List of Storm Prediction Center extremely critical days

Last updated

Progression of a well-anticipated extremely critical event across the Central Plains on March 6, 2017. This event produced wildfires that burned 1,200,000 acres of land, and killed seven people. Evolution of SPC Forecasts Leading to March 6, 2017.jpg
Progression of a well-anticipated extremely critical event across the Central Plains on March 6, 2017. This event produced wildfires that burned 1,200,000 acres of land, and killed seven people.

An extremely critical fire weather event is the greatest threat level issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for wildfire events in the United States. On the scale from one to three, an extremely critical is a level three; thus, these outlooks are issued only when forecasters at the SPC are confident of extremely dangerous wildfire conditions on a given day, and are typically reserved for the most extreme events. They are only issued for either Day 2 (with the event occurring the following day) or for Day 1 (on the day of the event). In contrast with high risk outlooks for severe weather outbreaks, extremely critical outlooks are commonly issued for Day 2. This is due to the fact that the conditions required for volatile wildfire spread are easier to predict well in advance than the conditions required for a major tornado outbreak or derecho. Similar to high risk outlooks, extremely critical outlooks also cannot be issued for Day 3 of the outlook period. [1] [2]

Contents

Extremely critical days

2000–2009

Storm Prediction Center Extremely Critical Fire Weather Events – 2000–2009 [nb 1]
DateYearRegionBurned areaFatalitiesOutlookNotes
May 112000 Arizona, New Mexico [3] 43,000 [nb 2] 0 Cerro Grande Fire [4]
May 152000 Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico [5] 43,000 [nb 2] 0 Cerro Grande Fire [4]
May 162000 Wyoming, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma [6] 43,000 [nb 2] 0 Cerro Grande Fire [4]
May 172000 Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico, Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma [7] 43,000 [nb 2] 0 Cerro Grande Fire [4]
May 242000 Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Florida [8] 0One of only two extremely critical areas issued east of the Mississippi River, the other was issued on May 12, 2008[ citation needed ]
June 72000 Nevada, Arizona, Utah [9] 0
June 82000 Nevada, Arizona, Utah [10] 0
June 192000 Wyoming, Colorado, Utah [11] 0
July 232000 Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, Montana, Idaho [12] 2,200,000 [nb 3] 0 Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 [13]
July 312000 Washington, Oregon, Montana, Idaho [14] 2,200,000 [nb 3] 0Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 [13]
August 12000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho [15] 2,200,000 [nb 3] 0Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 [13]
August 32000 California, Oregon, Nevada, Wyoming, Montana, Idaho [16] 2,200,000 [nb 3] 0Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 [13]
August 112000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho [17] 2,200,000 [nb 3] 0Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 [13]
August 262000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho [18] 2,200,000 [nb 3] 0Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 [13]
August 272000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho, South Dakota [19] 2,200,000 [nb 3] 0Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 [13]
August 292000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho [20] 2,200,000 [nb 3] 0Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 [13]
September 192000 South Central U.S. [21] 0
September 212000 New Mexico, Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [22] 0
October 212000 California [23] 0
October 222000 California [24] 0
November 72000 California [25] 0
December 172000 California [26] 0
December 182000 California [27] 0
December 252000 California [28] 0
January 22001 California [29] 0
January 32001 California [30] 10,3530Viejas Fire [31]
April 102001 New Mexico, Texas [32] 0
April 222001 New Mexico, Texas [33] 0
July 282001 Idaho, Wyoming [34] [35] 4,600 [nb 2] 0 Day 1 fire outlook for July282001.png Green Knoll Fire [36]
September 52001Eastern Great Basin region [37] 14,2880Darby Fire [38]
April 202002 New Mexico, Texas [39] 0
May 12002 New Mexico, Texas [40] 0
May 72002Central Rocky Mountains region [41] 0
June 32002 New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado [42] 0
June 82002 Western U.S. [43] 138,114 [nb 2] 0 Day 1 fire outlook June 8, 2002.png Hayman Fire [44]
June 92002 Western U.S. [45] 138,114 [nb 2] 0 June92002.gif Hayman Fire [44]
September 152002 Nevada [46] 0 Sept152002.gif
January 62003 California [47] 9000 Jan62003.gif Pacific Fire [31]
April 22003 Arizona, Colorado, Utah [48] 0 Apr22003.png
May 32003 Arizona, New Mexico [49] 0 May32003.gif
June 232003 Colorado, New Mexico, Utah [50] 84,750 [nb 2] 0 June232003.gif Aspen Fire [51]
May 102004 Utah [52] 0 May102004.png
May 112004 Southwestern U.S. [53] 0 May112004.png
March 292005 New Mexico, Texas [54] 0 Mar292205.png
November 182005 California [55] 4,0000 Nov182005.png School Canyon Fire [56]
November 272005 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [57] 9,600 [nb 2] 0 Nov272005.png Velma Fire [58]
January 12006 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [59] 303,5702 [60] Jan12006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
