2021 Nova Scotia general election

Last updated

2021 Nova Scotia general election
Flag of Nova Scotia.svg
  2017 August 17, 2021 2024  

55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout55.07% Increase2.svg 1.72 pp [1]
 Majority partyMinority partyThird party
  TimHouston (3x4).png Ian rankin leadership (cropped).jpg Gary burrill 2021 (cropped).png
Leader Tim Houston Iain Rankin Gary Burrill
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since October 27, 2018 February 6, 2021 February 27, 2016
Leader's seat Pictou East Timberlea-Prospect Halifax Chebucto
Last election17 seats, 35.73%27 seats, 39.47%7 seats, 21.51%
Seats won31176
Seat changeIncrease2.svg14Decrease2.svg10Decrease2.svg1
Popular vote162,473155,02688,477
Percentage38.44%36.67%20.93%
SwingIncrease2.svg 2.71 pp Decrease2.svg 2.80 pp Decrease2.svg 0.58 pp

Nova Scotia General Election 2021 - Results by Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.

Premier before election

Iain Rankin
Liberal

Premier after election

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative

The 2021 Nova Scotia general election was held on August 17, 2021, to elect members to the 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia.

Contents

In a major upset, [2] Tim Houston led the Progressive Conservatives to power for the first time since 2006, and with a majority government for the first time since 1999. With a popular vote share of 38.44%, the PCs won the smallest winning vote share of any majority government in Nova Scotian electoral history.

Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin’s victory in Cumberland North marked the first occasion since 1988 that an independent candidate won election to the House of Assembly. [3] A record number of four Black Nova Scotians were elected MLAs; prior to this election, only five Black MLAs had ever been elected in Nova Scotia. [4]

Redistribution of ridings

In April 2019, the Electoral Boundaries Commission released its report which recommended changing the number of electoral districts from 51 to 55, including reinstating the four former districts of Argyle, Clare, Preston and Richmond. [5] In October 2019, the Nova Scotia Legislature passed implementing legislation, providing for the following changes to take effect at the forthcoming election. [6] [7]

Abolished ridingsNew ridings
Renaming of districts
Division of districts
Reorganization of districts

    Timeline

    Changes in seats held (2017–2021)
    SeatBeforeChange
    DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
    Cumberland South January 24, 2018 [8] Jamie Baillie   PC Resignation [a 1] June 19, 2018 [14] Tory Rushton   PC
    Sackville-Cobequid November 16, 2018 [15] Dave Wilson   New Democratic ResignationJune 18, 2019 [16] Steve Craig   PC
    Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River June 9, 2019 [17] Lenore Zann   New Democratic Resigned from caucus [a 2]   Independent
    Cape Breton-Richmond June 24, 2019 [18] Alana Paon   PC Removed from caucus [a 3]   Independent
    Argyle-Barrington July 31, 2019 [19] Chris d'Entremont   PC Resignation [a 4] September 3, 2019 [20] Colton LeBlanc   PC
    Northside-Westmount July 31, 2019 [19] Eddie Orrell   PC Resignation [a 5] September 3, 2019 [20] Murray Ryan   PC
    Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg July 31, 2019 [19] Alfie MacLeod   PC Resignation [a 6] September 3, 2019 [20] Brian Comer   PC
    Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River September 12, 2019 Lenore Zann   Independent Resignation [a 7] March 10, 2020 Dave Ritcey   PC
    Cape Breton Centre February 6, 2020 Tammy Martin   New Democratic Resignation [a 8] March 10, 2020 Kendra Coombes   New Democratic
    Chester-St. Margaret's February 23, 2020 Hugh MacKay   Liberal Resigned from caucus [a 9]   Independent
    Annapolis May 3, 2021 Stephen McNeil   Liberal Resignation [a 10]
    Hants East June 1, 2021 Margaret Miller   Liberal Resignation [a 11]
    Cumberland North June 24, 2021 Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin   PC Removed from caucus [a 12]   Independent
    1. amid an allegation of harassment
    2. in order to seek the federal Liberal nomination in Cumberland-Colchester
    3. amid a conflict over constituency office accessibility
    4. to run in the federal district of West Nova
    5. to run in the federal district of Sydney-Victoria
    6. to run in the federal district of Cape Breton-Canso
    7. to run in the federal district of Cumberland—Colchester
    8. due to ongoing health issues
    9. amid charges of impaired driving
    10. retired from political life
    11. retired from political life
    12. amid encouraging a protest that blocked the provincial border

