643.33%84910.74%51.74%3,4261,7012,5772037,907
Sackville-Uniacke Suburban HalifaxPCPC3,10443.82%78111.02%51.44%3,1042,3231,5351217,083
Shelburne South ShorePCPC3,90562.56%2,42238.80%54.50%3,9051,4837531016,242
Sydney-Membertou Cape BretonLibLib4,56154.27%2,18425.99%52.66%1,4674,5612,3778,405
Timberlea-Prospect Suburban HalifaxLibLib5,18154.38%2,86130.03%55.68%2,3205,1811,64725040909,528
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Fundy-NortheastNDPPC4,02547.85%1,48417.64%51.11%4,0252,5411,3984488,412
Victoria-The Lakes Cape BretonPCPC3,53654.37%1,31220.17%51.50%3,5362,2246271166,503
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Suburban HalifaxPCPC3,93840.38%3924.02%56.55%3,9383,5461,581617719,753
Yarmouth South ShoreLibLib4,34456.32%1,48819.29%55.17%2,8564,3443221917,713
  1. "Provincial General Election 2021-08-17 - Official Results". electionsns.ca. Elections Nova Scotia . Retrieved August 19, 2021.
  2. effect of 2019 restribution on previous election results, per "Transposition of Votes from the 2017 Provincial General Election to 2019 Electoral District Boundaries" (PDF). Elections Nova Scotia. April 12, 2021.
  3. including spoilt ballots
  4. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  5. 1 2 3 Historically Acadian riding
  6. Historically Black riding

Summary analysis

Change in popular vote by party (2021 vs 2017)
Party20212017Change (pp)
  Progressive Conservative
38.44%
35.73%
2.712.71
 
  Liberal
36.67%
39.47%
-2.80
 
  New Democratic
20.93%
21.51%
-0.58
 
  Green
2.14%
2.77%
-0.63
 
  Independent
1.17%
0.11%
1.061.06
 
  Atlantica
0.24%
0.41%
-0.17
 
Elections to the 64th Legislature of Nova Scotia – seats won/lost by party, 2017–2021
(after applying effect of redistribution)
Party2017
(redist.)
Gain from (loss to)2021
LibPCNDPInd
Progressive Conservative 1813(1)2(1)31
Liberal 301(13)(1)17
New Democratic 71(2)6
Independent 11
Total5514(1)2(15)2(1)(1)55

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the 2021 general election:

Independent

Liberal Party

New Democratic Party

Candidates by constituency

Legend
bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest

NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections Nova Scotia [31]

Annapolis Valley

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
Annapolis Carman Kerr
4,231
49.62%
Jennifer Ehrenfeld-Poole
2,753
32.29%
Cheryl Burbidge
1,127
13.22%
Krista Grear
306
3.59%
Mark Robertson
109
1.28%
Vacant
Clare Ronnie LeBlanc
2,322
49.89%
Carl Deveau
2,021
43.43%
Cameron Pye
153
3.29%
Claire McDonald
158
3.39%
Gordon Wilson
Clare-Digby
Digby-Annapolis Jimmy MacAlpine
1,865
35.06%
Jill Balser
2,636
49.55%
Michael Carty
626
11.77%
Jessica Walker
113
2.12%
Tyler Ducharme
80
1.50%
New riding
Hants West Brian Casey
3,827
41.58%
Melissa Sheehy-Richard
3,968
43.11%
Caet Moir
1,015
11.03%
Jenn Kang
273
2.97%
Gordon J. Berry
121
1.31%
Chuck Porter
Kings North Geof Turner
2,602
29.29%
John Lohr
3,971
44.70%
Erin Patterson
1,876
21.12%
Doug Hickman
391
4.40%
Paul Dunn
43
0.48%
John Lohr
Kings South Keith Irving
4,049
44.11%
Derrick Kimball
3,046
33.18%
Mercedes Brian
1,808
19.70%
Barry Leslie
276
3.01%
Keith Irving
Kings West Emily Lutz
3,856
41.52%
Chris Palmer
4,592
49.45%
Jason Langille
549
5.91%
Sue Earle
216
2.33%
Rick Mehta
74
0.80%
Leo Glavine

