Next Italian general election

Last updated

Next Italian general election
Flag of Italy.svg
  2022
No later than 22 December 2027

All 400 seats in the Chamber of Deputies (C)
201 seats needed for a majority
All 200 elective seats in the Senate of the Republic (S)
101 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Italian PM Giorgia Meloni (16 September 2024).jpg
Elly Schlein 2023 (cropped).jpg
Giuseppe Conte - Quirinale 2022 (cropped2).jpg
Leader Giorgia Meloni Elly Schlein Giuseppe Conte
Party Brothers of Italy Democratic Party Five Star Movement
Alliance Centre-right Centre-left Centre-left [a]
Leader since8 March 2014 [b] 12 March 20236 August 2021
Leader's seat Abruzzo  (C) Veneto 2  (C) Lombardy 1  (C)
Current seats116 (C) ·63 (S)71 (C) ·36 (S)49 (C) ·26 (S)

 
Matteo Salvini 2025 (cropped).jpg
Antonio Tajani 2025.jpg
Angelo Bonelli & Nicola Fratoianni.png
Leader Matteo Salvini Antonio Tajani Angelo Bonelli
Nicola Fratoianni
Party Lega Forza Italia Greens and Left
Alliance Centre-right Centre-right Centre-left
Leader since15 December 201315 July 20232 July 2022
Leader's seat Apulia  (S) Velletri  (C) Imola (C)
Tuscany (C)
Current seats65 (C) ·29 (S)51 (C) ·20 (S)10 (C) ·3 (S)

Incumbent Prime Minister

Giorgia Meloni
Brothers of Italy



The next Italian general election will occur no later than 22 December 2027. [nb 1] It may be called earlier as a snap election.

Contents

Background

Giorgia Meloni accepting the task of forming the new government Giorgia Meloni Quirinale 2022.jpg
Giorgia Meloni accepting the task of forming the new government

In the 2022 Italian general election, the centre-right coalition led by Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy (FdI) won an absolute majority of seats in the Italian Parliament. [2] On 20 October, a few days following the elections of the presidents of the two houses of Parliament (Ignazio La Russa of FdI on 13 October for the Senate of the Republic and Lorenzo Fontana of the Lega on 14 October for the Chamber of Deputies), [3] [4] consultations on the formation of a new cabinet officially began. [5]

The Cabinet was announced on 21 October and was officially sworn in on the next day. It was one of the fastest government formations in the history of the Italian Republic. [6] The first Italian cabinet headed by a female prime minister, [7] it was variously described as a shift to the political right, [8] and as the first far-right-led Italian government since World War II. [9] [10]

Electoral system

The Italian electoral law of 2017 still in force assigns seats in both houses of the Italian Parliament using mixed-member majoritarian representation. The 400 deputies are to be elected as follows: [11]

The 200 elective senators are to be elected as follows: [11]

For Italian residents, each house member is to be elected in single ballots, including the constituency candidate and their supporting party lists. In each single-member constituency, the deputy or senator is elected on a plurality basis, while the seats in multi-member constituencies are allocated nationally. In order to be calculated in single-member constituency results, parties need to obtain at least 1% of the national vote and be part of a coalition obtaining at least 10% of the national vote. In order to receive seats in multi-member constituencies, parties need to obtain at least 3% of the national vote. Elects from multi-member constituencies would come from closed lists. [12]

The voting paper, which is a single one for the FPTP and the proportional systems, shows the names of the candidates to single-member constituencies and in close conjunction with them the symbols of the linked lists for the proportional part, each one with a list of the relative candidates. [13] The voter is able to cast their vote in three different ways, among them: [14]

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Opinion polls Italy 2027.svg
Local regression trend line of poll results from 25 September 2022 to the election day, with each line corresponding to the next general election party lists

Party vote aggregations

Polling aggregatorRef.Date updated FdI PD M5S Lega FI A IV AVS +E PTD DSP NM ScN OthersLead
WahlenWeltWeit [15] 13 January 202630.022.112.88.38.43.12.56.41.5__1.1_3.87.9
Cassandra [16] 12 January 202630.121.913.18.28.53.12.05.81.41.44.68.2
Sondaggi BiDiMedia [17] 28 August 202528.822.512.98.68.32.61.57.01.30.95.66.3
Youtrend [18] 31 July 202529.221.713.58.48.73.02.36.32.11.03.87.5
PolitPro [19] 23 August 202529.122.013.08.58.73.22.36.42.04.87.1
Politico Europe [20] 31 July 202529.022.012.09.09.03.02.06.02.05.06.0
Europe Elects [21] 31 July 202529.022.013.09.09.03.02.07.02.01.04.07.0
2022 election [22] 25 Sep 202226.019.115.48.88.17.8 [c] 3.62.81.4 [d] 1.2 [e] 0.90.84.16.9