    Leaders' debates

    2021 Nova Scotia general election debates
    DateOrganizersVenueModerator(s) P  Participant  A  Absent invitee  N  Non-inviteeSource
    LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
    July 28, 2021 CBC Nova Scotia Neptune Theatre,
    Halifax
    Tom Murphy
    Amy Smith
    P
    Rankin
    P
    Houston
    P
    Burrill
    N
    Alexander
    N
    Dean
    [21]
    August 5, 2021 CTV Atlantic CTV Studios,
    Halifax
    Steve Murphy P
    Rankin
    P
    Houston
    P
    Burrill
    N
    Alexander
    N
    Dean
    [22]

    Results

    Results by party

    311761
    Progressive ConservativeLiberalNew DemocraticInd
    Summary of the 2021 Nova Scotia House of Assembly election [23]
    2021 NS House of Assembly.svg
    PartyLeaderCandidatesVotesSeats
    #± %Change (pp) 2017 2021±
    Progressive Conservative Tim Houston 55162,47319,119Increase2.svg38.592.862.86
     
    1731 / 5514Increase2.svg
    Liberal Iain Rankin 55155,0263,357Decrease2.svg36.82-2.65
     
    2717 / 5510Decrease2.svg
    New Democratic Gary Burrill 5588,4772,178Increase2.svg21.02-0.49
     
    77 / 551Decrease2.svg
    Green Jessica Alexander439,0422,085Decrease2.svg2.15-0.63
     
    Independent 64,9604,513Increase2.svg1.181.071.07
     
    1 / 551Increase2.svg
    Atlantica Jonathan Geoffrey Dean161,023609Decrease2.svg0.24-0.16
    Total230421,001100.00%
    Rejected ballots1,711412Decrease2.svg
    Turnout422,71219,347Increase2.svg55.07%1.72Increase2.svg
    Registered voters767,61811,505Increase2.svg

