2019 Indian general election in West Bengal

2019 Indian general election in West Bengal

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All 42 West Bengal seats in the Lok Sabha
Opinion polls
Turnout	81.76% ( 0.46 pp)
First party Second party   Leader Mamata Banerjee Dilip Ghosh Party AITC BJP Alliance NDA Leader since 1998 2014 Leader's seat Did not contest Medinipur Last election 39.8%, 34 seats 17%, 2 seats Seats won 22 18 Seat change 12 16 Popular vote 24,757,345 23,028,517 Percentage 43.69% 40.64% Swing 3.48 pp 22.76 pp   Third party Fourth party   Leader Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury Surjya Kanta Mishra Party INC CPI(M) Alliance UPA LF Leader since 2015 2011 Leader's seat Baharampur Did not contest Last election 9.7%, 4 seats 23%, 2 seats Seats won 2 0 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 3,210,491 3,594,283 Percentage 5.67% 6.33% Swing 4.03 pp 16.66 pp
West Bengal
Prime Minister before election Narendra Modi BJP Prime Minister after election Narendra Modi BJP

The 2019 Indian general election were held in India between April and May 2019 to constitute the 17th Lok Sabha. ^{[1] [2]}

Parties and alliances

   Trinamool Congress

Party		Flag	Symbol	Leader	Seats contested
	All India Trinamool Congress			Mamata Banerjee	42

   National Democratic Alliance

Party		Flag	Symbol	Leader	Seats contested
	Bharatiya Janata Party			Dilip Ghosh	42

   Left Front

Party		Flag	Symbol	Leader	Seats contested
	Communist Party of India (Marxist)			Biman Bose	31
	Revolutionary Socialist Party			Manoj Bhattacharya	4
	All India Forward Bloc			Debabrata Biswas	3
	Communist Party of India			Swapan Banerjee	3

   United Progressive Alliance

Party		Flag	Symbol	Leader	Seats contested
	Indian National Congress			Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury	40

Others

Party		Flag	Symbol	Leader	Seats contested
	Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist)			Provash Ghosh	42

Surveys and polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2019 Indian general election

Vote share

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
		AITC	Left Front	UPA	NDA
Jan 2019	Republic TV - C Voter	43.7%	14.4%	9.6%	31.8%	11.9%

Seat projections

Poll Type	Date published	Polling agency					Lead
			AITC	UPA	Left Front	NDA
Exit poll [3] [4]		ABP - Nielson	24	2	0	16	8
		Times Now - VMR	28	2	1	11	17
		Republic TV- Jan Ki Baat	29	2	0	11	18
		India Today - AxisMyIndia [5]	19–22	0–1	0	19-23	1
		NewsX - CNX	26	2	0	14	8
		News24 - Today's Chanakya	23	1	0	18	5
Opinion poll	06 Apr 2019	India TV - CNX [6]	28	1	1	12	16
	05 Apr 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat [7]	25	3	1	13	12
	Mar 2019	ABP News- Nielsen [8]	31	3	–	8	23
	Jan 2019	Spick Media [9]	30	4	0	8	22
	Jan 2019	Republic TV - C Voter	34	1	0	7	27
	Nov 2018	Spick Media [10]	32	4	1	5	27
	Nov 2018	ABP News - C Voter [11]	32	1	–	9	23

Candidates

Trinamool Congress

On 12 March 2019, party president Mamata Banerjee announced the party candidates for the election. ^[12] 41% of the candidates were women. Notable exclusions from the list were the party's general secretary Subrata Bakshi and Sugata Bose. Bose did not get permission from Harvard University, where he is a professor, to contest the election. ^[13] Notable inclusions were Bengali actresses Mimi Chakraborty and Nusrat Jahan. ^[14]

