2010 Swedish general election

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2010 Swedish general election
Flag of Sweden.svg
  2006 19 September 2010 2014  

All 349 seats to the Riksdag
175 seats are needed for a majority
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Mona Salhin 2009-06-06.jpg
Fredrik Reinfeldt (3999756697) (cropped).jpg
Peter Eriksson and Maria Wetterstrand.jpg
Leader Mona Sahlin Fredrik Reinfeldt Peter Eriksson
Maria Wetterstrand
Party Social Democrats Moderate Green
Alliance Red-Greens The Alliance Red-Greens
Leader since17 March 200725 October 200312 May 2002
Last election1309719
Seats won11210725
Seat changeDecrease2.svg18Increase2.svg10Increase2.svg6
Popular vote1,827,4971,791,766437,435
Percentage30.7%30.1%7.3%
SwingDecrease2.svg4.3 pp Increase2.svg3.9 pp Increase2.svg2.1 pp

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
Allisansen Presstraff pa Kofi (4478284517) (cropped).jpg
BDF Summit 2010.06.02 (9) (4712312068) (cropped).jpg
Jimme Akesson Almedalsveckan 2014 001 (cropped).jpg
Leader Jan Björklund Maud Olofsson Jimmie Åkesson
Party Liberals Centre Sweden Democrats
Alliance The Alliance The Alliance
Leader since7 September 200719 March 20017 May 2005
Last election28290
Seats won242320
Seat changeDecrease2.svg4Decrease2.svg6Increase2.svg20
Popular vote420,524390,804339,610
Percentage7.1%6.6%5.7%
SwingDecrease2.svg0.4 pp Decrease2.svg1.3 pp Increase2.svg3.7 pp

 Seventh partyEighth party
 
Lars Ohly (V)-riksdagasman (cropped).JPG
Allisansen Presstraff pa Kofi (4478910114) (cropped).jpg
Leader Lars Ohly Göran Hägglund
Party Left Christian Democrats
Alliance Red-Greens The Alliance
Leader since20 February 20043 April 2004
Last election2224
Seats won1919
Seat changeDecrease2.svg3Decrease2.svg5
Popular vote334,053333,696
Percentage5.6%5.6%
SwingDecrease2.svg0.3 pp Decrease2.svg1.0 pp

Swedish General Election 2010.png
Riksdagsvalet 2010.svg
Red-Social Democratic, Blue-Moderate

Prime Minister before election

Fredrik Reinfeldt
Moderate

Elected Prime Minister

Fredrik Reinfeldt
Moderate

General elections were held in Sweden on 19 September 2010 to elect the 349 members of the Riksdag. The main contenders of the election were the governing centre-right coalition the Alliance, consisting of the Moderate Party, the Centre Party, the Liberal People's Party and the Christian Democrats; and the opposition centre-left coalition the Red-Greens, consisting of the Social Democrats, the Left Party and the Green Party.

Contents

The Alliance received 49.27 percent of the votes (an increase by 1.03 pp from the previous election) and 173 seats in the parliament (a decrease by 5 seats and 2 short of an overall majority), while the Red-Greens received 43.60 percent of the vote (a decrease by 2.48 pp) and 156 seats (a decrease by 15 seats). [1] The election also saw the nationalist Sweden Democrats entering parliament for the first time, as the sixth largest and only non-aligned of the eight parties elected to the parliament, by receiving 5.70 percent of the votes (an increase by 2.77 pp) and 20 seats. [1] Both in terms of percentage share; 30.06%, and the actual vote; 1,791,766, the Moderate Party had its strongest election of the unicameral parliamentary era, narrowly missing out on beating the Social Democrats to become the largest party. [2] The Alliance dominated the Stockholm capital region of the municipality and county and made further gains in South Sweden including narrowly flipping Malmö blue as well as winning pluralities in traditionally red towns such as Kalmar, Landskrona and Trelleborg. [1]

The Alliance lost its absolute majority in the parliament but continued to govern as a minority government. The new parliament held its opening session on 5 October, with Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt presenting the annual government policy statement, along with changes to his cabinet. [3]

This was the first time in almost a century that a Swedish centre-right government that had served a full term was reelected. [4]

Campaign

One of the main campaign themes was the Economy of Sweden. [5]

