LessWrong

Last updated

LessWrong
LessWrong logo.svg
Type of site
Internet forum, blog
Available inEnglish
Created by Eliezer Yudkowsky
URL LessWrong.com
RegistrationOptional, but is required for contributing content
LaunchedFebruary 1, 2009;15 years ago (2009-02-01)
Current statusActive
Written in JavaScript, CSS (powered by React and GraphQL)

LessWrong (also written Less Wrong) is a community blog and forum focused on discussion of cognitive biases, philosophy, psychology, economics, rationality, and artificial intelligence, among other topics. [1] [2]

Contents

Purpose

The best known posts of LessWrong are "The Sequences", a series of essays which aim to describe how to avoid the typical failure modes of human reasoning with the goal of improving decision-making and the evaluation of evidence. [3] [4] One suggestion is the use of Bayes' theorem as a decision-making tool. [2] There is also a focus on psychological barriers that prevent good decision-making, including fear conditioning and cognitive biases that have been studied by the psychologist Daniel Kahneman. [5]

LessWrong is also concerned with artificial intelligence, transhumanism, existential threats and the singularity. The New York Observer in 2019 noted that "Despite describing itself as a forum on 'the art of human rationality,' the New York Less Wrong group ... is fixated on a branch of futurism that would seem more at home in a 3D multiplex than a graduate seminar: the dire existential threat—or, with any luck, utopian promise—known as the technological Singularity ... Branding themselves as 'rationalists,' as the Less Wrong crew has done, makes it a lot harder to dismiss them as a 'doomsday cult'." [6]

History

Eliezer Yudkowsky at Stanford University in 2006 Eliezer Yudkowsky, Stanford 2006 (square crop).jpg
Eliezer Yudkowsky at Stanford University in 2006

LessWrong developed from Overcoming Bias, an earlier group blog focused on human rationality, which began in November 2006, with artificial intelligence researcher Eliezer Yudkowsky and economist Robin Hanson as the principal contributors. In February 2009, Yudkowsky's posts were used as the seed material to create the community blog LessWrong, and Overcoming Bias became Hanson's personal blog. [7] In 2013, a significant portion of the rationalist community shifted focus to Scott Alexander's Slate Star Codex. [3] In 2017, a "Lesswrong 2.0" effort reinvigorated the site, [8] with LessWrong's reported user activity on the site since returning to roughly pre-2013 levels. [9]

Artificial Intelligence

Discussions of AI within LessWrong include AI alignment, AI safety, [10] and machine consciousness.[ citation needed ] Articles posted on LessWrong about AI have been cited in the news media. [10] [11] LessWrong, and its surrounding movement work on AI are the subjects of the 2019 book The AI Does Not Hate You, written by former BuzzFeed science correspondent Tom Chivers. [12] [13] [14]

Effective altruism

LessWrong played a significant role in the development of the effective altruism (EA) movement, [15] and the two communities are closely intertwined. [16] :227 In a survey of LessWrong users in 2016, 664 out of 3,060 respondents, or 21.7%, identified as "effective altruists". A separate survey of effective altruists in 2014 revealed that 31% of respondents had first heard of EA through LessWrong, [16] though that number had fallen to 8.2% by 2020. [17]

Roko's basilisk

In July 2010, LessWrong contributor Roko posted a thought experiment to the site in which an otherwise benevolent future AI system tortures people who heard of the AI before it came into existence and failed to work tirelessly to bring it into existence, in order to incentivise said work. This idea came to be known as "Roko's basilisk", based on Roko's idea that merely hearing about the idea would give the hypothetical AI system an incentive to try such blackmail. [18] [19] [6]

Neoreaction

The comment section of Overcoming Bias attracted prominent neoreactionaries such as Curtis Yarvin (pen name Mencius Moldbug), the founder of the neoreactionary movement, [20] and Hanson posted his side of a debate versus Moldbug on futarchy. [21] After LessWrong split from Overcoming Bias, it too attracted some individuals affiliated with neoreaction with discussions of eugenics and evolutionary psychology. [22] However, Yudkowsky has strongly rejected neoreaction. [23] [24] In a survey among LessWrong users in 2016, 28 out of 3060 respondents (0.92%) identified as "neoreactionary". [25]

