 2025 Australian federal election |
|---|
| National results |
| State and territory results |
Various research and polling firms conducted opinion polling before the 2025 federal election in individual electorates across Australia, in relation to voting intentions in the Australian House of Representatives.
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | ALP | GRN | IND | OTH | LIB | ALP | GRN | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 57% | 25% | 6% | — | 12% | 64% | 36% | — |
| 13 April 2024 | By-election | 62.7% | — | 16.4% | 5.7% | 15.2% | 71.3% | — | 28.7% | ||
| 28 March 2024 | uComms [a] | 914 | ± 3.6% | 53% | — | 17% | 12% | 10% | 65% | — | 35% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 55.3% | 25.0% | 9.9% | — | 9.8% | 62.4% | 37.6% | — | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | ALP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 44% | 29% | 9% | — | — | 18% | 44% | 56% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 42.0% | 36.0% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 50.2% | 49.8% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 43% | — | 11% | 7% | 39% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 5 February 2024 | uComms [a] | 602 | ±3.85% | 35.3% | 30.4% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 10.8% | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 41.4% | 38.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | LIB | GRN | ONP | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 32% | 42% | 9% | — | 17% | 46% | 54% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 40.7% | 36.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 53.3% | 46.7% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 40% | — | 17% | 9% | 33% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 5 February 2024 | uComms [a] | 643 | ±3.85% | 35.5% | 32.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 40.5% | 35.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | — | 54.2% | 45.8% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | ALP | GRN | IND | OTH | LIB | ALP | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 47% | 30% | 11% | — | 11% | 56% | 44% |
| 1 April 2023 | By-election | 39.1% | 40.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 46.4% | 53.6% | ||
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 43.1% | 32.6% | 12.1% | — | 12.3% | 52.8% | 47.2% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | LIB | GRN | LP | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 38% | 36% | 9% | — | 18% | 53% | 47% |
| 2 March 2024 | By-election | 41.1% | 39.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 10.8% | 52.7% | 47.3% | ||
| 15–22 February 2024 | YouGov [3] | 394 | ± 6.1% | 33% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 15% | 49% | 51% |
| 5–6 February 2024 | uComms [a] | 626 | ± 3.9% | 40.1% | 39.3% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 10.8% | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 40.2% | 32.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 16.9% | 56.3% | 43.7% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | IND | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 49% | — | 17% | 6% | 29% | 47% | 53% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 40.4% | 34.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 52.9% | 47.1% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L/NP | ALP | GRN | IND | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||||
| 29 Oct 2024 - 20 Nov 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group | — | ±4.0% | 37% | 41% | 12% | — | 10% | 44% | 56% | |
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | ±3.5% | 35% | 40% | 16% | — | 9% | 41% | 59% | |
| Feb 2024 - May 2024 | RedBridge Group | — | ±3.3% | 33% | 39% | 18% | — | 10% | 39% | 61% | |
| 21 May 2022 | 2022 Federal Election | 29.2% | 40.9% | 16.7% | 3.1% | 10.1% | 37.6% | 62.4% | |||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 43% | — | 12% | 4% | 41% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 5 February 2024 | uComms [a] | 647 | ±3.9% | 36.8% | 32.5% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 9.7% | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| 24–25 July 2023 | uComms [a] | 821 | ±3.4% | 40.3% | 31.6% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 42.7% | 40.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | — | 52.9% | 47.1% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | IND | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 46% | — | 23% | 8% | 22% | 47% | 53% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 41.3% | 29.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 51.3% | 48.7% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | ALP | GRN | JLN | ONP | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 41% | 25% | 9% | — | — | 24% | 46% | 54% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 37.2% | 29.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 50.9% | 49.1% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | CLP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | CLP | ||||
| 10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group [1] [2] | — | — | 30% | 36% | 12% | — | — | 22% | 47% | 53% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | 36.6% | 34.7% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 9.4% | 51.0% | 49.0% | ||
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