South Shore

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
Argyle Nick d'Entremont
635
14.33%
Colton LeBlanc
3,649
82.35%
Robin Smith
63
1.42%
Corey Clamp
84
1.90%
Colton LeBlanc
Argyle-Barrington
Chester-St. Margaret's Jacob Killawee
3,556
37.61%
Danielle Barkhouse
3,788
40.06%
Amy Stewart Reitsma
1,626
17.20%
Jessica Alexander
417
4.41%
Steven Foster
68
0.72%
Hugh MacKay
Lunenburg Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
2,915
34.55%
Susan Corkum-Greek
3,544
42.01%
Alison Smith
1,750
20.74%
Thomas Trappenberg
171
2.03%
John Giannakos
57
0.68%
Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
Lunenburg West Jennifer Naugler
3,197
34.94%
Becky Druhan
4,065
44.42%
Merydie Ross
1,709
18.68%
Eric Wade
180
1.97%
Mark Furey
Queens Susan MacLeod
1,051
20.39%
Kim Masland
3,627
70.37%
Mary Dahr
323
6.27%
Brian Muldoon
153
2.97%
Kim Masland
Queens-Shelburne
Shelburne Penny Smith
1,483
23.76%
Nolan Young
3,905
62.56%
Darren Stoddard
753
12.06%
Steve Hirchak
101
1.62%
New riding
Yarmouth Zach Churchill
4,344
56.32%
Candice Clairmont
2,856
37.03%
SJ Rogers
322
4.17%
Adam Randall
191
2.48%
Zach Churchill

Fundy-Northeast

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Rhonda MacLellan
1,913
25.62%
Larry Harrison
4,117
55.13%
Janet Moulton
1,438
19.26%
Larry Harrison
Colchester North Merlyn Smith
2,681
31.84%
Tom Taggart
4,477
53.18%
Sean Foley
955
11.34%
Ivan Drouin
252
2.99%
Stephan Sante
54
0.64%
Karen Casey
Cumberland North Bill Casey
2,488
31.65%
David Wightman
569
7.24%
Lauren Skabar
569
7.24%
Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
4,235
53.87%
Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
Cumberland South Rollie Lawless
1,092
19.17%
Tory Rushton
3,900
68.47%
Larry Duchesne
524
9.20%
Nicholas Hendren
180
3.16%
Tory Rushton
Hants East Michael Blois
3,239
36.36%
John A. MacDonald
3,328
37.36%
Abby Cameron
2,142
24.05%
Simon Greenough
199
2.23%
Vacant
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Tamara Tynes Powell
2,541
30.21%
Dave Ritcey
4,025
47.85%
Darlene DeAdder
1,398
16.62%
Shaun Trainor
448
5.33%
Dave Ritcey

Central Halifax

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
Clayton Park West Rafah DiCostanzo
3,603
47.60%
Nargis DeMolitor
1,875
24.77%
Reena Davis
1,836
24.25%
Richard Zurawski
210
2.77%
Helen Lau
46
0.61%
Rafah DiCostanzo
Fairview-Clayton Park Patricia Arab
2,892
38.51%
Nicole Mosher
1,678
22.34%
Joanne Hussey
2,787
37.11%
Sheila Richardson
153
2.04%
Patricia Arab
Halifax Armdale Ali Duale
3,070
40.35%
Richard MacLean
1,681
22.09%
Julie Melanson
2,593
34.08%
Jo-Ann Roberts
202
2.65%
Stephen Chafe
63
0.83%
Lena Diab
Halifax Chebucto Jackie Kinley
2,478
32.14%
John Wesley Chisholm
911
11.81%
Gary Burrill
4,009
51.99%
Lily Barraclough
313
4.06%
Gary Burrill
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Labi Kousoulis
2,956
36.82%
Sheri Morgan
1,425
17.75%
Lisa Lachance
3,397
42.31%
Noah Hollis
250
3.11%
Labi Kousoulis
Halifax Needham Colin Coady
2,617
29.07%
Scott Ellis
904
10.04%
Suzy Hansen
5,308
58.96%
Kai Trappenberg
173
1.92%
Lisa Roberts

