Kansas gubernatorial election, 2018

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Kansas gubernatorial election, 2018
Flag of Kansas.svg
  2014 November 6, 20182022 
  Senator Laura Kelly (cropped).png Kris Kobach Kansas, Secretary of State (13419571233) (cropped).jpg Orman52414D4-536 (1).jpeg
Nominee Laura Kelly Kris Kobach Greg Orman
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Running mate Lynn Rogers Wink Hartman John Doll
Popular vote506,727453,64568,590
Percentage48.0%43.0%6.5%

Kansas Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County Results
Kelly:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Kobach:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Jeff Colyer
Republican

Elected Governor

Laura Kelly
Democratic

The 2018 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Kansas. Democratic nominee Laura Kelly was elected, defeating Republican nominee Kris Kobach and an independent candidate, Greg Orman. Republican Governor Sam Brownback was term-limited and could not seek reelection to a third consecutive term, but can re-enter as a candidate in 2022. On July 26, 2017, Brownback was nominated by President Donald Trump to serve as United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom. Brownback was confirmed by the United States Senate on January 24, 2018. [1] On January 31, 2018 [2] Brownback resigned the governorship and Lieutenant Governor Jeff Colyer succeeded him. [3] Colyer is eligible to seek a full term and he announced his candidacy prior to becoming Governor of Kansas. In the August 7 primary, Colyer ran against CPA and incumbent Insurance Commissioner Ken Selzer; Topeka doctor Jim Barnett; and 2006 Republican Kansas gubernatorial nominee and Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach.

Democratic Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.

Laura Kelly American politician

Laura Kelly is an American politician who is the 48th governor of Kansas, serving since January 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, she represented the 18th district in the Kansas State Senate from 2005 to 2019. Kelly ran for governor in the 2018 election and defeated the Republican nominee, Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach.

Republican Party (United States) Major political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Contents

On August 7, 2018, Kobach defeated Colyer in the Republican gubernatorial primary by an initial margin of 191 votes, [4] a lead that increased to 361 votes by August 14, although discrepancies in some counties needed resolution and provisional and absentee ballots may not have been counted in some counties. [5] [6] [7] Colyer conceded the Republican nomination on August 14. [8] Democratic State Senator Laura Kelly easily won the Democratic nomination. [9] Independent Greg Orman, who finished second in the 2014 U.S. Senate race against incumbent Republican Pat Roberts, ran for governor, again as an independent candidate. [10]

Greg Orman American businessman and politician

Gregory John Orman is an American politician, entrepreneur and political candidate. He ran as an independent to represent Kansas in the United States Senate in the 2014 election, losing to incumbent U.S. Senator Pat Roberts. On January 24, 2018, Orman announced he would run for governor of the state of Kansas in 2018. After the major party primaries in August 2018, polling indicated that in a three-way race Orman was at 19 percent, Democrat Laura Kelly at 32 percent and Republican Kris Kobach at 38 percent. Orman suspended his television ads and stopped actively fundraising in mid-September. In the November 6 general election, he received approximately 6.5% of the vote, more than the victory margin of Democrat Laura Kelly over Republican Kris Kobach.

Pat Roberts United States Senator from Kansas

Charles Patrick Roberts is an American politician of the Republican Party serving as the senior United States Senator from Kansas, a position he has held since 1997. Roberts previously served as the Chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence.

Given that Kansas is the only state which has no gubernatorial statutory qualifications whatsoever in its constitution, seven teenagers, including one who has never even been to the state of Kansas, ran for the office in this election cycle. [11] A debate took place on September 5 between the three candidates that consistently polled above 5%. [12] Polls in late August had Kelly and Kobach running close with Orman polling in the single digits. [13]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Kris Kobach American politician

Kris William Kobach is an American politician who served as the 31st Secretary of State of Kansas. A former Chairman of the Kansas Republican Party and member of the City Council of Overland Park, Kansas, he was the Republican nominee in Kansas's 3rd congressional district in the 2004 election, losing to Democratic incumbent Dennis Moore.

