2020 Trinidad and Tobago general election

Last updated

2020 Trinidad and Tobago general election
Flag of Trinidad and Tobago.svg
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All 41 seats in the House of Representatives
21 seats needed for a majority
Turnout58.08% (Decrease2.svg8.76pp)
 First partySecond party
  KeithRowley.jpg Kamla Persad-Bissesar 2013.jpg
Leader Keith Rowley Kamla Persad-Bissessar
Party PNM UNC
Last election51.68%, 23 seats39.61%, 17 seats
Seats won2219
Seat changeDecrease2.svg1Increase2.svg2
Popular vote322,180309,654
Percentage49.05%47.14%
SwingDecrease2.svg2.63pp Increase2.svg7.53pp
Trinidad and Tobago 2020 General Election Results Map.svg
Results by constituency
Prime Minister before election

Keith Rowley
PNM

Subsequent Prime Minister

Keith Rowley
PNM

General elections were held in Trinidad and Tobago on Monday, 10 August 2020, [1] to elect 41 members to the 12th Trinidad and Tobago Republican Parliament. It was the 14th election since gaining independence from the United Kingdom in 1962 and the 22nd national election in Trinidad and Tobago ever. Tracy Davidson-Celestine, political leader of the Tobago Council of the People's National Movement (PNM) became the first woman to lead a Tobagonian political party with representation in the House of Representatives. Additionally, two of the three largest parties elected in 2015, the United National Congress (UNC) and the Congress of the People (COP), were led by women. [2]

Contents

President Paula-Mae Weekes, with the advice of Prime Minister Keith Rowley, dissolved Parliament and issued the writs for the election on 3 July 2020. [3]

The first-term incumbent People's National Movement (PNM), led by incumbent Prime Minister Keith Rowley, won 22 seats to form a second five-year term majority government by defeating the opposition United National Congress, led by Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar. [4] [5] [6] Her latest in a series of losses at the polls which commenced with the January 2013 Tobago House of Assembly election with the wipeout of her People's Partnership -led administration from the Tobago House of Assembly due to a landslide victory by the Tobago Council of the PNM, losses at the 2013 Trinidadian local elections, St. Joseph and Chaguanas West bye-elections, loss in the 2015 Trinidad and Tobago general election, and subsequent losses in local government bye-elections [7] [8] has placed pressure on her to offer her resignation before the 2020 United National Congress leadership election. [9] The UNC finished with 19 seats. The results in six constituencies were subject to recounts, causing the final election results to be delayed by a week. [10] This is the first parliamentary election in Trinidad and Tobago where the result was not finalized the day after the election. [11]

Voters elected the 41 members to the House of Representatives by first-past-the-post voting. Rowley and the new cabinet were sworn in on 19 August 2020. [12]

Electoral system

The 41 members of the House of Representatives are elected by first-past-the-post voting in single-member constituencies. Registered voters must be 18 years and over, must reside in an electoral district/constituency for at least two months prior to the qualifying date, be a citizen of Trinidad and Tobago or a Commonwealth citizen residing legally in Trinidad and Tobago for a period of at least one year. [13]

If one party obtains a majority of seats, then that party is entitled to form the Government, with its leader as Prime Minister. If the election results in no single party having a majority, then there is a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a minority government or a coalition government. [14]

Results

At 10:30 pm on Election Day, Prime Minister Keith Rowley declared his party the winner of the election with 22 seats. [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] UNC leader Persad-Bissessar declared wins in 19 seats, taking the Moruga/Tableland seat from the PNM and the St. Augustine seat from the COP. [21] She disagreed with Rowley's victory declaration and objected to the long delays at polling stations. [22]

In total, six seats won by the PNM were disputed: the UNC requested recounts for five constituencies in Trinidad (San Fernando West, St Joseph, Tunapuna, Toco-Sangre Grande and La Horquetta/Talparo), [23] while the Progressive Democratic Patriots (PDP) requested a recount in Tobago East. [24] The EBC took one week to conduct the recounts, observing only minor changes from the preliminary vote counts: the largest change was an increase of 103 votes for the UNC in San Fernando West. The counts for the other districts differed by ten votes or fewer. [10] Rowley and the new PNM cabinet were then sworn in by President Paula-Mae Weekes on the following day, August 19. The ceremony was held at President's House. [12]

Trinite-et-Tobago Chambre des representants 2020.svg
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
People's National Movement 322,18049.0522–1
United National Congress 309,65447.1419+2
Progressive Democratic Patriots 10,3681.580New
Progressive Empowerment Party5,9300.900New
Independent Liberal Party 3,8170.5800
Movement for Social Justice 1,2230.190New
Movement for National Development1,0390.160New
COP–DPTT–TTDF 5240.080–1
New National Vision4960.0800
Trinidad Humanity Campaign3680.0600
National Organisation of We the People3100.050New
Progressive Party 2120.030New
National Coalition for Transformation1870.0300
One Tobago Voice800.010New
Unrepresented Peoples Party740.010New
Unity of the People400.010New
The National Party230.000New
Independents3670.0600
Total656,892100.00410
Valid votes656,89299.73
Invalid/blank votes1,7850.27
Total votes658,677100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,134,13558.08
Source: EBCTT, IPU