January 32006 Central U.S. [62] 0 Jan32006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
January 72006 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [63] 0 Jan72006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
January 82006 Southern U.S. [64] 0 Jan82006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
January 122006 Oklahoma, Texas [65] 39,1730 Jan122006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
January 142006 Oklahoma, Texas [66] 0 Jan142006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
January 152006 Oklahoma, Texas [67] 0 Jan152006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
January 232006 California [68] 0 Jan232006.png
February 72006 California [69] 1,200 [nb 2] 0 Feb72006.png Orange County Fire [70]
February 82006 California [71] 1,200 [nb 2] 0 Feb82006.png Orange County Fire [70]
March 82006 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [72] 0 Mar82006.png
March 102006 Central U.S. [73] 0 Mar102006.png
March 112006 New Mexico, Texas [74] 0 Mar112006.png
March 122006 Central U.S. [75] 1,102,044 [nb 2] 12 [76] Mar122006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
April 62006 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [77] 119,8460 Apr62006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
April 152006 Central U.S. [78] 23,1350 Apr152006.png Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 [61]
May 272006 Southwestern U.S. [79] 0 May 27, 2006.png
June 142006 Southwestern U.S. [80] 4,270 [nb 2] 0 June 14 2006.png June 2006 Colorado wildfires [81]
June 152006 Arizona, New Mexico [82] 0 June 15 2006.png
August 292006 Northwestern U.S. [83] 144,876 [nb 2] 0 August 29 2006.png Tripod Complex, Tatoosh Complex, and Cedar Creek fires [84]
August 302006 Idaho, Montana, Wyoming [85] 76,651 [nb 2] 0 August 30 2006.png Middle Fork Complex, Trail Creek, Potato, and Zane fires [86]
November 152006 Texas [87] 0 November 15 2006.png
January 82007 California [88] 200 January 8 2007.png Malibu Fire [31]
February 242007 Texas [89] 0 February 24 2007.png
February 282007 New Mexico, Texas [90] 0 February 28 2007.png
June 52007 Arizona, Nevada, Utah [91] 0 June 5 2007.png
June 62007 Arizona, New Mexico [92] 0 June 6 2007.png
July 182007 Nevada [93] 652,016 [nb 2] 0 July 18 2007.png Murphy Complex Fire [94]
October 212007 California [95] 33,1951 [96] October 21 2007.png 2007 California wildfires [97]
October 222007 California [98] 234,4660 October 22 2007.png 2007 California wildfires [97]
October 232007 California [99] [100] 146,9032 [96] October 23 2007.png 2007 California wildfires [97]
January 292008 Texas [101] 37,000 [nb 2] 0 January 29 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [102]
January 312008 Texas [103] 37,000 [nb 2] 0 January 31 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [102]
February 252008 Texas [104] 377,5681 February 25 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
March 142008 Arizona, New Mexico, Texas [106] 263,3750 March 14 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
March 162008 New Mexico, Texas [107] 0 March 16 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
March 182008 Texas [108] 0 March 18 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
March 202008 Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [109] 5,0000 March 20 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [110]
April 32008 New Mexico, Texas [111] 0 April 3 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
April 92008 New Mexico, Texas [112] 0 April 9 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
April 102008 Arizona, New Mexico, Texas [113] 0 April 10 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
April 162008 New Mexico, Texas [114] 0 April 16 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
April 302008 Arizona, New Mexico, Texas [115] 2,0000 April 30 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105] and X Fire [116]
May 12008 New Mexico, Texas [117] 0 May 1 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
May 122008 Florida, Southwestern U.S. [118] 0 May 12 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires; [105] one of only two extremely critical areas issued east of the Mississippi River, the other was issued on May 24, 2000[ citation needed ]
May 132008 New Mexico, Texas [119] 0 May 13 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
May 212008 Arizona, New Mexico [120] 0 May 21 2008.png
June 42008 Arizona, New Mexico [121] 0 June 4 2008.png
June 52008 New Mexico, Texas [122] 0 June 5 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
June 112008 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [123] 0 June 11 2008.png 2008 Texas wildfires [105]
February 102009 Texas [124] 0 February 10 2009.png
February 172009 Central U.S. [125] 0 February 17 2009.png
March 52009 Central U.S. [126] 0 March 5 2009.png
March 232009 Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [127] 0 March 23 2009.png
March 262009 Arizona, New Mexico, Texas [128] 0 March 26 2009.png
April 12009 New Mexico, Texas [129] 0 April 1 2009.png
April 92009 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [130] 235,7924 [131] April 9 2009 extremely critical.png April 2009 Texas wildfires [105] [131]
June 62009 Arizona, New Mexico [132] 0 June 6 2009.png
August 62009 Arizona, Nevada, Utah [133] 0 August 6 2009.png
August 72009 Southwestern U.S. [134] 0 August 7 2009.png