Notable users

LessWrong has been associated with several influential contributors. Founder Eliezer Yudkowsky established the platform to promote rationality and raise awareness about potential risks associated with artificial intelligence. [26] Scott Alexander became one of the site's most popular writers before starting his own blog, Slate Star Codex, contributing discussions on AI safety and rationality. [26]

Further notable users on LessWrong include Paul Christiano, Wei Dai and Zvi Mowshowitz. A selection of posts by these and other contributors, selected through a community review process, [27] were published as parts of the essay collections "A Map That Reflects the Territory" [28] and "The Engines of Cognition". [29] [27] [30]

Related Research Articles

The technological singularity—or simply the singularity—is a hypothetical future point in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable consequences for Human civilization. According to the most popular version of the singularity hypothesis, I. J. Good's intelligence explosion model of 1965, an upgradable intelligent agent could eventually enter a positive feedback loop of self-improvement cycles, each successive; and more intelligent generation appearing more and more rapidly, causing a rapid increase ("explosion") in intelligence which would ultimately result in a powerful superintelligence, qualitatively far surpassing all human intelligence.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Eliezer Yudkowsky</span> American AI researcher and writer (born 1979)

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky is an American artificial intelligence researcher and writer on decision theory and ethics, best known for popularizing ideas related to friendly artificial intelligence. He is the founder of and a research fellow at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), a private research nonprofit based in Berkeley, California. His work on the prospect of a runaway intelligence explosion influenced philosopher Nick Bostrom's 2014 book Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies.

Friendly artificial intelligence is hypothetical artificial general intelligence (AGI) that would have a positive (benign) effect on humanity or at least align with human interests or contribute to fostering the improvement of the human species. It is a part of the ethics of artificial intelligence and is closely related to machine ethics. While machine ethics is concerned with how an artificially intelligent agent should behave, friendly artificial intelligence research is focused on how to practically bring about this behavior and ensuring it is adequately constrained.

Singularitarianism is a movement defined by the belief that a technological singularity—the creation of superintelligence—will likely happen in the medium future, and that deliberate action ought to be taken to ensure that the singularity benefits humans.

The Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), formerly the Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence (SIAI), is a non-profit research institute focused since 2005 on identifying and managing potential existential risks from artificial general intelligence. MIRI's work has focused on a friendly AI approach to system design and on predicting the rate of technology development.

Recursive self-improvement (RSI) is a process in which an early or weak artificial general intelligence (AGI) system enhances its own capabilities and intelligence without human intervention, leading to a superintelligence or intelligence explosion.

The ethics of artificial intelligence covers a broad range of topics within the field that are considered to have particular ethical stakes. This includes algorithmic biases, fairness, automated decision-making, accountability, privacy, and regulation. It also covers various emerging or potential future challenges such as machine ethics, lethal autonomous weapon systems, arms race dynamics, AI safety and alignment, technological unemployment, AI-enabled misinformation, how to treat certain AI systems if they have a moral status, artificial superintelligence and existential risks.

In the field of artificial intelligence (AI) design, AI capability control proposals, also referred to as AI confinement, aim to increase our ability to monitor and control the behavior of AI systems, including proposed artificial general intelligences (AGIs), in order to reduce the danger they might pose if misaligned. However, capability control becomes less effective as agents become more intelligent and their ability to exploit flaws in human control systems increases, potentially resulting in an existential risk from AGI. Therefore, the Oxford philosopher Nick Bostrom and others recommend capability control methods only as a supplement to alignment methods.

