2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State
  2019 25 February 20232027 
Registered2,513,281
  Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (5980497975) (Cropped).png Peter Obi.png
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed

  Atiku Abubakar-2010 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa

President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. [1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Contents

Background

Borno State is a large, diverse northeastern state in the process of recovering from the worst of the Boko Haram insurgency. Still facing large-scale threats by and partial occupation from Boko Haram and ISWAP terrorists, the state also has to contend with an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, desertification, and low education rates. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and APC gubernatorial nominee Babagana Umara Zulum won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, house of representatives, and house of assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.

Polling

Polling organisation/clientFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (5980497975) (Cropped).png Peter Obi.png Atiku Abubakar-2010 (cropped).jpg OthersUndecidedUndisclosedNot voting
Tinubu
APC
Obi
LP
Kwankwaso
NNPP
Abubakar
PDP
Nextier
(Borno crosstabs of national poll)
27 January 2023N/A62.9%32.6%3.4%1.1%
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Borno crosstabs of national poll)
22 January-6 February 2023N/A24%10%2%42%3%20%

Projections

SourceProjectionAs of
Africa Elects [lower-alpha 1] [2] Safe Tinubu24 February 2023
Dataphyte [lower-alpha 2] [3]
Tinubu:45.37%11 February 2023
Obi:4.95%
Abubakar:45.37%
Others:4.32%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 3] [4]
Abubakar17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 4] [5] Tinubu15 December 2022
ThisDay [lower-alpha 5] [6]
Tinubu:40%27 December 2022
Obi:
Kwankwaso:20%
Abubakar:35%
Others/Undecided:5%
The Nation [lower-alpha 6] [7] [8] Tinubu12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State
PartyCandidateVotes%
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes100.00%
Invalid or blank votesN/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial district Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
OthersTotal valid votes
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Borno Central Senatorial District [lower-alpha 7] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Borno North Senatorial District [lower-alpha 8] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Borno South Senatorial District [lower-alpha 9] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
OthersTotal valid votes
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Askira-Uba/Hawul Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 10] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Bama/Ngala/Kala-Balge Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 11] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Biu/Kwaya Kusar/Shani/Bayo Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 12] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Chibok/Damboa/Gwoza Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 13] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Dikwa/Mafa/Konduga Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 14] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Gubio/Kaga/Magumeri Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 15] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Jere Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 16] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Kukawa/Mobbar/Abadam/Guzamala Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 17] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Maiduguri (Metropolitan) Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 18] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
Monguno/Marte/Nganzai Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 19] TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
OthersTotal valid votesTurnout (%)
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Abadam TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Askira/Uba TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Bama TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Bayo TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Biu TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Chibok TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Damboa TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Dikwa TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Gubio TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Guzamala TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Gwoza TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Hawul TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Jere TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Kaga TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Kala/Balge TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Kukawa TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Kwaya Kusar TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Mafa TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Magumeri TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Maiduguri TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Marte TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Mobbar TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Monguno TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Ngala TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Nganzai TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
Shani TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %
TotalsTBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Dikwa, Jere, Kaga, Kala/Balge, Konduga, Mafa, Maiduguri, and Ngala.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Gubio, Guzamala, Kukawa, Magumeri, Marte, Mobbar, Monguno, and Nganzai.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba, Bayo, Biu, Chibok, Damboa, Gwoza, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
  10. Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba and Hawul.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Kala/Balge, and Ngala.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Bayo, Biu, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Chibok, Damboa, and Gwoza.
  14. Comprising the local government areas of Dikwa, Konduga, and Mafa.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Gubio, Kaga, and Magumeri.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Jere.
  17. Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Guzamala, Kukawa, and Mobbar.
  18. Comprising the local government area of Maiduguri.
  19. Comprising the local government areas of Monguno.

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The 2023 Borno State gubernatorial election took place on 18 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Borno State, concurrent with elections to the Borno State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly. The election—which was postponed from its original 11 March date—was held three weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections. Incumbent APC Governor Babagana Umara Zulum has been renominated by his party.

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References

  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust . Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects . Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack . Dataphyte . Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay . 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation . Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.