Next Italian general election

2027 Italian general election

←  2022 No later than 22 December 2027
←  outgoing members
All 400 seats in the Chamber of Deputies (C) 201 seats needed for a majority All 200 elective seats in the Senate of the Republic (S) 101 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Giorgia Meloni Elly Schlein Matteo Salvini Party Brothers of Italy Democratic Party League Alliance Centre-right Centre-left Centre-right Leader since 8 March 2014 12 March 2023 15 December 2013 Leader's seat L'Aquila  (C) Veneto 2  (C) Apulia  (S) Current seats 116 (C) ·63 (S) 71 (C) ·36 (S) 57 (C) ·29 (S)   Leader Giuseppe Conte Antonio Tajani Matteo Renzi Party Five Star Movement Forza Italia Italia Viva Alliance Centre-left [nb 1] Centre-right — Leader since 6 August 2021 15 July 2023 23 December 2022 Leader's seat Lombardy 1  (C) Velletri  (C) Campania (S) Current seats 48 (C) ·26 (S) 54 (C) ·20 (S) 7 (C) ·8 (S)   Leader Angelo Bonelli Nicola Fratoianni Carlo Calenda Roberto Vannacci Party Greens and Left Action National Future Alliance Centre-left — — Leader since 2 July 2022 20 February 2022 6 February 2026 Leader's seat Imola (C) Tuscany 3 (C) Sicily (S) Did not stand Current seats 10 (C) ·3 (S) 10 (C) ·2 (S) 9 (C) ·0 (S)
Incumbent Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni Brothers of Italy

General elections will occur in Italy no later than 22 December 2027.

Background

Main article: 2022 Italian government formation

In the 2022 Italian general election, the centre-right coalition led by Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy (FdI) won an absolute majority of seats in the Italian Parliament. ^[1] On 20 October, a few days following the elections of the presidents of the two houses of Parliament (Ignazio La Russa of FdI on 13 October for the Senate of the Republic and Lorenzo Fontana of the Lega on 14 October for the Chamber of Deputies), ^{[2] [3]} consultations on the formation of a new cabinet officially began. ^[4]

The Cabinet was announced on 21 October and was officially sworn in on the next day. It was one of the fastest government formations in the history of the Italian Republic. ^[5] The first Italian cabinet headed by a female prime minister, ^[6] it was variously described as a shift to the political right, ^[7] and as the first far-right-led Italian government since World War II. ^{[8] [9]}

Electoral system

See also: Politics of Italy

The Italian electoral law of 2017 (Rosatellum) until 2026 assigned seats in both houses of the Italian Parliament using mixed-member majoritarian representation. On 8 October 2026, the Italian Parliament approved a new electoral law ( Stabilicum ), allocating 400 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 200 seats in the Senate through a majority jackpot system, in which the political coalition or party that achieved at least 42% of popular vote would automatically achieve a majority bonus majority of 70 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 35 seats in the Senate, to ensure a majority. ^[10]

To avoid excessively large majority, there is a cap on the bonus majority so that the winner does not get more than 220 seats in the Chamber and 113 in the Senate. ^[11] If no coalitions or parties reach the threshold of 42%, the seats are distributed in a purely proportional manner. ^[12] There is a threshold to enter parliament, set at 10% for coalitions and 3% for parties. ^[11] Within a coalition, the best-performing party that falls below the 3% threshold would also receive seats. ^[13] The total votes of a coalition for the purpose of triggering the majority bonus is the sum of the votes of all of its members, even those that do not reach the 3% threshold. ^[13] To qualify for the majority bonus, each party or coalition must indicate its candidate for Prime Minister and its common program at the time of registration. ^[12] As the President of Italy appoints the Prime Minister, this designation is not legally binding, and the name of candidate for Prime Minister will not appear on the ballot. ^[12]

In this system, voters can express preferences in a hybrid system: the list leaders are fixed in place (closed list), but voters can express up to three preferences out of six remaining names in the ballot (open list), with gender alternation; if preferences are expressed without alternating between candidates' gender, the vote is void. ^[14] Unlike the previous Rosatellum law, where, of the total number of list leaders, no gender can be represented by more than 60%, there is no such requirement in the current system. However, of the total number of candidates submitted by a coalition, no gender can be represented by more than 60% ^[12] .

