Energy in Vietnam

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Electricity generation in Vietnam, 1985-2020 Vietnam annual electricity generation by source in 1985 through 2020 (51218720185).png
Electricity generation in Vietnam, 1985–2020

Vietnam is a dynamic developing economy with a relatively high growth rate. The energy sector plays a key role in promoting the country's socio-economic development. Vietnam has a diverse energy fuel resource of various types such as coal, natural gas, petroleum, hydropower and renewables such as solar and wind energy. The country has recently been successful in renewable energy deployment, especially solar and wind power development. [1] Coal has been the key power generation source since 2018. Coal accounted for about 30% of installed capacity and 47% of electricity generation in 2021 [2] The high use of coal makes Vietnam an increasingly important emitter of carbon dioxide, contributing to climate change.

Contents

Total primary energy supply (domestic, import) by type

Table 1: Progress of primary energy supply between 2000‑2015 in kilotonnes of oil equivalent (KTOE) [3]

20002005201020112012201320142015
Coal4,3728,37614,73015,60515,61717,23919,95724,608
Oil7,91712,27017,32116,05215,20214,69817,70019,540
Gas1,4414,9088,3167,5608,2538,5229,1249,551
Hydro power1,2501,4132,3693,5194,5404,4685,1464,827
Non-commercial

energy

14,19114,79413,89014,00514,12113,67312,74511,925
Electricity import33399333125200124136
Total29,17141,79457,02557,07557,85758,80164,79770,588

Coal

Vietnam had the fastest growth in coal use in Southeast Asia during 2011-2021, at an annual growth rate of 11%. [4]

Data of the Ministry of Industry and Trade (MOIT), 10 months of 2018 coal production was estimated at 34.35 million tons, up 10% over the same period in 2017, of which clean coal output of Vinacomin (TKV) was 29.6 million tons, up 10.9% over the same period last year. [5] By the end of 2018, TKV's coal production reached 36.95 million tons. In 2019, TKV aimed to produce 40 million tons while consumption was up to 42 million tons, exceeding 2 million tons compared to production. [6]

On 2019-04-09, the amount of raw coal produced by this group reached over 10.7 million tons (of which 10.5 million tons were exported). To meet the above figure, TKV had to import another 1.2 million tons of coal to mix, while reducing its inventory to 6.2 million tons of coal. [7]

Table 2: Vietnam's coal import volume from 2014 to 2017 (tons): [8] [9]

Year2014201520162017201820192020
Total volume of imported coal3,095,8016,935,66713,276,86914,488,00222,857,15343,770,10754,811,643

The total volume of coal imported into Vietnam from 2014 to 2017 reached nearly 38 million tons and has an increasing trend. [8] In terms of markets, Australia, Indonesia and China are the three largest coal supply markets for Vietnam. [10] According to the statistics of the General Department of Vietnam Customs, in the year of 2020, Vietnam imported 54,8 million tons of coal, worth US$3,7 billion. [11] [12]

Table 3: Vietnam's coal balance in 2017 (million tons): [13]

EnterpriseEstimate the beginning of the periodExploitImportExportDomestic UseEstimate the end of the period
Total11,70537,73914,4882,22852,1499,555
TKV10,00032,2000,1581,51732,5838,258
Dong Bac0,5005,1000,5130,0216,0000,092
Vietmindo0,0050,43900,43900,005
Formosa0,30004,0060,1733,8330,300
Hoa Phat0,10001,17701,1770,100
EVN0,50003,21703,2170,500
Others0,30005,4170,0785,3390,300

It is forecasted that in the future, domestic coal resources will not meet the demand for consumption in general, electricity production in particular and must be imported in huge quantities ... (2020: 86 million tons, 2025: 121 million tons and 2030: 156 million tons). [14] Mr. Sabyasachi Mishra, mineral sales manager at Tata International, predicts that Vietnam's annual coal imports will increase from 20 million tons to 30 million tons in the next one or several years, especially when domestic coal reserves are downward trend. [15]

