2023 Nigerian presidential election in Osun State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Osun State

←  2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered	1,954,800
Nominee Atiku Abubakar Bola Tinubu Party PDP APC Home state Adamawa Lagos Running mate Ifeanyi Okowa Kashim Shettima Popular vote 354,366 343,945 Percentage 48.33% 46.91%   Nominee Peter Obi Rabiu Kwankwaso Party LP New Nigeria Peoples Party Home state Anambra Kano Running mate Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed Isaac Idahosa Popular vote 23,283 713 Percentage 3.17% 0.10%
President before election Muhammadu Buhari APC Elected President TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Osun State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. ^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Osun State is a small, Yoruba-majority southwestern state with vast natural areas and rich cultural heritage but facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector and high debt. The state's 2019 elections were competitiveness with presidential incumbent Muhammadu Buhari barely winning the state and all three Senate races being fairly close. Of the Senate elections, two seats went to the APC and one went to the PDP while the House of Representatives elections went 6 APC and 3 PDP. Contrastly, the APC won a large majority in the State House of Assembly. Two years later, Ademola Adeleke (PDP) unseated Gboyega Oyetola (APC)—the incumbent Governor, winning by 3.5% of the vote; ^[2] however, the election result was overturned by the tribunal and the court dispute continues as of January 2023. ^{[3] [4]}

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP
BantuPage	January 2023	N/A	18%	8%	0%	21%	–	40%	4%	10%
Nextier (Osun crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	17.6%	19.1%	–	76%	2.9%	–	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Osun crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	2%	7%	–	1%	–	89%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects [lower-alpha 1] [5]	Likely Tinubu		24 February 2023
Dataphyte [lower-alpha 2] [6]
	Tinubu:	38.27%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	19.99%
	Abubakar:	25.18%
	Others:	16.56%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 3] [7]	Tinubu		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 4] [8]	Abubakar		15 December 2022
ThisDay [lower-alpha 5] [9]
	Tinubu:	35%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	5%
	Kwankwaso:	5%
	Abubakar:	35%
	Others/Undecided:	20%
The Nation [lower-alpha 6] [10] [11]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Osun State

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes				100.00%
Invalid or blank votes				N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Osun Central Senatorial District [lower-alpha 7]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Osun East Senatorial District [lower-alpha 8]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Osun West Senatorial District [lower-alpha 9]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Atakunmosa East/Atakunmosa West/ Ilesa East/Ilesa West Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 10]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ayedaade/Isokan/Irewole Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 11]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Aiyedire/Iwo/Ola-Oluwa Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 12]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Boluwaduro/Ifedayo/Ila Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 13]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ede North/Ede South/Egbedore/Ejigbo Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 14]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ife Central/Ife East/Ife North/Ife South Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 15]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Irepodun/Olorunda/Osogbo/Orolu Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 16]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Obokun/Oriade Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 17]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Odo-Otin/Boripe/Ifelodun Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 18]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Aiyedaade	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Aiyedire	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Atakunmosa East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Atakunmosa West	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Boluwaduro	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Boripe	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ede North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ede South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Egbedore	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ejigbo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ife Central	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ife East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ife North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ife South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ifedayo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ifelodun	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ila	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ilesa East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ilesa West	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Irepodun	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Irewole	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Isokan	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Iwo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Obokun	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Odo Otin	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ola Oluwa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Olorunda	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Oriade	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Osogbo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

See also

• 2023 Osun State elections
• 2023 Nigerian presidential election

Notes

1. Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
7. Comprising the local government areas of Boluwaduro, Boripe, Ifedayo, Ifelodun, Ila, Irepodun, Odo Otin, Olorunda, Orolu, and Osogbo.
8. Comprising the local government areas of Atakunmosa East, Atakunmosa West, Ife Central, Ife East, Ife North, Ife South, Ilesa East, Ilesa West, Obokun, and Oriade.
9. Comprising the local government areas of Aiyedaade, Aiyedire, Ede North, Ede South, Egbedore, Ejigbo, Irewole, Isokan, Iwo, and Ola-Oluwa.
10. Comprising the local government areas of Atakunmosa East, Atakunmosa West, Ilesa East, and Ilesa West.
11. Comprising the local government areas of Aiyedaade, Irewole, and Isokan.
12. Comprising the local government areas of Aiyedire, Iwo, and Ola Oluwa.
13. Comprising the local government areas of Boluwaduro, Ifedayo, and Ila.
14. Comprising the local government areas of Ede North, Ede South, Egbedore, and Ejigbo.
15. Comprising the local government areas of Ife Central, Ife East, Ife North, and Ife South.
16. Comprising the local government areas of Irepodun, Osun, Olorunda, Orolu, and Osogbo.
17. Comprising the local government areas of Obokun and Oriade.
18. Comprising the local government areas of Boripe, Ifelodun, and Odo Otin.

References

1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust . Retrieved 26 February 2022.
2. Independent National Electoral Commission [@inecnigeria] (17 July 2022). "Declaration of Result of the Osun State Governorship Election, held on Saturday 16th July 2022" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
3. Ogundapo, Abdulqudus (27 January 2023). "UPDATED: Osun tribunal sacks Adeleke declares Oyetola governor". Premium Times . Retrieved 27 January 2023.
4. "Osun Governorship: Adeleke rejects Tribunal ruling, heads to Appeal Court". Premium Times . 27 January 2023. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
5. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects . Retrieved 25 February 2023.
6. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack . Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
7. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
8. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
9. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay . 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
10. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation . Retrieved 19 February 2023.
11. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.