Parties and candidates

Political parties registered with the Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC) can contest the general election as a party. [25]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is the person who is called on by the president to form a government as prime minister, while the leader of the largest party or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition. [14]

Prior to the election, the People's National Movement, led by Prime Minister Keith Rowley formed a majority government. The largest opposition party was the United National Congress, led by Kamla Persad-Bissessar. The Congress of the People was the sole other party in Parliament, represented by a single MP.

The People's National Movement and the United National Congress have been the two biggest parties, in addition to having supplied every prime minister since 1991. [26]

On 14 July 2020, the leader of the Patriotic Front, Mickela Panday, announced that her party will no longer be contesting the 2020 elections due to lack of time to prepare for the August 2020 polls. [27]

The following registered parties are contesting the general election, the People's National Movement is the only party fielding all 41 seats (39 in Trinidad and two in Tobago), 14 parties are contesting seats in Trinidad only and four parties are contesting seats in Tobago only. [28]

Trinidad and Tobago

PartyFoundedPolitical position and ideologyLeader(s)Leader sinceLeader's seatLast electionAt dissolutionContested seats
 % party voteSeats
Major party not part of any coalition
PNM 1955 Centre to centre-left
Liberalism, Social liberalism, Nationalism 		Keith Rowley May 2010 Diego Martin West
51.69%
23 / 41 (56%)
23 / 41 (56%)
41 seats in Trinidad and Tobago

Trinidad only

PartyFoundedPolitical position and ideologyLeader(s)Leader sinceLeader's seatLast electionAt dissolutionContested seats
 % party voteSeats
Major party not part of any coalition
UNC 1989 Centre-left
Social democracy, Civic nationalism 		Kamla Persad-Bissessar January 2010 Siparia
39.60%
17 / 41 (41%)
17 / 41 (41%)
39 seats in Trinidad [29]
Better United Coalition
COP 2006 Centre-left
Reformism 		Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan [30] November 2017None
6.02%
1 / 41 (2%)
1 / 41 (2%)
4 seats in Trinidad
DPTT 2002Steve Alvarez [31] April 2002None––
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Trinidad
TTDF2019Nicholas Anthony Williams [32] August 2019 [33] NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Trinidad
Not part of any coalition
PEP2017Phillip Alexander [34] January 2017NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
28 seats in Trinidad
THC2015Marcus Ramkissoon [35] July 2015None
0.02%
0 / 41 (0%)
0 / 41 (0%)
7 seats in Trinidad
NNV1994 Social conservatism Fuad Abu Bakr [32] April 2010None
0.12%
0 / 41 (0%)
0 / 41 (0%)
6 seats in Trinidad
MSJ 2009 Left-wing
Socialism, Labourism, Direct democracy 		David Abdulah [36] January 2012 [37] None––
0 / 41 (0%)
5 seats in Trinidad
MND2019 Diego Martin regionalism Garvin Nicholas [38] September 2019NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
3 seats in Trinidad
NCT2013Nalini Dial [39] July 2013None
0.05%
0 / 41 (0%)
0 / 41 (0%)
2 seats in Trinidad
ILP 2013Rekha Ramjit [40] October 2015None
0.70%
0 / 41 (0%)
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Trinidad
TNP2017Valmiki Ramsingh [41] July 2017NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Trinidad
UPP2018 Right-wing
Christian right, Social conservatism 		Kenneth Munroe-Brown [42] December 2018NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Trinidad
Progressive 2019 Centre to centre-left
Progressivism, Decentralization, Localism 		Nikoli Edwards [43] June 2019NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Trinidad
NOW2020Kirk Waithe [44] January 2020NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Trinidad

Tobago only

PartyFoundedPolitical position and ideologyLeader(s)Leader sinceLeader's seatLast electionAt dissolutionContested seats
 % party voteSeats
Not part of any coalition
PDP 2016 Tobago regionalism Watson Duke [45] July 2016NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
2 seats in Tobago
OTV 2019 Tobago regionalism Hochoy Charles [45] October 2019NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Tobago
UTP2020 Tobago regionalism Nickocy Phillips [46] July 2020NoneNew party
0 / 41 (0%)
1 seat in Tobago

Ideology

Significant differences in the programs of the two major parties UNC and PNM cannot be identified. The UNC is traditionally more of an Indo-Trinidadian party, while Afro-Trinidadians and Tobagonians make up the majority of the PNM's base. In Trinidad, however, racial differences play a subordinate role, the dominant subject areas in the media are the stagnating economy and the high rate of violent crime; here both parties claim that they are better suited to combat them. [47] In the closing stages of the election campaign, Prime Minister Rowley and citizens accused the UNC of using racist motives in its advertising campaign. [48]

