2024–2025 Canadian political crisis

Last updated
2024–2025 Canadian political crisis
Prime Minister Trudeau's message on Christmas 2023 (0m29s) (cropped).jpg
Chrystia Freeland 2023 (cropped).jpg
Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau (left). Former deputy prime minister and former finance minister Chrystia Freeland (right).
Date16 December 2024 (2024-12-16) – 6 January 2025 (2025-01-06)
(3 weeks)
Type Political crisis
Cause
Participants
Outcome

A political crisis emerged in Canada after Chrystia Freeland, the minister of finance and deputy prime minister, resigned from Cabinet on 16 December 2024. [1] The events "sent shockwaves" through Canadian politics, leading to calls for Trudeau to resign. [2] On 6 January 2025, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his pending resignation as leader of the Liberal Party and as the prime minister of Canada. [3] He also asked Governor General Mary Simon to prorogue Parliament until March. [4] [5]

Contents

Background

Freeland and Trudeau in 2018 Chrystia Freeland with Justin Trudeau in Lima, Peru - 2018 (40793939784) (Cropped).jpg
Freeland and Trudeau in 2018

Chrystia Freeland was appointed Canada's deputy prime minister in 2019, following the re-election of Trudeau's government, and was the country's first female finance minister in 2020, and was often nicknamed the "minister of everything", and widely seen as a potential successor to Trudeau for the leadership of the Liberal Party. [6] [7] Freeland was seen as exceptionally loyal to Trudeau. [8] [9]

Trudeau had, by then, been in power for nine years following his 2015 election victory. He had headed off a caucus revolt in October 2024 over concerns about his unpopularity amid Canada's cost-of-living crisis and rising Conservative poll numbers. [10] Trudeau had been reduced to a minority government in both the 2019 and 2021 elections. A confidence and supply agreement with the opposition New Democratic Party (NDP) helped sustain the minority government from March 2022 until the NDP withdrew from the agreement in September 2024. [11]

In the weeks leading up to Freeland's resignation, two other sudden departures from Trudeau Cabinet occurred. On 20 November 2024, Alberta MP Randy Boissonnault resigned from the Cabinet following allegations that he ran a business seeking federal contracts and falsely claimed to be Indigenous. [12] On 15 December 2024, housing minister Sean Fraser announced his intention to leave the federal cabinet, citing family reasons. [13]

Resignation of Chrystia Freeland

On 16 December 2024, Chrystia Freeland resigned from Trudeau's cabinet. [1] Trudeau had made clear to Freeland on 13 December that he no longer wished for her to serve as finance minister and that she would be offered another Cabinet position; she instead decided to resign altogether from his Cabinet, saying that "to be effective, a Minister must speak on behalf of the Prime Minister and with his full confidence. In making your decision, you made clear that I no longer credibly enjoy that confidence." [14] [15]

Freeland's resignation occurred in the context of the incoming Trump administration in the United States threatening to impose 25 per cent tariffs upon Canada, with Freeland writing to Trudeau that Canada faces a grave challenge due to this. [16] The previous week, reports had circulated about a rift between the prime minister and deputy prime minister, with Freeland opposing Trudeau's recent promise of $250 cheques to working Canadians who earned $150,000 or less in 2023. [17] Freeland referred to the proposal as a "costly political gimmick" and argued that the Canadian government should "[keep] our fiscal powder dry today, so we have the reserves we may need for a coming tariff war." [14]

Freeland resigned hours before she was to announce the government's fall economic statement. Government house leader Karina Gould presented it in the House of Commons later that day. The statement showed a deficit of $61.9 billion for 2023–24, exceeding Freeland's target of $40.1 billion or less, and left Trump's tariff threats largely unaddressed. [18]

Loss of support for Justin Trudeau

Freeland's resignation was seen as a "clear rebuke" of Trudeau, [16] with immediate speculation arising as to the future of his leadership. [19] Trudeau faced calls to resign from both the opposition and his caucus, while polls indicated unpopularity for both the move and his government as a whole. [2]