The Sweden Democrats (SD) stated that it wished to cut political asylum and family reunification immigration by 90 percent. [6] The SD leader Jimmie Åkesson wrote, in an opinion piece for the social-democratic tabloid Aftonbladet that the growth of the country's Muslim population "is the greatest foreign threat to Sweden since the Second World War." [7] [8]

The parties already represented in the Swedish parliament, along with the Swedish television networks, excluded minor parties from the televised political debates. The excluded minor parties included the Sweden Democrats, [9] the June List, the Feminist Initiative, and the Pirate Party.[ citation needed ]

Polling

After the election in September 2006, the Alliance slipped well behind the opposition in the polls. A Sifo poll conducted in February 2008 showed the opposition leading the Alliance by 19.4%. However, this lead steadily eroded during the second half of the Alliance's term, despite the opposition's uniting in the Red-Green co-operation in December 2008.

Campaign posters in Stockholm Valaaffischer Stockholm 2010.jpg
Campaign posters in Stockholm
Poll performance 2006-2010: Key parties

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# Red-Green coalition
# Social Democratic Party
# The Alliance
# Moderate Party Sweden2010RiksdagPolls-Coalitions.svg
Poll performance 2006-2010: Key parties
 Red-Green coalition  Social Democratic Party  The Alliance  Moderate Party


The Sweden Democrats were expected to enter the Parliament for the first time, as the party's polling results had exceeded the 4% entry threshold since June 2009. The Green Party had also made a significant transformation from the smallest elected party to the third largest party during the term, overtaking the Left Party, the Christian Democrats, the Liberals and even the Centre Party in most polls following the 2006 election.

Poll performance 2006-2010: Small parties

# Green Party
# Liberal People's Party
# Centre Party
# Left Party
# Christian Democrats
# Sweden Democrats
# Other Sweden2010RiksdagPolls-SmallParties.svg
Poll performance 2006-2010: Small parties
 Green Party  Liberal People's Party  Centre Party  Left Party  Christian Democrats  Sweden Democrats  Other

Controversy about Sweden Democrats

The final election debate on SVT. Party leaders Hagglund (KD), Ohly (V), Bjorklund (FP), Sahlin (S), Reinfeldt (M), Wetterstrand (MP), and Olofsson (C). SVT valdebatt 2010.jpg
The final election debate on SVT. Party leaders Hägglund (KD), Ohly (V), Björklund (FP), Sahlin (S), Reinfeldt (M), Wetterstrand (MP), and Olofsson (C).

The Sweden Democrats generated controversy before the election. [9] Both the Alliance and the Red-Greens pledged not to seek support from the SD, [7] with Reinfeldt ruling out forming a government in cooperation with the Sweden Democrats. [5]

A privately owned television network, TV4, refused to air a SD campaign video, which was then uploaded to YouTube and viewed more than one million times. The SD video portrayed a track-meet, in which the race is for pension funds. In the video, a Swedish pensioner is outrun by burka-clad women with prams. [9] [10]

Several politicians in Denmark, initially from the Danish People's Party and later from the governing Venstre and the Conservative People's Party, reacted to TV4's refusal to air the video by calling for international election observers to be sent to Sweden. [11] [12] Pia Kjærsgaard, leader of the Danish People's Party, claimed that the election reminded her of "Eastern Europe", and that Sweden was the "banana republic" of the Nordic countries. [11] Per-Willy Amundsen of the Norwegian Progress Party also criticised the decision as a "violation of democratic rules." [13]

Violence

On 13 September in Gothenburg, about 500 counter-demonstrators prevented the Sweden Democrats from making a planned election rally. [14] Police used pepper spray to disperse the counter-demonstration, which lacked a permit, and seven counter-demonstrators were detained. [14] On 14 September, the Sweden Democrats cancelled planned rallies in three cities, Eskilstuna, Karlstad, and Uddevalla, because of security concerns. Similarly, concerns about security led to an election tour being cancelled on 15 September in Norrköping. [15] [16]

After these cancelled election rallies, the National Police Commissioner Bengt Svenson  [ sv ] severely criticized the county police for failing to safeguard the Sweden Democrats: "If it is not possible to protect them [in those locales], the police have failed in its planning and execution of its mission. ... It is a serious problem when such meetings cannot be held, because it is our absolute duty to ensure that the constitutionally guaranteed rights be maintained and that all meetings can be held". [17]

