Electoral results for the district of Carrum

Last updated July 18, 2024

This is a list of electoral results for the Electoral district of Carrum in Victorian state elections.

Members for Carrum

	Party	Term
Ian Cathie	Labor	1976–1988
Mal Sandon	Labor	1988–1996
David Lean	Liberal	1996–1999
Jenny Lindell	Labor	1999–2010
Donna Bauer	Liberal	2010–2014
Sonya Kilkenny	Labor	2014–present

Election results

Elections in the 2020s

2022 Victorian state election: Carrum ^[1]^[2]^[3]^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Sonya Kilkenny	21,586	49.9	−3.1
	Liberal	Bec Buchanan	13,141	30.3	−2.3
	Greens	Jayde Lillico	3,282	7.6	+2.1
	Freedom	Georgia Erevnidis	1,750	4.0	+4.0
	Family First	Jeremy Cameron	1,354	3.1	+3.1
	Animal Justice	Taylor Macgregor Owen	1,201	2.8	+2.8
	Independent	Damian Willis	986	2.3	+2.3
Total formal votes			43,294	95.2	+1.1
Informal votes			2,183	4.8	−1.1
Turnout			45,477	88.7	−1.7
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Sonya Kilkenny	25,871	59.8	−2.2
	Liberal	Bec Buchanan	17,423	40.2	+2.2
	Labor hold		Swing	−2.2

Elections in the 2010s

2018 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Sonya Kilkenny	21,844	52.7	+6.5
	Liberal	Donna Bauer	13,608	32.9	−9.3
	Greens	Braeden Thompson	2,432	5.9	−1.7
	Justice	Simone Philpott-Smart	1,822	4.4	+4.4
	Democratic Labor	Jennifer Bowden	696	1.7	+1.7
	Transport Matters	Santosh Kumar Yadav	585	1.4	+1.4
	Independent	Michael Tellesson	433	1.1	+1.1
Total formal votes			41,420	94.1	−0.8
Informal votes			2,618	5.9	+0.8
Turnout			44,038	90.4	−2.8
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Sonya Kilkenny	25,660	62.0	+11.3
	Liberal	Donna Bauer	15,761	38.0	−11.3
	Labor hold		Swing	+11.3

2014 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Donna Bauer	17,802	45.2	+1.6
	Labor	Sonya Kilkenny	16,645	42.2	+2.0
	Greens	Henry Kelsall	2,989	7.6	−1.6
	Family First	Richard Vernay	1,281	3.2	+0.6
	Rise Up Australia	Margaret Quinn	708	1.8	+1.8
Total formal votes			39,425	94.9	+0.3
Informal votes			2,126	5.1	−0.3
Turnout			41,551	93.2	+2.9
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Sonya Kilkenny	19,998	50.7	+1.0
	Liberal	Donna Bauer	19,427	49.3	−1.0
	Labor gain from Liberal		Swing	+1.0

2010 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Donna Bauer	17,539	46.37	+8.27
	Labor	Jenny Lindell	14,430	38.15	−9.77
	Greens	Henry Kelsall	3,593	9.50	+0.60
	Family First	John Churchwood	939	2.48	−1.10
	Democratic Labor	Ewa Losinski	873	2.31	+2.31
	Independent	Steven Garland	447	1.18	+1.18
Total formal votes			37,821	95.36	+0.08
Informal votes			1,840	4.64	−0.08
Turnout			39,661	93.51	+0.14
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	Donna Bauer	19,765	52.21	+8.90
	Labor	Jenny Lindell	18,093	47.79	−8.90
	Liberal gain from Labor		Swing	+8.90

Elections in the 2000s

2006 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Jenny Lindell	16,846	47.92	−5.07
	Liberal	Jeff Shelley	13,392	38.10	+3.09
	Greens	Carlos Lopez	3,128	8.90	−1.61
	Family First	Michael McLean	1,259	3.58	+3.58
	Independent	Ronnie Musster	270	0.77	+0.77
	Independent	Alan Thompson	259	0.74	+0.74
Total formal votes			35,154	95.28	−1.68
Informal votes			1,741	4.72	+1.68
Turnout			36,895	93.37	−0.04
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Jenny Lindell	19,968	56.69	−5.47
	Liberal	Jeff Shelley	15,256	43.31	+5.47
	Labor hold		Swing	-5.47

2002 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Jenny Lindell	18,654	53.0	+5.5
	Liberal	Ross MacInnes	12,325	35.0	−11.6
	Greens	Darren Bujeya	3,700	10.5	+4.9
	Independent	Michael Good	525	1.5	+1.5
Total formal votes			35,204	97.0	−0.2
Informal votes			1,103	3.0	+0.2
Turnout			36,307	93.4
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Jenny Lindell	21,873	62.2	+10.5
	Liberal	Ross MacInnes	13,315	37.8	−10.5
	Labor hold		Swing	+10.5