Oil

According to the report of Petrovietnam (PVN), the total production of oil exploitation in 2017 reached 25.41 million tons, exceeding 1.60 million tons of oil equivalent compared to the Government plan assigned at the beginning of the year, but exploration increased reserves to only 4 million tons. In particular, oil exploitation reached 15.52 million tons, exceeding 1.32 million tons. [16]

In 2018, the oil production reached nearly 14 million tons (of which, the domestic oil production was about 11.3 million tons), down from the level of over 15.52 million tons in 2017. [17]

Figure 1: The amount of crude oil for export and import in the period of 2012-2018 The amount of crude oil for export and import in the period of 2012-2018.png
Figure 1: The amount of crude oil for export and import in the period of 2012–2018

According to government statistics, in the period 2012–2017 crude oil exports were always more than imports, with an average export volume of 8.3 million tons/year, while imports averaged only about 750 thousand tons/year.

In 2018, the whole country exported 3.96 million tons of crude oil, down 41.8% from 2017 and less than half of the annual exports of crude oil in the period of 2012–2017. At the same time, imports reached 5.17 million tons, more than 4 times the figure of 1.18 million tons in 2017 and 7 times more than the annual import figure for the period 2012–2017.

In January and February 2019 the whole country imported more than 1.462 million tons of crude oil (worth US$635.4 million), an increase of more than 16 times in volume and 14 times in value from the same period in 2018. [18] The reason for the sharp increase is the oil demand for production by the Nghi Sơn Refinery. [19]

Oil production in many wells is declining naturally, due to exploitation for too long. In addition, the increase in reserves is so low that from 2018 to 2025, oil production will decrease steadily every year by 10% – equivalent to more than 2 million tons. Lack of capital is the main reason that PVN has not been able to boost oil and gas exploration activities in the past years to increase reserves. The increased output to compensate for the exploitation has reduced to a worrying level, affecting the sustainable development of Vietnam's oil and gas industry. Only a few years from 2018, the total oil and gas production will be only 1/3 of the current production. [20]

Natural gas

According to the 2018 report of the MOIT, production of natural gas has increased gradually from 2011 to 2016, but has decreased slightly in 2017 when only reached 9.8 billion m3. [21]

First half of 2018, natural gas exploitation was estimated at 5.3 billion m3, up 1%; liquefied gas was estimated at 437.6 thousand tons, up 18.5% compared to the same period in 2017. Natural gas production was likely to not increase in 2018 when output by the end of 10 months of 2018 reaches 8.39 billion m3. [21] That shows the overall picture of the mining industry in general, the gas industry in particular is increasingly gaining development, basically meeting the requirements, there is no shortage of supply. [22]
However, after 2020, Vietnam's natural gas fields will decline and it is necessary to import tens of billions of cubic meters of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to supply power plants. Current gas fields are sufficient to meet 100% of domestic demand, but will begin to decline from 2022.[ citation needed ]

Renewables

This section is an excerpt from Renewable energy in Vietnam.[ edit ]

Vietnam utilizes four main sources of renewable energy: hydroelectricity, wind power, solar power and biomass. [23] At the end of 2018, hydropower was the largest source of renewable energy, contributing about 40% to the total national electricity capacity. [24] In 2020, wind and solar had a combined share of 10% of the country's electrical generation, already meeting the government's 2030 goal, suggesting future displacement of growth of coal capacity. [25] By the end of 2020, the total installed capacity of solar and wind power had reached over 17 GW. [26] Over 25% of total power capacity is from variable renewable energy sources (wind, solar). The commercial biomass electricity generation is currently slow and limited to valorizing bagasse only, but the stream of forest products, agricultural and municipal waste is increasing. The government is studying a renewable portfolio standard that could promote this energy source.