2010–2019

Storm Prediction Center Extremely Critical Fire Weather Events – 2010–2019 [nb 1]
DateYearRegionBurned areaFatalitiesOutlookNotes
March 262010 New Mexico, Texas [135] 0 March 26 2010.png
April 12010 Central U.S. [136] 0 April 1 2010.png
April 292010 New Mexico, Texas [137] 0 April 29 2010.png
May 102010 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [138] 0 May 10 2010.png
February 272011 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [139] 262,4340 February 27 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
March 72011 New Mexico, Texas [140] 0 March 7 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
March 82011 Texas [141] 0 March 8 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
March 212011 Southwestern and Central U.S. [142] 0 March 21 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
March 222011 Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [143] 12,5560 March 22 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
April 32011 Southwestern and Central U.S. [144] 19,8830 April 3 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
April 92011 Central U.S [145] 582,6151 April 9 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
April 102011 Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [146] 0 April 10 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
April 142011 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [147] 85,2870 April 14 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
April 152011 Oklahoma, Texas [148] 50,3211 April 15 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
April 262011 New Mexico, Texas [149] 50,2350 April 26 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
April 292011 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [150] 0 April 29 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
May 92011 Southwestern and Central U.S. [151] 0 May 9 2011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
May 242011 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [152] 127,7320 May242011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
May 292011 New Mexico, Texas [153] 0 May292011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
May 302011 Central U.S. [154] 0 May302011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105]
June 62011 Arizona [155] 538,049 [nb 2] 0 Jun62011.png Wallow Fire [156]
June 192011 Southwestern U.S. [157] 538,049 [nb 2] 0 Jun192011.png 2011 Texas wildfires [105] and Wallow Fire [156]
June 292011 Nevada [158] 156,293 [nb 2] 0 Jun292011.png Las Conchas Fire [159]
November 22011 California [160] 0 Nov22011.png
March 12012 New Mexico [161] 0 Mar12012.png
March 72012 New Mexico [162] 0 Mar72012.png
March 182012 Nebraska, South Dakota [163] 0 Mar182012.png
March 262012 Colorado, Nebraska, Wyoming [164] 4,1403 Mar262012.png Lower North Fork Fire [165]
May 232012 Arizona, New Mexico [166] 297,845 [nb 2] 0 May232012.png Whitewater-Baldy Complex Fire [167]
May 262012 New Mexico [168] 297,845 [nb 2] 0 May262012.png Whitewater-Baldy Complex Fire [167]
February 252013 Texas [169] 0 Feb252013.png
December 292013 California [170] 0 SPC Fire Weather Outlook 2013-12-29.png
April 32014 New Mexico, Texas [171] 0 April32014.png
April 262014 Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas [172] 0 April2620142.gif
May 62014 Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas [173] 0 May62014.png
May 72014 Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas [174] 0 140507 1651 day1fireotlk print.png
May 112014 Oklahoma, Texas [175] 2,5830 May112014.gif Double Diamond Fire [176]
June 142014 Arizona, New Mexico [177] 0 Day 1 outlook for June 14, 2014.png
June 162014 Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah [178] 0 Day 1 outlook for 06-16-14.png
June 172014 Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah [179] 14,712 [nb 2] 0 Day 1 outlook for June 17, 2014.png Assayii Lake Fire [180]
April 82015 Colorado, New Mexico, Texas [181] 0 April82015.png
April 142015 South Dakota [182] 0 April142015.png
February 182016 Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [183] 40,0000 Fire Weather Forecast graphic (2016-02-18).png February 2016 Texas-Oklahoma wildfires [184]
March 222016 Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas [185] 367,620 [nb 2] 0 SPC Day 1 outlook 3-22-16.gif Anderson Creek Fire [186]
March 232016 New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas [187] 367,620 [nb 2] 0 SPC Day 2 outlook 3-22-16.gif Anderson Creek Fire [186]
April 52016 Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas [188] 55,3080 Apr52016 fire wx outlook.png 350 Complex Fire [189]
November 172016 Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [190] 0 11-17-2016 extreme risk.png
February 232017 Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [191] 1,812 [nb 2] 0 Feb222017 day 2 fire wx outlook.png 2 Mile Lane, 96, and 141st fires [192]
February 282017 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [193] 10,7000 Feb272017 Day 2 fire wx outlook.png February 2017 Texas wildfires [194]
March 62017 Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [195] 1,200,0007 [196] Mar52017 Day 2 fire wx outlook.png March 2017 Great Plains wildfires [197]
