Burlington (federal electoral district)

For the provincial electoral district, see Burlington (provincial electoral district).

Burlington

Ontario electoral district
Burlington in relation to other Ontario electoral districts (2015 boundaries)
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Karina Gould Liberal
District created	1976
First contested	1979
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011) [1]	120,569
Electors (2015)	94,679
Area (km²) [1]	84
Pop. density (per km²)	1,435.3
Census division(s)	Halton
Census subdivision(s)	Burlington

Map of Burlington riding (2003 boundaries)

Burlington is a federal electoral district in Halton Region, Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1979.

Geography

It consists of the southern part of the city of Burlington.

The riding serves downtown Burlington and the neighbourhoods of Aldershot, Maple, Freeman, Wellington Square, Dynes, Roseland, Longmoor, Shoreacres, Pinedale, Elizabeth Gardens, Palmer, Mountainside, Brant Hills, and Tyandaga in Burlington.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census ^[2]

Languages: 79.0% English, 1.6% Spanish, 1.5% French, 1.2% Polish, 1.2% Arabic
Religions: 58.8% Christian (28.3% Catholic, 6.4% Anglican, 5.7% United Church, 2.3% Presbyterian, 2.1% Christian Orthodox, 1.1% Baptist, 12.9% other), 3.1% Muslim, 1.5% Hindu, 34.5% none
Median income: $48,000 (2020)
Average income: $66,100 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Burlington (2011−2021)

Panethnic group	2021 [3]		2016 [4]		2011 [5]
	Pop.	%	Pop.	%	Pop.	%
European [lower-alpha 1]	101,330	81.98%	104,610	86.49%	106,925	89.88%
South Asian	5,020	4.06%	3,420	2.83%	2,475	2.08%
African	3,190	2.58%	2,425	2.01%	1,795	1.51%
East Asian [lower-alpha 2]	3,135	2.54%	2,325	1.92%	2,240	1.88%
Middle Eastern [lower-alpha 3]	2,955	2.39%	1,760	1.46%	1,235	1.04%
Southeast Asian [lower-alpha 4]	2,740	2.22%	2,345	1.94%	1,430	1.2%
Latin American	1,940	1.57%	1,410	1.17%	1,050	0.88%
Indigenous	1,725	1.4%	1,530	1.27%	1,155	0.97%
Other/multiracial [lower-alpha 5]	1,575	1.27%	1,115	0.92%	665	0.56%
Total responses	123,610	98.55%	120,945	98.19%	118,960	98.67%
Total population	125,435	100%	123,180	100%	120,569	100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses. Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Upcoming federal election

The next federal election must be called on October 2, 2025, however the Prime Minister Justin Trudeau does have the authority to call the election whenever he wishes. Although recent polls indicate a massive majority win for the Conservatives if an election was called in the near future and a win in Burlington and other Halton ridings. Based on this data many Conservatives are interested in becoming the next elections conservative candidate for this newly created riding.

Conservative nomination election candidates

Conservatives within the riding vote on which person they want to represent them in the upcoming election as the next Conservative Candidate.

Declared:

• Emily Brown Conservative Candidate in the 2021 Federal election for Burlington ^[6]
• Shaheryar Mian Businessman ^[7]

Liberal Candidate

Potential:

• Karina Gould MP for Burlington and Government House Leader

History

Burlington was created in 1976 from Halton—Wentworth.

This riding gained small territories from Halton and Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years	Member		Party
Burlington Riding created from Halton—Wentworth
31st	1979–1980		Bill Kempling	Progressive Conservative
32nd	1980–1984
33rd	1984–1988
34th	1988–1993
35th	1993–1997		Paddy Torsney	Liberal
36th	1997–2000
37th	2000–2004
38th	2004–2006
39th	2006–2008		Mike Wallace	Conservative
40th	2008–2011
41st	2011–2015
42nd	2015–2019		Karina Gould	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in Burlington (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Karina Gould	31,602	45.7	–2.9	$108,267.63
	Conservative	Emily Brown	25,742	37.3	+4.1	$99,594.92
	New Democratic	Nick Page	7,507	10.9	+0.7	$9,478.98
	People's	Michael Bator	2,764	4.0	+2.7	$7,469.57
	Green	Christian Cullis	1,368	2.0	–4.6	$1,096.10
	Rhinoceros	Jevin David Carroll	122	0.2	N/A	$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit			69,105	99.4	–	$126,483.23
Total rejected ballots			424	0.6
Turnout			69,529	69.7
Eligible voters			99,734
	Liberal hold		Swing		–3.5
Source: Elections Canada [8]

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Karina Gould	34,989	48.61	+2.63	$106,261.57
	Conservative	Jane Michael	23,930	33.24	–9.24	$86,302.63
	New Democratic	Lenaee Dupuis	7,372	10.24	+1.14	$31,070.76
	Green	Gareth Williams	4,750	6.60	+4.16	$6,940.18
	People's	Peter Smetana	944	1.31		$5,500.00
Total valid votes/expense limit			71,985	99.17
Total rejected ballots			600	0.83	+0.45
Turnout			72,585	72.44	–0.76
Eligible voters			100,201
	Liberal hold		Swing		+5.93
Source: Elections Canada [9] [10]

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Karina Gould	32,229	45.98	+22.74	$104,313.08
	Conservative	Mike Wallace	29,780	42.48	–11.66	$105,053.18
	New Democratic	David Laird	6,381	9.10	–9.75	$28,503.64
	Green	Vince Fiorito	1,710	2.44	–1.10	$1,631.97
Total valid votes/expense limit			70,100	99.63		$239,840.79
Total rejected ballots			263	0.37
Turnout			70,363	73.20
Eligible voters			96,126
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing		+17.20
Source: Elections Canada [11] [12]