Consequences

These attempts to limit the SD message were described by Al Jazeera as counterproductive, in that they enabled the SD to portray itself as a victim of censorship. [9]

Similarly, Hanne Kjöller of Dagens Nyheter hypothesised that the attacks strengthened the Sweden Democrats rather than hurting the party's support base. "Jimmie Åkesson becomes a poor underdog and the picture of a party that is holding some dangerous but important truth is enhanced. The Sweden Democrats should send flowers to the left-wing extremists, thanking them for the publicity." [18]

Results

Coalition dominance by municipality (colors aggravated, not linearly proportional).
.mw-parser-output .plainlist ol,.mw-parser-output .plainlist ul{line-height:inherit;list-style:none;margin:0;padding:0}.mw-parser-output .plainlist ol li,.mw-parser-output .plainlist ul li{margin-bottom:0}
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Red-Greens
Equal
The Alliance SwedishGeneralElection2010-map.svg
Coalition dominance by municipality (colors aggravated, not linearly proportional).
  •   Red‑Greens
  •   Equal
  •   The Alliance
Relative support of the Sweden Democrats by municipality.
Sweden Democrats (max. 15.84% in Sjobo) SwedishGeneralElection2010-map-SwedenDemocrats.svg
Relative support of the Sweden Democrats by municipality.
  •   Sweden Democrats (max. 15.84% in Sjöbo)

There were 5,960,408 valid ballots cast for a turnout of 84.63%. [20]

Sweden Riksdag 2010.svg
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Swedish Social Democratic Party 1,827,49730.66112–18
Moderate Party 1,791,76630.06107+10
Green Party 437,4357.3425+6
Liberal People's Party 420,5247.0624–4
Centre Party 390,8046.5623–6
Sweden Democrats 339,6105.7020+20
Left Party 334,0535.6019–3
Christian Democrats 333,6965.6019–5
Pirate Party 38,4910.6500
Feminist Initiative 24,1390.4000
Swedish Senior Citizen Interest Party 11,0780.1900
Rural Democrats 1,5650.030New
Socialist Justice Party 1,5070.0300
Norrländska Coalition1,4560.020New
National Democrats 1,1410.0200
Classical Liberal Party 7160.0100
Freedom Party6880.010New
Party of the Swedes 6810.0100
Unity 6320.0100
Communist Party 3750.0100
Spirits Party2370.000New
European Workers Party 1870.0000
Health Care Party 1850.0000
Alliance Party 870.0000
Direct Democrats 760.0000
National Democratic Party630.0000
Population Party350.000New
Communist League 260.0000
Freedom and Justice Party190.0000
Scania Party 170.0000
Republicans140.0000
Republican Party100.000New
Nordic Union50.0000
Alexander's Lista40.000New
Li Yu Chen Andersson Party40.000New
Rikshushållarna30.0000
Labour Market Party UPI20.000New
Parties not on the ballot1,5800.030
Total5,960,408100.003490
Valid votes5,960,40898.87
Invalid/blank votes68,2741.13
Total votes6,028,682100.00
Registered voters/turnout7,123,65184.63
Source: Val

Seat distribution

ConstituencyTotal
seats
Seats won
By partyBy coalition
S M MP FP C SD V KD Alliance Red-Greens Others
Blekinge 6321231
Dalarna 11431111461
Gävleborg 124311111561
Gothenburg 1855211121891
Gotland 21111
Halland 123411111741
Jämtland 421122
Jönköping 134311112751
Kalmar 9431154
Kronoberg 632133
Malmö 10331111451
Norrbotten 962127
Örebro 124311111561
Östergötland 1554111111771
Skåne North and East 123411111741
Skåne South 133511111841
Skåne West 1034111541
Södermanland 11431111551
Stockholm County 3881533222323132
Stockholm Municipality 2961033212217111
Uppsala 1334111111751
Värmland 1253111157
Västerbotten 11421111156
Västernorrland 9521136
Västmanland 11431111461
Västra Götaland East 104311164
Västra Götaland North 1233111111651
Västra Götaland South 63333
Västra Götaland West 1334111111751
Total34911210725242320191917315620
Source: Statistics Sweden

Reactions

As exit polls conducted by the national broadcaster Swedish Television predicted, the Sweden Democrats reached the 4% threshold needed to enter parliament, making this election the first in which they were able to enter parliament. [7]