March 232017 Colorado, New Mexico, Texas [198] 38,5000 Mar222017 Day 2 fire wx outlook.png Rankin Ranch Road and Green Ranch fires [199] [200]
March 312017 New Mexico, Texas [201] 0 033117 fire wx outlook.png
December 42017 California [202] 141,531 [nb 2] 0 Dec42017 Day 1 fire wx outlook.png December 2017 Southern California wildfires [203] [204]
December 52017 California [205] 141,531 [nb 2] 0 Dec42017 Day 2 fire wx outlook.png December 2017 Southern California wildfires [203] [204]
December 62017 California [206] 141,531 [nb 2] 1 [207] Dec62017 Day 1 fire wx outlook.png December 2017 Southern California wildfires [203] [204]
December 72017 California [208] 141,531 [nb 2] 0 Dec62017 Day 2 fire wx outlook.png December 2017 Southern California wildfires [203] [204]
March 42018 New Mexico, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma [209] 5750 180304 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Forest Ridge Fire [210] and Coyote Canyon Fire [211]
March 182018 New Mexico, Texas [212] 9,2500 180318 1700 day1fireotlk print.png March 2018 Texas-Oklahoma wildfires [213]
March 232018 New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Colorado [214] 3,4500 180322 1700 day2fireotlk print.png March 2018 Texas-Oklahoma wildfires [215]
April 122018 New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Colorado [216] 12,7001 [217] 180411 0700 day2fireotlk print.png April 2018 Great Plains wildfires, including the Rhea Fire. [218] [219] [220]
April 132018 New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma [221] 261,7001 [222] 180412 1700 day2fireotlk print.png April 2018 Great Plains wildfires [217] [223] [224] – The first day to be given a "historically critical" designation on the Red Flag Threat Index (RFTI). [nb 4] [225]
April 172018 New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma [226] 468,365 [nb 2] 0 180416 1700 day2fireotlk print.png April 2018 Great Plains wildfires – Outlook included enhanced warning: "Dangerous, life-threatening fire weather conditions are likely". PDS Red Flag Warning #709 was issued for parts of New Mexico and Texas at 2005Z the day before. [227] Forecasters indicated that the potential for the rapid spread of wildfires was at its highest level in more than ten years. [228] This was only the second day on record to be given the "historically critical" designation on the Red Flag Threat Index (RFTI). [225]
April 192018 Arizona, New Mexico [229] 1250 180418 0700 day2fireotlk print.png April 2018 Arizona-New Mexico wildfires [230] [231]
September 152018 Utah, Nevada [232] 86,107 [nb 2] 0 180914 1700 day2fireotlk print.png Pole Creek and Bald Mountain wildfires [233]
October 152018 California [234] 0 2018-10-15 fire outlook.png
November 82018 California [235] 256,316 [nb 2] 85 [nb 5] 181108 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Woolsey, Hill, Camp, and Nurse wildfires; [237] [238] Deadliest extremely critical day on record. [nb 6] [ citation needed ]
November 92018 California [239] 256,316 [nb 2] 2 [240] 181109 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Woolsey, Hill, Camp, and Nurse wildfires [237] [238]
November 112018 California [241] 256,316 [nb 2] 0 181110 0700 day2fireotlk print.png Woolsey, Hill, Camp, and Nurse wildfires [237] [238]
November 122018 California [242] 256,316 [nb 2] 0 181111 1700 day2fireotlk print.png Woolsey, Hill, Camp, and Nurse wildfires [237] [238]
November 132018 California [243] 256,316 [nb 2] 1 [244] 181112 0700 day2fireotlk print.png Woolsey, Hill, Camp, and Nurse wildfires [237] [238]
April 102019 New Mexico, Texas [245] 1,8000 190410 1700 day1fireotlk print.png 267 Fire [246]
October 92019 California [247] 14,449 [nb 2] 0 191009 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Early October 2019 California wildfires [248] [249]
October 102019 California [250] 14,449 [nb 2] 3 [251] 191010 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Early October 2019 California wildfires [248] [249]
October 112019 California [252] 14,449 [nb 2] 0 191011 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Early October 2019 California wildfires [248] [249]
October 242019 California [253] 98,366 [nb 2] 0 191024 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Late October 2019 California wildfires [249]
October 252019 California [254] 98,366 [nb 2] 0 191024 1700 day2fireotlk print.png Late October 2019 California wildfires [249]
October 272019 California [255] 98,366 [nb 2] 0 191027 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Late October 2019 California wildfires [249]
October 282019 California [256] 98,366 [nb 2] 0 191028 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Late October 2019 California wildfires [249]
October 292019 California [257] 98,366 [nb 2] 0 191029 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Late October 2019 California wildfires [249]
October 302019 California [258] 98,366 [nb 2] 0 191030 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Late October 2019 California wildfires [249]
October 312019 California [259] 98,366 [nb 2] 0 191031 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Late October 2019 California wildfires [249] – First and only occurrence of five consecutive extremely critical days[ citation needed ]