List of candidates

Constituency
		AITC			UPA			LF			NDA
1	Cooch Behar (SC)		AITC	Paresh Chandra Adhikary		INC	Priya Roy Choudhury		AIFB	Gobinda Chandra Roy		BJP	Nisith Pramanik
2	Alipurduars (ST)		AITC	Dasrath Tirkey		INC	Mohan Lal Basumuta		RSP	Mili Oraon		BJP	John Barla
3	Jalpaiguri (SC)		AITC	Bijoy Chandra Barman		INC	Mani Kumar Darnal		CPI(M)	Bhagirath Chandra Roy		BJP	Jayanta Ray
4	Darjeeling		AITC	Amar Singh Rai		INC	Shankar Malakar		CPI(M)	Saman Pathak		BJP	Raju Singh Bisht
5	Raiganj		AITC	Kanaia Lal Agarwal		INC	Deepa Dasmunshi		CPI(M)	Mohammed Salim		BJP	Deboshree Chaudhary
6	Balurghat		AITC	Arpita Ghosh		INC	Sadik Sarkar		RSP	Ranen Barman		BJP	Sukanta Majumdar
7	Maldaha Uttar		AITC	Mausam Noor		INC	Isha Khan Chowdhury		CPI(M)	Biswanath Ghosh		BJP	Khagen Murmu
8	Maldaha Dakshin		AITC	Moazzem Hossain		INC	Abu Hasem Khan Choudhury	CPI(M) supports INC				BJP	Sreerupa Mitra Chaudhury
9	Jangipur		AITC	Khalilur Rehman		INC	Abhijit Mukherjee		CPI(M)	Md. Zulfikar Ali		BJP	Mafuja Khatun
10	Baharampur		AITC	Apurba Sarkar		INC	Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury		RSP	Saikh Id Mohammad		BJP	Krishna Juardar Arya
11	Murshidabad		AITC	Abu Taher Khan		INC	Abu Hena		CPI(M)	Badaruddoza Khan		BJP	Humayun Kabir
12	Krishnanagar		AITC	Mahua Moitra		INC	Intaj Ali Shah		CPI(M)	Dr. Shantanu Jha		BJP	Kalyan Chaubey
13	Ranaghat (SC)		AITC	Rupaali Biswas		INC	Minati Biswas		CPI(M)	CA Rama Biswas		BJP	Jagannath Sarkar
14	Bangaon (SC)		AITC	Mamata Bala Thakur		INC	Sourav Prasad		CPI(M)	Alakesh Das		BJP	Shantanu Thakur
15	Barrackpur		AITC	Dinesh Trivedi		INC	Mohammad Alam		CPI(M)	Gargi Chatterjee		BJP	Arjun Singh
16	Dum Dum		AITC	Sougata Roy		INC	Saurav Saha		CPI(M)	Nepaldev Bhattacharya		BJP	Samik Bhattacharya
17	Barasat		AITC	Kakoli Ghosh Dastidar		INC	Subrota (Rashu) Dutta		AIFB	Haripada Biswas		BJP	Mrinal Kanthi Debnath
18	Basirhat		AITC	Nusrat Jahan		INC	Quazi Abdur Rahim		CPI	Pallab Sengupta		BJP	Sayantan Basu
19	Jaynagar (SC)		AITC	Pratima Mondal		INC	Tapan Mondal		RSP	Subhas Naskar		BJP	Ashok Kandari
20	Mathurapur (SC)		AITC	Choudhury Mohan Jatua		INC	Krittibas Sardar		CPI(M)	Dr. Sarat Chandra Haldar		BJP	Shyamaprasad Halder
21	Diamond Harbour		AITC	Abhishek Banerjee		INC	Soumya Aich Roy		CPI(M)	Dr. Fuad Halim		BJP	Nilanjan Roy
22	Jadavpur		AITC	Mimi Chakraborty	INC supports CPI(M)				CPI(M)	Adv. Bikash Ranjan Bhattacharya		BJP	Anupam Hazra
23	Kolkata Dakshin		AITC	Mala Roy		INC	Mita Chakraborty		CPI(M)	Dr. Nandini Mukherjee		BJP	Chandra Kumar Bose
24	Kolkata Uttar		AITC	Sudip Bandyopadhyay		INC	Syed Shahid Imam		CPI(M)	Kaninika Bose (Ghosh)		BJP	Rahul Sinha
25	Howrah		AITC	Prasun Banerjee		INC	Suvra Ghosh		CPI(M)	Adv. Sumitro Adhikary		BJP	Rantideb Sen Gupta
26	Uluberia		AITC	Sajda Ahmed		INC	Shoma Ranisree Roy		CPI(M)	Dr. Maksuda Khatun		BJP	Joy Banerjee
27	Serampore		AITC	Kalyan Banerjee		INC	Debabrata Biswas		CPI(M)	CA Tirthankar Ray		BJP	Debajit Sarkar
28	Hooghly		AITC	Ratna De (Nag)		INC	Pratul Saha		CPI(M)	Pradip Saha		BJP	Locket Chatterjee
29	Arambagh (SC)		AITC	Aparupa Poddar		INC	Jyoti Das		CPI(M)	Sakti Mohan Malik		BJP	Tapan Roy
30	Tamluk		AITC	Dibyendu Adhikari		INC	Lakshman Chandra Seth		CPI(M)	Sk. Ibrahim Ali		BJP	Siddhartha Naskar
31	Contai		AITC	Sisir Adhikari		INC	Dipak Kumar Das		CPI(M)	Paritosh Pattanayak		BJP	Debasish Samant
32	Ghatal		AITC	Dev		INC	Khandakar Mohammad Saifullah		CPI	Tapan Ganguli		BJP	Bharati Ghosh
33	Jhargram (ST)		AITC	Birbaha Soren		INC	Jagyeswar Hembram		CPI(M)	Deblina Hembram		BJP	Kunar Hembram
34	Medinipur		AITC	Manas Bhunia		INC	Sambhunath Chatterjee		CPI	Biplab Bhatta		BJP	Dilip Ghosh
35	Purulia		AITC	Mriganko Mahato		INC	Nepal Mahato		AIFB	Bir Singh Mahato		BJP	Jyotirmoy Mahto
36	Bankura		AITC	Subrata Mukherjee					CPI(M)	Dr. Amiya Patra		BJP	Subhash Sarkar
37	Bishnupur (SC)		AITC	Shyamal Santra		INC	Narayan Chandra Khan		CPI(M)	Sunil Khan		BJP	Saumitra Khan
38	Bardhaman Purba (SC)		AITC	Sunil Kumar Mandal		INC	Siddhartha Majumder		CPI(M)	Iswar Chandra Das		BJP	Paresh Chandra Das
39	Bardhaman-Durgapur		AITC	Mamtaz Sanghamita		INC	Ranajit Mukherjee		CPI(M)	Abhas Ray Chaudhuri		BJP	S. S. Ahluwalia
40	Asansol		AITC	Moon Moon Sen		INC	Biswarup Mondal		CPI(M)	Gouranga Chatterjee		BJP	Babul Supriyo
41	Bolpur (SC)		AITC	Asit Kumar Mal		INC	Abhijit Saha		CPI(M)	Dr. Ram Chandra Dome		BJP	Ram Prashad Das
42	Birbhum		AITC	Satabdi Roy		INC	Imam Hossain		CPI(M)	Dr. Md. Rezaul Karim		BJP	Dudh Kumar Mondal

