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A special election for Ohio's 12th congressional district was held August 7, 2018, following the resignation of Republican U.S. Representative Pat Tiberi. The Republican Party nominated State Senator Troy Balderson for the seat while the Democratic Party nominated Franklin County Recorder Danny O'Connor. Balderson led O'Connor in preliminary results, however the race was not officially called on election night. [1] Counting of outstanding ballots began on August 18 and was completed on August 24. [2] The outstanding ballots did not change the margin enough to trigger an automatic recount, so Balderson was declared the winner on August 24. [3]
The United States House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the United States Congress, the Senate being the upper chamber. Together they compose the legislature of the United States.
Patrick Joseph Tiberi is an American politician who served as the U.S. Representative for Ohio's 12th congressional district from 2001 to 2018. His district included communities north and east of Columbus. He is a member of the Republican Party, and previously served in the Ohio House of Representatives from 1993 to 2000. He briefly served as Chair of the new Republican Main Street Congressional Caucus from September 7, 2017.
The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.
Nine-term incumbent Republican Representative Pat Tiberi announced on October 19, 2017, that he will be leaving office before the end of his term, in order to lead the Ohio Business Roundtable. [4] On January 3, 2018, he announced that he would officially resign January 15. [5] On January 5, Ohio Governor John Kasich set the primaries for the special election for May 8, and the general election for August 7. [6] The winner of this special election will serve for five months until January 2019, unless also elected in the regularly scheduled November general election.
The Business Roundtable (BRT) is a group of chief executive officers of major U.S. corporations formed to promote pro-business public policy.
John Richard Kasich Jr. is an American politician, author, and television news personality who served as the 69th Governor of Ohio from 2011 to 2019. Elected governor in 2010 and re-elected in 2014, Kasich is a member of the Republican Party.
Ohio's 12th congressional district is located in the central portion of the state and includes Delaware, Licking, and Morrow counties with the addition of portions of Franklin, Marion, Muskingum, and Richland counties. The district has been in Republican hands for all but one term since 1939, and without interruption since 1983.
Ohio's 12th congressional district is a United States congressional district in central Ohio, covering Delaware County, Morrow County, and Licking County, along with parts of Franklin, Marion, Muskingum, and Richland counties. The district includes communities north and east of Columbus including Zanesville, Mansfield, and Dublin.
Delaware County is a county in the U.S. state of Ohio. As of the 2010 census, the population was 174,214. Its county seat is Delaware, Ohio. The county was formed in 1808 from Franklin County, Ohio. Both the county and its seat are named after the Delaware Indian tribe.
Licking County is a county located in the U.S. state of Ohio. As of the 2010 census, the population was 166,492. Its county seat is Newark. The county was formed on January 30, 1808 from portions of Fairfield County. It is named for the salt licks that were in the area.
Kevin Bacon is a former state senator for the 3rd District of the Ohio Senate, who served from 2011 to 2018. Formerly, he served in the Ohio House of Representatives from 2007 to 2010, and as a Blendon Township Trustee. Bacon represents the portions of Franklin County including Westerville, New Albany, Gahanna, Whitehall, Reynoldsburg, Canal Winchester, Obetz, Valley View, Marble Cliff and portions of Columbus.
Timothy Joseph Kane is an American economist, currently serving as a research fellow at the Hoover Institution. He is a former U.S. Air Force intelligence officer with two overseas tours of duty. After leaving the service, Kane founded multiple technology firms while pursuing a Ph.D. in economics. After briefly working as a professor of economics, Kane served on the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress and was Director of the Center for International Trade and Economics at the Heritage Foundation. He was the lead editor of the 2007 Index of Economic Freedom, co-published by The Wall Street Journal and the Heritage Foundation, and is the author of the book Bleeding Talent: How the U.S. Military Mismanages Great Leaders and Why It's Time for a Revolution. Kane co-authored the book, Balance: The Economics of Great Powers from Ancient Rome to Modern America with Glenn Hubbard. Kane was a Republican candidate in Ohio's 12th congressional district special election in 2018.
Liberty Township is one of the eighteen townships of Delaware County, Ohio, United States. The 2000 census reported a population of 15,429 in the township, 9,182 of whom lived in the unincorporated portions of the township. This was a significant increase from the 1990 census, at which time its population was only 3,790. As of the 2010 census the population of the township was 26,172.
