2023 Nigerian presidential election in Nasarawa State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Nasarawa State
Registered	1,899,244
President before election; Muhammadu Buhari ; APC	Elected President ; TBD;

Last updated April 22, 2024

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Nasarawa State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Nasarawa State is a large state in the North Central with vast natural areas and a improving health sector but facing underdeveloped agriculture and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, inter-ethnic violence, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state. Politically, the state's 2019 elections had a significant swing towards the state APC. In federal elections, Buhari won the state by just 1% while the APC swept all senate seats by gaining two PDP-held seats. Similarly, the APC gained one PDP-held House of Representatives seat, held the governorship, and kept the majority in the House of Assembly.

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP

BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	10%	51%	2%	15%	–	14%	5%	4%
Nextier (Nasarawa crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	28.2%	35.9%	–	30.8%	–	5.1%	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Nasarawa crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	6%	43%	4%	14%	–	33%	–	–
LAMECON (Nasarawa State Election Opinion Poll)	5 October - 4 Dec 2022	1027	18.1%	42.6%	10.3%	28.5%	0.4%	-	-

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects ^{[lower-alpha 1]}^[2]	Tossup		24 February 2023
Dataphyte ^{[lower-alpha 2]}^[3]
	Tinubu:	37.54%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	21.11%
	Abubakar:	23.70%
	Others:	17.65%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence ^{[lower-alpha 3]}^[4]	Obi		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence ^{[lower-alpha 4]}^[5]	Tinubu		15 December 2022
ThisDay ^{[lower-alpha 5]}^[6]
	Tinubu:	30%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	25%
	Kwankwaso:	10%
	Abubakar:	25%
	Others/Undecided:	10%
The Nation ^{[lower-alpha 6]}^[7]^[8]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Nasarawa State
Party		Candidate	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes			100.00%
Invalid or blank votes			N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Nasarawa North Senatorial District ^{[lower-alpha 7]}	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Nasarawa South Senatorial District ^{[lower-alpha 8]}	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Nasarawa West Senatorial District ^{[lower-alpha 9]}	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Akwanga/Nasarawa/Eggon/Wamba Federal Constituency^{[lower-alpha 10]}	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Awe/Doma/Keana Federal Constituency^{[lower-alpha 11]}	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Keffi/Karu/Kokona Federal Constituency^{[lower-alpha 12]}	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Lafia/Obi Federal Constituency^{[lower-alpha 13]}	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Nassarawa/Toto Federal Constituency^{[lower-alpha 14]}	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Akwanga	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Awe	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Doma	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Eggon	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Karu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Keana	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Keffi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kokona	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Lafia	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Nasarawa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Obi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Toto	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Wamba	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

Notes

↑ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
↑ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
↑ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
↑ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
↑ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
↑ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
↑ Comprising the local government areas of Akwanga, Eggon, and Wamba.
↑ Comprising the local government areas of Awe, Doma, Keana, Lafia and Obi.
↑ Comprising the local government areas of Karu, Keffi, Kokona, Nasarawa and Toto.
↑ Comprising the local government areas of Akwanga, Eggon, and Wamba.
↑ Comprising the local government areas of Awe, Doma, and Keana.
↑ Comprising the local government areas of Karu, Keffi, and Kokona.
↑ Comprising the local government areas of Lafia and Obi.
↑ Comprising the local government areas of Nasarawa and Toto.

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References

↑ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust . Retrieved 26 February 2022.
↑ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects . Retrieved 25 February 2023.
↑ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack . Dataphyte . Retrieved 11 February 2023.
↑ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
↑ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
↑ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay . 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation . Retrieved 19 February 2023.
↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

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[2] Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".

[4] Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[6] EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.

[8] SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).

[10] ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[12] The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."

[15] Comprising the local government areas of Akwanga, Eggon, and Wamba.

[16] Comprising the local government areas of Awe, Doma, Keana, Lafia and Obi.

[17] Comprising the local government areas of Karu, Keffi, Kokona, Nasarawa and Toto.

[18] Comprising the local government areas of Akwanga, Eggon, and Wamba.

[19] Comprising the local government areas of Awe, Doma, and Keana.

[20] Comprising the local government areas of Karu, Keffi, and Kokona.

[21] Comprising the local government areas of Lafia and Obi.

[22] Comprising the local government areas of Nasarawa and Toto.

[New_Dates-1] Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust . Retrieved 26 February 2022.

[Africa_Elects_state_ratings-3] Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects . Retrieved 25 February 2023.

[Dataphyte_February_projections-5] "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack . Dataphyte . Retrieved 11 February 2023.

[EiE-SBM_February_projections-7] "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[9] "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[ThisDay_December_projections-11] "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay . 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[TN_February_projections-13] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation . Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[14] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[1]

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[3]

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[4]

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[5]

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[6]

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[7]

[8]

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v t e (2022 ←) 2023 Nigerian elections (→ 2024)
President	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Senate	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
House of Representatives	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Governors	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Houses of Assembly	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Local	Zamfara
Statewide	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara