Michigan gubernatorial election, 2010

Last updated
Michigan gubernatorial election, 2010
Flag of Michigan.svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
Turnout 3,226,088

  Rick Snyder.jpg Virg-1 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rick Snyder Virg Bernero
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Brian Calley Brenda Lawrence
Popular vote1,874,8341,287,320
Percentage58.1%39.9%

Michigan Gubernatorial Election 2010.svg
County results

Governor before election

Jennifer Granholm
Democratic

Elected Governor

Rick Snyder
Republican

The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm was prohibited by the state's Constitution from seeking a third term. This resulted in a large pool of candidates which was whittled down, when the May 11 filing deadline passed, to two Democrats and five Republicans. [1] Both the Cook Political Report and the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report rated the election as leaning Republican. [2] [3]

Democratic Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.

Jennifer Granholm Governor of Michigan

Jennifer Mulhern Granholm is a Canadian-American politician, lawyer, educator, author, political commentator and member of the Democratic Party who served as the Attorney General of Michigan from 1999 to 2003 and as the 47th Governor of Michigan from 2003 to 2011. In January 2017, she became a CNN political contributor.

Republican Party (United States) Major political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Contents

The Republican primary race was highly competitive; both local and national polling reported Congressman Peter Hoekstra, state Attorney General Mike Cox, and businessman Rick Snyder as being front-runners for the Republican Party nomination. [4] [5] [6] [7] The Democratic front-runner when the 2009 polls were conducted, Lieutenant Governor John D. Cherry, withdrew from the race in January 2010. [8] [9] The final polls just days before the primary election showed that, while Lansing mayor Virg Bernero was in the lead, over a quarter of those polled were still undecided. [10] The deadline for candidates to file nominating petitions for the August 3 state primary was 4:00 PM on May 11, 2010. [1] [11]

Mike Cox (U.S. politician) Michigan Attorney General

Michael Anthony Cox is an American lawyer and politician who served as Michigan's 52nd Attorney General from 2003 to 2011. He was the first Republican to hold that office since Frank Millard in 1955. Cox took office in 2003 and won re-election in 2006. Michigan Governor Jennifer M. Granholm preceded him in office.

Rick Snyder American politician and business executive

Richard Dale Snyder is an American politician, business executive, venture capitalist, lawyer and accountant who served as the 48th governor of Michigan from 2011 to 2019. He is a member of the Republican Party.

John D. Cherry American politician

John D. Cherry is a retired American politician who served as the 62nd Lieutenant Governor of Michigan from 2003 to 2011. A Democrat, Cherry also served as a gubernatorial appointee to the Midwestern Higher Education Compact, and was the immediate past chair of the international Great Lakes Commission.

A total of 1,575,167 registered voters voted in the primaries, with 66.4% of them voting in the Republican primary. [12] Analysts believe a large portion of Democrats crossed party lines to vote for Snyder, whose ad campaign targeted bipartisan and independent support. [13] In Michigan, voters may vote in either primary regardless of their political affiliation, but can only vote for one party. Ballots with split tickets are not counted in partisan races. Both races came in more disparate than predicted. Snyder won with a near 10-point lead over closest rival Pete Hoekstra, and Bernero won with an even larger 17-point lead over early favorite state house speaker Andy Dillon. Both nominees portrayed themselves as political outsiders. [14] On August 25, Snyder appointed State Representative Brian Calley as his running mate. [15] On August 28, Bernero appointed Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence as his running mate. [16]

Brian Calley politician

Brian Nelson Calley is an American politician who served as the 63rd lieutenant governor of Michigan, from 2011 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party, Calley served as a member of the Michigan House of Representatives from 2007 to 2011.

Southfield, Michigan City in Michigan, United States

Southfield is a city in Oakland County of the U.S. state of Michigan. It is a northern suburb of Detroit. As of the 2010 census, the city had a population of 71,739. A part of Metro Detroit's upscale office market, the city's marque is a cluster of five golden skyscrapers – known as the "Golden Triangle" – that form the contemporary 2,200,000 square feet (204,400 m2) Southfield Town Center office complex with a Westin Hotel and a conference center. In addition, a 33-story luxury residential high-rise is separate from the complex. To the west, near the confluence of I-696/Reuther Freeway and M-10/Lodge Freeway, is the American Center.

Brenda Lawrence American politician

Brenda Lulenar Lawrence is an American Democratic politician and member of the United States House of Representatives who previously served as the Mayor of Southfield, Michigan from 2001 to 2015. The Democratic nominee for Oakland County Executive in 2008 and for lieutenant governor in 2010, she was elected U.S. Representative for Michigan's 14th congressional district in 2014. The district includes most of eastern Detroit, and stretches west to take in portions of Oakland County, including Lawrence's home in Southfield.