      Synopsis of results

      2021 Nova Scotia riding flips by party 2021 Nova Scotia General Election Riding Flips.svg
      2021 Nova Scotia riding flips by party
        = Newly created districts
        = Open seat
        = Turnout is above provincial average
        = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
        = Incumbent had switched allegiance
        = Previously incumbent in another riding
        = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
        = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
        = Other incumbents renominated
        = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
        = Multiple candidates
      Results by riding - 2021 Nova Scotia general election [a 1]
      Riding RegionWinning partyTurnout
      [a 2]
      Votes [a 3]
      2017
      (Redist.)
      [a 4]
      1st placeVotesShareMargin
      #
      Margin
      %
      2nd placeTotal
      PC Lib NDP Grn Atl Ind
      Annapolis Annapolis Valley Lib Lib4,23149.62%1,47817.33% PC57.80%2,7534,2311,1273061098,526
      Antigonish Central Nova Lib PC4,70749.98%1,71018.16% Lib64.78%4,7072,9971,552128349,418
      Argyle [a 5] South Shore PC PC3,64982.35%3,01468.02% Lib67.54%3,64963563844,431
      Bedford Basin Suburban Halifax Lib Lib3,70050.87%1,82625.11% PC55.61%1,8743,7001,5541467,274
      Bedford South Suburban Halifax Lib Lib3,58645.37%1,23015.64% PC56.03%2,3383,5681,763140557,864
      Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Cape Breton NDP NDP3,30942.15%1211.54% Lib53.66%1,2813,1883,309727,850
      Cape Breton East Cape Breton PC PC3,89746.27%8039.54% Lib61.42%3,8973,0941,4328,423
      Chester-St. Margaret's South Shore Lib PC3,78840.06%2322.45% Lib62.48%3,7883,5561,626417689,455
      Clare [a 5] Annapolis Valley Lib Lib2,32249.89%3016.46% PC67.84%2,0212,3221531584,654
      Clayton Park West Central Halifax Lib Lib3,60347.60%1,72822.83% PC52.63%1,8753,6031,836210467,570
      Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Fundy-Northeast PC PC4,11755.13%2,20429.51% Lib52.36%4,1171,9131,4387,468
      Colchester North Fundy-Northeast Lib PC4,47753.18%1,79621.34% Lib56.67%4,4772,681955252548,419
      Cole Harbour Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore Lib Lib2,11839.75%4147.77% PC53.30%1,7042,1181,431755,328
      Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore Lib Lib5,14452.24%2,21522.49% PC61.62%2,9295,1441,5582159,846
      Cumberland North Fundy-Northeast PC Ind4,23553.87%1,74722.22% Lib58.59%5692,4885694,2357,861
      Cumberland South Fundy-Northeast PC PC3,90068.47%2,80849.30% Lib52.12%3,9001,092524 [a 6] 1805,696
      Dartmouth East Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore PC PC3,26038.99%3604.31% Lib57.44%3,2602,9001,974187418,362
      Dartmouth North Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore NDP NDP3,73149.75%1,37018.27% Lib46.02%1,2782,3613,7311297,499
      Dartmouth South Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore NDP NDP4,20958.13%2,60635.99% Lib52.96%1,2621,6034,2091677,241
      Digby-Annapolis Annapolis Valley Lib PC2,63649.55%77114.49% Lib52.98%2,6361,865626113805,320
      Eastern Passage Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore PC PC2,46944.82%1,02518.61% Lib52.65%2,4691,4441,2223745,509
      Eastern Shore Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore Lib PC4,26445.82%1,09511.76% Lib56.92%4,2643,1691,6182549,305
      Fairview-Clayton Park Central Halifax Lib Lib2,89238.51%1051.40% NDP47.58%1,6782,8922,7871537,510
      Glace Bay-Dominion Cape Breton Lib PC2,75434.61%290.37% NDP59.37%2,7542,4792,7257,958
      Guysborough–Tracadie Central Nova Lib PC3,28163.39%1,71033.04% Lib66.81%3,2811,571247775,176
      Halifax Armdale Central Halifax Lib Lib3,07040.35%4776.27% NDP54.02%1,6813,0702,593202637,609
      Halifax Atlantic Suburban Halifax Lib Lib4,21355.22%2,47332.41% NDP47.27%1,4934,2131,7401837,629
      Halifax Chebucto Central Halifax NDP NDP4,00951.99%1,53119.85% Lib62.01%9112,4784,0093137,711
      Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Central Halifax Lib NDP3,39742.31%4415.49% Lib48.92%1,4252,9563,3972508,028
      Halifax Needham Central Halifax NDP NDP5,30858.96%2,69129.89% Lib53.34%9042,6175,3081739,002
      Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Suburban Halifax Lib Lib3,69746.06%83210.36% PC57.43%2,8653,6971,3331318,026
      Hants East Fundy-Northeast Lib PC3,32837.36%891.00% Lib51.19%3,3283,2392,1421998,908
      Hants West Annapolis Valley Lib PC3,96843.11%1411.53% Lib55.98%3,9683,8271,0152731219,204
      Inverness Cape Breton PC PC4,83355.85%1,72119.89% Lib61.58%4,8333,1127088,653
      Kings North Annapolis Valley PC PC3,97144.70%1,36915.41% Lib55.30%3,9712,6021,876391438,883
      Kings South Annapolis Valley Lib Lib4,04944.11%1,00310.93% PC55.70%3,0464,0491,8082769,179
      Kings West Annapolis Valley Lib PC4,59249.45%7367.93% Lib56.65%4,5923,856549216749,287
      Lunenburg South Shore Lib PC3,54442.01%6297.46% Lib58.14%3,5442,9151,750171578,437
      Lunenburg West South Shore Lib PC4,06544.42%8689.48% Lib55.65%4,0653,1971,7091809,151
      Northside-Westmount Cape Breton PC Lib4,03046.86%89010.35% PC53.34%3,1404,0301,4308,600
      Pictou Centre Central Nova PC PC4,09255.77%1,82324.84% Lib57.07%4,0922,2698621147,337
      Pictou East Central Nova PC PC4,91869.68%3,33347.22% Lib61.44%4,9181,585500557,058
      Pictou West Central Nova PC PC4,48763.62%2,97742.21% Lib62.1%4,4871,510872124607,053
      Preston [a 7] Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore Lib Lib2,22643.38%75414.69% PC46.78%1,4722,2261,4335,131
      Queens South Shore PC PC3,62770.37%2,57649.98% Lib58.36%3,6271,0513231535,154
      Richmond [a 5] Cape Breton Lib PC2,77350.86%76414.01% Lib71.61%2,7732,0092743965,452
      Sackville-Cobequid Suburban Halifax NDP PC3,42643.33%84910.74% NDP51.74%3,4261,7012,5772037,907
      Sackville-Uniacke Suburban Halifax PC PC3,10443.82%78111.02% Lib51.44%3,1042,3231,5351217,083
      Shelburne South Shore PC PC3,90562.56%2,42238.80% Lib54.50%3,9051,4837531016,242
      Sydney-Membertou Cape Breton Lib Lib4,56154.27%2,18425.99% NDP52.66%1,4674,5612,3778,405
      Timberlea-Prospect Suburban Halifax Lib Lib5,18154.38%2,86130.03% PC55.68%2,3205,1811,64725040909,528
      Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Fundy-Northeast NDP PC4,02547.85%1,48417.64% Lib51.11%4,0252,5411,3984488,412
      Victoria-The Lakes Cape Breton PC PC3,53654.37%1,31220.17% Lib51.50%3,5362,2246271166,503
      Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Suburban Halifax PC PC3,93840.38%3924.02% Lib56.55%3,9383,5461,581617719,753
      Yarmouth South Shore Lib Lib4,34456.32%1,48819.29% PC55.17%2,8564,3443221917,713
      1. "Provincial General Election 2021-08-17 - Official Results". electionsns.ca. Elections Nova Scotia . Retrieved August 19, 2021.
      2. including spoilt ballots
      3. Minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
      4. effect of 2019 restribution on previous election results, per "Transposition of Votes from the 2017 Provincial General Election to 2019 Electoral District Boundaries" (PDF). Elections Nova Scotia. April 12, 2021.
      5. 1 2 3 Historically Acadian riding
      6. Larry Duchesne was previously a member of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island and leader of the Prince Edward Island New Democratic Party.
      7. Historically Black riding