2011 federal election redistributed results [13]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	33,162	54.14
	Liberal	14,235	23.24
	New Democratic	11,549	18.85
	Green	2,166	3.54
	Others	140	0.23

v t e 2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Mike Wallace	32,958	54.16	+5.56	$87,782.46
	Liberal	Alyssa Brierley	14,154	23.26	-9.99	$83,688.54
	New Democratic	David Carter Laird	11,449	18.81	+7.61	$17,387.19
	Green	Graham Mayberry	2,151	3.53	-3.40	$4,138.76
	Marxist–Leninist	Elaine Baetz	140	0.23	–
Total valid votes/expense limit			60,852	100.00	–	$94,992.81
Total rejected ballots			175	0.29	-0.12
Turnout			61,027	67.02	+2.03
Eligible voters			91,058	–	–

v t e 2008 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Mike Wallace	28,614	48.60	+5.50	$82,440
	Liberal	Paddy Torsney	19,577	33.25	-5.86	$86,026
	New Democratic	David Carter Laird	6,597	11.20	-1.24	$21,862
	Green	Marnie Mellish	4,083	6.93	+1.60	$2,280
Total valid votes/expense limit			58,871	100.00	–	$92,099
Total rejected ballots			239	0.40	+0.05
Turnout			59,110	64.99

v t e 2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Mike Wallace	28,030	43.10	+4.8
	Liberal	Paddy Torsney	25,431	39.11	-5.9
	New Democratic	David Carter Laird	8,090	12.44	+1.6
	Green	Rick Goldring	3,471	5.33	+0.1
Total valid votes			65,022	100.0
Total rejected ballots			227	0.35
Turnout			65,249	72.96

v t e 2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paddy Torsney	27,423	45.0	-1.8
	Conservative	Mike Wallace	23,389	38.4	-9.6
	New Democratic	David Carter Laird	6,581	10.8	+7.2
	Green	Angela Reid	3,169	5.2
	Christian Heritage	John Herman Wubs	429	0.7
Total valid votes			60,991	100.0

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.

v t e 2000 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paddy Torsney	22,175	46.8	+2.7
	Alliance	Don Pennell	11,500	24.3	+6.9
	Progressive Conservative	Stephen Collinson	11,240	23.7	-9.0
	New Democratic	Larry McMahon	1,722	3.6	-1.5
	Green	Tom Snyder	771	1.6
Total valid votes			47,408	100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

v t e 1997 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paddy Torsney	22,042	44.1	0.0
	Progressive Conservative	Mike Kuegle	16,344	32.7	+6.5
	Reform	Terry Lamping	8,662	17.3	-5.9
	New Democratic	Jim Hough	2,561	5.1	+2.1
	Canadian Action	Ann Marsden	352	0.7
Total valid votes			49,961	100.0

v t e 1993 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paddy Torsney	22,785	44.1	+17.5
	Progressive Conservative	Mike Kuegle	13,540	26.2	-25.9
	Reform	Hugh Ramolla	11,984	23.2
	New Democratic	Jim Hough	1,554	3.0	-13.1
	Independent	Bill Barlett	929	1.8
	National	Bill Watson	535	1.0
	Natural Law	Ursula Kropfel	336	0.7
Total valid votes			51,663	100.0

v t e 1988 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bill Kempling	26,293	52.1	-9.9
	Liberal	James Smith	13,448	26.6	+7.8
	New Democratic	Jane Mulkewich	8,149	16.1	-3.1
	Christian Heritage	Ron Bremer	2,285	4.5
	Libertarian	Dan Riga	321	0.6
Total valid votes			50,496	100.0

v t e 1984 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bill Kempling	37,577	61.9	+11.2
	New Democratic	Walter Mulkewich	11,687	19.3	+3.6
	Liberal	Fred Schwenger	11,406	18.8	-14.0
Total valid votes			60,670	100.0

v t e 1980 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bill Kempling	27,212	50.8	-5.6
	Liberal	Tom Sutherland	17,574	32.8	+4.6
	New Democratic	Danny Dunleavy	8,421	15.7	+1.0
	Libertarian	Bruno S. Oberski	341	0.6	0.0
	Marxist–Leninist	Charles Boylan	63	0.1	0.0
Total valid votes			53,611	100.0

v t e 1979 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Progressive Conservative	Bill Kempling	32,225	56.4
	Liberal	Tom Sutherland	16,100	28.2
	New Democratic	Danny Dunleavy	8,421	14.7
	Libertarian	John Lawson	365	0.6
	Marxist–Leninist	Charles Boylan	62	0.1
Total valid votes			57,173	100.0

See also

• List of Canadian federal electoral districts
• Historical federal electoral districts of Canada

References

• "Burlington (federal electoral district) (Code 35010) Census Profile". 2011 census . Government of Canada - Statistics Canada . Retrieved March 2, 2012.
• Federal riding history from the Library of Parliament
• Burlington District
• Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes

1. Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
2. Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
3. Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
4. Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
5. Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

1. Statistics Canada
2. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Burlington [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved March 9, 2023.
3. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
4. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
5. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
6. admin. "Home". Emily Brown for Burlington. Retrieved April 28, 2024.
7. "Shaheryar Mian". Shaheryar Mian. Retrieved April 28, 2024.
8. "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada . Retrieved September 2, 2021.
9. "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
10. "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 13, 2021.
11. Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Burlington, 30 September 2015
12. Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine
13. Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

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