Snyder won a decisive victory over Bernero in the general election, winning by nearly 20 percentage points.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Lansing, Michigan Capital of Michigan

Lansing is the capital of the U.S. state of Michigan. It is mostly in Ingham County, although portions of the city extend west into Eaton County and north into Clinton County. The 2010 Census placed the city's population at 114,297, making it the fifth largest city in Michigan. The population of its Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) was 464,036, while the even larger Combined Statistical Area (CSA) population, which includes Shiawassee County, was 534,684. It was named the new state capital of Michigan in 1847, ten years after Michigan became a state.

Andrew "Andy" Dillon is a Democratic Party politician from the U.S. state of Michigan. He was appointed by Governor Rick Snyder, a Republican, to be the state's treasurer. Before serving in the Cabinet, Dillon was speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives.

Michigan House of Representatives

The Michigan House of Representatives is the lower house of the Michigan Legislature. There are 110 members, each of whom is elected from constituencies having approximately 77,000 to 91,000 residents, based on population figures from the 2010 U.S. Census. Its composition, powers, and duties are established in Article IV of the Michigan Constitution.

Withdrew

Hansen Clarke former Bengali-American House Representative

Hansen Clarke is an American politician and former U.S. Congressman. A Democrat, he was the U.S. Representative for Michigan's 13th congressional district from 2011 to 2013. Prior to his election to Congress, he had been a member of the Michigan House of Representatives from 1991 through 1992 and from 1999 through 2002, and had represented the 1st District in the Michigan Senate from 2003 to 2011. Clarke was also the first U.S. Congressman of Bangladeshi descent.

Dan Kildee American politician

Daniel Timothy Kildee is an American politician who has been the U.S. Representative for Michigan's 5th congressional district since 2013. He is a member of the Democratic Party.

Genesee County, Michigan County in the United States

Genesee County is a county in the U.S. state of Michigan. As of the 2010 census, the population was 425,790, making it the fifth-most populous county in Michigan. The county seat and population center is Flint. Genesee County is considered to be a part of the greater Mid Michigan area.

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJohn D. CherryAndy DillonGeorge PerlesJohn FreemanAlma Wheeler SmithDan KildeeVirg Bernero
EPIC-MRA July 28, 2010--32%--------40%
EPIC-MRA June 12–15, 2010--34%--------24%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010--23%--------26%
EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 2010--29%--------23%
Rasmussen Reports April 22, 2010--13%----9%--12%
Rasmussen Reports March 24, 2010--12%----10%--8%
Denno-Noor Research March 3–5, 2010--13%----6%6%11%
EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 2010--17%----7%12%8%
Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 200920%6%6%2%2%----
EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 200933%--3%2%5%----
Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 200940%----9%8%----

Results

Primary election results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Virg Bernero309,23558.6%
Democratic Andy Dillon218,88441.4%
Total votes528,119100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Mike Bouchard American politician

Michael J. "Mike" Bouchard is the sheriff of Oakland County and a former Republican candidate for the United States Senate. Before becoming sheriff, he served in the Michigan State Senate (1991–1999) and worked as a police officer and small business owner. Bouchard is of French and Syrian Lebanese descent. Michael J. Bouchard was awarded the Ferris E. Lucas Award for Sheriff of the Year 2016 by the National Sheriff's Association.

Oakland County, Michigan County in the United States

Oakland County is a county in the U.S. state of Michigan. It is northwest of Detroit and part of metropolitan Detroit. As of the 2010 census, its population was 1,202,362, making it the second-most populous county in Michigan, behind neighboring Wayne County. The county seat is Pontiac. The county was founded in 1819 and organized in 1820.

Michigan Attorney General attorney general for the U.S. state of Michigan

The Attorney General of Michigan is the fourth-ranking official in the U.S. state of Michigan. The officeholder is elected statewide in the November general election alongside the governor, lieutenant governor, secretary of state, members of the Senate and members of the House of Representatives.