A preliminary count of 5,668 voting districts showed the Alliance with 172 seats, ahead of the Red-Greens. [21] However, this fell short of the 175 seats needed for an absolute majority, and it appeared the Sweden Democrats would hold the balance of power in the new parliament. [22] [23] Reinfeldt declared that he had no intention to cooperate with the Sweden Democrats. [24]

On 23 September, the final results showed the Centre Party gaining an adjustment seat in Dalarna, giving the Alliance a total seat count of 173, still two seats short of an absolute majority. [1] The Alliance's Liberal People's Party were only 7 and 19 votes short from gaining additional seats in Gothenburg and Värmland respectively, [25] but according to Svante Linusson, a professor in mathematics, the actual margin was still over 800 votes. [26] [27]

On the day after the election, rallies against the Sweden Democrats took place in a number of Swedish cities. Reports indicated that 10,000 people were estimated to have marched in Stockholm under banners reading "We are ashamed", "No racists in Parliament", [28] and "Refugees welcome!". In Gothenburg, 5,000 people took part in a "sorrow march against racism", and 2,000 people marched in Malmö. Support for the Sweden Democrats was strongest in the southernmost province Scania, where the party received about 10% of the vote, and in the neighbouring province Blekinge, where they received 9.8%. [29]

Liberal evening tabloid Expressen wrote in an editorial "The banner of tolerance has been hauled down and the forces of darkness have finally also taken the Swedish democracy as hostage. It's a day of sorrow." Liberal conservative morning newspaper Svenska Dagbladet said "[It is] time for the Swedes to get themselves a new national self-image [as the election] created a new picture of Sweden". [29]

Analysis

While it's hard to say that Sweden has woken up to a new self-image, one can say that this is more like a normal European situation and is similar to other western European countries with a proportional election system, where a populist right-wing party has seats in parliament. It's the party that is the least liked among other voters, so it is not surprising that people have reacted with dismay

Carl Dahlstroem, professor of politics at Gothenburg University [29]

The election was a landmark for its impact on the Social Democrats, which had been in government for 65 of the last 78 years and who had never lost two consecutive elections. This was their worst result since universal suffrage in 1921. Swedish political scientist Stig-Björn Ljunggren said "The Social Democrats no longer symbolise the Swedish model. They've lost their magic." The Dagens Nyheter postulated that electoral failure was based on internal factors, such that the Social Democrats failed to win over the middle class and had completely lost touch with their original vision, which had made them a dominant political party. [30]

The Irish Times saw the rise of the SD as sending "ripples of shock not only through the country but through European politics," and asked "Is this finally it for the 'Swedish model'" that has been represented as a "meld of liberal values, high taxes, outstanding childcare and welfare that made the country the poster boy for European social democracy?" The Social Democrats' failure reflected the party's inability to adapt, an increasingly technocratic profile, a failure to address immigration concerns, as well as Reinfeldt's success in managing the economy. The results draws parallels with a larger decline of European left parties. [31] An article in Al Jazeera English asked if Western political dynamics were changing following the Swedish and United States elections. The article said that predictions after the election indicated "an entirely new political landscape" and "the beginning of an era of sharper political division in Sweden." It asked if the similar results "reflect rather an underlying continuity in the generation-long evolution of Euro-American politics towards a fully neoliberalised system" and that Sweden seemed to be "moving towards an outdated model." It also said that, while social policies were similarly moving to the right, economic policies were poles apart, with the emergence of far-right parties in Sweden and Denmark still supporting the welfare state and the American parties remaining on the economic right-wing. [32]

The case of Annika Holmqvist, a seriously ill 55-year-old woman who had her sickness benefits withdrawn and was requested to seek work, allegedly due to the Alliance's reforms of Sweden's social security system, gave the opposition a late boost in its campaign. The Local thinks it might have deprived the Alliance of an overall majority. Holmqvist's daughter wrote about her case in a web log post that gained publicity and became a hot topic in the debates. In spite of promises of a solution, after the election it was decided Holmqvist will lose her illness[ citation needed ] benefits. [33] [34] [35]

The Moderate Party was still seen as one of the big winners of the election because of its "well-executed campaign" that emphasised Sweden's "remarkable political and economic stability in a turbulent world" after Sweden weathered the recession; despite mass unemployment, the economic growth in 2010 was the highest in Western Europe. [5]