2020–present

Storm Prediction Center Extremely Critical Fire Weather Events – 2020–2025 [nb 1]
DateYearRegionBurned areaFatalitiesOutlookNotes
June 72020 Colorado, New Mexico [260] 2,083 [nb 2] 0 200607 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Wilson Crossing, Tadpole, and Bent's Fort fires [261] [262] [263]
September 22020 Montana [264] 100,0000 200902 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Huff, Bobcat, and Snider fires [265]
September 72020 Oregon, Washington [266] 1,000,000 [nb 2] 0 200907 1200 day1fireotlk print.png North Complex Fire and September 2020 Oregon and Washington wildfires [267] – Eric Johnson, deputy fire staff for Northwest Oregon Fire Management, stated that "the fire weather forecasted is extremely rare and occurs only a few times a century." [268]
September 82020 Oregon, Washington [269] 1,000,000 [nb 2] 26 [nb 7] 200908 1200 day1fireotlk print.png North Complex Fire and September 2020 Oregon and Washington wildfires [267]
October 252020 California [271] 4130 201025 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Olinda, Dersch, and Point fires [272]
October 262020 California [273] 26,4300 201026 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Silverado and Blue Ridge fires [272]
December 32020 California [274] 6,4300 201203 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Bond and Willow fires [275] [276]
June 102021 Colorado, Utah [277] 310 210610 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Foxton Fire [278]
December 152021 Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [279] 163,0002 [280] 211215 1200 day1fireotlk print.png 2021 Kansas wildfire outbreak – includes the Four County, North 207, Parker Creek, and Cobb fires [281]
March 172022 Texas [282] 45,0000 220317 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Eastland Complex Fire [283]
March 292022 Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [284] 33,000 [nb 2] 0 220329 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Crittenberg Complex Fire [285]
April 62022 Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [286] 57,737 [nb 2] 0 220406 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Gosper/Furnas County, Beaver River, and Sand Creek fires [287] [288]
April 72022 Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [289] 57,737 [nb 2] 1 [290] 220407 1700 day1fireotlk print.png Gosper/Furnas County, Beaver River, and Sand Creek fires [287] [288]
April 122022 Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas [291] 6,195 [nb 2] 2 [292] 220411 0700 day2fireotlk print.png McBride Fire [293]
April 222022 Colorado, New Mexico [294] 160,000 [nb 2] 0 220422 1700 day1fireotlk print.png April–May 2022 New Mexico wildfires [295]
April 292022 Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma [296] 160,000 [nb 2] 0 220428 1700 day2fireotlk print.png April–May 2022 New Mexico wildfires [295]
May 82022 Colorado, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [297] 160,000 [nb 2] 0 220508 1200 day1fireotlk print.png April–May 2022 New Mexico wildfires [295]
May 92022 New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas [298] 160,000 [nb 2] 0 220508 0700 day2fireotlk print.png April–May 2022 New Mexico wildfires [295]