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMike CoxPete HoekstraMike BouchardRick SnyderTom GeorgeDavid Kniffen
EPIC-MRA July 29, 201024%23%10%26%1%--
Detroit News 4/WDIV July 18, 201026.4%25.6%11.6%20.2%1.8%--
EPIC-MRA June 12–15, 201026%24%16%20%2%--
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 201017%19%15%20%9%--
EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 201018%30%16%17%2%--
Rasmussen Reports April 22, 201013%28%9%14%----
Rasmussen Reports March 30, 201013%27%6%18%----
Marketing Research Group March 10–15, 201021%21%10%20%1%-
Denno-Noor Research March 3–5, 201012%28%8%18%2%--
EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 201021%27%10%12%1%--
Mitchell Research & Communications November 17–19, 200927%24%12%3%3%--
Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 200915%21%13%5%3%--
EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 200928%29%--14%3%2%
Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 200927%23%15%------
Marketing Resource Group March 4–10, 200915%17%--------

Results

Republican primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rick Snyder381,32736.4%
Republican Pete Hoekstra280,97626.8%
Republican Mike Cox240,40923.0%
Republican Mike Bouchard127,35012.2%
Republican Tom George16,9861.6%
Total votes1,044,925100.0%

Other parties

Based on past election performance, the Libertarian Party of Michigan, Green Party of Michigan, and the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan (affiliated with the Constitution Party) have automatic ballot access for the general election, but by state law they must nominate candidates through party conventions rather than primary elections. The Natural Law Party also has automatic ballot access in Michigan, but chose not to run a candidate for governor in 2010.

Libertarian Party candidates

The Libertarian Party of Michigan nominee was Kenneth Proctor. [35] The nomination was won at the Michigan Libertarian Convention held in Okemos, Michigan on Saturday, May 22, in accordance with Michigan state law. He beat out Bhagwan Dashairya, who had been the 2006 U.S. Taxpayers Party nominee for governor. The delegates ended up selecting Dashairya as the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Congress in District 8.

Proctor's running mate was Dr. Erwin Haas, Maryland of Grand Rapids. Haas received the Lt. Governor nomination unanimously.

Green Party candidates

The Green Party of Michigan held their statewide nominating convention July 31 and August 1 in Lansing, Michigan, and nominated Harley Mikkelson for governor and Lynn Meadows for lieutenant governor. [36]

U.S. Taxpayers Party candidates

The 2010 U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention was held on June 26 in East Lansing, Michigan. In a nearly unanimous vote, Stacey Mathia and Chris Levels were formally nominated as candidates of the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan for the offices of governor and lieutenant governor.

According to Stacey Mathia's official press release, "The Convention applauded Mathia's agenda to institute Law-Abiding Constitutional Government and State Sovereignty in order to free the People of Michigan from the political oppression of big government operating outside of its authority." [37]

The press release also stated, "Chris Levels, is currently well known as a radio talk show host on WSNL in the Flint, Michigan area. His last minute nomination speech will be available on Mathia's website. The USTPM Convention gave him a standing applause."

General election

Debates

On August 12, it was reported that Virg Bernero accepted invitations to three debates. The first debate would be held September 21 and sponsored by WOOD-TV in Grand Rapids. The second debate would be held October 7 and be broadcast on 55 radio and TV stations throughout the state. The third debate would be held October 21 and would be sponsored by WXYZ-TV, WWJ (AM) and Crain's Detroit Business . [38] Then in early September, Bernero offered Snyder a deal of eight debates. Snyder proposed a counter-offer of three debates, which Bernero refused. [39] A Detroit Free Press editorial was critical of Snyder for not agreeing to debates. [40] Bernero called Snyder a wimp for not agreeing to debate him. [41] An impromptu debate developed after Bernero crashed a town hall meeting Snyder was hosting in Westland on September 13. [42] The two sides agreed to an hour-long televised debate, broadcast on October 10 from the studios of WTVS in Wixom. [43] A group of Detroit clergy have invited the two major party candidates to a debate there on October 21. Only Bernero accepted the invitation. [44]

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredVirg Bernero (D)Rick Snyder (R)
Detroit News/WDIV Local 4 October 25–26, 201035%53%
Free Press/WXYZ-TV Channel 7 October 23–26, 201037%55%
Rossman Group/Team TelCom October 18, 201036%50%
Rasmussen Reports October 17, 201034%54%
Mitchell Research October 10, 201029%49%
EPIC-MRA October 3–7, 201029%49%
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 201038%51%
Public Policy Polling September 17–19, 201031%52%
Mitchell Research August 25–29, 201026%53%
Detroit News August 9–10, 201032%51%
Rasmussen Reports August 4, 201037%49%
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 201030%42%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 201028%44%
EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 201028%51%
EPIC-MRA March 28–31, 201029%42%
Michigan Research Group March 10–15, 201026%42%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report Likely R [45] October 29, 2010
Rothenberg Safe R [46] October 28, 2010
Swing State ProjectSafe R[ citation needed ]
RealClearPolitics Solid R [47] October 29, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R [48] October 28, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Safe R [48] October 20, 2010
CQ Politics Lean R [49] October 29, 2010