Some parties only represent regional positions. This applies in particular to the parties PDP and OTV, who are running exclusively in Tobago and advocate for regional interests of the island [45] and the MND, which advocates the interests of the Diego Martin region. [38]

The announcement by the opposition UNC that, in the event of an election victory, would build a “dome” over Trinidad to protect against illegal immigrants, made the election campaign relaxed. Before the UNC made it clear that it meant a radar screen, users of social media picked up the topic and indulged in humorous allusions to domes in films and television series. [49]

Process

The organization of the election was subject to the state Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC). There were no election observers. Prime Minister Rowley revealed after the election that he had invited observers from CARICOM and the Commonwealth of Nations, but they were unable to pay for the 14-day quarantine required of foreign visitors. [50]

Opinion research in the run-up to the election was carried out by the North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) and the management consultancy HHB Associates, among others. A NACTA poll shortly after the election date was announced, found that, as in most previous elections, only PNM and UNC would play a role. [51] An HHB poll published July 25 in the Trinidad and Tobago Guardian found the ruling PNM at 53% and the UNC at 44%. [52] A NACTA poll from July 25, however, saw the UNC one percentage point ahead. [53] At this point in time, the tendency, known from previous elections, was that Trinidadians with African roots tend to choose the PNM and Trinidadians with Indian roots rather the UNC.

The resignation of former deputy PNM chairwoman Nafeesa Mohammed on July 28, who accused the PNM leadership of arrogance, ignorance and incompetence, caused a media stir. [54] The Leader of the Opposition, former prime minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar, was threatened with death during the election campaign. [55] Minor parties and bodies called on the President to postpone the election in view of the COVID-19 pandemic, which was also rampant in Trinidad, but their requests were denied. [56] A UNC supporter was stabbed on the sidelines of a UNC election campaign on the Saturday before the election. [57]

The polling stations closed at 6:00 p.m. on election Monday. [58]

Marginal seats

The following lists identify and rank seats by the margin by which the party's candidate finished behind the winning candidate in the 2015 election.

For information purposes only, seats that have changed hands through subsequent by elections have been noted. Seats whose members have changed party allegiance are ignored.

  = appears in two lists
Marginal seats by party (with winning parties and margins from the 2015 Trinidad and Tobago general election)
People's National Movement People's Partnership (UNC — COP — TOP)
Marginal
1 Barataria/San Juan 3.18%1 Moruga/Tableland 2.53%
2 Chaguanas East 7.95%2 St. Joseph 8.33%
3 Pointe-à-Pierre 8.39%3 La Horquetta/Talparo 15.56%
4 Mayaro 14.05%4 Tunapuna 19.13%
5 Cumuto/Manzanilla 15.95%5 Toco/Sangre Grande 19.20%
6 Fyzabad 18.92%6 San Fernando West 19.39%
7 Caroni Central 26.11%7 Point Fortin 20.94%
8 Tabaquite 31.12%8 Lopinot/Bon Air West 28.10%
9 St. Augustine 33.57%9 La Brea 33.45%
10 Couva North 34.17%10 D'Abadie/O'Meara 34.20%
11 Princes Town 35.60%11 San Fernando East 37.33%
12 Couva South 38.83%12 Arima 40.12%
13 Caroni East 44.79%13 Diego Martin North/East 41.40%
14 Oropouche West 48.70%14 Diego Martin West 55.32%
15 Siparia 51.60%15 St. Ann's East 56.55%
16 Oropouche East 60.02%16 Diego Martin Central 59.77%
17 Naparima 65.53%17 Port of Spain South 60.81%
18 Chaguanas West 76.14%18 Tobago East 60.88%
Safe19 Arouca/Maloney 63.10%
20 Port of Spain North/St. Ann's West 65.62%
21 Tobago West 73.48%
22 Laventille East/Morvant 76.84%
23 Laventille West 81.07%
24 Tobago East 53.78%
25 Tobago West 67.24%
Source: Parliamentary Elections, 2015 Final Results – Candidates Vote Count [59]

Members of Parliament not standing for re-election

Trinidad

Retiring incumbentElectoral DistrictTerm in officeDate announced
Surujrattan Rambachan UNC Tabaquite 2010–202014 August 2019 [60]
Fuad Khan UNC Barataria/San Juan 1995–2007; 2010–20209 November 2019 [61]
Ganga Singh UNC Chaguanas West 1995–2007 (Caroni East); 2015–20208 March 2020 [62]
Maxie Cuffie PNM La Horquetta/Talparo 2015–202013 May 2020 [63]
Tim Gopeesingh UNC Caroni East 2007–20204 June 2020 [64]

Results by constituency

Candidate nominations for the election were finalized on Nomination Day (July 17, 2020). The full candidate list is presented below, [28] along with the incumbent candidates before the election. [65] Non-minister MPs who are not standing for re-election are marked (†) [66] Government ministers are in bold, and party leaders are in italics.

