Discovery [1] [2] | |
---|---|
Discovered by | Pan-STARRS 2 |
Discovery site | Haleakala Obs. |
Discovery date | 4 December 2020 |
Designations | |
2020 XR | |
Orbital characteristics [3] | |
Epoch 2020-May-31 (JD 2459000.5) | |
Uncertainty parameter 0 | |
Observation arc | 7.8 years [4] |
Aphelion | 4.0272 AU (602,460,000 km) (Q) |
Perihelion | 0.97013 AU (145,129,000 km) (q) |
2.4987 AU (373,800,000 km) (a) | |
Eccentricity | 0.61174 (e) |
3.95 yr | |
312.19° (M) | |
Inclination | 13.947° (i) |
249.74° (Ω) | |
8 December 2020 | |
163.01° (ω) | |
Known satellites | 1 |
Earth MOID | 0.00085 AU (127,000 km; 0.33 LD) |
Jupiter MOID | 1.4 AU (210,000,000 km) |
Physical characteristics | |
~390 meters (1,000 feet) [4] | |
19.8 [2] [3] | |
(792156) 2020 XR is a binary Apollo near-Earth object and potentially hazardous asteroid roughly 390 meters (1,000 feet) in diameter. With a 5-day observation arc it was briefly listed as having a 1 in 11,000 chance of impacting Earth on 1 December 2028, which placed it at the top of the Sentry Risk Table with a Palermo scale rating of -0.70. [4] [5]
2020 XR was discovered by Pan-STARRS 2 on 4 December 2020, [2] when it was 0.426 AU (63.7 million km ) from Earth and had a solar elongation of 75°. It came to perihelion on 8 December 2020. On 2 January 2021, it passed 0.328 AU (49.1 million km) from Earth. [3]
On 13 December 2020, precovery observations from 2013, 2016, and mid-2020 extended the observation arc from 8 days to 7.8 years allowing the asteroid to be removed from the Sentry Risk Table. [2] [4]
A satellite was discovered on December 2, 2024 by Goldstone Observatory in California using radar observations. Permanent designation was assigned on March 31, 2025. [6]
It was the Earth perturbations of the asteroid in 2024 that determined if an impact was possible in December 2028. On 4 December 2024, the asteroid will pass 0.0147 AU (2.20 million km; 5.7 LD) from Earth with an uncertainty region of about ±800 km. [3] This will increase the asteroid's orbital period by 10 days.
Parameter | Epoch (date) | Orbital Period |
---|---|---|
Units | (days) | |
Pre-flyby | 2024-Sep-04 | 1441 |
Post-flyby | 2025-Mar-04 | 1451 |
On 7 November 2028, the asteroid will pass 0.121 AU (18.1 million km) from Earth. [3] By 1 December 2028 the asteroid will be 0.19 AU (28 million km) from Earth [7] with an uncertainty region of about ±10,000 km. [a]