While wind and solar investment remains attractive in Vietnam, existing capacity is under-utilized due to lack of electric transmission capacity and lack of a replacement for the expired feed-in tariff. [27]

The lead-up to the expiration of the initial solar feed-in tariff (FIT) of US$93.5/MWh saw a large increase in Vietnam's installed capacity of solar photovoltaic (PV), from 86 MW in 2018 to about 4.5 GW by the end of June 2019. [28] The number reached about 16.5 GW as of the end of 2020. [26] This represents an annualized installation rate of about 90 W per capita per annum, placing Vietnam among world leaders. As of 2019, Vietnam has the highest installed capacity in Southeast Asia. [28] In 2020, there are 102 solar power plants operating in the country with a total capacity of 6.3 GW. As of 2021, Vietnam has become one of the most successful ASEAN countries in attracting investment in renewable energy and promoting various types of renewables within the country. [29] [30]

Vietnam has the largest offshore wind power potential amount ASEAN countries, with over 470 GW technical potential within 200 km of the coast. This is equivalent to about 6 times the country's total installed capacity of any source as of 2022. [31] This offers opportunities for meeting domestic demand as well as exporting other countries such as Singapore.

Vietnam has the ASEAN largest offshore wind power potential, with over 470 GW technical potential in 200 km of the coast, about 6 times of the country's installed capacity of 2022. [32] This offers huge opportunities for meeting domestic demand as well as exporting other countries such as Singapore.

Hydro-power

Yaly Hydropower Dam Ya Ly Dam spillway, Vietnam.jpg
Yaly Hydropower Dam

According to theoretical calculations, the total hydro-power capacity of the country is about 35,000 MW, of which 60% is concentrated in the North, 27% is distributed in the Central and 13% in the South. Technical potential (potentially feasible to exploit) is about 26,000 MW, equivalent to nearly 970 planned projects, can annually produce more than 100 billion kWh, of which small hydroelectricity comes in particular 800 projects, with a total power of about 15–20 billion kWh/year. [33]

In 2017, reports said that large hydro-power power plants with capacity of over 100 MW were almost fully exploited. Plants with favorable locations and low investment costs have also been constructed. Remaining in the near future, small capacity hydro-power projects will be invested for exploitation.

According to the assessment, Vietnam's small hydro-power potential is about 4,000 MW, of which the source with a capacity of 100 kW-30 MW accounts for 93–95%, while the type of source with a capacity of under 100 kW only accounts for 5 – 7%, with total capacity over 200 MW. [33]

As of 2018, there were 818 hydro-power project power plants in the whole country with total installed capacity of 23,182 MW. In which, 385 plants with the total installed capacity of 18,564 MW have been put into operation, 143 projects were being constructed with a total installed capacity of 1,848 MW and 290 investment projects with a total installed capacity of 2,770 MW. There are many dams and hydro-power stations in Vietnam. [34]

Total final energy consumption (by sector, by type)

Table : Total Final Consumption (TFC) by source – Viet Nam (KTOE) [35]

Figure 2: Structure of final energy consumption in 2006 and 2015 per economic sector (million TOE,%) Structure of fnal energy consumption in 2006 and 2015 per economic sector (million TOE,%25).png
Figure 2: Structure of final energy consumption in 2006 and 2015 per economic sector (million TOE,%)
Figure 3: Final energy consumption by type of fuel in the period 2006-2015 (KTOE) Final energy consumption by type of fuel in the period 2006-2015 (KTOE).png
Figure 3: Final energy consumption by type of fuel in the period 2006‑2015 (KTOE)
YearCoalOil productsNatural gasGeothermal, solar, etc.Biofuels and wasteElectricityHeat
19901330232900118685320
199526094226220121529630
2000322365111801341319260
200552721133353701395440510
201098141663849301382474740
201511754180141665014583123380
2018141722075098508083162840

In the sectorial structure in final energy consumption figure in 2006, residential and industrial sectors took the largest percentage part, respectively 41% and 32%. However, compared to 2015 data, the industrial sector had the highest share, correctively 43% and the residential section had a reduction to 27% of energy demand. The energy consumption percentage of the transportation sector change from only 20% in 2006 to 23% in 2015.  