Trinidad (39 constituencies) & Tobago (2 constituencies)

Electoral DistrictElectorateTurnout%CandidatesVotes%Incumbent
Arima 26,38213,48851.13% PNM Pennelope Beckles-Robinson 9,29369.05 PNM Anthony Garcia
UNC Flora Singh3,85828.7
PEP Sharon Hernandez1220.9
NCT Nalini Dial950.7
Arouca/Maloney 26,67315,52258.19% PNM Camille Robinson-Regis 12,69782.10 PNM Camille Robinson-Regis
UNC Cherry-Ann David2,76817.9
Barataria/San Juan 25,69015,77161.39% UNC Saddam Hosein 8,30052.7 UNC † Fuad Khan
PNM Jason 'JW' Williams7,24045.99
PEP Albertha Purdeen2041.3
Caroni Central 30,10718,67762.04% UNC Arnold Ram 11,51161.7 UNC Bhoendradatt Tewarie
PNM Reyad Ali6,89036.95
PEP Lorena Lucien2451.3
Caroni East 29,03117,41559,99% UNC Rishi Seecharran12,81973.7 UNC † Tim Gopeesingh
PNM Sharon Archie4,27124.57
PEP Dave Babwah2961.7
Chaguanas East 26,92317,12363.60% UNC Vandana Mohit 8,96852.5 UNC Fazal Karim
PNM Clarence Rambharat 7,88246.2
PEP Robert Matthew Gibbs1430.8
IND Shiraz Khan790.5
Chaguanas West 28,62517,89662,52% UNC Dinesh Rambally15,50288.5 UNC † Ganga Singh
PNM Rackeal Bissoon1,87810.52
PEP Rahman Ali1380.8
Couva North 2986418,23861.07% UNC Ravi Ratiram 12,63369.4 UNC Ramona Ramdial
PNM Sharda Satram5,22228.67
PEP Rohanie Debideen2591.4
COP (Better United)Joel Ramdhanie990.5
Couva South 3034818,28160.24% UNC Rudranath Indarsingh 12,59769.0 UNC Rudranath Indarsingh
PNM Rajendra Rampersad5,54230.38
THC Linnell Doolan1060.6
Cumuto/Manzanilla 3046818,70261.38% UNC Rai Ragbir10,90158.4 UNC Christine Newallo-Hosein
PNM Ronney Lochan7,55740.52
PEP Anthony Henry1580.8
THC Christopher Mathura350.2
D'Abadie/O'Meara 3078817,84457.96% PNM Lisa Morris-Julian 11,86466.70 PNM Ancil Antoine
UNC Maurice Hoyte5,78332.5
THC Peter Amann1390.8
Diego Martin Central 2960914,34648.45% PNM Symon De Nobrega 10,62774.39 PNM Darryl Smith
UNC John Ricardo Laquis2,69311.1
PEP Felicia Holder4042.8
NNV Ashton Francis690.5
MND Garvin Nicholas3742.6
MSJ Renee St Rose1200.8
Diego Martin North/East 2927313,85847.34% PNM Colm Imbert 10,21873.92 PNM Colm Imbert
UNC Eli Zakour2,82720.5
PEP Phillip Edward Alexander4263.1
MND Myron Bruce2091.5
COP /Better UnitedLonsdale Williams1331.0
Diego Martin West 2988613,94846.67% PNM Keith Rowley 10,79177.58 PNM Keith Rowley
UNC Marsha Riley-Walker2,56918.5
THC Zafir David930.7
MND Dexter Nicholls4563.3
Fyzabad 2988618,04565.74% UNC Lackram Bodoe 10,85060.3 UNC Lackram Bodoe
PNM Solange De Souza6,88838.25
PEP Alice Narine1430.8
MSJ Radhaka Gualbance1270.7
La Brea 2600815,57159.87% PNM Stephen McClatchie 9,34260.27 PNM Nicole Olivierre
UNC Victor Roberts5,73537.0
PEP Rondoll Glasgow1290.8
NNV Callum Marshall710.5
La Horquetta/Talparo 2752817,69864.29% PNM Foster Cummings 9,71455.03 PNM † Maxie Cuffie
UNC Jearlean John7,79344.15
PEP Benet Thomas1450.82
Laventille East/Morvant 2664412,56847.17% PNM Adrian Leonce 10,35682.66 PNM Adrian Leonce
UNC Kareem Baird1,96515.7
PEP Christopher Roberts1691.3
NNV Umar Khan390.3
Laventille West 2558511,18343.71% PNM Fitzgerald Hinds 9,31083.51 PNM Fitzgerald Hinds
UNC Rodney Stowe1,32411.9
PEP Natalia Moore1261.1
NNV Sandra Emmanuel310.3
COP (Better United)Kurt Sinnette470.4
NOW Kirk Waithe3102.8
Lopinot/Bon Air West 2786417,17161.62% PNM Marvin Gonzales 9,60856.07 PNM Cherrie Ann Crichlow-Cockburn
UNC Prakash Williams3,58720.9