Secretary of State of Kansas one of the constitutional officers of the U.S. state of Kansas

The Secretary of State of Kansas is one of the constitutional officers of the U.S. state of Kansas. The current secretary of state is former Speaker pro tempore of the Kansas House of Representatives, Scott Schwab, who was sworn in on January 14, 2019.

Eliminated in primary

  • Jim Barnett, former state senator, nominee for governor in 2006 and candidate for KS-01 in 2010 [16]
    • Running mate: Rosemary Hansen, Barnett's wife
  • Jeff Colyer, incumbent Governor [17]
    Tracey Mann

    Tracey Mann is an American businessman and politician, who served as the 50th Lieutenant Governor of Kansas from 2018 to 2019. He was appointed by Governor Jeff Colyer in February 2018, after Colyer became Governor.

  • Patrick Kucera, businessman [19]
    • Running Mate: Patricia Reitz [20]
  • Tyler Ruzich, high school student [21]
    • Running mate: Dominic Scavuzzo, high school student
  • Ken Selzer, Kansas Insurance Commissioner [22]
    • Running mate: Jen Sanderson, businesswoman [23]
  • Joseph Tutera Jr., high school student [24]
    • Running mate: Phillip Clemente, high school student

James A. Barnett is an American Republican politician. He announced his 2018 run for governor of Kansas on June 18, 2017 at the Topeka Medical Society Building.

Kansass 1st congressional district

Kansas's 1st congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Kansas. Commonly known as "The Big First", the district encompasses 63 counties in western and northern Kansas, making it the 12th largest congressional district in the nation. Located within the district are Manhattan, Salina, Dodge City, Emporia, Garden City, Hays and Hutchinson. From 2011 to 2017, the district was represented by Republican Tim Huelskamp who was originally elected in 2010 to succeed fellow Republican Jerry Moran who ran successfully for the U.S. Senate seat formerly held by Sam Brownback. Huelskamp was re-elected twice in 2012 and 2014, but lost the 2016 Republican primary for a fourth term to obstetrician Roger Marshall.

Withdrew

  • Wink Hartman, businessman and candidate for KS-04 in 2010 [25] (running for lieutenant governor) [26] Hartman joined Kris Kobach's campaign as his Lieutenant Gubernatorial candidate.

Endorsements

Jeff Colyer
Local and statewide politicians
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jim
Barnett
Jeff
Colyer
Wink
Hartman
Kris
Kobach
Ken
Selzer
OtherUndecided
Remington (R) August 3–5, 20182,769± 2.0%14%34%32%9%3% [36] 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R) July 30 – August 2, 20181,546± 2.4%11%36%43%5%4% [36]
Remington (R) August 2, 2018859± 3.3%13%32%32%9%3% [36] 11%
JMC Analytics (R-Kobach) July 24–26, 2018500± 4.4%11%25%34%8%2% [37] 20%
Remington (R) May 14–15, 20181,441± 2.6%9%29%27%5%30%
JMC Analytics (R-Kobach) March 15–17, 2018500± 4.4%10%18%31%4%36%
Remington (R) February 13–14, 20181,806± 2.3%8%23%5%21%3%3% [38] 37%
Moore Information (R) February 11, 201820%6%26%11%38%

Results

Results by county:
Kobach--50-60%
Kobach--40-50%
Kobach--<40%
Kobach/Colyer tie--40-50%
Colyer--<40%
Colyer--40-50%
Colyer--50-60%
Colyer--70-80%
Selzer--<40% 2018 KS gubernatorial GOP primary.svg
Results by county:
  Kobach—50–60%
  Kobach—40–50%
  Kobach—<40%
  Kobach/Colyer tie—40–50%
  Colyer—<40%
  Colyer—40–50%
  Colyer—50–60%
  Colyer—70–80%
  Selzer—<40%
Republican primary results [39]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kris Kobach128,83840.62
Republican Jeff Colyer (incumbent)128,48840.51
Republican Jim Barnett27,9938.83
Republican Ken Selzer24,8077.82
Republican Patrick Kucera3,2121.01
Republican Tyler Ruzich2,2760.72
Republican Joseph Tutera Jr.1,5590.49
Total votes317,173100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Arden Andersen, physician [42]
    • Running mate: Dale Cowsert, businessman
  • Jack Bergeson, high school student [43]
    • Running mate: Alexander Cline, high school student [43]
  • Carl Brewer, former Mayor of Wichita [44]
    • Running mate: Chris Morrow, former mayor of Gardner [45]
  • Josh Svaty, former Kansas Secretary of Agriculture and former state representative [46]
    • Running mate: Katrina Gier Lewison, Manhattan-Ogden USD 383 Board of Education member, veteran