Government formation

The Alliance formed the new government with Reinfeldt continuing as prime minister. His cabinet has 24 ministers, three more than the previous one. The Moderates received 13 posts, an increase of three from their previous count, with the Liberals (4), Centre (4) and Christian Democrats (3) not gaining or losing ministers. Jan Björklund, the leader of the Liberal Party, was promoted to Deputy Prime Minister replacing Maud Olofsson. Carl Bildt remained Foreign Minister and Anders Borg remained Minister for Finance. The new ministers are Stefan Attefall, the Minister for Public Administration and Housing at the Ministry of Health and Social Affairs; Ulf Kristersson, replacing Cristina Husmark Pehrsson as Minister for Social Security; Erik Ullenhag, the Minister for Integration at the Ministry of Employment; Hillevi Engström, the Minister for Employment; Anna-Karin Hatt, the Minister for Information Technology and Regional Affairs at the Ministry of Enterprise, Energy and Communications; Peter Norman, replacing Mats Odell as Minister for Financial Markets; and Catharina Elmsäter-Svärd, replacing Åsa Torstensson as Minister for Communications. Tobias Krantz, former Minister of Higher Education at the Ministry of Education and Research, is leaving with no successor having been named. [36]

After the formation of the new government, Reinfeldt issued a 27-page government policy statement, saying it would "seek broad and responsible solutions", and that it would "be natural to hold regular discussions with primarily the Green Party but also the Social Democratic Party where appropriate". [37]

Related Research Articles

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The Sweden Democrats is a nationalist and right-wing populist political party in Sweden founded in 1988. As of 2024, it is the largest member of Sweden's right-wing bloc and the second-largest party in the Riksdag. It provides confidence and supply to the centre-right ruling coalition. Within the European Union, the party is a member of the European Conservatives and Reformists Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Moderate Party</span> Political party in Sweden

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Christian Democrats (Sweden)</span> Political party in Sweden

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Fredrik Reinfeldt</span> Prime Minister of Sweden from 2006 to 2014

John Fredrik Reinfeldt is a Swedish economist, lecturer, former Prime Minister of Sweden from 2006 to 2014 and chairman of the liberal conservative Moderate Party from 2003 to 2015. He was the last rotating President of the European Council in 2009. He is chairman of the Swedish Football Association since 25 March 2023.

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General elections were held in Sweden on 17 September 2006, to elect members to the Riksdag, the Swedish national legislature. All 349 seats were up for election: 310 fixed seats in 29 constituencies and 39 adjustment seats, used to ensure that parties have representation in the Riksdag proportional to their share of the national vote. The electoral system used was semi-open list proportional representation using the Sainte-Laguë method of allocating seats. Elections for County and Municipal councils were also held on the same day.

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The Alliance, was a centre-right liberal-conservative political alliance in Sweden. The Alliance consisted of the four centre-right political parties in the Riksdag. The Alliance was formed while in opposition, and later achieved a majority government in the 2006 general election and a minority government in the 2010 general election, governing Sweden from 2006 to 2014 with Fredrik Reinfeldt of the Moderate Party serving as Prime Minister of Sweden until 2014. The Alliance was co-chaired by every component party's individual leaders.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Swedish general election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Löfven I cabinet</span> Swedish cabinet

The first cabinet of Stefan Löfven was the cabinet of Sweden between 2014 and 2018. It was a coalition government, consisting of two parties: the Social Democrats and the Green Party. The cabinet was installed on 3 October 2014, following the 2014 general election. It lost a vote of no confidence following the 2018 election, but remained in office as a caretaker government. Löfven was reelected as Prime Minister in January 2019, thus forming the second cabinet of Stefan Löfven.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Swedish general election</span>

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In the 2018 Swedish general election, no political group or party won an outright majority, resulting in a hung parliament. On 9 September, the Red-Greens, led by Stefan Löfven's Social Democrats (S), emerged as the main political force in the Riksdag, while the centre-right Alliance led by Ulf Kristersson's Moderate Party only got one seat less. The right-wing populist party Sweden Democrats, led by Jimmie Åkesson, came third. As a result, protracted negotiations were required before a new government formation. On 18 January 2019, Löfven was re-elected as prime minister.

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