For the final energy consumption classified by type of fuel, the amount of electricity consumed increases significantly from 2006 to 2015. Coal consumption, biomass, oil products remain the same from 2010 to 2013. At that time, the growth rate declined significantly, from 7.6% in 2007 to 1.3% in 2012, then gradually increased to 3.5% in 2015.

Energy intensity

In 2017 the energy intensity of Vietnam's economy (E/G) was 5.7 MJ per year-2010 US$, above the world average of 5.2. [36] That was also higher than other ASEAN countries, for example Thailand (5.3) and Indonesia (3.5). This reflects the high level of energy use associated with Vietnam's industrialization and its heavy reliance on coal. [36]

Energy efficiency in economic development is expressed through these indicators: Energy intensity, GDP, Final energy consumption, Power consumption, Power intensity, shown in Table:

Table : Energy efficiency in economic development: [37]

Category20002005201020152018
GDP (Billion USD by 2018 price)4467.85122.4204.8241.4
Final energy consumption (MTOE)25.035.748.054.063.0
Energy intensity (kgOE/1000 USD)568526392264261
Power consumption (TWh)22.445.685.5151.5192.9
Power intensity (kWh/1000 USD)509672698.5739.7798.2

Through the data in Table 5, it can be seen that the energy intensity has decreased sharply from 568 kgOE in 2000 to less than half, about 260 kgOE in 2015 – 2018, while the power intensity still tends to gradually increasing over the past two decades, from more than 500 kWh (2000) to nearly 700 – 800 kWh (2015–2018).

Table 6: Energy intensity and power intensity of some countries: [37]

IndicatorThailandChinaKoreaJapanGermanyVietnam
Energy intensity (kgOE/1000 USD)199231238154164264
Power intensity (kWh/1000 USD)560650350350200740

Emissions from energy sector

After joining the UNFCCC, Vietnam conducts greenhouse gas inventories through the development of the National Notice (NC) and the biennial update report for UNFCCC (BUR). To date, Vietnam has completed the construction of the first and second NCs, BUR1 (2014) [38] and BUR2 (2017). [39] [40]

Vietnam's GHG emissions have been increasing quickly, with the main contributor being fossil fuel combustion which accounted for about 60% of greenhouse gas emissions in 2014. [36] In 2019 Vietnam was the world's 22nd largest CO2 emitter from fuel combustion and the 3rd largest in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). [36]

In the energy sector in Vietnam, GHG is mainly emitted from fuel combustion and dispersal in the process of fuel extraction and transportation. The total amount of GHG emissions in the energy sector in 2013 was 151.4 million tons CO2e. In particular, fuel combustion activities are common in the electricity production, industry and construction, transportation, agriculture / forestry / fisheries and a number of other sectors. This is a major activity of GHG production, accounting for 86.1% of the total GHG emissions nationwide. In particular, with the consumption of large amounts of fuel, accounting for about 60% of total fuel consumption, transportation activities also emit a significant amount of GHG into the atmosphere. The transportation sector emits about 30 million tons of CO2e, the emissions increase rapidly over the years, more than doubling from 12.58 million tons of CO2e (in 2000) to 29.7 million tons of CO2e (in 2013). Meanwhile, road traffic emissions accounted for 90.9%, railway, waterway and airway traffic emissions accounted for nearly 10%, the civil aviation industry also had significant and increasing GHG emissions. [40]

According to research from the International Energy Agency (IEA), the process of using energy causes GHG emissions to account for the largest proportion, about 60% of global GHG emissions annually. Also, Vietnam's GHG emissions will increase 2.7 times and 4.6 times in 2020 and 2030 compared to 2010 emissions. One of the main measures to reduce GHG emissions in the industry energy is implementing energy saving and effective use. [41] Other measures include carbon pricing, which was legalized in the form of emission trading scheme in the Law on Environmental Protection 2020. [36]