PEP Dominique Lopez1230.7
ILP Jack Warner 3,81722.3
Mayaro 2883418,03662.55% UNC Rushton Paray 10,59359.0 UNC Rushton Paray
PNM Bunny Mahabirsingh7,22940.26
PEP Sterling Lee Ha1330.7
Moruga/Tableland 2904320,14169.35% UNC Michelle Benjamin 10,53452.5 PNM Lovell Francis
PNM Winston 'Gypsy' Peters 9,48247.14
DPTT (Better United)Steve Alvarez370.2
THC Larry Sanchar120.1
IND Thomas Sotillio120.1
Naparima 2706616,04659,28% UNC Rodney Charles 13,30683.2 UNC Rodney Charles
PNM Randy Sinanan2,68616.80
Oropouche East 2827117,20560.86% UNC Roodal Moonilal 13,73780.1 UNC Roodal Moonilal
PNM Clifford Rambharose3,41619.91
Oropouche West 2528915,53461.43% UNC Davendranath Tancoo 11,53574.5 UNC Vidia Gayadeen-Goopeesingh
PNM Lea Ramoutar3,70823.93
PEP Sasha Ali2501.6
Point Fortin 2600315,69660.36% PNM Kennedy Richards Jr. 9,27659.23 PNM Edmund Dillon
UNC Taharqa Obika5,76136.8
PEP Kenesha Ramsoondar580.4
MSJ Ernesto Kesar5453.5
TTDF Nicholas Anthony Williams200.1
Pointe-à-Pierre 2509616,61566.21% UNC David Lee 8,86953.5 UNC David Lee
PNM Daniel Dookie7,35744.38
PEP Marvyn Howard1440.9
MSJ David Abdulah2081.3
Port of Spain North/St. Ann's West 2500311,68646.74% PNM Stuart Young 9,47581.41 PNM Stuart Young
UNC Darren Garner1,70514.7
PEP Limma Mc Leod3853.3
UPP Kenneth Munroe-Brown730.6
Port of Spain South 2475410,47842.33% PNM Keith Scotland 8,20278.44 PNM Marlene McDonald
UNC Curtis Orr1,85017.7
PEP Gail Castanada2572.5
NNV Fuad Abu Bakr1451.4
Princes Town 2717816,22959.71% UNC Barry Padarath 11,28069.6 UNC Barry Padarath
PNM Sharon Baboolal4,70829.07
PEP Kim Young Low2091.3
San Fernando East 2500814,58958.34% PNM Brian Manning 9,86467.78 PNM Randall Mitchell
UNC Monifa Andrews4,68932.2
San Fernando West 2503515,60762.34% PNM Faris Al-Rawi 8,45954.31 PNM Faris Al-Rawi
UNC Sean Sobers6,75443.36
PEP Benison Jagessar1280.82
Progressive Nikoli Edwards 2121.36
TNP Valmiki Ramsingh230.15
Siparia 2866317,39860.70% UNC Kamla Persad-Bissessar 13,48777.8 UNC Kamla Persad-Bissessar
PNM Rebecca Dipnarine3,85522.23
St. Ann's East 2945414,79050.21% PNM Nyan Gadsby-Dolly 10,97974.46 PNM Nyan Gadsby-Dolly
UNC Kenya Charles3,43823.3
PEP Akil Camps3272.2
St. Augustine 2945417,70563.02% UNC Khadijah Ameen 11,94367.6 COP Prakash Ramadhar
PNM Renuka Sagramsingh-Sookal5,26429.80
PEP Satesh Ramsaran2351.3
THC Michlin Hosein-Phelps330.2
COP (Better United) Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan 1881.0
St. Joseph 2845218,19363.94% PNM Terrence Deyalsingh 9,36251.58 PNM Terrence Deyalsingh
UNC Ahloy Hunt8,53947.04
IND (Better United) Errol Fabien 2201.21
THC Joel Williams300.17
Tabaquite 2883216,91858,68% UNC Anita Haynes 11,44067.8 UNC † Surujrattan Rambachan
PNM Michael Seales5,20930.9
PEP Carl Henry2211.3
Tobago East 2310213,11356.76% PNM Ayanna Webster-Roy 7,12754.52  PNM Ayanna Webster-Roy
PDP Watson Duke5,86644.9
OTV Juliana Henry-King800.6
Tobago West 2768613,81149.88% PNM Shamfa Cudjoe 9,27566.74  PNM Shamfa Cudjoe
PDP Tashia Grace Burris4,50132.5
UTP Nickocy Phillips400.3
IND Ricardo Phillip430.3
Toco/Sangre Grande 3109618,22658.61% PNM Roger Monroe 10,69458.88 PNM Glenda Jennings-Smith
UNC Nabila Greene7,30340.21
PEP Kevon Hernandez1680.91
Tunapuna 2743317,31663.12% PNM Esmond Forde 9,46054.75 PNM Esmond Forde
UNC David Nakhid 7,53343.60
PEP Maurice Downes2281.32
THC Marcus Ramkissoon580.34