Liberal Party

At a speech at a Liberal fundraiser on the evening of Freeland's resignation, Trudeau remarked, "it was an eventful day, not an easy day." [20] Sources reported Trudeau was considering proroguing Parliament or resigning. [21] Ontario Liberal MP Chad Collins stated that the Liberal caucus was "not united" on the issue of Trudeau's continued leadership of the party, and said he believes "the only path forward for us is to choose a new leader, and to present a new plan to Canadians with a different vision," while Quebec Liberal MP Anthony Housefather said he believes "the prime minister has passed [his] shelf life" and should resign. [22] Fellow Ontario MP Helena Jaczek agreed with Housefather and said that Trudeau "just doesn't represent what I want to see in a leader", while New Brunswick MP Wayne Long called Freeland's decision to leave cabinet "bold" and "a devastating blow" for the Prime Minister that should convince him to resign.

Chief government whip Ruby Sahota Ruby Sahota 2021.png
Chief government whip Ruby Sahota

At a caucus meeting earlier that day, it was reported that Liberal MPs gave Freeland a standing ovation. [23] British Columbia MP Rob Morrison shared hopes for a prorogued parliament, followed by a leadership review and general election. Ontario MP Judy Sgro told caucus colleagues, “I continue to believe that early in the New Year a plan moving forward will be announced including his [Trudeau’s] resignation and we will be consumed with new challenges”. [24] [25] Concerning the possibility of Trudeau's resignation, Ontario MP and Deputy House Leader Mark Gerretsen said “It’s really difficult for him to come to any other conclusion at this point”, and said most of his riding's constituents wanted Trudeau to resign. [26]

Several other Liberal MPs called on Trudeau to resign, including Alberta MP George Chahal, British Columbia MPs Ken Hardie, Parm Bains, and Patrick Weiler, Manitoba MP Ben Carr, New Brunswick MPs René Arseneault, Jenica Atwin, and Serge Cormier, Newfoundland and Labrador MP Ken MacDonald, Ontario MPs Chandra Arya, Yvan Baker, Valerie Bradford, Francis Drouin, Ali Ehsassi, Peter Fragiskatos, and Rob Oliphant, Prince Edward Island MPs Sean Casey and Heath MacDonald, Quebec MPs Sophie Chatel and Alexandra Mendès, and Yukon MP Brendan Hanley. [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] Ontario Liberal MP James Maloney, on the other hand, told reporters that Trudeau retained the confidence of the caucus, while chief government whip Ruby Sahota said Trudeau still had her "full support". [23]

New Brunswick MP Joanne Thompson also expressed her support for Trudeau, saying that it was "not the time for [caucus] to fracture" in the face of the 25% tariffs, while Newfoundland and Labrador MP Churence Rogers announced he would not seek re-election but still supported Trudeau, claiming his decision not to seek re-election was separate from the "turmoil" in the caucus. [32] [33] Nova Scotia MP Jaime Battiste said he would continue to support Trudeau in 2025, with the reason being that the two are ideologically similar on protecting the environment, while Ontario MP Marcus Powlowski said that despite backing the Prime Minister, Powlowski accepted that Trudeau could not win the next general election as party leader and should prorogue parliament in order for a leadership race to occur. [34] [35]

By 21 December, the number of Liberal MPs publicly calling for Trudeau's resignation was 21, while it was reported that 50 Liberal MPs – roughly one-third of the Liberal caucus – privately wanted Trudeau to resign. [36] [37] Chandra Arya commented that Freeland "appears to be the person around whom the caucus members can rally behind", adding that Freeland represents a "viable and reassuring alternative" to Trudeau. When asked, Sean Casey said he would like to see Freeland launch a leadership bid. [36]