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Josh Svaty
Statewide and local politicians

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Arden
Andersen
Jack
Bergeson
Carl
Brewer
Laura
Kelly
Josh
Svaty
Undecided
GBA Strategies (D-Kelly) June 5–7, 2018500± 4.4%3%2%22%35%12%25%
25%44%12%20%

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Laura Kelly78,74651.5
Democratic Carl Brewer30,69320.1
Democratic Josh Svaty26,72217.5
Democratic Arden Andersen12,8458.4
Democratic Jack Bergeson3,8502.5
Total votes152,856100.0

Independent candidates

Candidates

Declared

  • Ilan Cohen, high school student from Maryland [59]
  • Aaron Coleman, college student (write-in) [60]
  • Max Correa, college student from North Carolina [61]
  • Joe Larry Hunter, former inmate [62] [63]
  • Rick Kloos [64]
    • Running mate: Nathaniel Kloos, son of Rick Kloos [60]
  • Greg Orman, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 [52] [65]
  • Victor Redko, McGill University student [67] [68]
  • Jared Rogers, University of Pennsylvania student [69]
  • Nicholas Schrieber, college student from Delaware [70]
    • Running mate: Matthew Ueckermann, college student from Maryland [70]
  • Conner Shelton, college student from Pennsylvania [71]

Endorsements

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominated

  • Jeff Caldwell, executive committee member for the Libertarian Party of Kansas [72]
    • Running mate: Mary Gerlt

Withdrew

Declined

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [76] TossupOctober 26, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [77] TossupNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [78] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Real Clear Politics [79] TossupOctober 30, 2018
Daily Kos [80] TossupNovember 2, 2018
Fox News [81] [lower-alpha 1] TossupOctober 30, 2018
Politico [82] TossupNovember 2, 2018
Governing [83] TossupNovember 2, 2018
The Washington Post [84] TossupOctober 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [85] TossupNovember 2, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

Host
network
DateLink(s)Participants
Laura
Kelly (D)
Greg
Orman (I)
Kris
Kobach (R)
KCPT September 5, 2018 [86] InvitedInvitedInvited

Endorsements

Laura Kelly (D)
Federal politicians
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and news websites
Kris Kobach (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Organizations
Greg Orman (I)
Organisations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kris
Kobach
(R)
Laura
Kelly
(D)
Greg
Orman
(I)
Jeff
Caldwell
(L)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018976± 3.3%44%43%8%1%4%
Ipsos October 17–27, 2018986± 3.6%41%43%9%2%5%
Public Policy Polling (D-Western States Strategies) October 19–20, 2018698± 3.7%41%41%10%2%0% [137] 6%
Remington (R) September 30 – October 1, 20181,680± 2.4%41%42%10%2%1% [138] 4%
Emerson College September 26–28, 2018938± 3.5%37%36%9%3%15%
Fort Hays State University August 22 – September 25, 201832436%40%10%5%
Civiqs (D-Crawford County Dems) September 21–24, 20181,178± 3.4%39%41%9%5%0% [139] 5%
Public Policy Polling (D-Pottawatomie County Dems) September 12–13, 201861839%38%9%1%2% [140] 12%
Public Policy Polling (D-KNEA PAC) August 24–26, 201887739%38%9%1%2% [140] 11%
Remington (R) July 19–20, 20181,189± 2.9%35%36%12%17%

Results

Kansas gubernatorial election, 2018 [141]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Democratic Laura Kelly 506,727 48.01% +1.88%
Republican Kris Kobach453,64542.98%-6.84%
Independent Greg Orman68,5906.50%N/A
Libertarian Jeff Caldwell20,0201.90%-2.15%
Independent Rick Kloos6,5840.62%N/A
Total votes1,055,566100.0%N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