      Summary analysis

      Elections to the 64th Legislature of Nova Scotia – seats won/lost by party, 2017–2021
      (after applying effect of redistribution)
      Party2017
      (redist.)
      Gain from (loss to)2021
      LibPCNDPInd
      Progressive Conservative 1813(1)2(1)31
      Liberal 301(13)(1)17
      New Democratic 71(2)6
      Independent 11
      Total5514(1)2(15)2(1)(1)55

      Incumbents not running for reelection

      The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the 2021 general election:

      Independent

      Liberal Party

      New Democratic Party

      Candidates by constituency

      Legend
      bold denotes party leader
      † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest

      NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections Nova Scotia [34]

      Annapolis Valley

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
      Annapolis Carman Kerr
      4,231
      49.62%
      Jennifer Ehrenfeld-Poole
      2,753
      32.29%
      Cheryl Burbidge
      1,127
      13.22%
      Krista Grear
      306
      3.59%
      Mark Robertson
      109
      1.28%
      Vacant
      Clare Ronnie LeBlanc
      2,322
      49.89%
      Carl Deveau
      2,021
      43.43%
      Cameron Pye
      153
      3.29%
      Claire McDonald
      158
      3.39%
      Gordon Wilson
      Clare-Digby
      Digby-Annapolis Jimmy MacAlpine
      1,865
      35.06%
      Jill Balser
      2,636
      49.55%
      Michael Carty
      626
      11.77%
      Jessica Walker
      113
      2.12%
      Tyler Ducharme
      80
      1.50%
      New riding
      Hants West Brian Casey
      3,827
      41.58%
      Melissa Sheehy-Richard
      3,968
      43.11%
      Caet Moir
      1,015
      11.03%
      Jenn Kang
      273
      2.97%
      Gordon J. Berry
      121
      1.31%
      Chuck Porter
      Kings North Geof Turner
      2,602
      29.29%
      John Lohr
      3,971
      44.70%
      Erin Patterson
      1,876
      21.12%
      Doug Hickman
      391
      4.40%
      Paul Dunn
      43
      0.48%
      John Lohr
      Kings South Keith Irving
      4,049
      44.11%
      Derrick Kimball
      3,046
      33.18%
      Mercedes Brian
      1,808
      19.70%
      Barry Leslie
      276
      3.01%
      Keith Irving
      Kings West Emily Lutz
      3,856
      41.52%
      Chris Palmer
      4,592
      49.45%
      Jason Langille
      549
      5.91%
      Sue Earle
      216
      2.33%
      Rick Mehta
      74
      0.80%
      Leo Glavine

