Countback

For the procedure in some sports, see tiebreaker.

The countback method is a way of filling casual vacancies in proportional voting systems. Casual vacancies are filled by re-examining the ballots from the previous election. The candidate who held the seat is eliminated, and the election is then re-run with this candidate removed. Unlike other methods of filling vacancies, this procedure maintains proportional representation, and eliminates the need for expensive and low-turnout special elections.

Uses

Countbacks are used in Malta, ^[1] the Australian Capital Territory, ^[2] Tasmania, ^{[3] [4]} Victoria, ^[5] and Western Australia, ^[6] and for some local councils in New South Wales. ^[7]

Problems

Caused by STV

Main article: Local independence of irrelevant alternatives

Countries often attempt to use countbacks with ranked-choice voting or STV-PR, which often causes major problems and complications, because STV does not pass local independence of irrelevant alternatives (LIIA). This means the results can respond chaotically to the removal of a winning candidate. For example, a second-place finisher could become the last-place finisher under a full STV recount, meaning a politician might lose their seat because of a colleague's death or resignation. Most jurisdictions that use STV countbacks avoid this by "resuming" the STV process in the final stage, taking votes originally allocated to the elected candidate and transferring them to any unsuccessful candidates. However, the procedure for this can quickly become complex and highly arbitrary, with the outcome depending strongly on minor variants in counting rules (e.g. which candidates are considered "eliminated" in each round). This procedure also inserts spoiler effects into the race, allowing the final result to depend on the order in which vacancies arise, and potentially excluding popular candidates from contention because they were eliminated in early rounds.

For rules that do pass LIIA (such as ranked pairs or most rated voting rules), countbacks are trivial, because excluding the original winner causes the runner-up to take their place. Such rules therefore permit low-cost countbacks and allow jurisdictions to fully eliminate by-elections.

A further problem is that the number of exhausted ballots in STV elections increases every time a candidate is removed from contention. It is therefore possible that the replacement will be elected with only a handful of votes, substantially less than a full quota. If this fraction is particularly small, and thus no similar candidates remain on the ballot, election rules may call for a different method of filling the vacancy to be used.^{[ citation needed ]}

Insufficient candidates

Although the countback method is designed to select a replacement representing the same group of voters who elected the original candidate, it remains possible that no similar candidates remain on the ballot. In 1985 the Tasmanian Parliament amended the Electoral Act to allow true by-elections if no candidates of the same party as the outgoing representative remained on the ballot. In this circumstance, the party may request that a by-election be held. However, this has not happened because most political parties and community groups now nominate a surplus number of candidates, in order to ensure they can fill any casual vacancies.^{[ citation needed ]}

References

1. Bonnici, Julian (23 March 2022). "How Malta's Voting System Works: A Guide To The General Election". Lovin Malta. 9. What is a casual election?. Archived from the original on 31 July 2024. Retrieved 31 July 2024.
2. "Hare-Clark electoral system". Elections ACT . 10 July 2024. Filling casual vacancies. Archived from the original on 31 July 2024. Retrieved 31 July 2024. Only unsuccessful candidates who contested the original election and who choose to contest the casual vacancy can be elected in a 'casual vacancy countback'.
3. "Local government vacancies since the 2022 elections". Tasmanian Electoral Commission . Recounts. Archived from the original on 31 July 2024. Retrieved 31 July 2024.
4. "House of Assembly elections". Tasmanian Electoral Commission. Previous Elections. Archived from the original on 31 July 2024. Retrieved 31 July 2024.
5. "Council countbacks and by-elections". Victorian Electoral Commission . Countback. Archived from the original on 31 July 2024. Retrieved 31 July 2024.
6. Bowe, William (31 January 2023). "The spoils of defeat". The Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 31 July 2024. Retrieved 31 July 2024. On the other side of the aisle, Labor is negotiating a less consequential but electorally noteworthy difficulty arising from the retirement of high-profile former minister Alannah MacTiernan and the resulting vacancy for her South West region upper house seat. Such vacancies are filled through a countback of ballot papers from the previous election and not with the favoured nominee of the party, as in the Senate. The top three of Labor's six candidates on the South West ticket were elected in 2021, and in the normal course of events the countback would elect the next candidate along. However, The West Australian reports the candidate in question, John Mondy, is 'understood to be reluctant' to tear himself away from a successful Bunbury signwriting business to spend two years as a parliamentarian.
7. "Countback elections". NSW Electoral Commission . Councils using countback elections. Archived from the original on 21 May 2024. Retrieved 31 July 2024.