Results

Results by alliance or party

22	18	2
AITC	BJP	INC

Vote Share (By alliance)

1. AITC (43.3%)
2. BJP (40.2%)
3. LF (7.44%)
4. INC (5.61%)
5. Others (2.50%)

Parties/ Alliance				Popular vote			Seats
				Votes	%	±pp	Contested	Won	+/−
	AITC			24,756,985	43.27%	4.64%	42	22	12
	BJP			23,028,343	40.25%	22.2%	42	18	16
	LF
			CPI(M)	3,594,283	6.28%		31	0	2
			AIFB	239,218	0.41%		3	0
			CPI	2,27,695	0.39%		3	0
			RSP	2,08,275	0.36%		4	0
		Total		4,269,471	7.44%	16.72%	41	0	2
	INC			3,210,485	5.61%	4.09%	40	2	2
	Others			1,941,029	2.5%
Total				57,206,313	100%

Constituency-wise Results

^[15]

Constituency		Winner					Runner-up					Margin
		Candidate	Party		Votes	%	Candidate	Party		Votes	%	Votes	%
1	Cooch Behar	Nisith Pramanik		BJP	731,594	47.96	Adhikary Paresh Chandra		AITC	677,363	44.40	54,231	3.56
2	Alipurduars	John Barla		BJP	750,804	54.36	Dasrath Tirkey		AITC	506,815	36.69	243,989	17.67
3	Jalpaiguri	Dr. Jayanta Kumar Roy		BJP	760,145	50.63	Bijoy Chandra Barman		AITC	576,141	38.37	184,004	12.26
4	Darjeeling	Raju Bista		BJP	750,067	59.08	Amar Singh Rai		AITC	336,624	26.51	413,443	32.57
5	Raiganj	Debasree Chaudhuri		BJP	511,652	40.03	Agarwal Kanaialal		AITC	451,078	35.29	60,574	4.74
6	Balurghat	Sukanta Majumdar		BJP	539,317	45.01	Arpita Ghosh		AITC	506,024	42.23	33,293	2.78
7	Maldaha Uttar	Khagen Murmu		BJP	509,524	37.59	Mausam Noor		AITC	425,236	31.37	84,288	6.22
8	Maldaha Dakshin	Abu Hasem Khan Chowdhury		INC	444,270	34.71	Sreerupa Mitra Chaudhury		BJP	436,048	34.07	8,222	0.64
9	Jangipur	Khalilur Rahaman		AITC	562,838	43.14	Mafuja Khatun		BJP	317,056	24.30	245,782	18.84
10	Baharampur	Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury		INC	591,106	45.43	Apurba Sarkar (David)		AITC	510,410	39.23	80,696	6.20
11	Murshidabad	Abu Taher Khan		AITC	604,346	41.56	Abu Hena		INC	377,929	25.99	226,417	15.57
12	Krishnanagar	Mahua Moitra		AITC	614,872	44.99	Kalyan Chaubey		BJP	551,654	40.37	63,218	4.62
13	Ranaghat	Jagannath Sarkar		BJP	783,253	52.75	Rupali Biswas		AITC	549,825	37.03	233,428	15.72
14	Bangaon	Shantanu Thakur		BJP	687,622	48.81	Mamata Thakur		AITC	576,028	40.89	111,594	7.92
15	Barrackpore	Arjun Singh		BJP	472,994	42.82	Dinesh Trivedi		AITC	458,137	41.47	14,857	1.35
16	Dum Dum	Saugata Roy		AITC	512,062	42.51	Samik Bhattacharya		BJP	459,060	38.11	53,002	4.40
17	Barasat	Dr. Kakoli Ghoshdastidar		AITC	648,444	46.44	Mrinal Kanti Debnath		BJP	538,275	38.55	110,169	7.89