See also

Notes

  1. While elections in Italy are customarily held on a Sunday or Sunday and Monday, there is no constitutional requirement to do so; the latest possible date for a general election to be held is the 70th day following the expiration of the Parliament's five-year term. [1]
  1. The M5S is generally seen as aligned with the centre-left coalition but is formally independent, and does not run joint presidential candidates in some regions.
  2. On 27 July 2022, the centre-right coalition agreed that its candidate for prime minister would be the leader of the party with the most votes, which proved to be FdI in the snap election on 25 September 2022.
  3. As Action – Italia Viva
  4. As UP
  5. As ISP

References

  1. "Constitution of the Italian Republic" (PDF). Parliamentary Information, Archives and Publications Office of the Senate Service for Official Reports and Communication. Retrieved 29 October 2022.
  2. Winfield, Nicole (26 September 2022). "How a party of neo-fascist roots won big in Italy". AP News. Associated Press. Retrieved 30 September 2022.
  3. "Senato, Ignazio La Russa eletto presidente". Sky TG24 (in Italian). 13 October 2022. Retrieved 20 October 2022.
  4. "Il discorso di Lorenzo Fontana nuovo presidente della Camera che elogia il Papa e ringrazia Bossi: 'L'Italia non deve omologarsi'". La Repubblica (in Italian). 14 October 2022. Retrieved 20 October 2022.
  5. "Quirinale, il calendario delle consultazioni per la formazione del nuovo governo. Centrodestra (unito) atteso al Colle venerdì". Il Fatto Quotidiano (in Italian). 19 October 2022. Retrieved 19 October 2022.
  6. "Tempi di formazione dei governi, da Berlusconi a Conte: i record". Sky TG24 (in Italian). 21 October 2022. Retrieved 28 October 2022.
  7. Harlan, Chico; Pitrelli, Stefano (21 October 2022). "Meloni sworn in as Italy's first female prime minister". The Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved 22 October 2022.
  8. Amante, Angelo; Weir, Keith (21 October 2022). "Meloni takes charge as PM as Italy swings to the right". Reuters. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  9. "Presidential palace says Giorgia Meloni forms government, giving Italy first far-right-led coalition since World War II". ABC News. Associated Press. 21 October 2022. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  10. "Far-right Meloni set to become Italy's first woman PM". France 24. Agence France-Presse. 21 October 2022. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  11. 1 2 Chughtai, Alia (4 March 2018). "Understanding Italian elections 2018". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 20 November 2022.
  12. Cavallaro, Matteo; Pregliasco, Lorenzo (15 January 2018). "'Hand-to-hand' combat in Italy's election". Politico. Retrieved 20 November 2022.
  13. "Elezioni, come si vota con il Rosatellum, debutta la nuova scheda elettorale". Today (in Italian). 20 October 2017. Retrieved 4 March 2018.
  14. "Il Rosatellum bis è legge. Ma come funziona" (in Italian). AGI. 23 July 2017. Retrieved 2 November 2022.
  15. "Home". WahlenWeltWeit (in German). Retrieved 13 January 2026.
  16. "Media dei sondaggi". Cassandra (in Italian). Retrieved 13 January 2026.
  17. "Sondaggi dopo le elezioni: PD su di 7 decimi, quelli che perde il centrodestra". Sondaggi BiDiMedia (in Italian). 19 June 2025.
  18. "Supermedia Youtrend/Agi: FdI al 29,9%". Youtrend (in Italian). 20 June 2025.
  19. "Italy: Polls and trends for the Italian election 2027". PolitPro. Retrieved 10 December 2024.
  20. "Poll of polls Italy". Politico Europe. Retrieved 4 December 2024.
  21. "Polling average of Italy". Europe Elects. Retrieved 16 November 2024.
  22. "Elezioni Camera 25/09/2022". Eligendo (in Italian). Retrieved 20 December 2024.