      South Shore

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
      Argyle Nick d'Entremont
      635
      14.33%
      Colton LeBlanc
      3,649
      82.35%
      Robin Smith
      63
      1.42%
      Corey Clamp
      84
      1.90%
      Colton LeBlanc
      Argyle-Barrington
      Chester-St. Margaret's Jacob Killawee
      3,556
      37.61%
      Danielle Barkhouse
      3,788
      40.06%
      Amy Stewart Reitsma
      1,626
      17.20%
      Jessica Alexander
      417
      4.41%
      Steven Foster
      68
      0.72%
      Hugh MacKay
      Lunenburg Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
      2,915
      34.55%
      Susan Corkum-Greek
      3,544
      42.01%
      Alison Smith
      1,750
      20.74%
      Thomas Trappenberg
      171
      2.03%
      John Giannakos
      57
      0.68%
      Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
      Lunenburg West Jennifer Naugler
      3,197
      34.94%
      Becky Druhan
      4,065
      44.42%
      Merydie Ross
      1,709
      18.68%
      Eric Wade
      180
      1.97%
      Mark Furey
      Queens Susan MacLeod
      1,051
      20.39%
      Kim Masland
      3,627
      70.37%
      Mary Dahr
      323
      6.27%
      Brian Muldoon
      153
      2.97%
      Kim Masland
      Queens-Shelburne
      Shelburne Penny Smith
      1,483
      23.76%
      Nolan Young
      3,905
      62.56%
      Darren Stoddard
      753
      12.06%
      Steve Hirchak
      101
      1.62%
      New riding
      Yarmouth Zach Churchill
      4,344
      56.32%
      Candice Clairmont
      2,856
      37.03%
      SJ Rogers
      322
      4.17%
      Adam Randall
      191
      2.48%
      Zach Churchill

      Fundy-Northeast

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
      Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Rhonda MacLellan
      1,913
      25.62%
      Larry Harrison
      4,117
      55.13%
      Janet Moulton
      1,438
      19.26%
      Larry Harrison
      Colchester North Merlyn Smith
      2,681
      31.84%
      Tom Taggart
      4,477
      53.18%
      Sean Foley
      955
      11.34%
      Ivan Drouin
      252
      2.99%
      Stephan Sante
      54
      0.64%
      Karen Casey
      Cumberland North Bill Casey
      2,488
      31.65%
      David Wightman
      569
      7.24%
      Lauren Skabar
      569
      7.24%
      Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
      4,235
      53.87%
      Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
      Cumberland South Rollie Lawless
      1,092
      19.17%
      Tory Rushton
      3,900
      68.47%
      Larry Duchesne
      524
      9.20%
      Nicholas Hendren
      180
      3.16%
      Tory Rushton
      Hants East Michael Blois
      3,239
      36.36%
      John A. MacDonald
      3,328
      37.36%
      Abby Cameron
      2,142
      24.05%
      Simon Greenough
      199
      2.23%
      Vacant
      Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Tamara Tynes Powell
      2,541
      30.21%
      Dave Ritcey
      4,025
      47.85%
      Darlene DeAdder
      1,398
      16.62%
      Shaun Trainor
      448
      5.33%
      Dave Ritcey

