2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State
Flag of Akwa Ibom State.svg
 201925 February 20232027 
Registered2,357,418
 
Bola Tinubu portrait (cropped).jpg
Peter Obi.png
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed

 
Rabiu Kwankwaso (cropped).jpg
Atiku Abubakar-2010 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party NNPP PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa

President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

Bola Tinubu
APC

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. [1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Contents

Background

Akwa Ibom State is a small state in the South South mainly populated by Efik-Ibibio peoples; although its oil reserves make it one of the most wealthy states in the nation, Akwa Ibom has faced challenges in security, environmental degradation, and lack of affordable housing in large part due to years of systemic corruption.

Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a reassertion of the PDP's dominance after Senator Godswill Akpabio and his allies that switched to the APC lost. Statewise, Governor Udom Emmanuel (PDP) easily won re-election with nearly 75% of the vote and 25 of 26 House of Assembly seats were won by the PDP. The PDP was also successful federally, unseating all APC senators and house members to sweep all three senate and ten House of Representatives seats as the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar with about 68% but still swung towards the APC and had lower turnout.

Polling

Polling organisation/clientFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (5980497975) (Cropped).png Peter Obi.png Atiku Abubakar-2010 (cropped).jpg OthersUndecidedUndisclosedNot voting
Tinubu
APC
Obi
LP
Kwankwaso
NNPP
Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022N/A19%43%0%15%16%1%4%
BantuPage January 2023N/A17%26%2%9%13%13%21%
Nextier
(Akwa Ibom crosstabs of national poll)
27 January 2023N/A8.6%60.5%25.9%4.9%
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Akwa Ibom crosstabs of national poll)
22 January-6 February 2023N/A2%65%27%6%

Projections

SourceProjectionAs of
Africa Elects [lower-alpha 1] [2] Lean Obi24 February 2023
Dataphyte [lower-alpha 2] [3]
Tinubu:17.07%11 February 2023
Obi:56.29%
Abubakar:22.75%
Others:3.89%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 3] [4]
Obi17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 4] [5] Abubakar15 December 2022
ThisDay [lower-alpha 5] [6]
Tinubu:15%27 December 2022
Obi:30%
Kwankwaso:
Abubakar:40%
Others/Undecided:15%
The Nation [lower-alpha 6] [7] [8] Abubakar12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State
PartyCandidateVotes%
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes100.00%
Invalid or blank votesN/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial district Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
OthersTotal valid votes
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Akwa Ibom North-East Senatorial District [lower-alpha 7] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Akwa Ibom North-West Senatorial District [lower-alpha 8] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Akwa Ibom South Senatorial District [lower-alpha 9] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
OthersTotal valid votes
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Abak/Etim Ekpo/Ika Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 10] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Eket/Onna/Esit Eket/Ibeno Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 11] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Etinan/Nsit Ibom/Nsit Ubium Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 12] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Ikono/Ini Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 13] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Ikot Abasi/Mkpat Enin/Eastern Obolo Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 14] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Ikot Ekpene/Essien Udim/Obot Akara Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 15] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Itu/Ibiono Ibom Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 16] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Oron/Mbo/Okobo/Udung Uko/Urue Offong/Oruko Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 17] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Ukanafun/Oruk Anam Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 18] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Uyo/Uruan/Nsit Atai/Ibesikpo Asutan Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 19] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
OthersTotal valid votesTurnout (%)
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Abak TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Eastern Obolo TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Eket TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Esit Eket TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Essien Udim TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Etim Ekpo TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Etinan TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ibeno TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ibesikpo Asutan TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ibiono-Ibom TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ika TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ikono TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ikot-Abasi TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ikot Ekpene TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ini TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Itu TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Mbo TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Mkpat-Enin TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Nsit-Atai TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Nsit-Ibom TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Nsit-Ubium TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Obot-Akara TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Okobo TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Onna TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Oron TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Oruk Anam TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Udung-Uko TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ukanafun TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Uruan TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Urue-Offong/Oruko TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Uyo TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Etinan, Ibesikpo Asutan, Ibiono-Ibom, Itu, Nsit-Atai, Nsit-Ibom, Nsit-Ubium, Uruan, and Uyo.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Abak, Essien Udim, Etim Ekpo, Ika, Ikono, Ikot Ekpene, Ini, Obot-Akara, Oruk Anam, and Ukanafun.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Eastern Obolo, Eket, Esit Eket, Ibeno, Ikot-Abasi, Mbo, Mkpat-Enin, Okobo, Onna, Oron, Udung-Uko, and Urue-Offong/Oruko.
  10. Comprising the local government areas of Abak, Etim Ekpo, and Ika.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Eket, Esit Eket, Ibeno, and Onna.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Etinan, Nsit-Ibom, and Nsit-Ubium.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Ikono and Ini.
  14. Comprising the local government areas of Eastern Obolo, Ikot-Abasi, and Mkpat-Enin.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Essien Udim, Ikot Ekpene, and Obot-Akara.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Ibiono-Ibom and Itu.
  17. Comprising the local government areas of Mbo, Okobo, Oron, Udung-Uko, and Urue-Offong/Oruko.
  18. Comprising the local government areas of Oruk Anam and Ukanafun.
  19. Comprising the local government areas of Ibesikpo Asutan, Nsit-Atai, Uruan, and Uyo.

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References

  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust . Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects . Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack . Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay . 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation . Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.