September 72022 Montana [299] 1,0000 220906 1700 day2fireotlk print.png Government, Billiard, and Bull Gin Complex fires [300]
April 42023 Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico [301] 1,5500 230403 1700 day2fireotlk print.png Route 66 Fire [302]
March 132024 Oklahoma, Texas [303] 1,058,482 [nb 2] 0 240313 1200 day1fireotlk print.png Smokehouse Creek Fire [304]
April 62024 Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma [305] 5,0000 240406 1200 day1fireotlk print.png 57 Fire [306]
May 252024 New Mexico [307] 2,9640 240524 0700 day2fireotlk print.png Blue 2 Fire [308]
November 62024 California [309] 20,0000 241105 0700 day2fireotlk print.png Mountain Fire [310]
December 102024 California [311] 4,037 [nb 2] 0 Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Outlook 2024-12-10.gif Franklin Fire [312]
January 82025 California [313] 57,636 [nb 2] 27 [314] January 8, 2025 SPC Day 1 Fire Outlook.png January 2025 Southern California wildfires [315] – First extremely critical risk day in January since 2008, and the first extremely critical risk day in January for California since 2007. [316]
January 132025 California [317] 57,636 [nb 2] 0 SPC Day 1 Fire Outlook January 13, 2025.png January 2025 Southern California wildfires [315]
January 142025 California [318] 57,636 [nb 2] 0 January 13, 2025 SPC Day 2 Fire Outlook Valid for January 14.png January 2025 Southern California wildfires [315]
January 202025 California [319] 57,636 [nb 2] 0 SPC Day 1 Fire Outlook January 20, 2025.png January 2025 Southern California wildfires [315]
January 212025 California [320] 57,636 [nb 2] 0 SPC Day 1 Fire Outlook January 21, 2025.png January 2025 Southern California wildfires [315]
March 32025 New Mexico, Texas [321] 0 SPC Day 1 Fire Outlook March 3, 2025.png
March 42025 New Mexico, Texas [322] 0 SPC Day 1 Fire Outlook March 4, 2025.png

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 All values include fires that took place outside of the extremely critical area(s). Burned area values are listed in acres. Fatality totals only include direct fire-related deaths that occurred on the respective extremely critical days.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 Number of acres burned for entire event which occurred over a multi-day period.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Approximate total number of acres burned for multiple wildfire events between June and September 2000.
  4. ↑ The Red Flag Threat Index (RFTI) is a fire weather index that was developed in 2011, with values from 0-10 that rates the climatological rarity of combined relative humidity and wind combinations. Historically Critical values of 9 or 10 can only be reached when either relative humidity or wind speed exceed a ten year observational data set.
  5. ↑ All 85 fatalities were caused by the Camp Fire. [236]
  6. ↑ The 102 fatalities associated with the wildfires in Hawaii on August 8, 2023 are excluded, due to the fact that only critical fire conditions were forecasted for that day.
  7. ↑ There were sixteen fatalities in California from the North Complex Fire [270] as well as nine fatalities in Oregon and one fatality in Washington state from various other fires. [267]