Suburban Halifax

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
Bedford Basin Kelly Regan
3,700
50.87%
Nick Driscoll
1,874
25.76%
Jacob Wilson
1,554
21.36%
Madeline Taylor
146
2.01%
Kelly Regan
Bedford
Bedford South Braedon Clark
3,568
45.37%
Sura Hadad
2,338
29.73%
David Paterson
1,763
22.42%
Ron G. Parker
140
1.78%
Alan Nightingale
55
0.70%
New riding
Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire
4,213
55.22%
Tim Cranston
1,493
19.57%
Shauna Hatt
1,740
22.81%
Sarah Weston
183
2.40%
Brendan Maguire
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Ben Jessome
3,697
46.06%
Julie Chaisson
2,865
35.70%
Angela Downey
1,333
16.61%
Mark Embrett
131
1.63%
Ben Jessome
Sackville-Cobequid Mary LeRoy
1,701
21.51%
Steve Craig
3,426
43.33%
Lara Fawthrop
2,577
32.59%
Ian Dawson
203
2.57%
Steve Craig
Sackville-Uniacke Donalda MacIsaac
2,323
32.80%
Brad Johns
3,104
43.82%
Thomas Hill
1,535
21.67%
Carson LeQuesne
121
1.71%
Brad Johns
Sackville-Beaver Bank
Timberlea-Prospect Iain Rankin
5,181
54.38%
Bill Healy
2,320
24.35%
Raymond Theriault
1,647
17.29%
Harry Ward
250
2.62%
Dessire G. Miari
40
0.42%
Dawn Edith Penney
90
0.94%
Iain Rankin
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Marni Tuttle
3,546
36.36%
Brian Wong
3,938
40.38%
Christina McCarron
1,581
16.21%
Anthony Edmonds
617
6.33%
Shawn Whitford
71
0.73%
Bill Horne

Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
Cole Harbour Tony Ince
2,118
39.75%
Darryl Johnson
1,704
31.98%
Jerome Lagmay
1,431
26.86%
Chris Kinnie
75
1.41%
Tony Ince
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Lorelei Nicoll
5,144
52.24%
Karina Sanford
2,929
29.75%
Melody Pentland
1,558
15.82%
Rana Zaman
215
2.18%
New riding
Dartmouth East D'Arcy Poultney
2,900
34.68%
Tim Halman
3,260
38.99%
Tyler J. Colbourne
1,974
23.61%
Sara Adams
187
2.24%
Chris Bowie
41
0.49%
Tim Halman
Dartmouth North Pam Cooley
2,361
31.48%
Lisa Coates
1,278
17.04%
Susan Leblanc
3,731
49.75%
Carolyn Marshall
129
1.72%
Susan Leblanc
Dartmouth South Lesley MacKay
1,603
22.14%
Chris Curtis
1,262
17.43%
Claudia Chender
4,209
58.13%
Skylar Martini
167
2.31%
Claudia Chender
Eastern Passage Joyce Treen
1,444
26.21%
Barbara Adams
2,469
44.82%
Tammy Jakeman
1,222
22.18%
Corey Myers
374
6.79%
Barbara Adams
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage
Eastern Shore Kevin Murphy
3,169
34.06%
Kent Smith
4,264
45.82%
Deirdre Dwyer
1,618
17.39%
Cheryl Atkinson
254
2.73%
Kevin Murphy
Preston Angela Simmonds
2,226
43.38%
Archy Beals
1,472
28.69%
Colter C.C. Simmonds
1,433
27.93%
Keith Colwell
Preston-Dartmouth

Central Nova

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
Antigonish Randy Delorey
2,997
31.82%
Michelle Thompson
4,707
49.98%
Moraig MacGillivray
1,552
16.48%
Will Fraser
128
1.36%
Ryan Smyth
34
0.36%
Randy Delorey
Guysborough-Tracadie Lloyd Hines
1,571
30.35%
Greg Morrow
3,281
63.39%
Matt Stickland
247
4.77%
Gabe Bruce
77
1.49%
Lloyd Hines
Guysborough-Eastern Shore-Tracadie
Pictou Centre Jim McKenna
2,269
30.93%
Pat Dunn
4,092
55.77%
Vernon Theriault
862
11.75%
Laura Moore
114
1.55%
Pat Dunn
Pictou East Joe MacDonald
1,585
22.46%
Tim Houston
4,918
69.68%
Joy Polley
500
7.08%
Jonathan Geoffrey Dean
55
0.78%
Tim Houston
Pictou West Mary Wooldridge-Elliott
1,510
21.41%
Karla MacFarlane
4,487
63.62%
Rick Parker
872
12.36%
Clare Brett
124
1.76%
John A. Clark
60
0.85%
Karla MacFarlane