Results

Michigan gubernatorial election, 2010 [50]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Republican Rick Snyder 1,874,834 58.11% +15.81%
Democratic Virg Bernero 1,287,32039.90%-16.46%
Libertarian Ken Proctor22,3900.69%+0.08%
Constitution Stacey Mathia20,8180.65%+0.46%
Green Harley Mikkelson20,6990.64%+0.12%
Write-ins270.00%0.00%
Majority587,51418.21%+4.15%
Turnout 3,226,088-15.13%
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

Results by County

County Rick Snyder (R)Virg Bernero (D)Others
PercentageVotesPercentageVotesPercentageVotes
Alcona 63.4%2,89633.2%1,5183.4%155
Alger 54.9%2,07541.3%1,5593.8%143
Allegan 72.3%26,99025.3%9,4382.4%895
Alpena 57.1%5,75339.6%3,9823.3%333
Antrim 70.6%7,29526.6%2,7532.8%288
Arenac 63.9%3,52033.1%1,8242.9%159
Baraga 59.5%1,57837.1%9833.5%92
Barry 72.8%15,29525.0%5,2422.2%470
Bay 59.6%23,60338.2%15,1382.2%868
Benzie 62.3%4,70934.7%2,6252.9%222
Berrien 62.2%28,51835.3%16,1762.5%1,123
Branch 71.9%9,18325.9%3,3062.3%290
Calhoun 62.8%25,96535.2%14,5722.0%809
Cass 63.6%8,87833.4%4,4612.9%411
Charlevoix 68.4%7,04828.3%2,9182.8%283
Cheboygan 67.2%6,77529.9%3,0162.8%285
Chippewa 60.7%7,11436.4%4,2612.9%345
Clare 64.8%6,08032.2%3,0183.0%279
Clinton 65.5%18,42432.8%9,2381.7%466
Crawford 66.2%3,23330.3%1,4773.5%171
Delta 57.8%7,55839.2%5,1223.0%397
Dickinson 63.5%5,91033.7%3,1342.9%266
Eaton 60.3%27,92837.5%17,3502.2%921
Emmet 69.7%9,18327.6%3,6322.8%368
Genesee 46.7%62,57851.3%68,6552.0%2,635
Gladwin 64.0%5,75633.2%2,9862.7%247
Gogebic 47.3%2,51149.4%2,6273.3%176
Grand Traverse 69.6%23,53927.8%9,3932.6%879
Gratiot 65.6%7,23432.1%3,5372.3%253
Hillsdale 71.2%10,05526.0%3.6752.7%388
Houghton 59.9%7,29536.8%4,4793.3%397
Huron 69.9%8,45327.7%3,3472.5%297
Ingham 48.8%43,91749.0%44,1432.2%1,927
Ionia 72.2%13,26925.9%4,7541.9%358
Iosco 61.5%5,94335.5%34353.0%287
Iron 56.0%2,51640.6%1,8253.4%154
Isabella 61.7%9,86536.1%5,7762.2%345
Jackson 64.1%31,91434.0%16,9471.9%961
Kalamazoo 59.4%46,82338.7%30,4991.9%1,535
Kalkaska 70.5%4,09625.3%1,4674.2%245
Kent 68.9%134,01929.4%57,1421.8%3,448
Keweenaw 62.9%69134.1%3743.0%33
Lake 60.5%2,22036.9%1,3542.7%98
Lapeer 66.8%19,77130.7%9,0722.5%752
Leelanau 65.5%7,46732.1%3,6552.4%278
Lenawee 61.9%19,61135.6%11,2842.4%769
Livingston 75.0%51,56023.3%15,9941.7%1,147
Luce 65.9%1,28531.5%6152.6%50
Mackinac .%.%.%
Macomb .%.%.%
Manistee .%.%.%
Marquette .%.%.%
Mason .%.%.%
Mecosta .%.%.%
Menominee .%.%.%
Midland .%.%.%
Missaukee .%.%.%
Monroe .%.%.%
Montcalm .%.%.%
Montmorency .%.%.%
Muskegon .%.%.%
Newaygo .%.%.%
Oakland .%.%.%
Oceana .%.%.%
Ogemaw .%.%.%
Ontonagon .%.%.%
Osceola .%.%.%
Oscoda .%.%.%
Otsego .%.%.%
Ottawa .%.%.%
Presque Isle .%.%.%
Roscommon .%.%.%
Saginaw .%.%.%
St. Clair .%.%.%
St. Joseph .%.%.%
Sanilac .%.%.%
Schoolcraft .%.%.%
Shiawassee .%.%.%
Tuscola .%.%.%
Van Buren .%.%.%
Washtenaw .%.%.%
Wayne .%.%.%
Wexford .%.%.%

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