References

  1. ↑ "National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Fire Weather Outlook Elements NWS Product Description Document (PDD)" (PDF). SPC and its Products. Storm Prediction Center. March 26, 2012.
  2. ↑ Cohen, Ariel. "Fire Weather Outlooks Archive and Links". Storm Prediction Center. Retrieved February 12, 2017.
  3. ↑ Goss, Stephen. "Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook". Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Storm Prediction Center. Retrieved March 21, 2021.
  4. 1 2 3 4 Wyland, Scott (May 10, 2020). "Cerro Grande Fire remains burned into New Mexico's memory 20 years later". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
  5. ↑ Naden, Richard. "Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook". Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Storm Prediction Center. Retrieved March 21, 2021.
  6. ↑ Naden, Richard. "Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook". Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Storm Prediction Center. Retrieved March 21, 2021.
  7. ↑ Naden, Richard. "Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook". Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Storm Prediction Center. Retrieved March 21, 2021.
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  286. ↑ Storm Prediction Center April 6, 2022 1200 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
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  288. 1 2 Helker, Jacob; Burch, Jamie; Watkins, Matthew (April 5, 2022). "Fire near Lefors still burning, torches more than 3k acres overnight". ABC7 News. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
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  290. ↑ Speck, Emilee (April 9, 2022). "Nebraska fire chief killed responding to 30,000-acre wildfire". Fox 10 News Phoenix. Retrieved April 11, 2022.
  291. ↑ Storm Prediction Center April 11, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
  292. ↑ Glass, Genevieve (April 14, 2022). "Elderly couple found dead in home burned by McBride Fire". KOAT Action 7 News. Retrieved April 19, 2022.
  293. ↑ "McBride Fire Morning Update April 16, 2022". Inciweb. Retrieved April 19, 2022.
  294. ↑ Storm Prediction Center April 22, 2022 1700 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  295. 1 2 3 4 Rosenberg, Lizzie (May 2, 2022). "Biden Declares the 2022 New Mexico Fires a "Disaster"". Green Matters. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  296. ↑ Storm Prediction Center April 28, 2022 1700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
  297. ↑ Storm Prediction Center May 8, 2022 1200 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  298. ↑ Storm Prediction Center May 8, 2022 0700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
  299. ↑ Storm Prediction Center September 6, 2022 1700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
  300. ↑ Amestoy, Austin (September 7, 2022). "Sanders County declares an emergency as fires burn near Noxon and Heron". Montana Public Radio. Retrieved September 8, 2022.
  301. ↑ Storm Prediction Center April 3, 2023 1700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
  302. ↑ Hayes, Jana; Smith, Jesse. "Live updates: Fire warning issued as Route 66 wildfire blazes across western Oklahoma". The Oklahoman. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
  303. ↑ Storm Prediction Center March 13, 2024 1200 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  304. ↑ "Gov. Abbott: SBA assistance approved for counties impacted by Texas Panhandle wildfires". AOL.com. Staff Reports. March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  305. ↑ Storm Prediction Center April 6, 2024 1200 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  306. ↑ Kliewer, Addison (April 7, 2024). "Wildfires update: Woodward County wildfire is 0% contained, has burned 5,000 acres". Koco 5 ABC News. Retrieved April 7, 2024.
  307. ↑ Storm Prediction Center May 24, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
  308. ↑ "Blue 2 Fire Morning Update - MAY 26, 2024". Village of Ruidoso. May 26, 2024. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
  309. ↑ Storm Prediction Center November 5, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
  310. ↑ Fioresi, Dean (November 6, 2024). "Mountain Fire in Moorpark fueled by strong winds amid Red Flag warnings". CBS News . Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  311. ↑ Storm Prediction Center December 10, 2024 1200 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  312. ↑ "Franklin Fire". www.fire.ca.gov. California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (Cal Fire). Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  313. ↑ Storm Prediction Center January 8, 2025 1200 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  314. ↑ Day, Brian. "31 remain missing amid Southern California wildfires, death toll reaches 27". USA Today. Retrieved January 25, 2025.
  315. 1 2 3 4 5 "10 killed, 10,000 structures feared destroyed as wildfires rage into fourth day". The Washington Post. January 10, 2025. Retrieved January 10, 2025.
  316. ↑ herzmann, daryl. "Automated Data Plotter". mesonet.agron.iastate.edu. Retrieved January 8, 2025.
  317. ↑ Storm Prediction Center January 13, 2025 1200 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  318. ↑ Storm Prediction Center January 13, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
  319. ↑ Storm Prediction Center January 20, 2025 1700 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  320. ↑ Storm Prediction Center January 21, 2025 1700 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  321. ↑ Storm Prediction Center March 3, 2025 1700 UTC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
  322. ↑ Storm Prediction Center March 3, 2025 1700 UTC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
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