Opinion polling for the 2016 Philippine presidential election

Opinion polling, locally known as surveys, in the 2016 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, and other pollsters. The last electoral votes were cast on Monday, May 9, 2016.

As the positions of president and vice president are elected separately, pollsters usually have separate surveys for each position.

The figure representing the polling numbers for the candidate that topped each poll is emboldened unless two or more candidates tied, when they are all emboldened. Those figures which are within the margin of error are italicized.

Calendar

Further information: 2016 Philippine general election § Calendar

• Filing of candidacies: October 12 to 16, 2015
• Campaign period for candidates for president, vice president, senators and party-list representatives: February 9 to May 7, 2016
• Campaign period for local positions and district representatives: March 26 to May 7, 2016
• Casting of ballots for local absentee voters: April 27 to 29, 2016
• Election day: May 9, 2016

Polling for president

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	MoE	Binay UNA	Poe Ind	Duterte PDP-Laban	Roxas LP	Santiago PRP	Refused	Don't know	Undecided / None
Election results	May 9, 2016	44,979,151	N/A	12.73	21.31	39.02	23.45	3.42	N/A
SWS [1]	Exit poll	45,123	N/A	13.5	19.2	39.3	24.0	3.1	N/A
D' Strafford [2]	May 1–5, 2016	4,000	±1.2%	16.6	22.5	25.4	30.5	3	–	0.3	1.7
SWS [3]	May 1–3, 2016	4,500	±1.0%	13	22	33	20	2	–	6	4
Argus [4]	Apr 28–30, 2016	6,000	±1.9%	19	27	31	19	4	–	–	–
Standard [5]	Apr 27-May 1, 2016	3,000	±1.8%	15	25	32	22	2	–	–	4
Antonio Trillanes' exposé on Rodrigo Duterte's alleged multimillion peso bank accounts and properties (April 27).
Pulse Asia [6]	Apr 26–29, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	17	21	33	22	2	–	–	5
D' Strafford [7]	Apr 25–29, 2016	4,500	±1.2%	17	24	25	28	3	–	–	1
The Center [8]	Apr 23–29, 2016	1,800	±2.5%	23	25	29	21	2	–	–	–
Third presidential debate in Dagupan (April 24).
Pulse Asia [9]	Apr 19–24, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	18	22	33	20	2	–	–	5
SWS [10]	Apr 18–20, 2016	1,800	±2%	14	24	33	19	2	–	5	3
Rodrigo Duterte makes a joke about a murdered and raped Australian kidnap victim in a campaign rally (April 17).
Pulse Asia [11]	Apr 16–20, 2016	1,800	±2.3%	16	23	35	17	2	0.3	–	5
D' Strafford [12]	Apr 13–18, 2016	2,800	±1.9%	19	26	20	26	4	–	–	4
Pulse Asia [13]	Apr 12–17, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	19	22	34	18	2	1	3	4
The Center [14]	Apr 11–16, 2016	1,800	±2.5%	23.25	26.25	26.75	20.75	2	–	–	1
The Supreme Court declares their vote on Grace Poe's natural-born status and 10-year residency is final and executory, and she is eligible to the presidency (April 9).
Pulse Asia [15]	Apr 5–10, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	20	25	32	18	1	1	2	1
The Center [16]	Apr 1–7, 2016	1,800	±2.5%	22	25	29	19	2	–	–	2.3
Pulse Asia [17]	Mar 29–Apr 3, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	20	25	30	19	2	–	–	4
MBC–DZRH [18]	Apr 2, 2016	7,490	±1.13%	15.3	28.2	36	15.2	3.5	–	–	1.8
SWS [19]	Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016	1,500	±3%	20	23	27	18	3	–	–	–
Standard [20]	Mar 26–Apr 1, 2016	3,000	±1.8%	18	27	30	21	2	–	–	2
Second presidential debate in Cebu City (March 20).
Pulse Asia [21]	Mar 15–20, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	23	28	24	19	2	–	–	4
Pulse Asia [22]	Mar 8–13, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	22	26	25	20	3	–	–	5
The Supreme Court affirms Grace Poe's natural-born status and declares she is qualified to run (March 8).
SWS [23]	Mar 4–7, 2016	1,800	±2%	24	27	21	22	4	–	–	1
Pulse Asia [24]	Mar 1–6, 2016	2,600	±1.9%	21	28	24	20	3	–	–	6
Standard [25]	Feb 24–Mar 1, 2016	3,000	±1.8%	23	26	24	22	2	–	–	4
Pulse Asia [26]	Feb 23–27, 2016	2,600	±1.9%	22	25	23	20	3	–	–	–
Pulse Asia [27]	Feb 16–27, 2016	5,200	±1.4%	24	26	22	19	3	2	2	2
First presidential debate in Cagayan de Oro (February 21).
Pulse Asia [28]	Feb 15–20, 2016	1,800	±2%	25	26	21	21	3	–	–	4
MBC–DZRH [29] [30]	Feb 13, 2016	7,572	±1.13%	23.2	27	26.4	19	3.9	–	–	2.3