Opposition parties are expected to challenge the law in court, arguing, among other things, that the majority bonus distorts voter representation. ^[15]

Members of the Parliament standing down

Members of Parliament not standing for re-election

Portrait	MP	Seat	First elected	Party		Date announced
	Pier Ferdinando Casini	Bologna (Senate of the Republic)	26 June 1983		Centrists for Europe	[16]

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the next Italian general election

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 25 September 2022 to the election day, with each line corresponding to the next general election party lists

Party vote aggregations

Polling			Parties													Coalitions
Polling aggregator	Ref.	Date updated	FdI	PD	M5S	Lega	FI	A	IV	AVS	+E	NM	FN	Others	Lead	CSX	CDX
BiDiMedia	[17]	13 Oct 2026	27.2	20.2	12.7	5.6	7.3	3.3	2.4	6.4	1.6	1.2	7.5	4.6 0.8 – South calls North 3.8 – Others	7.0	43.3	42.1
Doppia Cifra	[18]	12 Oct 2026	26.8	21.1	12.6	5.6	7.5	3.0	2.4	6.4	1.5	1.1	7.4	4.6 1.2 – Liberal Democratic Party 1.2 – South calls North 0.8 – Ora! 1.4 – Others	5.7	44.0	42.3
PolitPro	[19]	11 Oct 2026	27.0	20.8	12.5	5.7	7.4	3.1	2.4	6.4	1.7	1.1	7.5	4.4	6.2	43.8	41.2
Cassandra	[20]	8 Oct 2026	26.9	20.7	12.5	5.7	7.1	3.0	2.1	6.1	2.0	1.0	7.3	5.6	6.2	43.4	40.7
YouTrend	[21]	7 Oct 2026	26.9	21.0	12.1	5.6	7.6	3.7	2.4	6.3	1.4	1.0	7.6	—N/a	6.9	43.2	41.1
Politico Europe	[22]	5 Oct 2026	27.0	21.0	13.0	5.0	7.0	3.0	2.0	6.0	2.0	–	8.0	1.0 1.0 – South calls North	6.0	44.0	40.0
Europe Elects	[23]	2 Oct 2026	27.0	21.0	13.0	5.0	7.0	3.0	2.0	6.0	–	–	8.0	8.0 1.0 – Civic Project Italy	6.0	43.0	39.0
Atlante elettorale	[24]	16 Sep 2026	26.3	21.1	12.5	5.7	7.5	3.8	4.3	6.6	–	1.2	7.6	3.4	5.2	44.5	40.7
2022 election	[25]	25 Sep 2022	26.0	19.1	15.4	8.8	8.1	7.8 [a]		3.6	2.8	0.9	–	4.9	6.9	26.1 [b]	43.8

1. As Action – Italia Viva
2. The 2022 centre-left coalition was composed by the Democratic Party, Greens and Left Alliance, More Europe, and Civic Commitment.

Government approval ratings

Local regression trend line of poll results on government approval, with the green line corresponding to approval and the red line corresponding to disapproval.

See also

• Elections in Italy
• List of next general elections
• Politics of Italy
• Second Italian Republic

Notes

1. The M5S is generally seen as aligned with the centre-left coalition but is formally independent, and does not run joint presidential candidates in some regions.