Andrew O. Brenner is an American politician in the U.S. State of Ohio. He is a Republican member of the Ohio House of Representatives. He is currently serving his fourth and final term in office as state representative for the 67th Ohio House District.
Anne Gonzales is a former member of the Ohio House of Representatives, representing the Nineteenth District between 2011 and 2019.
Franklin County is a county in the U.S. state of Ohio. As of 2018 census estimates, the population was 1,310,300, making it the most populous county in Ohio. Its county seat is Columbus, the state capital and most populous city in Ohio. The county was established on April 30, 1803, less than two months after Ohio became a state, and was named after Benjamin Franklin. Franklin County originally extended all the way north to Lake Erie before Ohio subdivided further into more counties.
Kevin Bacon |
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Tim Kane |
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Melanie Leneghan |
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Carol O'Brien |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Adams | Kevin Bacon | Troy Balderson | Gary Chiero | Lawrence Cohen | Jonathan Halverstadt | Tim Kane | Melanie Leneghan | Pat Manley | Carol O'Brien | Mick Shoemaker |
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Public Opinion Strategies (R-Balderson) | April 15–16, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 1% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Troy Balderson | 20,101 | 29.22 | |
Republican | Melanie Leneghan | 19,437 | 28.25 | |
Republican | Tim Kane | 11,743 | 17.07 | |
Republican | Kevin Bacon | 9,819 | 14.27 | |
Republican | Carol O'Brien | 4,406 | 6.40 | |
Republican | Jon Halverstadt | 998 | 1.45 | |
Republican | Lawrence Cohen | 807 | 1.17 | |
Republican | Mick Shoemaker | 750 | 1.09 | |
Republican | Pat Manley | 741 | 1.08 | |
Total votes | 68,802 | 100 |
John Russell |
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Zach Scott |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Danny O'Connor | 18,422 | 40.94 | |
Democratic | Zach Scott | 7,554 | 16.76 | |
Democratic | John Russell | 7,515 | 16.70 | |
Democratic | Jackie Patton | 6,111 | 13.58 | |
Democratic | Ed Albertson | 3,638 | 8.08 | |
Democratic | Doug Wilson | 1,771 | 3.94 | |
Total votes | 45,011 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [35] | Tossup | April 27, 2018 |
Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report [36] | Tilt R | May 4, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Tossup | July 24, 2018 |
Troy Balderson (R) |
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Danny O'Connor (D) |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Troy Balderson (R) | Danny O'Connor (D) | Joe Manchik (G) | Other | Undecided |
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Emerson College | August 2–4, 2018 | 431 | ± 5.0% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 7% |
Monmouth University | July 26–31, 2018 | 512 | ± 4.3% | 44% | 43% | 2% | 0% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) | July 27–29, 2018 | 617 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 44% | – | – | – |
GBA Strategies (D-O'Connor) | July 23–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 2% | – | – |
GBA Strategies (D-O'Connor) | July 10–13, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 5% | – | – |
JMC Analytics | June 13–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 35% | 1% | – | 18% |
GBA Strategies (D-O'Connor) | June 9–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 4% | – | – |
Monmouth University | June 7–10, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 33% | 1% | 2% | 21% |
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) | May 10–11, 2018 | 625 | ± 3.9% | 45% | 43% | – | – | 11% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
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Republican | Troy Balderson | 104,328 | 50.12% | –16.43% | |
Democratic | Danny O'Connor | 102,648 | 49.32% | +19.48% | |
Green | Joe Manchik | 1,165 | 0.56% | –3.01% | |
Total votes | 208,141 | 100.00% | |||
Majority | 1,680 | 0.8% | –35.91% |
O'Connor dominated the district's portion of Franklin County, home to the largest share of the district's population. However, he could not overcome a 4,800-vote deficit in normally heavily Republican Delaware County, the largest whole county in the district. Still, this was easily the closest that a Democrat had come to winning the district since 1982.
Theodore Strickland is an American politician who was the 68th Governor of Ohio, serving from 2007 to 2011. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served in the United States House of Representatives, representing Ohio's 6th congressional district.
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