18	Basirhat	Nusrat Jahan Ruhi		AITC	782,078	54.55	Sayantan Basu		BJP	431,709	30.11	350,369	24.44
19	Jaynagar	Pratima Mondal		AITC	761,202	56.12	Dr. Ashok Kandary		BJP	444,427	32.77	316,775	23.35
20	Mathurapur	Choudhury Mohan Jatua		AITC	726,828	51.84	Shyamaprasad Halder		BJP	522,854	37.29	203,974	14.55
21	Diamond Harbour	Abhishek Banerjee		AITC	791,127	56.13	Nilanjan Roy		BJP	470,533	33.39	320,594	22.74
22	Jadavpur	Mimi Chakraborty		AITC	688,472	47.90	Anupam Hazra		BJP	393,233	27.36	295,239	20.54
23	Kolkata Dakshin	Mala Roy		AITC	573,119	47.48	Chandra Kumar Bose		BJP	417,927	34.62	155,192	12.86
24	Kolkata Uttar	Bandyopadhyay Sudip		AITC	474,891	49.95	Rahul (Biswajit) Sinha		BJP	347,796	36.59	127,095	13.36
25	Howrah	Prasun Banerjee		AITC	576,711	47.17	Rantidev Sengupta		BJP	473,016	38.69	103,695	8.48
26	Uluberia	Sajda Ahmed		AITC	694,945	53.00	Joy Banerjee		BJP	479,586	36.58	215,359	16.42
27	Srerampur	Kalyan Banerjee		AITC	637,707	45.48	Debjit Sarkar		BJP	539,171	38.45	98,536	7.03
28	Hooghly	Locket Chatterjee		BJP	671,448	46.03	Dr. Ratna De (Nag)		AITC	598,086	41.00	73,362	5.03
29	Arambagh	Aparupa Poddar (Afrin Ali)		AITC	649,929	44.14	Tapan Kumar Ray		BJP	648,787	44.06	1,142	0.08
30	Tamluk	Adhikari Dibyendu		AITC	724,433	50.07	Sidharthashankar Naskar		BJP	534,268	36.92	190,165	13.15
31	Kanthi	Adhikari Sisir		AITC	711,872	49.96	Dr. Debasis Samanta		BJP	600,204	42.12	111,668	7.84
32	Ghatal	Adhikari Deepak (Dev)		AITC	717,959	48.21	Bharati Ghosh		BJP	609,986	40.96	107,973	7.25
33	Jhargram	Kunar Hembram		BJP	626,583	44.53	Birbaha Saren		AITC	614,816	43.69	11,767	0.84
34	Medinipur	Dilip Ghosh		BJP	685,433	48.60	Manas Ranjan Bhunia		AITC	596,481	42.29	88,952	6.31
35	Purulia	Jyotirmay Singh Mahato		BJP	668,107	49.28	Dr. Mriganka Mahato		AITC	463,375	34.18	204,732	15.10
36	Bankura	Dr. Subhas Sarkar		BJP	675,319	49.20	Subrata Mukherjee		AITC	500,986	36.50	174,333	12.70
37	Bishnupur	Khan Saumitra		BJP	657,019	46.23	Shyamal Santra		AITC	578,972	40.74	78,047	5.49
38	Bardhaman Purba	Sunil Kumar Mondal		AITC	640,834	44.51	Paresh Chandra Das		BJP	551,523	38.31	89,311	6.20
39	Bardhaman Durgapur	S.S Ahluwalia		BJP	598,376	41.75	Dr. Mamtaz Sanghamita		AITC	595,937	41.58	2,439	0.17
40	Asansol	Babul Supriyo		BJP	633,378	51.16	Moon Moon Sen		AITC	435,741	35.19	197,637	15.97
41	Bolpur	Asit Kumar Mal		AITC	699,171	47.83	Das Ramprasad		BJP	592,769	40.55	106,402	7.28
42	Birbhum	Satabdi Roy		AITC	654,077	45.11	Dudh Kumar Mondal		BJP	565,153	38.97	88,924	6.14