Campaign slogans

PartySlogan
PNM "The right choice." [67] [68]
UNC "Now is the time." [69]
COP "Making the quantum leap." [70]
DPTT "The way forward for Trinidad and Tobago." [71]
TTDF"People first." [33]
PEP"Time for real change." [72]
THC"Good governance is at your fingertips." [73]
NNV"Believe in better." [74]
MSJ "Create a balance." [36]
MND"We are from Diego Martin, for Diego Martin." [75]
NCT"Think before you ink." [39]
ILP "Performance, Representation, Action" [76]
TNP"Change not exchange!" [41]
UPP
Progressive "Progressive 2020. The new normal." [77]
  • Progressive Party - De Guiding Flame (2020) [78]
NOW"Time is now." [79]
PDP "People before politics." [80]
OTV “Tobago must play as a team or lose by the fault.” [45]
UTP

Opinion polls

The North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) based in New York (led by political analyst Vishnu Bisram), pollster Nigel Henry's Solution by Simulation and pollster Louis Bertrand's H.H.B (H.H.B) & Associates have commissioned opinion polling for the next general election sampling the electorates' opinions.

Graphical summary

Seat projections

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM UNC COP OtherLegislative majority
10 Aug 20202020 general election2219003
3 Jul 2020Prime Minister Keith Rowley announces that the election will take place on 10 August 2020 and parliament is dissolved.
1 Jun 2020COVID-19 lockdown ends
6 May 2020Ancil Dennis becomes Chief Secretary of Tobago [81] [82]
14 Apr 2020 COP, PPM, ⁠DPTT and ⁠TTDF agree to form a coalition [83]
30 Mar 2020Trinidad and Tobago commences a nationwide lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic
12 Mar 2020The first case of COVID-19 is confirmed in Trinidad and Tobago, pre-campaigning partially suspended on 13 March [84] [85]
26 Jan 2020 2020 Tobago Council of the PNM election; Tracy Davidson-Celestine is elected leader
2 Dec 2019 PNM wins more districts, ties in number of corporations won to the UNC in the 2019 Trinidadian local elections
1 Oct 2019The 2019 budget is delivered
Aug 2019NACTA/Newday [86] –2318005
Apr 2019NACTA/Newsday [87] –26150011
Mar 2019NACTA/Newsday [88] 5402516009
1 Oct 2018The 2018 budget is delivered
Sep 2018NACTA/Newsday [89] –2318005
16 July 2018Barataria and Belmont East Local Government By-Elections
19 Jan 2018 2018 Trinidad and Tobago presidential election; Paula-Mae Weekes is elected president
19 Nov 2017Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan is elected leader of the COP [30] [90] [91] [92]
23 Jan 2017The Tobago Council of the PNM wins the 2017 Tobago House of Assembly election; Kelvin Charles becomes Chief Secretary of Tobago
7 Oct 2017The 2017 budget is delivered
28 Nov 2016 PNM wins the 2016 Trinidadian local elections
30 Sep 2016The 2016 budget is delivered
10 Jul 2016Anirudh Mahabir is elected leader of the COP [93] [94]
3 Jul 2016Kelvin Charles is elected leader of the Tobago Council of the PNM [95]
15 Dec 2015The People's Partnership splits up [96]
7 Dec 2015 PNM wins the Auzonville/Tunapuna and Malabar South Local Government By-Elections
28 Sep 2015The 2015 budget is delivered
9 Sep 2015 Keith Rowley is sworn in as Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobago
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –2317105

Individual polls

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM UNC PDPPEPCOPOtherLead
10 Aug 20202020 general election–49.147.11.60.90.11.31.99
July 24–31, 2020SBS/Express [97] 473433811–15
July 25, 2020NACTA/Newsday [98] –4445––––1
July 2020H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media [99] 6003529––026
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –51.739.6––6.03.712.1

Regional and subnational polls

Tobago East

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM PDPOtherLead
10 Aug 20202020 general election–54.3544.740.919.61
July 2020NACTA/Newsday [100] (380)4742115
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –69.48–30.5253.78

Tobago West

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM PDPOtherLead
10 Aug 20202020 general election–66.8132.420.7734.39
July 2020NACTA/Newsday [100] (380)4840129
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –79.20–20.867.24

Moruga/Tableland

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM UNC OtherLead
10 Aug 20202020 general election–35.9252.3411.7416.42
July 25, 2020H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media [101] 20034234311
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –51.1548.620.232.53

