2023 Nigerian presidential election in Abia State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Abia State

← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered	2,120,808
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi Party APC LP Home state Lagos Anambra Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed   Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar Party NNPP PDP Home state Kano Adamawa Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election Muhammadu Buhari APC Elected President Bola Tinubu APC

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Abia State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. ^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, were also held on the same date while state elections were held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Peter Obi — the nominee of the Labour Party — received 88.4% of the vote and won the state by over 300,000 votes, a 82.3% margin of victory, over runner-up Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party at 6.1%. The other two major contenders, Bola Tinubu (All Progressives Congress) and Rabiu Kwankwaso (New Nigeria People's Party), trailed with 2.4% and 0.3%, respectively. ^[2]

Background

Abia State is a small, Igbo-majority southeastern state; although it is one of the most developed states in the nation, Abia has faced challenges in security as both the nationwide kidnapping epidemic and separatist violence have heavily affected the region. Originally launched ostensibly to defend ethnic Igbos from herdsmen and government attacks, the separatist organization Indigenous People of Biafra's Eastern Security Network began violently enforcing economically destructive weekly lockdowns in 2021 and swiftly were criticized for committing human rights abuses against civilians it was meant to protect. ^{[3] [4]} These atrocities coupled with law enforcement brutality and herder–farmer clashes worsened the security situation prior to the election. ^{[5] [6]}

Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized as a solidification of the Abia PDP's control but a slight expansion of the APC on the federal level. Statewise, incumbent PDP Governor Okezie Ikpeazu won re-election with over 60% of the vote and the vast majority of House of Assembly seats were won by the PDP. On the other hand, while the PDP was still successful federally, it lost ground only winning seven House of Representatives seats and two Senate seats compared to all nine and all three in 2015. For the presidency, Abia was easily won by PDP nominee Atiku Abubakar with about 68% but still swung towards the APC and had strikingly low turnout.

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP
BantuPage	January 2023	N/A	1%	83%	3%	3%	–	6%	4%	1%
Nextier (Abia crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	1.5%	93.8%	–	1.5%	–	3.1%	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Abia crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	2%	17%	–	2%	2%	78%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects [note 1] [7]	Safe Obi		24 February 2023
Dataphyte [note 2] [8]
	Tinubu:	14.38%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	62.79%
	Abubakar:	18.99%
	Others:	3.84%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence [note 3] [9]	Obi		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence [note 4] [10]	Obi		15 December 2022
ThisDay [note 5] [11]
	Tinubu:	10%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	60%
	Kwankwaso:	–
	Abubakar:	15%
	Others/Undecided:	15%
The Nation [note 6] [12] [13]	Obi		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Abia State

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes				100.00%
Invalid or blank votes				N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial district	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Abia Central Senatorial District [note 7]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Abia North Senatorial District [note 8]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Abia South Senatorial District [note 9]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Aba North/Aba South Federal Constituency [note 10]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Arochukwu/Ohafia Federal Constituency [note 11]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Bende Federal Constituency [note 12]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Isiala Ngwa North/Isiala Ngwa South Federal Constituency [note 13]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Isuikwuato/Umunneochi Federal Constituency [note 14]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Obingwa/Ugwunagbo/Osisioma Federal Constituency [note 15]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ukwa East/Ukwa West Federal Constituency [note 16]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Umuahia North/Umuahia South/Ikwuano Federal Constituency [note 17]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Aba North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Aba South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Arochukwu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bende	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ikwuano	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Isiala Ngwa North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Isiala Ngwa South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Isuikwuato	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Obi Ngwa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ohafia	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Osisioma	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ugwunagbo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ukwa East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ukwa West	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Umuahia North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Umuahia South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Umu Nneochi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

See also

• 2023 Abia State elections
• 2023 Nigerian presidential election

Notes

1. AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
6. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
7. Comprising the local government areas of Ikwuano, Isiala Ngwa North, Isiala Ngwa South, Umuahia North, and Umuahia South.
8. Comprising the local government areas of Arochukwu, Bende, Isuikwuato, Ohafia, and Umu Nneochi.
9. Comprising the local government areas of Aba North, Aba South, Obi Ngwa, Osisioma Ngwa, Ugwunagbo, Ukwa East, and Ukwa West.
10. Comprising the local government areas of Aba North and Aba South.
11. Comprising the local government areas of Arochukwu and Ohafia.
12. Comprising the local government area of Bende.
13. Comprising the local government areas of Isiala-Ngwa North and Isiala-Ngwa South.
14. Comprising the local government areas of Isuikwuato and Umu-Nneochi.
15. Comprising the local government areas of Obi Ngwa, Osisioma Ngwa, and Ugwunagbo.
16. Comprising the local government areas of Ukwa East and Ukwa West.
17. Comprising the local government areas of Ikwuano, Umuahia North, and Umuahia South.

References

1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust . Retrieved 26 February 2022.
2. Opanuga, Jimisayo (28 February 2023). "2023 election: Obi wins in Abia, defeats Tinubu, Atiku, Kwankwaso". The Guardian Nigeria News - Nigeria and World News. Retrieved 31 August 2024.
3. Ayitogo, Nasir. "ANALYSIS: Despite Nnamdi Kanu's incarceration, IPOB-linked killings, attacks continue in South-east". Premium Times . Retrieved 13 March 2022.
4. Okoli, Anayo; Nkwopara, Chidi; Agbo, Dennis; Nwaiwu, Chimaobi; Alaribe, Ugochukwu; Okonkwo, Nwabueze; Adonu, Chinedu; Alozie, Chinonso; Odu, Ikechukwu; Oko, Steve; Ali, Uchenna. "How Monday sit-at-home is affecting South-East economy". Vanguard . Retrieved 13 March 2022.
5. "Nigeria: At least 115 people killed by security forces in four months in country's Southeast". Amnesty International . 5 August 2021. Retrieved 13 March 2022.
6. Ukpong, Cletus. "Insecurity: Abia govt accuses herders of kidnapping". Premium Times . Retrieved 13 March 2022.
7. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects . Retrieved 25 February 2023.
8. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack . Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
9. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
10. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
11. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay . 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
12. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation . Retrieved 19 February 2023.
13. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.