      Central Halifax

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
      Clayton Park West Rafah DiCostanzo
      3,603
      47.60%
      Nargis DeMolitor
      1,875
      24.77%
      Reena Davis
      1,836
      24.25%
      Richard Zurawski
      210
      2.77%
      Helen Lau
      46
      0.61%
      Rafah DiCostanzo
      Fairview-Clayton Park Patricia Arab
      2,892
      38.51%
      Nicole Mosher
      1,678
      22.34%
      Joanne Hussey
      2,787
      37.11%
      Sheila Richardson
      153
      2.04%
      Patricia Arab
      Halifax Armdale Ali Duale
      3,070
      40.35%
      Richard MacLean
      1,681
      22.09%
      Julie Melanson
      2,593
      34.08%
      Jo-Ann Roberts
      202
      2.65%
      Stephen Chafe
      63
      0.83%
      Lena Diab
      Halifax Chebucto Jackie Kinley
      2,478
      32.14%
      John Wesley Chisholm
      911
      11.81%
      Gary Burrill
      4,009
      51.99%
      Lily Barraclough
      313
      4.06%
      Gary Burrill
      Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Labi Kousoulis
      2,956
      36.82%
      Sheri Morgan
      1,425
      17.75%
      Lisa Lachance
      3,397
      42.31%
      Noah Hollis
      250
      3.11%
      Labi Kousoulis
      Halifax Needham Colin Coady
      2,617
      29.07%
      Scott Ellis
      904
      10.04%
      Suzy Hansen
      5,308
      58.96%
      Kai Trappenberg
      173
      1.92%
      Lisa Roberts

      Suburban Halifax

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
      Bedford Basin Kelly Regan
      3,700
      50.87%
      Nick Driscoll
      1,874
      25.76%
      Jacob Wilson
      1,554
      21.36%
      Madeline Taylor
      146
      2.01%
      Kelly Regan
      Bedford
      Bedford South Braedon Clark
      3,568
      45.37%
      Sura Hadad
      2,338
      29.73%
      David Paterson
      1,763
      22.42%
      Ron G. Parker
      140
      1.78%
      Alan Nightingale
      55
      0.70%
      New riding
      Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire
      4,213
      55.22%
      Tim Cranston
      1,493
      19.57%
      Shauna Hatt
      1,740
      22.81%
      Sarah Weston
      183
      2.40%
      Brendan Maguire
      Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Ben Jessome
      3,697
      46.06%
      Julie Chaisson
      2,865
      35.70%
      Angela Downey
      1,333
      16.61%
      Mark Embrett
      131
      1.63%
      Ben Jessome
      Sackville-Cobequid Mary LeRoy
      1,701
      21.51%
      Steve Craig
      3,426
      43.33%
      Lara Fawthrop
      2,577
      32.59%
      Ian Dawson
      203
      2.57%
      Steve Craig
      Sackville-Uniacke Donalda MacIsaac
      2,323
      32.80%
      Brad Johns
      3,104
      43.82%
      Thomas Hill
      1,535
      21.67%
      Carson LeQuesne
      121
      1.71%
      Brad Johns
      Sackville-Beaver Bank
      Timberlea-Prospect Iain Rankin
      5,181
      54.38%
      Bill Healy
      2,320
      24.35%
      Raymond Theriault
      1,647
      17.29%
      Harry Ward
      250
      2.62%
      Dessire G. Miari
      40
      0.42%
      Dawn Edith Penney
      90
      0.94%
      Iain Rankin
      Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Marni Tuttle
      3,546
      36.36%
      Brian Wong
      3,938
      40.38%
      Christina McCarron
      1,581
      16.21%
      Anthony Edmonds
      617
      6.33%
      Shawn Whitford
      71
      0.73%
      Bill Horne

      Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
      Cole Harbour Tony Ince
      2,118
      39.75%
      Darryl Johnson
      1,704
      31.98%
      Jerome Lagmay
      1,431
      26.86%
      Chris Kinnie
      75
      1.41%
      Tony Ince
      Cole Harbour-Portland Valley
      Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Lorelei Nicoll
      5,144
      52.24%
      Karina Sanford
      2,929
      29.75%
      Melody Pentland
      1,558
      15.82%
      Rana Zaman
      215
      2.18%
      New riding
      Dartmouth East D'Arcy Poultney
      2,900
      34.68%
      Tim Halman
      3,260
      38.99%
      Tyler J. Colbourne
      1,974
      23.61%
      Sara Adams
      187
      2.24%
      Chris Bowie
      41
      0.49%
      Tim Halman
      Dartmouth North Pam Cooley
      2,361
      31.48%
      Lisa Coates
      1,278
      17.04%
      Susan Leblanc
      3,731
      49.75%
      Carolyn Marshall
      129
      1.72%
      Susan Leblanc
      Dartmouth South Lesley MacKay
      1,603
      22.14%
      Chris Curtis
      1,262
      17.43%
      Claudia Chender
      4,209
      58.13%
      Skylar Martini
      167
      2.31%
      Claudia Chender
      Eastern Passage Joyce Treen
      1,444
      26.21%
      Barbara Adams
      2,469
      44.82%
      Tammy Jakeman
      1,222
      22.18%
      Corey Myers
      374
      6.79%
      Barbara Adams
      Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage
      Eastern Shore Kevin Murphy
      3,169
      34.06%
      Kent Smith
      4,264
      45.82%
      Deirdre Dwyer
      1,618
      17.39%
      Cheryl Atkinson
      254
      2.73%
      Kevin Murphy
      Preston Angela Simmonds
      2,226
      43.38%
      Archy Beals
      1,472
      28.69%
      Colter C.C. Simmonds
      1,433
      27.93%
      Keith Colwell
      Preston-Dartmouth

      Central Nova

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
      Antigonish Randy Delorey
      2,997
      31.82%
      Michelle Thompson
      4,707
      49.98%
      Moraig MacGillivray
      1,552
      16.48%
      Will Fraser
      128
      1.36%
      Ryan Smyth
      34
      0.36%
      Randy Delorey
      Guysborough-Tracadie Lloyd Hines
      1,571
      30.35%
      Greg Morrow
      3,281
      63.39%
      Matt Stickland
      247
      4.77%
      Gabe Bruce
      77
      1.49%
      Lloyd Hines
      Guysborough-Eastern Shore-Tracadie
      Pictou Centre Jim McKenna
      2,269
      30.93%
      Pat Dunn
      4,092
      55.77%
      Vernon Theriault
      862
      11.75%
      Laura Moore
      114
      1.55%
      Pat Dunn
      Pictou East Joe MacDonald
      1,585
      22.46%
      Tim Houston
      4,918
      69.68%
      Joy Polley
      500
      7.08%
      Jonathan Geoffrey Dean
      55
      0.78%
      Tim Houston
      Pictou West Mary Wooldridge-Elliott
      1,510
      21.41%
      Karla MacFarlane
      4,487
      63.62%
      Rick Parker
      872
      12.36%
      Clare Brett
      124
      1.76%
      John A. Clark
      60
      0.85%
      Karla MacFarlane

      Cape Breton

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      LiberalPCNDPGreenIndependent
      Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Michelle Wilson
      3,188
      40.61%
      Bryden Mombourquette
      1,281
      16.32%
      Kendra Coombes
      3,309
      42.15%
      Robert Hussey
      72
      0.92%
      Kendra Coombes
      Cape Breton Centre
      Cape Breton East Heather Peters
      3,094
      36.73%
      Brian Comer
      3,897
      46.27%
      Barbara Beaton
      1,432
      17.00%
      Brian Comer
      Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
      Glace Bay-Dominion John John McCarthy
      2,479
      31.15%
      John White
      2,754
      34.61%
      John Morgan
      2,725
      34.24%
      Geoff MacLellan
      Glace Bay
      Inverness Damian MacInnis
      3,112
      35.96%
      Allan MacMaster
      4,833
      55.85%
      Joanna Clark
      708
      8.18%
      Allan MacMaster
      Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley
      4,030
      46.86%
      Murray Ryan
      3,140
      36.51%
      Jennifer Morrison
      1,430
      16.63%
      Murray Ryan
      Richmond Matt Haley
      2,009
      36.85%
      Trevor Boudreau
      2,773
      50.86%
      Bryson Syliboy
      274
      5.03%
      Alana Paon
      396
      7.26%
      Alana Paon
      Cape Breton-Richmond
      Sydney-Membertou Derek Mombourquette
      4,561
      54.27%
      Pauline Singer
      1,467
      17.45%
      Madonna Doucette
      2,377
      28.28%
      Derek Mombourquette
      Sydney-Whitney Pier
      Victoria-The Lakes Nadine Bernard
      2,224
      34.20%
      Keith Bain
      3,536
      54.37%
      Adrianna MacKinnon
      627
      9.64%
      Stemer MacLeod
      116
      1.78%
      Keith Bain