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	MoE	Binay UNA	Poe Ind	Duterte PDP-Laban	Roxas LP	Santiago PRP	David AK	Sabio Ind	Señeres PMM	Syjuco Ind	Others	Refused	Don't know	None
2016
SWS [31]	Feb 5-7, 2016	1,200	±3%	29	24	24	18	4	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2
Standard [32]	Jan 27-Feb 4, 2016	3,000	±1.8%	22	29	20	22	2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4
Pulse Asia [33]	Jan 24–28, 2016	1,200	±3%	23	30	20	20	4	–	–	–	–	0.1	0.4	1	1
SWS [34]	Jan 8–10, 2016	1,800	±2%	31	24	20	21	3	–	0	0.1	–	0	2
RMN [35]	Jan 5-14, 2016	3,578	±2.5%	21.49	28.59	27.86	15.12	5.14	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1.79
2015
SWS [36]	Dec 12–14, 2015	1,200	±3%	26	26	20	22	4	0.1	0.04	0	0	0.1	1
Standard [37]	Dec 4–12, 2015	1,800	±2%	23	28	19	22	3	–	–	–	–	0.1	–	–	4
Pulse Asia [38]	Dec 4–11, 2015	1,500	±2.6%	33	21	23	21	4	–	0.1	0	0	–	0.3	1	1
MBC–DZRH [39]	Nov 27, 2015	7,436	±1.14%	18.63	25.14	30.25	14.92	6.22	0.21	0.08	0.31	0.10	2.23	–	–	1.92
RMN [40]	Oct 25-Nov 5, 2015	3,604	±2.5%	22.95	37.15	–	19.64	11.74	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	8.52