Constituency wise alliance or party votes

#	Constituency	TMC votes	NDA votes	UPA votes	LF votes	Win Margin
1	Cooch Behar	677,363	731,594	28,215	46,648	54,231
2	Alipurduars	506,815	750,804	27,427	54,010	243,989
3	Jalpaiguri	576,141	760,145	28,488	76,054	184,004
4	Darjeeling	336,624	750,067	65,186	50,524	413,443
5	Raiganj	451,078	511,652	83,662	183,039	60,574
6	Balurghat	506,024	539,317	36,783	72,990	33,293
7	Maldaha Uttar	425,236	509,524	305,270	50,401	84,288
8	Maldaha Dakshin	351,353	436,048	444,270	-	8,222
9	Jangipur	562,838	317,056	255,836	95,501	245,782
10	Baharampur	510,410	143,038	591,147	13,362	80,696
11	Murshidabad	604,346	247,809	377,929	180,793	226,417
12	Krishnanagar	614,872	551,654	38,305	120,222	63,218
13	Ranaghat	549,825	783,254	23,297	97,771	233,428
14	Bangaon	576,028	687,622	22,618	90,122	1,11,594
15	Barrackpore	458,137	472,994	15,746	117,456	14,857
16	Dum Dum	512,062	459,060	29,097	167,590	53,002
17	Barasat	648,444	538,275	37,277	124,068	109,983
18	Basirhat	782,078	431,709	104,183	68,316	350,369
19	Jaynagar|	761,206	444,427	18,758	67,913	316,775
20	Mathurapur	726,828	522,854	32,324	92,417	203,974
21	Diamond Harbour	791,127	470,533	19,828	93,941	320,594
22	Jadavpur	688,472	393,233	-	302,264	295,239
23	Kolkata Dakshin	573,119	417,927	42,618	140,275	155,192
24	Kolkata Uttar	474,891	347,796	26,093	71,080	127,095
25	Howrah	576,711	473,016	32,107	105,547	103,695
26	Uluberia	694,945	479,586	27,568	81,314	215,359
27	Srerampore	637,707	539,171	32,509	152,281	98,536
28	Hooghly	598,086	671,448	25,374	121,588	73,362
29	Arambagh	649,929	648,787	25,128	100,520	1,142
30	Tamluk	724,433	534,268	16,001	136,129	190,165
31	Kanthi	711,872	600,204	16,851	76,185	1,11,668
32	Ghatal	717,959	609,986	32,793	97,062	1,07,973
33	Jhargram	614,816	626,583	20,754	75,680	11,767
34	Medinipur	596,481	685,433	20,807	62,319	88,952
35	Purulia	463,375	668,107	84,477	68,464	204,732
36	Bankura	500,986	675,319	20,472	100,282	174,333
37	Bishnupur	578,972	657,019	17,932	102,615	78,047
38	Bardhaman Purba	640,834	551,523	38,472	175,920	89,311
39	Bardhaman-Durgapur	595,937	598,376	38,516	161,329	2,439
40	Asansol	435,741	633,378	21,038	87,608	197,637
41	Bolpur	699,172	592,769	30,112	91,964	106,402
42	Birbhum	654,070	565,153	75,451	96,763	88,924