St. Joseph

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM UNC OtherLead
10 Aug 20202020 general election–51.4246.961.624.46
July 25, 2020H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media [101] 2004031299
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –53.7745.440.798.33

San Fernando West

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM UNC OtherLead
10 Aug 20202020 general election–54.5142.872.6211.64
July 25, 2020H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media [102] –49292220
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –59.2439.850.9119.39

Tunapuna

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM UNC OtherLead
10 Aug 20202020 general election–54.6343.511.8611.12
July 25, 2020H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media [103] –39233816
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –59.4240.290.2919.13

Toco/Sangre Grande

Date [nb 1] PollsterSample size PNM UNC OtherLead
10 Aug 20202020 general election–58.6640.101.2418.23
July 25, 2020H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media [104] –32194913
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election –59.0439.840.9119.20

Satisfaction

Date [nb 1] FirmInterview ModeSample size KeithRowley.jpg Kamla Persad-Bissesar 2013.jpg
Rowley

(PNM)

Persad-Bissessar

(UNC)

SatisfiedDissatisfiedNever heard ofSatisfiedDissatisfiedNever heard of
July 2020H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media [105] Face-to-face60057%43%0%53%44%3%
31 May 2020NACTA/Newsday [106] n/an/a53%n/an/an/an/an/a
March 2020NACTA/Newsday [106] n/an/a46%n/an/a55%n/an/a
1–7 September 2019SBS/Express [107] Telephonen/a50%38%n/an/an/an/a
8 March 2019NACTA/Newsday [88] Face-to-face54040%47%n/a42%44%n/a
24 September 2017NACTA/Newsday [108] Face-to-face39040%n/an/a42%n/an/a
1–3 September 2017H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media [109] Telephone30132%n/an/a43%38%n/a
July 2017NACTA/Newsday [108] Face-to-face41041%n/an/a43%n/an/a
June 2017NACTA/Newsday [108] Face-to-face38042%n/an/a43%n/an/a
30 August – 5 September 2016SBS/Express [110] Telephone60151%n/an/an/an/an/a
^ Remainder were "undecided".

Preferred prime minister

Date [nb 1] FirmInterview ModeSample size KeithRowley.jpg Kamla Persad-Bissesar 2013.jpg Lead
Rowley

(PNM)

Persad-Bissessar

(UNC)

July 2020H.H.B. & Associates [105] Face-to-face60039%34%5%
March 2020NACTA [106] n/an/a43%45%2%
^ Remainder were "undecided".

Government direction

Date [nb 1] Polling organisationInterview ModeSample sizeRight directionWrong directionLead
4 August 2020SBS/Express [97] Telephone47347416
24 September 2017NACTA [108] Face-to-face390n/a89n/a
1–3 September 2017H.H.B. & Associates [109] Telephone301n/a83n/a
July 2017NACTA [108] Face-to-face410n/a85n/a
June 2017NACTA [108] Face-to-face380n/a83n/a

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2020 were collected by Solution by Simulation Ltd (SBS) for the Trinidad Express Newspapers completed by 473 likely voters in Trinidad and Tobago by phone and H.H.B. & Associates for the Trinidad and Tobago Guardian completed by 600 registered voters face-to-face suggested the following demographic breakdown:

2020 Trinidad & Tobago general election voter demographics (SBS) [97] [111] [112]
Social group %PNM %UNC  % Lead
Total vote43385
Voter expectation (Better chance of winning)473512
Gender
Womenn/an/an/a
Age
18–3950428
40–6441356
65+45423
First time voter
Yesn/an/an/a
Employment
Employedn/an/an/a
Retireesn/an/an/a
Unemployedn/an/an/a
Race/ethnic group
African descent771364
East Indian descent107767
Mixed descent482325
Traditional election vote
PNM85976
UNC118271
Floating / 3rd Party30264
Country direction
Believes country is in right direction771166
Believes country is on wrong track97263
Likeliness of voting
Very Likely46397
Somewhat Likely22319
Issue regarded as most important
Coronavirus651847
Corruption314817
Crime365014
Economy265327
Performance-minded and issue-based voters
Performance-minded375013
Issue-based642737
Quality of representation over other concernsn/an/an/a
Public perception
Ability to build and maintain infrastructuren/an/a8
Ability to reduce crimen/an/an/a
COVID-19
More capable of handling the pandemicn/an/an/a
2020 Trinidad & Tobago general election voter demographics in Trinidad (H.H.B. & Associates) [113]
Social group %PNM %UNC %COP %Others % Lead
Total vote35.1029.100.401.606.00
Race/ethnic group
Afro-Trinidadian61.205.700.002.4055.50
Indo-Trinidadian7.3054.700.000.4047.40
Other / Mixed44.1018.901.802.7025.20
Top Three Issues
Utilities (Water, light, etc.)30344
Unemployment/Jobs35361
Youth training and development40n/an/a
Race/ethnic group %Keith Rowley %Kamla Persad-Bissessar %Other Person% Lead
Best Prime Minister
Afro-Trinidadian67.97.711.060.2
Indo-Trinidadian10.861.212.550.4
Other / Mixed45.026.19.018.9

