2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State

Last updated

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State
←  2019 25 February 20232027 →
Registered5,921,370
  Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (5980497975) (Cropped).png Peter Obi.png
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
  Atiku Abubakar-2010 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. [1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Contents

Background

Kano State is a highly populated northwestern state mainly inhabited by ethnic Hausas and Fulanis but with significant non-indigenous populations of Igbo, Yoruba, and other ethnicities. The state has a growing economy but is facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector, overcrowded urban areas, desertification, and relatively low education rates.

Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a reassertion of the APC's federal dominance after mass 2018 defections away from the party led by outgoing Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso and his allies. The APC was mainly successful federally, unseating almost all PDP senators and house members to sweep most House of Representatives and all three senate seats as the state was easily won by APC presidential nominee Muhammadu Buhari with over 75% but still swung towards the PDP and had lower turnout. However, state level elections were much closer as Umar Ganduje needed a disputed supplementary election to barely beat the PDP's Abba Kabir Yusuf; the House of Assembly elections were also closer but the APC won a sizeable majority.

Polling

Polling organisation/clientFieldwork
date		Sample
size		 Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (5980497975) (Cropped).png Peter Obi.png Atiku Abubakar-2010 (cropped).jpg OthersUndecidedUndisclosedNot voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022N/A13%3%32%14%–25%5%10%
Nextier
(Kano crosstabs of national poll)		27 January 2023N/A19.3%4.5%57.9%12.9%2.03.5%––
Stears January 202350017%5%20%11%–40%
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Kano crosstabs of national poll)		22 January-6 February 2023N/A31%18%18%27%1%3%––