On 21 December, the Ontario Liberal caucus held a virtual meeting where 51 of the province's 75 Liberal MPs came to a consensus that Trudeau should resign. Freeland herself, as an Ontario Liberal MP, was reportedly on that call, but said nothing as the issue was debated. [38] On 23 December, the Atlantic Liberal caucus was revealed to be meeting over Trudeau's political future. [39] On 29 December, the caucus and its chair, Nova Scotia MP Kody Blois, called on Trudeau to resign. [40] On 30 December, the Quebec Liberal caucus called on Trudeau to resign. [41]

Opposition parties

Opposition leader Pierre Poilievre Pierre Poilievre interview with TVA Nouvelles June 2024.jpg
Opposition leader Pierre Poilievre

Opposition leader Pierre Poilievre referenced the reported rift between Trudeau and Freeland the previous week during Question Period on 10 December, remarking that Trudeau had "lost control of his own cabinet" and rhetorically asking "which one of [Trudeau and Freeland] is going to win?", while Deputy Opposition Leader and Ontario Conservative MP Melissa Lantsman accused Trudeau of "bullying his female finance minister". [42] Freeland responded by stating that "the only would-be bullies in this House are directly opposite [the Liberal benches]," insisting that she and Trudeau were "united" and denying claims of the rift. [42] After Freeland's resignation, Poilievre claimed Trudeau had "lost control, yet clings to power." [43]

Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet, whose party had already voted alongside the Conservatives to oust the Trudeau government in the last of multiple unsuccessful motions of non-confidence, remarked on 16 December that "the Trudeau government is done." [44] [45] Quebec Premier François Legault avoided saying whether he retained confidence in Trudeau following Freeland's resignation, stating it would be "up to the people in the House of Commons to decide how they will vote in the coming weeks, the coming months." He had asked the Bloc Québécois to withdraw support from the Liberal minority government back in September 2024. [46]

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, whose party had until earlier in 2024 been in a supply-and-confidence arrangement with the Liberal minority government, and even afterward had continued to support the government in confidence votes, said on 17 December that Trudeau's Liberals "are focused on themselves" and that Trudeau "has to go," marking the first time he called for Trudeau's resignation. He nonetheless said that "all options are on the table", when asked whether he would vote no confidence in the government. [47] Subsequently, on 20 December, Singh stated that the NDP "will vote to bring this government down" in an open letter posted on X. [48]

Green Party leader Elizabeth May called 16 December an "unprecedented day" in Canadian politics and said she was "shocked by the events of today." [22]

Media

Public

Resignation of Justin Trudeau

On 6 January 2025, Justin Trudeau announced he would resign as Liberal leader and Prime Minister of Canada by 24 March 2025 upon the election of a new party leader. [3] In his resignation speech, Trudeau stated that party dissent would prevent him from campaigning effectively in the 2025 federal election. [3] He expressed pride in his government's achievements, including his support for Ukraine during its ongoing conflict and his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Trudeau will remain in office until the Liberal Party's new leader is prepared to assume government. [3]

Reactions

Domestic

Foreign

Prorogation of Parliament

As part of his resignation, Trudeau also announced that Governor General Mary Simon would prorogue Parliament until 24 March 2025. [3] As a result, a revised version of the Online Harms Act, the Electoral Participation Act, and proposed increases to Canada's capital gains tax all died on the order paper, [61] among 22 other government bills. [62]

Citing R (Miller) v The Prime Minister and Cherry v Advocate General for Scotland , the prorogation was challenged in the Federal Court. On January 18, 2025, the Chief Justice of the Federal Court Paul S. Crampton granted a motion to expedite the hearing timelines to preserve the possibility that a ruling that the prorogation would not be completely moot, and scheduled hearing dates for February 13 and 14, 2025. [63] [64]

See also

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  62. ↑ "Legislation off life support". The Hill Times. Retrieved 8 January 2025.
  63. ↑ "Judge agrees to expedite legal challenge of Trudeau's move to prorogue Parliament". CTV News . The Canadian Press. 18 January 2025. Retrieved 18 January 2025.
  64. ↑ David Joseph MacKinnon and Aris Lavranos v Attorney General of Canada , 2025 FC 105.
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