      Opinion polls

      Voting intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2017 election

      NS Election 2021 Polling.svg

      Polling FirmPoll PublishedLink Liberal PC NDP Green Lead
      Election ResultsAugust 17, 2021N/A36.6738.4420.932.141.77
      Forum ResearchAugust 16, 2021 HTML 39362133
      Mainstreet ResearchAugust 16, 2021 HTML 38362132
      Narrative ResearchAugust 11, 2021 PDF Archived August 11, 2021, at the Wayback Machine 40312729
      LegerAugust 2, 2021 PDF 423220510
      Mainstreet ResearchJuly 22, 2021 HTML 423022412
      Premier Iain Rankin calls a election to be held on August 17, 2021 (July 17, 2021)
      Angus ReidJune 9, 2021 HTML 41332048
      Narrative ResearchJune 3, 2021 HTML 522419528
      Narrative ResearchMarch 9, 2021 HTML 502618624
      MQO ResearchFebruary 25, 2021 HTML 512715424
      Iain Rankin is sworn in as Premier of Nova Scotia (February 23, 2021)
      Iain Rankin is elected leader of the Liberal Party (February 6, 2021)
      Angus ReidDecember 10, 2020 HTML 37292578
      Narrative ResearchDecember 8, 2020 HTML 492521524
      Narrative ResearchSeptember 3, 2020 HTML 472719620
      Stephen McNeil announces his intention to resign as leader of the Liberal Party and Premier of Nova Scotia (August 6, 2020)
      Angus ReidJune 8, 2020 HTML 423119711
      Narrative ResearchMay 25, 2020 HTML 572215635
      Innovative Research GroupMay 12, 2020 PDF 492418925
      Narrative ResearchMarch 12, 2020 HTML 4327211016
      MQO ResearchMarch 3, 2020 PDF 34322292
      Narrative ResearchDecember 10, 2019 HTML 422621916
      MQO ResearchAugust 31, 2019 PDF 3535208Tie
      Narrative ResearchJuly 31–August 22, 2019 PDF [ permanent dead link ]3928161511
      Narrative ResearchJune 13, 2019 HTML 313321132
      MQO ResearchMay 13, 2019 PDF 303818128
      Corporate Research AssociatesMarch 6, 2019 PDF Archived March 7, 2019, at the Wayback Machine 37342453
      MQO ResearchFebruary 13, 2019 PDF 41331978
      Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 30, 2019 HTML 32.131.025.28.11.1
      Corporate Research AssociatesDecember 12, 2018 PDF Archived December 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 38312467
      Mainstreet ResearchNovember 16, 2018 HTML 32.733.220.78.90.5
      MQO ResearchNovember 8, 2018 PDF 42361566
      Tim Houston is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (October 27, 2018)
      Corporate Research AssociatesSeptember 6, 2018 PDF Archived September 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 433221411
      MQO ResearchAugust 9, 2018 PDF 453120414
      Mainstreet ResearchJuly 17, 2018 HTML 36.733.822.952.9
      Corporate Research AssociatesJune 6, 2018 PDF [ permanent dead link ]452923316
      MQO ResearchMay 11, 2018 PDF 40312349
      Mainstreet ResearchApril 18, 2018 HTML 40.234.717.35.65.5
      Corporate Research AssociatesMarch 8, 2018 PDF Archived March 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 37342543
      Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 25, 2018 HTML 40.638.515.75.22.1
      MQO ResearchJanuary 24, 2018 PDF 473017517
      Corporate Research AssociatesDecember 6, 2017 PDF Archived December 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 38292759
      MQO ResearchOctober 24, 2017 PDF 443219412
      Corporate Research AssociatesSeptember 13, 2017 PDF Archived September 13, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 452922416
      MQO ResearchJuly 27, 2017 PDF 463021316
      Corporate Research AssociatesJune 7, 2017 PDF Archived July 30, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 402928211
      Election 2017 May 30, 2017 HTML 39.535.721.52.83.8

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