Until candidacy filing ended on 16 October 2015

Single-choice surveys

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	MoE	Binay UNA	Poe Ind	Duterte PDP-Laban	Roxas LP	Santiago PRP	Estrada PMP	Escudero Ind	Cayetano Ind	Marcos Ind	Gordon Bagumbayan	Drilon LP	Lacson Ind	Legarda NPC	Revilla Lakas	Teodoro Ind	Others	Refused	Don't know	None
2015
Pulse Asia [41]	Sep 8–15, 2015	2,400	±2%	19	26	16	20	3	5	–	1	–	–	–	2	6	–	–	0.6% Bello (Ind): 0.1% Others: 0.5%	3
SWS [42]	Sep 2–5, 2015	1,200	±3%	24	26	11	20	12	3	4	0.8	4	–	–	8	0.8	–	8	3% Villar (NP): 1% Others/Refused/Don't know/None:2%
Pulse Asia [43]	Aug 27–Sep 3, 2015	1,200	±3%	21	27	15	18	4	5	–	1	5	–	–	1	–	–	–	–
RMN [44]	Aug 11–18, 2015	4,718	±2.5%	26.16	24.84	12.42	18.14	4.33	6	–	1.9	0.06	–	–	1.83	–	–	–	–
Pulse Asia [45]	May 30–Jun 5, 2015	1,200	±3%	22	30	15	10	6	10	–	2	–	–	–	2	–	–	–	Others: 1%	1	0.4	1
Laylo [46]	May 8–18, 2015	1,500	±2.6%	28	24	10	8	8	10	4	3	3	–	–	1	–	–	–	–
IBON [47] [48]	May 13–23, 2015	1,496	±3%	13.8	13.7	7.6	3.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	15.0% B. Aquino (LP) 4.2% Others: 10.8%	–		46.1
Pulse Asia [49]	Mar 1–7, 2015	1,200	±3%	29	14	12	4	9	12	4	3	6	1	–	1	–	–	–	3% Trillanes (Ind): 2% Others: 1%	1	0.1	2
2014
Pulse Asia [50]	Nov 14–20, 2014	1,200	±3%	26	18	–	6	12	10	7	3	4	1	2	3	–	1	1	3.4% Belmonte (LP): 0.4% Others: 3%	0.3	0.5	0.2
Pulse Asia [51]	Sep 8–15, 2014	1,200	±3%	31	10	–	13	11	10	5	1	4	2	0.4	1	–	1	–	4% Castro (Ind): 3% Robredo (LP): 1%	–
Pulse Asia [52]	Jun 24–Jul 6, 2014	1,200	±3%	41	12	–	7	7	9	7	5	5	1	1	–	–	2	–	Others: 2%	1	0.5	1
Pulse Asia [53]	Mar 19–26, 2014	1,200	±3%	40	15	–	6	10	–	9	4	5	–	–	2	–	3	–	5% K. Aquino (Ind): 4% Others: 1%	0.03	0.2	0.4

Three-choice surveys

These surveys asked participants to rank up to three candidates.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	MoE	Binay UNA	Poe Ind	Roxas LP	Duterte PDP-Laban	Santiago PRP	Estrada PMP	Escudero Ind	Cayetano Ind	Marcos Ind	Lacson Ind	Trillanes Ind	Revilla Lakas	Villar PN	Pacquiao UNA	Drilon LP	Legarda NPC	Pangilinan LP	Others	Don't know/refused	None
SWS [54]	Sep 2–5, 2015	1,200	±3%	35	47	39	16	2	3	6	1	5	1	–	–	1	–	–	–	–	–	5	2
SWS [55]	Jun 5–8, 2015	1,200	±3%	34	42	21	20	4	7	4	2	3	7	1	–	1	–	–	1	–	1	9	5
SWS [56]	Mar 20–23, 2015	1,200	±3%	36	31	15	15	11	11	8	4	7	1	3	1	3	1	1	1	–	–	3	12
SWS [57]	Nov 27–Dec 1, 2014	1,800	±2%	37	21	19	5	10	9	9	3	3	2	5	5	2	1	1	1	1	5	15	8