Machine ethics is a part of the ethics of artificial intelligence concerned with adding or ensuring moral behaviors of man-made machines that use artificial intelligence, otherwise known as artificial intelligent agents. Machine ethics differs from other ethical fields related to engineering and technology. It should not be confused with computer ethics, which focuses on human use of computers. It should also be distinguished from the philosophy of technology, which concerns itself with technology's grander social effects.

<i>Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality</i> Fan fiction by Eliezer Yudkowsky

Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality (HPMOR) is a work of Harry Potter fan fiction by Eliezer Yudkowsky published on FanFiction.Net as a serial from February 28, 2010, to March 14, 2015, totaling 122 chapters and over 660,000 words. It adapts the story of Harry Potter to explain complex concepts in cognitive science, philosophy, and the scientific method. Yudkowsky's reimagining supposes that Harry's aunt Petunia Evans married an Oxford professor and homeschooled Harry in science and rational thinking, allowing Harry to enter the magical world with ideals from the Age of Enlightenment and an experimental spirit. The fan fiction spans one year, covering Harry's first year in Hogwarts. HPMOR has inspired other works of fan fiction, art, and poetry.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Center for Applied Rationality</span> US-based nonprofit organization

The Center for Applied Rationality (CFAR) is a nonprofit organization based in Berkeley, California, that hosts workshops on rationality and cognitive bias. It was founded in 2012 by Julia Galef, Anna Salamon, Michael Smith and Andrew Critch, to improve participants' rationality using "a set of techniques from math and decision theory for forming your beliefs about the world as accurately as possible". Its president since 2021 is Anna Salamon.

MetaMed Research was an American medical consulting firm aiming to provide personalized medical research services. It was founded in 2012 by Michael Vassar, Jaan Tallinn, Zvi Mowshowitz, and Nevin Freeman with startup funding from Silicon Valley investor Peter Thiel. MetaMed stated that its researchers were drawn from top universities, as well as prominent technology companies such as Google. Many of its principals were associated with the Rationalist movement.

<i>Our Final Invention</i> 2013 book by James Barrat

Our Final Invention: Artificial Intelligence and the End of the Human Era is a 2013 non-fiction book by the American author James Barrat. The book discusses the potential benefits and possible risks of human-level (AGI) or super-human (ASI) artificial intelligence. Those supposed risks include extermination of the human race.

The Dark Enlightenment, also called the neo-reactionary movement, is an anti-democratic, anti-egalitarian, reactionary philosophical and political movement. The term "Dark Enlightenment" is a reaction to the Age of Enlightenment and apologia for the public view of the "Dark Ages".

Instrumental convergence is the hypothetical tendency for most sufficiently intelligent, goal directed beings to pursue similar sub-goals, even if their ultimate goals are quite different. More precisely, agents may pursue instrumental goals—goals which are made in pursuit of some particular end, but are not the end goals themselves—without ceasing, provided that their ultimate (intrinsic) goals may never be fully satisfied.

In philosophy, Pascal's mugging is a thought experiment demonstrating a problem in expected utility maximization. A rational agent should choose actions whose outcomes, when weighted by their probability, have higher utility. But some very unlikely outcomes may have very great utilities, and these utilities can grow faster than the probability diminishes. Hence the agent should focus more on vastly improbable cases with implausibly high rewards; this leads first to counter-intuitive choices, and then to incoherence as the utility of every choice becomes unbounded.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Curtis Yarvin</span> American political blogger and computer scientist

Curtis Guy Yarvin, also known by the pen name Mencius Moldbug, is an American blogger. He is known, along with philosopher Nick Land, for founding the anti-egalitarian and anti-democratic philosophical movement known as the Dark Enlightenment or neo-reactionary movement (NRx).

Wei Dai is a computer engineer known for contributions to cryptography and cryptocurrencies. He developed the Crypto++ cryptographic library, created the b-money cryptocurrency system, and co-proposed the VMAC message authentication algorithm.

<i>Slate Star Codex</i> Blog focused on psychology, philosophy, artificial intelligence, and futurism

Astral Codex Ten, formerly called Slate Star Codex (SSC), is a blog focused on science, medicine, philosophy, politics, and futurism. The blog is written by Scott Alexander Siskind, a San Francisco Bay Area psychiatrist, under the pen name Scott Alexander.