Impact

There has been a major political shift from the left to the right in the 2019 general elections in West Bengal. The Statesman says, “Making an aggressive penetration in Bengal for the first time since its inception in 1980, BJP alone has dramatically increased its vote share close to 40 percent this time. Thus, it has virtually made the CPI-M into a mere marginalised political party and at the same time the saffron party set a strong challenge before the Trinamool Congress hardly two years ahead of the Assembly elections scheduled in 2021 in the state.” This obviously is the most important impact of the general elections in the state visible in the voting pattern right across the state, irrespective of who won or lost a particular seat. ^{[16] [17]}

Analysis

Assembly segments wise lead of Parties

2019 Lok Sabha in West Bengal by Assembly Segment

Party		2016 West Bengal Vidhan Sabha election	West Bengal Vidhan Sabha segments (as of 2019 India Lok Sabha election) [18] [19]	2021 West Bengal Vidhan Sabha election	West Bengal Vidhan Sabha segments (as of 2024 India Lok Sabha election)
	BJP	3	121	77	90
	INC	44	9	0	10
	TMC	211	164	215	193
	Left Front	32	0	0	1
	Others	4	0	2	0
Total		294	294	294	294

Postal Ballot wise lead of Parties

2019 Lok Sabha West Bengal Postal Ballot Wise Leads Map

Party		No. of Constituencies
	Trinamool Congress	2
	Left Front	1
	Bharatiya Janata Party	39
	Indian National Congress	0
Total		42

TMC won 3 out of 3 assembly seats in the next assembly by-elections in November 2019. Even the seat of State BJP president Dilip Ghosh which fell vacant due to Dilip Ghosh's win in Loksabha election, Kharagpur Sadar was won by TMC by a lead of 22,000 votes. TMC was trailing in that seat by 15,800 votes in 2019 general elections. ^{[20] [21] [22] [23] [24]}

Region-Wise Results

Region	Total seats	All India Trinamool Congress		Bharatiya Janata Party		Indian National Congress		Communist Party of India (Marxist)		Others
East Bengal (Ganges Delta Region)	10	7	3	3	3	0		0		0
North Bengal	8	3	1	3	3	2	2	0	2	0
Northern Hills	4	0	3	4	3	0		0		0
West Bengal (Rarh Region)	10	3	7	7	7	0		0		0
South Bengal	10	9	1	1		0		0		0
Total	42	22	12	18	16	2	2	0	2	0

References

1. Election results 2019: Bengal votes for the BJP, breaks many stereotypes, The Hindu BusinessLine, 23 May 2019.
2. WB Election Result Highlights: BJP creates history in Bengal, livemint, 24 May 2019.
3. "WB Exit Polls 2019 Highlights: Didi to rule but BJP set to make massive gains". Live Mint. 19 May 2019.
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