Table 7: Trends of emissions/removals among inventory cycles [39]

Year

Sectors (Unit: ktCO2e)
EnergyIndustrial ProcessesAgricultureLULUCFWasteTotal
199425,637.03,807.052,445.019,378.02,565.0103,832.0
200052,774.010,006.065,091.015,105.07,925.0150,901.0
2010146,170.721,682.487,602.0-20,720.717,887.0252,621.5
2013151,402.531,767.489,407.8-34,239.820,686.2259,024.1
Table 8: CO2 emission table in Vietnam (Unit: KT-C: kilotonnes of CO2)
2006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018
Total CO2 Emission23728253402850431140340873495134784362733921547352518935262563550
1.CO2 Emission by Energy23728253402850431140340873495134784362733921547352518935262563550
1.1 Coal & Coal Products10149108681349414177165291751017711193442239327911312963183042404
1.2 Crude Oil & Petroleum Products10248108511090512414123541259811786114701126914142152991579116058
1.3 Gas3330362141054549520448435287545955535298529850045087
2.CO2 Emission by Sector23728253402850431140340873495134784362733921547352518935262563550
2.1 Transformation Sector7491801084488824113321100011328121461369820309233802313229789
2.1.1 Public Utilities7491695574488214113321100011328121461369820309233802313229789
2.1.2 Auto-Generation0930888610000000000
2.1.3 Gas Processing0000000000000
2.1.4 Own Use & Loss01251120000000000
2.2 Final Energy Consumption Sector16237173292005622316227552395123457241272551727042285132949333761
2.2.1 Industry Sector713787261078210654111471171711580121791407216319162362949318854
2.2.2 Transport Sector623866597107846082778888877986228222656172701425110222
2.2.3 Residential & Commercial274027142720275029112897268529292842364545551055710220
2.2.4 Other121−769−55445242044841239738151645245684310
Source: [42]

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  17. ↑ Mỹ Hạnh (2019-01-12). "Khai thác dầu khí giảm hơn 1 triệu tấn năm 2018". vnmedia.vn (in Vietnamese).
  18. 1 2 Thái Bình (2019-03-18). "Dầu thô xuất giảm, nhập tăng". PETROVIETNAM – PV OIL (in Vietnamese).
  19. ↑ Duyên Duyên (2019-03-03). "Nhập khẩu dầu thô hai tháng đầu năm tăng gấp 16,6 lần năm ngoái". VnEconomy (in Vietnamese).
  20. ↑ T.T (2018-10-22). "Thách thức trong thăm dò khai thác dầu khí và những kiến nghị từ PVN". Báo Lao Động (in Vietnamese).
  21. 1 2 "Triển vọng ngành dầu khí 2019: Vẫn sáng". Đầu tư Chứng khoán. 2019-02-04.
  22. ↑ PetroVietnam (2018-11-15). "Thách thức và triển vọng thị trường gas Việt Nam". PETROVIETNAM PV Drilling.
  23. ↑ "VIETNAM RENEWABLE ENERGY OPTIONS".
  24. ↑ Diệu Thúy (2019-06-21). "Phát triển năng lượng tái tạo- Bài 1: Cơ hội cho điện gió và điện mặt trời". bnews.vn.
  25. ↑ "Vietnam grapples with an unexpected surge in solar power, Vietnam grapples with an unexpected surge in solar power". The Economist. ISSN   0013-0613 . Retrieved 2020-01-28.
  26. 1 2 Do, Thang Nam; Burke, Paul J.; Nguyen, Hoang Nam; Overland, Indra; Suryadi, Beni; Swandaru, Akbar; Yurnaidi, Zulfikar (2021-12-01). "Vietnam's solar and wind power success: Policy implications for the other ASEAN countries". Energy for Sustainable Development. 65: 1–11. doi: 10.1016/j.esd.2021.09.002 . hdl: 1885/248804 . ISSN   0973-0826.
  27. ↑ Le, Lam. "After renewables frenzy, Vietnam's solar energy goes to waste". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 2022-09-02.
  28. 1 2 Do, Thang Nam; Burke, Paul J.; Baldwin, Kenneth G.H.; Nguyen, Chinh The (September 2020). "Underlying drivers and barriers for solar photovoltaics diffusion: The case of Vietnam". Energy Policy. 144: 111561. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111561. hdl: 1885/206307 . S2CID   225245522.
  29. ↑ Overland, Indra; Sagbakken, Haakon Fossum; Chan, Hoy-Yen; Merdekawati, Monika; Suryadi, Beni; Utama, Nuki Agya; Vakulchuk, Roman (December 2021). "The ASEAN climate and energy paradox". Energy and Climate Change. 2: 100019. doi:10.1016/j.egycc.2020.100019. hdl: 11250/2734506 .
  30. ↑ Vakulchuk, Roman; Chan, Hoy-Yen; Kresnawan, Muhammad Rizki; Merdekawati, Monika; Overland, Indra; Sagbakken, Haakon Fossum; Suryadi, Beni; Utama, Nuki Agya; Yurnaidi, Zulfikar (2020). "Vietnam: Six Ways to Keep Up the Renewable Energy Investment Success". Norwegian Institute of International Affairs. JSTOR   resrep26568.{{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
  31. ↑ Do, Thang Nam; Burke, Paul, J.; Hughes, Llewelyn; Ta, Dinh Thi (2022). "Policy options for offshore wind power in Vietnam". Marine Policy. 141 (105080): 105080. doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2022.105080. hdl: 1885/275544 . S2CID   248957321.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  32. ↑ Do, Thang Nam; Burke, Paul, J.; Llewely, Hughes; Ta, Dinh Thi (2022). "Policy options for offshore wind power in Vietnam". Marine Policy. 141 (105080): 105080. doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2022.105080. hdl: 1885/275544 . S2CID   248957321.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  33. 1 2 Đặng, Đình Thống (2017-10-20). "Phát triển thủy điện ở Việt Nam: Tiềm năng và thách thức". Năng lượng Việt Nam.
  34. ↑ Đinh Liên (2018-08-15). "385 công trình thủy điện đang vận hành trên cả nước". EVN – Tập đoàn điện lực Việt Nam.
  35. ↑ "Statistics". www.iea.org. Retrieved 2019-07-11.
  36. 1 2 3 4 5 Do, Thang Nam; Burke, Paul J. (2021-12-01). "Carbon pricing in Vietnam: Options for adoption". Energy and Climate Change. 2: 100058. doi: 10.1016/j.egycc.2021.100058 . ISSN   2666-2787. S2CID   243844301.
  37. 1 2 Nguyễn, Mạnh Hiến (2019-01-09). "Năng lượng Việt Nam: Hiện trạng và triển vọng phát triển". TẠP CHÍ NĂNG LƯỢNG VIỆT NAM.
  38. ↑ MONRE (2014). "The Initial Biennial Updated Report Of Viet Nam To The United Nations Framework Convention On Climate Change" (PDF). csdl.dcc.gov.vn.
  39. 1 2 MONRE (2017). "The Second Biennial Updated Report Of Viet Nam To The United Nations Framework Convention On Climate Change" (PDF). unfccc.int.
  40. 1 2 Hà Linh (2019-04-12). "Thực trạng phát thải khí nhà kính ở Việt Nam". ncif.gov.vn.
  41. ↑ Vụ Tiết kiệm năng lượng và Phát triển bền vững (2018-11-08). ""Chương trình năng lượng phát thải thấp Việt Nam" – Thúc đẩy nỗ lực tiết kiệm năng lượng ngành công nghiệp tại Việt Nam". MOIT website.
  42. ↑ Expert Group on Energy Data and Analysis (EGEDA) (2018-09-27). "CO2 Emission Table". APEC – Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation.
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