Roko's basilisk is a thought experiment which states that an otherwise benevolent artificial superintelligence (AI) in the future would be incentivized to create a virtual reality simulation to torture anyone who knew of its potential existence but did not directly contribute to its advancement or development, in order to incentivize said advancement. It originated in a 2010 post at discussion board LessWrong, a technical forum focused on analytical rational enquiry. The thought experiment's name derives from the poster of the article (Roko) and the basilisk, a mythical creature capable of destroying enemies with its stare.

References

  1. "Less Wrong FAQ". LessWrong. Archived from the original on 30 April 2019. Retrieved 25 March 2014.
  2. 1 2 Miller, James (28 July 2011). "You Can Learn How To Become More Rational". Business Insider . Archived from the original on 10 August 2018. Retrieved 25 March 2014.
  3. 1 2 Lewis-Kraus, Gideon (9 July 2020). "Slate Star Codex and Silicon Valley's War Against the Media". The New Yorker . Archived from the original on 10 July 2020. Retrieved 4 August 2020.
  4. "Sequences Highlights". LessWrong. Archived from the original on 6 July 2024. Retrieved 12 July 2024.
  5. Burkeman, Oliver (9 March 2012). "This column will change your life: asked a tricky question? Answer an easier one". The Guardian . Archived from the original on 26 March 2014. Retrieved 25 March 2014.
  6. 1 2 Tiku, Nitasha (25 July 2012). "Faith, Hope, and Singularity: Entering the Matrix with New York's Futurist Set". Observer . Archived from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 12 April 2019.
  7. "Where did Less Wrong come from? (LessWrong FAQ)". Archived from the original on 30 April 2019. Retrieved 25 March 2014.
  8. Habryka, Oliver (18 June 2017). "Welcome to Lesswrong 2.0". Lesswrong forum post.
  9. Ruby (14 May 2019). "Data Analysis of LW: Activity Levels + Age Distribution of User Accounts". Lesswrong forum post.
  10. 1 2 Chivers, Tom (22 November 2023). "What we've learned about the robot apocalypse from the OpenAI debacle". Semafor . Archived from the original on 3 March 2024. Retrieved 14 July 2024. Since the late 1990s those worries have become more specific, and coalesced around Nick Bostrom's 2014 book Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies and Eliezer Yudkowsky's blog LessWrong.
  11. Newport, Cal (15 March 2024). "Can an A.I. Make Plans?". The New Yorker. ISSN   0028-792X . Retrieved 14 July 2024.
  12. Cowdrey, Katherine (21 September 2017). "W&N wins Buzzfeed science reporter's debut after auction". The Bookseller . Archived from the original on 27 November 2018. Retrieved 21 September 2017.
  13. Chivers, Tom (2019). The AI Does Not Hate You. Weidenfeld & Nicolson. ISBN   978-1474608770.
  14. Marriott, James (31 May 2019). "The AI Does Not Hate You by Tom Chivers review — why the nerds are nervous". The Times . ISSN   0140-0460. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. Retrieved 3 May 2020.
  15. de Lazari-Radek, Katarzyna; Singer, Peter (27 September 2017). Utilitarianism: A Very Short Introduction. Oxford University Press. p. 110. ISBN   9780198728795.
  16. 1 2 Chivers, Tom (2019). "Chapter 38: The Effective Altruists". The AI Does Not Hate You. Weidenfeld & Nicolson. ISBN   978-1474608770.
  17. Moss, David (20 May 2021). "EA Survey 2020: How People Get Involved in EA". Effective Altruism Forum. Archived from the original on 28 July 2021. Retrieved 28 July 2021.
  18. Love, Dylan (6 August 2014). "WARNING: Just Reading About This Thought Experiment Could Ruin Your Life". Business Insider . Archived from the original on 18 November 2018. Retrieved 6 December 2014.