References

1. Winfield, Nicole (26 September 2022). "How a party of neo-fascist roots won big in Italy". AP News. Associated Press. Retrieved 30 September 2022.
2. "Senato, Ignazio La Russa eletto presidente". Sky TG24 (in Italian). 13 October 2022. Retrieved 20 October 2022.
3. "Il discorso di Lorenzo Fontana nuovo presidente della Camera che elogia il Papa e ringrazia Bossi: 'L'Italia non deve omologarsi'". La Repubblica (in Italian). 14 October 2022. Retrieved 20 October 2022.
4. "Quirinale, il calendario delle consultazioni per la formazione del nuovo governo. Centrodestra (unito) atteso al Colle venerdì". Il Fatto Quotidiano (in Italian). 19 October 2022. Retrieved 19 October 2022.
5. "Tempi di formazione dei governi, da Berlusconi a Conte: i record". Sky TG24 (in Italian). 21 October 2022. Retrieved 28 October 2022.
6. Harlan, Chico; Pitrelli, Stefano (21 October 2022). "Meloni sworn in as Italy's first female prime minister". The Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved 22 October 2022.
7. Amante, Angelo; Weir, Keith (21 October 2022). "Meloni takes charge as PM as Italy swings to the right". Reuters. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
8. "Presidential palace says Giorgia Meloni forms government, giving Italy first far-right-led coalition since World War II". ABC News. Associated Press. 21 October 2022. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
9. "Far-right Meloni set to become Italy's first woman PM". France 24. Agence France-Presse. 21 October 2022. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
10. Davies, Maia (8 October 2026). "Italy approves elections overhaul as opposition accuse Meloni of 'scam' law". BBC News. Retrieved 13 October 2026.
11. "Key points in Italy's new electoral law". Reuters. 8 October 2026. Retrieved 8 October 2026.
12. "Legge elettorale, cos'è lo Stabilicum (o Melonellum) come voteremo e che cosa cambia". RaiNews (in Italian). 8 October 2026. Retrieved 8 October 2026.
13. WhatsApp, Violetto Gorrasi Giornalista 09 ottobre 2026 07:52 Facebook. "Come funziona la nuova legge elettorale: le preferenze (ma con capilista bloccati), il premio di governabilità e il nome del candidato premier". Today (in Italian). Retrieved 15 October 2026.{{cite web}}: |first= has generic name (help)
14. Bolzani, Alessandro (8 October 2026). "Nuova legge elettorale, cosa cambia rispetto al Rosatellum: la guida allo Stabilicum". alanews | News, Ultime notizie, Video e Foto in tempo reale (in Italian). Retrieved 15 October 2026.
15. Giuffrida, Angela (8 October 2026). "Italian opposition cries foul as Meloni's electoral reform passed in secret ballot". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 8 October 2026.
16. Roncone, Fabrizio (11 October 2026). "Casini: «Mi fermo, dopo 44 anni non mi ricandido. Il ricordo più bello? Quel giorno con Wojtyla»". Corriere della sera (in Italian). Retrieved 11 October 2026.
17. De Donatis, Mauro (14 October 2026). "Media di tutti i Sondaggi (13 Ottobre): arriva il primo calo per Vannacci, PD ancora in ribasso, bene FDI". Sondaggi BiDiMedia (in Italian). Retrieved 14 October 2026.
18. Ruffino, Lorenzo (12 October 2026). "La media dei sondaggi". DoppiaCifra (in Italian). Retrieved 12 October 2026.
19. "Italy: Polls and trends for the Italian election 2027". PolitPro. 11 October 2026. Retrieved 12 October 2026.
20. "Media dei sondaggi". Cassandra (in Italian). 26 March 2026. Retrieved 12 October 2026.
21. Bianco, Ruben (8 October 2026). "La Supermedia". Youtrend (in Italian). Retrieved 12 October 2026.
22. "Poll of polls Italy". Politico Europe. 5 October 2026. Retrieved 12 October 2026.
23. "Polling average of Italy". Europe Elects. 2 October 2026. Retrieved 12 October 2026.
24. Sciara, Aldo (8 September 2026). "Proiezioni e analisi sulle elezioni italiane". Atlante elettorale (in Italian). Archived from the original on 30 September 2026. Retrieved 16 September 2026.
25. "Elezioni Camera 25/09/2022". Eligendo (in Italian). Retrieved 20 December 2024.

External links

• Poll of Polls – Italy at Politico Europe