Projections

SourceProjectionAs of
Africa Elects [lower-alpha 1] [2] Lean Kwankwaso24 February 2023
Dataphyte [lower-alpha 2] [3]
Tinubu:45.57%11 February 2023
Obi:4.96%
Abubakar:45.57%
Others:3.89%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 3] [4] 		Tinubu17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 4] [5] Too close to call15 December 2022
ThisDay [lower-alpha 5] [6]
Tinubu:30%27 December 2022
Obi:5%
Kwankwaso:40%
Abubakar:20%
Others/Undecided:5%
The Nation [lower-alpha 6] [7] [8] Tinubu12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State
PartyCandidateVotes%
A Christopher Imumolen 347
AA Hamza al-Mustapha 729
ADP Yabagi Sani 2,602
APP Osita Nnadi 533
AAC Omoyele Sowore 551
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu 2,845
APC Bola Tinubu 506,41229%
APGA Peter Umeadi 1,253
APM Princess Chichi Ojei 3,170
BP Sunday Adenuga 364
LP Peter Obi 28,5131%
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe 1,540
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso 997,27958%
PRP Kola Abiola 1,987
PDP Atiku Abubakar 131,7167%
SDP Adewole Adebayo 504
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim 9,429
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu 1,790
Total votes100.00%
Invalid or blank votesN/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		OthersTotal valid votes
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Kano Central Senatorial District [lower-alpha 7] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Kano North Senatorial District [lower-alpha 8] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Kano South Senatorial District [lower-alpha 9] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		OthersTotal valid votes
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Albasu/Gaya/Ajingi Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 10] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Bebeji/Kiru Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 11] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Bichi Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 12] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Dala Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 13] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Dambatta/Makoda Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 14] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Doguwa/Tudun Wada Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 15] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 16] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Dawakin Tofa/Tofa/Rimin Gado Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 17] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Fagge Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 18] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Gabasawa/Gezawa Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 19] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Gwarzo/Kabo Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 20] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Gwale Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 21] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Kumbotso Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 22] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Kano Municipal Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 23] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Kunchi/Tsanyawa Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 24] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Karaye/Rogo Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 25] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Kura/Madobi/Garun Malam Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 26] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Minjibir/Ungogo Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 27] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Nasarawa Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 28] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Rano/Bunkure/Kibiya Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 29] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Sumaila/Takai Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 30] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Shanono/Bagwai Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 31] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Tarauni Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 32] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Wudil/Garko Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 33] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		OthersTotal valid votesTurnout (%)
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Ajingi TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Albasu TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Bagwai TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Bebeji TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Bichi [9] 31,67357.54%1,7313.14%1780.32%20,86237.90%6051.10%55,049 %
Bunkure [10] 11,16137.29%1,5285.10%760.25%16,75955.99%4091.37%29,933 %
Dala TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Dambatta TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Dawakin Kudu [11] 12,25824.28%3,7687.46%1670.33%32,92565.22%1,3672.71%50,485 %
Dawakin Tofa [12] 16,77336.62%2,4775.41%2020.44%25,07254.73%1,2852.81%45,809 %
Doguwa [13] 15,42447.83%1,4084.37%6421.99%14,54345.10%2280.71%32,245 %
Fagge TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Gabasawa [14] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Garko [15] 8,48530.73%2,0677.49%3131.13%15,88957.54%8593.11%27,613 %
Garun Mallam [16] 8,64233.50%4,40917.09%1600.62%12,24947.49%3341.29%25,794 %
Gaya [17] 8708 %1382 %158 %18999%TBD %TBD %
Gezawa [18] 9,91527.70%2,9808.33%1880.53%21,90961.21%8032.24%35,795 %
Gwale TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Gwarzo [19] 20,62747.79%2,1254.92%700.16%19,95046.22%3880.90%43,160 %
Kabo [20] 18,76749.74%2,4636.53%790.21%15,92342.20%4961.31%37,728 %
Kano Municipal 10,28336.64%7532.68%700.25%16,33158.19%2110.75%28,067 %
Karaye [21] 10,87436.34%2,1327.13%1340.45%16,29554.46%4861.62%29,921 %
Kibiya [22] 10,92930.44%3,98711.11%1260.35%20,40656.84%4531.26%35,901 %
Kiru [23] 19,15538.78%2,4674.99%1120.23%27,19955.06%4660.94%49,399 %
Kumbotso [24] 6,72111.39%5,99610.16%8151.38%44,47475.39%9821.66%58,988 %
Kunchi [25] 10,35953.05%7033.60%500.26%8,09041.43%3241.66%19,526 %
Kura [26] 10,92930.44%3,98711.11%1260.35%20,40756.84%4521.26%35,901 %
Madobi TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Makoda [27] 12,59048.06%1,0994.20%400.15%12,24746.75%2190.84%26,195 %
Minjibir [28] 6,77727.14%1,8337.34%1230.49%15,50562.10%7312.93%24,969 %
Nasarawa TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Rano TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Rimin Gado [29] 10,86140.48%9073.38%760.28%14,63454.54%3541.32%26,832 %
Rogo TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Shanono [30] 11,55749.52%1,7037.30%440.19%9,67241.44%3621.55%23,338 %
Sumaila TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Takai TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Tofa [31] 10,28035.14%1,1924.07%1770.61%17,21958.86%3841.31%29,252 %
Tsanyawa [32] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Tudun Wada [33] 18,01740.48%1,9654.41%1,0532.37%23,04151.76%4350.98%44,511 %
Ungogo [34] 8,01116.44%4,6599.56%3340.69%34,91671.64%8151.67%48,735 %
Warawa [35] 10,35241.05%1,2775.06%1250.50%12,70850.39%7573.00%25,219 %
Wudil [36] 10,27927.80%2,7857.53%3801.03%22,51760.90%1,0102.73%36,971 %
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ↑ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ↑ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ↑ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ↑ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ↑ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Dala, Dawakin Kudu, Fagge, Garun Mallam, Gezawa, Gwale, Kano Municipal, Kumbotso, Kura, Madobi, Minjibir, Nasarawa, Tarauni, Ungogo, and Warawa.
  8. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bagwai, Bichi, Dambatta, Dawakin Tofa, Gabasawa, Gwarzo, Kabo, Karaye, Kunchi, Makoda, Rimin Gado, Shanono, Tofa, and Tsanyawa.
  9. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ajingi, Albasu, Bebeji, Doguwa, Garko, Gaya, Kibiya, Kiru, Rano, Rogo, Sumaila, Takai, Tudun Wada, and Wudil.
  10. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ajingi, Albasu, and Gaya.
  11. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bebeji and Kiru.
  12. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Bichi.
  13. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Dala.
  14. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Dambatta and Makoda.
  15. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Doguwa and Tudun Wada.
  16. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Dawakin Kudu and Warawa.
  17. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Dawakin Tofa, Rimin Gado, and Tofa.
  18. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Fagge.
  19. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gabasawa and Gezawa.
  20. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gwarzo and Kabo.
  21. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Gwale.
  22. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Kumbotso.
  23. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Kano Municipal.
  24. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Kunchi and Tsanyawa.
  25. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Karaye and Rogo.
  26. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Garun Mallam, Kura, and Madobi.
  27. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Minjibir and Ungogo.
  28. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Nasarawa.
  29. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bunkure, Kibiya, and Rano.
  30. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Sumaila and Takai.
  31. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bagwai and Shanono.
  32. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Tarauni .
  33. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Garko and Wudil.

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References

  1. ↑ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust . Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ↑ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects . Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ↑ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack . Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ↑ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ↑ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ↑ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay . 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation . Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  9. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Bichi LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  10. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Bunkure LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  11. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT DAWAKIN KUDU LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  12. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "BREAKING: Kwankwaso defeats Ganduje in his LG DAWAKIN TOFA LG, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  13. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "ALHASSAN DOGUWA, REPS' MAJORITY LEADER, DELIVERS LGA FOR APC PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Doguwa LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  14. ↑ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Gabasawa Local Government Area" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  15. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Garko LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  16. ↑ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Collated results from Kano state Garun Malam" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  17. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "@BashirAhmaad LOSES LGA TO KWANKWASO PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Gaya LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  18. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "RESULTS PRESIDENTIAL GEZAWA LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  19. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Gwarzo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  20. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Kabo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  21. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT KARAYE LG, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  22. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "RESULTS PRESIDENTIAL RESULT FOR KANO KIBIYA LG" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  23. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Kiru LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  24. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Kumbotso LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  25. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT KUNCHI LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  26. ↑ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Kura 10 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  27. ↑ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Makoda 11 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  28. ↑ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Minjibir 11 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  29. ↑ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Rimin Gado 12 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  30. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Shanono LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  31. ↑ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Tofa LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  32. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT TOFA LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  33. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Tudun Wada LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  34. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Ungogo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  35. ↑ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Warawa Local Government Area" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  36. ↑ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Wudil LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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