  19. Auerbach, David (17 July 2014). "The Most Terrifying Thought Experiment of All Time". Slate . Archived from the original on 25 October 2018. Retrieved 18 July 2014.
  20. Sandifer, Elizabeth (2018). Neoreaction a Basilisk: Essays On and Around the Alt-Right (2nd ed.). Eruditorum Press. one of the sites where [Moldbug] got his start as a commenter was on Overcoming Bias, i.e. where Yudkowsky was writing before LessWrong.
  21. Hanson, Robin. "My Moldbug Debate". Overcoming Bias. Archived from the original on 24 January 2010. Retrieved 13 July 2024.
  22. Keep, Elmo (22 June 2016). "The Strange and Conflicting World Views of Silicon Valley Billionaire Peter Thiel". Fusion. Archived from the original on 13 February 2017. Retrieved 5 October 2016. Thanks to LessWrong's discussions of eugenics and evolutionary psychology, it has attracted some readers and commenters affiliated with the alt-right and neoreaction, that broad cohort of neofascist, white nationalist and misogynist trolls.
  23. Riggio, Adam (23 September 2016). "The Violence of Pure Reason: Neoreaction: A Basilisk". Social Epistemology Review and Reply Collective. 5 (9): 34–41. ISSN   2471-9560. Archived from the original on 5 October 2016. Retrieved 5 October 2016. Land and Yarvin are openly allies with the new reactionary movement, while Yudkowsky counts many reactionaries among his fanbase despite finding their racist politics disgusting.
  24. Eliezer Yudkowsky (8 April 2016). "Untitled". Optimize Literally Everything (blog). Archived from the original on 26 May 2019. Retrieved 7 October 2016.
  25. Hermansson, Patrik; Lawrence, David; Mulhall, Joe; Murdoch, Simon (2020). "The Dark Enlightenment: Neoreaction and Silicon Valley". The International Alt-Right. Fascism for the 21st Century?. Abingdon-on-Thames, England, UK: Routledge. ISBN   9781138363861. Archived from the original on 13 June 2022. Retrieved 2 October 2020.
  26. 1 2 Miller, J.D. (2017). "Reflections on the Singularity Journey". In Callaghan, V.; Miller, J.; Yampolskiy, R.; Armstrong, S. (eds.). The Technological Singularity. The Frontiers Collection. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer. pp. 225–226. ISBN   978-3-662-54033-6. Yudkowsky helped create the Singularity Institute (now called the Machine Intelligence Research Institute) to help mankind achieve a friendly Singularity. (Disclosure: I have contributed to the Singularity Institute.) Yudkowsky then founded the community blog http://LessWrong.com, which seeks to promote the art of rationality, to raise the sanity waterline, and to in part convince people to make considered, rational charitable donations, some of which, Yudkowsky (correctly) hoped, would go to his organization.
  27. 1 2 Gasarch, William (2022). "Review of "A Map that Reflects the Territory: Essays by the LessWrong Community"". ACM SIGACT News. 53 (1): 13–24. doi:10.1145/3532737.3532741. Users wrote reviews of the best posts of 2018, and voted on them using the quadratic voting system, popularized by Glen Weyl and Vitalik Buterin. From the 2000+ posts published that year, the Review narrowed down the 44 most interesting and valuable posts.
  28. Lagerros, J.; Pace, B.; LessWrong.com (2020). A Map That Reflects the Territory: Essays by the LessWrong Community. Center for Applied Rationality. ISBN   9781736128503.
  29. Pace, B.; LessWrong (2021). The Engines of Cognition: Essays by the LessWrong Community. Center for Applied Rationality. ISBN   9781736128510.
  30. Gasarch, William (2022). "Review of "The Engines of Cognition: Essays by the Less Wrong Community"". ACM SIGACT News. 53 (3): 6–16. doi:10.1145/3561066.3561064 (inactive 28 July 2024).{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: DOI inactive as of July 2024 (link)