Firstborn hypothesis

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The firstborn hypothesis is a proposed solution to the Fermi paradox which states that no extraterrestrial intelligent life has been discovered because humanity is the first form of intelligent life in the universe. [1] [2]

Contents

Background

There is no reliable or reproducible evidence that aliens have visited Earth. [3] [4] No transmissions or evidence of intelligent extraterrestrial life have been observed anywhere other than Earth in the universe. This runs counter to the knowledge that the universe is filled with a very large number of planets, some of which likely hold the conditions hospitable for life. Life typically expands until it fills all available niches. [5] These contradictory facts form the basis for the Fermi paradox, of which the firstborn hypothesis is one proposed solution.

Avi Loeb, an astrophysicist and cosmologist, has suggested that Earth may be a very early example of a life-bearing planet and that life-bearing planets may be more likely trillions of years from now. He has put forward the view that the Universe has only recently reached a state in which life becomes possible and this is the reason humanity has not detected extraterrestrial life. [6]

Relationship to other proposed Fermi paradox solutions

The firstborn hypothesis is a special case of the Hart–Tipler conjecture (the idea that the lack of evidence for interstellar probes is evidence that no intelligent life other than humanity exists in the universe) which asserts a time-dependent curve towards discovery. [1] The firstborn hypothesis is also a special time-dependent case of the rare earth hypothesis which states that conditions for creating intelligent life are exceedingly rare.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Drake equation</span> Probabilistic argument to estimate the number of alien civilizations in the galaxy

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Dark forest hypothesis</span> Hypothesis for why alien life has not been discovered

The dark forest hypothesis is the conjecture that many alien civilizations exist throughout the universe, but they are both silent and paranoid. In this framing, it is presumed that any space-faring civilization would view any other intelligent life as an inevitable threat, and thus destroy any nascent life that makes its presence known. As a result, the electromagnetic spectrum would be relatively quiescent, without evidence of any intelligent alien life, as in a "dark forest" filled with "armed hunter(s) stalking through the trees like a ghost".

The berserker hypothesis, also known as the deadly probes scenario, is the idea that humans have not yet detected intelligent alien life in the universe because it has been systematically destroyed by a series of lethal Von Neumann probes. The hypothesis is named after the Berserker series of novels (1963-2005) written by Fred Saberhagen.

The Hart–Tipler conjecture is the idea that an absence of detectable Von Neumann probes is contrapositive evidence that no intelligent life exists outside of the Solar System. This idea was first proposed in opposition to the Drake equation in a 1975 paper by Michael H. Hart titled "Explanation for the Absence of Extraterrestrials on Earth". The conjecture is the first of many proposed solutions to the Fermi paradox. In this case, the solution is that there is no other intelligent life because such estimates are incorrect. The conjecture is named after astrophysicist Michael H. Hart and mathematical physicist and cosmologist Frank Tipler.

References

  1. 1 2 Williams, Matt (27 September 2020). "Beyond "Fermi's Paradox" X: What is the Firstborn Hypothesis?". Universe Today. Retrieved 18 October 2022.
  2. Ian O'Neill (27 October 2015). "Earth Bloomed Early: A Fermi Paradox Solution?". Space.com. Retrieved 18 October 2022.
  3. Tingay, Steven (May 19, 2022). "Is there evidence aliens have visited Earth? Here's what's come out of US congress hearings on 'unidentified aerial phenomena'". The Conversation. Retrieved 27 October 2022.
  4. Kolbert, Elizabeth (14 January 2021). "Have We Already Been Visited by Aliens?". The New Yorker. Retrieved 27 October 2022.
  5. Papagiannis, Michael D. (1978). "Are We All Alone, or could They be in the Asteroid Belt". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society. 19: 277–281. Bibcode:1978QJRAS..19..277P.
  6. Kaufman, Marc (25 August 2016). "Are We The Earliest Intelligent Life In The Universe?". NPR. Retrieved 19 November 2022.