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  87. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 "27 prominent Republicans join the Republicans for Laura Kelly movement | Laura Kelly for Governor". www.laurakellyforkansas.com. Laura Kelly for Kansas. September 13, 2018.
  88. Woodall, Hunter (September 18, 2018). "GOP stalwart Nancy Kassebaum picks Democrat Laura Kelly over Kris Kobach". www.kansascity.com/. The Kansas City Star.
  89. Laura Kelly. "Thank you @KansasDems for putting together a great Demofest, and thank you @amyklobuchar and @TerryMcAuliffe for attending. You could feel the energy and excitement in the room - everyone is ready to get to work and win this November! #ksleg". Twitter.
  90. Staff, Associated Press, 41 Action News (July 18, 2018). "Kansas GOP senator loses post on panel for backing Democrats". KSHB.
  91. Koranda, Stephen (October 18, 2018). "Brownback Only Living Kansas Governor Yet To Endorse In 2018 Election". KMUW.
  92. Paul Davis. "#FollowFriday & #FBF in one! I'm proud to be on the ballot w/ friend, former #ksleg colleague & future #ksgov @SenatorKelly! She shares my dedication to #ksed - a constant ally in #kssen fighting #Brownback cuts. This was taken when we received the 2014 Friend of Education Award". Twitter.
  93. Hall, Erika (May 10, 2018). "Kansas budget expert endorses Senator Laura Kelly for governor". WIBW 13.
  94. "Bill Graves endures Laura Kelly in Kansas Governor's race". Topeka Capital-Journal. September 4, 2018.
  95. "Another former GOP governor of Kansas just endorsed Dem Laura Kelly over Kris Kobach". The Kansas City Star. October 18, 2018.
  96. Shorman, Jonathan (October 30, 2018). "Orman treasurer resigns, endorses Kelly in Kansas governor race". kansas.
  97. "Another former GOP governor of Kansas just endorsed Dem Laura Kelly over Kris Kobach". The Kansas City Star. October 18, 2018.
  98. "Sebelius endorses state senator in Kansas governor's race". Lawrence Journal-World. March 4, 2018.
  99. Terry McAuliffe. "First stop in Kansas is an event to support gubernatorial candidate @SenatorKelly with my good friend Senator @amyklobuchar". Twitter.
  100. Eric Holder. "Republicans keeping people away from the polls in North Dakota, Georgia — and now Kansas. They are afraid of the people they claim they want to represent. In Kansas vote for Laura Kelly for Governor. @SenatorKelly Reject partisan unfairness and its leader Kobach". Twitter.
  101. "Primary Election August 7, 2018 Recommended Candidates" (PDF). AFT-Kansas. Committee on Political Education of AFT-Kansas.
  102. "Kansas General Endorsements 2018 - Local Union 124". Local Union 124. International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers. September 21, 2018.
  103. Shorman, Jonathan (October 19, 2018). "Kobach or Kelly? Firefighter, police groups support different candidates". kansas. the Wichita Eagle.
  104. "KNEA Recommended Candidates | 2018 General Election". files.acrobat.com. Kansas National Education Association. August 27, 2018.
  105. "2018 KS AFL-CIO ENDORSEMENTS". Kansas State AFL-CIO. July 19, 2018.
  106. Kelly, Laura; Missouri Kansas Alliance of Teamsters (September 15, 2018). "I am very proud to have the support of the Missouri Kansas Alliance of Teamsters, who represent over five thousand working men and women in Kansas. #ksleg". www.facebook.com. Teamsters Local 696.
  107. "Kansas - Education Votes". Education Votes.
  108. "2018 KS Primary Endorsements". The St. Louis - Kansas City Carpenters Regional Council.
  109. "Kansas – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org.
  110. Ramirez, Emil; Juarez, Jody (May 22, 2018). "USW Endorses Laura Kelly for Kansas Governor". United Steelworkers.
  111. Schriock, Stephanie (May 3, 2018). "EMILY's List Endorses Laura Kelly for Governor of Kansas". www.emilyslist.org.