Polling for vice president

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	MoE	Escudero Ind	Marcos Ind	Cayetano Ind	Robredo LP	Honasan UNA	Trillanes Ind	Refused	Don't know	Undecided / None
Election results	May 9, 2016	44,066,884	N/A	12.01	34.47	14.38	35.11	1.92	2.11	N/A
SWS [1]	Exit poll	45,123	N/A	11.0	34.6	14.9	32.8	2.5	2.1	N/A
D' Strafford [2]	May 1–5, 2016	4,000	±1.2%	18	25	17	35	1	3	–	–	1
SWS [3]	May 1–3, 2016	4,500	±1.0%	15	29	13	28	3	3	–	–	9
Standard [5]	Apr 27-May 1, 2016	3,000	±1.8%	20	30	12	29	3	3	–	–	3
Argus [4]	Apr 28–30, 2016	6,000	±1.9%	22	33	13	24	4	4	–	–	–
D' Strafford [7]	Apr 25–29, 2016	4,500	±1.2%	18	28	16	34	2	1	–	–	1
Pulse Asia [6]	Apr 26–29, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	18	28	15	30	3	2	–	–	4
The Center [8]	Apr 23–29, 2016	1,800	±2.5%	18	31	15	25	5	3	–	–	3
Pulse Asia [9]	Apr 19–24, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	18	31	15	26	2	3	–	–	5
SWS [10]	Apr 18–20, 2016	1,800	±2%	18	25	16	26	2	5	–	3	5
Second vice presidential debate in Quezon City (April 17).
Pulse Asia [11]	Apr 16–20, 2016	1,800	±2.3%	18	29	16	24	4	3	0.7	–	7
D' Strafford [12]	Apr 13–18, 2016	2,800	±1.9%	23	25	17	32	1	2	–	–	–
Pulse Asia [13]	Apr 12–17, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	20	29	16	23	4	3	1	3	1
The Center [14]	Apr 11–16, 2016	1,800	±2.5%	23	29	15	25	4	3	–	–	1
First vice presidential debate in Manila (April 10).
Pulse Asia [15]	Apr 5–10, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	23	27	17	21	4	3	1	2	1
The Center [16]	Apr 1–7, 2016	1,800	±2.5%	22.5	28.5	16	23.5	4.25	3.75	–	–	1.75
Pulse Asia [17]	Mar 29–Apr 3, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	21	28	15	22	4	5	–	–	5
MBC– DZRH [18]	Apr 2, 2016	7,490	±1.13%	22.6	29.8	18.4	17.8	4.3	5.5	–	–	1.6
SWS [19]	Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016	1,500	±3%	21	26	13	19	5	5	–	–	–
Standard [20]	Mar 26–Apr 1, 2016	3,000	±1.8%	28	25	15	21	3	5	–	–	4
Pulse Asia [21]	Mar 15-20, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	25	25	14	21	5	4	–	–	5
Pulse Asia [22]	Mar 8-13, 2016	4,000	±1.5%	24	25	13	20	5	6	–	–	6
SWS [23]	Mar 4-7, 2016	1,800	±2%	28	26	11	24	5	6	–	–	2
Pulse Asia [24]	Mar 1-6, 2016	2,600	±1.9%	25	22	14	21	5	6	–	–	6
Standard [25]	Feb 24-Mar 1, 2016	3,000	±1.8%	30	24	11	20	4	7	–	–	5
Pulse Asia [26]	Feb 23-27, 2016	2,600	±1.9%	25	26	12	21	6	4	–	–	–
Pulse Asia [27]	Feb 16-27, 2016	5,200	±1.4%	26	26	13	18	6	5	2	2	2
MBC– DZRH [29] [30]	Feb 13, 2016	7,572	±1.13%	26.8	25.1	14.8	18.8	5.5	6.2	–	–	2.7
Pulse Asia [28]	Feb 15-20, 2016	1,800	±2%	29	26	12	19	4	6	–	–	3

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	MoE	Escudero Ind	Marcos NP–Ind	Cayetano NP–Ind	Robredo LP	Honasan UNA	Trillanes NP–Ind	Alba AK	Others	Refused	Don't know	None
2016
SWS [31]	Feb 5-7, 2016	1,200	±3%	26	26	16	19	6	5	–	–	–	–	2
Standard [32]	Jan 27-Feb 4, 2016	3,000	±1.8%	31	25	15	20	5	4	–	–	–	–	–
Pulse Asia [33]	Jan 24–28, 2016	1,200	±3%	33	23	14	18	5	4	–	–	0.3	1	2
SWS [34]	Jan 8–10, 2016	1,800	±2%	28	25	14	17	8	3	1	2.3	2
RMN [35]	Jan 5-14, 2016	3,578	±2.5%	32.14	21.60	17.36	14.06	6.32	6.01	–	–	–	–	2.52
2015
SWS [36]	Dec 12–14, 2015	1,200	±3%	30	19	17	14	8	5	0.8	0.64	1
Standard [37]	Dec 4–12, 2015	1,800	±2%	33	19	18	19	6	7	–	–	–	–	5
Pulse Asia [38]	Dec 4–11, 2015	1,500	±2.6%	29	23	18	11	9	4	0.3	0.34	0.1	1	1
MBC– DZRH [39]	Nov 27, 2015	7,436	±1.14%	28.49	24.62	18.25	12.53	6.11	7.75	–	–	–	–	2.25
RMN [40]	Oct 25-Nov 5, 2015	3,604	±2.5%	38.10	18.70	11.90	13.65	5.94	5.38	–	–	–	–	6.33