Elections in the 1990s

1999 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	David Lean	16,770	48.2	−1.1
	Labor	Jenny Lindell	16,099	46.3	+0.4
	Greens	Dan Bray	1,896	5.5	+5.5
Total formal votes			34,765	97.5	−0.5
Informal votes			899	2.5	+0.5
Turnout			35,664	93.5
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Jenny Lindell	17,444	50.2	+1.0
	Liberal	David Lean	17,321	49.8	−1.0
	Labor gain from Liberal		Swing	+1.0

1996 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	David Lean	16,248	49.3	+2.6
	Labor	Mal Sandon	15,123	45.9	+1.3
	Independent	Keith Edwards	931	2.8	+2.8
	Natural Law	Bev Brain	632	1.9	−1.1
Total formal votes			32,934	98.0	+1.7
Informal votes			670	2.0	−1.7
Turnout			33,604	94.2
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal	David Lean	16,703	50.8	+1.7
	Labor	Mal Sandon	16,189	49.2	−1.7
	Liberal gain from Labor		Swing	+1.7

1992 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	John Robinson	14,374	46.7	+4.2
	Labor	Mal Sandon	13,708	44.6	−11.2
	Independent	Merran Jones	1,046	3.4	+3.4
	Natural Law	Bev Nelson	931	3.0	+3.0
	Independent	Mark Dunn	478	1.6	+1.6
	Independent	Mark Williams	213	0.7	+0.7
Total formal votes			30,750	96.4	+0.0
Informal votes			1,163	3.6	−0.0
Turnout			31,913	95.4
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Mal Sandon	15,598	50.9	−5.7
	Liberal	John Robinson	15,058	49.1	+5.7
	Labor hold		Swing	-5.7

Elections in the 1980s

1988 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Mal Sandon	15,308	57.49	−1.94
	Liberal	Marie McIntosh	11,320	42.51	+1.94
Total formal votes			26,628	95.94	−1.29
Informal votes			1,127	4.06	+1.29
Turnout			27,755	91.64	−1.47
	Labor hold		Swing	-1.94

1985 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Ian Cathie	15,440	59.4	+0.5
	Liberal	Bruce Bowie	10,540	40.6	+2.3
Total formal votes			25,980	97.2
Informal votes			740	2.8
Turnout			26,720	93.1
	Labor hold		Swing	-1.5

1982 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Ian Cathie	17,786	62.7	+7.2
	Liberal	Derek Bunyan	9,599	33.8	−1.3
	Democrats	William Towers	999	3.5	−5.0
Total formal votes			28,384	97.0	−0.3
Informal votes			837	3.0	+0.3
Turnout			29,221	93.2	0.0
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Ian Cathie	18,360	64.7	+2.8
	Liberal	Derek Bunyan	10,024	35.3	−2.8
	Labor hold		Swing	+2.8

Elections in the 1970s

1979 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Ian Cathie	15,198	55.5	+0.5
	Liberal	Hugh Falconer	9,613	35.1	−9.9
	Democrats	Wendy Kleeman	2,321	8.5	+8.5
	Australia	Brenda Heath	250	0.9	+0.9
Total formal votes			27,382	97.3	+0.1
Informal votes			750	2.7	−0.1
Turnout			28,132	93.2	+1.2
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Ian Cathie	16,936	61.9	+6.9
	Liberal	Hugh Falconer	10,446	38.1	−6.9
	Labor hold		Swing	+6.9

1976 Victorian state election: Carrum
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Ian Cathie	14,137	55.0	+3.7
	Liberal	Allan Coombes	11,572	45.0	+5.4
Total formal votes			25,709	97.2
Informal votes			731	2.8
Turnout			26,440	92.0
	Labor hold		Swing	+1.1

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References

"Carrum District results". Victorian Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 21 March 2012. Retrieved 20 November 2011.

↑ Green, Antony (11 January 2023). "VIC22 – 2-Party Preferred Results and Swings by District". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 28 January 2023.
↑ VIC 2021 Final Redistribution, ABC News. [Retrieved 1 January 2023.
↑ Carrum District results, Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 1 December 2022.
↑ Full preference distributions – 2022 State election, Victorian Electoral Commission. [Retrieved 17 June 2023.

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[Results_of_the_2022_Victorian_state_election_(Legislative_Assembly)_2021_2PP_swings-1] Green, Antony (11 January 2023). "VIC22 – 2-Party Preferred Results and Swings by District". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 28 January 2023.

[Results_of_the_2022_Victorian_state_election_(Legislative_Assembly)_2021_Redistribution-2] VIC 2021 Final Redistribution, ABC News. [Retrieved 1 January 2023.

[3] Carrum District results, Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 1 December 2022.

[Results_of_the_2022_Victorian_state_election_(Legislative_Assembly)_2023_Full_Distributions-4] Full preference distributions – 2022 State election, Victorian Electoral Commission. [Retrieved 17 June 2023.

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