  112. "Kansas Equality PAC Announces Primary Gubernatorial Endorsements | Equality Kansas". eqks.org. July 10, 2018. Our primary endorsements are Laura Kelly for the Democratic primary
  113. "Kansas". PPGP Votes.
  114. Lubow, Craig (September 14, 2018). "PRESS RELEASE: SIERRA CLUB ENDORSES LAURA KELLY - Kansas Sierra Club" (PDF). Kansas Sierra Club.
  115. "The Star endorses the one clear choice for Kansas governor". kansascity. The Kansas City Star. October 31, 2018.
  116. Board, The Editorial Advisory (August 4, 2018). "Editorial: For Democrats, Laura Kelly is experienced choice". The Topeka Capital. the Editorial Advisory Board.
  117. "The Eagle's endorsement for the Democratic gubernatorial primary". Wichita Eagle Editorial Board. The Wichita Eagle. July 29, 2018.
  118. https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1026495277824401408?s=21
  119. https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1029727209316069376
  120. https://twitter.com/mike_pence/status/1029749643100520448
  121. Kris W. Kobach. "It was my honor to work with former Attorney General John Ashcroft at the Justice Department to secure our country. Thank you General Ashcroft for your support of my campaign. You can watch the video here. #ksleg #ksgov". Twitter.
  122. Kris W. Kobach. "Thank you Rep. @RonEstesKS for your endorsement! You've worked hard as state treasurer & in Congress to return money to taxpayers, including with the Trump tax cuts. We share the same Kansas values and I look forward to working with you so we can grow Kansas. #ksleg #ksgov". Twitter.
  123. Kris W. Kobach. "Sen. Pat Roberts is a fighter for Kansas families and farmers and I am honored to have his endorsement. He knows it is important for KS to have a governor who will work with President Trump to make KS an affordable place to do business, create jobs & raise a family. #ksleg #ksgov". Twitter.
  124. https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/election/article216753550.html
  125. https://twitter.com/KrisKobach1787/status/1029537682886680576
  126. Ryan, Courtney (July 25, 2018). "Senate leaders weigh in on Kansas governor's race". KSN.com.
  127. Shorman, Jonathan (May 16, 2018). "Kobach campaign shake-up: Consultant, aide are out as race intensifies". The Wichita Eagle .
  128. Kris W. Kobach. "Thank you Goodland Mayor Brian Linin for your endorsement today during the #RemainRed bus tour stop in Goodland. You have positioned Goodland for long term success and I look forward to working with you as governor! #ksleg #ksgov". Twitter.
  129. Dulle, Brian (November 8, 2017). "Fox News' Sean Hannity endorses Kobach for Kansas governor". KSNT . Retrieved November 10, 2017.
  130. Woodall, Hunter (October 16, 2017). "Donald Trump Jr. coming to Kansas to campaign for Kobach". The Kansas City Star . Retrieved November 10, 2017.
  131. "Ann Coulter on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 24 May 2018.
  132. Starling, Nick (June 24, 2018). "Ted Nugent campaigns with KS Gov candidate Kris Kobach" . Retrieved July 30, 2018.
  133. Kris W. Kobach. "America's Toughest Sheriff, Joe Arpaio, endorses #TeamKobach. #ksleg #ksgov". Twitter.
  134. Kite, Allison (August 31, 2018). "Kris Kobach wins support from labor union that previously backed Democrats". The Kansas City Star .
  135. "NRA Endorses Kobach for Kansas Governor". NRA-ILA. September 21, 2018.
  136. "KANSAS CHAMBER PAC ENDORSES IN GOVERNOR AND ATTORNEY GENERAL RACES". Kansas Chamber.
  137. Rick Kloos (I) with 0%
  138. Rick Kloos (I) with 1%
  139. Rick Kloos (I) with 0%
  140. 1 2 Rick Kloos (I) with 2%
  141. http://www.kssos.org/elections/18elec/2018_General_Election_Official_Votes_Cast.pdf
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