Reactions

Domestic reactions

Regional reactions

International reactions

Footnotes

    1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

    Related Research Articles

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    137. ↑ "Venezuela congratulates Trinidad and Tobago on successful election day and re-election of Prime Minister Keith Rowley". Ministerio del Poder Popular para Relaciones Exteriores. Archived from the original on 16 January 2021. Retrieved 25 May 2021.
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    140. ↑ Cancillería Venezuela 🇻🇪 [@CancilleriaVE] (17 August 2020). ".@jaarreaza #COMMUNIQUÉ | During a telephone conversation, Pres. @NicolasMaduro congratulated the Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobago, @DrKeithRowley, on his recent re-election. They exchanged experiences in the fight against Covid-19 and impressions of the bilateral agenda. https://t.co/8a86tfa3gq" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 25 May 2021. Retrieved 5 July 2021– via Twitter.
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    144. ↑ Chung, Julie [@WHAAsstSecty] (19 August 2020). "Today the people of Trinidad and Tobago swear in a prime minister, elected in a transparent process that accurately reflects their will. The United States congratulates @DrKeithRowley on his election victory, & wishes the people of Trinidad and Tobago continuing prosperity" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 25 May 2021. Retrieved 5 July 2021– via Twitter.
    145. ↑ "AMCHAM T&T - AMCHAM T&T Congratulates Dr the Hon Keith Rowley and the PNM on Election Victory". amchamtt.com. Archived from the original on 26 May 2021. Retrieved 25 May 2021.
    146. ↑ Sugg, Baroness [@liz_sugg] (19 August 2020). "My congratulations to @DrKeithRowley on your re-election, and on today's swearing-in to office. I look forward to our continued partnership as the UK and Trinidad & Tobago work together to fight #Covid19, deepen our security cooperation & combat the threat of climate change 🇬🇧🇹🇹" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 25 May 2021. Retrieved 5 July 2021– via Twitter.
    147. ↑ Stew, Tim [@HCTimStew] (19 August 2020). "Congratulations @DrKeithRowley on your re-election success! T&T 🇹🇹 & the UK 🇬🇧 enjoy a strong partnership. I look forward to that partnership depending & prospering in the years ahead. https://t.co/YaUWrDYxLB" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 28 May 2021. Retrieved 5 July 2021– via Twitter.
    148. ↑ UKinCaribbean 🇬🇧 [@UKinCaribbean] (19 August 2020). "#UKinTT congratulates Prime Minister @DrKeithRowley, newly appointed Ministers and all other Parliamentary representatives on today's swearing-in. We look forward to a strong partnership in the coming years. https://t.co/Yx8Q7JrWYb" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 25 May 2021. Retrieved 5 July 2021– via Twitter.
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    150. ↑ EmbaMex T&T [@EmbaMexTT] (19 August 2020). "CONGRATULATIONS to the new goverment [sic] of Trinidad and Tobago https://t.co/SLCEpxkMOS" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 5 August 2021. Retrieved 16 December 2021– via Twitter.
    151. ↑ EmbaMex T&T [@EmbaMexTT] (19 August 2020). "Hoy, 19 de agosto de 2020, tomó juramento ante la Presidenta Paula-Mae Weekes el nuevo gobierno de 🇹🇹 , encabezado por el Primer Ministro @DrKeithRowley . Felicidades . https://t.co/7ncyvn8bOw" (Tweet) (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 5 August 2021. Retrieved 16 December 2021– via Twitter.
    152. ↑ "Li Keqiang'dan Trinidad ve Tobago Başbakanı seçilen Rowley'e tebrik" (in Turkish). Retrieved 18 July 2021.
    153. ↑ CRI Türkçe [@CRI_Turkish] (22 August 2020). "📌 Başbakanı Li Keqiang, göreve yeniden seçilen Trinidad ve Tobago Başbakanı Keith Rowley'e tebrik mesajı gönderdi 📌 Li, iki ülkenin Covid-19 salgınıyla mücadelede birbirine destek vererek, ikili dostluğun tarihinde yeni bir sayfa açtığını dile getirdi https://t.co/tal63kq8SO" (Tweet) (in Turkish). Archived from the original on 5 August 2021. Retrieved 16 December 2021– via Twitter.
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    155. ↑ "Ambassador Hirayama paid a courtesy call to Dr. the Hon. Keith Rowley, Prime Minister of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago on November 30th, 2020" (PDF). www.tt.emb-japan.go.jp. Archived (PDF) from the original on 18 July 2021. Retrieved 17 July 2021.
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