Cape Breton

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenIndependent
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Michelle Wilson
3,188
40.61%
Bryden Mombourquette
1,281
16.32%
Kendra Coombes
3,309
42.15%
Robert Hussey
72
0.92%
Kendra Coombes
Cape Breton Centre
Cape Breton East Heather Peters
3,094
36.73%
Brian Comer
3,897
46.27%
Barbara Beaton
1,432
17.00%
Brian Comer
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
Glace Bay-Dominion John John McCarthy
2,479
31.15%
John White
2,754
34.61%
John Morgan
2,725
34.24%
Geoff MacLellan
Glace Bay
Inverness Damian MacInnis
3,112
35.96%
Allan MacMaster
4,833
55.85%
Joanna Clark
708
8.18%
Allan MacMaster
Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley
4,030
46.86%
Murray Ryan
3,140
36.51%
Jennifer Morrison
1,430
16.63%
Murray Ryan
Richmond Matt Haley
2,009
36.85%
Trevor Boudreau
2,773
50.86%
Bryson Syliboy
274
5.03%
Alana Paon
396
7.26%
Alana Paon
Cape Breton-Richmond
Sydney-Membertou Derek Mombourquette
4,561
54.27%
Pauline Singer
1,467
17.45%
Madonna Doucette
2,377
28.28%
Derek Mombourquette
Sydney-Whitney Pier
Victoria-The Lakes Nadine Bernard
2,224
34.20%
Keith Bain
3,536
54.37%
Adrianna MacKinnon
627
9.64%
Stemer MacLeod
116
1.78%
Keith Bain

Opinion polls

Voting intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2017 election

NS Election 2021 Polling.svg

Polling FirmPoll PublishedLink Liberal PC NDP Green Lead
Election ResultsAugust 17, 2021N/A36.6738.4420.932.141.77
Forum ResearchAugust 16, 2021 HTML 39362133
Mainstreet ResearchAugust 16, 2021 HTML 38362132
Narrative ResearchAugust 11, 2021 PDF Archived August 11, 2021, at the Wayback Machine 40312729
LegerAugust 2, 2021 PDF 423220510
Mainstreet ResearchJuly 22, 2021 HTML 423022412
Premier Iain Rankin calls a election to be held on August 17, 2021 (July 17, 2021)
Angus ReidJune 9, 2021 HTML 41332048
Narrative ResearchJune 3, 2021 HTML 522419528
Narrative ResearchMarch 9, 2021 HTML 502618624
MQO ResearchFebruary 25, 2021 HTML 512715424
Iain Rankin is sworn in as Premier of Nova Scotia (February 23, 2021)
Iain Rankin is elected leader of the Liberal Party (February 6, 2021)
Angus ReidDecember 10, 2020 HTML 37292578
Narrative ResearchDecember 8, 2020 HTML 492521524
Narrative ResearchSeptember 3, 2020 HTML 472719620
Stephen McNeil announces his intention to resign as leader of the Liberal Party and Premier of Nova Scotia (August 6, 2020)
Angus ReidJune 8, 2020 HTML 423119711
Narrative ResearchMay 25, 2020 HTML 572215635
Innovative Research GroupMay 12, 2020 PDF 492418925
Narrative ResearchMarch 12, 2020 HTML 4327211016
MQO ResearchMarch 3, 2020 PDF 34322292
Narrative ResearchDecember 10, 2019 HTML 422621916
MQO ResearchAugust 31, 2019 PDF 3535208Tie
Narrative ResearchJuly 31–August 22, 2019 PDF [ permanent dead link ]3928161511
Narrative ResearchJune 13, 2019 HTML 313321132
MQO ResearchMay 13, 2019 PDF 303818128
Corporate Research AssociatesMarch 6, 2019 PDF Archived March 7, 2019, at the Wayback Machine 37342453
MQO ResearchFebruary 13, 2019 PDF 41331978
Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 30, 2019 HTML 32.131.025.28.11.1
Corporate Research AssociatesDecember 12, 2018 PDF Archived December 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 38312467
Mainstreet ResearchNovember 16, 2018 HTML 32.733.220.78.90.5
MQO ResearchNovember 8, 2018 PDF 42361566
Tim Houston is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (October 27, 2018)
Corporate Research AssociatesSeptember 6, 2018 PDF Archived September 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 433221411
MQO ResearchAugust 9, 2018 PDF 453120414
Mainstreet ResearchJuly 17, 2018 HTML 36.733.822.952.9
Corporate Research AssociatesJune 6, 2018 PDF [ permanent dead link ]452923316
MQO ResearchMay 11, 2018 PDF 40312349
Mainstreet ResearchApril 18, 2018 HTML 40.234.717.35.65.5
Corporate Research AssociatesMarch 8, 2018 PDF Archived March 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 37342543
Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 25, 2018 HTML 40.638.515.75.22.1
MQO ResearchJanuary 24, 2018 PDF 473017517
Corporate Research AssociatesDecember 6, 2017 PDF Archived December 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 38292759
MQO ResearchOctober 24, 2017 PDF 443219412
Corporate Research AssociatesSeptember 13, 2017 PDF Archived September 13, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 452922416
MQO ResearchJuly 27, 2017 PDF 463021316
Corporate Research AssociatesJune 7, 2017 PDF Archived July 30, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 402928211
Election 2017 May 30, 2017 HTML 39.535.721.52.83.8

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