Until candidacy filing ended on 16 October 2015

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	MoE	Poe Ind	Escudero Ind	Cayetano Ind	Duterte PDP-Laban	Marcos Ind	Binay UNA	Santiago PRP	Drilon LP	Ji. Estrada UNA	Jo. Estrada PMP	Lacson Ind	Legarda NPC	Revilla Lakas	Robredo LP	Roxas LP	Santos LP	Trillanes Ind	Others	Refused	Don't know	None
2015
Pulse Asia [41]	Sep 8–15, 2015	2,400	±2%	24	23	9	–	13	–	–	–	–	4	5		–	3	–	5	4	9.1% B. Aquino III (LP): 6% Pangilinan (LP): 2% Henares (Ind): 0.1% Others: 1%	3
SWS [42]	Sep 2–5, 2015	1,200	±3%	27	20	5	9	7	24	–	–	2	7	3	5	–	3	–	4	4	3.9% Atienza (Buhay): 0.9% Others/Refused/Don't know/None: 3%
Pulse Asia [43]	Aug 27–Sep 3, 2015	1,200	±3%	26	25	7	–	7	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2	–	–	–	–
RMN [44]	Aug 11–18, 2015	4,718	±2.5%	36.01	21.36	–	–	11.82	–	–	–	–	–	–		–	–	–	–	–	–
SWS [58]	Jun 5–8, 2015	1,200	±3%	21	7	2	3	1	7	2	–	–	3	3	1.4	0.7	–	12	1	1.1	1.2% Moreno (PMP): 0.7% Pacquiao (UNA): 0.5%	22		8
Pulse Asia [45]	May 30–Jun 5, 2015	1,200	±3%	41	15	12	9	9	–	–	–	–	–	6	–	–	1	–	–	5	1	1	0.2	3
IBON [47] [48]	May 13–23, 2015	1,496	±3%	15.9	2.5	–	–	–	6.8	1.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	5.1	–	–	7.8	13		60
Laylo [46]	May 8–18, 2015	1,500	±2.6%	23	16	11	11	5	–	–	–	–	7	7	–	–	–		5	6	–
SWS [59]	Mar 20–23, 2015	1,200	±3%	26	6	3	4	3	7	5	–	0.6	3	1.6	1.7	–	–	12	0.6	3	5	–	–	7
Pulse Asia [49]	Mar 1–7, 2015	1,200	±3%	29	16	13	11	11	–	–	3	4	–	–	–	2	0.4	–	–	6	1	0.2	1	2
2014
Pulse Asia [50]	Nov 14–20, 2014	1,200	±3%	33	20	13	–	8	–	–	6	5	–	–	–	3	1	–	–	8	1.3% Gatchalian (NPC): 0.3% Others: 1%	–	1	2
Pulse Asia [51]	Sep 8–15, 2014	1,200	±3%	31	19	9	–	6	–	–	5	5	–	–	–	3	3	–	6	7	–
Pulse Asia [52]	Jun 24–Jul 6, 2014	1,200	±3%	26	22	14	–	8	–	–	5	5	–	–	–	4	1	–	4	6	Others: 1%	1	1	1
Pulse Asia [53]	Mar 19–26, 2014	1,200	±3%	24	20	6	–	5	–	–	–	4	–	5	–	3	1	8	5	7	10.3% K. Aquino (Ind): 5% Bam Aquino (LP): 3% JV Ejercito (UNA): 2% Others: 0.3%	0.2	0.3	–

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