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The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Taraba State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. [1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Taraba State is a diverse, agriculture-based state in the Middle Belt that has faced challenges in security as inter-ethnic violence and conflict between herders and farmers heavily affect the region. The overproliferation of weaponry and increased pressure for land along with failures in governance led to the worsening of these clashes in the years ahead of the election. [2]
Politically, the 2019 elections were a mixed bag for both major parties. On the federal level, PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar narrowly won the state by 7% but it swung slightly towards Buhari; legislatively, the parties fairly evenly split the Senate seats and House of Representatives seats. Statewise, Ishaku won re-election by a wide margin and the PDP won a majority in the House of Assembly.
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size |  |  |  | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC | Obi LP | Kwankwaso NNPP | Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 9% | 22% | 1% | 30% | – | 28% | 7% | 1% |
| Nextier (Taraba crosstabs of national poll) | 27 January 2023 | N/A | 25.5% | 21.6% | – | 51.0% | – | 2.0% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Taraba crosstabs of national poll) | 22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 13% | 54% | 4% | 28% | – | 1% | – | – |
| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects [lower-alpha 1] [3] | Lean Abubakar | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte [lower-alpha 2] [4] | |||
| Tinubu: | 27.52% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 27.37% | ||
| Abubakar: | 33.77% | ||
| Others: | 16.35% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 3] [5] | Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence [lower-alpha 4] [6] | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay [lower-alpha 5] [7] | |||
| Tinubu: | 10% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 20% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | 20% | ||
| Abubakar: | 40% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 10% | ||
| The Nation [lower-alpha 6] [8] [9] | Abubakar | 12-19 February 2023 | |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Taraba Central Senatorial District [lower-alpha 7] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Taraba North Senatorial District [lower-alpha 8] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Taraba South Senatorial District [lower-alpha 9] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Bali/Gassol Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 10] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Jalingo/Yorro/Zing Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 11] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Karim Lamido/Lau/Ardo-Kola Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 12] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Sardauna/Gashaka/Kurmi Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 13] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Takum/Donga/Ussa Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 14] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Wukari/Ibi Federal Constituency [lower-alpha 15] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Ardo Kola | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bali | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Donga | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gashaka | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gassol | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Jalingo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Karim Lamido | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kurmi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Lau | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Sardauna | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Takum | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ussa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Wukari | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Yorro | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Zing | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
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